Trump Bullish News?! You Know What Happens Next in Crypto...

00:33:13
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MwmbDBwLRZY

Zusammenfassung

TLDRKripto bozorlarida qisqa muddatli pasayish kuzatilmoqda, lekin katta harakatlar kutilmoqda. Ko'plab kripto valyutalarida pasayish belgilari mavjud, ammo Bitcoin va boshqa asosiy valyutalar hali ham muhim darajalarda saqlanmoqda. Bitcoin uchun muhim daraja - bu yakshanba pastki darajasi, bu darajadan pastga tushish uzun muddatli pasayishga olib kelishi mumkin. Trump media Bitcoin uchun 2.5 milliard dollar yig'ish rejasini e'lon qildi, bu esa institutsional qabul qilishni ko'rsatadi. FOMC yig'ilishi va boshqa iqtisodiy yangiliklar bozorni ta'sir qilishi mumkin. Bitcoin va Ethereum o'rtasidagi farqlar va potentsial savdo imkoniyatlari muhokama qilinmoqda.

Mitbringsel

  • 📉 Kripto bozorlarida qisqa muddatli pasayish kuzatilmoqda.
  • 💰 Trump media Bitcoin uchun 2.5 milliard dollar yig'ish rejasini e'lon qildi.
  • 📊 Bitcoin va Ethereum o'rtasidagi farqlar muhokama qilinmoqda.
  • 🔍 FOMC yig'ilishi bozorni ta'sir qilishi mumkin.
  • ⚠️ Bitcoin uchun muhim daraja - yakshanba pastki darajasi.

Zeitleiste

  • 00:00:00 - 00:05:00

    Kripto bozorlarida qisqa muddatli pasayish kuzatilmoqda, volatillik past va katta harakatlar kutilmoqda. Ko'p valyutalar soatlik vaqt oralig'ida pasaymoqda, lekin ba'zilari hali ham yashil rangda. Boshqa tomondan, Bitcoin, ETH va boshqa valyutalar uchun asosiy invalidatsiya zonasi yakshanba pastki darajasi bo'lib qolmoqda.

  • 00:05:00 - 00:10:00

    Mikro strategiya 2,5 milliard dollar to'plab, Bitcoin Treasury uchun ko'proq Bitcoin sotib olishni rejalashtirmoqda. Bu hodisa bozorni bevosita ta'sir qilmasa-da, kelajakda muhim ta'sir ko'rsatishi mumkin. Bu muassasa va davlat qabul qilishining bir qismi sifatida ko'rilishi mumkin.

  • 00:10:00 - 00:15:00

    Bozorda likvidlik juda past, so'nggi 24 soat ichida 214 million dollar likvidatsiya qilingan. FOMC yig'ilishi va uning protokollari bozor volatillikni oshirishi mumkin. Mikro strategiya o'zining yuqori darajadagi narxini bosib o'tgan bo'lishi mumkin, bu esa bozorning kelgusi harakatlariga ta'sir qilishi mumkin.

  • 00:15:00 - 00:20:00

    Mikro strategiya o'zining yuqori darajadagi narxini bosib o'tgan bo'lishi mumkin, bu esa bozorning kelgusi harakatlariga ta'sir qilishi mumkin. Bitcoinning 95,000 dan 100,000 dollargacha pasayishi mumkin, bu esa yangi pozitsiyalarni ochish uchun xavfli vaqt bo'lishi mumkin.

  • 00:20:00 - 00:25:00

    Bitcoin va ETH o'rtasidagi farq, Bitcoinning sog'lom tuzilmaga ega bo'lishi, ETH esa ko'proq xavfli pozitsiyada bo'lishidir. Bitcoinning pastga harakatlanishi ETH uchun ko'proq zarar keltirishi mumkin. Bitcoinning 110,000 dollardan yuqoriga chiqishi kerak, aks holda qisqa savdolarni boshlash kerak bo'ladi.

  • 00:25:00 - 00:33:13

    Bozorning hozirgi holati savdogarlar uchun juda muhim. Bitcoinning yakshanba pastki darajasidan pastga tushishi, bozorni pasaytirishi mumkin. Shuning uchun, savdogarlar ehtiyotkor bo'lishlari va o'z pozitsiyalarini tezda o'zgartirishlari kerak.

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Mind Map

Video-Fragen und Antworten

  • Kripto bozorlarida hozirgi vaziyat qanday?

    Kripto bozorlarida qisqa muddatli pasayish kuzatilmoqda, lekin katta harakatlar kutilmoqda.

  • Bitcoin uchun qanday darajalar muhim?

    Bitcoin uchun muhim daraja - bu yakshanba pastki darajasi, bu darajadan pastga tushish uzun muddatli pasayishga olib kelishi mumkin.

  • Trump media Bitcoin uchun qanday reja qildi?

    Trump media Bitcoin uchun 2.5 milliard dollar yig'ish rejasini e'lon qildi.

  • FOMC yig'ilishi bozorni qanday ta'sir qiladi?

    FOMC yig'ilishi bozorni ta'sir qilishi mumkin, chunki u iqtisodiy siyosatni belgilaydi.

  • Ethereum va Bitcoin o'rtasidagi farq nima?

    Ethereum va Bitcoin o'rtasidagi farq, ularning bozor harakatlari va savdo imkoniyatlarida ko'rinadi.

