How to Hire A Financial Advisor (FQF)

00:26:31
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YYdCzw5VMGc

Ringkasan

TLDRIn this "Five Question Friday" episode, the host addresses queries related to hiring financial advisors, Roth conversions, retirement asset allocation, and investing with variable income. He advises against financial advisors charging a typical 1% fee, suggesting alternative hourly or flat fee arrangements. The importance of considering Medicare premiums during Roth conversions is highlighted, recommending tools like Pralana to assist in these decisions. On asset allocation, the host suggests that Social Security should influence how much of one's savings is needed annually, potentially affecting stock allocation. For those with variable income, a substantial emergency fund in stable investments is advised. He concludes by confirming rebalancing between U.S. and international stocks due to their recent performance disparities.

Takeaways

  • πŸ“§ Signing up for the newsletter is straightforward and free.
  • πŸ’Ό Consider flat or hourly fee structures over typical advisory fees.
  • πŸ“‰ Assess Medicare premiums impact during Roth conversions.
  • πŸ’° A solid emergency fund helps when income is unpredictable.
  • πŸ“Š Rebalance portfolios based on performance disparities.
  • 🏠 Decide if face-to-face or remote financial advisory suits you.
  • πŸ”„ Revisit asset allocation when Social Security benefits apply.
  • πŸ” Do thorough due diligence on recommended advisors.
  • πŸ“ˆ Use financial tools for more precise planning.
  • 🌐 Diversification remains crucial despite market conditions.

Garis waktu

  • 00:00:00 - 00:05:00

    The speaker introduces the 'Five Question Friday' series and discusses how viewers can sign up for the newsletter and solve any subscription issues. The main question addressed is thoughts on hiring financial advisors, particularly opposing the standard 1% fee structure of financial advisors and advocating for alternative fee arrangements like hourly or flat fees. The emphasis is on understanding what services are needed from an advisor before hiring, whether it is for financial planning or investment management, and considering if a local or remote advisor suits one's needs better.

  • 00:05:00 - 00:10:00

    The discussion continues on the different fee structures of financial advisors, noting the importance of deciding between a local or remote advisor. The speaker advises doing due diligence when selecting an advisor and highlights the potential drawbacks of complex, expensive investment portfolios that some advisors might suggest to justify their fees. The recommendation is to opt for low-cost index funds and simpler portfolios. The speaker maintains a list of recommended advisors but stresses personal research before deciding.

  • 00:10:00 - 00:15:00

    The discussion moves to Roth conversions and the impact on Medicare premiums. The key point is to consider both current and future tax implications and the effect on Medicare premiums. Software tools like Balden and Prana for exploring various scenarios are mentioned. Using software or consulting with advisors for complex calculations is advised to make informed decisions on Roth conversions and related tax effects.

  • 00:15:00 - 00:20:00

    The speaker addresses asset allocation adjustments during retirement, particularly in relation to Social Security. The focus is on how the commencement of Social Security might influence withdrawal rates from retirement savings, affecting decisions on stock allocation. An increase in guaranteed income could allow for higher equity exposure if withdrawal needs are low. The advice is framed within the context of the 4% rule and personal comfort with equity exposure.

  • 00:20:00 - 00:26:31

    Ending with a focus on questions about diversification, particularly regarding US vs international stocks, the speaker emphasizes the importance of sticking with a diversified portfolio despite performance disparities. The tendency for some investors to focus on recent outperforming assets is cautioned against. The argument for diversification lies in historical cycles of performance and the inherent risks in concentrating investments. The segment ends with advice for maintaining a balanced and well-informed investment strategy.

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Video Tanya Jawab

  • What is the general stance on hiring a financial advisor?

    The host generally opposes advisors who charge a 1% fee based on assets under management and recommends finding advisors who charge a flat or hourly fee.

  • How should one approach Roth conversions with regard to Medicare premiums?

    Medicare premiums should be considered both at the time of Roth conversion and in the future when withdrawing funds. Tools like Pralana and WealthTrace can assist in planning.

  • How does Social Security affect asset allocation in retirement?

    The impact of Social Security on asset allocation depends on how much of the retirement savings is required annually; it might affect the level of stock allocation.

  • How to invest with variable or unpredictable income?

    It's best to maintain a large emergency fund, invested in stable options like T-bills, to manage investment and budget for unpredictable income.

  • Will you rebalance portfolios between U.S. and international stocks?

    Yes, and it’s already been done, as U.S. stocks have significantly outperformed international stocks recently.

  • What is the recommended fee structure for financial advisors?

    The host recommends flat fees or hourly fees over the traditional 1% assets under management fees.

  • What should be considered when working with a financial advisor remotely?

    Consider your comfort with remote interactions like Zoom or email, as it may limit your options geographically but increase them overall.

