Japanese Candlesticks - You Need To Hear This
Zusammenfassung
TLDRIn this video, the presenter critiques the common reliance on Japanese candlestick patterns in Forex trading, claiming that they often do not provide reliable trading signals. He suggests that many traders have been led astray by the popularity of candlestick patterns and emphasizes the need for rigorous testing of trading strategies. By illustrating the shortcomings of candlestick patterns, the video encourages traders to explore alternative trading tools and make informed decisions rather than relying on hope or belief. The key message is to seek better, evidence-backed methods to enhance trading outcomes.
Mitbringsel
- 🚫 Avoid relying solely on Japanese candlestick patterns for Forex trading.
- 🔍 Conduct objective testing of your trading strategies.
- 📊 Understand the market dynamics and driving forces behind price movements.
- 💡 Explore alternative trading tools that may yield better results.
- 📈 Hope and belief are not valid trading strategies.
- 📝 Keep track of wins and losses to gain insights into strategy effectiveness.
- 🔄 Combine multiple strategies for more robust results.
- 🎯 Target your approach based on thorough backtesting and analysis.
- 🤔 Be cautious of popular opinions that lack empirical evidence.
- 🔑 Focus on improvement through diligent testing and adaptation.
Zeitleiste
- 00:00:00 - 00:05:00
The video begins with the speaker addressing viewers, particularly traders, about Japanese candlesticks and Fibonacci analysis. Acknowledging the popularity of Japanese candlesticks in Forex trading, the speaker emphasizes that this video is not for beginners looking to learn about trading with candlesticks. Instead, the focus will be on the limitations of candlesticks as a trading tool.
- 00:05:00 - 00:10:00
The speaker critiques the widespread use of Japanese candlestick patterns, stating that while they are simple to understand and visually appealing to traders, they ultimately do not provide reliable or accurate trading signals. This section lays the groundwork for the argument that traders often become entrenched in using tools that are popular but ineffective, leading to missed opportunities with better alternatives.
- 00:10:00 - 00:15:00
The historical context of Japanese candlestick trading is briefly explored, tracing it back to rice trading in Japan in the late 1800s. The speaker argues that the principles that made candlesticks useful in that market do not translate effectively to Forex trading, which differs fundamentally in terms of supply and demand dynamics. This segues into reinforcing the idea that candlesticks do not drive price movements in Forex.
- 00:15:00 - 00:20:00
The narrative explains how bank institutions ultimately dictate price movements in the Forex market, contrasting this with the simplistic interpretations traders often attribute to candlestick patterns. The speaker encourages viewers to understand that price action is more influenced by larger market forces and retail trader positioning than by candlestick formations.
- 00:20:00 - 00:25:00
Transitioning to practical advice, the speaker encourages viewers to conduct their own tests on the performance of candlestick patterns, such as hammers and dojis, rather than relying on anecdotal evidence. This section highlights the importance of empirical evidence over belief in the effectiveness of trading tools and urges traders to collect real data from their trading experiences to draw conclusions about their strategies' efficacy.
- 00:25:00 - 00:30:00
The speaker touches on common perceptions about the effectiveness of combining tools (like candlesticks with support/resistance or Fibonacci) and suggests that this approach can lead traders to feel successful without truly examining the quality of their methods. The message here is to critically assess the effectiveness of all tools used in trading, rather than assuming any combination will yield better results.
- 00:30:00 - 00:38:31
In conclusion, the speaker urges viewers to move away from reliance on Japanese candlestick patterns, advocating for a more research-driven and objective approach to Forex trading. The call to action encourages testing various trading tools and strategies thoroughly to discover truly effective methodologies in trading. This appeals to a larger quest for improvement among traders, suggesting that meaningful conversions away from popular but ineffective tools are possible.
Mind Map
Video-Fragen und Antworten
What are Japanese candlesticks?
Japanese candlesticks are a charting method used in trading to display price movements.
Why should I avoid using Japanese candlestick patterns in Forex?
The presenter argues that they are often misleading and don't consistently yield profitable outcomes.
What should traders focus on instead of candlestick patterns?
Traders should focus on understanding the driving forces behind price movements, such as institutional trading.
How can I test my trading strategies?
Select a currency pair and timeframe, then track the outcomes of trades based on your strategy over a significant sample size.
Does the presenter believe in the effectiveness of other trading tools?
Yes, the presenter believes there are more effective tools available that traders should explore.
What is the main takeaway from the video?
Traders should not rely on Japanese candlestick patterns and should conduct thorough testing of their strategies instead.
Is the presenter against all forms of candlestick charting?
No, he does not oppose candlestick charts but emphasizes that their patterns should not be relied upon for trading decisions.
What is the nature of the arguments from the 'naysayers'?
They typically defend the use of Japanese candlestick patterns and argue for their effectiveness based on personal experience.
What is the overall stance of the video?
The presenter strongly discourages reliance on Japanese candlestick patterns and encourages objective testing of trading tools.
How can traders improve their results?
By rigorously testing their strategies and seeking out better trading tools.