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Automatisches Blättern:
  • 00:00:00
    We're seeing a short-term pullback
  • 00:00:02
    within the crypto markets. Volatility is
  • 00:00:04
    very low and there's a big move that's
  • 00:00:06
    going to be coming. We'll discuss that
  • 00:00:07
    and more on today's show. Let's get
  • 00:00:09
    straight into the show content. Banter
  • 00:00:11
    bubbles over here. Most of the coins on
  • 00:00:13
    the hourly time frame are starting to
  • 00:00:14
    pull back. Let's quickly have a look at
  • 00:00:16
    the daily. Um, some still holding up
  • 00:00:18
    green, but you can see even on the
  • 00:00:20
    dailies, a lot of the coins are starting
  • 00:00:21
    to put in a bit of a pullback over here.
  • 00:00:23
    Um and is this the start of some of the
  • 00:00:26
    things that we previously discussed were
  • 00:00:28
    some of the risks towards the market
  • 00:00:29
    right well invalidations were given and
  • 00:00:32
    they still remain right Sunday lows
  • 00:00:34
    that's pretty much still going to be the
  • 00:00:35
    main invalidation zone for pretty much
  • 00:00:37
    any coin that you're looking at from
  • 00:00:39
    Bitcoin to ETH to Salana to Suie I would
  • 00:00:42
    say invalidation on any long trades is
  • 00:00:44
    going to be below the uh Sunday low
  • 00:00:47
    right as long as you can hold above that
  • 00:00:49
    then the bias can remain bullish but I
  • 00:00:51
    do think you need to be cautiously
  • 00:00:53
    bullish at these key levels because
  • 00:00:55
    there is a big big big move that's
  • 00:00:56
    coming and although there is a
  • 00:00:58
    possibility for a short squeeze with
  • 00:01:00
    some liquidity towards the upside,
  • 00:01:02
    there's undoubtedly momentum running out
  • 00:01:05
    for the bulls, right? Bulls are having
  • 00:01:06
    to fight harder and harder to defend
  • 00:01:08
    some of those key levels and the
  • 00:01:10
    momentum oscillators will begin to roll
  • 00:01:12
    over and this doesn't sign ultimate doom
  • 00:01:15
    and end of the bull market or anything
  • 00:01:16
    like that. It simply just means
  • 00:01:18
    possibility for shorterterm corrections
  • 00:01:20
    with Bitcoin pulling back into the
  • 00:01:22
    $95,000 region, possibly even just
  • 00:01:25
    $100,000 and then you'll be looking for
  • 00:01:27
    major support. And right now, this is of
  • 00:01:30
    course always a risky time to be in the
  • 00:01:31
    market this late into the bull market
  • 00:01:33
    establishing new positions. But if
  • 00:01:35
    you've been in since the beginning and
  • 00:01:36
    you've been with us for a few years, you
  • 00:01:38
    should be absolutely a-ok. Okay. I'll
  • 00:01:40
    update all of you for the shorter term
  • 00:01:42
    as well who those of you are recently
  • 00:01:44
    entering and taking those shorter term
  • 00:01:46
    trades, right? big news coming out right
  • 00:01:48
    yesterday. This some of you may have
  • 00:01:49
    already seen this. We actually ran a
  • 00:01:50
    poll here to see how many of you have
  • 00:01:52
    heard about this and currently it
  • 00:01:54
    doesn't look like too many, right? 62%
  • 00:01:56
    of you said you didn't hear about and
  • 00:01:58
    that's Trump media raising up to $2.5
  • 00:02:01
    billion for Bitcoin Treasury to
  • 00:02:04
    accumulate more Bitcoin. Now, these
  • 00:02:06
    things won't always have immediate
  • 00:02:07
    effect now, but it will have an effect
  • 00:02:09
    leading into the next part of the cycle.
  • 00:02:11
    And this is part of what us Bitcoin
  • 00:02:13
    bulls over the years have dreamed of
  • 00:02:15
    which is of course institutional
  • 00:02:17
    adoption and nation state adoption and
  • 00:02:20
    that's exactly what you're seeing
  • 00:02:21
    happening right so it will be 1.5
  • 00:02:23
    billion in terms of equity 1 billion in
  • 00:02:25
    convertible notes very similar to the
  • 00:02:27
    micro strategy uh thesis and they're
  • 00:02:30
    going to be custoing it interestingly
  • 00:02:32
    enough not with Coinbase but with
  • 00:02:33
    crypto.com right uh so we'll see how
  • 00:02:36
    that pans out is this a sell the news
  • 00:02:37
    event um I guess only time will tell
  • 00:02:40
    right Liquidity is very very low. Total
  • 00:02:42
    liquidations over the last 24 hours
  • 00:02:45
    sitting around that 214 million and over
  • 00:02:47
    the last hour you can see very very low
  • 00:02:50
    right 5 million. A majority of those
  • 00:02:52
    coming on the long side. Very very high
  • 00:02:54
    leverage traders as price pulls back
  • 00:02:56
    even just slightly over here. So um
  • 00:02:58
    expect that you'll see this increase in
  • 00:03:00
    the days and weeks to come. And one of
  • 00:03:02
    the things that could drive that
  • 00:03:04
    volatility is going to be the FOMC
  • 00:03:06
    meeting right meeting minutes. It's not
  • 00:03:07
    an actual meeting, but the meeting
  • 00:03:08
    minutes, which suggests what the Fed are
  • 00:03:11
    looking to uh do next, is going to be
  • 00:03:13
    released at about 1000 p.m. That's my
  • 00:03:15
    time in the US. That probably puts it
  • 00:03:17
    about, I think, around 4:5 p.m. for you
  • 00:03:20
    guys. So, keep an eye out on that.
  • 00:03:21
    Right. Speaking of Micro Strategy and
  • 00:03:24
    the Micro Strategy Playbook, right, I
  • 00:03:26
    think this is very important to look at
  • 00:03:28
    over here. I honestly think there's a
  • 00:03:30
    very good chance that Micro Strategy has
  • 00:03:32
    topped for the cycle, right? So, I am
  • 00:03:34
    obviously uh putting my neck on the line
  • 00:03:36
    by saying that because I know there's a
  • 00:03:37
    lot of Micro Strategy bulls out there,
  • 00:03:39
    many of which are watching the channel,
  • 00:03:42
    but I would rather mention that now than
  • 00:03:44
    say something like that. You know, if
  • 00:03:46
    Micro Strategy does something like this,
  • 00:03:48
    and now it's trading down here, and I
  • 00:03:50
    say it's topped. Okay, of course, bro.
  • 00:03:51
    Obviously, it's dropped all the way back
  • 00:03:54
    down to the baseline levels over here,
  • 00:03:56
    which is around like $40. As it
  • 00:03:58
    currently stands, what have we seen?
  • 00:03:59
    Right. Well, we saw the big move up. We
  • 00:04:01
    have literally what looks like a blowoff
  • 00:04:03
    top over there with a massive and we're
  • 00:04:05
    on a weekly candle, right? A massive
  • 00:04:06
    swing failure pattern over there,
  • 00:04:08
    rejective candle, resistance. Price
  • 00:04:10
    comes down, revisits exactly into that
  • 00:04:13
    golden pocket right between the two
  • 00:04:15
    green lines over there. That is your
  • 00:04:16
    0.618 and 65 level when anchoring from
  • 00:04:19
    the top to the bottom of the move over
  • 00:04:21
    here. Retesting into exactly where you
  • 00:04:24
    would expect a resistance to take place.
  • 00:04:26
    And currently, that's exactly what it's
  • 00:04:27
    looking like, right? Price is rejecting.
  • 00:04:29
    Now, of course, it will be very very
  • 00:04:31
    telling when price comes back down
  • 00:04:32
    towards the overall mid-range. You can
  • 00:04:34
    see marked by the white lines, we have
  • 00:04:35