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Gulir Otomatis:
  • 00:00:00
    hey everybody welcome back to another
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    edition of five question Friday this is
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    that's how you sign up for the the news
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    letter okay so our five questions today
  • 00:01:26
    we're going to start with one uh that I
  • 00:01:29
    get a lot and it's basically my thoughts
  • 00:01:31
    on hiring folks for financial advice the
  • 00:01:34
    question was what are your thoughts on
  • 00:01:36
    hiring a financial adviser how do you
  • 00:01:38
    think people should choose one and
  • 00:01:40
    understand the cost versus value of all
  • 00:01:42
    the options out there so it's a really
  • 00:01:45
    good question and uh so let me give you
  • 00:01:47
    a few thoughts on it first of all as
  • 00:01:50
    longtime viewers know I'm I'm generally
  • 00:01:52
    opposed to uh the fee structure that a
  • 00:01:55
    lot of financial advisers charge where
  • 00:01:57
    they charge say 1%
  • 00:02:00
    of the amount of money they manage for
  • 00:02:03
    you so maybe they manage your a couple
  • 00:02:04
    of IAS and a taxable account and they're
  • 00:02:07
    going to charge you 1% a year based on
  • 00:02:10
    the amount that they manage for you so
  • 00:02:12
    for example if they manage a million
  • 00:02:15
    dollar that's $10,000 a year just as an
  • 00:02:18
    example hang on turn down a volume there
  • 00:02:21
    we go uh I'm generally opposed to that
  • 00:02:24
    we we you know it 1% may not seem like a
  • 00:02:27
    lot although when you actually translate
  • 00:02:29
    it into a number particularly if you've
  • 00:02:30
    got a fairly healthy retirement uh
  • 00:02:33
    savings it's a big number and when you
  • 00:02:36
    compound the cost of that over 10 20 30
  • 00:02:40
    years or longer it turns into a big pile
  • 00:02:43
    of cash and uh there are plenty of
  • 00:02:45
    financial advisors out there that that
  • 00:02:47
    will either charge just a flat fee
  • 00:02:49
    sometimes it's hourly sometimes it's a
  • 00:02:50
    flat fee or they may charge a percentage
  • 00:02:53
    of of assets under management but it's
  • 00:02:55
    much much lower than 1% I like to see it
  • 00:02:57
    at least under a half percent and there
  • 00:03:01
    are advisers out there that that charge
  • 00:03:04
    uh that much or or less but I would say
  • 00:03:07
    that the standard is 1% or more and it's
  • 00:03:11
    those kinds of Arrangements that I think
  • 00:03:13
    we should avoid now here if you're going
  • 00:03:15
    to hire a financial advisor I think the
  • 00:03:16
    first question though is what are you
  • 00:03:18
    hiring them for and they're usually sort
  • 00:03:21
    of two I'll call it two general buckets
  • 00:03:24
    uh one is you want some sort of
  • 00:03:25
    financial plan you have a specific
  • 00:03:27
    question or series of questions you know
  • 00:03:29
    maybe you're retiring and you want to
  • 00:03:31
    know when should you claim Social
  • 00:03:32
    Security should you buy an annuity
  • 00:03:34
    should you roll over your 401k to an IRA
  • 00:03:37
    how should you invest it these are
  • 00:03:39
    generally one-time questions maybe you
  • 00:03:42
    do a review every few years but of
  • 00:03:44
    course once you decide to take social
  • 00:03:46
    security at a particular age well you've
  • 00:03:48
    made that decision it's behind you so
  • 00:03:50
    these are not the kind of things that I
  • 00:03:52
    think anyone should be paying 1% a year
  • 00:03:54
    to an adviser for these are the kinds of
  • 00:03:57
    things that you can pay an hourly or
  • 00:03:59
    perhaps a fix rate advisor to do a
  • 00:04:01
    financial plan for you help you
  • 00:04:03
    understand these questions maybe Roth
  • 00:04:05
    conversions is another one get those
  • 00:04:07
    answers maybe you need a phone call
  • 00:04:09
    every couple of years if something
  • 00:04:11
    changes in your financial situation but
  • 00:04:13
    other than that it's it's generally just
  • 00:04:15
    a sort of a one-time thing with an
  • 00:04:17
    occasional followup and you shouldn't be
  • 00:04:20
    paying a percentage of your wealth for
  • 00:04:21
    that kind of advice it just doesn't make
  • 00:04:23
    any
  • 00:04:24
    sense then there's Investment Management
  • 00:04:26
    this is where the 1% fees often come in
  • 00:04:29
    into play
  • 00:04:30
    and here it's you want someone to
  • 00:04:32
    actually manage your Investments now
  • 00:04:33
    there are a couple of ways to do that
  • 00:04:35
    you can get advice from someone they can
  • 00:04:38
    actually lay out an investment plan for
  • 00:04:40
    you but you still manage it you actually
  • 00:04:42
    go into your own accounts you buy and
  • 00:04:45
    sell whatever ETFs for example they
  • 00:04:48
