I made $100,000 avoiding this common ETF investing mistake

00:11:43
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wnhPVVCuUC0

Ringkasan

TLDRThe video highlights the importance of careful planning in an ETF-based investment portfolio. It discusses the returns of ETFs like QQQ, VGT, and VTI, and emphasizes that merely chasing high-total-return ETFs can be a mistake, especially when leading to fund overlap. Overlap occurs when similar stocks are owned in different funds, like Apple and Microsoft in both QQQ and VGT, affecting diversification. The importance of understanding what percentage of each company you have across funds is highlighted, stressing that overlap isn't bad itself, but investors should be informed about it. The traditional three-fund portfolio, consisting of domestic stocks, international stocks, and bonds, is criticized due to low returns from the latter two components over recent decades. Instead, a more focused investment strategy is recommended, as indicated by Warren Buffett - quality over sheer diversity. The video warns against frequent investment changes based on new learnings without proper analysis, and advises against following others' strategies blindly without understanding personal financial goals and the specific investments. The narrator also illustrates why they personally avoid REITs, despite their benefits, due to existing heavy real estate investments.

Takeaways

  • 📈 High return isn't everything; consider portfolio overlap and diversification.
  • 🔍 Know what you're investing in and its impact on your portfolio.
  • 💡 Warren Buffett’s strategy favors understanding businesses over excessive diversification.
  • ⚠️ Frequent portfolio changes without understanding can harm long-term growth.
  • 💼 A well-balanced three-fund approach needs adjusting for modern investing.
  • 📊 Diversification protects against ignorance, but isn't foolproof.
  • 🏦 Don’t blindly follow others' investment choices; know your goals.
  • 🏠 Overexposing to one sector, like real estate, increases risk.
  • 🛡️ Focus on quality investments for consistency and safety.
  • 🎯 Aim for long-term return with stability rather than mere diversification.

Garis waktu

  • 00:00:00 - 00:05:00

    The video introduces some of the top-performing ETFs and highlights mistakes to avoid in ETF investing. It explains the impressive average returns of ETFs like QQQ, VGT, and VTI and how consolidating these in a portfolio can yield high returns. However, the speaker warns against focusing solely on total returns and points out the issue of fund overlap, especially in tech-heavy ETFs like QQQ and VGT, which have significant holdings in the same tech companies, leading to redundancy. The speaker stresses the importance of understanding how much overlap exists and its impact on the portfolio.

  • 00:05:00 - 00:11:43

    The video continues by discussing the importance of diversification and avoiding over-diversification driven by fear or lack of understanding. It criticizes the outdated three-fund portfolio model and encourages a focus on sustainable, long-term results rather than having overly diversified portfolios. The video argues against constant portfolio adjustments based on new information without a thorough understanding and discourages investors from blindly following others' investment strategies. Instead, it emphasizes personal understanding of investments and aligning them with individual goals, suggesting a new three-fund portfolio focused on long-term growth and consistency.

Peta Pikiran

Video Tanya Jawab

  • What are some of the best ETFs mentioned for investment?

    The ETFs mentioned are QQQ, VGT, and VTI.

  • What is a common mistake in ETF investing according to the video?

    Relying only on total return and not considering fund overlap and diversification.

  • What does the video say about fund overlap?

    Fund overlap isn't inherently bad, but investors must understand how it affects their portfolio.

  • Why was the old three-fund portfolio approach criticized in the video?

    Due to its low international and bond returns over the last decades.

  • What is the updated approach towards diversification suggested by Warren Buffett?

    Focus on owning quality, understandable businesses rather than diversification for its own sake.

  • How is diversification referred to by Warren Buffett in the video?

    As a protection against ignorance.

  • What does the video suggest about changing your investment portfolio frequently?

    Frequent changes based on new information could hinder long-term consistency.

  • What is advised before copying others' investment strategies?

    Understand the investment and your own financial goals.

  • Which type of investments did the narrator choose to avoid, and why?

    The narrator avoids REITs to prevent overexposure to real estate, already a big part of their portfolio.