    range low, we have range high, and then
  • 00:04:37
    we have the mid-range. Now, if it is
  • 00:04:39
    going to continue bullish, well, you
  • 00:04:41
    should expect a little bit of support to
  • 00:04:42
    be found over here in the form of a high
  • 00:04:44
    low. And then even then, I still think
  • 00:04:46
    it will struggle to break out. I think
  • 00:04:48
    it'll probably set in a lower high and
  • 00:04:50
    just consolidate. Now, remember in the
  • 00:04:52
    prior cycles, uh, Micro Strategy
  • 00:04:54
    actually topped before Bitcoin did,
  • 00:04:56
    right? So, Bitcoin went on to make new
  • 00:04:57
    all-time highs whilst Micro Strategy
  • 00:04:59
    didn't. And that's currently the case.
  • 00:05:01
    That's exactly what's happening within
  • 00:05:02
    the market right now. So, I think one of
  • 00:05:04
    the things to pay attention to as there
  • 00:05:06
    is a lot more competition coming into
  • 00:05:08
    the market following the Micro Strategy
  • 00:05:10
    playbook, which means demand through
  • 00:05:13
    Micro Strategy shares may begin to
  • 00:05:15
    diminish, right? It's just food for
  • 00:05:17
    thought. Put on your watch list. Um, I
  • 00:05:19
    think that it's a potential that that
  • 00:05:21
    was basically the complacency bounce.
  • 00:05:22
    Remember when you pull up the Wall
  • 00:05:24
    Street cheat sheet, which any of you can
  • 00:05:26
    do at home, this is pretty much what it
  • 00:05:28
    looks like, right? You go through uh you
  • 00:05:30
    know, hope into um thrill into euphoria
  • 00:05:34
    into, you know, it's just a cool off
  • 00:05:36
    little uh sell off over here into a
  • 00:05:38
    complacency bounce and then into bare
  • 00:05:41
    market territory and there's a real
  • 00:05:42
    possibility overlay that um look at the
  • 00:05:44
    psychological phases and ask emotionally
  • 00:05:47
    what did people involved in micro
  • 00:05:49
    strategy go through, right? Uh, what I
  • 00:05:51
    do want to remind you is, I mean, if
  • 00:05:52
    you're looking from the bare market
  • 00:05:53
    lows, uh, you can't say this thing
  • 00:05:55
    didn't have a bull market.
  • 00:05:57
    4,142%. That is massive. Huge, huge,
  • 00:06:00
    huge, huge, huge gains. Much bigger
  • 00:06:02
    gains than what Bitcoin's provided. Um,
  • 00:06:04
    that's big. Very, very, very big moves
  • 00:06:06
    over there in quite a short amount of
  • 00:06:08
    time, right? Let's quickly look at the
  • 00:06:10
    stock market over here. Stock market
  • 00:06:11
    still looking good in terms of the SR
  • 00:06:13
    flip. Let's just zoom in on the daily
  • 00:06:14
    time frame. That's your SR flip. Looking
  • 00:06:16
    to hold that level over there. And so
  • 00:06:18
    far, it's doing exactly that, right? So
  • 00:06:20
    stop loss below Friday's low on the
  • 00:06:22
    stock market. As long as it remains
  • 00:06:24
    above that candle over there, you're
  • 00:06:25
    looking at continuation onwards and
  • 00:06:27
    upwards. Gold over here also potential
  • 00:06:29
    that it's topped. I'd like to see a
  • 00:06:31
    little bit more over there, but similar,
  • 00:06:33
    right? You got that topping candle over
  • 00:06:35
    there on a TD sequential nine count
  • 00:06:37
    across multiple different time frames.
  • 00:06:39
    That shows trend exhaustion. Price comes
  • 00:06:41
    down eventually takes out the lows over
  • 00:06:43
    there. So creating a lower low and you
  • 00:06:45
    have potential for lower highs, right?
  • 00:06:47
    So, if this does continue to roll over
  • 00:06:50
    and you can put in consecutive low, lows
  • 00:06:52
    and lower highs, this would be your
  • 00:06:53
    first low, first lower high, second uh
  • 00:06:56
    second lower high. And once you put in
  • 00:06:58
    three over there, that becomes a trend,
  • 00:06:59
    right? Then the third lower high, you
  • 00:07:01
    can actively start to short and look for
  • 00:07:03
    continuation towards the downside. So,
  • 00:07:05
    that's looking good over there. Um,
  • 00:07:07
    let's continue with Bitcoin, right?
  • 00:07:09
    Bitcoin really adding pressure. And this
  • 00:07:11
    is exactly what I'm talking about in
  • 00:07:13
    terms of uh bulls running out of steam.
  • 00:07:15
    Now, if the bearish case plays out,
  • 00:07:18
    remember that short-term bearish, we
  • 00:07:20
    still believe that that's going to lead
  • 00:07:21
    into higher time frame high lows, which
  • 00:07:23
    is still very, very healthy thing for
  • 00:07:25
    the market. So, if you do see a drop
  • 00:07:27
    down towards um those uh moving averages
  • 00:07:30
    over here, which is coming in around
  • 00:07:31
    just between 95 and $100,000, that
  • 00:07:34
    becomes a buying opportunity for the
  • 00:07:36
    medium to higher time frame where you
  • 00:07:37
    can start to look for continuation of
  • 00:07:39
    the bullish move. Right? But as it
  • 00:07:41
    currently stands, you need to be really
  • 00:07:43
    really careful that you don't put in the
  • 00:07:44
    deviation. You're already starting to
  • 00:07:46
    add a lot of pressure into this trend
  • 00:07:49
    line over here. And you don't need
  • 00:07:51
    liquidity charts to understand that
  • 00:07:52
    liquidity is greater towards the
  • 00:07:55
    downside than it is on the upside. There
  • 00:07:57
    are some short traders that will get
  • 00:07:59
    absolutely smashed if price moves
  • 00:08:00
    through this level. But my best bet is
  • 00:08:03
    that those are professional traders.
  • 00:08:05
    Those are not retail traders. Retail
  • 00:08:07
    traders never short the market. Those
  • 00:08:09
    are professional traders that are
  • 00:08:10
    hedging against their long position. So
  • 00:08:12
    they probably don't care if you move up.
  • 00:08:14
    The reality is if price does this, many
  • 00:08:16
    more people are going to get absolutely
  • 00:08:18
    uh wrecked in that type of an
  • 00:08:20
    environment. Right? So invalidations are
  • 00:08:22
    very clear. I don't know how to make it
  • 00:08:24
    any more clear, right? I always read the
  • 00:08:25
    chats. I always see confusion. You guys
  • 00:08:28
    need to join whales school or something.
  • 00:08:30
    Uh so that you can learn a little bit
  • 00:08:31
    more about how the TA works, how the
  • 00:08:34
    charts work. Very clearly stop loss
  • 00:08:36
    below the Sunday low. If you take out
  • 00:08:38
    Sunday lows, especially on a closing
  • 00:08:40
    basis, you're in for probably a couple
  • 00:08:42
    of days correction. And then the base
  • 00:08:44
    case for support areas is going to be
  • 00:08:45
    around that 95 to 100k region depending
  • 00:08:47
    on when and if it happens. Right. Cool.
  • 00:08:50
    Bitcoin on the daily. Same thing over
  • 00:08:52
    here holding the high time frame range.
  • 00:08:54
    The part of the uh bearish thesis would
  • 00:08:57
    be, you know, if you do deviate that
  • 00:08:59
    you're deviating the top side of the
  • 00:09:00
    trading range. But the problem is uh
  • 00:09:02
    this becomes this opens up the
  • 00:09:04
    possibility for a WOFF uh distribution
  • 00:09:08
    schematic. Right? Distribution could
  • 00:09:10
    really get ugly, right? We've seen
  • 00:09:11
    distributions go down way way way lower.