    recommend but you do it yourself but you
  • 00:04:50
    do it with the help of this individual
  • 00:04:53
    and for those kinds of Arrangements
  • 00:04:54
    again it's not a percentage of assets
  • 00:04:55
    under management it's usually an hourly
  • 00:04:58
    or or fixed rate of fee and I think
  • 00:05:00
    those can be very beneficial if you
  • 00:05:02
    actually want someone to take over your
  • 00:05:04
    Investments and and do all of the work
  • 00:05:06
    for you and rebalance that's when the 1%
  • 00:05:10
    uh advisors come into play but even
  • 00:05:12
    there you can find folks that will
  • 00:05:14
    charge an hourly fee or a a fixed rate
  • 00:05:17
    flat fee and I think generally those are
  • 00:05:19
    just better now I'll give you some
  • 00:05:21
    examples in just a minute the other
  • 00:05:23
    thing I would say though and this is
  • 00:05:24
    part of the decision you have to make do
  • 00:05:27
    you want someone who who's just down the
  • 00:05:28
    street you know you get in your car you
  • 00:05:30
    drive down there you look at them face
  • 00:05:31
    to face you have a
  • 00:05:33
    conversation or are you okay working
  • 00:05:35
    through Zoom calls over the Internet
  • 00:05:37
    maybe email that's a a big decision to
  • 00:05:40
    make as well obviously if you want
  • 00:05:43
    someone near where you live it's going
  • 00:05:45
    to limit your options it could be harder
  • 00:05:47
    to find someone within you know your
  • 00:05:50
    area where you live depending on you
  • 00:05:51
    know are you uh somewhere out in the in
  • 00:05:53
    the country with not a lot of options a
  • 00:05:55
    small town or are you in a big city
  • 00:05:57
    where maybe you have a lot of options
  • 00:05:58
    but that could could limit your options
  • 00:06:00
    but I do think it's an important
  • 00:06:01
    consideration because I know a lot of
  • 00:06:03
    folks want the comfort of someone they
  • 00:06:05
    can meet in person you know once a year
  • 00:06:07
    to talk about their finances I think
  • 00:06:09
    that's certainly understandable having
  • 00:06:11
    said all of that I do maintain a list
  • 00:06:14
    that I really want to add to it and I've
  • 00:06:17
    got several that I want to add to it of
  • 00:06:19
    investment advisors you'll notice
  • 00:06:21
    they're all men I am looking for women
  • 00:06:23
    to add to this uh I've had a few
  • 00:06:25
    recommendations but I didn't find their
  • 00:06:27
    fee structures appropriate they were all
  • 00:06:29
    charging 1% or more but if you know a
  • 00:06:32
    flat fee or lowcost advisors that you
  • 00:06:34
    would recommend please email me I'll add
  • 00:06:36
    them to the list I will say a couple
  • 00:06:38
    things about this list one I have no
  • 00:06:42
    Financial uh connection with any of
  • 00:06:44
    these individuals they're not paying me
  • 00:06:46
    to be listed here I don't make any money
  • 00:06:49
    uh at all of any kind no compensation
  • 00:06:51
    whatsoever if you hire any of these
  • 00:06:53
    individuals that's number one number two
  • 00:06:55
    some of these individuals I know fairly
  • 00:06:57
    well I've worked with Mark Zoro I've
  • 00:06:59
    known Rick Ferry for goodness a decade
  • 00:07:01
    or more see him at the boglehead
  • 00:07:03
    conference I know John from the
  • 00:07:04
    boglehead conference some of these
  • 00:07:06
    individuals I don't know I've just gone
  • 00:07:08
    to the websites I see that they're flat
  • 00:07:10
    fee uh and I've added them to the list
  • 00:07:12
    but the point is you need to do your own
  • 00:07:14
    due diligence don't don't take these as
  • 00:07:17
    recommendations from Rob Burger uh take
  • 00:07:20
    these as possible considerations you
  • 00:07:22
    need to do your due diligence I'll leave
  • 00:07:24
    a link to this page below the video the
  • 00:07:27
    other thing I would say if you're going
  • 00:07:29
    for investment advice whether you're
  • 00:07:31
    going to continue to manage your
  • 00:07:32
    Investments on your own or turn it over
  • 00:07:34
    to an individual to manage uh for you
  • 00:07:37
    you want to understand their investment
  • 00:07:39
    philosophy what I find is that for flat
  • 00:07:41
    fee and lowcost you know maybe hourly
  • 00:07:44
    advisors they tend to recommend lowcost
  • 00:07:48
    index funds a simple portfolio 3 four 5
  • 00:07:51
    six Investments and that's it it's
  • 00:07:53
    interesting to me that when you start to
  • 00:07:55
    get into paying someone 1% of your
  • 00:07:57
    wealth a year that's what I start to see
  • 00:08:00
    portfolios with sometimes dozens of ETFs
  • 00:08:04
    expensive actively managed funds what
  • 00:08:07
    looks like a really really complicated
  • 00:08:09
    portfolio I think sometimes this is just
  • 00:08:12
    my own view that advisers do that to try
  • 00:08:14
    to justify the expense if you're they're
  • 00:08:17
    charging you 1% a year but putting you
