HUGE AI NEWS : Ex OpenAI Researcher REVEALS What AGI Will Be Like, New Humanoids And More

00:26:51
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2jaiBHI0IFo

Zusammenfassung

TLDRThe video discusses recent developments and future predictions in AI and robotics, highlighting China's rapid progress in humanoid robotics with startups like Limb X Dynamics aiming to challenge Boston Dynamics. It touches on the anticipated growth in artificial super intelligence and how it's now seen as a realistic future development. Google's AI lead emphasizes a probable straight path to artificial super intelligence, pointing to potential new capabilities of AI systems. The video elaborates on advancements such as rising humanoid robots, potential industrial-scale production in China, and their efficiency in manufacturing. It also discusses the discourse around artificial super intelligence in the AI community, led by figures like Logan Kilpatrick of Google AI, reflecting a shift in perception from unrealistic hype to a feasible future event. OpenAI's journey from non-profit to potential for-profit entity, amidst legal disputes led by Elon Musk, is another focal point. This shift highlights issues around expectations of accountability and ethical business practices. Moreover, the video assesses the impact of models like Deep Seek V3, which presents a cost-effective alternative to GPT-4, and Meta's innovative shift from tokenization to concept-based AI models, enhancing human-like processing. Google's strategy for a robust AI leadership by 2025 is emphasized, highlighting their recent achievements and future potential, while addressing the competitive landscape involving models from Microsoft and other tech giants. The video also predicts AGI's impact, expecting rapid technological advancement akin to historic industrial revolutions.

Mitbringsel

  • 🤖 China's limb X Dynamics aims to rival Boston Dynamics with humanoid robots.
  • 🚀 Artificial super intelligence is being taken seriously as a future development.
  • ⚖️ Jeffrey Hinton supports Elon Musk's legal actions against OpenAI's for-profit plans.
  • 💡 Deep Seek V3 offers cost-effective AI comparable to GPT4, posing a market shift.
  • 🩺 AI medical tools like 01 outperform doctors in diagnostics accuracy.
  • 📈 Google's 2025 AI strategy focuses on aggressive innovation and leadership.
  • 🔍 Meta explores non-tokenization models for more human-like AI reasoning.
  • 🌍 OpenAI's nonprofit to for-profit shift raises ethical business practice concerns.
  • 🔧 AGI developments could lead to revolutionary technological advancements.
  • 📊 Google's achievements in 2024 position it as a major AI contender for 2025.

Zeitleiste

  • 00:00:00 - 00:05:00

    China's rapid advancement in humanoid robotics is highlighted by the startup Limb X Dynamics, which aims to rival Boston Dynamics. China's efficient manufacturing and physics simulations advancements are expected to lead to mass-production of effective humanoid robots by 2025.

  • 00:05:00 - 00:10:00

    The AI community is increasingly accepting the possibility of artificial super intelligence (ASI) as realistic. Logan Kilpatrick from Google emphasizes a direct path to ASI, highlighting the success of test time compute, suggesting AI development will resemble gradual product releases rather than abrupt breakthroughs.

  • 00:10:00 - 00:15:00

    The AI tool 'Deep research' is anticipated to be revolutionary, potentially surpassing Google's Sora. OpenAI's roadmap for 2025 suggests unexpected developments, while internal conflicts arise as Elon Musk and others oppose its shift to a for-profit model, which might set a controversial precedent.

  • 00:15:00 - 00:20:00

    GPT-4 surpasses doctors in medical diagnosis, raising ethical questions about AI reliance. Deep seek V3 is introduced as a cost-effective model competing with GPT-4. Issues arise over its training data, sparking debates on ethics and copyright.

  • 00:20:00 - 00:26:51

    AGI is projected to cause a technological explosion, akin to the past 500 years of progress, in just two years. Google's CEO aims for leadership in AI by 2025, with a strategic focus on innovation. Meanwhile, the definition and future of AGI stir corporate and public discourse.

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Mind Map

Video-Fragen und Antworten

  • What is China's goal for robotics by 2025?

    China aims to be the leader in robotics by 2025.

  • What is the significance of the limb X Dynamics startup in China?

    Limb X Dynamics aims to rival Boston Dynamics with its advanced humanoid robots.

  • What recent developments have been made in AI regarding super intelligence?

    AI experts now see artificial super intelligence as a realistic possibility and expect advancements in the coming years.

  • What does the Godfather of AI support in relation to OpenAI?

    Jeffrey Hinton supports Elon Musk's lawsuit to prevent OpenAI from turning for-profit.

  • How does the Deep Seek V3 model compare to GPT4?

    Deep Seek V3 performs on par with GPT4, but at a fraction of the cost, making it appealing for AI applications.

  • What advancements have been made in medical AI diagnosis tools?

    AI tools like 01 have surpassed human doctors in accuracy for certain medical diagnoses.

  • What major changes are expected in AI by 2025 according to Sam Altman?

    Sam Altman predicts the emergence of AGI, better AI agents, and significant updates in AI technology by 2025.

  • What legal issues is OpenAI facing?

    OpenAI faces legal challenges from Elon Musk and concerns about its shift from a nonprofit to a for-profit entity.

  • What are Google's plans for AI in 2025?

    Google plans to aggressively expand its AI capabilities, focusing on releasing groundbreaking AI products.

  • What new AI models are revolutionizing the field?

    Models like Deep Seek V3 and new conceptual models by Meta are pushing boundaries in cost efficiency and approach.