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- 00:00:00well traders I'm pretty excited this
- 00:00:02video will go a long way in determining
- 00:00:05when it's all said and done which group
- 00:00:07of people will I end up upsetting more
- 00:00:10of the Japanese candlestick crowd or the
- 00:00:13fibonacci crowd let's find out so after
- 00:00:28over 100 videos we have barely barely
- 00:00:30talked about Japanese candlesticks and
- 00:00:34I'll go ahead and just say this now if
- 00:00:36there are any of you out there who are
- 00:00:38brand new forex traders and looking for
- 00:00:42a video to help you learn how to trade
- 00:00:44with Japanese candlesticks
- 00:00:46you are at the wrong video he might as
- 00:00:49well go ahead and hit the back button
- 00:00:50now but good news is every other video
- 00:00:54about Japanese candlesticks is there for
- 00:00:56that purpose to tell you how great they
- 00:00:59are and to show you how to use them
- 00:01:01Forex video creators all over the world
- 00:01:03know that if they put out a video
- 00:01:07showing you how easy it is to trade with
- 00:01:11a very simple candlestick or candlestick
- 00:01:14pattern they can get a lot of views
- 00:01:16because people are very interested this
- 00:01:19is a really popular topic and they're
- 00:01:22not hard to use at all compared to a lot
- 00:01:24of tools out there and so for that
- 00:01:26reason that explains their popularity
- 00:01:28but as many of my subscribers know as
- 00:01:31soon as you hear the word popular
- 00:01:33attached to a Forex tool what does that
- 00:01:36typically mean it means you and I need
- 00:01:39to have a talk about this and in this
- 00:01:41video we're going to a quick intro let
- 00:01:43me just go ahead and clarify things
- 00:01:46again by saying this has nothing to do
- 00:01:48with you putting up a candlestick chart
- 00:01:51or a bar chart or a line chart anything
- 00:01:54like that up on your screen this is the
- 00:01:57art I guess of using one two or three
- 00:02:01Japanese candlesticks in combination to
- 00:02:04determine where price is going to go
- 00:02:07next that's what this is all about and
- 00:02:10I'm gonna do a really quick introduction
- 00:02:11we're actually going to do something we
- 00:02:13never
- 00:02:13to here and go over a bit of the history
- 00:02:16behind this now the history is typically
- 00:02:19completely irrelevant to us in the end
- 00:02:21we just want to know how to win you know
- 00:02:22history and who created it and all that
- 00:02:24nonsense that's not what we care about
- 00:02:25but I think the history can actually tie
- 00:02:29in to my main point and my main point is
- 00:02:32that these things are just completely
- 00:02:34irrelevant for forex trading they can't
- 00:02:37help you they can't hurt you they're
- 00:02:39just one big ball of nothing and so many
- 00:02:43forex traders get stuck using these
- 00:02:47things when there are so many other
- 00:02:49better options out there but they're
- 00:02:51never gonna find out what these things
- 00:02:52are because they're so stuck in Japanese
- 00:02:55candlestick land and we're gonna go over
- 00:02:56the reasons why I think this is and this
- 00:03:00is really important
- 00:03:01traders if any of you out there are
- 00:03:03stuck in this trap or just don't realize
- 00:03:06that you are there's not gonna be any
- 00:03:07other material out there talking about
- 00:03:09this so we need to kind of dig into the
- 00:03:13reasons why people get lured into this
- 00:03:16trap and refuse to leave because there
- 00:03:19are a lot of you out there right now who
- 00:03:20are there and you're super happy about
- 00:03:22it and you don't want to leave there are
- 00:03:25plenty of naysayers out there they're
- 00:03:28gonna watch this video and no matter
- 00:03:29what I say they're not gonna change
- 00:03:31their mind and that's fine but I will
- 00:03:34address you all towards the end I have
- 00:03:38something to say specifically to the
- 00:03:40people who are fully entrenched in the
- 00:03:42Japanese candlestick camp and are just
- 00:03:44waiting to sit here and argue with me
- 00:03:45and look that's fine this is the role
- 00:03:48that I chose to take on when there are
- 00:03:50no other videos or websites or anything
- 00:03:53out there telling you not to use tools
- 00:03:56like this or support and resistance
- 00:03:58lines and things that everybody really
- 00:03:59likes pretty much all of the negative
- 00:04:02energy and all the smoke is going to
- 00:04:04come one way and that's over here that's
- 00:04:06so I'm used to it
- 00:04:07but I've also learned that most of these
- 00:04:09arguments are pretty similar to each
- 00:04:11other and so I want to get ahead of this
- 00:04:12a little bit and I want to extend a bit
- 00:04:15of an olive branch not really kind of
- 00:04:18you'll just have to see but naysayers
- 00:04:19stick around for that
- 00:04:21so moving on the only other time I think
- 00:04:25you really heard
- 00:04:26mentioned Japanese candlesticks at all
- 00:04:28was in the dirty dozen video this is one
- 00:04:30of my most popular videos feel free to
- 00:04:32go check that out but I talked about
- 00:04:34twelve forex trading tools that you
- 00:04:37should never ever use now the
- 00:04:40interesting part about that is whether
- 00:04:42you agreed or disagreed with me about
- 00:04:45these tools a lot of people all of a
- 00:04:48sudden thought they were a genius and
- 00:04:50just said okay well you know if these
- 00:04:52tools are so bad I'll just use them but
- 00:04:56I'll take the opposite side of the trade
- 00:04:59that I was going to go with price can
- 00:05:01only go up or down so if one of these
- 00:05:03horrible tools tells me that price is
- 00:05:06going down well I'm just gonna go long
- 00:05:08and I'm gonna be rich but therein lies
- 00:05:11the problem is that the tools I
- 00:05:15mentioned in the Dirty Dozen video are
- 00:05:17so unhelpful that you can't even do that
- 00:05:20these things pretty much work about as
- 00:05:24close to a 50/50 win-loss rate as you're
- 00:05:26ever going to find
- 00:05:27so unfortunately simply fading them is
- 00:05:30not the answer it'd be great if it was
- 00:05:31but just unfortunately it's not there is
- 00:05:35rarely ever a tool that you're gonna
- 00:05:37find that works so poorly than just by