  • 00:08:18
    in just three or four lowcost index uh
  • 00:08:21
    funds I think clients could start to
  • 00:08:23
    wonder what am I what am I getting for
  • 00:08:24
    the money and uh so they often put you
  • 00:08:26
    in complex portfolios I personally would
  • 00:08:30
    avoid that so that's sort of a quick
  • 00:08:32
    answer to that question obviously
  • 00:08:34
    there's going to be a lot more that
  • 00:08:35
    you'll want to consider but that's my
  • 00:08:37
    sort of quick take on question number
  • 00:08:39
    one hiring a financial adviser a very
  • 00:08:41
    important question and um as I said if
  • 00:08:43
    you have other recommendations for that
  • 00:08:45
    page please send them to me I'll check
  • 00:08:47
    them out and add them if if I think it
  • 00:08:49
    makes sense all right question number
  • 00:08:52
    two most of the reasons I hear for Roth
  • 00:08:55
    conversions are related to taxes would
  • 00:08:57
    there ever be any reason to do a
  • 00:08:59
    conversion solely for keeping future
  • 00:09:02
    medicare premiums low so that's a a a
  • 00:09:05
    great question and we need to sort of
  • 00:09:06
    put it into some um perspective uh when
  • 00:09:09
    we're considering a Roth conversion you
  • 00:09:11
    know a Roth conversion effectively
  • 00:09:13
    allows you to take money out of a
  • 00:09:15
    traditional let's say Ira converted to a
  • 00:09:17
    Roth and you'll pay taxes in the year of
  • 00:09:21
    the conversion the year of that that
  • 00:09:22
    conversion happens the amount converted
  • 00:09:25
    assuming it's before tax dollars will be
  • 00:09:27
    treated as ordinary income in the year
  • 00:09:30
    that you converted it and so you'll pay
  • 00:09:31
    the taxes of course you don't have to
  • 00:09:33
    convert it right you could leave it
  • 00:09:35
    there and then presumably you would take
  • 00:09:37
    it out in retirement or when your rmds
  • 00:09:40
    required minimum distribution start you
  • 00:09:42
    know some number of years into the
  • 00:09:43
    future and so often we're trying to
  • 00:09:46
    compare what our tax liability would be
  • 00:09:48
    today if we did the conversion versus
  • 00:09:50
    what we think are you know our best
  • 00:09:52
    guesstimate of what the tax liability
  • 00:09:54
    would be you know some number of years
  • 00:09:56
    down the road when you pulled the money
  • 00:09:58
    out to spend in retire or perhaps
  • 00:10:00
    because of required minimum
  • 00:10:01
    distributions and so as a first step
  • 00:10:03
    we're often comparing our marginal tax
  • 00:10:06
    bracket today with what we think our
  • 00:10:09
    marginal tax bracket will be some point
  • 00:10:12
    in the future now the point this this
  • 00:10:14
    question though is an important one
  • 00:10:16
    because really ultimately what we want
  • 00:10:18
    to know is not our marginal tax bracket
  • 00:10:20
    that might be a perfectly fine starting
  • 00:10:22
    point but what we really want to know is
  • 00:10:24
    what our total taxes are going to be if
  • 00:10:26
    we convert today versus if we don't and
  • 00:10:28
    take the money out at some point in the
  • 00:10:30
    future some will refer to that as
  • 00:10:32
    marginal tax rates and say okay well
  • 00:10:34
    what's the difference between marginal
  • 00:10:35
    tax bracket and marginal tax rates well
  • 00:10:38
    we know what our our tax brackets are
  • 00:10:39
    I'll focus on the federal taxes you of
  • 00:10:42
    course you have to consider state taxes
  • 00:10:44
    as well but we know the federal tax
  • 00:10:45
    brackets we know what they are today we
  • 00:10:47
    can just guess at what they might be you
  • 00:10:49
    know whatever 10 or 15 or 20 years from
  • 00:10:51
    now uh those are our tax brackets but
  • 00:10:53
    depending on our income there could be
  • 00:10:55
    other I'll call them taxes like in the
  • 00:10:59
    question here Medicare we have the Irma
  • 00:11:01
    premium so if you depending on how much
  • 00:11:03
    your taxable income is you could end up
  • 00:11:05
    having to pay extra for Medicare uh it
  • 00:11:08
    could affect uh how much of your Social
  • 00:11:10
    Security benefits are are taxed and it
  • 00:11:13
    could affect other aspects of your tax
  • 00:11:15
    situation so what we really want to know
  • 00:11:17
    are not our tax brackets marginal tax
  • 00:11:19
    brackets but our marginal tax rate and
  • 00:11:22
    as you can imagine that gets complicated
  • 00:11:23
    but the short answer to the viewer's
  • 00:11:25
    question is yes we do want to consider
  • 00:11:28
    Medicare premiums among other things and
  • 00:11:31
    we want to consider them both when we're
  • 00:11:33
    thinking about a Roth conversion today
  • 00:11:35
    now you may be too young maybe you're
  • 00:11:36
    not on Medicare maybe you're not um even
  • 00:11:40
    within two years of Medicare where where
  • 00:11:42
    your your income could affect uh uh Irma