  • Can the specific ETFs in the video be applicable to everyone?

    No, because individual financial goals and situations vary.

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Gulir Otomatis:
  • 00:00:00
    one of the best ETFs on planet Earth is
  • 00:00:02
    QQQ which has a 10-year average return
  • 00:00:05
    of
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    17.38%
  • 00:00:08
    vgt has a 10-year average return of
  • 00:00:13
    19.6% and vti has a 10year average
  • 00:00:16
    return of
  • 00:00:18
    11.15% having those three together in a
  • 00:00:21
    supercharged portfolio full of Heavy
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    Hitters would be making you bank with
  • 00:00:26
    returns like that on average between the
  • 00:00:29
    three that's like a 15% return and if
  • 00:00:32
    you were investing just $500 per month
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    with a return like that in 25 years
  • 00:00:38
    you'd have over
  • 00:00:39
    $1.3
  • 00:00:40
    million off of Just investing $500 per
  • 00:00:44
    month to make returns like that you're
  • 00:00:46
    going to want to make sure and cut down
  • 00:00:48
    on any mistakes in ETF investing and in
  • 00:00:51
    this video I'm going to go over three
  • 00:00:53
    huge mistakes and how to fix them to be
  • 00:00:55
    a very successful investor the first has
  • 00:00:58
    to do with what I just started Ed with
  • 00:01:00
    and that's looking at just Total return
  • 00:01:02
    here's the thing about looking at just
  • 00:01:04
    that total return though while each one
  • 00:01:06
    of those ETFs at the beginning of this
  • 00:01:08
    video were solid ETFs and each one of
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    them had obviously an amazing return
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    picking only the top ones with the
  • 00:01:15
    highest returns for your portfolio total
  • 00:01:18
    may be a huge mistake when we look at
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    those first two ETFs the first one was
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    QQQ and as you can see here it's huge in
  • 00:01:26
    technology over 57% is all technology
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    the top 10 Holdings are reputable names
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    like apple Microsoft Amazon and Nvidia
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    but when we look at that other ETF vgt
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    we can see that it is full of all
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    information technology so while QQQ was
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    57% this 100% is information technology
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    so you're getting the same thing in two
  • 00:01:50
    different places and when we look at the
  • 00:01:52
    types of companies that are within vgt
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    we see apple Microsoft Nvidia again and
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    specifically the percentage of the fund
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    40 % of this is in apple and Microsoft
  • 00:02:02
    so when we look at these two and we look
  • 00:02:05
    at this overlap between the two you can
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    see that 33% of qqq's Holdings are also
  • 00:02:10
    in vgt as far as weight about 50% is
  • 00:02:15
    weighted between the two so this means
  • 00:02:17
    that you're basically buying the exact
  • 00:02:20
    same thing or very very similar to the
  • 00:02:22
    same thing just paying for it in two
  • 00:02:24
    different places if you're buying QQQ
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    and it has a high amount of apple and
  • 00:02:28
    Microsoft and then you're buying into
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    vgt who has a super high amount of apple
  • 00:02:33
    and Microsoft you're kind of just buying
  • 00:02:35
    the exact same thing but putting your
  • 00:02:37
    money in two places like I said this
  • 00:02:39
    isn't necessarily a huge wrong but it