  • 00:09:14
    So um not to get super bearish or
  • 00:09:16
    anything. We're just outlining the worst
  • 00:09:18
    case scenarios. We currently have long
  • 00:09:20
    trades on the table still. I'm currently
  • 00:09:22
    still maintaining those positions. You
  • 00:09:23
    can see we in the SUI trade still 322%
  • 00:09:27
    up over there. So maintaining that
  • 00:09:28
    position, still holding that position
  • 00:09:30
    over there. But we do need to be careful
  • 00:09:32
    of um any of the downside risks. Right?
  • 00:09:34
    So liquidation levels deltas over here
  • 00:09:38
    are traders long or short. Well, you can
  • 00:09:40
    see on ETH, ETH is still pretty
  • 00:09:42
    positive, right? I was just updating the
  • 00:09:43
    whale room community this morning. Uh
  • 00:09:45
    the difference between ETH and BTC.
  • 00:09:47
    BTC's put in a much more healthy
  • 00:09:49
    correction um so far in terms of of the
  • 00:09:52
    funding rates, which I'm going to show
  • 00:09:53
    you visually, whereas ETH is still
  • 00:09:56
    remaining relatively positive over here,
  • 00:09:58
    right? which puts ETH in a little bit
  • 00:09:59
    more of a risky position where if there
  • 00:10:01
    is a flush from Bitcoin, there's a lot
  • 00:10:03
    more downside that damage that could be
  • 00:10:05
    done on ETH. Even though that's probably
  • 00:10:06
    my biggest position right now, I'm just
  • 00:10:08
    outlining the rest of you. Be cautious
  • 00:10:10
    of there, right? BTC, Soul, Popcat, uh,
  • 00:10:14
    Sonic, and Suie all negative deltas over
  • 00:10:17
    there, which does open up the
  • 00:10:18
    possibility still for one more short
  • 00:10:20
    squeeze, right? So BTC you can see over
  • 00:10:22
    here liquidity is high above at $111,000
  • 00:10:25
    but as mentioned chances are these are
  • 00:10:27
    professional traders that are hedging
  • 00:10:29
    against their spot positions as
  • 00:10:31
    insurance in case price goes down right
  • 00:10:33
    whereas if you look at ETH over here
  • 00:10:35
    well this is what I'm talking about
  • 00:10:36
    right we have positive deltas as I've
  • 00:10:38
    just shown you over here deltas are
  • 00:10:40
    positive meaning a lot of traders remain
  • 00:10:42
    long on ETH um given it its recent
  • 00:10:45
    strength within the market ETH BTC also
  • 00:10:47
    looking good we highlighted that
  • 00:10:48
    yesterday and therefore you have a
  • 00:10:50
    little bit more liquidity on the
  • 00:10:51
    downside than the upside. So, don't be
  • 00:10:53
    surprised if you spike down just a
  • 00:10:54
    little bit more. I'm going to show you
  • 00:10:55
    the exact levels. I showed you the
  • 00:10:57
    ascending triangle yesterday. We'll
  • 00:10:58
    update you on that. There's a chance of
  • 00:11:00
    moving down to about 2,500, giving, uh,
  • 00:11:03
    anyone who's missed out a second
  • 00:11:05
    opportunity, right? So, uh, let's have a
  • 00:11:08
    look at some of these things over here
  • 00:11:09
    in terms of Bitcoin versus ETH, right?
  • 00:11:12
    You can see over here, if you do look at
  • 00:11:13
    Bitcoin, the funding rate, which is how
  • 00:11:16
    much money you paying to keep long
  • 00:11:18
    positions open, has flushed, right? It's
  • 00:11:20
    dropped down quite significantly. You
  • 00:11:21
    can see over there, the little bars have
  • 00:11:23
    come down significantly. If these start
  • 00:11:25
    to go negative, that's where you get
  • 00:11:26
    your buying opportunities, right? We
  • 00:11:28
    haven't really had negative funding in
  • 00:11:29
    quite some time. In fact, the last time
  • 00:11:31
    that we had proper negative funding was
  • 00:11:34
    all the way back here on about the 5th
  • 00:11:36
    of May. So early May, you put in
  • 00:11:37
    negative funding a couple of times and
  • 00:11:39
    that's ultimately what drove that next
  • 00:11:41
    move towards the upside. Now let's
  • 00:11:42
    quickly switch gears and have a look at
  • 00:11:45
    um ETHUSDT on Binance futures as a
  • 00:11:48
    comparison. Well, you're seeing very
  • 00:11:50
    very different picture over here, right?
  • 00:11:51
    Firstly, look at that open interest,
  • 00:11:53
    right? And that's exactly why you're
  • 00:11:55
    seeing those deltas positive. Look at
  • 00:11:56
    that open interest. Massive move up.
  • 00:11:58
    It's starting to come down a little bit
  • 00:12:00
    more. that if if BTC sneezes over here,
  • 00:12:02
    right, this can easily drop
  • 00:12:04
    significantly, which would mean a
  • 00:12:05
    significant price drop possibly to that
  • 00:12:07
    2,500 level. Also, look at the um
  • 00:12:10
    funding rates, right? The funding rates
  • 00:12:12
    remain relatively elevated, whereas
  • 00:12:14
    BTC's funding rates have already dropped
  • 00:12:16
    all the way back down towards the zero
  • 00:12:18
    line over there, right? Um last time we
  • 00:12:20
    had negative funding, we spoke about
  • 00:12:21
    this. We said this is where you
  • 00:12:23
    attempting to put in a range low. So if
  • 00:12:25
    you do get another move all the way down
  • 00:12:27
    to those range lows for ETH probably
  • 00:12:29
    another opportunity right um and let's
  • 00:12:32
    quickly have a look at ETH in terms of
  • 00:12:34
    these various different time frames. So
  • 00:12:35
    ETH on this time frame my messaging has
  • 00:12:38
    been clear demand zone remains all the
  • 00:12:40
    way just around that 2,000 or sub $2,000
  • 00:12:43
    mark between $1,900 and 2,000. However,
  • 00:12:46
    what is the likeliness that price comes
  • 00:12:48
    down into this? Now BTC would have to
  • 00:12:50
    put in that deeper correction $95 to
  • 00:12:53
    $100,000. If it does, then yes, you're
  • 00:12:55
    probably going to see ETH move into the
  • 00:12:57
    demand zone. But as long as Bitcoin can
  • 00:12:59
    hold up and defend the current levels
  • 00:13:01
    and range sideways pretty much between
  • 00:13:04
    this 105 and
  • 00:13:06
    $110,000, chances are that ETH will
  • 00:13:08
    maintain this level and then you got the
  • 00:13:10
    target um of 3,300 in mind, right? What
  • 00:13:13
    does this mean? It probably means that
  • 00:13:15
    you're better off maintaining spot
  • 00:13:17
    positioning, not going overleveraged on
  • 00:13:20
    ETH. uh and that that keeps you in the
  • 00:13:22
    market in the event that you put in a
  • 00:13:24
    big move towards the top side over here
  • 00:13:26
    and then um if price does happen to come
  • 00:13:28
    down into the demand zone, expect that
  • 00:13:30
    it's going to very very quickly be
  • 00:13:31
    brought up, right? And then you can use
  • 00:13:33
    that uh spot to margin long some of it
  • 00:13:37
    over here to make up for the draw down,
  • 00:13:39
    right? Very risky strategy, but if you
  • 00:13:41
    know what you're doing, it is something
  • 00:13:42
    that makes a lot of sense. Right? Right
  • 00:13:44
    now it looks more likely that this will
  • 00:13:46
    continue to maintain sideways with
  • 00:13:48
    already a closing candle over here
  • 00:13:49
    putting it at 5 10 15 20 25 days almost
  • 00:13:53
    a whole month of sideways price action
  • 00:13:56
    decreases the chances that you're going
  • 00:13:57