  • 00:11:45
    uh when you start to take Medicare um so
  • 00:11:48
    maybe it's not an issue today it's only
  • 00:11:49
    an issue down the road or maybe it is an
  • 00:11:52
    issue during your raw of conversion but
  • 00:11:53
    the point is you want to consider them
  • 00:11:55
    both at the time of the conversion if
  • 00:11:57
    appropriate and then when you might take
  • 00:11:59
    the money out otherwise in retirement if
  • 00:12:01
    you don't convert today now there are
  • 00:12:03
    programs that can help you uh figure
  • 00:12:05
    that out Prana is one Balin is another
  • 00:12:08
    I've talked about these a lot uh on the
  • 00:12:10
    show I will show you briefly balen just
  • 00:12:12
    so you get a flavor for it this is a
  • 00:12:14
    demo account I know we're kind of going
  • 00:12:16
    into the weeds but I know this is an
  • 00:12:17
    important issue so I'll show you two
  • 00:12:20
    things uh quickly with uh with Balon
  • 00:12:22
    again prayana does does something
  • 00:12:25
    similar but Bolton has a Roth conversion
  • 00:12:28
    Explorer and one of the things you can
  • 00:12:30
    say is okay I want to do Roth
  • 00:12:31
    conversions but I don't want my total
  • 00:12:34
    income to to go up to a point where I'm
  • 00:12:36
    going to have to pay extra uh premiums
  • 00:12:39
    for Med Medicare and you can select
  • 00:12:41
    which one you want you know you could
  • 00:12:42
    say well I don't want to pay any Irma so
  • 00:12:44
    I want to select this first one here no
  • 00:12:46
    Irma charge or you could select one of
  • 00:12:49
    these others well I'm I'm willing to pay
  • 00:12:50
    $70 a month per person let's pick this
  • 00:12:53
    one and uh you can run the optimization
  • 00:12:57
    plan and it will show you the the
  • 00:12:59
    conversions it's recommending again just
  • 00:13:02
    based on keeping you within a certain
  • 00:13:04
    Irma
  • 00:13:05
    bracket uh it'll compare your optimized
  • 00:13:07
    plan with your current plan it'll show
  • 00:13:10
    you your your effective federal income
  • 00:13:12
    tax rate we talked about that right tax
  • 00:13:15
    liability and then your Irma fees it
  • 00:13:17
    shows you you do have some Irma fees
  • 00:13:19
    here and then they drop off so the idea
  • 00:13:21
    is these are the fees that we sort of
  • 00:13:23
    agreed to when we ran this Roth Explorer
  • 00:13:25
    remember we selected one that said yeah
  • 00:13:27
    we're willing to pay a little bit in
  • 00:13:28
    Irma
  • 00:13:29
    uh but but that of course reduces uh our
  • 00:13:32
    traditional retirement accounts and so
  • 00:13:35
    as as a result we can see once rmds kick
  • 00:13:37
    in we're not paying uh we're not paying
  • 00:13:41
    any Irma now we could of course edit
  • 00:13:42
    this and we could come back here and we
  • 00:13:45
    could say well let's try it with no Irma
  • 00:13:47
    charge and it of course reruns the
  • 00:13:49
    number and it's apparently not showing
  • 00:13:51
    any Irma fees of course that's based on
  • 00:13:53
    the specific uh numbers I have in this
  • 00:13:56
    demo uh plan uh so you could you could
  • 00:13:59
    play with that if you use Balden again
  • 00:14:00
    Prana does something similar the other
  • 00:14:02
    thing I would mention in Balden is they
  • 00:14:05
    have under insights right let me close
  • 00:14:07
    all these uh under insights go down to
  • 00:14:11
    Irma it will show you your current Irma
  • 00:14:13
    fees based on whatever plan uh you have
  • 00:14:16
    that's your modified adjusted gross
  • 00:14:18
    income it's not showing any Irma now uh
  • 00:14:21
    at the moment again that's just based on
  • 00:14:23
    the data I have in this plan but if you
  • 00:14:24
    were going to incur additional medicare
  • 00:14:27
    premiums they would show up here so
  • 00:14:30
    there you go um I you know I do think
  • 00:14:33
    with this kind of calculation it's
  • 00:14:35
    helpful to either use some software
  • 00:14:37
    Bowen is just one example uh or perhaps
  • 00:14:40
    talk to a tax or financial uh planner
  • 00:14:42
    the comp the calculations can get
  • 00:14:44
    complicated I find using software like
  • 00:14:47
    bolon to be helpful all right great
  • 00:14:49
    question though all right question
  • 00:14:52
    number three once you start taking
  • 00:14:54
    social security do you they're asking me
  • 00:14:57
    personally do I plan on increasing
  • 00:14:59
    my stock allocation am I going to change
  • 00:15:01
    my asset allocation uh once Social
  • 00:15:04
    Security kicks in and I here's basically
  • 00:15:06
    how I think about this question and it's
  • 00:15:08
    it's really broader than just Social
  • 00:15:10
    Security it's how I think about asset
  • 00:15:12
    allocation in retirement and and it it's
  • 00:15:15
    this for me question one is how much of
  • 00:15:18
    my retirement savings do I need to pull
  • 00:15:20