- 00:05:40simply doing the opposite you're gonna
- 00:05:41achieve good results they do exist I
- 00:05:44spoke about one few weeks ago if you're
- 00:05:47gonna go check out that video I did find
- 00:05:49a way to use that for the opposite
- 00:05:51reasons it was intended to be used and
- 00:05:53achieved particular certain
- 00:05:55circumstances so mark that one down if
- 00:05:58you haven't seen it before that's
- 00:05:59something you're gonna want to watch but
- 00:06:01the main objective of the Dirty Dozen
- 00:06:02video is to highlight tools that don't
- 00:06:04necessarily just work really poorly but
- 00:06:06just flat-out don't work at all and
- 00:06:08Japanese candlesticks fall into that
- 00:06:11category so like I said I don't care
- 00:06:13what type of chart you have up on your
- 00:06:15screen we're talking about using things
- 00:06:17like this now when I bought when I blew
- 00:06:20up this picture it became very hard to
- 00:06:21read but you guys recognized most of
- 00:06:24these you got your dough DS up here that
- 00:06:26are more your single candle indicators
- 00:06:28and then like a three candle pattern
- 00:06:31like a morning star which would indicate
- 00:06:33bullish movements so you have you have
- 00:06:37reversal patterns you have continuation
- 00:06:39pattern
- 00:06:40you got a little bit of everything on
- 00:06:41here and this is really easy for traders
- 00:06:45because these are not hard to figure out
- 00:06:48once you are able to learn about them
- 00:06:51and see them enough times chances are
- 00:06:55you're not going to miss them when they
- 00:06:56come up and that's good for traders
- 00:06:59because that does take quite a bit of
- 00:07:01guesswork out of the equation and we
- 00:07:03talked about guesswork before support
- 00:07:05and resistance lines and Fibonacci and
- 00:07:07things like that have a lot of guesswork
- 00:07:09attached which line am I supposed to use
- 00:07:12am I supposed to play price to bounce
- 00:07:16off of it or break through it you know a
- 00:07:18lot of unanswered questions go along
- 00:07:20with tools like that but with Japanese
- 00:07:21candlesticks it's pretty obvious what
- 00:07:24they're telling you to do and that is
- 00:07:27one of the reasons that I think that
- 00:07:30their appeal is so high but as I said
- 00:07:32before the problem is they're just not
- 00:07:34correct often enough so let's dig into
- 00:07:38the history a little bit and then I'll
- 00:07:40tell you the reason why I think this is
- 00:07:43so these were pretty much invented to
- 00:07:47help determine the future price of rice
- 00:07:51in Japan in the late 1800s so the way it
- 00:07:56goes is it was credited to a man named
- 00:07:59Munna he saw Houma and he was a rice
- 00:08:02trader and so it's to your benefit to
- 00:08:05find out if the price of rice is going
- 00:08:07to be cheaper or more expensive tomorrow
- 00:08:09that's going to determine a lot in what
- 00:08:12you do today
- 00:08:13so he created the system so we think it
- 00:08:17might have come later by somebody else
- 00:08:19but it doesn't really matter a guy named
- 00:08:21Steve nice and wrote a book about it and
- 00:08:22he's the one that pretty much took this
- 00:08:24technique and brought it over to what
- 00:08:28was at the time modern-day investing and
- 00:08:29at the time modern-day investing was
- 00:08:34stock trading remember spot forex the
- 00:08:37market we trade as we know it did not
- 00:08:39come around until 1996 so the main
- 00:08:42things people traded for a very very
- 00:08:43long time were things like stocks and
- 00:08:45commodities now here's the thing about
- 00:08:48that things like stocks and commodities
- 00:08:52the prices of
- 00:08:54and whether they go up or down are based
- 00:08:56on supply and demand just like rice was
- 00:09:00back in late 1800s Japan if a bunch more
- 00:09:04people were wanting rice but there was
- 00:09:06only so much to go around or whether was
- 00:09:09bad and there was less to go around when
- 00:09:11that price is gonna go up because of
- 00:09:12that and then vice versa that's how
- 00:09:15supply and demand works in everything
- 00:09:16now I am NOT a stock trader I'm hoping
- 00:09:21to get into that down the road but I'm
- 00:09:24sure it probably had a place in stock
- 00:09:27trading maybe it works really well over
- 00:09:28there I don't know but what I do know is
- 00:09:31it doesn't work in forex trading because
- 00:09:34forex trading is not based on supply and
- 00:09:37demand demand is there but supply is
- 00:09:41irrelevant
- 00:09:42alright for us spot forex traders we if
- 00:09:47we want United States dollars if we want
- 00:09:49British pounds if we want Kiwi dollars
- 00:09:52they will always be there for us to have
- 00:09:54if we want them they aren't going to run
- 00:09:57out supply is not really a thing in our
- 00:10:01market if it was then great things would
- 00:10:04move very similar to stocks and
- 00:10:05commodities and you know rice back in
- 00:10:08the day but it doesn't the way our
- 00:10:11market moves is not based on things like
- 00:10:13this so the tools you use for things
- 00:10:16like this just don't apply to our market
- 00:10:21fans of this channel you know what moves
- 00:10:24price up and down correct for those of
- 00:10:28you who don't it's the big banks now
- 00:10:30this is my most popular video on my
- 00:10:32entire channel you can go watch this one
- 00:10:33as well if you want and there are many
- 00:10:35reasons why I think this is my most
- 00:10:36popular video by far but I think one of
- 00:10:39the biggest takeaways was how people
- 00:10:42really did think that you know certain
- 00:10:46shapes or candlestick patterns or
- 00:10:50horizontal lines on a screen were the
- 00:10:52things that were actually responsible
- 00:10:54for price going up and down and after
- 00:10:57they watched this video they got their
- 00:10:59answer you have very large banks and
- 00:11:01institutions that pretty much have free
- 00:11:04rein and they also have the resources
- 00:11:07to take price wherever they want now
- 00:11:09what motivates them to take price up and
- 00:11:11down is where US retail traders are
- 00:11:14sitting if the majority retail traders
- 00:11:17are going one way these banks will
- 00:11:18simply take the price of that particular
