Fractals Basics explained in detail I Russell Capital Group

00:50:52
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GwAhRhh9rU0

Ringkasan

TLDREl vídeo és una explicació sobre els conceptes bàsics dels fractals en trading, centrat en la interacció entre els números de PIV, les transicions de mercat i l'ús de waves per a estratègies de trading. S'explica que un nombre més alt de PIV resulta en menys transicions a la gràfica, mentre que un nombre més baix permet observar més moviment. Les línies de suport i resistència es descriuen mitjançant imprints i les seves implicacions en la presa de decisions de trading. També es presenta l'analitzador d'opcions com una eina útil per avaluar probabilitats

Takeaways

  • 📈 Entendre el concepte de fractals és essencial per al trading.
  • 📊 Un nombre alt de PIV implica menys transicions en el mercat.
  • 🚀 Les onades es poden utilitzar per a estratègies de swing i scalping.
  • 🔍 Les línies de suport (imprints negres) i resistència (línies vermelles) són vitals per identificar punts d'entrada i sortida.
  • 🔗 La compressió de la desviació estàndard indica possibles moviments explosius en el mercat.
  • 📊 L'analitzador d'opcions ajuda a predir la probabilitat de formació de màxims i mínims.
  • 🌀 La funcionalitat de replay en gràfics permet practicar i revisar estratègies.
  • ⚖️ Les probabilitats són essencials per avaluar les meves oportunitats de trading.

Garis waktu

  • 00:00:00 - 00:05:00

    En aquest vídeo, Rob conversa amb un membre de RCG sobre els conceptes bàsics dels fractals i l'anàlisi de gràfics. Explica que l'ús de nombres més alts redueix les transicions visibles en els gràfics, així com la importància del concepte del PIV com a punt neutral.

  • 00:05:00 - 00:10:00

    Continuant la discussió, Rob mostra com els diferents nombres de pes afecten les següents transicions en el mercat i la importància del nombre de dies per entendre millor les tendències recents de moviment del mercat.

  • 00:10:00 - 00:15:00

    Rob especifica que per a operacions de scalping es poden utilitzar nombres de pes més baixos, mentre que per al swing trading es poden usar nombres més alts. Comença a entrar en detalls sobre la importància de les línies de suport i resistència.

  • 00:15:00 - 00:20:00

    Es discuteix la formació de resistències a partir de les transicions del mercat. Rob explica com les línies negres representen suport i les línies vermelles, resistència, i proporciona exemples visuals del gràfic.

  • 00:20:00 - 00:25:00

    Rob continua amb l'explicació sobre la formació de clústers a partir de repunts repetits en el mercat. Indica que les resistències es poden usar per identificar àrees crítiques en les tendències de preus.

  • 00:25:00 - 00:30:00

    El vídeo es mou cap a la discussió sobre la darrera línia de defensa, que és fonamental per identificar punts de ruptura en el mercat. Rob explica com les àrees clares de resistència poden facilitar els comerços.

  • 00:30:00 - 00:35:00

    Després, es presenten els conceptes de probabilitats de preu i com els valors “H” i “L” ajuden a identificar alçades i baixades importants en els gràfics. Un enfocament detallat sobre les probabilitats per a les tendències de mercat és presentat.

  • 00:35:00 - 00:40:00

    Rob explica l'eina de l'analitzador d'opcions, que ajuda a identificar les probabilitats de formació de màxims i mínims. Proporciona exemples de com els gràfics mostren la probabilitat d'aconseguir un determinat màxim o mínim.

  • 00:40:00 - 00:45:00

    Sobretot, Rob detalla les aplicacions pràctiques de les eines descrites en la gestió del mercat, i com aquestes poden ser útils per als operadors a l'hora d'analitzar el comportament dels preus.

  • 00:45:00 - 00:50:52

    El vídeo conclou amb Rob recordant l'important de la pràctica i la revisió d'aquests conceptes per dominar l'anàlisi dels gràfics i les tendències del mercat.

Tampilkan lebih banyak

Peta Pikiran

Video Tanya Jawab

  • Què són els fractals en el context del trading?

    Els fractals són patrons en els gràfics de preus que ajuden a identificar possibles punts d'entrada i sortida en les operacions.

  • Com afecten els nombres de PIV a les transicions del mercat?

    Un nombre més alt de PIV resulta en menys transicions visibles a la gràfica, mentre que un nombre més baix mostra més moviment.

  • Quina és la relació entre les onades i les estratègies de trading?

    Per estratègies de swing trading, s'utilitzen més onades, mentre que per al scalping es fa servir menys onades.

  • Com s'identifiquen les línies de suport i resistència?

    Les línies de suport són indicades per imprints negres en el gràfic, mentre que les línies de resistència es representen amb línies vermelles.

  • Què és la compressió de la desviació estàndard?

    La compressió de la desviació estàndard indica que es pot esperar un moviment explosiu en el mercat, però no determina la direcció d'aquest.

  • Quina utilitat té l'analitzador d'opcions?

    L'analitzador d'opcions proporciona la probabilitat de què es formi un màxim o un mínim en funció de les dades històriques.

  • Com s'usa la funcionalitat de replay en els gràfics de fractals?

    La funcionalitat de replay permet revisar moviments passats del gràfic per practicar estratègies de trading.

  • Quina és la importància de les probabiliats en trading?

    Les probabilitats ajuden a determinar si un trade és favorable o no, avaluant la història de moviments del mercat.