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Untertitel
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Automatisches Blättern:
  • 00:00:00
    so coming in with the story number one
  • 00:00:02
    we have a new Chinese humanoid robot
  • 00:00:05
    they've honestly been developing these
  • 00:00:06
    at quite a rapid pace and now we're
  • 00:00:09
    starting to see the different ways in
  • 00:00:11
    which they are managing to make these
  • 00:00:12
    robots even more flexible we all know
  • 00:00:15
    that there is actually an Initiative for
  • 00:00:18
    2025 for China to be the leader in terms
  • 00:00:21
    of Robotics and today we got limb X
  • 00:00:24
    Dynamics which is a shenzen based
  • 00:00:25
    startup founded in 2022 and it's
  • 00:00:28
    actually you know got success with its
  • 00:00:30
    new homid that they are essentially
  • 00:00:32
    aiming to rival Boston Dynamic so if you
  • 00:00:35
    aren't familiar with this current pose
  • 00:00:37
    that it is doing this was something that
  • 00:00:39
    Boston Dynamics robot the atlas robot
  • 00:00:41
    the very famous one actually did in a
  • 00:00:44
    demo video and that was something that
  • 00:00:46
    this is trying to replicate so it's
  • 00:00:48
    pretty interesting because they can
  • 00:00:50
    quickly quickly replicate many of the
  • 00:00:52
    things that are going on in the US and
  • 00:00:54
    considering the rapid pce technology I
  • 00:00:57
    wouldn't be surprised if many of the
  • 00:00:58
    robots that we do see as I was saying
  • 00:01:00
    it's going to be really interesting to
  • 00:01:02
    see how the rapid advancements in
  • 00:01:04
    humanoid robot technology manages to
  • 00:01:06
    spread overseas we all know that
  • 00:01:08
    humanoid robots are going to get a huge
  • 00:01:10
    boost in 2025 due to the physics
  • 00:01:13
    simulations actually being incredibly
  • 00:01:15
    more efficient in terms of their speed
  • 00:01:17
    and we're going to likely see humanoid
  • 00:01:18
    robots perform in ways that we've never
  • 00:01:20
    seen before it's going to be really
  • 00:01:22
    interesting to see China also manage to
  • 00:01:24
    mass-produce these robots and actually
  • 00:01:26
    start to have them working in factories
  • 00:01:28
    and considering the fact that in China
  • 00:01:29
    CH they manag to have really really
  • 00:01:32
    efficient manufacturing it's going to be
  • 00:01:34
    quite surprising if they do manage to
  • 00:01:36
    pull off some really really effective
  • 00:01:38
    robots at an industrial scale that is
  • 00:01:41
    going to be something I'm looking out
  • 00:01:42
    for because we've already seen some
  • 00:01:44
    instances of that so that's going to be
  • 00:01:46
    interesting so Point number two is
  • 00:01:48
    rather interesting because in the past
  • 00:01:49
    couple of days in the AI Community what
  • 00:01:51
    I've noticed is that there is a very
  • 00:01:54
    very clear thing going on where
  • 00:01:57
    individuals are starting to talk about
  • 00:01:58
    artificial super intelligence more and
  • 00:02:01
    more in a realistic term it's no longer
  • 00:02:03
    seen as something that is a fad or
  • 00:02:06
    something that is this exaggerated term
  • 00:02:09
    that is somewhat clickbait but actually
  • 00:02:11
    as a real possibility for future AI
  • 00:02:13
    systems and Logan Kilpatrick the Google
  • 00:02:16
    Lead product lead for Google AI actually
  • 00:02:19
    said that straight to shot to ASI is
  • 00:02:22
    looking more and more probable by the
  • 00:02:23
    month this is what IIA saw now he does
  • 00:02:26
    further expand on this but this is a
  • 00:02:28
    significant tweet because because this
  • 00:02:30
    is something that we hadn't really seen
  • 00:02:32
    before Across The Wider Community the
  • 00:02:34
    only person that was really talking
  • 00:02:36
    about artificial super intelligence at
  • 00:02:38
    the time was of course Ilia SATA and
  • 00:02:41
    even remarks or claims of AGI were being
  • 00:02:43
    currently disregarded as people who were
  • 00:02:45
    far too hyped up on AI hype and AI news
  • 00:02:49
    and just seriously in the AI bubble but
  • 00:02:51
    right now you can see that other labs
  • 00:02:53
    and other individuals are talking about
  • 00:02:54
    super intelligence of course this is
  • 00:02:56
    referring to Elk's Mission trying to
  • 00:02:58
    refer to artificial icial super
  • 00:03:00
    intelligence and if this is true it kind
  • 00:03:02
    of does make sense considering the fact
  • 00:03:04
    that that is quite likely what IIA sover
  • 00:03:06
    is pursuing and considering the fact
  • 00:03:07
    that Google released their recent model
  • 00:03:10
    which is actually also something like
  • 00:03:11
    test time compute now them starting to
  • 00:03:13
    say that look ASI is on the table it
  • 00:03:15
    kind of seems that we're all headed in
  • 00:03:16
    one general direction now with
  • 00:03:18
    artificial super intelligence he
  • 00:03:19
    actually goes on to explain a bit more
  • 00:03:21
    he talks about you know how he founded
  • 00:03:23
    the company to do a straight shot to
  • 00:03:24
    artificial super intelligence no
  • 00:03:26
    products and then of course he before
  • 00:03:28
    saw this as unlikely to work since if
  • 00:03:30
    you get the firew spinning on models you
  • 00:03:32
    can actually build a real moot but the
  • 00:03:34
    success of scaling test time compute
  • 00:03:36
    which of course IL satova saw early
  • 00:03:38
    signs of is a good indication that this
  • 00:03:40
    direct path of just continuing to scale
  • 00:03:42
    up might actually work he says we're
  • 00:03:44
    still going to get AI but but unlike the
  • 00:03:46
    consensus from four years ago that it
  • 00:03:48
    would be the inflection point moment in