    to see that move into the demand zone
  • 00:13:59
    and drastically increases the chances
  • 00:14:01
    that it's just a number of days before
  • 00:14:03
    you're going to put in the explosive
  • 00:14:04
    move towards the upside over there.
  • 00:14:05
    Right? So that's your high time frame.
  • 00:14:07
    ETH BTC we look for the big move up over
  • 00:14:09
    here. We drew this already months ago
  • 00:14:11
    and so far it's holding up. It's looking
  • 00:14:13
    like it wants to break out against
  • 00:14:14
    Bitcoin, which is at least um one good
  • 00:14:17
    sign for the altcoin sector, right?
  • 00:14:19
    ETHUSD. So, what would that look like in
  • 00:14:20
    the short term based on everything that
  • 00:14:22
    I've shown you over here? If you do get
  • 00:14:24
    a little bit more of a flush in the open
  • 00:14:25
    interest and the funding coming down,
  • 00:14:27
    well, what that means for ETHUSD is
  • 00:14:30
    this, right? Hopefully, you maintain
  • 00:14:32
    this ascending triangle where you had
  • 00:14:33
    one, two, three attempts at breaking
  • 00:14:36
    out. The fourth attempt almost always
  • 00:14:38
    breaks out, right? So, if you can time
  • 00:14:41
    an entry on a margin long position or a
  • 00:14:43
    leverage position over here around this
  • 00:14:44
    2,500 with tight stops below at about
  • 00:14:48
    2,455, that provides an opportunity for
  • 00:14:51
    those who were feeling extreme FOMO as
  • 00:14:53
    prices were moving higher and you had
  • 00:14:55
    missed out. Now, you can start to
  • 00:14:56
    reload. Right? So, on some of my high
  • 00:14:59
    leverage position trades, I've taken a
  • 00:15:01
    little bit of profit, right? And I'm
  • 00:15:03
    planning on reallocating that should
  • 00:15:05
    price come down into this 25 uh 2550
  • 00:15:08
    level. Right? I'd like to reallocate
  • 00:15:10
    over there. If you put in the high low,
  • 00:15:11
    my expectation is that the fifth
  • 00:15:13
    attempt, which if you look at my
  • 00:15:15
    trajectories and drawings, if it were to
  • 00:15:17
    happen or play out like this would be
  • 00:15:19
    end of May, beginning of June that
  • 00:15:21
    you're looking for the breakout of this
  • 00:15:23
    ascending triangle. And remember, we got
  • 00:15:25
    the measured move for that 3,300. very
  • 00:15:27
    very very similar to this price target
  • 00:15:29
    which lines up with the yearly open
  • 00:15:31
    which has always been the target right
  • 00:15:32
    it's always since since ETH was 1500 to
  • 00:15:35
    1,800 that has been the area of interest
  • 00:15:38
    that we've been looking at right cool so
  • 00:15:40
    where could things start to turn around
  • 00:15:42
    where could the short-term little
  • 00:15:43
    corrections possibly meet its end and
  • 00:15:45
    then you start to reload well it could
  • 00:15:47
    be as soon as today as you watch the um
  • 00:15:50
    USDT market cap respecting this parallel
  • 00:15:52
    channel right so watch for one more move
  • 00:15:54
    up over here as long as you remain under
  • 00:15:57
    4.6%. Then uh you would want to be
  • 00:16:00
    loading up on your longs into this
  • 00:16:01
    region over here. And if you see
  • 00:16:02
    weakness, then you have confirmation you
  • 00:16:04
    may put in the move down. What's
  • 00:16:06
    interesting about this, which I also
  • 00:16:07
    highlighted to the whale room community
  • 00:16:09
    this morning, is we've always had the
  • 00:16:11
    target in mind for the yearly open,
  • 00:16:12
    which I've just circled over there.
  • 00:16:14
    Right, the yearly open has been the
  • 00:16:15
    target for USDT dominance. USDT
  • 00:16:18
    dominance goes down, uh cryptos move
  • 00:16:20
    towards the upside. Now, I think extreme
  • 00:16:23
    euphoria will come into the market when
  • 00:16:25
    you start to see price trading around
  • 00:16:26
    that early open. And now that I've
  • 00:16:29
    highlighted this parallel channel, which
  • 00:16:31
    you can see has been respected over
  • 00:16:32
    here, I wonder if you'll see a price
  • 00:16:34
    move up over here. Maybe a little bit of
  • 00:16:36
    a a shakeout or a bare trap in the
  • 00:16:38
    crypto market because this going up
  • 00:16:40
    means crypto going down for this to only
  • 00:16:43
    slam back down, bring extreme euphoria,
  • 00:16:45
    have the market chasing prices towards
  • 00:16:48
    the upside. This sweeps through the
  • 00:16:50
    yearly open. And it looks like we've
  • 00:16:51
    lost the yearly open and ultimately have
  • 00:16:53
    find support deviating back above. So
  • 00:16:56
    therefore, this becomes your deviation
  • 00:16:57
    and that becomes a major top or local
  • 00:17:00
    top, right? Um because this bottoming
  • 00:17:02
    means crypto topping, right? So that's
  • 00:17:04
    currently what we're looking at. That's
  • 00:17:05
    that's kind of my higher time frame
  • 00:17:07
    plan. But again, as mentioned to the
  • 00:17:08
    whale room earlier on today, you know,
  • 00:17:10
    one step at a time for now. Um this is
  • 00:17:12
    just a future plan. The immediate plan
  • 00:17:15
    is what happens over here in this
  • 00:17:16
    environment, right? And the expectation
  • 00:17:18
    would be maybe a bit of a a fake out and
  • 00:17:21
    then slam it back down, right? And that
  • 00:17:23
    will create the next upside move, which
  • 00:17:24
    means in this environment, you'd be
  • 00:17:26
    looking for your long opportunities if
  • 00:17:28
    you've already missed out, right? So,
  • 00:17:30
    with that being said, we have a lot of
  • 00:17:31
    trades on the table over here on Pinex.
  • 00:17:34
    Um, these are all the different trades.
  • 00:17:35
    You can see we have some beautiful
  • 00:17:37
    profits over here, 173% on the WIFF uh
  • 00:17:41
    gridbot that we set up over there. We
  • 00:17:43
    have Pepe 143%. We have Salana 116%, ETH
  • 00:17:48
    75% in profit. Um, and then currently
  • 00:17:50
    the only one that's down is the BTC
  • 00:17:52
    cross margin hedge trade, which means
  • 00:17:55
    it's both simultaneously long and short,
  • 00:17:57
    but that's only a 9% draw down. And
  • 00:17:59
    that's just a hedge, right? So, we can
  • 00:18:01
    make some adjustments to these. For
  • 00:18:03
    those of you that want to follow along,
  • 00:18:04
    there is a link in the description
  • 00:18:06
    below. If you go over here um, and you
  • 00:18:08
    scroll through, you should see it says
  • 00:18:11
    here it is, Pinex. And if you go to um
  • 00:18:13
    sign up over there first, you can claim
  • 00:18:15
    your sign up uh bonus. Let's just see if
  • 00:18:17
    it's listed over here. I think it's a
  • 00:18:19
    pretty good signup bonus that they're
  • 00:18:20
    offering. Uh there you go. 1,000 USDT,
  • 00:18:23
    right? 1,000 USDT. Um and if you
  • 00:18:26
    register, you're guaranteed you're going
  • 00:18:28
    to get between 30 and 100 irrespective
  • 00:18:30
    of how much you deposit, right? So sign
  • 00:18:32
    up over there. Each of these little
  • 00:18:34
    tasks that you complete will um qualify
  • 00:18:37
    you for additional bonuses, right? So
  • 00:18:38
    you can continue to unlock uh some
  • 00:18:40
    opportunity over there. Then once you've
  • 00:18:42