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Teks
en
Gulir Otomatis:
  • 00:00:00
    hi uh welcome back to another video I'm
  • 00:00:03
    Rob so this video is a call between one
  • 00:00:06
    of the members of rcg and me and I
  • 00:00:09
    explained the fractal Basics to them so
  • 00:00:12
    anybody new to the fractals watching
  • 00:00:14
    this video this can be very helpful to
  • 00:00:16
    them and anybody who wants to revise
  • 00:00:19
    their Concepts and they do not
  • 00:00:20
    understand something about the options
  • 00:00:23
    analyzer and the fractal charts Basics
  • 00:00:26
    they can watch this video and so yeah
  • 00:00:29
    just enjoy the video and have a good day
  • 00:00:32
    okay okay so I was explaining what is a
  • 00:00:36
    simple concept is that the higher the
  • 00:00:39
    number use the lower transations you
  • 00:00:42
    will see on the chart okay like right
  • 00:00:45
    here uh the market move from above the
  • 00:00:48
    per to below the PIV so like that s
  • 00:00:50
    transition okay Market from below the
  • 00:00:53
    PIV to about like that position okay so
  • 00:00:56
    like we are using R 10 here so we see
  • 00:01:00
    that we very limited my transations
  • 00:01:03
    right I'm I'm I'm audible right
  • 00:01:10
    yeah
  • 00:01:11
    okay so you can see that we have very
  • 00:01:14
    limited amount of transition sorry the
  • 00:01:17
    limited amount of base right now I'm
  • 00:01:19
    going to move it to like 50 and just
  • 00:01:22
    notice the transition right the last 10
  • 00:01:25
    days we are in the B 10 we so like funny
  • 00:01:29
    but just say or after transs of the the
  • 00:01:35
    with we are see one two
  • 00:01:39
    right you can see the difference so like
  • 00:01:43
    it is the same rule of for the lower
  • 00:01:45
    number of P for
  • 00:01:47
    example the lower the big number
  • 00:01:52
    use the
  • 00:01:54
    Lesser both the
  • 00:01:57
    conditions the higher
  • 00:02:02
    number you will see on your
  • 00:02:06
    chart number the higher the number of
  • 00:02:10
    Foundations you will see your J okay let
  • 00:02:15
    me let me see if I get let me see if I
  • 00:02:18
    get so the lower the the number of
  • 00:02:24
    Weights you will see more
  • 00:02:28
    movement below
  • 00:02:31
    or above
  • 00:02:33
    P the higher the number of the Waves you
  • 00:02:37
    would see less moves below or above
  • 00:02:44
    period all right you got it okay perfect
  • 00:02:48
    yes that's perfect yeah the greater of
  • 00:02:51
    you're using wa what right
  • 00:02:54
    50 minut it right get this right they're
  • 00:02:59
    like what yeah have 40 to 50 rations
  • 00:03:01
    more less in the past 10
  • 00:03:05
    day 15 minute right yeah so
  • 00:03:10
    like it makes sense the definition I
  • 00:03:14
    just gave you
  • 00:03:17
    that so we move to w we should say Les
  • 00:03:25
    move yeah you going see right here make
  • 00:03:29
    sense
  • 00:03:31
    pop up refresh okay yeah I
  • 00:03:35
    see that's probably or 12 8 to 12 cycle
  • 00:03:40
    something like that
  • 00:03:42
    right the more of that actually I so
  • 00:03:46
    okay let's just count one two three four
  • 00:03:50
    uh
  • 00:03:51
    five yeah five six 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
  • 00:03:57
    yeah you were right so like
  • 00:04:00
    8 to 12 like 13 transitions in the past
  • 00:04:03
    10 days with W at 15 minut with
  • 00:04:10
    shft make sense yes
  • 00:04:13
    yeah now I'm going to
  • 00:04:16
    chle so the idea of the wage are if you
  • 00:04:21
    want if you want to um
  • 00:04:30
    yeah go bird if you want to do like U if
  • 00:04:35
    you want to work a swing you would have
  • 00:04:39
    more waves if you want to do like scalps
  • 00:04:43
    you will do uh less
  • 00:04:49
    waves um yeah right okay
  • 00:04:53
    yeah so like you know the point of Lage
  • 00:04:57
    is that youing more crun
  • 00:05:00
    right you can do do like quick by R
  • 00:05:02
    trade okay like you know if you can just
  • 00:05:05
    see this
  • 00:05:07
    s
  • 00:05:09
    okay don't talk about cyle just not talk
  • 00:05:14
    about them right now and we copy that
  • 00:05:17
    but like the lower wave number can be
  • 00:05:20
    used for
  • 00:05:21
    scalps absolutely correct for scalps
  • 00:05:25
    even using that the tire base okay I'm
  • 00:05:27
    going to show that to you
  • 00:05:30
    then I'm done with the
  • 00:05:32
    solarization option right here so like
  • 00:05:35
    that and I makes sense with it name that
  • 00:05:38
    it loads the number
  • 00:05:40
    data want see right now see that so like
  • 00:05:46
    I want to see more day I want to see
  • 00:05:48
    more resistance I want to see more
  • 00:05:50
    support I'll
  • 00:05:52
    go the D right so the number of dat data
  • 00:05:57
    increased Mak sense that is all you need
  • 00:05:59
    to know about the days Lo right and the
  • 00:06:03
    agregation the agregation is basically
  • 00:06:05
    time okay daily 16 minute 30 minute 15
  • 00:06:09
    minute 5 minute but
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    iation okay and and there are one minute
  • 00:06:17
    minute 15 minute 30 minutes 60 minutes
  • 00:06:20
    and
  • 00:06:22
    dat
  • 00:06:26
    yeah
  • 00:06:28
    yeah okay and now I'm going to tell you
  • 00:06:31
    about the support and resistances we
  • 00:06:34
    have at the prac right you understand be
  • 00:06:36
    concept about the PIV right the PIV is
  • 00:06:39
    the neutral light of this Graal chart
  • 00:06:42
    whatever you're musing if you're
  • 00:06:45
    about the light like you're in this cell
  • 00:06:49
    so it means that you are bullish right
  • 00:06:52
    in terms of bias okay and let just say
  • 00:06:57
    that you're loow we that your here right
  • 00:07:02
    so
  • 00:07:04
    currently we market and it's above the
  • 00:07:08
    right we can see that the price is 483
  • 00:07:12
    but the price
  • 00:07:14