  • 00:03:49
    history it's likely going to look like
  • 00:03:51
    just another product release with many
  • 00:03:53
    other iterations and smaller other
  • 00:03:55
    options within a short period of time
  • 00:03:57
    now if you're wondering what's actually
  • 00:03:58
    going to happen in 201 5 I did do a
  • 00:04:00
    video covering saman's predictions but
  • 00:04:03
    if you do want to know a little bit more
  • 00:04:04
    we can take a look at some of the common
  • 00:04:06
    themes of course he says artificial
  • 00:04:08
    general intelligence this is something
  • 00:04:09
    that Sam Alman alluded to in a podcast
  • 00:04:11
    well he didn't really allude to he
  • 00:04:13
    actually stated it that we're going to
  • 00:04:14
    get that in 2025 that of course will be
  • 00:04:17
    fascinating he also said AI agents a
  • 00:04:20
    much better 40 upgrade which is
  • 00:04:22
    definitely long awaited for the people
  • 00:04:23
    who sincerely wanted GPT 5 much better
  • 00:04:27
    memory this is of course something that
  • 00:04:28
    I spoke about before much better memory
  • 00:04:30
    is certainly coming a longer context
  • 00:04:32
    window is definitely something that he
  • 00:04:34
    wants and a lot of people do need a
  • 00:04:36
    longer context window allows you to
  • 00:04:37
    essentially input more in which is of
  • 00:04:39
    course really effective for doing a
  • 00:04:41
    variety of different tasks I have to be
  • 00:04:43
    honest with you guys using Google's 2
  • 00:04:45
    million context length window is
  • 00:04:47
    something that is remarkable for a
  • 00:04:49
    variety of different tasks a deep
  • 00:04:51
    research feature and this is really
  • 00:04:53
    interesting because this actually takes
  • 00:04:55
    aim at Google's I wouldn't say it's one
  • 00:04:57
    of their core offerings but genu ly it's
  • 00:05:00
    the most underrated AI tool right now I
  • 00:05:02
    made a video on it I made some super
  • 00:05:04
    prompts from it and I think it's
  • 00:05:06
    probably going to be one of the biggest
  • 00:05:07
    tools of 20125 because it's basically AI
  • 00:05:09
    agents doing research for you but people
  • 00:05:12
    don't know that yet it's just called
  • 00:05:14
    Deep research so I think something like
  • 00:05:16
    that is going to be really really crazy
  • 00:05:17
    especially when open AI release it of
  • 00:05:19
    course a better Sora that is of course
  • 00:05:22
    so with a better Sora that's going to be
  • 00:05:23
    really interesting because one thing
  • 00:05:25
    that people don't understand is that
  • 00:05:26
    when Sora was the leading model open a
  • 00:05:29
    didn't really have any pressure to
  • 00:05:30
    release anything better but now that
  • 00:05:32
    they're not the leading model we're
  • 00:05:33
    actually going to have to see if Sora is
  • 00:05:35
    actually better than V2 which is going
  • 00:05:37
    to be a really really hard feat so when
  • 00:05:40
    Sora gets released it's quite likely
  • 00:05:42
    that it will be better than Google's VO2
  • 00:05:44
    which when you think about what that
  • 00:05:45
    means for the video creation industry
  • 00:05:47
    that is going to be something that's
  • 00:05:48
    absolutely incredible so that is going
  • 00:05:50
    to be something super interesting that I
  • 00:05:52
    can't wait to see it also says
  • 00:05:53
    interestingly many great updates we have
  • 00:05:55
    coming were not mentioned at all or very
  • 00:05:58
    little and this is really f fascinating
  • 00:06:00
    because samman actually says that many
  • 00:06:01
    great updates that they have coming
  • 00:06:03
    weren't mentioned at all or very little
  • 00:06:06
    so it's quite clear that opening eyes
  • 00:06:07
    road map in 2025 is going to be one that
  • 00:06:09
    is one is full of surprises so that
  • 00:06:11
    means that you know just keep your eye
  • 00:06:13
    out for anything that they might release
  • 00:06:15
    because it's quite likely that we're
  • 00:06:16
    going to get caught off guard again with
  • 00:06:17
    a tool or product or a service that we
  • 00:06:20
    probably do need but haven't yet
  • 00:06:21
    requested and this is something that I
  • 00:06:23
    think one of the key things that makes
  • 00:06:24
    open AI so successful is that they
  • 00:06:26
    actually don't just make aii stuff they
  • 00:06:29
    actually make them into really good
  • 00:06:30
    products which is why of course when you
  • 00:06:32
    use chat GPT they use your interface for
  • 00:06:35
    example even when you're using Sora it's
  • 00:06:36
    actually remarkably more effective than
  • 00:06:38
    any other AI tool out there and that's
  • 00:06:41
    the reason that I think this company
  • 00:06:42
    will still be successful now
  • 00:06:44
    unfortunately for open AI if we're
  • 00:06:46
    actually talking about the company being
  • 00:06:48
    successful we can actually take a look
  • 00:06:49
    at what the Godfather of AI has to say
  • 00:06:52
    about open AI it's the Godfather of AI
  • 00:06:55
    Jeffrey Hinton actually throws support
  • 00:06:57
    behind Elon musk's lawsuit against open
  • 00:06:59
    Ai and they are actually supporting Elon
  • 00:07:01
    musk's lawsuit seeking a preliminary
  • 00:07:04
    injunction that would stop open AI from
  • 00:07:06
    becoming a fully for-profit company if
  • 00:07:08
    you aren't caught up with the news
  • 00:07:11
    unfortunately for open AI they are
  • 00:07:13
    trying to become a for-profit company in
  • 00:07:16
    order to further the mission and of
  • 00:07:18
    course Elon Musk has F an injunction to
  • 00:07:20
    stop that because essentially open ey
  • 00:07:22
    were a charity and he poured millions of
  • 00:07:24
    dollars into said charity and now that
  • 00:07:26
    the said charity has taken those
