ICT Forex - The Weekly Bias - Excellence In Short Term Trading
Zusammenfassung
TLDRThis video lesson provides insights on utilizing weekly market bias for effective short-term trading. The instructor explains the importance of mapping bullish and bearish profiles based on weekly price movements, particularly focusing on key sessions from Sunday to Friday. Emphasis is placed on the opening price on Sundays, which serves as a critical reference point in determining market sentiment and potential entry or exit points for trading. The content elaborates on identifying optimal trade entry points based on price action analysis, particularly during the transition from the London session to New York's Wednesday open. Throughout the session, the instructor discusses essential trading strategies, including the significance of taking partial profits to secure gains, and encourages traders to adopt a logical approach to buying low and selling high while keeping their individual trading styles in mind.
Mitbringsel
- ๐ Understand the weekly bias for short-term trading.
- ๐ Important timeframe is from Sunday to Wednesday for market analysis.
- ๐ต Sunday opening price is key to determining sentiment.
- ๐ Power of three formations help identify entry points.
- ๐ Aim for 150-300 pips when trading weekly ranges.
- ๐ค Consider taking partial profits to manage risk.
- ๐ฏ Focus on specific times for trade entries: Tuesday London to Wednesday New York.
- ๐ Be flexible with your trading strategy based on personal comfort.
- ๐ Use price action rather than indicators for trade decisions.
- โ๏ธ Accept losses gracefully and learn from them.
Zeitleiste
- 00:00:00 - 00:05:00
This module focuses on developing a trading bias for the week, highlighting key points for successful short-term trading. Traders will learn to identify bullish patterns by looking for weekly lows to form between Sunday and Wednesday, particularly observing Tuesday's London opening to Wednesday's New York opening.
- 00:05:00 - 00:10:00
An analysis of market movement is crucial, especially observing how the market behaves from Sunday to Friday. Traders should note the Sunday opening price and use that to gauge market sentiment and potential movements throughout the week. Understanding the significance of this data enhances the prediction of price movements.
- 00:10:00 - 00:15:00
Understanding the sentiment surrounding the weekly opening price can help identify overbought or oversold conditions without relying solely on indicators. Participants should study higher time frame charts which can provide insights into potential future price expansions during the week.
- 00:15:00 - 00:20:00
Traders are encouraged to wait for price to drop below the opening price on Sunday for optimal buying opportunities, ensuring they are buying at perceived value. The methodology promotes understanding various entry techniques, allowing traders to adopt strategies that suit their trading personalities.
- 00:20:00 - 00:25:00
In a bullish scenario, the weekly low is anticipated to form either on Tuesday or Wednesday. If it forms on a Tuesday opening, traders should position themselves to buy after seeing a new low, ensuring they maintain awareness of their stop-loss to mitigate losses if the trade does not go as planned.
- 00:25:00 - 00:30:00
Conversely, bearish patterns will exhibit a similar structure, whereby traders look for weekly highs to develop between Sunday and Wednesday. Selling short opportunities are identified as the market trends upwards, ideally after forming highs during the initial trading sessions of the week.
- 00:30:00 - 00:38:15
The module encourages utilizing weekly ranges for trade placements, focusing on taking partial profits when hitting certain pip targets. This practice is emphasized for both day trading and swing trading, underscoring the importance of having a systematic approach during volatile market conditions.
Mind Map
Video-Fragen und Antworten
What is the main focus of this teaching?
The main focus is on the weekly bias and excellence in short-term trading, specifically mapping bullish and bearish weekly profiles.
When should traders anticipate weekly lows to form?
Traders should anticipate weekly lows to form between Sundayโs opening and Wednesdayโs New York open.
What is the significance of the Sunday opening price?
The Sunday opening price indicates market sentiment and can be used to determine buying or selling opportunities.
What timeframe should traders focus on for short-term trades?
Traders should focus on 30-minute or hourly timeframes to analyze weekly trades.
How important are partial profits in trading strategy?
Taking partial profits is crucial as it helps reduce risk and allows traders to secure gains while still participating in potential larger movements.
What is the power of three formation?
The power of three formation refers to a trading principle used to identify potential entry levels across the weekly trading range.
Is it recommended to buy below the opening price?
Yes, buying below the opening price is considered an ideal entry point for bullish trades.
How much can traders expect to gain from a favorable trade?
Aiming for 150 to 300 pips is suggested, depending on market conditions.
When is the best time to execute trades?
The best time to execute trades is often during the Tuesday London session to the Wednesday New York open for bullish setups.
What should traders do if their trades go against their bias?
Traders should be prepared to exit and accept losses, even if the market ultimately moves in their favor later.