    48244 so like this is deal as a bullish
  • 00:07:17
    bi fact the chart
  • 00:07:20
    okay
  • 00:07:21
    now uh I'm going to tell you about the
  • 00:07:24
    support and resistances on this chart
  • 00:07:26
    right but there are black lights now we
  • 00:07:29
    see these black lights right
  • 00:07:32
    here
  • 00:07:35
    yes so these are like all the resistance
  • 00:07:39
    okay all the black livs that are above
  • 00:07:42
    the pivot are resistance basically be
  • 00:07:45
    colum
  • 00:07:46
    imprints okay make sense so the black
  • 00:07:50
    lines are
  • 00:07:53
    support and the red lines are
  • 00:07:58
    resistance h and you called them what no
  • 00:08:02
    no no no no no what no I did not tell
  • 00:08:04
    you anything about the black and red
  • 00:08:06
    lights I said only the black imprints
  • 00:08:09
    you see on this side of the chart oh say
  • 00:08:13
    the okay the black imprint okay yeah
  • 00:08:15
    yeah
  • 00:08:19
    should I'm going to use like uh Mouse
  • 00:08:23
    highlight yes yes please I'm I was lost
  • 00:08:29
    I like that car you
  • 00:08:36
    know and you see it now awesome
  • 00:08:41
    yes so like all the imprint you see
  • 00:08:44
    right here all these are resistant okay
  • 00:08:47
    because we are both the privid then if
  • 00:08:49
    you're down bullish and you're looking
  • 00:08:52
    like for reversal for trades you know
  • 00:08:54
    you usually take reversal trates right
  • 00:08:57
    yes so you must be looking for the so it
  • 00:09:00
    gives you all the resistances now I Must
  • 00:09:03
    Be Wondering okay we see the resistances
  • 00:09:06
    but how they actually
  • 00:09:09
    fall right so okay I'm going to give you
  • 00:09:12
    the idea that this sit Al right here you
  • 00:09:14
    see that the market
  • 00:09:17
    reversed from 4 by 3.6 L correct yeah
  • 00:09:22
    you see it so it means that this turn
  • 00:09:28
    into an imprint we saw a transition you
  • 00:09:31
    understand the transition right a
  • 00:09:32
    transition means that when the market
  • 00:09:35
    gets below the in the okay
  • 00:09:39
    okay so
  • 00:09:42
    like I will to show you that
  • 00:09:50
    b okay you see the market is about the
  • 00:09:55
    B right so now now you want to see that
  • 00:09:59
    when that it when we saw
  • 00:10:05
    transation loow you see the transition
  • 00:10:07
    we had the transition right here so that
  • 00:10:11
    led to the formation of this resistance
  • 00:10:14
    you know like uh you know sometimes in
  • 00:10:17
    the market people you know use previous
  • 00:10:20
    highs or they say
  • 00:10:22
    liquidities you know and use them as
  • 00:10:24
    support and
  • 00:10:26
    resistances right so this is kind a
  • 00:10:29
    similar similar to that but of course
  • 00:10:31
    this is morei data this is not something
  • 00:10:34
    this right not this is not like like
  • 00:10:37
    everyone is see you know so of course
  • 00:10:41
    this is what we are using is actual data
  • 00:10:44
    and what people look at using those nor
  • 00:10:46
    the charts of reading or anything else
  • 00:10:49
    are just linear charts and they are like
  • 00:10:52
    they not making sense to a lot of people
  • 00:10:55
    so this makes sense these resistance you
  • 00:10:58
    see
  • 00:10:59
    all of these were you know the system is
  • 00:11:03
    like doing some complex calculations you
  • 00:11:06
    actually just figure them out for you
  • 00:11:08
    and just show you in the most easiest
  • 00:11:11
    way possible so that's do dat Financial
  • 00:11:14
    positioning Mark
  • 00:11:16
    okay so I think so the resistances are
  • 00:11:20
    pretty much clear and in some areas you
  • 00:11:23
    must be seeing that these resistances
  • 00:11:25
    are real much more B
  • 00:11:29
    right so that means that it FS a cluster
  • 00:11:33
    so how is a cluster form basically then
  • 00:11:36
    like the market takes reversal from one
  • 00:11:40
    area continuously least to a formation
  • 00:11:43
    cluster okay like right here e Market
  • 00:11:47
    reverse from this fire right here then
  • 00:11:49
    this fire right
  • 00:11:51
    here okay and then this point right here
  • 00:11:55
    to so that led to the formation of
  • 00:11:57
    Bluster Plus maret uh revers from that
  • 00:12:01
    point like three Dives and three
  • 00:12:03
    imprints just were very
  • 00:12:05
    real F there that led to the formation
  • 00:12:09
    of the cluster okay so this was the T
  • 00:12:12
    about the cluster now we tell you about
  • 00:12:15
    the last line of
  • 00:12:17
    te basically last line of te is like the
  • 00:12:21
    last bra top that we see a break out
  • 00:12:24
    like the llot or the last defense is
  • 00:12:28
    like the breakout level here you can see
  • 00:12:32
    that the breakout level is 43.69 so
  • 00:12:35
    means that if you see a break of of
  • 00:12:37
    43.69 we should see more
  • 00:12:39
    continuation okay so 43.69 can be used
  • 00:12:43
    as a Target if you're seeing like in Mar
  • 00:12:46
    pretty much very like in a trend day and
  • 00:12:50
    you can use it as a breakout level right
  • 00:12:54
    you see that market is broken above the
  • 00:12:56
    elaser defense then you can you know
  • 00:12:59
    take more logs right you can take calls
  • 00:13:03
    and just
  • 00:13:05
    benefit make sense so what you're saying
  • 00:13:08
    to me is once is in that
  • 00:13:12
    point and you see a breakout from that
  • 00:13:15
    point you'll be most likely to get to
  • 00:13:19
    have a bullish momentum and you can take
  • 00:13:22
    calls in that
  • 00:13:23
    point yeah momentum is not I can judge
  • 00:13:28
    or anyone and judge right it all depends
  • 00:13:31
    on the market but it means that we have
  • 00:13:33
    a breakout and we do not have any
  • 00:13:36
    further resistance right because we do
  • 00:13:37
    not see any in this area so there's a
  • 00:13:40
    break make sense okay
  • 00:13:42