  • 00:02:42
    could be and the way some of you are
  • 00:02:44
    doing it definitely is now yes there's
  • 00:02:47
    going to obviously be a bunch of overlap
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    between a fund whose big priority is
  • 00:02:51
    technology which is QQQ and then one
  • 00:02:54
    that's literally called a technology
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    fund vgt so you can see the similarity
  • 00:02:59
    there one that a lot of people kind of
  • 00:03:01
    forget about is when you're having that
  • 00:03:03
    foundational type ETF one like vti most
  • 00:03:05
    people have either Vu or vti in their
  • 00:03:08
    portfolio and then they add things to it
  • 00:03:11
    so when we look at QQQ versus
  • 00:03:14
    vti we're going to see that there's
  • 00:03:16
    still a huge amount of overlap
  • 00:03:18
    especially by weight here 93% of qqq's
  • 00:03:22
    100 Holdings are already in vti so if
  • 00:03:26
    you have vti and you're buying QQQ you
  • 00:03:29
    already have 93% of that in your vti
  • 00:03:32
    exposure you can also see down here that
  • 00:03:34
    we have a bunch of overlap in
  • 00:03:36
    specifically these companies Apple
  • 00:03:39
    Microsoft Amazon Nvidia and Google but
  • 00:03:41
    the mistake is not what some people
  • 00:03:43
    would make you think there's a lot of
  • 00:03:45
    people that think that fund overlap just
  • 00:03:47
    by itself is the bad thing and that is
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    incorrect just because you're buying
  • 00:03:52
    something that you already have a little
  • 00:03:54
    piece of over here doesn't make that bad
  • 00:03:57
    especially if the company's good right
  • 00:03:59
    like for me I really like apple and
  • 00:04:01
    Microsoft and I want a bunch of that in
  • 00:04:03
    my portfolio those are the two biggest
  • 00:04:05
    companies that we have and two of the
  • 00:04:07
    strongest and longterm I see them having
  • 00:04:09
    competitive Advantage so I want a lot of
  • 00:04:11
    exposure there so it's not fund overlap
  • 00:04:13
    that's the problem the problem comes
  • 00:04:16
    when you don't understand what the
  • 00:04:17
    overlap means and how it actually
  • 00:04:20
    affects your portfolio overall main
  • 00:04:23
    takeaway from this point number one is
  • 00:04:25
    that you need to understand that you do
  • 00:04:27
    have fund overlap if you have it and
  • 00:04:30
    then how much of it you actually have so
  • 00:04:32
    in the example that I've gone through so
  • 00:04:34
    far we looked at QQQ vgt and vti as long
  • 00:04:38
    as you understand all of the Holdings
  • 00:04:40
    within all of them and then how much of
  • 00:04:42
    a percentage you actually own and which
  • 00:04:44
    ones are higher weighted than others
  • 00:04:47
    that's going to be important for you
  • 00:04:48
    moving forward because you should
  • 00:04:50
    understand that in each one of them
  • 00:04:52
    you're buying into Apple in each one of
  • 00:04:53
    them you're buying into Microsoft and
  • 00:04:55
    Nvidia so then if you're looking to
  • 00:04:57
    invest in individual company and you
  • 00:04:59
    want to add stock to that ETF portfolio
  • 00:05:02
    it's probably not the most beneficial
  • 00:05:05
    idea for you to add another share of
  • 00:05:07
    Apple or another share of Microsoft
  • 00:05:09
    because you're already so heavily
  • 00:05:11
    weighted with what you already have but
  • 00:05:13
    if you do your research and you just
  • 00:05:15
    really really like that company and you
  • 00:05:17
    are totally fine having of your total
  • 00:05:19
    portfolio 50% be apple that's not the
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    craziest thing in the world as long as
  • 00:05:24
    you understand that that does have a
  • 00:05:25
    little bit higher of risk but the best
  • 00:05:27
    investor to do it does have a portfolio
  • 00:05:30
    with a very high amount of just Apple so
  • 00:05:33
    understand what's in your portfolio
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    understand what fund overlap is and then
  • 00:05:37