  • 00:07:28
    donations and it's turned that into a
  • 00:07:30
    for-profit company it's essentially
  • 00:07:32
    something that they just aren't happy
  • 00:07:34
    about which is of course understandable
  • 00:07:36
    now it might just be the fact that Elon
  • 00:07:38
    Musk is a little bit jealous that of
  • 00:07:40
    course open a are a bit ahead and he's
  • 00:07:41
    trying to slow them down but it's very
  • 00:07:43
    interesting to see that the Godfather of
  • 00:07:45
    AI is now supporting this we can see
  • 00:07:47
    that he says openi was founded as
  • 00:07:49
    explicitly a safety focused nonprofit
  • 00:07:52
    and made a variety of safety related
  • 00:07:54
    promises in its Charter and it said it
  • 00:07:56
    received numerous tax and other benefits
  • 00:07:58
    from its nonprofit status allowing it to
  • 00:08:00
    tear all of that up when it becomes
  • 00:08:02
    inconvenient sends a very bad message to
  • 00:08:05
    other actors in the ecosystem and this
  • 00:08:07
    is very true if we have a company that
  • 00:08:09
    starts out as a charity and then over
  • 00:08:12
    time manages to just say you know what
  • 00:08:14
    now let's become a for-profit that is a
  • 00:08:16
    very bad precedent for companies because
  • 00:08:18
    other individuals will try and use this
  • 00:08:21
    structure to essentially ensure that
  • 00:08:24
    their company is going to be successful
  • 00:08:25
    as well so this is going to have all
  • 00:08:27
    sorts of implications if it does go
  • 00:08:29
    through through that open is allowed to
  • 00:08:31
    do a for-profit conversion that's going
  • 00:08:32
    to have to be really technical because
  • 00:08:35
    they don't want to open the floodgates
  • 00:08:36
    for you know various individuals
  • 00:08:38
    starting their own nonprofits and then
  • 00:08:40
    turning them into for-profits I'm not
  • 00:08:42
    someone who's you know completely
  • 00:08:43
    educated on the law but I do know that
  • 00:08:46
    when you do allow certain things it
  • 00:08:48
    essentially sets a precedent meaning
  • 00:08:50
    that other people are going to try to do
  • 00:08:51
    the same thing as well and of course
  • 00:08:53
    landmark cases do get referred to all of
  • 00:08:56
    the time so this is going to be
  • 00:08:57
    something that is really really
  • 00:08:58
    important I truly am not sure of the
  • 00:09:01
    decision of this but it will be very
  • 00:09:02
    interesting to see I mean both of these
  • 00:09:04
    companies are probably going to have the
  • 00:09:06
    best lawyers on either side so it's
  • 00:09:07
    going to be super interesting to see
  • 00:09:09
    where openi manages to fall now here we
  • 00:09:11
    have Sebastian Buck who is someone that
  • 00:09:14
    actually worked on the buy series of
  • 00:09:17
    models these were the smaller series of
  • 00:09:19
    models from Microsoft that basically
  • 00:09:21
    showed how important training data was
  • 00:09:24
    and in this interview clip he actually
  • 00:09:26
    talks about the recent study in a video
  • 00:09:29
    which I covered where we actually do get
  • 00:09:31
    to see the fact that 01 surpasses
  • 00:09:33
    doctors well physicians in terms of
  • 00:09:36
    diagnosis in certain domains which is
  • 00:09:38
    truly fascinating and it's a remarkable
  • 00:09:41
    jump in improvement from GPT 4 and I
  • 00:09:45
    think it sets a really interesting
  • 00:09:47
    statement for the future because if
  • 00:09:49
    these diagnosis tools are that much
  • 00:09:51
    better at humans the question I have to
  • 00:09:54
    ask myself is at what point does it
  • 00:09:56
    become Reckless to not use the AI tool
  • 00:09:59
    just recently there was a study that
  • 00:10:01
    came out on medical diagnosis comparing
  • 00:10:04
    human doctors to gp4 human doctors on
  • 00:10:06
    that Benchmark were getting 75% okay so
  • 00:10:09
    three out of four were correct gp4 gets
  • 00:10:12
    nine out of 10 on medical diagnosis like
  • 00:10:14
    this is something that we care about I
  • 00:10:16
    care about in the real world you and gp4
  • 00:10:18
    is already Beyond human now in that same
  • 00:10:20
    study they are already foreshadowing
  • 00:10:22
    what happens with o1 and saying that
  • 00:10:24
    there are now cases where human doctors
  • 00:10:27
    are at 50% and o1 is at 90% % I mean
  • 00:10:29
    this is just you know completely
  • 00:10:31
    incredible and I'm not going to spend
  • 00:10:32
    too long on this because we've already
  • 00:10:34
    covered this but I mean just take a look
  • 00:10:35
    at the paper it's about like super human
  • 00:10:37
    performance of a large language model on
  • 00:10:39
    the reasoning tasks of a physician they
  • 00:10:41
    tested them in four categories I mean
  • 00:10:43
    like you know when you look at you know
  • 00:10:45
    a one preview and guys this is just 01
  • 00:10:48
    preview okay this is not like the the
  • 00:10:49
    second iteration of the model just
  • 00:10:51
    imagine the third iteration of 01 the
  • 00:10:53
    fourth iteration with test time compute
  • 00:10:55
    I mean how accurate is that model going
  • 00:10:57
    to be especially if it's fine tuned on
  • 00:11:00
    you know medical diagnosis and stuff
  • 00:11:01
    like that so I mean it's going to be
  • 00:11:03
    really interesting especially when you
  • 00:11:05
    can have a AI That's able to generate
  • 00:11:07
    synthetic data and then train on that
  • 00:11:09
    synthetic data so even if there is a
  • 00:11:11
    super rare case the AI is able to you
  • 00:11:13
    know pull it from its training data that
  • 00:11:15
    wouldn't exist in the real world that
  • 00:11:17
    really would have doctor stumped so I
  • 00:11:19
    think this is genuinely a silent
  • 00:11:20
    Revolution that's going on cuz when we