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- 00:00:10- folks welcome back this teaching is
- 00:00:12going to be specifically dealing with
- 00:00:13the weekly bias excellence in short term
- 00:00:16trading okay the weekly bias and short
- 00:00:25term trading point to focus in this
- 00:00:27module we'll be mapping bullish weekly
- 00:00:30profiles when to anticipate weekly lows
- 00:00:33to form and mapping bearish weekly
- 00:00:36profiles when to anticipate weekly highs
- 00:00:39to form okay so the weekly SmartMoney
- 00:00:45view as you see here this is a chart
- 00:00:48depicting one week's worth of trading
- 00:00:52and I want you to take a look at how the
- 00:00:55market gyrates from day to day Monday
- 00:00:57Tuesday Wednesday Thursday and Friday
- 00:00:59this would be in a bullish scenario okay
- 00:01:03this is for bullish conditions what
- 00:01:07we're looking for is the weekly low to
- 00:01:09form between Sunday's opening and
- 00:01:12Wednesday they're high odds or the
- 00:01:18weekly low to form before Wednesday's
- 00:01:20New York open or would be otherwise 7:00
- 00:01:23a.m. New York time the odds further
- 00:01:27increase between Tuesday and Wednesday
- 00:01:32focusing on Tuesday's London to
- 00:01:34Wednesday's New York open
- 00:01:40so let's flesh out some more ideas about
- 00:01:42this what you're gonna be looking for is
- 00:01:46a higher time frame directional bias and
- 00:01:49there's a couple different ways you can
- 00:01:51do that and I teach those in the
- 00:01:52mentorship but if you'd like looking at
- 00:01:55a higher time frame charts like monthly
- 00:01:56and weekly charts they will aid you and
- 00:01:58assist you in determining that but this
- 00:02:00is a hourly and/or 30-minute time frame
- 00:02:05viewing the weekly perspective so that
- 00:02:08way you can see the entire daily range
- 00:02:10over the spectrum of the entire Sunday's
- 00:02:12open to Friday's closed what we want to
- 00:02:17be focusing on is the opening price on
- 00:02:20Sunday now some of you may not have
- 00:02:23Sunday candle in your platform and
- 00:02:24that's fine it's still beneficial for
- 00:02:27you to seek out whatever the sunday
- 00:02:29opening price is so you can use things
- 00:02:31like websites that follow the foreign
- 00:02:34exchange markets and get an opening
- 00:02:36price because sometimes these I think
- 00:02:37prices will create gaps from varieties
- 00:02:39closed those gaps are very indicative of
- 00:02:43sentiment and sometimes they could be
- 00:02:46exhaustive or they could be insightful
- 00:02:49and inform that it's showing underlying
- 00:02:52strengths if it gaps up it may not feel
- 00:02:54it may not trade back down and fill that
- 00:02:56gap entry higher it may just straight
- 00:03:00straight away you know Google North
- 00:03:02right from the higher opening on Sunday
- 00:03:04to open what we're looking for is well
- 00:03:09on Sunday's opening we want to see that
- 00:03:13opening price and extend it all the way
- 00:03:16to Friday keeping that in mind and I'll
- 00:03:19explain why that's important in a couple
- 00:03:21of minutes but we're primarily looking
- 00:03:24for is a power of three formation on the
- 00:03:28weekly range but from a 30-minute chart
- 00:03:33which is what we're showing here this is
- 00:03:36going to give us the intraday reference
- 00:03:39points and it'll show you how the market
- 00:03:41moves and gyrates with this in now if
- 00:03:46you choose not to use Sunday's data
- 00:03:50which i think is little myopic lamb or
- 00:03:54at least talking about the relationships
- 00:03:56of the opening price for the weekly
- 00:04:00range because they have to understand
- 00:04:02the debt still is there in terms of
- 00:04:05trading just because your platform may
- 00:04:06or may not have a Sunday scandal the
- 00:04:08market data in fact open many times
- 00:04:10hours before you would expect it to a
- 00:04:13fashion price when your Monday candle so
- 00:04:17it's beneficial free to go through and
- 00:04:19research and find out what you looking
- 00:04:21prices on your respective Forex pair
- 00:04:23that's what you're using you can elect
- 00:04:27to go with the opening price on Monday's
- 00:04:29trading but your data is going to be
- 00:04:31slightly skewed okay so whatever your
- 00:04:34first opening price is on Monday
- 00:04:36you can use that price and draw that
- 00:04:37across okay but if it's an instance
- 00:04:40where the market starts at a lower price
- 00:04:44level on Sunday we may not get the
- 00:04:48opportunity on Mondays opening price to
- 00:04:50dip down below it one more bullish or
- 00:04:52want to be a buyer at the opening price
- 00:04:55or below it okay so I use the Sunday's
- 00:04:59opening price to teach new traders
- 00:05:01because it teaches in number one
- 00:05:02sentiment it teaches them overbought
- 00:05:05oversold without the use of indicators
- 00:05:07okay and it also teaches you to trust a
- 00:05:09hard time frame premise what's the
- 00:05:11monthly weekly charts suggesting are
- 00:05:13they implying that we're gonna be moving
- 00:05:15higher or are we moving lower this
- 00:05:18example here is going to be framed on
- 00:05:21the basis that we elected by a way of
- 00:05:24analysis that the higher time frame
- 00:05:26charts are looking for higher prices so
- 00:05:29that means price is going to expand on
- 00:05:31the open one Sunday or shortly
- 00:05:35thereafter and having a higher close or
- 00:05:38at least expanding throughout the week
- 00:05:40to make a higher price level where we
- 00:05:43can hopefully find an opportunity to
- 00:05:44harvest some pips in terms of power
- 00:05:50three what we're seeing here is the
- 00:05:53relationship day by day and what price
- 00:05:56has done with that opening price but in
- 00:06:01terms of a weekly range if you're a
- 00:06:03short-term trader you can use this
- 00:06:05insight and not have to worry about day
- 00:06:07trading at all once you know the opening
- 00:06:10price you'll be anticipating that move
- 00:06:13down below the opening price