- 00:11:20currency down until retail traders give
- 00:11:24up reverse course and then the big banks
- 00:11:26will do the same
- 00:11:27now this seemed a little hard to believe
- 00:11:29at first until I pulled out the tools
- 00:11:31that pretty much proved my case at the
- 00:11:33end and then that was the real
- 00:11:36jaw-dropping aha moment for most traders
- 00:11:39but it turned out to be a really good
- 00:11:41thing because once you learn what
- 00:11:44actually moves price up and down you no
- 00:11:46longer sit there and have this mindset
- 00:11:48that certain breaks and rebounds off of
- 00:11:52lines on your screen are the things that
- 00:11:55caused the movement one way or another
- 00:11:58so if for example you ran into a hammer
- 00:12:02or hanging man which no matter when you
- 00:12:06see these things or where you see these
- 00:12:09things they both indicate reversals are
- 00:12:11imminent so if you see these things and
- 00:12:14price actually did go the other way you
- 00:12:18would be inclined to think that the
- 00:12:21hammer was the reason why when the real
- 00:12:24reasoning the whole time was whether
- 00:12:26price actually did reverse or didn't
- 00:12:29reverse and just kept going the hammer
- 00:12:31or the hanging man or the Morningstar or
- 00:12:33any of those things had nothing to do
- 00:12:36with it but so many of you over time and
- 00:12:40this isn't really your fault this is
- 00:12:42just because of what's out there you
- 00:12:43know I don't blame you guys for thinking
- 00:12:45this way but so many of you got so
- 00:12:47indoctrinated with these things and all
- 00:12:49these people did will show you all these
- 00:12:53instances where these tools worked
- 00:12:55amazingly because it's in their best
- 00:12:57interest to do that that you completely
- 00:12:59drank the kool-aid and you only trained
- 00:13:03your eyes to look for instances where
- 00:13:07this was successful and you conveniently
- 00:13:10ignored the times where it didn't work
- 00:13:12at all and even if that's not true even
- 00:13:15if you were objective enough to see the
- 00:13:19times where they
- 00:13:20and when they lost you are probably a
- 00:13:23lot more supportive of the winds and
- 00:13:25more dismissive of the losses because at
- 00:13:30the end of the day we just want to
- 00:13:31believe I mean how great would it be if
- 00:13:34these things actually did what they were
- 00:13:35supposed to do way more often than they
- 00:13:38didn't that'd be awesome
- 00:13:39so we believed and we didn't really test
- 00:13:44these out the way we're supposed to
- 00:13:45instead we just kind of hoped that they
- 00:13:49would carry us through to the end and
- 00:13:51when it was all said and done they
- 00:13:53didn't do that if you guys all became
- 00:13:56millionaires or professional forex
- 00:13:58traders by using Japanese candlesticks
- 00:13:59you probably would not be here right now
- 00:14:01chances are these things have yet to pan
- 00:14:04out the way you want them to and the
- 00:14:06reason why is because things like belief
- 00:14:09and hope are not an actual strategy and
- 00:14:13to form an actual strategy you need real
- 00:14:16numbers and real evidence behind what
- 00:14:19you are putting together all right so I
- 00:14:22proposed this to you all right this is
- 00:14:25gonna take a little bit of work but as
- 00:14:27people who subscribe to this channel can
- 00:14:30attest it's not an overwhelming amount
- 00:14:32of work and the results you get in
- 00:14:36return for just a moderate amount of
- 00:14:38work are absolutely life-changing at
- 00:14:42best and a marked improvement probably
- 00:14:45at the very worst hoping and believing
- 00:14:47gets you nowhere putting in the work and
- 00:14:51finding out if these things actually do
- 00:14:53what they say they're going to do is the
- 00:14:55only way to know for sure so for example
- 00:14:59now take any random time frame random
- 00:15:03currency pair out there put it up on
- 00:15:06your screen and say let's let's just say
- 00:15:08for the pound dollar I'm gonna go to the
- 00:15:10daily chart and I'm gonna take a
- 00:15:11one-year sample size all right then take
- 00:15:16take the hammers in the hanging men
- 00:15:17because they're really easy to see
- 00:15:18they're a lot easier to determine then
- 00:15:20maybe a two or three candle pattern
- 00:15:22would be so since they're so easy and
- 00:15:24people think they work so well count
- 00:15:27them and off to the side on a
- 00:15:29spreadsheet or a piece of paper you if
- 00:15:33have a money management strategy in
- 00:15:34place and I hope you do if you don't man
- 00:15:36it doesn't matter what you do and if you
- 00:15:38need one I have a video on that I will
- 00:15:40link that below but have that ready and
- 00:15:42then enter a trade every single time a
- 00:15:48hammer or hanging man or gravestone you
- 00:15:52know they're all they're all kind of
- 00:15:53that same family every time one of those
- 00:15:55things presents itself and see how many
- 00:15:57times it would have made you pips and
- 00:15:59see how many times it would not have and
- 00:16:01then once you have done that you're not
- 00:16:04done don't get too married to the idea
- 00:16:07of the results you just got because
- 00:16:09you're gonna have to do this more often
- 00:16:11you do not have a good sample size in
- 00:16:13front of you at all you need to keep
- 00:16:15doing this in different places how many
- 00:16:17times I don't know maybe 10 15 times I
- 00:16:20mean I can tell you this right now the
- 00:16:22reason why we're not going to my charts
- 00:16:23right now is because on most of these
- 00:16:24charts you're not gonna get a whole lot
- 00:16:26of examples these things don't pop up a
- 00:16:27whole lot which is kind of good because
- 00:16:30it's not gonna take you a very long time
- 00:16:32to do this little experiment but you're
- 00:16:34gonna find out one of two things either
- 00:16:36I am wrong and these things work
- 00:16:40amazingly and you need to go all-in on
- 00:16:42things like hammers and hanging mint and
- 00:16:45if that's the case hey great I'm glad I
- 00:16:47was of help here I just want everybody
- 00:16:50to win I mean I have my own opinions on
- 00:16:52which path to take for sure but if I
- 00:16:55helped you get there and the opposite
- 00:16:56way I intended at least I helped you