  • 00:11:22
    even check right here you can see 01
  • 00:11:23
    preview in terms of the score out of 100
  • 00:11:26
    I mean Physicians and GPT 4 you can see
  • 00:11:28
    the kind of results they get an 01
  • 00:11:30
    preview okay preview is literally all
  • 00:11:33
    the way up there I mean it's it's truly
  • 00:11:35
    remarkable um on on Landmark diagnostic
  • 00:11:37
    cases as well we can see 01 preview
  • 00:11:39
    performs nearly at 100% it's just
  • 00:11:41
    something that is uh yeah pretty
  • 00:11:42
    incredible stuff I would say that this
  • 00:11:44
    is a good sign though for anyone you
  • 00:11:45
    know with kind of health issues because
  • 00:11:46
    I think right now we're just getting the
  • 00:11:48
    diagnosis but eventually on the tail end
  • 00:11:50
    of this we are going to get some
  • 00:11:51
    probably significant medical
  • 00:11:52
    breakthroughs by the end of this decade
  • 00:11:54
    or by the end of next decade certainly
  • 00:11:56
    so it's going to be really interesting
  • 00:11:58
    at a time for PR erity hopefully now
  • 00:12:00
    interestingly there was this model
  • 00:12:02
    called Deep seek V3 and this is
  • 00:12:05
    something that I do want to say
  • 00:12:06
    essentially shook the AI Community this
  • 00:12:09
    was because this is a model that
  • 00:12:12
    basically managed to perform on par with
  • 00:12:15
    a lot of the current llms but that
  • 00:12:18
    wasn't the only thing that this model
  • 00:12:19
    managed to do this model currently
  • 00:12:21
    managed to essentially get the same
  • 00:12:24
    benchmarks at a fraction of the cost
  • 00:12:26
    I've heard that the cost of this model
  • 00:12:28
    is around $20 times cheaper than GPT 4
  • 00:12:31
    and from my sources many people are
  • 00:12:33
    currently switching for this to their
  • 00:12:35
    API Usage Now claw 3.5 Sonet Still
  • 00:12:38
    Remains number one in terms of the
  • 00:12:40
    coding capabilities but from what I'm
  • 00:12:42
    hearing is that many people are now
  • 00:12:43
    switching to this model in terms of
  • 00:12:45
    their GPT 4 applications now this is
  • 00:12:48
    something that is pretty good because if
  • 00:12:50
    you've ever wanted to build an AI
  • 00:12:52
    applications and maybe the I guess you
  • 00:12:54
    could say API costs were something that
  • 00:12:56
    were a factor now dsek V3 is coming in
  • 00:12:59
    as a very cheap alternative that allows
  • 00:13:02
    you to rapidly prototype what you want
  • 00:13:04
    without facing heavy inference costs so
  • 00:13:07
    this is going to be a true shake up to
  • 00:13:09
    the market and there was also some
  • 00:13:11
    information regarding this as well that
  • 00:13:14
    was a little bit controversial so
  • 00:13:16
    essentially if you asked this model what
  • 00:13:19
    it is it said I am a large language
  • 00:13:21
    model developed by chat gbt that is what
  • 00:13:24
    the model would output now of course
  • 00:13:26
    that doesn't really make sense if the
  • 00:13:27
    model is deep seek V3 it should say I'm
  • 00:13:29
    deep seek V3 developed by you know the
  • 00:13:31
    company deep seek so um there was some
  • 00:13:33
    information going on out there that
  • 00:13:35
    basically said that they trained on open
  • 00:13:37
    ai's models output which is of course
  • 00:13:40
    against open ai's terms of service the
  • 00:13:42
    only thing is I'm not sure how open AI
  • 00:13:45
    would even recognize that a company is
  • 00:13:47
    able to do that I'm sure they've got
  • 00:13:49
    Advanced ways to do that but considering
  • 00:13:51
    the state of AI right now I'm not sure
  • 00:13:53
    that's something that you know open AI
  • 00:13:56
    would even want to pursue at the moment
  • 00:13:57
    but we do take a look at the benchmarks
  • 00:14:00
    you can see here that it does seem to
  • 00:14:02
    basically you know outperform GPT 40 on
  • 00:14:05
    a variety of different benchmarks and
  • 00:14:06
    and you know if we're being honest about
  • 00:14:08
    what GPC 40 is currently it isn't the
  • 00:14:11
    best model in terms of like you know an
  • 00:14:13
    llm that you could use you know Google's
  • 00:14:15
    newer model is better I actually use
  • 00:14:17
    Google's model every day now um of CLA
  • 00:14:19
    for coding you've got claw 3.5 Sonic
  • 00:14:21
    that model is you know better in coding
  • 00:14:23
    aspect so it's something that just
  • 00:14:26
    manages to you know put opening eyes
  • 00:14:28
    leadership of course in a state of
  • 00:14:30
    contention because we have a model that
  • 00:14:33
    is cheaper and basically on the same
  • 00:14:34
    level so people are always trying to
  • 00:14:36
    find ways to save money and if you can
  • 00:14:38
    you know find a way to save money by
  • 00:14:39
    using this of course that is something
  • 00:14:41
    that people might do now whether or not
  • 00:14:42
    people are going to go to the hassle of
  • 00:14:44
    actually going to a deep sep3 account
  • 00:14:45
    because you know what openi are
  • 00:14:47
    essentially doing you know they've got
  • 00:14:48
    advanced voic mode they've got a variety
  • 00:14:50
    of different other things that still
  • 00:14:51
    make them a very good product to use I
  • 00:14:53
    still think that the market has allowed
  • 00:14:56
    shakeups that are really fascinating now
  • 00:14:58
    in addition we ALS also do have this
  • 00:14:59
    thing called reproduce which is where
  • 00:15:02
    there's stepbystep blueprints that
  • 00:15:04
    reveal how to recreate opening eyes
  • 00:15:06
    reasoning abilities from scratch so
  • 00:15:08
    there's a paper that actually presents a
  • 00:15:10
    road map to reproduce the 01 model using
  • 00:15:13
    reinforcement learning focusing on
  • 00:15:15
    policy initialization reward design