    out each year during retirement now of
  • 00:15:22
    course uh as I have more uh sources of
  • 00:15:25
    other income could be Social Security
  • 00:15:27
    like the viewer was asking about could
  • 00:15:29
    be an annuity a pension could be
  • 00:15:31
    part-time income but I'm going to have
  • 00:15:33
    some amount of of of income coming in
  • 00:15:35
    outside of my retirement savings and of
  • 00:15:38
    course the more income I have coming in
  • 00:15:40
    the less I'll need to pull from
  • 00:15:42
    retirement savings so but that's the
  • 00:15:45
    question how much do I need to pull from
  • 00:15:46
    retirement Savings of course once Social
  • 00:15:48
    Security starts that number is
  • 00:15:50
    presumably going to go down right and so
  • 00:15:53
    for me when I think about how much I'm
  • 00:15:55
    going to pull from retirement savings if
  • 00:15:58
    I'm somewhere around I'll just generally
  • 00:16:00
    say 4 to 5% you've probably heard of the
  • 00:16:02
    4% rule uh popularized by Bill bingan in
  • 00:16:05
    the 1994 paper uh I've talked a lot
  • 00:16:08
    about that in other videos but if I'm
  • 00:16:10
    somewhere around four to
  • 00:16:12
    5% uh in withdrawals I'm going to want
  • 00:16:15
    my asset allocation to be somewhere
  • 00:16:16
    between 50 and
  • 00:16:18
    75% in equities in stock now uh is that
  • 00:16:22
    a guarantee that my money will last at
  • 00:16:23
    least 30 years as Bill ban concluded in
  • 00:16:26
    his 1994 paper no it's not uh what he
  • 00:16:29
    found is historically it would last at
  • 00:16:31
    least 30 years with an asset allocation
  • 00:16:33
    somewhere between 50 and 75% in stocks
  • 00:16:36
    there's obviously no guarantees uh for
  • 00:16:38
    the future but I think it's
  • 00:16:40
    as as reasonable uh a result as we can
  • 00:16:44
    we can sort of arrive at given what we
  • 00:16:46
    know in my case I prefer to get as close
  • 00:16:49
    to the 75% in equities as as as I'm
  • 00:16:52
    comfortable which is basically where I
  • 00:16:54
    am right now with our asset allocation
  • 00:16:55
    now to the viewer's question once Social
  • 00:16:58
    Security kicks in uh will I change it
  • 00:17:01
    well in our case it depends on just how
  • 00:17:04
    much Social Security will matter so for
  • 00:17:08
    example if let's just imagine you're at
  • 00:17:09
    4.2 uh% taken out of your retirement
  • 00:17:12
    account and it's going to drop you to
  • 00:17:14
    3.9 I'm just making up numbers it
  • 00:17:17
    probably wouldn't change a lot but but
  • 00:17:20
    let's say social security was going to
  • 00:17:21
    be a significant part of your retirement
  • 00:17:23
    income and it took you from again I'm
  • 00:17:25
    just making up numbers 4% to 2% well
  • 00:17:28
    well then that gives you a lot of I
  • 00:17:30
    think um options with your your
  • 00:17:33
    retirement portfolio because you're only
  • 00:17:35
    withdrawing
  • 00:17:36
    2% I think it it's probably safer if you
  • 00:17:40
    wanted to increase your your stock
  • 00:17:42
    allocation the idea I think there would
  • 00:17:44
    be look I'm spending a relatively small
  • 00:17:46
    percentage I'm assuming we're retiring
  • 00:17:48
    at traditional ages let's say in our 60s
  • 00:17:50
    maybe you start taking social security
  • 00:17:52
    at 70 as an example uh I'm not spending
  • 00:17:55
    a lot of our retirement portfolio which
  • 00:17:58
    means I'm really leaving it for
  • 00:18:00
    Charities or loved ones when I die and I
  • 00:18:02
    want it to grow I'm not needing much of
  • 00:18:04
    it uh each year in retirement so I might
  • 00:18:07
    be more comfortable perhaps even going
  • 00:18:09
    above the 75% stock allocation in that
  • 00:18:13
    situation yeah Social Security or other
  • 00:18:15
    forms of income that might start at some
  • 00:18:17
    point in retirement might indeed change
  • 00:18:19
    my asset allocation a bit uh but if if
  • 00:18:23
    it didn't make a big change in how much
  • 00:18:25
    I was spending out of our retirement
  • 00:18:26
    accounts then it wouldn't that's at
  • 00:18:28
    least how I think about it all right
  • 00:18:30
    great question all right that was
  • 00:18:32
    question three I think question four uh
  • 00:18:36
    how do you this comes from VJ he's from
  • 00:18:37
    Michigan I like VJ we actually got to
  • 00:18:40
    meet once in the real world okay how do
  • 00:18:43
    you uh and your spouse invest in 401K
  • 00:18:46
    Ira Roth taxable accounts if you have
  • 00:18:49
    variable or unpredictable income each
  • 00:18:52
    year that's a great question and I know
  • 00:18:54
    you know we often get that question not
  • 00:18:55
    only in terms of how do you invest but
  • 00:18:57
    how do you budget uh when you don't know
  • 00:18:59
    your income uh from month to month right
  • 00:19:01
    now my wife and I our income is variable
  • 00:19:04
    uh year to year because it comes from
  • 00:19:06