- 00:06:14now what level you choose to buy it down
- 00:06:17there there's lots of different ways you
- 00:06:18can do it and I teach a lot of them and
- 00:06:21it's not important for me to share with
- 00:06:23you any one particular setup because
- 00:06:26I've learned over the years teaching
- 00:06:29that some of my concepts don't always
- 00:06:32gel or more or less work for certain
- 00:06:37individuals it's not because the
- 00:06:39patterns are they're not you know
- 00:06:42favorable in terms of how to use them in
- 00:06:43the price action it's because of
- 00:06:45personality it I'll give you an example
- 00:06:49to be a buyer when the market creates a
- 00:06:52new low that is sometimes scary for
- 00:06:55certain traders and they won't want to
- 00:06:57do that other traders that see that and
- 00:07:01they say what makes perfect sense they
- 00:07:02will gravitate towards that type of
- 00:07:04pattern the ones that don't want to be
- 00:07:07buying below all lows that trader will
- 00:07:11probably do very well when they do
- 00:07:13optimal trade entry buys where it's
- 00:07:16proven it's gone up a little bit and it
- 00:07:17retraces it makes more sense for them to
- 00:07:19do that so that's why in a free content
- 00:07:23I'm avoiding that whole way of teaching
- 00:07:26because it gives the impression to the
- 00:07:28students or the first-time readers or
- 00:07:30viewers of my content that I'm trying to
- 00:07:32promote you to follow a specific mold
- 00:07:35okay or or press you into a specific
- 00:07:37mode which as a teacher and a trader I
- 00:07:40know that doesn't work you can't work
- 00:07:43okay it might work for some of you but I
- 00:07:45don't want to make my success as a
- 00:07:47mentor be based on just a handful of my
- 00:07:50students I have a way of teaching where
- 00:07:53the content is there for you to plug in
- 00:07:57play for your own personality and I do a
- 00:07:59lot of that stuff in the mentorship but
- 00:08:01for free content this is all you need to
- 00:08:04work with and you'll find all the setups
- 00:08:05you'll ever look for now we can
- 00:08:07fine-tune this principle and actually
- 00:08:10give you specific levels on what you
- 00:08:12would be buying at below the opening
- 00:08:14price both in a day traders perspective
- 00:08:16and/or a short-term trader so it's a
- 00:08:18short trend trader if you've watched my
- 00:08:20content and you've been well impressed
- 00:08:23with the ability to have that precise of
- 00:08:26an understanding you can still use these
- 00:08:29same concepts by way of using the
- 00:08:32opening price in trading the weekly
- 00:08:33candle so the weekly range or weekly
- 00:08:36candle they're synonymous terms okay but
- 00:08:38I use them in a tune interchangeably but
- 00:08:40for the sake of weekly range that's
- 00:08:42exactly what I'm talking about okay so
- 00:08:43what we're forming here is this
- 00:08:45particular week's entire data from the
- 00:08:48low of the week to the high that week
- 00:08:50this opening price is representative of
- 00:08:53the Sunday's opening price we would be
- 00:08:56already bullish on the week we would
- 00:08:59anticipate this movement from the open
- 00:09:01and down we would
- 00:09:03be interested in anything from the open
- 00:09:05to trade up first we would look at that
- 00:09:07as not interesting we would wait for it
- 00:09:10to drop down into an oversold condition
- 00:09:12what makes it oversold because its
- 00:09:15opening price is value okay that's fair
- 00:09:19value at the time of new trading at some
- 00:09:23point in the future we would anticipate
- 00:09:25the market
- 00:09:26dropping down okay that dropped down
- 00:09:29from the opening price it's going to
- 00:09:31make price in terms of what we bought or
- 00:09:34sold oversold because the context our
- 00:09:37premise behind it we would already be
- 00:09:39bullish relative to the monthly and
- 00:09:40weekly chart so if we're expecting them
- 00:09:42weekly try to continue higher the new
- 00:09:44week we would expect to see the opening
- 00:09:46price that drop down which is a Judas
- 00:09:48link this engineered move is to knock
- 00:09:52individuals are already out long or
- 00:09:54drive individuals that are not in the
- 00:09:56marketplace that want to sell short to
- 00:09:58entice them to do so any pending orders
- 00:10:02that would sell in a breakout it would
- 00:10:03be filled down on this movement here so
- 00:10:06you as a short-term trader you could
- 00:10:08elect to buy at one of these levels
- 00:10:10below the opening price that my
- 00:10:12tutorials teach some of but we go into
- 00:10:16great detail with that mentorship so you
- 00:10:17can frame all types of entry techniques
- 00:10:21and concepts they reside below the
- 00:10:24opening price okay wait Lee uses
- 00:10:27information from the free tutorial
- 00:10:29standpoint is if we know that the low of
- 00:10:31the week from the opening price on
- 00:10:34Sunday making a low of the week on this
- 00:10:36weekly range it's going to form between
- 00:10:38Sunday's opening and Wednesdays New York
- 00:10:41open the odds favor a greater chance of
- 00:10:46the low for me when you're bullish
- 00:10:47between the London set up and New York
- 00:10:52set up of Wednesday so Tuesday's on them
- 00:10:55set up to Wednesday's New York set up
- 00:10:58between these two time periods I'm going
- 00:11:01to encourage you to go through your
- 00:11:03charts it's really really easy to go
- 00:11:05through hindsight data and you'll see
- 00:11:07what I just told you is like the
- 00:11:09elephant in the room retail traders
- 00:11:12until I taught this stuff publicly on my
- 00:11:15youtube channel and in my to tour
- 00:11:18nobody was talking about this
- 00:11:19nobody was mentioning it no one was
- 00:11:21using it and the folks that tried to say
- 00:11:23they were always aware of it they showed
- 00:11:25examples in their trades and it never
- 00:11:26was there they were doing the things
- 00:11:28that were opposite to what this teaching
- 00:11:29teaches I've been doing this for two