  • 00:15:17
    search and component so this is going to
  • 00:15:19
    be interesting I'm actually going to be
  • 00:15:20
    covering this in a video probably
  • 00:15:21
    tomorrow but this is fascinating because
  • 00:15:24
    if the secret of this is out it
  • 00:15:26
    basically means that the secret of AGI
  • 00:15:28
    is out and if that is the case and that
  • 00:15:30
    means we are about to get AGI globally
  • 00:15:32
    and if we're about to get AGI globally
  • 00:15:35
    then that means that there's about to be
  • 00:15:37
    the acceleration that we've never seen
  • 00:15:38
    before because none of these countries
  • 00:15:40
    want to lose the AI race now if we're
  • 00:15:42
    talking about you know large language
  • 00:15:43
    models and different architectures and
  • 00:15:45
    of course the o1 architecture there is
  • 00:15:48
    this fascinating paper from meta called
  • 00:15:51
    LCM large concept models and with large
  • 00:15:54
    concept models this is essentially a
  • 00:15:56
    kind of model that basically tries to
  • 00:15:59
    make the model think how humans think so
  • 00:16:01
    you know how you know large language
  • 00:16:03
    models think in you know it's tokenized
  • 00:16:05
    and just the tokenize of stuff basically
  • 00:16:07
    um you know this is probably a better
  • 00:16:09
    explanation um this is an AI researcher
  • 00:16:11
    and he said that I'm more and more
  • 00:16:12
    confident that tokenization will be gone
  • 00:16:15
    because of course humans don't think in
  • 00:16:16
    tokens tokens are hard quoted
  • 00:16:19
    abstractions in llms that lead to weird
  • 00:16:21
    Behavior Uh you know llms can solve PhD
  • 00:16:24
    math questions but canot answer is 9.9
  • 00:16:27
    bigger than 9.11
  • 00:16:29
    uh So Meta is Shifting you know LMS to
  • 00:16:31
    lcms which are you know changing from
  • 00:16:34
    next token prediction to next concept
  • 00:16:36
    prediction and the concept is treated as
  • 00:16:38
    a sentence you know representing an idea
  • 00:16:40
    representing an abstract idea or action
  • 00:16:42
    and I think this is something that's you
  • 00:16:44
    know really interesting to see if it
  • 00:16:45
    gets embedded into other architectures
  • 00:16:47
    because we all know that the
  • 00:16:49
    tokenization feature it not feature you
  • 00:16:51
    know it's it's a part of the
  • 00:16:52
    architecture that is something that has
  • 00:16:54
    caused problems before and we've seen
  • 00:16:56
    meta previously tackle these kinds of
  • 00:16:58
    things where they're looking at things
  • 00:17:00
    different to everyone else so I think if
  • 00:17:01
    meaan of course continue to push that
  • 00:17:03
    it's going to open up a really nice area
  • 00:17:06
    in terms of AI research because we're
  • 00:17:07
    going to get areas that most people
  • 00:17:09
    currently aren't focused on and this is
  • 00:17:10
    something that's really important
  • 00:17:11
    because if you want to get truly Smart
  • 00:17:13
    Systems having them thinking in
  • 00:17:15
    different ways or ways that are really
  • 00:17:16
    similar to us is going to really advance
  • 00:17:18
    that now we also got this clip that has
  • 00:17:21
    been doing the rounds on Twitter and
  • 00:17:22
    this is where we get the exop AI
  • 00:17:24
    employee Daniel kokalo actually
  • 00:17:27
    explaining what AGI looks like when it's
  • 00:17:30
    going to be released so this is a super
  • 00:17:32
    fascinating interview because I don't
  • 00:17:34
    think there have been many individuals
  • 00:17:36
    from Frontier Labs actually releasing
  • 00:17:39
    the kind of information we get in this
  • 00:17:40
    short one minute clip and this is
  • 00:17:43
    something that is fascinating to me
  • 00:17:44
    because one of the things as well is you
  • 00:17:46
    know it kind of coincides with what Sam
  • 00:17:48
    Alman said previously where he basically
  • 00:17:50
    said that you know we're going to get
  • 00:17:52
    AGI and it's just going to be like
  • 00:17:54
    another day for the average person so
  • 00:17:56
    take a look at what he says here what
  • 00:17:58
    you would see eventually is uh some sort
  • 00:18:01
    of very exciting announcements and some
  • 00:18:04
    sort of very exciting products being
  • 00:18:06
    rolled out and things like that uh into
  • 00:18:09
    the world but by by the time that's
  • 00:18:11
    happened uh you but by the time you
  • 00:18:13
    actually see the plumber uh the the
  • 00:18:14
    robot plumber walking around AGI
  • 00:18:16
    research will have been automated for
  • 00:18:18
    like a whole year or more and the things
  • 00:18:22
    living on the data centers will be super
  • 00:18:24
    intelligent like literally across the
  • 00:18:26
    board qualitatively quantitatively
  • 00:18:28
    better than the best humans at
  • 00:18:29
    everything um and they won't just have
  • 00:18:31
    been designing robot plumbers like
  • 00:18:33
    there's a million of them they'll be
  • 00:18:34
    working on lots of things at the same
  • 00:18:35
    time they'll be the robot plumbers but
  • 00:18:36
    there'll also be new weapons new drones
  • 00:18:39
    there'll also be all sorts of new
  • 00:18:41
    software there'll also be all sorts of
  • 00:18:42
    new basic science that will have been
  • 00:18:44
    figured out new types of physics new you
  • 00:18:46
    know chemistry new biology um it'll be
  • 00:18:49
    this giant explosion of amazing new
  • 00:18:52
    technologies that will be sort of like
  • 00:18:54
    the the scientific and Industrial
  • 00:18:56
    revolutions like if you think about what
  • 00:18:58
    happen in 500 years from like 1500 to
  • 00:19:01
    2000 it's just this insane explosion of
  • 00:19:05
    uh intellectual progress in science and
  • 00:19:08