    yeah like same thing right here you know
  • 00:13:45
    after this you see a break at 493 69 so
  • 00:13:49
    this whole clear area is like you know
  • 00:13:52
    the market can just slide through it if
  • 00:13:55
    it sees no turbulence right but here in
  • 00:14:00
    all the area from the PIV
  • 00:14:03
    for
  • 00:14:05
    uh or 8 7.62 is full of turbulence right
  • 00:14:09
    the full of resistance so this is not
  • 00:14:12
    like a clear area of the resistance this
  • 00:14:15
    is a clear area of no resistance this is
  • 00:14:18
    a clear area of no resistance make sense
  • 00:14:21
    yeah I I I I am
  • 00:14:26
    understand okay great see see this red
  • 00:14:29
    lights and this black
  • 00:14:31
    lights yes
  • 00:14:34
    I so these lights okay not the uh
  • 00:14:38
    imprints right
  • 00:14:39
    here okay these lights but these red
  • 00:14:43
    lights that are about the are actually
  • 00:14:46
    like open States or targets like you see
  • 00:14:50
    the open state right here you see the
  • 00:14:52
    open state right here so these open
  • 00:14:54
    States you see can be used as start okay
  • 00:14:58
    like I just use a
  • 00:15:01
    slider targets these can be used as
  • 00:15:04
    Target yeah I'm going to escape okay so
  • 00:15:09
    here I'm going to just go back it tight
  • 00:15:12
    so I me just re play chart just show you
  • 00:15:17
    how it works
  • 00:15:32
    you see that we
  • 00:15:36
    have two open States right here know
  • 00:15:40
    like
  • 00:15:43
    4782 you
  • 00:15:45
    see you know it's working oh but right
  • 00:15:48
    here you see make sense you see
  • 00:15:51
    it yeah right so let's just say that
  • 00:15:56
    your bias was pollish and you were
  • 00:15:58
    looking Barb stet right and you are in a
  • 00:16:02
    a bullish stet let just say and you're
  • 00:16:05
    looking for a Target right so the best
  • 00:16:07
    thing to do is to look for open states
  • 00:16:11
    to choose a start you can use any typ in
  • 00:16:13
    this 5 minute 10 minute sorry the 5
  • 00:16:16
    minute 15 minute 1 minute or like even
  • 00:16:19
    the daily time frame if you see that the
  • 00:16:22
    market is near an open State as a Target
  • 00:16:25
    like right here you are in the bullish
  • 00:16:27
    trade you the target okay then the
  • 00:16:30
    target should be
  • 00:16:32
    like you
  • 00:16:36
    this yeah so we just got above these
  • 00:16:42
    sits right here for uh 80.0 and 48023
  • 00:16:47
    because we saw the transition so the
  • 00:16:49
    numbers change right because the valti
  • 00:16:53
    after every transition I'm going to come
  • 00:16:55
    to that but you can see that if you
  • 00:16:58
    could takeen like a bullish trip right
  • 00:17:00
    here this should have been your card
  • 00:17:04
    right it makes sense it
  • 00:17:09
    does so same is for below okay like let
  • 00:17:13
    just say that you know like uh right
  • 00:17:15
    here we saw the transition and you were
  • 00:17:18
    looking for a Target right you could
  • 00:17:19
    have used this open State when it was
  • 00:17:21
    open because it wasn't closed by another
  • 00:17:24
    gab right so this could have been used
  • 00:17:27
    as a Target
  • 00:17:29
    right now you have this open St right
  • 00:17:32
    here this open St right here this open
  • 00:17:34
    St right here this open St right
  • 00:17:38
    here and this open sh right here and let
  • 00:17:40
    just see that you uh
  • 00:17:45
    just have a beish bias one day and
  • 00:17:49
    you're looking for beish targets right
  • 00:17:51
    you had them P right you took the pr
  • 00:17:53
    right here and you could have used
  • 00:17:55
    inside Target now you're doing just
  • 00:17:57
    iight so so it doesn't really help you
  • 00:18:00
    in anyway by using this it but I'm just
  • 00:18:03
    giving an example okay okay just to
  • 00:18:07
    explain
  • 00:18:09
    yeah you can see like these open states
  • 00:18:12
    are very closed so no like let just say
  • 00:18:15
    I was in a be stre right there so I
  • 00:18:18
    could have used it
  • 00:18:20
    Sor then the next thing I should must
  • 00:18:23
    have explained you is like uh probably
  • 00:18:26
    bads so I'm going to give you the like
  • 00:18:29
    how do these TR bands work I'm just
  • 00:18:32
    going to explain to you so you see the
  • 00:18:34
    80% 50% the 20% and the 5%
  • 00:18:38
    band right basically what they mean is
  • 00:18:42
    that the market has 80% chance to reach
  • 00:18:47
    43.6
  • 00:18:49
    C Mak sense the market had 50% chance to
  • 00:18:55
    reach 4 86.1
  • 00:18:59
    standing Market has
  • 00:19:01
    20% chance to reach all I up there now
  • 00:19:05
    this also works as like reversal
  • 00:19:08
    probabilities let just say the market is
  • 00:19:10
    at the 20% back it's near for
  • 00:19:15
    4932 so the market has
  • 00:19:18
    80% chance of
  • 00:19:21
    reversal from this open Save Right
  • 00:19:24
    Here make
  • 00:19:26
    sense for
  • 00:19:30
    okay perfect that's great so that is all
  • 00:19:35
    you need to know about the prob back to
  • 00:19:37
    this it is a very very very simple
  • 00:19:40
    concept these can also be used as
  • 00:19:42
    targets along with UPS okay make sense
  • 00:19:47
    yes are we good awesome abolutely so if
  • 00:19:51
    you have any doubt get out no this I I
  • 00:19:58
    got
  • 00:20:01
    okay so you understood this perfect
  • 00:20:05
    yes great great good job good
  • 00:20:10
    job so now uh I'm going to tell you
  • 00:20:14
    about the AC and the standard deviation
  • 00:20:18
    okay okay so this a simple concept about
  • 00:20:22
    the standard deviation is that you see
  • 00:20:24
    the standard deviation squeeze you know
  • 00:20:27
    look at my cursor
  • 00:20:31
    yes those little dots so with that meat
  • 00:20:34
    set and
  • 00:20:37
    there sorry but those little dots the
  • 00:20:40
    standard
  • 00:20:45
    deviation dots I don't get two do the