- 00:16:57help you get there I'm happy to help or
- 00:17:00you're gonna find out that everything
- 00:17:02you thought you knew about these things
- 00:17:05once you actually put pen to paper and
- 00:17:07really start to test these things out
- 00:17:08was completely wrong and the odds are
- 00:17:12heavily in favor of that happening I
- 00:17:14mean if you're completely objective here
- 00:17:16but when this is all said and done this
- 00:17:19is a huge accomplishment for you because
- 00:17:22you just did and you just finished doing
- 00:17:27something that almost nobody ever
- 00:17:30bothers to do what people almost always
- 00:17:34do because people are lazy and they just
- 00:17:36want to hope and they just want to
- 00:17:37believe and they think that's a good way
- 00:17:38to go is like I just said before they
- 00:17:41only pay attach the times they win
- 00:17:43because they're so easy to see I mean
- 00:17:45these hammers for example
- 00:17:47it usually swing highs and swing lows
- 00:17:49and those are super easy to see so we
- 00:17:51get all excited and then if they happen
- 00:17:53right in the middle of a trend and they
- 00:17:56don't work those are not the easiest
- 00:17:59things to see and if we do happen to see
- 00:18:01him then we just kind of you know
- 00:18:02explain it away or we don't count it as
- 00:18:06an actual loss you know we don't do this
- 00:18:08the right way we don't throw any real
- 00:18:10objectivity at this but there is a
- 00:18:12reason why this happened in the first
- 00:18:16place and even though I have touched on
- 00:18:19all these pretty much already in this
- 00:18:22video we need to go over them again
- 00:18:24because I think we can all admit one at
- 00:18:29least one of these things if not more
- 00:18:30have happened to us in the past so first
- 00:18:32off there is worldwide support for these
- 00:18:34things I'm not honestly I got to be the
- 00:18:36first person up here telling you not to
- 00:18:38use them if there's other videos and
- 00:18:39websites out there that's fine I figure
- 00:18:41there has to be at least one or two but
- 00:18:42I do my research on these things before
- 00:18:45I make these videos I did not find one
- 00:18:47so we can pretty much say with
- 00:18:49confidence that all you have heard all
- 00:18:52of the inputs going into your ears and
- 00:18:54your brain was nothing but overwhelming
- 00:18:56support for these patterns so why
- 00:18:58wouldn't you use them why would you ever
- 00:19:01decide to rally against them even if
- 00:19:04they're not working out well for you you
- 00:19:05know the whole world all these people
- 00:19:07with videos and Twitter feeds and stuff
- 00:19:10like that have a bunch of followers they
- 00:19:12got know what they're talking about
- 00:19:12right and if this is just what we see
- 00:19:15over and over again you can't expect us
- 00:19:17to think otherwise I get it but for some
- 00:19:19reason people just don't do the math
- 00:19:22here they don't run those little tests I
- 00:19:24just showed you how to do and they also
- 00:19:27don't make the connection that I've
- 00:19:28talked about in the past how you know if
- 00:19:31there's maybe one or two other videos
- 00:19:32out there denouncing Japanese
- 00:19:34candlesticks that's fine but the end of
- 00:19:36the day the amount of videos supporting
- 00:19:38them compared to the ones that don't
- 00:19:41support them have got to be 99% there
- 00:19:43are far more like closer to 100 percent
- 00:19:46than 99 and you've got to be really
- 00:19:49careful when you see something like that
- 00:19:51because the other stat that is probably
- 00:19:56very close to ninety nine point five
- 00:19:59nine
- 00:20:00in something higher than that most
- 00:20:02likely percentage-wise are the amount of
- 00:20:05spot forex traders that never get to
- 00:20:08where they want to be if you if you take
- 00:20:11the forex traders that have really
- 00:20:12achieved their goals of becoming a
- 00:20:14professional or are trading somebody
- 00:20:17else's money in some other capacity or
- 00:20:20doing really well selling signals or
- 00:20:23working for a hedge fund or have saved
- 00:20:27enough to supplement their retirement
- 00:20:29you know whatever your initial goal was
- 00:20:30everybody has one when they first start
- 00:20:32trading this market and if you take all
- 00:20:35of the people who have fulfilled that
- 00:20:37goal all right I would be willing to bet
- 00:20:40really good money that those select few
- 00:20:44people make up a fraction of one percent
- 00:20:49of the entire amount of spot forex
- 00:20:52traders in the world right now so when
- 00:20:54you hear me refer to the 99 percent
- 00:20:56that's what I'm referring to
- 00:20:59all right so we have over 99 percent of
- 00:21:03the people on any kind of social media
- 00:21:07or websites supporting Japanese
- 00:21:10candlesticks and then you also have over
- 00:21:1399 percent of people that don't get to
- 00:21:16where they want to be in their forex
- 00:21:17trading and nobody ever seems to draw
- 00:21:21any parallels between those two wouldn't
- 00:21:26it be a lot wiser to say hey I don't
- 00:21:29want to do any of the things these
- 00:21:31people do I don't want to support any of
- 00:21:33the things these people support because
- 00:21:36in doing so my chances go way up but
- 00:21:39somehow people just don't put two and
- 00:21:41two together here alright so those are
- 00:21:44the two main reasons I think and then
- 00:21:46the other two reasons we already talked
- 00:21:47about is how easy these little patterns
- 00:21:50and candlesticks are to spot and because
- 00:21:52of that the winds just by nature of you
- 00:21:55know how they operate are very easy to
- 00:21:57see and the losses are not so easy to
- 00:21:59see and a lot of times if we're able to
- 00:22:02see them we just don't want to so if you
- 00:22:04have traded Japanese candlesticks and
- 00:22:07have not gotten the results that you
- 00:22:09wanted with them
- 00:22:12these four reasons one of them probably
- 00:22:14applies to you and there just hasn't
- 00:22:17been anybody around to really form a
- 00:22:20semi logical argument as to why these
- 00:22:24things underperform but now that we have
- 00:22:28gone over all of those things I hope it
- 00:22:31resonates with you I hope it inspires