    then also like physical progress in
  • 00:19:09
    terms of like machinery and and um Tech
  • 00:19:12
    you know tools and stuff like that I'm
  • 00:19:15
    imagining a similar sort of explosion
  • 00:19:16
    happening over the course of maybe two
  • 00:19:18
    years uh all under the control of uh one
  • 00:19:21
    AI project probably so for those of you
  • 00:19:23
    who are wondering how AI gets here that
  • 00:19:25
    is going to be something that is super
  • 00:19:27
    intriguing to me because of course I
  • 00:19:29
    would love to know what life is like
  • 00:19:31
    when AI gets here and of course we do a
  • 00:19:33
    lot of speculation on this channel so
  • 00:19:35
    it's going to be super interesting to
  • 00:19:36
    see if his predictions actually do come
  • 00:19:39
    true in the sense that we're going to
  • 00:19:41
    start to see a variety of different
  • 00:19:43
    inventions and you know products getting
  • 00:19:44
    released and then if we're actually able
  • 00:19:47
    to tell if of course AI research has
  • 00:19:49
    been automated now interestingly enough
  • 00:19:52
    gearing up into 2025 we can see that the
  • 00:19:55
    Google CEO Cinder Pai has actually told
  • 00:19:57
    employees to gear up for a big 2025 as
  • 00:20:01
    the stakes are high now this is super
  • 00:20:03
    interesting because we've seen that in
  • 00:20:05
    the last few weeks in the last quarter
  • 00:20:08
    of 2024 Google really showed everyone
  • 00:20:12
    that they are still the kings of this AI
  • 00:20:14
    stuff and I think this was surprising to
  • 00:20:17
    many people in the AI industry because
  • 00:20:19
    what we saw from Google before was
  • 00:20:21
    rushing to get products out we saw
  • 00:20:23
    sloppy releases we saw delayed releases
  • 00:20:26
    and we even saw you know releases that
  • 00:20:28
    just didn't happen altogether at
  • 00:20:30
    Google's IO conference we saw coming
  • 00:20:32
    later this year more times than we had
  • 00:20:34
    actual product releases but with the
  • 00:20:36
    recent Google vo with a recent new model
  • 00:20:38
    with a recent thinking model I mean it's
  • 00:20:41
    been absolutely an onslaught of
  • 00:20:43
    different products that we've had it's
  • 00:20:45
    been nothing but gems that we've
  • 00:20:47
    literally had with deep research I mean
  • 00:20:50
    the list just goes on and on and on
  • 00:20:52
    Google have just you know raised the bar
  • 00:20:54
    to I think definitely the gold standard
  • 00:20:56
    now in terms of across the board AI in
  • 00:20:59
    terms of usability so it's going to be
  • 00:21:01
    super interesting to see where they
  • 00:21:02
    stand now if you actually read further
  • 00:21:05
    into this article we can see that you
  • 00:21:06
    know it talks about how 2025 is going to
  • 00:21:09
    be a critical year and it's important
  • 00:21:11
    that they internalize the urgency of
  • 00:21:13
    this movement and they need to move
  • 00:21:15
    faster as a company as these Stakes are
  • 00:21:17
    high and that these are disruptive
  • 00:21:19
    moments in 2025 they need to be
  • 00:21:21
    relentlessly focused on unlocking the
  • 00:21:23
    benefits of this technology and solve
  • 00:21:26
    real problems now this is good for us
  • 00:21:28
    because of course it means that we're
  • 00:21:29
    going to be getting some killer products
  • 00:21:32
    and like I said before a lot of the
  • 00:21:33
    things that they've released have been
  • 00:21:35
    really tremendous in terms of my
  • 00:21:37
    productivity and just downright the
  • 00:21:39
    things I've been able to do you know
  • 00:21:40
    I've spoken about the fact that deep
  • 00:21:42
    research is an amazing feature also the
  • 00:21:44
    fact that you know the agent browser
  • 00:21:46
    when I've seen the demos of that it
  • 00:21:47
    looks really really amazing and I can't
  • 00:21:50
    imagine the amount of time I'm going to
  • 00:21:51
    save with that so it's going to be super
  • 00:21:53
    interesting because of course you know
  • 00:21:55
    if you thought that 2024 was crazy they
  • 00:21:58
    are saying that 2025 is the critical
  • 00:22:01
    year so if you're someone who's a Google
  • 00:22:03
    Fanboy or maybe even an open AI Fanboy
  • 00:22:06
    definitely keep your eyes on Google
  • 00:22:08
    because they're going to have a lot of
  • 00:22:09
    products that are coming out and so here
  • 00:22:11
    you can see that they actually said they
  • 00:22:13
    know that they have some work to do in
  • 00:22:14
    20125 to close the gap and establish a
  • 00:22:16
    leadership position there as well but of
  • 00:22:18
    course they know that you know that they
  • 00:22:20
    want to be number one you can see right
  • 00:22:22
    here that they said that I expect some
  • 00:22:24
    back and forth in 2025 but I think we be
  • 00:22:28
    stay to of the art so Cinder Pai is
  • 00:22:30
    basically stating here that in 2025 he
  • 00:22:33
    expects them to actually be the number
  • 00:22:35
    one AI company in terms of overall
  • 00:22:37
    market share in terms of just how good
  • 00:22:40
    everything is and honestly by the end of
  • 00:22:42
    2024 we could argue that Google is
  • 00:22:44
    number one because when we looked at the
  • 00:22:45
    benchmarks when we looked at the product
  • 00:22:47
    releases I mean the stuff they did was
  • 00:22:50
    really really impressive so you know
  • 00:22:53
    right here they're stating that you know
  • 00:22:54
    he acknowledged that Google has to had
  • 00:22:56
    to play catchup but he says in history
  • 00:22:58
    you don't always need to be the first
  • 00:22:59
    but you have to execute well and be
  • 00:23:01
    really best inclass as a product and in
  • 00:23:03
    2025 that's all it's all about so for
  • 00:23:06
    you consumers out there you know don't