    make your decision off of that the next
  • 00:05:39
    mistake and number two has to do with
  • 00:05:41
    diversification as well but this is one
  • 00:05:44
    of the biggest mistakes that I
  • 00:05:45
    definitely see happen all the time it
  • 00:05:47
    kind of piggybacks off the first one
  • 00:05:49
    because traditionally the way to invest
  • 00:05:52
    the most optimal way to invest was this
  • 00:05:54
    idea that you should have very little to
  • 00:05:57
    no fund overlap whatsoever ever and so
  • 00:06:00
    diversification is very very important
  • 00:06:02
    and so if you're investing in two things
  • 00:06:04
    they need to be totally separate things
  • 00:06:07
    or at least that's what they used to say
  • 00:06:09
    and this was the idea of that old three
  • 00:06:10
    fund portfolio that did work for a while
  • 00:06:13
    but nowadays we have an update but
  • 00:06:15
    anyway everyone agrees that a portion of
  • 00:06:17
    your portfolio should be us equities or
  • 00:06:20
    US stocks and that would be a broad
  • 00:06:22
    Index Fund like the S&P 500 or the total
  • 00:06:26
    US Stock Market that's the first part of
  • 00:06:28
    the three fund portfolio then in the old
  • 00:06:30
    three fund portfolio they wanted
  • 00:06:31
    something that was also stocks but
  • 00:06:33
    totally opposite from that first part so
  • 00:06:36
    if the first part is US Stocks the
  • 00:06:38
    second portion needs to be non US Stocks
  • 00:06:41
    so just International exposure then the
  • 00:06:44
    third part of that fund is totally
  • 00:06:46
    different than the first two because the
  • 00:06:47
    first two were stocks so this third one
  • 00:06:50
    is not stocks and it's bonds now
  • 00:06:53
    obviously the problem with this old
  • 00:06:54
    three fund portfolio is the fact that
  • 00:06:56
    we've seen the data over the last 20
  • 00:06:58
    years and it's not so hot for those last
  • 00:07:01
    two pieces vxus would be that
  • 00:07:03
    International ETF and over the last 10
  • 00:07:06
    years the return has been about
  • 00:07:08
    3.7% and as far as the bond Returns the
  • 00:07:11
    BN ETF return has been
  • 00:07:14
    1.3% per year those are awful so my goal
  • 00:07:18
    just like wise investors and
  • 00:07:20
    specifically Warren Buffett is not to be
  • 00:07:23
    the most Diversified investor of all
  • 00:07:25
    time you don't get a prize for the most
  • 00:07:27
    diversification we think diversification
  • 00:07:31
    is as practice generally makes very
  • 00:07:34
    little sense for anyone that knows what
  • 00:07:35
    they're doing diversification is a
  • 00:07:37
    protection against ignorance I mean if
  • 00:07:39
    you want to make sure that nothing bad
  • 00:07:42
    happens to you relative to the market
  • 00:07:44
    you own everything there's nothing wrong
  • 00:07:45
    with that I mean that that is a
  • 00:07:46
    perfectly sound approach for somebody
  • 00:07:48
    who who does not feel they know how to
  • 00:07:50
    analyze businesses if you know how to
  • 00:07:53
    analyze businesses and value businesses
  • 00:07:56
    it's crazy to own 50 stocks or 40 stocks
  • 00:07:58
    or 30 stocks probably uh because there
  • 00:08:01
    aren't that many wonderful businesses at
  • 00:08:04
    that are understandable to a single
  • 00:08:06
    human being in all likelihood and it and
  • 00:08:09
    to have some super wonderful business
  • 00:08:12
    and then put money in number 30 or 35 on
  • 00:08:15
    your list of attractiveness and and
  • 00:08:16
    forego putting more money into number
  • 00:08:18
    one just strikes Charle in me as as as
  • 00:08:21
    Madness you know do I do I need to own
  • 00:08:23
    28 stocks in order you know have proper
  • 00:08:25
    diversification you know uh be nonsense
  • 00:08:29
    and the goal should be the best return
  • 00:08:32
    with the best long-term safety as well
  • 00:08:34
    the goal should be consistency and
  • 00:08:36
    sustainability my new three fund
  • 00:08:38
    portfolio is the updated version of that
  • 00:08:41
    old three fund portfolio and has been
  • 00:08:43
    absolutely crushing it and will continue
  • 00:08:46