- 00:11:31decades okay and only a few handful of
- 00:11:36individuals around the world had
- 00:11:38opportunity to learn from me you could
- 00:11:40read about 18 years ago or so and that's
- 00:11:45small little circle of individuals they
- 00:11:47and myself have the only ones have been
- 00:11:49really been aware of this type of
- 00:11:51phenomenon now since I made my tutorials
- 00:11:54there's been educators and stuff's
- 00:11:56they've linked on to what I teach any
- 00:11:58renamed it okay they call it a weekly
- 00:12:00strategy they call it you know whatever
- 00:12:03else they want to come up with and they
- 00:12:04add some kind of a twist in the title
- 00:12:06but once you see what they're doing it's
- 00:12:08what I've taught here and what I've
- 00:12:10taught in my previous teaching how to
- 00:12:13cache explosive price moves which is the
- 00:12:15free tutorial which I didn't like the
- 00:12:17presentation but if you watch that video
- 00:12:19or look at it the first couple minutes
- 00:12:22of that video is actually what I'm
- 00:12:23showing you here so once that was
- 00:12:26produced and shared on baby pips and
- 00:12:28that crowd watched it all there - they
- 00:12:31caught fire problem is is most traders
- 00:12:34they don't know what to do with it below
- 00:12:37the opening price one more bullish so
- 00:12:39which level do you buy in this instance
- 00:12:42I'm just gonna teach the classic market
- 00:12:45structure goal - optimal trade entry
- 00:12:48okay so you're gonna anticipate Tuesday
- 00:12:51to Wednesday's low forming now sometimes
- 00:12:54it's going to on on Monday but you can
- 00:12:56still get a continuation move on Tuesday
- 00:12:58or Wednesday but primarily I want you to
- 00:13:00be thinking how Tuesday to Wednesday in
- 00:13:03that time period that's when the weekly
- 00:13:05low is gonna form many times it's going
- 00:13:08to be Tuesday's long and open okay now
- 00:13:11if that's going over your head I want
- 00:13:13you to stop think about what I just told
- 00:13:15you though weekly low most likely forms
- 00:13:20on Tuesdays on an open when we're
- 00:13:21bullish if we are bullish and it does
- 00:13:26not form on Tuesday and we drop down on
- 00:13:28Wednesday Wednesday we'll probably
- 00:13:30be the low of the week if we go lower
- 00:13:33than the low formed on Wednesdays New
- 00:13:37York open you have to nix the trade and
- 00:13:40go to the sidelines on the day
- 00:13:42expecially if you took an opportunity on
- 00:13:44Tuesday or Wednesday and they were
- 00:13:45losing trades you have to stop and just
- 00:13:48submit to the fact that you're wrong
- 00:13:50even if Thursday or Friday it goes
- 00:13:52higher and that's a very hard lesson to
- 00:13:55learn because you were bullish on the
- 00:13:58week but you get stopped out and it
- 00:14:00still ends up going there and you've
- 00:14:02missed out on it that's going to happen
- 00:14:05it's happened to me many many times and
- 00:14:08it does not undo the effectiveness or
- 00:14:11the validity behind the setup there's
- 00:14:15going to be an imperfection in your
- 00:14:17trading so you have to permit that okay
- 00:14:19but if we're looking for too low the
- 00:14:21forum on Tuesday or Wednesday what we're
- 00:14:23simply looking for is a new low in the
- 00:14:25week preferably on Tuesdays on an open
- 00:14:28or Wednesdays New York Oakland okay
- 00:14:31between these two reference points
- 00:14:32should that occur okay soon as we have a
- 00:14:37lower low in a week formed we find the
- 00:14:40short term high prior to that new low
- 00:14:42forming in this case it's this here okay
- 00:14:44so when that occurs that's our trigger
- 00:14:48point so for individuals that want to
- 00:14:51buy on retracements with optimal trade
- 00:14:53entry we're going to wait for price to
- 00:14:55break above this short-term high which
- 00:14:57it does here from this point here you're
- 00:15:01going to be looking for the low the
- 00:15:03forum prior to this run-up now classic
- 00:15:09fib people will go from this low to this
- 00:15:12high sometimes that'll work
- 00:15:14sometimes it won't what I want you to
- 00:15:17look at is we have the most dynamic
- 00:15:19price movement off of this low so you're
- 00:15:23gonna anchor your fib on the lowest
- 00:15:24close or open in that swing low drag it
- 00:15:28all the way up to this body here now I
- 00:15:31don't have that in here cuz I want the
- 00:15:32two presentations to be clean because my
- 00:15:34watermark on top of the chart and my
- 00:15:37references I'm showing you here I want
- 00:15:39you to go through and look at this for
- 00:15:41yourself go through your own data it
- 00:15:44the November 21st and 22nd of 2017 use a
- 00:15:5030-minute chart and you'll be able to
- 00:15:52see going that fib that low to this high
- 00:15:55you get an optimal trade entry
- 00:15:56beautifully lined up right there and
- 00:15:58there's your continuation by and here's
- 00:16:02the thing you're buying it below the
- 00:16:05weekly open one Sunday you're buying
- 00:16:08below that weekly open trying to do
- 00:16:11power three one week this gives us the
- 00:16:13best advantage okay to be in before the
- 00:16:17expansion that takes place on the weekly
- 00:16:19range because we're buying below
- 00:16:22evaluation that would deemed as fair and
- 00:16:25it drops down to an oversold condition
- 00:16:29so while everyone else would look at
- 00:16:31these movements dropping down here and
- 00:16:33dropping down here as momentum on the
- 00:16:36downside our perspective is like the
- 00:16:39smart money we're looking at that as it
- 00:16:40going down to an area of a really really
- 00:16:43cheap price so if you're terribly afraid
- 00:16:47just you know to step in there right
- 00:16:50when it breaks below to a new low I
- 00:16:53understand that but over time you're
- 00:16:55gonna have to you know encounter that
- 00:16:56and just move past it or just elect to
- 00:17:00go with often trade entry as your your
- 00:17:02pattern and there's certainly nothing