    things like this YouTube channel so yeah
  • 00:19:07
    it absolutely varies from month to month
  • 00:19:10
    uh and from year to year and here's the
  • 00:19:12
    way I think about it the the issue in
  • 00:19:14
    terms of how you invest when your income
  • 00:19:16
    is variable is that from one year to the
  • 00:19:18
    next you don't know how much you're
  • 00:19:20
    going to need to draw from your
  • 00:19:22
    Investments uh now you may have some
  • 00:19:25
    rough idea it may be a range maybe some
  • 00:19:28
    of your you don't need to draw from it
  • 00:19:29
    at all you've got a side income uh in
  • 00:19:31
    retirement maybe a a part-time job or
  • 00:19:34
    side hustle plus Social Security and a
  • 00:19:36
    pension and maybe some years you don't
  • 00:19:38
    need to take anything out but other
  • 00:19:39
    years maybe you do or if you haven't
  • 00:19:41
    retired yet uh you know you you may need
  • 00:19:44
    to pull out some money you'd saved
  • 00:19:46
    previously just to cover your expenses
  • 00:19:47
    because maybe your income is at down one
  • 00:19:50
    year as compared to the previous year
  • 00:19:51
    and so the way I think about this is
  • 00:19:53
    simply I manage it through an emergency
  • 00:19:56
    fund I think the more variable my income
  • 00:19:59
    is the bigger an emergency fund I'm
  • 00:20:01
    going to want to have saved typically
  • 00:20:04
    for me right now in t- bills uh and uh
  • 00:20:07
    you know they're they're fairly tax
  • 00:20:09
    efficient you don't pay state and local
  • 00:20:10
    income tax on on on the interest uh
  • 00:20:13
    they're highly they're about a secure
  • 00:20:15
    investment as we're going to get in this
  • 00:20:16
    life uh and uh the yields are are are
  • 00:20:19
    reasonably good certainly comparable to
  • 00:20:21
    say a savings account or short-term
  • 00:20:23
    certificate of deposit or maybe a money
  • 00:20:26
    market I think money market funds uh
  • 00:20:28
    could be a good option
  • 00:20:29
    uh as well but the more variable my
  • 00:20:31
    income the more I'm going to want to
  • 00:20:33
    save in an emergency fund and I think
  • 00:20:35
    the amount just depends on just how
  • 00:20:37
    variable your income can be from year to
  • 00:20:40
    year maybe it just fluctuates 10 or 20%
  • 00:20:42
    but maybe it fluctuates 50 or 75% you're
  • 00:20:45
    going to need a bigger emergency fund in
  • 00:20:47
    our case I'm just comfortable having one
  • 00:20:49
    year's uh worth of expenses and that
  • 00:20:52
    gives me plenty of time to prepare if
  • 00:20:54
    the income should should should fall uh
  • 00:20:57
    below you know what I expected or maybe
  • 00:20:59
    one year it goes up and I you know
  • 00:21:00
    either way I that's just sort of my
  • 00:21:02
    comfort level what will be comfortable
  • 00:21:04
    for you of course will no doubt VAR but
  • 00:21:07
    one year I think it it will give me
  • 00:21:10
    enough time to adapt uh to any changes
  • 00:21:13
    that I see in our income and once I have
  • 00:21:16
    that then I can go ahead and invest my
  • 00:21:19
    accounts in my asset allocation plan
  • 00:21:21
    without too much concern in our case
  • 00:21:24
    it's roughly 75% stocks 25% bonds and I
  • 00:21:27
    take some comfort that 25% bonds as well
  • 00:21:30
    because that's fixed income It's
  • 00:21:32
    relatively uh safe uh and generally not
  • 00:21:35
    particularly volatile and I know that I
  • 00:21:36
    could draw on that as well uh if I had
  • 00:21:39
    to so VJ that's at least how I think
  • 00:21:41
    about that question all right our last
  • 00:21:44
    question this is an easy one they want
  • 00:21:46
    to know if I plan to rebalance our
  • 00:21:49
    portfolio by selling us uh equities and
  • 00:21:53
    buying International uh stocks why
  • 00:21:56
    because US Stocks far outper formed uh
  • 00:21:59
    International stocks and I can actually
  • 00:22:01
    show you this real quick we'll take a
  • 00:22:03
    quick look here so this is let's see
  • 00:22:08
    here I'm just showing you the
  • 00:22:11
    um Apple stock app and everything's down
  • 00:22:15
    today boy this is ugly anyway uh if we
  • 00:22:18
    look at the S&P 500 year to date you
  • 00:22:21
    probably can't read that but it's around
  • 00:22:22
    25 to 26% that's US Stocks that's what
  • 00:22:25
    they're up uh we can look at vti which
  • 00:22:28
    is is the uh total Market it's up uh
  • 00:22:31
    24.5% year to date so that's you know US
  • 00:22:34
    Stocks we'll just call it 25% vxus which
  • 00:22:37
    is a total International stock fund
  • 00:22:39
    listen to this this is ugly
  • 00:22:42
    3.66% wow uh yeah 3.66% so the short
  • 00:22:46
    answer to your question is uh yes not
  • 00:22:48
    only am I going to uh effectively sell
  • 00:22:51
    us equities to rebounds I already did I
  • 00:22:54
    did it a few weeks ago when I was
  • 00:22:56
    simplifying our investments inside of