  • 00:20:51
    the the green and the red
  • 00:20:54
    um stops yeah these stops these stop
  • 00:20:57
    yeah
  • 00:21:00
    yeah yeah perfect it's correct but I
  • 00:21:03
    wasn't talking about that okay you you
  • 00:21:05
    understood perfect great job okay first
  • 00:21:08
    need to know like what the stand divis
  • 00:21:11
    does okay basically it tells you that
  • 00:21:15
    when we can see what theing the market
  • 00:21:17
    then we can see consolidation and also
  • 00:21:19
    when we can see reversal okay so it
  • 00:21:22
    makes all of that easier for you now I'm
  • 00:21:26
    going to tell you how it does that and
  • 00:21:28
    how you can actually get you see the
  • 00:21:31
    standard Dev squeeze right yeah you see
  • 00:21:37
    it so whenever the standard devation
  • 00:21:41
    does just give me a minute just uh give
  • 00:21:43
    me a second
  • 00:22:18
    okay Sor uh sorry about that it's
  • 00:22:22
    okay okay
  • 00:22:26
    so I'm so can already see the market of
  • 00:22:31
    the stops in the standard Dev sorry I
  • 00:22:36
    get that no we worri you you were
  • 00:22:37
    explaining me the that standard
  • 00:22:39
    deviation
  • 00:22:42
    squeeps yeah so whenever you see these
  • 00:22:46
    dots of the standard deviation in the
  • 00:22:49
    standard deviation space the r is trying
  • 00:22:53
    to tell you that okay brace yourself
  • 00:22:55
    you're going to see an explosive
  • 00:22:57
    move now it does not tell you the
  • 00:22:59
    direction but it gives you the hints
  • 00:23:02
    okay now I'm going to tell you how it
  • 00:23:04
    gives the hints you see the micro Trend
  • 00:23:08
    Yeah so basically it tells you that the
  • 00:23:11
    old bias or you could say the how the
  • 00:23:14
    market is tuned according to the
  • 00:23:16
    standard deviation okay so you see that
  • 00:23:20
    the market was in The Squeeze right here
  • 00:23:23
    right in the squeeze right there and we
  • 00:23:26
    macro but we still saw
  • 00:23:31
    a
  • 00:23:33
    red bearish move right this was an
  • 00:23:36
    explosing mve say right with the hint
  • 00:23:38
    but it didn't never give you the
  • 00:23:41
    100% protction that any marking is going
  • 00:23:44
    to Golden that Terror
  • 00:23:47
    right make
  • 00:23:49
    sense yeah hello yeah
  • 00:23:55
    yeah okay now let's just see right here
  • 00:23:58
    the mark was in thee so it was telling
  • 00:24:00
    us okay that we can see like a explosive
  • 00:24:05
    and look at it we had the red macro
  • 00:24:07
    right here
  • 00:24:09
    right and we saw the explosive move then
  • 00:24:12
    the market revers and because it was in
  • 00:24:15
    then out by the
  • 00:24:17
    S the market to wor then the microprint
  • 00:24:21
    changed to three again and then because
  • 00:24:24
    of the macr we saw such a a great move
  • 00:24:28
    to the upside for almost
  • 00:24:31
    three
  • 00:24:34
    days okay
  • 00:24:38
    so it uh must have make sense to that
  • 00:24:42
    how
  • 00:24:43
    important this m CR is because it gives
  • 00:24:47
    the bi of the gold
  • 00:24:50
    chart they get to you know the
  • 00:24:54
    probab direction of scul right makes
  • 00:24:57
    sense
  • 00:24:59
    Soo hello yes yes I'm I'm I'm getting
  • 00:25:02
    the
  • 00:25:04
    map so and uh and I'm getting the
  • 00:25:07
    standard deviation
  • 00:25:12
    squits okay so the standard devation
  • 00:25:15
    squeeze is pretty simple whenever you
  • 00:25:17
    see that the uh whatever TI using and
  • 00:25:21
    the thoughts the standard devation dots
  • 00:25:22
    are the sque it that okay you can expect
  • 00:25:26
    an explosive move here to either the
  • 00:25:28
    direction at it does not tell standard
  • 00:25:32
    we should only tells you that okay we're
  • 00:25:34
    going to see an
  • 00:25:35
    explosive but I don't know what
  • 00:25:37
    direction it's going to be Mak sense you
  • 00:25:41
    can use you know these tractor orbs or
  • 00:25:44
    there chances to actually figure out
  • 00:25:45
    okay the market can reverse from here so
  • 00:25:49
    we can see like a
  • 00:25:51
    bullish squeeze okay
  • 00:25:54
    so you know you can predate that
  • 00:25:59
    with xeres anyone can't do that but it
  • 00:26:01
    takes time
  • 00:26:03
    okay then the next thing we going to
  • 00:26:06
    talk you know these shs have do meaning
  • 00:26:10
    when they start to consolidate or you
  • 00:26:11
    know just blacken
  • 00:26:13
    out
  • 00:26:15
    either we're going to see a reversal or
  • 00:26:18
    we're going to see the market uh like
  • 00:26:21
    reverse okay make
  • 00:26:24
    sense that's tells me no like right here
  • 00:26:28
    we
  • 00:26:31
    can go
  • 00:26:33
    for
  • 00:26:35
    okay that means
  • 00:26:42
    conservation yeah now here you saw that
  • 00:26:46
    the standard divion was FL so this week
  • 00:26:48
    said
  • 00:26:51
    okay this soft consolidation same was
  • 00:26:54
    right
  • 00:26:57
    here stand Devion flat we
  • 00:27:00
    saw
  • 00:27:04
    consolidation
  • 00:27:13
    yeah so Cho right
  • 00:27:17
    here so let's
  • 00:27:21
    see yeah exactly we saw some chiness
  • 00:27:24
    right here and right here okay whenever
  • 00:27:27
    the devation was
  • 00:27:30
    flat but right here when we saw that the
  • 00:27:33
    devation was flat we saw a reverse right
  • 00:27:37
    make sense and the same thing right here
  • 00:27:40
    standard deviation reversed and it was
  • 00:27:43
    flag for like two dots and we saw a
  • 00:27:46
    reversal make
  • 00:27:54
    sense so when it's flat it could be see
  • 00:27:58
    charge
  • 00:27:59
    yourself yeah yeah yeah yeah go go for
  • 00:28:03
    it when it's flat it could mean a
  • 00:28:07
    consolidation or a reverse when it's
  • 00:28:11
    down it could be a squeeze like gigantic
  • 00:28:18
    Mo yeah gigantic guard that say a all
  • 00:28:22
    the time yeah yeah makes
  • 00:28:25
    sense nice he got it yeah and you know