- 00:17:03wrong with it but if you're wanting to
- 00:17:05buy up here and you're always gonna
- 00:17:08wrestle with the idea I wish I would
- 00:17:09have bought down there this is only
- 00:17:10going to occur if you buy at new lows at
- 00:17:14a time when it should be creating the
- 00:17:15low the week in like I said it's hard to
- 00:17:18do that without just getting in here and
- 00:17:21desensitizing yourself by practicing it
- 00:17:23practicing in a demo account and doing
- 00:17:25it live with a demo over and over and
- 00:17:26over again to the point where you just
- 00:17:28don't care if the outcome is going to be
- 00:17:30profitable or not because that's what it
- 00:17:32takes to be consistent you're not
- 00:17:34worrying about the end result you just
- 00:17:36trust the process of what you're doing
- 00:17:38eventually over time the sample sizes
- 00:17:40are more weighted on the positive side
- 00:17:43of what you're expecting to see then
- 00:17:45that of the temporary and sometimes you
- 00:17:49know unwanted negative results that is
- 00:17:52missing the trade or getting stopped out
- 00:17:55so this would be the optimal trade entry
- 00:17:57again it's on a day that we would look
- 00:17:59for to form Wednesday and priced our to
- 00:18:02expand we get about above the opening
- 00:18:04price preferably we want to see price
- 00:18:08show a willingness to want to expand
- 00:18:09away from the opening price and not want
- 00:18:12to come back down to it now there are
- 00:18:14some certain caveats to this and I'll
- 00:18:16add this to you just to you'd be a
- 00:18:18little bit more splice on this if we
- 00:18:20make the low of the week on Monday how
- 00:18:24do we know that it trades back above the
- 00:18:26opening price okay one Monday and
- 00:18:29expands a little bit more okay this
- 00:18:32right here we dropped down and went back
- 00:18:34above the opening price I don't trust
- 00:18:37this because it's Monday and I like to
- 00:18:40see the Monday's range okay I want to
- 00:18:43see what the money's entire daily ranges
- 00:18:45so I don't I don't get the weekly loads
- 00:18:48many times actually Isis be fair about
- 00:18:51about 90% of the time if the week makes
- 00:18:53it slow on Monday I'm missing that
- 00:18:55because I elect to sit many times on the
- 00:18:58sidelines because I want to use the
- 00:19:00range of Monday to give me insights so
- 00:19:03on Tuesday I like to get hopefully a
- 00:19:05lower low when I'm bullish and then I'll
- 00:19:07buy in here okay based on some pattern
- 00:19:09or some kind of a key level I teach and
- 00:19:11I'll ride that out and hopefully get
- 00:19:14back above the opening price now if we
- 00:19:16trade above the opening price one say
- 00:19:20Tuesday I will permit Wednesday to see
- 00:19:24retracement back down the opening price
- 00:19:26funds and support and then rally back
- 00:19:27away on Wednesday if we're breaking
- 00:19:30above the opening price on Wednesday it
- 00:19:32cannot it should not come back to
- 00:19:34opening price now again in simple terms
- 00:19:37Wednesday is de line in the sand if it
- 00:19:41trades above the opening price one more
- 00:19:42bullish we do not permit it to come back
- 00:19:45down to the opening price it can happen
- 00:19:48if we go above the opening price on a
- 00:19:50new low on Tuesday we could still see it
- 00:19:52come back down and retest the opening
- 00:19:54price on Wednesday the algorithm will
- 00:19:57want to expand away from this opening
- 00:19:59price after Wednesday because it only
- 00:20:02has newer opens time period to Friday's
- 00:20:06closed and that's why you see this
- 00:20:08acceleration in the movement on the
- 00:20:10weekly range
- 00:20:11nealy after wednesday breaks above the
- 00:20:13opening price now you're gonna look at
- 00:20:15this and I'm gonna be criticized by
- 00:20:17folks that don't like what I'm teaching
- 00:20:19because they're you know sold one
- 00:20:22indicators or whatever else they're
- 00:20:23doing or they don't like the fact that
- 00:20:25I'm right they're going to say this is
- 00:20:28being cherry picked in hindsight
- 00:20:29capacity well grant I am hand picking
- 00:20:32this in hindsight to show you because
- 00:20:34it's already happened anyone teaching
- 00:20:35you anything is going to be some level
- 00:20:37of hindsight I'm telling you to go
- 00:20:39through your charts and you will see
- 00:20:41this yourself as many as examples that
- 00:20:43you're gonna find you're gonna see
- 00:20:44quickly what I'm telling you is the
- 00:20:46gospel okay it's just the way it is you
- 00:20:49can argue and wrestle with this but if
- 00:20:50you trade against this premise you may
- 00:20:53understand why you're losing money okay
- 00:20:55so once we get through the opening price
- 00:20:59on Wednesday and or on Tuesday or Monday
- 00:21:02Monday I personally will never get the
- 00:21:05low on Monday you know we clean low I
- 00:21:08won't get that on Monday you can try to
- 00:21:13test that theory and buy down here and
- 00:21:15you might get something like this and
- 00:21:17this could have kept on going if you're
- 00:21:20going to trade on Monday if it trades
- 00:21:22back to the opening price my opinion is
- 00:21:24is to take some profits there and leave
- 00:21:26a stop in so that way if it does not
- 00:21:29yeah it protects any open profits but
- 00:21:32leave it in there because you might have
- 00:21:33caught the tiger by the tail
- 00:21:37statistically studying all the possible
- 00:21:40scenarios and weekly protocols that I
- 00:21:42teach I elected to simply wait till
- 00:21:44Tuesday and that's just the way I do it
- 00:21:47obviously I'm not encouraging to follow
- 00:21:49me step by step but I'm doing it and
- 00:21:53telling you this because I want to be
- 00:21:55open about how I do it Tuesday I'm
- 00:21:59really actively looking at London open
- 00:22:01okay that's really what I'm looking for
- 00:22:03so between London open on Tuesday and
- 00:22:05some of these opening I'm really not
- 00:22:07doing much at all I'm just relaxing and