- 00:22:32you to make improvements on your trading
- 00:22:35right now whatever those improvements
- 00:22:37are but above anything really I hope it
- 00:22:40inspires you to actually take what you
- 00:22:42are using and objectively test them out
- 00:22:46because I can tell you almost for a fact
- 00:22:50that the naysayers don't and if for some
- 00:22:53reason they have they haven't done
- 00:22:55enough now I normally give this guy a
- 00:22:58voice and it's normally a voice in a
- 00:23:00very mocking tone but I'm gonna forego
- 00:23:01that this time but the arguments that I
- 00:23:04know are coming is how there are these
- 00:23:08patterns that you know I haven't talked
- 00:23:11about I haven't mentioned and they're
- 00:23:13actually really really good and this
- 00:23:15video sucks because I didn't mention the
- 00:23:18one that they like in my response to
- 00:23:20that always is okay I could go over the
- 00:23:23one you like I could go over all of them
- 00:23:26in existence and test them out on my
- 00:23:29charts but this video would take a month
- 00:23:32and I don't know if YouTube even allows
- 00:23:34that so we're gonna keep things simple
- 00:23:36but on top of that I get the argument
- 00:23:39saying well you can't just use them on
- 00:23:41their own VP you got to combine them
- 00:23:43with support and resistance lines or
- 00:23:45with Fibonacci or with the RSI and then
- 00:23:50that's where you get the really good
- 00:23:52results and then sometimes I'll say I'll
- 00:23:55see on my comments section well I have
- 00:23:57really good results with hammers and
- 00:23:59then they'll just put a period at the
- 00:24:01end of that sentence okay
- 00:24:02let's talk about this so all the
- 00:24:04naysayers out there let me tell you what
- 00:24:07most traders do including probably
- 00:24:11yourselves if this strikes a nerve it's
- 00:24:14because it's supposed to we're going to
- 00:24:17try our best to improve on what we have
- 00:24:19okay just remember that I think most
- 00:24:22people the way it all began was they
- 00:24:25just fall for
- 00:24:26what they see on websites and Forex
- 00:24:27Twitter because these people know more
- 00:24:29than you do or at least when you were
- 00:24:31starting out they did right and they
- 00:24:33have a bunch of followers and they
- 00:24:34didn't get those followers by mistake
- 00:24:35they must be doing something right they
- 00:24:38must know what actually works I'm going
- 00:24:40to listen to them take the tools they
- 00:24:43recommend and go run with it and so
- 00:24:46that's how it starts
- 00:24:47and then later you learn that by
- 00:24:49combining these tools you can get better
- 00:24:51results and this is actually correct you
- 00:24:55will get better results combining three
- 00:24:57tools that don't work very well then you
- 00:24:59will just using one of them on its own
- 00:25:02this is the case pretty much all across
- 00:25:04the board if you know what you're doing
- 00:25:06but I'm going to offer an alternative in
- 00:25:09the next slide I don't wanna get too
- 00:25:10ahead of myself but I love it when
- 00:25:12people think they struck gold just
- 00:25:13because they combine Japanese
- 00:25:15candlesticks with support and resistance
- 00:25:17with the RSI as if there was no possible
- 00:25:21better route to take but we'll talk
- 00:25:24about that and then what happens so
- 00:25:28often because nobody wants to actually
- 00:25:29put in the work nobody wants to know for
- 00:25:32sure how these things actually work
- 00:25:34because they're so high on hoping and
- 00:25:37believing that they don't want to put in
- 00:25:39the work to see the real results you
- 00:25:42need to Baptist traders if you have
- 00:25:43something you're considering using or
- 00:25:45something you're using right now and
- 00:25:47it's never been fully tested like
- 00:25:50meticulously with an actual structure
- 00:25:53and a process I have old podcast
- 00:25:56episodes that explain blogs that explain
- 00:25:59how to do this I actually will put those
- 00:26:01down below in the description there's
- 00:26:03one on how to do with just one tool and
- 00:26:05I have another that shows you how to do
- 00:26:08it with an entire system that you're
- 00:26:10trading but until you've done that
- 00:26:12and then you've actually forward tested
- 00:26:14it as well and that's another podcast
- 00:26:15episode but until you've done those
- 00:26:16things you don't actually know what you
- 00:26:19have you don't have real hardcore
- 00:26:21evidence in front of you you might have
- 00:26:24your own account in front of you that
- 00:26:26can tell you something but you don't
- 00:26:29know if those wins and losses are due to
- 00:26:32the entry system you put together
- 00:26:33whether those things are due to money
- 00:26:36management or just overall bad trade
- 00:26:39psychology or the news keeps getting in
- 00:26:42your way if you don't learn to put real
- 00:26:44numbers and evidence behind these things
- 00:26:46you're gonna have no idea a where the
- 00:26:49problem is and B what are the major
- 00:26:52areas you can improve and if you don't
- 00:26:54know these things how can you ever
- 00:26:55expect to get better this is how people
- 00:26:58go from break-even or losing traders to
- 00:27:01profitable traders over time you have to
- 00:27:03take an intelligent approach that
- 00:27:05involves some work behind it it's the
- 00:27:06only way to get there that's why I
- 00:27:08laughs I'm gonna have people I know that
- 00:27:09come in and say hey you're full of it VP
- 00:27:11I'm making 80% return this year just by
- 00:27:14trading doji's and I'm gonna know in the
- 00:27:16back of my head that that guy is
- 00:27:17completely screwed going forward because
- 00:27:19one he'll never repeat that because the
- 00:27:21only reason he's even there is because
- 00:27:23of completely reckless money management
- 00:27:25and two it's also probably has nothing
- 00:27:28to do with the doji's but these are the
- 00:27:30types of arguments I get when I do
- 00:27:31videos like this and these are the main
- 00:27:34reasons why and I want to offer
- 00:27:36solutions to these problems and the last
- 00:27:39two I think we've already talked about
- 00:27:41you get too attached to the wins and
- 00:27:42overlooked the losses I say this because
- 00:27:44we've all done it I think we're all