  • 00:28:30
    like the ex the expenditure of the S
  • 00:28:34
    deviation basically tells you like you
  • 00:28:37
    know to what extent the move is going to
  • 00:28:39
    be like right here we saw a reversal
  • 00:28:41
    from five standard deviation right five
  • 00:28:44
    number right
  • 00:28:46
    here and the market move from this
  • 00:28:50
    squeeze right here this
  • 00:28:53
    squeeze
  • 00:28:56
    the right
  • 00:28:58
    here H your mouth is your m is your
  • 00:29:03
    mouse is right this was
  • 00:29:05
    0.5 your mouse is okay so this was the
  • 00:29:09
    expenditure we saw or this W okay okay
  • 00:29:12
    it can we
  • 00:29:15
    different
  • 00:29:19
    okay yeah you can hear it right yes yes
  • 00:29:28
    I think so there's some problem good
  • 00:29:35
    Mouse okay can you see my screen and my
  • 00:29:39
    AUD yeah
  • 00:29:40
    yeah yeah and I can see your mouse as
  • 00:29:43
    well okay so you know you
  • 00:29:46
    get okay so now you can you know just
  • 00:29:48
    make out that you know we saw the peak
  • 00:29:50
    right here and we saw the reversal and
  • 00:29:52
    we saw the extended W till the point
  • 00:29:54
    high standard
  • 00:29:55
    deviation right and it depends move to
  • 00:29:58
    move actually like to what extent see
  • 00:30:02
    the move so it all depends on that right
  • 00:30:05
    so you know from this squeeze to this
  • 00:30:08
    2.6 Mar right
  • 00:30:10
    here we saw many moves right we saw many
  • 00:30:14
    transition so even if in the like you
  • 00:30:18
    could say that when
  • 00:30:20
    the standard debation is like kind of
  • 00:30:23
    like platy right you can't see a s okay
  • 00:30:29
    you know whenever you see that the
  • 00:30:31
    market move is you know really strong it
  • 00:30:34
    means that okay you're going to see a
  • 00:30:36
    middle squee
  • 00:30:38
    okay whenever the stand Mission
  • 00:30:42
    dos are like in the
  • 00:30:44
    .59 so and they like kind of flat but in
  • 00:30:48
    the market wolves are inreasing theity
  • 00:30:52
    is increasing it means that okay you
  • 00:30:54
    can't see an explosing move with the St
  • 00:30:58
    Vision too and in the future it can
  • 00:31:01
    actually help you with a reversal like
  • 00:31:05
    right here was flat right and these all
  • 00:31:08
    kind of like a consolidation right
  • 00:31:11
    here right so with multiple mes
  • 00:31:15
    to this standard deviation can be pretty
  • 00:31:18
    much
  • 00:31:18
    helpful right it now depends on the
  • 00:31:22
    person's practice so it doesn't matter
  • 00:31:25
    how which I explain know
  • 00:31:29
    everyone just needs to go to some charts
  • 00:31:33
    this like for week actually know did it
  • 00:31:37
    clicks to their own M that how the stuff
  • 00:31:39
    actually works make sense yeah
  • 00:31:46
    yeah okay so yeah I explained to you the
  • 00:31:50
    open States I explain to
  • 00:31:54
    the
  • 00:31:56
    waves and the application B load side
  • 00:32:00
    deviation the probable pads yeah one
  • 00:32:04
    more thing we did not talk about p l
  • 00:32:07
    values and the H values I remember do
  • 00:32:11
    you
  • 00:32:14
    remember but you
  • 00:32:17
    you yeah yeah awesome yeah sure
  • 00:32:21
    um uh when when we see the L values or
  • 00:32:25
    the H values L stands for low and H
  • 00:32:28
    stands for high and when we see um like
  • 00:32:33
    when we see like uh like at the right
  • 00:32:36
    far right side of the uh of the um of
  • 00:32:41
    the I'm I'm sorry the far left of the of
  • 00:32:44
    the screen we say h uh four that means
  • 00:32:50
    price where so that plays four
  • 00:32:53
    times and and the other one that's H2 it
  • 00:32:56
    means no
  • 00:32:58
    wrong World
  • 00:33:02
    okay okay so explain the edge values
  • 00:33:06
    concept G so these H values actually
  • 00:33:11
    tell you the number of height okay oh
  • 00:33:15
    the number of tles that are above
  • 00:33:19
    perod
  • 00:33:23
    exact exact no right here not on Okay so
  • 00:33:28
    acting sure you can see right there
  • 00:33:31
    before first candle second candle High
  • 00:33:35
    and the thir and
  • 00:33:38
    I saw the H3 make sense
  • 00:33:46
    yeah then we saw like first candle High
  • 00:33:49
    then second candle high but after that
  • 00:33:51
    we did not see any high right we did not
  • 00:33:54
    see any candle like closing above or
  • 00:33:58
    even sh you the B action
  • 00:34:01
    about scandals
  • 00:34:04
    high right so it was stuck at edge2 all
  • 00:34:08
    these ice or all the no not the ice all
  • 00:34:11
    these scals did not actually matter
  • 00:34:15
    sense yes yeah because they didn't broke
  • 00:34:19
    the
  • 00:34:20
    heart okay exactly yeah that is all
  • 00:34:25
    about the edge and L Val same is like
  • 00:34:27
    like for
  • 00:34:29
    the
  • 00:34:31
    uh uh L Y like for
  • 00:34:38
    example
  • 00:34:40
    here for two those no first low and
  • 00:34:45
    second low
  • 00:34:47
    but after that video not see any other
  • 00:34:51
    low Mak sense uhhuh
  • 00:34:55
    so that that did not see any higher El
  • 00:34:59
    that it
  • 00:35:03
    must you're breaking up
  • 00:35:06
    rubs makes sense you're breaking
  • 00:35:15
    up hello
  • 00:35:18
    yeah can you hear me now yeah make sense
  • 00:35:25
    yeah okay so I I think so we are done
  • 00:35:28
    with the basics part and now you can
  • 00:35:31
    watch this video again and also be when
  • 00:35:33
    we upload this
  • 00:35:35
    video uh for everyone in the bom Capital
  • 00:35:39
    group YouTube channel you can also see
  • 00:35:41
    it right
  • 00:35:42
    there okay now I'm going to explain you
  • 00:35:46
    about the options analyzer is pretty
  • 00:35:48
    useful tool and I actually love to use
  • 00:35:51
    it it was the like my go to every single
  • 00:35:55
    day and there was no right to find out
  • 00:35:58
    Dev okay this when you right click and