- 00:22:10spending family time I glanced at the
- 00:22:13charts but I'm not really trying to
- 00:22:14actively pursue anything until around
- 00:22:161:00 and open on Tuesday and if you look
- 00:22:19at the weekly ranges on the front
- 00:22:21currency pairs you'll see that many
- 00:22:23times
- 00:22:24we are in the bullish or bearish these
- 00:22:26turning points will form on Tuesdays on
- 00:22:28and open but for this example here we're
- 00:22:31bullish and we're looking at the opening
- 00:22:33price on Sunday you want to see it drop
- 00:22:34down it trades down to a level we wait
- 00:22:37for it to break a swing high okay this
- 00:22:39could have easily formed on Monday and
- 00:22:42the retracement could have been
- 00:22:44occurring on Tuesday like it is here on
- 00:22:45Wednesday and in Tuesday could have
- 00:22:47trades to do claim price and we could
- 00:22:49still permit it to come back down to
- 00:22:50that once a retest of the weekly open
- 00:22:52but after that it's not allowed to do it
- 00:22:55again if it ever starts to gravitate
- 00:22:57back down to that opening price after
- 00:22:58Wednesday trading through it it's
- 00:23:00probably made a reversal or it's going
- 00:23:02to consolidate for the rest of the week
- 00:23:03either one's not good for a weekly
- 00:23:06expansion now there's going to be times
- 00:23:08where we'll trade above the opening
- 00:23:09price on the weekly range and not go
- 00:23:11very far and just gravity right back to
- 00:23:13the opening price and it's going to be a
- 00:23:14quiet next week if it's still bullish
- 00:23:17the following week would still use the
- 00:23:19same criteria okay but the next stage
- 00:23:22would be really expecting that expansion
- 00:23:24here now this portion of the weekly
- 00:23:27range is going to be what you're holding
- 00:23:30for an event say until Friday's closed
- 00:23:34your mindset should be not trying to
- 00:23:37find 10 pips or give me 20 pips okay I
- 00:23:40start my week off looking for scenarios
- 00:23:42that get me in down below the opening
- 00:23:44price because I understand it below the
- 00:23:46opening price is the ideal entry point
- 00:23:49for all my day trades and my short-term
- 00:23:51trading as a short-term to swing trader
- 00:23:54you can use that insight using the
- 00:23:56weekly ranges and not require yourself
- 00:23:59to be anywhere near an hourly or
- 00:24:00four-hour chart or anything less than
- 00:24:02that
- 00:24:02so there's no reason for folks that
- 00:24:04watch my beer my my videos and I'll say
- 00:24:07well you know I'm not a day trader I
- 00:24:08can't use this information it's
- 00:24:09interesting ICT but I just I can't do
- 00:24:11that you have no excuse
- 00:24:13because of this gave you a bazooka okay
- 00:24:17this gave you the ability to go in there
- 00:24:19and short-term or sling trade using the
- 00:24:21opening price on Sunday okay wait for it
- 00:24:24to drop down and simply go in and handle
- 00:24:26it now I will toss this out there and
- 00:24:28you guys can test this theory on your
- 00:24:30own okay if at any time you are bullish
- 00:24:34on a weekly range if the opening price
- 00:24:37and we
- 00:24:37drop down say 30 pips okay if we drop 30
- 00:24:41pips from the opening price on Sunday
- 00:24:43test this theory out if you're bullish
- 00:24:46buy 30 pips below the opening price one
- 00:24:49Sunday and use a hundred and 50 pips top
- 00:24:52this is for swing traders not short-term
- 00:24:54traders okay and let that go and see if
- 00:24:57you don't get 150 to 300 pips test that
- 00:25:01theory and give me your feedback through
- 00:25:04Twitter you try this on any pair really
- 00:25:07any kind of market really but for forex
- 00:25:09I'm gonna give you that suggestion now
- 00:25:11it does not mean that you won't see it
- 00:25:13drop down sometimes 50 to 75 pips okay
- 00:25:16but generally your stop-loss of 150 pips
- 00:25:21after buying below the opening buy 30
- 00:25:24pips what you're really doing is you're
- 00:25:26saying I don't believe in to go down 180
- 00:25:29pips from the opening price if it's
- 00:25:32truly bullish we won't spend a whole lot
- 00:25:34of time below the opening price and it
- 00:25:36won't go that far down below it unless
- 00:25:39we are changing long term in a reversal
- 00:25:41from a bearish market to a bullish
- 00:25:43market then we can see some really wild
- 00:25:46reaches below the opening price which I
- 00:25:48don't look for those anyway I want to be
- 00:25:49looking in a marketplace that's already
- 00:25:51in position to be moving it has been
- 00:25:53moving for a while longer term and I'm
- 00:25:55just getting in positioning myself in a
- 00:25:58logical area where the next upside is
- 00:26:00clearly an expansion or bullish up close
- 00:26:03for Friday
- 00:26:07okay the weekly smart money view or
- 00:26:10bearish conditions okay you can see here
- 00:26:14we have the same thing dis reversed
- 00:26:16we're looking for the weekly high to
- 00:26:18form between Sunday and Wednesday high
- 00:26:21odds between Wednesday's New York open 7
- 00:26:24a.m. from Sunday's opening that's what
- 00:26:27we're looking for but the odds further
- 00:26:30increase again between Tuesdays and
- 00:26:32Wednesdays trading specifically focusing
- 00:26:35on Tuesday's long and open to
- 00:26:37Wednesday's New York open ok so we're
- 00:26:43looking at the weekly range here for
- 00:26:45this particular currency this happens to
- 00:26:46be a dollar cad and you can see how
- 00:26:50price didn't
- 00:26:51I have a up movement on Monday and then
- 00:26:55we had another movement up on Tuesday
- 00:26:56creating the high of the week during the
- 00:26:59London session or what we were looking
- 00:27:03for for the scenario overall we
- 00:27:07anticipate a bearish week ahead of the
- 00:27:10open once that opening price is derived
- 00:27:13on Sunday we extend that through the
- 00:27:17entire week until Friday's close
- 00:27:20movements above the opening price we
- 00:27:23anticipate that we want to see price go
- 00:27:26to a level that would push price into a