  • 00:23:07
    sleep on your Google devices just yet
  • 00:23:09
    I'm sure there's going to be some major
  • 00:23:11
    updates coming as well and of course
  • 00:23:13
    with this we do have this individual
  • 00:23:16
    jyang Ling who is you know building quen
  • 00:23:18
    models at Alibaba actually responded to
  • 00:23:21
    this tweet where someone said they want
  • 00:23:23
    a Sonic level 70b model which is
  • 00:23:25
    essentially just a smaller large
  • 00:23:27
    language model like chat GPT someone
  • 00:23:28
    said that they wanted a Sonic level
  • 00:23:30
    version of that and he said wait on me
  • 00:23:32
    so I mean it's going to be really
  • 00:23:34
    interesting to see if we manage to cram
  • 00:23:36
    more intelligence into these smaller
  • 00:23:38
    models a 70b clo 3.5 Sonic level model
  • 00:23:42
    I'm not sure if they can pull that off
  • 00:23:44
    because I think some things are just
  • 00:23:46
    achieved through skill and I think even
  • 00:23:48
    if you try to be be as efficient as you
  • 00:23:50
    can you might not be able to just get
  • 00:23:52
    that kind of intelligence out of the
  • 00:23:53
    model from that size if you guys know
  • 00:23:55
    what I mean but then again we've seen
  • 00:23:57
    you know a variety of different things
  • 00:23:59
    become more efficient become faster so I
  • 00:24:01
    wouldn't be surprised if this is
  • 00:24:03
    something that occurs and I'm never
  • 00:24:05
    going to bet against the trend of AI
  • 00:24:07
    because I've done that in the past and
  • 00:24:08
    it doesn't work well and AI is an
  • 00:24:10
    exponential Trend so by the end of 2025
  • 00:24:13
    we could be in a remarkably different
  • 00:24:14
    position now in addition what we also
  • 00:24:17
    got this week was something rather
  • 00:24:19
    interesting we finally got the
  • 00:24:20
    definition of AGI and this one was
  • 00:24:22
    really good because we now know that
  • 00:24:24
    open AI have defined the AGI as a system
  • 00:24:27
    capable of generating $100 billion in
  • 00:24:30
    profits now I don't think this is like
  • 00:24:32
    you know the specific definition of AGI
  • 00:24:34
    I think this is more like a corporate
  • 00:24:36
    cookie cutter term just to you know
  • 00:24:38
    please the individuals at Microsoft
  • 00:24:41
    because opening eyes deal with Microsoft
  • 00:24:42
    is you know it's kind of on Shaky Ground
  • 00:24:44
    based on all the things going on but you
  • 00:24:46
    know they're negotiating the agreement
  • 00:24:48
    and I think Microsoft of course wants of
  • 00:24:50
    course to retain control over some of
  • 00:24:53
    this AI stuff but it's going to be super
  • 00:24:55
    interesting to see where things head
  • 00:24:57
    with them because of course I think that
  • 00:25:00
    like a lot of people are starting to say
  • 00:25:02
    that you know you've compared Microsoft
  • 00:25:04
    and you've compared Google but Microsoft
  • 00:25:07
    doesn't have their own models so like
  • 00:25:09
    once Microsoft's contracts end with open
  • 00:25:11
    AI what are they really going to do as a
  • 00:25:14
    company and that is of course you know
  • 00:25:16
    something that brings us to the question
  • 00:25:17
    but it's not that crazy it's not that
  • 00:25:19
    big of a deal I'm sure they'll work out
  • 00:25:21
    some agreement and one of the last
  • 00:25:22
    stories we have here is actually super
  • 00:25:24
    interesting so so we actually have this
  • 00:25:26
    video of a humanoid robot released by by
  • 00:25:28
    matrix 1 and this one's rather
  • 00:25:30
    fascinating and maybe other companies
  • 00:25:32
    can take a leaf out of this book because
  • 00:25:34
    I'm more intrigued about this company
  • 00:25:36
    than I am any other company so this is a
  • 00:25:38
    company that I don't even know the name
  • 00:25:40
    of I'm I'm guessing it's called Matrix
  • 00:25:42
    and they've released this robot that
  • 00:25:43
    I've only seen one video on so the
  • 00:25:45
    captions you're seeing on screen I
  • 00:25:47
    didn't make those I just found this
  • 00:25:49
    video on Twitter I couldn't find the
  • 00:25:50
    original video I googled this robot
  • 00:25:53
    nothing has come up so far but the
  • 00:25:55
    technology in this robot does look
  • 00:25:57
    futuristic it does look really Advanced
  • 00:26:00
    I mean I haven't really seen any kind of
  • 00:26:02
    humanoid that looks like this I think
  • 00:26:04
    the last robot I saw that looks like
  • 00:26:05
    this mildly is the you know Honda Asimo
  • 00:26:09
    and that was over perhaps 20 years ago
  • 00:26:11
    but this robot right here it literally
  • 00:26:13
    looks like it's from the future and the
  • 00:26:16
    fingers look really flexible in fact if
  • 00:26:18
    I had to say it it kind of resembles
  • 00:26:20
    maybe an astronaut suit suit like the
  • 00:26:22
    SpaceX one but there isn't much to go
  • 00:26:24
    off here other than this looks really
  • 00:26:26
    effective I mean if this is able to do
  • 00:26:28
    some remarkable tasks it's going to
  • 00:26:30
    definitely feel like the future I do of
  • 00:26:32
    course wonder how much this kind of
  • 00:26:34
    product is going to cost but of course
  • 00:26:36
    you know you can keep up with the
  • 00:26:37
    progress with the account on Twitter
  • 00:26:39
    that manages to cover all of that stuff
  • 00:26:42
    at Cyber Robo as I will leave a link to
  • 00:26:44
    that stuff as well and hopefully you
  • 00:26:45
    guys have had an amazing week and
  • 00:26:46
    hopefully you guys have had an amazing
  • 00:26:48
    New Years as we go on into 2025
Tags
  • AI advancements
  • Robotics
  • 2025 predictions
  • Humanoid robots
  • Artificial super intelligence
  • OpenAI legal issues
  • Deep Seek V3
  • Google AI
  • Meta models
  • AGI