  • 00:36:02
    you see the second option that is your
  • 00:36:05
    options
  • 00:36:08
    okay basically what it actually does is
  • 00:36:11
    that it actually the prob you hear me
  • 00:36:15
    right yeah
  • 00:36:17
    yeah so it actually tells you the
  • 00:36:19
    probability of forming high and lows
  • 00:36:23
    okay like uh I'm going to maximiz this
  • 00:36:28
    like right it now it the thing that
  • 00:36:32
    there is
  • 00:36:35
    100%
  • 00:36:37
    probability okay 100% probability of
  • 00:36:40
    forming
  • 00:36:42
    hed2 you
  • 00:36:43
    know when you see transition above the
  • 00:36:46
    build and the C1 so the chart will be
  • 00:36:51
    past that days speak selling that there
  • 00:36:54
    is 100% probability of for and
  • 00:36:58
    two make
  • 00:37:01
    sense
  • 00:37:05
    yeah and it just say me H2 okay now you
  • 00:37:10
    must be Wonder okay so what's the
  • 00:37:12
    probability of foring H3 okay it's
  • 00:37:15
    written right here
  • 00:37:18
    80% ex sense how what the probability of
  • 00:37:22
    farming H4
  • 00:37:24
    70% what's the probability of forming H5
  • 00:37:29
    it is uh less than 70% more than 50%
  • 00:37:32
    it's still more than 50%
  • 00:37:35
    so and then what's the probability of
  • 00:37:39
    farming at six it's 50/50 and then after
  • 00:37:42
    that you know it's less than 50% but
  • 00:37:45
    more than 40% okay so you know why it
  • 00:37:49
    just jumped to the uh H3 after at6 it's
  • 00:37:55
    because uh
  • 00:37:57
    probably we did not see any F7 on this
  • 00:38:01
    chart that is why it is not showing us
  • 00:38:05
    any probabilities about the H7 or h8 or
  • 00:38:10
    H9 or h10 or H1 or
  • 00:38:13
    H2 okay we saw H4 H2 h30 h60 you know
  • 00:38:19
    at60 right here 10% probability only
  • 00:38:22
    right here okay you can see the odds are
  • 00:38:25
    pretty bullish correct
  • 00:38:30
    and now for below the pivot for the L
  • 00:38:34
    okay let me just maximize
  • 00:38:40
    that okay you get see this right yeah
  • 00:38:47
    sure okay so you know it tells you that
  • 00:38:51
    there is 100% probability of for me L do
  • 00:38:56
    same thing we had for the H2 right or
  • 00:38:59
    ver probability of that but for H3 there
  • 00:39:03
    is 67% probability
  • 00:39:06
    whereas when we were looking at U our
  • 00:39:10
    H we had
  • 00:39:13
    80% right the market is tuned somewhat
  • 00:39:16
    bullish
  • 00:39:22
    correct makes sense yeah had for Edge
  • 00:39:27
    Board was 70% but oh but here it's 44
  • 00:39:30
    it's less than like
  • 00:39:32
    %. so you know we you must be see that
  • 00:39:36
    but that last two weeks we have we see
  • 00:39:38
    like more like bullish
  • 00:39:41
    moves right so you can see that the ODS
  • 00:39:45
    are also favored towards the bullish
  • 00:39:48
    side but as the penalty bi changes we s
  • 00:39:53
    we see more be St moves these odds can
  • 00:39:56
    change
  • 00:39:58
    okay now here I just see that I'm not
  • 00:40:01
    satisfied with you know this am of data
  • 00:40:04
    I want to lose more they I will to see
  • 00:40:08
    in more chances and more ODS right so
  • 00:40:12
    you can know I just increase the D go
  • 00:40:14
    from De 20 okay so like right
  • 00:40:22
    here okay
  • 00:40:29
    see okay so right here you can see the
  • 00:40:32
    odds now they are pretty much different
  • 00:40:35
    you know why because in the past 10 days
  • 00:40:38
    we have been very very
  • 00:40:41
    buly this we saw that those ORS were
  • 00:40:45
    very bookish but you know now we have
  • 00:40:47
    been using 20 days so it's like almost
  • 00:40:50
    like a month right yeah 20 30 days in a
  • 00:40:54
    month so it's like almost like a month
  • 00:40:58
    all right so now this is like the data
  • 00:41:01
    for month for B 10 15 minute 20 days to
  • 00:41:04
    load right now we are at H4 right now
  • 00:41:09
    for H5 what is the probability no you
  • 00:41:12
    are looking for trade you're wondering
  • 00:41:15
    okay should I take hold site or should I
  • 00:41:17
    go for be side what should be my
  • 00:41:22
    direct right so for Edge F there is less
  • 00:41:25
    than 46% chance so Aros playable app OS
  • 00:41:30
    playable tell
  • 00:41:34
    me the probability what yeah the
  • 00:41:42
    probability yeah the probability are
  • 00:41:44
    those you know good good odds for H5
  • 00:41:47
    less than 46% but more than 33% are
  • 00:41:51
    those good Dos to actually go for a call
  • 00:41:54
    site right you tell no it does it
  • 00:41:58
    doesn't favor Pro
  • 00:42:02
    prob
  • 00:42:03
    exactly makes sense you know you are
  • 00:42:06
    getting let just say the market is at H
  • 00:42:09
    11 and you're okay so are we going to
  • 00:42:12
    see H2 or
  • 00:42:15
    not
  • 00:42:17
    well there is less than 21% chance of SE
  • 00:42:21
    that so it me that we are 80
  • 00:42:24
    sorry yeah so in less than 79% so we
  • 00:42:28
    have so we have 70 yeah like 79% chance
  • 00:42:33
    of being a reversal from H1 you know H1
  • 00:42:40
    right here and here you can see that how
  • 00:42:42
    many
  • 00:42:43
    times uh you're going to actually see
  • 00:42:46
    the X3 like the S3 from on this chart
  • 00:42:52
    five times H4 on done this chart three
  • 00:42:55
    times H six from done this chart three
  • 00:42:57
    times okay you can just count it right
  • 00:43:00
    here now even if when you are watching
  • 00:43:02
    this video again you can just count it
  • 00:43:04
    they're going to come out to be three
  • 00:43:06
    and at 60 is going to come out to be one
  • 00:43:10
    okay make sense
  • 00:43:13
    yeah same is for below now going to tell
  • 00:43:18
    you about this chart okay and what it
  • 00:43:20
    actually does basically just uh you know
  • 00:43:24
    it just
  • 00:43:29
    uh Pates all the highs and the lows into
  • 00:43:33
    like whatever order you see them on
  • 00:43:37