    signed up, if you go through and you
  • 00:18:44
    click uh copy the bot strategies, should
  • 00:18:46
    you want to copy some of these, they are
  • 00:18:48
    here, right? Click that link. It shows
  • 00:18:50
    you all the ones that we currently have
  • 00:18:51
    open. So these are some of the bot
  • 00:18:53
    strategies and where we initially
  • 00:18:55
    entered. Now, in terms of making
  • 00:18:57
    changes, right, let's have a look over
  • 00:18:59
    here. I'm going to probably leave um
  • 00:19:02
    this this ETH bot for a little bit
  • 00:19:04
    longer. Um or the excuse me, the
  • 00:19:06
    Wolfbot, Pepe bot, Soulbot, as well as
  • 00:19:09
    the ETHbot. I'm going to leave them for
  • 00:19:10
    a little bit longer. I'm not going to
  • 00:19:11
    make any changes yet, but for those of
  • 00:19:14
    you that do want to if you want to
  • 00:19:15
    increase your levels, right, or you want
  • 00:19:17
    to add uh more profit or more margin
  • 00:19:21
    into the trade so that you can maximize
  • 00:19:22
    your upside, you can do that over here,
  • 00:19:24
    right? So, if you click over here, for
  • 00:19:25
    example, edit your price range.
  • 00:19:27
    Currently, my upper limit on um on whiff
  • 00:19:31
    is 143. What I may do is actually this
  • 00:19:34
    one I may change now to two. Let's just
  • 00:19:37
    double check on the price chart over
  • 00:19:38
    here. And let's actually go to WIFF,
  • 00:19:40
    right? Um because I think WIFF can go a
  • 00:19:42
    lot higher. So I don't want to stop
  • 00:19:44
    taking profit if it can run it a little
  • 00:19:46
    bit higher in terms of longs, right? So
  • 00:19:48
    as long as this holds up over here, this
  • 00:19:50
    is why I say two because I remember from
  • 00:19:52
    yesterday two was around that mid-range
  • 00:19:54
    region, right? Um for whiff, which is
  • 00:19:56
    underside resistance. This is a previous
  • 00:19:58
    key level. So I'm going to change that
  • 00:20:00
    one to two, right? So you can change
  • 00:20:03
    that, right? Uh reinvest. Yes, let's
  • 00:20:05
    reinvest. We're going to reinvest. So
  • 00:20:07
    we'll adopt that over there. And any of
  • 00:20:09
    you can make these changes if you want.
  • 00:20:11
    Right. Let's just click quickly click
  • 00:20:13
    modify over there. Um all right. Okay.
  • 00:20:15
    That one is set. So we've reinvested
  • 00:20:17
    what we currently have in the the whiff
  • 00:20:19
    trade. If you want to make changes, feel
  • 00:20:21
    free to use your own technical analysis
  • 00:20:23
    as well. If you feel that a certain
  • 00:20:25
    level is more significant and you want
  • 00:20:27
    to adjust those things, um absolutely
  • 00:20:29
    you can do that. All right, let's have a
  • 00:20:30
    look at some of the the others. Right. I
  • 00:20:32
    see we also have a Salana bot. Let's
  • 00:20:34
    just check out Salana over here. Look,
  • 00:20:35
    Salana, we're relooking potential longs,
  • 00:20:38
    right? So, I believe that this can
  • 00:20:39
    actually run all the way to previous
  • 00:20:42
    all-time highs um at $259 and possibly
  • 00:20:45
    even beyond. So, let's just quickly see
  • 00:20:47
    soul. We also have soul over here. What
  • 00:20:49
    is our current um our current levels
  • 00:20:52
    over here? Let's just modify and see
  • 00:20:54
    what that's at. Uh where we got to edit
  • 00:20:58
    the price range. Okay. Okay. So,
  • 00:21:00
    currently we have 189 at the upper
  • 00:21:02
    limit. you know, 189 is just below
  • 00:21:05
    there. I'm I'm going to leave 189
  • 00:21:07
    because I believe even if you hit that
  • 00:21:09
    level, you're first going to put in a
  • 00:21:10
    bit of a pullback and then I'll reload
  • 00:21:12
    on the long. So, I'm happy with the way
  • 00:21:14
    Salana one looks now at the moment.
  • 00:21:15
    Right. These are the trade opportunities
  • 00:21:17
    that I dropped yesterday um in Whail
  • 00:21:20
    XRP, Salana, Sui, Neptas, Sonic, and
  • 00:21:24
    Safe for those of you that want that.
  • 00:21:25
    That is in the in whale room, right?
  • 00:21:28
    Okay. I see there's a request over there
  • 00:21:30
    for Sonic from Najib. So, we'll quickly
  • 00:21:32
    go to that. Uh, coming into the demand
  • 00:21:34
    zone, right? So, this is definitely a
  • 00:21:35
    key area where you want to see price
  • 00:21:36
    start to move, uh, you want to see some
  • 00:21:38
    low time frame demand kicking in. So, if
  • 00:21:41
    you want to time your entry on a trade
  • 00:21:42
    like this, right, keep in mind you're
  • 00:21:44
    putting in lower highs and equal lows.
  • 00:21:46
    So, unfortunately, the reality is that
  • 00:21:47
    this could break down, right? That
  • 00:21:49
    creates the presence of essentially a
  • 00:21:51
    descending triangle, which is the
  • 00:21:52
    opposite of what you want to see, right?
  • 00:21:53
    If you have a look at that, um, you
  • 00:21:55
    know, calling a spade a spade descending
  • 00:21:57
    triangle. So, you either need to break
  • 00:21:59
    out the top side over here to change the
  • 00:22:01
    structure, clear those highs, uh, put in
  • 00:22:04
    a higher low, and then you can start to
  • 00:22:06
    reestablish a position or wait for this
  • 00:22:08
    to play out towards the downside, which
  • 00:22:10
    could mean Sonic could drop as low as 40
  • 00:22:12
    cents. Right? If it drops to 40 cents,
  • 00:22:14
    you're probably looking for base to form
  • 00:22:16
    over there and then a bit of a um, a
  • 00:22:18
    buying opportunity. What would that be
  • 00:22:19
    as a percentage draw down? So, from
  • 00:22:21
    there to there, you know, that's about
  • 00:22:23
    8% downside. Okay, which would line up
  • 00:22:26
    with if Bitcoin did put in a pullback.
  • 00:22:28
    Remember, Bitcoin is let's just quickly
  • 00:22:30
    review Bitcoin again. What I want to
  • 00:22:32
    highlight, right, Bitcoin needs to trade
  • 00:22:35
    basically above these this yellow line,
  • 00:22:38
    right? 110,000. You need to see Bitcoin
  • 00:22:40
    get back above 110,000 ASAP. Otherwise,
  • 00:22:43
    what's happening is your RSI is
  • 00:22:45
    declining, right? Which means you're
  • 00:22:47
    going to start to put in bearish
  • 00:22:48
    divergences. This is a sign of weakening
  • 00:22:51
    momentum, right? Bulls will start to run
  • 00:22:53
    out of momentum. They've had a huge move
  • 00:22:55
    like like what more do you want? I mean,
  • 00:22:56
    for anyone that's complaining about
  • 00:22:58
    that, you're an absolute noob. I'm just
  • 00:23:00
    saying it as it is, right? You've had a
  • 00:23:01
    49% move, but you still want it to just
  • 00:23:05
    break out and go to 136 140 like with no
  • 00:23:08
    pullbacks, right? It would be much
  • 00:23:10
    healthier for price to put in a
  • 00:23:12
    pullback. This would be a really good
  • 00:23:13
    thing. That's why we have both the long
  • 00:23:16
    and the short trade present, right? For
  • 00:23:18
    Bitcoin, we're currently in the long
  • 00:23:20
    trade. But where does the long trade
  • 00:23:22
    stop out? Stops have been moved to break
  • 00:23:24
    even. Um, you know, you can raise this
  • 00:23:27
    even higher. I'm going to leave it over
  • 00:23:28
    there because I can't move this really,