- 00:27:30technically overbought condition there
- 00:27:33is no overbought indicator on my chart
- 00:27:35I'm reading price action the fact that
- 00:27:38we're trading above the opening price in
- 00:27:40an market environment that's bearish
- 00:27:42longer-term that's what frames my idea
- 00:27:45over highly weak forms on Tuesday
- 00:27:48Wednesday we barely have any type of
- 00:27:51movement whatsoever we still have a
- 00:27:52little blip on the radar as price runs
- 00:27:54it back above that opening price and
- 00:27:56then quickly rejects notice that once it
- 00:27:59leaves that opening price on Wednesday
- 00:28:03it doesn't try to go back to it now it
- 00:28:05does retrace here but it's not getting
- 00:28:08close to it if it does it's going to be
- 00:28:12a mixed week we don't want to be a part
- 00:28:14of that okay and ultimately price comes
- 00:28:17down sales this old low and let me see a
- 00:28:20reversal that's outside the scope or the
- 00:28:22focus the point we're looking for is we
- 00:28:25want to be when we're bearish we're
- 00:28:27looking to sell short one or at very
- 00:28:30close to the weekly high in riding that
- 00:28:32down to some measure of expansion below
- 00:28:35the weekly opening price so in terms of
- 00:28:40the weekly range or weekly candle what
- 00:28:45we're looking at is the opening price
- 00:28:46here then we're seeing the Judas swing
- 00:28:50this is the portion of price action that
- 00:28:52we're anticipating we anticipate this
- 00:28:55type of price action and we want to have
- 00:28:57a level in mind before it starts to even
- 00:29:00trade up where we're wanting to sell
- 00:29:02short in this example
- 00:29:04a real good example would be we have a
- 00:29:06high here and a Monday's high so we have
- 00:29:08relatively equalized price stabs above
- 00:29:11this you could be a seller here and I
- 00:29:13did in fact take this trade and I shared
- 00:29:15it on Twitter you guys can see that go
- 00:29:17through my Twitter feed look at the date
- 00:29:19for around November 21st 22nd I would
- 00:29:23have shown the example and I my entry
- 00:29:26points and everything's in there so
- 00:29:28short with the expectation that there's
- 00:29:30going to be a sell-off on the dollar cad
- 00:29:34price sells off goes below the opening
- 00:29:38price now remember what I said as long
- 00:29:42as it is before Wednesday's New York
- 00:29:47open its permissible see price trade
- 00:29:50back to in this case above the opening
- 00:29:53price because on Wednesday that's when
- 00:29:55it should leave the gate once it starts
- 00:29:57leaving that opening price it's going to
- 00:30:00expand to reach for some measure of
- 00:30:02price action that creates the movement
- 00:30:05below the open price so the range
- 00:30:07expansion portion of the weekly range
- 00:30:08that's what you're holding for but you
- 00:30:10want to be positioned up here while
- 00:30:12price is going up when it's long term
- 00:30:14bearish it feels scary it feels odd it
- 00:30:18feels out of place because you're
- 00:30:20watching price shoot up like this and
- 00:30:22every retail minded trader out there and
- 00:30:24every person that's on Twitter and
- 00:30:26Facebook they're gonna be looking at
- 00:30:28this thing saying it's going to the moon
- 00:30:30and it's not it's a southbound train
- 00:30:32once this thing leaves the station which
- 00:30:35is the opening price on Wednesdays new
- 00:30:37york open draw that line on your chart
- 00:30:40once that occurs it should always try to
- 00:30:42expand away from the opening price you
- 00:30:46should have a predetermined level where
- 00:30:49you're going to be getting out at inside
- 00:30:51of this expansion okay in this case we
- 00:30:54have relatively equal lows here we have
- 00:30:55a low here we have a low here so if we
- 00:30:58go about 10 to 20 cuts below that that
- 00:31:01would give us around 26 95 and that's 26
- 00:31:0595 right here that gives us to this
- 00:31:07price point here it goes a little bit
- 00:31:09lower but then author link comes back
- 00:31:11with a deep retracement and then closes
- 00:31:13end of the week giving us the weekly
- 00:31:15candle or range profile like
- 00:31:18the ideal scenario is to look for a cell
- 00:31:21above the opening price as a day trader
- 00:31:24you could be focusing in on that and or
- 00:31:28as a short-term trader or swing trader
- 00:31:31you can use the weekly candle or weekly
- 00:31:33range to trade entirely off of that and
- 00:31:37not even look at an intraday chart not
- 00:31:39even a daily chart you can take these
- 00:31:42types of trades and again look for that
- 00:31:45same scenario waiting for it to trade
- 00:31:47about 30 pips above the opening price
- 00:31:49okay in this case here we opened around
- 00:31:51here we can go up 10 20 30 pips so you
- 00:31:55could be a seller around 2005 and a stop
- 00:31:59loss of 150 points or pips okay and try
- 00:32:03to get 150 to 300 pips profit from them
- 00:32:06by selling at 120 805 or thereabouts
- 00:32:12price goes all the way down to a low of
- 00:32:16approximately 26 75 I gave you this
- 00:32:19example to see and show you how even
- 00:32:23using the objective of 150 pips - 300
- 00:32:25pips you may not get that actually in
- 00:32:28your profit which is why I teach to take
- 00:32:30partial profits so if we sold short
- 00:32:33hypothetically at 120 805 or whatever 30
- 00:32:38pips would be above that opening price
- 00:32:39if we sold there with the expectation
- 00:32:42that we're gonna try to capture a
- 00:32:43hundred fifty pips or more as soon as
- 00:32:46you made a hundred pips why wouldn't you
- 00:32:48want to bank they're seeing that we're
- 00:32:50probably only gonna make about 130 pips
- 00:32:52on this move on your pip movement
- 00:32:54anytime your moves ever traded a hundred
- 00:32:58pip intervals you have to take something
- 00:33:00off learn to do that if you do not do
- 00:33:03that I promise you you will look back
- 00:33:05and regret not having done so so as a
- 00:33:08day trader you know obviously if it