    this uh fractal charts right here you
  • 00:43:40
    know so it just configurat them it into
  • 00:43:43
    the barf okay like right here cl2 then
  • 00:43:48
    is CH4 then the cl4 then you see H1 then
  • 00:43:51
    you see L3 and same thing right here L2
  • 00:43:55
    H4 L4 h one and to right make sense but
  • 00:44:00
    nine must be wor okay so ra is supposed
  • 00:44:03
    to
  • 00:44:04
    benefit okay so if you are looking for
  • 00:44:07
    what to benefit from it we just need to
  • 00:44:09
    click on sort histogram and it just
  • 00:44:13
    sorts out
  • 00:44:14
    the you know all the statea for you and
  • 00:44:18
    then what are you supposed to do you
  • 00:44:21
    know let's just say that you see that
  • 00:44:24
    the market actually after ITR position
  • 00:44:28
    greatly Lo like in the
  • 00:44:32
    5.8% we see on the right side of the
  • 00:44:35
    chart you see the
  • 00:44:37
    1%
  • 00:44:39
    42.4
  • 00:44:41
    yeah so and you have one thing okay so
  • 00:44:44
    the open like way above the right like
  • 00:44:48
    it's like about the % B and now pce odds
  • 00:44:53
    might not be the best day to look
  • 00:44:58
    at cor right you know because these Arts
  • 00:45:02
    are just telling you the probability of
  • 00:45:04
    high you know but here in this example
  • 00:45:08
    you just opened up way above the pit and
  • 00:45:11
    now you're looking for something more
  • 00:45:12
    reli okay then you can just go for this
  • 00:45:17
    uh Sol histogram thing right here and
  • 00:45:19
    the problem by they
  • 00:45:22
    per
  • 00:45:24
    okay so yeah yeah 1% Mark you can see on
  • 00:45:29
    the left side of the chart so how many
  • 00:45:33
    highs it we
  • 00:45:35
    see above the
  • 00:45:39
    m%
  • 00:45:42
    so yeah so uh out done like 44
  • 00:45:49
    charts uh we
  • 00:45:55
    saw I for eyes we saw only two about uh
  • 00:46:01
    like 5.8% so that's like
  • 00:46:05
    8.3% or
  • 00:46:07
    24 uh
  • 00:46:10
    yeah 8% something like that so there's
  • 00:46:13
    like 92%
  • 00:46:16
    probability of um where yeah eight uh
  • 00:46:21
    8.3
  • 00:46:23
    Subs yes that's like 92% % chance of
  • 00:46:28
    reversal from
  • 00:46:30
    that price for you know because we often
  • 00:46:34
    way about the pivot makes
  • 00:46:38
    sense I
  • 00:46:41
    got yeah so that is like the part art
  • 00:46:47
    unique know about this uh s hisr and the
  • 00:46:51
    option satellizer then we had the M the
  • 00:46:55
    mm uh like
  • 00:47:00
    dude hey you know the M dud or no no I
  • 00:47:05
    don't know this is this is not to me
  • 00:47:08
    okay we all this is not to me yeah so
  • 00:47:11
    basically we do have a yeah I have so
  • 00:47:15
    basically we do have a video on mm2 yeah
  • 00:47:19
    I
  • 00:47:20
    because I've seen all videos you can
  • 00:47:23
    watch that I've seen all the videos but
  • 00:47:27
    I don't know since I never had
  • 00:47:31
    this I never um I needed to see this the
  • 00:47:35
    way you're you're you're you're doing it
  • 00:47:37
    right now so and and so the mm tool is
  • 00:47:44
    the one below the the charts that you
  • 00:47:48
    have right now
  • 00:47:51
    right yeah but you're not going to talk
  • 00:47:54
    about it today okay we because uh it's
  • 00:47:57
    pretty complicated and L and think so
  • 00:48:00
    it's worth to talk about it right now
  • 00:48:02
    it's going to confuse you more than it's
  • 00:48:04
    going to help you okay that is why I'm
  • 00:48:06
    not going to teach anything about it so
  • 00:48:09
    yeah I think so I talk to you
  • 00:48:12
    the the option analyzer and I T you the
  • 00:48:17
    basics of the chart right and then the
  • 00:48:21
    one last thing can talk about now
  • 00:48:24
    basically we also have a we play
  • 00:48:27
    in the practice you know again just use
  • 00:48:31
    it right here I rarely use it to be H I
  • 00:48:36
    use these sliders right
  • 00:48:40
    here now if I just want to play the
  • 00:48:44
    recording or like the replay of this
  • 00:48:46
    chart I can do it by just clicking on
  • 00:48:49
    replay and it just replay for okay that
  • 00:48:52
    is all it does you know we can go a lot
  • 00:48:55
    more back and it and let to say that you
  • 00:48:57
    want to backest something you know like
  • 00:49:01
    the you want to backest the moves of the
  • 00:49:03
    we you know this blue light is actually
  • 00:49:07
    the wi wave and they just say you want
  • 00:49:09
    to practice that you can actually do
  • 00:49:11
    that using this tool right here the
  • 00:49:13
    animate one and also you can do that by
  • 00:49:16
    using the slider make
  • 00:49:18
    sense
  • 00:49:21
    yes
  • 00:49:24
    okay what does per periscope
  • 00:49:29
    so I
  • 00:49:32
    just so peris yeah Periscope basically
  • 00:49:35
    gives the option contracts for certain
  • 00:49:38
    setups Bic we had a big video on option
  • 00:49:42
    analy that actually Mr Russell himself
  • 00:49:45
    explain about it now I'll suggest you to
  • 00:49:48
    watch that video If you it was the that
  • 00:49:51
    were that was you and Mr Russ combine
  • 00:49:57
    no no no it was uh another one it was
  • 00:50:01
    like uh from eight months ago I guess Mr
  • 00:50:04
    rle explain the Periscope to send you
  • 00:50:08
    the video the video link okay and I want
  • 00:50:11
    you to watch that okay make sense yeah
  • 00:50:15
    yeah so I think so uh for today we are
  • 00:50:19
    done and I also need to work on
  • 00:50:22
    something else right
  • 00:50:24
    no very
  • 00:50:30
    sorry it's been very
  • 00:50:36
    useful so uh I didn't get you what I
  • 00:50:39
    trying to say yeah yeah you're you're
  • 00:50:42
    very useful you're you're helping me a
  • 00:50:46
    lot oh I need so
  • 00:50:49
    much that's great helping me
Tags
  • fractals
  • trading
  • PIV
  • transicions
  • suport
  • resistència
  • estadis
  • anàlisi de gràfic
  • optimització
  • estratègies de trading