    to for the foreseeable future in my
  • 00:08:48
    opinion I'll link to this video below
  • 00:08:50
    and also cue this video up at the end of
  • 00:08:53
    this current video so you can watch it
  • 00:08:55
    right away but this last common mistake
  • 00:08:57
    is by far the biggest
  • 00:08:59
    I just told you about fund overlap and
  • 00:09:01
    to look out for that and watch your
  • 00:09:03
    portfolio to make sure you don't have
  • 00:09:04
    too much or to at least understand what
  • 00:09:07
    and how much of what you are actually
  • 00:09:10
    invested in I also just said that you
  • 00:09:12
    should stop worrying about having the
  • 00:09:13
    most optimally Diversified portfolio in
  • 00:09:16
    the whole entire world and more so be
  • 00:09:18
    concerned with long-term results so the
  • 00:09:21
    common mistake I see here is that people
  • 00:09:23
    start to realize that maybe their
  • 00:09:25
    portfolio is wrong or it's not the most
  • 00:09:27
    optimal possible and so they keep
  • 00:09:29
    changing it up and they keep changing up
  • 00:09:31
    every month or every couple months based
  • 00:09:33
    off of something new that they just
  • 00:09:35
    learned the change is not the issue but
  • 00:09:38
    the method is now just keep in mind I
  • 00:09:40
    don't know what else you're invested in
  • 00:09:43
    I don't know your overall goals for
  • 00:09:45
    investing or at least your goals for
  • 00:09:47
    investing in this particular portfolio I
  • 00:09:49
    can't sit here and tell you you should
  • 00:09:51
    have this ETF or you shouldn't have this
  • 00:09:54
    one because each one of you has a
  • 00:09:55
    different investing outlook for example
  • 00:09:58
    REITs are are amazing especially for
  • 00:10:00
    dividend investing and bringing in Crazy
  • 00:10:03
    cash flow and passive income they bring
  • 00:10:05
    far more than good solid dividend stocks
  • 00:10:08
    like Johnson and Johnson or even the
  • 00:10:10
    best dividend ETF in CHD but I choose
  • 00:10:14
    those safe boring dividend companies or
  • 00:10:17
    shd over reats for me personally so if I
  • 00:10:21
    were to make a video on my five favorite
  • 00:10:23
    dividend Investments these types of
  • 00:10:26
    reats probably wouldn't make it into
  • 00:10:28
    that video specific specifically but
  • 00:10:29
    it's not because the reats aren't a good
  • 00:10:31
    investment and that you shouldn't invest
  • 00:10:33
    in them I just leave them out because I
  • 00:10:35
    already invest a fair amount of my
  • 00:10:37
    portfolio in real estate I have two
  • 00:10:40
    actual rental properties and that makes
  • 00:10:42
    up about half of my total portfolio as
  • 00:10:44
    far as money invested so if I were to
  • 00:10:46
    add reats or more real estate in that
  • 00:10:48
    form that would just overload and
  • 00:10:51
    increase my risk to be having so much in
  • 00:10:53
    one sector the biggest mistake anyone
  • 00:10:56
    could make in this investing world is
  • 00:10:58
    just to take somebody else's word for
  • 00:11:00
    their Investments or look at their
  • 00:11:02
    investments just copy it without doing
  • 00:11:05
    any extra research yourself and not
  • 00:11:07
    understand what it is that you're
  • 00:11:08
    investing in you need to understand not
  • 00:11:10
    only the investment itself but also what
  • 00:11:13
    your total goal is with your portfolio
  • 00:11:15
    my three fund portfolio is the best
  • 00:11:17
    place to start because especially if
  • 00:11:19
    you're new to investing or you need to
  • 00:11:21
    revamp your Investment Portfolio and get
  • 00:11:23
    it rebalanced these three is where 90%
  • 00:11:26
    of my stock and ETF portfolio lies and
  • 00:11:29
    gives you all the great things that I
  • 00:11:31
    talked about in this video especially a
  • 00:11:33
    monster long-term return with
  • 00:11:36
    consistency and safety check out this
  • 00:11:38
    video now for a more in-depth
  • 00:11:42
    explanation
Tags
  • ETF investing
  • fund overlap
  • diversification
  • investment mistakes
  • portfolio management
  • QQQ
  • VGT
  • VTI
  • investment strategy
  • Warren Buffett