  • 00:23:30
    but um, stops are currently placed at
  • 00:23:32
    105,000. And I told you you could
  • 00:23:34
    theoretically stop out at the red line,
  • 00:23:36
    which is Sunday low. If that happens and
  • 00:23:39
    you start to take out the red line,
  • 00:23:40
    which is the Sunday low at
  • 00:23:44
    $106,62 written in the red on the right
  • 00:23:46
    hand side. If you take that level out,
  • 00:23:48
    what does that do? That's where your
  • 00:23:50
    short trade begins to become active,
  • 00:23:52
    right? you have no chance of losing if
  • 00:23:54
    you took this trade with us. If you took
  • 00:23:55
    this trade and you gain acceptance under
  • 00:23:57
    here and you start to break below that
  • 00:23:59
    line, then you have to look for short
  • 00:24:00
    trades, right? Any bounces that come
  • 00:24:02
    into there, short trade becomes active
  • 00:24:04
    and the TP levels along the way is going
  • 00:24:07
    to be um TP1 over here around that uh
  • 00:24:10
    you know, $98,000. And I mean, if it got
  • 00:24:12
    really bad, TP2 is going to be coming
  • 00:24:14
    into the mid-range at about 90K. Okay,
  • 00:24:18
    cool, cool, cool. So, it's a traders
  • 00:24:20
    market. It's definitely a traders
  • 00:24:21
    market. You need to remain very very
  • 00:24:24
    very vigilant, very careful. You need to
  • 00:24:26
    be willing to shift your bias very
  • 00:24:28
    quickly from bullish to bearish. Um, you
  • 00:24:30
    know, this is not an emotional uh thing.
  • 00:24:33
    It's just business, right? Business as
  • 00:24:35
    usual. You're just trying to uh trade
  • 00:24:36
    the market in the right direction and
  • 00:24:39
    mitigate your risk as much as possible.
  • 00:24:41
    Cool. All right. What else? What else,
  • 00:24:43
    guys? Um, what is my outlook on Casper
  • 00:24:46
    Longterm? Look, it's an amazing project.
  • 00:24:48
    Amazing. Amazing. But the reality is we
  • 00:24:50
    have already um seen what happens to the
  • 00:24:53
    market, right? It doesn't matter how
  • 00:24:54
    good the promise of a particular project
  • 00:24:56
    or coin is. Unfortunately, the reality
  • 00:24:58
    is that it just bleeds against Bitcoin
  • 00:25:00
    over time. So, you need to be able to
  • 00:25:02
    play those boom and bust periods very,
  • 00:25:04
    very quickly. And this is what I'm
  • 00:25:05
    talking about. You can't get emotional
  • 00:25:07
    about a project, right? Um and that's
  • 00:25:09
    why sometimes I tell people, you know,
  • 00:25:11
    you're probably better off trading the
  • 00:25:13
    coins that you hate the most because
  • 00:25:15
    then you don't get an emotional
  • 00:25:16
    attachment to it, right? If you long on
  • 00:25:18
    a coin that you hate, you're very quick
  • 00:25:20
    to cut the position because you anyway
  • 00:25:22
    think it's a it's a piece of of garbage,
  • 00:25:24
    right? Um whereas if it's a coin that
  • 00:25:27
    you love, what happens? You get stuck in
  • 00:25:29
    the bias that this thing is going to
  • 00:25:30
    change the world. It's the best thing
  • 00:25:31
    since sliced bread and then you just
  • 00:25:33
    hold it into massive draw downs and and
  • 00:25:36
    you lose all your money. So you need to
  • 00:25:38
    be objective about things, right? So
  • 00:25:40
    long term, what I think I think it's
  • 00:25:41
    going to bleed against Bitcoin. Um, you
  • 00:25:43
    know, I think that it's a cool project,
  • 00:25:45
    but has it had its boom cycle already
  • 00:25:48
    and that's it?
  • 00:25:49
    Possibly. Cool. Um, all right. All
  • 00:25:52
    right. Okay. We can have a look at
  • 00:25:54
    Litecoin because I've been hearing like
  • 00:25:57
    rumors and talks that everyone thinks
  • 00:25:59
    Litecoin is going to pump. So, let's
  • 00:26:01
    see. Let's have a look at Litecoin. I
  • 00:26:02
    see that's one of the requests over
  • 00:26:03
    there. Uh, let's quickly look at Casper
  • 00:26:05
    on the chart just quickly to to finish
  • 00:26:07
    off that thought process. Right. So,
  • 00:26:10
    there's a lot of lines over here because
  • 00:26:11
    of the FIBS. Let's just remove it. So
  • 00:26:13
    that's that's your current picture,
  • 00:26:15
    right? The reality is Casper had a
  • 00:26:17
    beautiful move and we played much of
  • 00:26:19
    that move. We had some great great great
  • 00:26:21
    trades over there and ever since then
  • 00:26:23
    it's been in distribution. It's putting
  • 00:26:24
    in lower lows and lower highs respecting
  • 00:26:26
    that parallel channel. So in order to
  • 00:26:28
    change that, it needs to break out of
  • 00:26:30
    this down sloping channel and then we
  • 00:26:32
    can reassess. But even if it does do
  • 00:26:33
    that, the chances are that it's probably
  • 00:26:35
    going to chop about for a bit to
  • 00:26:37
    reaccumulate before the next markup
  • 00:26:39
    phase, right? And that that's a story
  • 00:26:41
    with Casper. So, let's go to Litecoin.
  • 00:26:44
    LTCUSDT. Okay, Litecoin tends to run one
  • 00:26:48
    of the last in the cycle. So, if
  • 00:26:50
    Litecoin is going to run, I have I can't
  • 00:26:51
    even remember when last I pulled this
  • 00:26:53
    chart up, but it seems to be respecting
  • 00:26:55
    the levels, right? Okay, let's clean
  • 00:26:58
    that up a little bit. So, levels still
  • 00:27:00
    remain mostly the same, right? Big
  • 00:27:02
    demand area, big level that you would
  • 00:27:03
    want to see Litecoin get through. um you
  • 00:27:06
    know possible reaccumulation, but it
  • 00:27:09
    doesn't look any different or better to
  • 00:27:10
    things like you know AVAC or or layer
  • 00:27:14
    so-called layer 1 uh coins of the last
  • 00:27:16
    cycle. Um yeah, just chopping about can
  • 00:27:20
    look on the lower time frames, you know,
  • 00:27:22
    I wouldn't want to do business over here
  • 00:27:23
    in the middle of the
  • 00:27:25
    range. Um yeah, I mean that's my
  • 00:27:28
    thoughts, right? It's just it's just
  • 00:27:29
    chopping about all over the place. Like
  • 00:27:31
    maybe some people make an argument that
  • 00:27:33
    you have a bit of a um a flag that's
  • 00:27:35
    forming over here, a bit of a bull
  • 00:27:38
    flag, but how reliable are these
  • 00:27:40
    patterns on something like Litecoin,
  • 00:27:42
    right? Uh if that were the case, you
  • 00:27:44
    know what are you looking at? There's
  • 00:27:46
    your measured move breakout from here to
  • 00:27:48
    here. That's going to take you into the
  • 00:27:50
    resistance zone over there. So maybe
  • 00:27:51
    it's putting in a bit of a bull flag. If
  • 00:27:53
    it is, if that were the case and you're
  • 00:27:55
    looking for long trades, I would wait
  • 00:27:56
    for uh the bottom of this parallel
  • 00:27:58
    channel on the low time frames, right?
  • 00:28:00
    So, you're looking for something like
  • 00:28:02
    this, a little bit of a move down. I'd
  • 00:28:04
    rather allocate closer towards the
  • 00:28:05
    bottom where I have a bit more to work
  • 00:28:07
    with in terms of stop losses below um
  • 00:28:09
    those key swing
  • 00:28:11
    levels.
  • 00:28:15
    Okay. All righty. All righty. Okay.
  • 00:28:18
    Arnold says, "Shorts getting more wreck
  • 00:28:20
    now in the past hour." Let's see. We can