  • 00:22:58
    our traditional retirement accounts uh I
  • 00:23:01
    saw that US Stocks had grown relative to
  • 00:23:04
    my plan and so I did and this is the
  • 00:23:06
    thing to understand about being
  • 00:23:08
    Diversified uh whenever you have a
  • 00:23:10
    diversified portfolio there will always
  • 00:23:13
    always always be some asset class that's
  • 00:23:16
    underperforming some other asset class
  • 00:23:19
    in your portfolio that's just what it
  • 00:23:21
    that's just the sort of the bargain it's
  • 00:23:23
    it's what we accept when we when we
  • 00:23:25
    diversify and I think what a lot of
  • 00:23:27
    folks do particular particularly when an
  • 00:23:29
    asset class underperforms like
  • 00:23:31
    International stocks have for a number
  • 00:23:33
    of years in a a row they grow weary of
  • 00:23:35
    that they just get tired of seeing that
  • 00:23:37
    underperformance and they see other
  • 00:23:39
    people on whatever X or Reddit or you
  • 00:23:42
    know Facebook talking about how their US
  • 00:23:44
    Stocks or their Bitcoin or their tech
  • 00:23:47
    stocks are on fire and how much money
  • 00:23:49
    they're making and I think it can cause
  • 00:23:51
    us to sort of really say yeah I'm not
  • 00:23:53
    sure about Rob and his International
  • 00:23:55
    stocks this isn't making much sense to
  • 00:23:56
    me but when you take a much bigger view
  • 00:23:59
    of of of the history of stock markets
  • 00:24:03
    asset classes investing generally what
  • 00:24:06
    you realize is all of these things go in
  • 00:24:09
    cycles and yes International stocks have
  • 00:24:11
    underperformed US stocks for uh I guess
  • 00:24:14
    13 14 years now the first decade of this
  • 00:24:17
    Century International stocks outperform
  • 00:24:19
    but since you know the Great Recession
  • 00:24:21
    and a few years after that US Stocks
  • 00:24:23
    have have have beat them by quite a lot
  • 00:24:26
    but I know I believe that that's not
  • 00:24:28
    going to last forever and I'd just
  • 00:24:29
    assume be Diversified recognizing that
  • 00:24:32
    yes for some periods of time my
  • 00:24:34
    International stocks like like this year
  • 00:24:37
    don't look so good I'm I'm willing to
  • 00:24:39
    pay that price for the benefits of
  • 00:24:42
    diversification uh I would just say for
  • 00:24:45
    those that are just no I like US stocks
  • 00:24:47
    and you maybe invest in I don't know the
  • 00:24:49
    S&P 500 I would say well if you're going
  • 00:24:52
    to make an investment based just on
  • 00:24:54
    what's outperformed on the last whatever
  • 00:24:57
    decade or so why do you own the S&P 500
  • 00:24:59
    it clearly hasn't outperformed why not
  • 00:25:01
    go with QQQ or some tech stock or for
  • 00:25:04
    that matter Bitcoin I mean uh it's some
  • 00:25:06
    point we have to ask ourselves how far
  • 00:25:10
    uh how much diversification are we
  • 00:25:12
    willing to get rid of to focus our
  • 00:25:15
    portfolio on a specific asset class
  • 00:25:18
    because it's done well over whatever the
  • 00:25:20
    last decade how much risk are we re
  • 00:25:22
    really willing to take because you can
  • 00:25:25
    always just keep going don't stop at the
  • 00:25:26
    total US market go to the S&P 500 don't
  • 00:25:29
    stop at the S&P 500 go to Just Tech high
  • 00:25:32
    growth stocks right don't don't stop
  • 00:25:34
    there just go to the Magnificent 7 I
  • 00:25:36
    mean we could keep going and each step
  • 00:25:39
    we would look back over the last 10
  • 00:25:40
    years or so and see more and more higher
  • 00:25:42
    returns but of course each step we take
  • 00:25:45
    we're we're we're shedding some
  • 00:25:47
    diversification and I think setting up
  • 00:25:49
    our portfolio for pretty significant
  • 00:25:52
    loss at some point in the future now
  • 00:25:55
    some could say maybe I'm not Diversified
  • 00:25:57
    enough maybe I need to have even more
  • 00:25:59
    International stocks I guess at the end
  • 00:26:01
    of the day we have to kind of arrive at
  • 00:26:02
    a place where we're comfortable in my
  • 00:26:04
    view that that that point should be
  • 00:26:06
    where you're comfortable staying for
  • 00:26:08
    decades that's at least what I try to
  • 00:26:10
    accomplish with our portfolio well there
  • 00:26:13
    you go some great questions uh this week
  • 00:26:16
    and uh I hope you have a great week
  • 00:26:18
    there will again there will be another
  • 00:26:19
    live show January 6 and there should be
  • 00:26:21
    another five question Friday a week from
  • 00:26:24
    today hope you have a great week and
  • 00:26:26
    until then remember the best thing can
  • 00:26:28
    buy is Financial Freedom
Tags
  • Financial Advisors
  • Roth Conversions
  • Investment Strategies
  • Social Security
  • Asset Allocation
  • Emergency Fund
  • Portfolio Rebalancing
  • Medicare Premiums
  • Tax Planning
  • Retirement Planning