- 00:27:46guilty of this so I'm gonna I'm gonna
- 00:27:48keep repeating it just because we need
- 00:27:50to learn to not do this this is absolute
- 00:27:54death this is trading on hope and belief
- 00:27:57and hope and belief or not strategies as
- 00:28:00a result you know most traders
- 00:28:01especially my naysayers never get where
- 00:28:04they want to be if only we could put our
- 00:28:07differences aside and you could start
- 00:28:08watching my videos in the proper order
- 00:28:10I'm gonna put the beginners video down
- 00:28:11in the description as well whether
- 00:28:12you're beginner or not that's the video
- 00:28:14you want to start with if you want a
- 00:28:15good roadmap I am happy to help you out
- 00:28:18in any way because I have helped many if
- 00:28:22you go and look in the comments section
- 00:28:24of the majority of my videos and if you
- 00:28:27look at a lot of the tweets I get you
- 00:28:29will see people who say that VP your
- 00:28:34channel has completely reversed my
- 00:28:37trading for the better
- 00:28:39I wasn't profitable before I was
- 00:28:41breakeven been doing this five 10 20
- 00:28:45years never quite got to where I wanted
- 00:28:48to until your channel camera and this is
- 00:28:51like this is the
- 00:28:52to complement I can ever get it's
- 00:28:54amazing what this channel can do for you
- 00:28:56I look at my competitions comments and
- 00:28:59there's a lot of really good positive
- 00:29:00comments but they normally say things
- 00:29:02like hey you explained that really well
- 00:29:03hey great video hey good description but
- 00:29:07I don't often see any place saying that
- 00:29:10hey your channel was responsible for
- 00:29:13turning my trading around and this
- 00:29:16channel has really only been around for
- 00:29:18about a year and a half so we are
- 00:29:21getting a lemon unless everybody's just
- 00:29:23completely lying to me which I doubt we
- 00:29:25are getting results here right away so
- 00:29:28you probably want to do what the
- 00:29:31no-nonsense forex traders are doing and
- 00:29:33here's what they do instead they find
- 00:29:36something I want to test whether it's a
- 00:29:39price action tool and indicator whatever
- 00:29:40it is and they back tested properly
- 00:29:42we've talked about that and I have all
- 00:29:44the material you'll ever need in terms
- 00:29:46of how to do that properly and as
- 00:29:48efficiently as I can possibly think of
- 00:29:50then after they've done that and they
- 00:29:54find something good
- 00:29:55they don't just stop they keep going
- 00:29:58they measured against other tools you
- 00:30:01can't sit there and say that this
- 00:30:02indicator of this tool is the best
- 00:30:04around if you haven't even bothered to
- 00:30:06measure it against other tools anybody
- 00:30:10that comes on my channel and says things
- 00:30:12like Japanese candlesticks are the best
- 00:30:13way to go or support and resistance
- 00:30:15lines and the RSI or are the only things
- 00:30:18you'll ever need to make money in this
- 00:30:19market these people are unintelligent
- 00:30:22lazy people you know how I know this
- 00:30:25because they're either doing one of two
- 00:30:27things
- 00:30:28they are either just parroting what
- 00:30:31somebody else said that they respect or
- 00:30:34they're getting decent result with these
- 00:30:36tools early on but and they never ever
- 00:30:39bothered to a measure it the right way
- 00:30:43be measured against literally anything
- 00:30:46else forex trading takes a lot of
- 00:30:49initiative and learning and work and it
- 00:30:52just amazes me that there are so many
- 00:30:54traders out there that just don't take
- 00:30:57it a step further out of the tens of
- 00:31:00thousands of tools and indicators that
- 00:31:02are out there they find one or two and
- 00:31:05then they just
- 00:31:05stop the hell's that whether you love me
- 00:31:08or hate me you owe it to yourself to
- 00:31:11find the best technical tools out there
- 00:31:14to help you make the most money possible
- 00:31:17why on earth would you do anything short
- 00:31:19of that because once you have put in the
- 00:31:22time and so a lot of my followers were
- 00:31:25hesitant to do this at first but they
- 00:31:27went ahead and did it and something
- 00:31:29really great happens when you finally do
- 00:31:31discover those really great tools you
- 00:31:34can actually put those tools together
- 00:31:36instead of putting shitty tools together
- 00:31:39and the results can be nothing short of
- 00:31:44extraordinary if a combination of
- 00:31:46Japanese candlesticks the RSI and
- 00:31:49Fibonacci is working really well for you
- 00:31:51right now just imagine what you could do
- 00:31:54if you found a few tools that all
- 00:31:58absolutely outperform what you're using
- 00:32:02right now and then put those tools
- 00:32:05together they're out there they exist
- 00:32:09I'm not going to tell you exactly what
- 00:32:11they are but my traders found them and
- 00:32:14it didn't take them that long to do it
- 00:32:16and I'm gonna also link a video down
- 00:32:18below called trend indicators to show
- 00:32:19you you know what will make the process
- 00:32:21easier back look this is pretty much
- 00:32:25what you're looking for you can dismiss
- 00:32:27everything else and in doing so your
- 00:32:30search is going to go a lot faster so
- 00:32:32are you searching for needles in a
- 00:32:33haystack here yes do I do everything I
- 00:32:36can to make this process go a lot
- 00:32:38smoother and make the haystack smaller
- 00:32:40and the needle bigger yes but until you
- 00:32:44have actually done this you cannot sit
- 00:32:46there and say that your way is the best
- 00:32:48way and I guarantee you none of you
- 00:32:50naysayers have done this but again put
- 00:32:53your ego down and understand that you
- 00:32:55owe it to yourself to at least give this
- 00:32:58a try because the success rate for
- 00:33:01people who actually do this is off the
- 00:33:03charts I have yet to have one person
- 00:33:07come to me and say you know what I
- 00:33:09really gave your way a try I put in you
- 00:33:12know hours and hours and hours with the
- 00:33:14work finding indicators testing them
- 00:33:16putting them together using your money
- 00:33:18management's
- 00:33:19strategies and in the end it's it just