  • 00:28:21
    have a look. Uh objectively, you can
  • 00:28:23
    just refresh this and you can literally
  • 00:28:25
    look at the last hour.
  • 00:28:27
    Um, no they are not. 3 million worth of
  • 00:28:31
    longs liquidated, 600,000 worth of
  • 00:28:33
    shorts
  • 00:28:35
    liquidated. But there is always the
  • 00:28:37
    chance for the short squeeze, right?
  • 00:28:38
    It's it's um tough trading environment
  • 00:28:41
    at the moment when you're in this area.
  • 00:28:43
    That's why I've tried to make it as
  • 00:28:45
    crystal clear as possible for anyone
  • 00:28:46
    that's new. Your stop loss goes below
  • 00:28:48
    Sunday low. That's it. That's all I have
  • 00:28:50
    to say, right? What else must I say? Um
  • 00:28:52
    long bias remains that bulls have a
  • 00:28:54
    chance to continue to melt price up as
  • 00:28:56
    long as you you defend Sunday low. Last
  • 00:28:58
    week we said Wednesday low. Now we're
  • 00:29:00
    saying Sunday low because new price
  • 00:29:01
    action has unfolded, right? So the level
  • 00:29:03
    keeps getting raised which is a good
  • 00:29:05
    thing. That's part of
  • 00:29:07
    trading. But be aware don't have your
  • 00:29:09
    head in the sand like an ostrich, right?
  • 00:29:12
    Be aware of the potential risk factors
  • 00:29:15
    over here, right? There is always risk.
  • 00:29:17
    um especially when the market starts to
  • 00:29:18
    move more and more more risk comes into
  • 00:29:20
    the market um during these final phases
  • 00:29:23
    of the bull
  • 00:29:24
    run. Cool. Okay. So in terms of the low
  • 00:29:27
    time frame since Ether is one of my main
  • 00:29:29
    focuses over here um you know let's just
  • 00:29:32
    quickly have a look over here. It is
  • 00:29:33
    respecting this uh 50 EMA on the hourly.
  • 00:29:36
    Let's just see on the low time frames
  • 00:29:37
    like the 15minut um okay not bullish
  • 00:29:40
    divergence yet but momentum oscillate is
  • 00:29:42
    beginning to shift a little bit. uh
  • 00:29:44
    price is still kept below the 50 uh EMA
  • 00:29:47
    on the on the fivem minute time frame.
  • 00:29:48
    So, you know, a move back down towards
  • 00:29:50
    the Monday high is a possibility. Uh if
  • 00:29:53
    you look at Bitcoin, Bitcoin already
  • 00:29:54
    dropped its Monday high and actually
  • 00:29:56
    moved all the way to its Monday low.
  • 00:29:58
    Look at that. So, there it is. Bitcoin
  • 00:30:00
    and that that just highlights how Ether
  • 00:30:03
    has been strong relatively in the short
  • 00:30:05
    term, right? So, you've you've been able
  • 00:30:07
    to play this range really really nicely.
  • 00:30:09
    Remember the range thesis is you deviate
  • 00:30:12
    the Monday low, you trade it to the
  • 00:30:13
    high. You deviate the Monday high, you
  • 00:30:15
    trade it to the low. You deviate the
  • 00:30:16
    Monday low, you trade it back to the
  • 00:30:18
    high. That's how you trade these ranges,
  • 00:30:21
    right? Okay, cool. So, um, yeah, maybe
  • 00:30:25
    ETH will find a bit of momentum over
  • 00:30:26
    here. You can see momentum oscillators
  • 00:30:29
    are starting to pick up on the low time
  • 00:30:30
    frames, but a lot of work to still be
  • 00:30:32
    done over here. Let's just quickly
  • 00:30:34
    review ETH again on the super low time
  • 00:30:36
    frame. And remember, the target in mind
  • 00:30:38
    is still here. yearly open all the way
  • 00:30:40
    at the highs, right? So maybe if this
  • 00:30:43
    can start to pull back a little bit
  • 00:30:44
    lower into the Monday high, um that's
  • 00:30:46
    where you can start to look for some
  • 00:30:48
    opportunities. I'd say like 2550 would
  • 00:30:51
    break you back into the Monday range.
  • 00:30:52
    That would probably get you to about the
  • 00:30:54
    uh Monday mid-range and that lines up
  • 00:30:57
    with this, right? That would be the move
  • 00:30:58
    down over here on the 4hour time frame,
  • 00:31:02
    which will be a beautiful second
  • 00:31:03
    opportunity.
  • 00:31:05
    Okay, the fourth time that it attempts
  • 00:31:07
    at this 2700 level, ETH's probably going
  • 00:31:09
    to break
  • 00:31:11
    out. Cool guys, there is no alt season,
  • 00:31:14
    says Erin. Not yet, right? And there
  • 00:31:16
    hasn't been. That is the truth, right?
  • 00:31:18
    There's been a select few, but al the
  • 00:31:20
    definition of alt season would be where
  • 00:31:23
    uh you know, the majority of coins are
  • 00:31:26
    outperforming Bitcoin over a 90-day
  • 00:31:28
    period. That's what they define as alt
  • 00:31:30
    season. I think it's something like if
  • 00:31:32
    you look at the uh top 100 coins, it's
  • 00:31:35
    something like um you know at least
  • 00:31:37
    twothirds of the top 100 coins on coin
  • 00:31:39
    market cap should be outperforming
  • 00:31:41
    Bitcoin over a 90-day period which is
  • 00:31:43
    over 3 months. But you don't really want
  • 00:31:45
    to wait for the confirmation of alt
  • 00:31:47
    season and at that point you're probably
  • 00:31:48
    too late anyway. The best way to figure
  • 00:31:50
    this out is to look at Bitcoin dominance
  • 00:31:52
    uh which I can put in the chart or I can
  • 00:31:55
    put in the show. Let me just see where I
  • 00:31:57
    have it. Uh here it is. Right. Bitcoin
  • 00:31:59
    dominance and you know we're definitely
  • 00:32:02
    nearing an end for Bitcoin dominance but
  • 00:32:03
    as it currently stands low time frame
  • 00:32:05
    this is still bullish structure but
  • 00:32:07
    lining that up with the high time frame
  • 00:32:09
    the pink box is going to be a key area
  • 00:32:11
    right so hopefully you're going to get a
  • 00:32:12
    bit of a rejection over here because I
  • 00:32:14
    say hopefully because reality is that uh
  • 00:32:16
    life is better when altcoins are running
  • 00:32:18
    right it's much easier money you can
  • 00:32:20
    make a lot of money very quick so
  • 00:32:22
    hopefully a bit of a move up there
  • 00:32:24
    rejection fail that level and if Bitcoin
  • 00:32:26
    did put in one more dump
  • 00:32:28
    over here, you know, that would catch a
  • 00:32:30
    lot of people off guard. That would pump
  • 00:32:31
    Bitcoin dominance up into this level.
  • 00:32:34
    And if you line that up with the USDT
  • 00:32:36
    dominance, like maybe that's where they
  • 00:32:37
    chase and then you see a massive drop in
  • 00:32:39
    the Bitcoin dominance. So, yeah, time
  • 00:32:42
    will tell. Time will tell. Um, okay.
  • 00:32:44
    We'll see. We'll see what happens,
  • 00:32:45
    right? Sell the green, buy the red. Uh,
  • 00:32:48
    that's all that you need to wait for.
  • 00:32:49
    So, that's it from me, folks. I'll see
  • 00:32:50
    you all on the next one. Remember, links
  • 00:32:52
    to Pinex are below for those of you that
  • 00:32:54
    want to copy those bots over there and
  • 00:32:56
    make your own adjustments. Use the link
  • 00:32:58
    below. Uh we'll open up a whole bunch of
  • 00:32:59
    new things, especially if we do get a
  • 00:33:01
    dump. Uh that's it from me. I'll see you
  • 00:33:03
    all on the next one. I hope you have a
  • 00:33:04
    great day and cheers for
  • 00:33:09
    [Music]
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