- 00:33:10moves on our pips you certainly when we
- 00:33:11banking 80% of your position and if
- 00:33:14you're a short-term trader you want to
- 00:33:15be at least half your position out
- 00:33:16because the weekly can change gears
- 00:33:20midweek for instance it could have went
- 00:33:22down to this low here and in trading on
- 00:33:26to Tuesday high those occurrences can
- 00:33:28happen so if it's offered up a hundred
- 00:33:31take something off at 100 pips
- 00:33:33regardless of what style or what type of
- 00:33:35integral up trader you are if it gives
- 00:33:38you a hundred pips pay yourself on those
- 00:33:40hundred pips even if it's one tenth of
- 00:33:43your position overall do it because it
- 00:33:46number one it'll feel good to do so
- 00:33:48it'll pay you for your time and the risk
- 00:33:51that you put in and it teaches you the
- 00:33:55value of doing overtime the folks that
- 00:33:58say that partial profits are stupid or
- 00:34:00idiotic you shouldn't do it because the
- 00:34:02full risk was what it was the beginning
- 00:34:04the risk is going to change preferably
- 00:34:06it's gonna reduce over the life of the
- 00:34:08trade anyway but that same initial risk
- 00:34:11does not guarantee full profit the
- 00:34:15assumptions that use just because you
- 00:34:18put a specific number of risk percentage
- 00:34:20on at the beginning trade and it's
- 00:34:22stupid to take partial profits because
- 00:34:24you risk this much but you don't how
- 00:34:26many times have your trades gone to full
- 00:34:28profit how many times have you failed to
- 00:34:31take something off if you just would
- 00:34:32have taken something before it turned
- 00:34:35back on you that's what I've been doing
- 00:34:37for 25 years folks okay 25 years I seen
- 00:34:40enough of this to no partial pays okay
- 00:34:44it pays you have to give yourself the
- 00:34:47ability to take something out because
- 00:34:48the market is not going to do it for you
- 00:34:51you have to take it out so if you're
- 00:34:53gonna be a short-term or swing trader
- 00:34:54you want to use that weekly range like
- 00:34:55this if we expand a hundred pips we're
- 00:34:59looking for 150 to 300 pips for the week
- 00:35:01you're not always gonna get 300 pips but
- 00:35:04preferably if we're bearish in this case
- 00:35:07we want to see hopefully a big weekly
- 00:35:10range remember this small range big
- 00:35:13range going on well if we're starting to
- 00:35:15see small weekly ranges right ahead of
- 00:35:17this and we're still bearish if we get
- 00:35:20this scenario here we can do very very
- 00:35:22well you can see those big 300 sometimes
- 00:35:25even 500 pip ranges on a weekly
- 00:35:27especially if it's gonna be a lot of
- 00:35:29news a lot of things that are happening
- 00:35:31you know economic calendar it can be
- 00:35:34extremely volatile and it creates a
- 00:35:37large range on the weekly so the model
- 00:35:40is we look for if you're a short-term
- 00:35:43swing trader
- 00:35:45that can't be in the intraday stuff you
- 00:35:47can sell short above the opening price
- 00:35:48about 30 pips now you can fancy dance
- 00:35:50that you can say well I'm gonna be a
- 00:35:52seller at 40 pips above the opening
- 00:35:53price a rockin if it trades up 50 pips
- 00:35:56above the opening price I could be a
- 00:35:57seller there okay and look for 150 pips
- 00:36:00to 300 pips again with the expectation
- 00:36:03you're not always going to get 300 pips
- 00:36:04but if it allows you to make a hundred
- 00:36:07pips when you take your first partial
- 00:36:08off and put your stop at breakeven
- 00:36:10you're in a beautiful position because
- 00:36:12if you take say hey if your position off
- 00:36:15at 100 pips could you stop at breakeven
- 00:36:18and then see if it gives you any more
- 00:36:19movement for the rest of the week
- 00:36:22once the examples come by looking at
- 00:36:26Pine site data and seeing what's
- 00:36:28available you will quickly see whether
- 00:36:31this is for you or not I'm not trying to
- 00:36:34twist your arm I'm just giving those
- 00:36:35individuals that don't have the ability
- 00:36:37to sit in here every single day watching
- 00:36:40intraday price action a way they use
- 00:36:42this information on a higher time frame
- 00:36:44you know allow them to participate now
- 00:36:47if you are able to look at the market
- 00:36:51Tuesday or Wednesday and you only have
- 00:36:54to do it on those days around Tuesday's
- 00:36:58run and open and Wednesdays London open
- 00:37:01if you watch those specific time points
- 00:37:04you can look at specific levels in price
- 00:37:07action that I teach in my tutorials and
- 00:37:08go into great detail with the mentorship
- 00:37:11you can sell at a more favorable entry
- 00:37:16point and you won't have to just say
- 00:37:18okay well here's the opening price on
- 00:37:19Sunday I'm going to take a set number of
- 00:37:21pips above the opening price all the
- 00:37:23time and sell short there when I'm
- 00:37:24bearish you can avoid that okay and you
- 00:37:27can say okay well I'd say open here okay
- 00:37:29I'm gonna watch and see what Monday does
- 00:37:31Monday's dilly-dallying around create
- 00:37:32some Monday high here and we start
- 00:37:34trading here we start to drop down ahead
- 00:37:36up one then we're not interested in that
- 00:37:39we're looking for this high in this high
- 00:37:40here double tops okay what's gonna be
- 00:37:43resting above that buy stops so if you
- 00:37:45know that going ahead of Tuesday's on an
- 00:37:48open you could just simply do a sell
- 00:37:50limit order right above the high on
- 00:37:53Friday or a high on Monday and then you
- 00:37:58can really reduce the
- 00:37:58amount of exposure you have and then
- 00:38:01still have that same 100 keep it profit
- 00:38:03objective hopefully they enjoyed this
- 00:38:06presentation if you like these lessons
- 00:38:07and you want to find out more you can
- 00:38:09visit my website at the inner circle
- 00:38:11trader.com
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