- 00:33:22didn't give me the results that I got by
- 00:33:23using support and resistance lines these
- 00:33:25words or anything like those words have
- 00:33:28never been spoken to me and this is a
- 00:33:30great feeling but it's so hard to talk
- 00:33:33people who aren't so entrenched into
- 00:33:35these dirty dozen camps into trading our
- 00:33:37way because they have just been
- 00:33:38indoctrinated to do things their way for
- 00:33:41so long so if you are interested and
- 00:33:44you'd like to come over to our side just
- 00:33:46to see what it's like all right here's
- 00:33:48what I'd like you to do I have all the
- 00:33:49material you're really gonna need as far
- 00:33:51as how to guide your way around this
- 00:33:53channel down below in the description
- 00:33:54but start by you know if you're in the
- 00:33:56Japanese candlestick crowd take your
- 00:33:59favorite combination take your favorite
- 00:34:01single candlestick whatever it is that
- 00:34:03you like the best and test it and be
- 00:34:08100% honest you're not gonna want to be
- 00:34:10you're gonna want to prove me wrong I
- 00:34:12get that but take the back testing video
- 00:34:16that I link down below and do it that
- 00:34:18way and see what you come up with what
- 00:34:21do you got to lose and then once you've
- 00:34:23done that go find some other things I
- 00:34:26help you with this part too and then
- 00:34:28take the same rules that you used for
- 00:34:31your hammers or your evening stars
- 00:34:33whatever it is that you like and run
- 00:34:36them through the same tests and by doing
- 00:34:39this that's the only way you're ever
- 00:34:41really gonna know what you have do you
- 00:34:43are you using the best tools don't you
- 00:34:45want to use the best tools you got to
- 00:34:47find out right and you might be but you
- 00:34:50might not be but this is how you find
- 00:34:52out and the more often you do this the
- 00:34:55larger sample size you will have and the
- 00:34:58higher your chances go up to find
- 00:35:01something that really truly does work
- 00:35:03amazingly and then when you find a few
- 00:35:07of them which you will if you do this
- 00:35:09long enough you can put them together
- 00:35:10and make something even more amazing
- 00:35:13this is my hope for all of you
- 00:35:15so in conclusion stop using Japanese
- 00:35:19candlesticks please if I haven't proven
- 00:35:22to you the they are not responsible for
- 00:35:25your trading being good or bad really
- 00:35:28they're just kind of nothing they don't
- 00:35:30affect our market and
- 00:35:33look really good when they do win that
- 00:35:34it makes our minds think there's
- 00:35:36something other than what they actually
- 00:35:37are if I haven't convinced you by now go
- 00:35:40do the testing and see if that convinces
- 00:35:42you one way or the other also for most
- 00:35:46of my traders
- 00:35:46you guys might have noticed that in the
- 00:35:49earlier videos that I did I used bar
- 00:35:51charts now I do that because I actually
- 00:35:54am I own trading use bar charts I don't
- 00:35:56use candles and I do that so I don't end
- 00:35:59up seeing a candlestick pattern that may
- 00:36:03you know even as much as I'm against
- 00:36:04them may influence my decision in any
- 00:36:07way possible I know there's a weird
- 00:36:10thing to bring it up the conclusion
- 00:36:11because we haven't talked about it yet
- 00:36:12but the only reason I switched to
- 00:36:14candles is because people are
- 00:36:17complaining that it was hard to see and
- 00:36:18so I want to make it more visible for
- 00:36:20them but I use bars all the time
- 00:36:22and I recommend that you guys do the
- 00:36:24same because I don't want you guys to
- 00:36:27have a really great long setup ready but
- 00:36:31a hammer just formed and now you're
- 00:36:32gonna second-guess it because you're
- 00:36:34still you know from your early days of
- 00:36:36trading so trained to think that way
- 00:36:38take that temptation away and just go to
- 00:36:41bars that's another little tip I want to
- 00:36:43throw in there at the end but if you
- 00:36:45love Japanese candlesticks and you love
- 00:36:46trading with them that's fine just test
- 00:36:49them out instead of just saying these
- 00:36:50are automatically great because I'm so
- 00:36:52emotionally attached to the winds I got
- 00:36:54with them no put them through the
- 00:36:56wringer find out over time if they
- 00:36:59really do give you great results and
- 00:37:01then when you do that test other things
- 00:37:03so you know for sure and then just use
- 00:37:05the one that's the best or even better
- 00:37:07take your top three and combine them and
- 00:37:09see what that does Japanese candlestick
- 00:37:11traders there is a better road to take
- 00:37:13out there
- 00:37:14I just don't think anybody's ever sat
- 00:37:16there and explained it to you because
- 00:37:18the whole forex media world is way
- 00:37:22behind these things will never tell you
- 00:37:24different so above anything I just hope
- 00:37:26I was able to at least provide you with
- 00:37:28another option if you'd like to go that
- 00:37:30way so if you're unfamiliar with this
- 00:37:32channel overall this channel is full of
- 00:37:34videos like this and it's the only
- 00:37:37channel out there that does things this
- 00:37:40way so you need to subscribe and hit the
- 00:37:41bell if you haven't yet like I said even
- 00:37:44if you're just a
- 00:37:44little bit intrigued and you're unsure
- 00:37:48if you really want to go this route or
- 00:37:49not you still owe it to yourself to
- 00:37:51learn more about it so that beginners
- 00:37:54video I'm linking down below should help
- 00:37:56but for my hard cores my subs my killers
- 00:37:59the ones that have told me how wonderful
- 00:38:02their trading has become as a result of
- 00:38:04this channel go do something about that
- 00:38:07test everything backwards and forwards
- 00:38:10keep improving there's improvements we
- 00:38:12made all the time and go use that system
- 00:38:15to take this market down and finally
- 00:38:17become that fraction of a percentage of
- 00:38:20traders who actually fulfill their
- 00:38:23dreams that they started with in the
- 00:38:24first place wouldn't that be great
- 00:38:27good go get it
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