Will China and U.S. get along?|Neil Bush, son of George H.W. Bush, on China-U.S. relations

00:14:31
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vOSp-Lyfob4

Ringkasan

TLDRThe video centers around the perception of China as a threat to the U.S. by political parties, attributing this to political propaganda and rhetoric. The speaker, who has extensive travel experience in China, suggests that this narrative may calm down after elections and as economic realities set in. The discussion highlights the mutual benefits of U.S.-China trade and China's significant development over the decades. The speaker, optimistic about the future of bilateral relations, argues for better direct communication and collaboration. He emphasizes the importance of not turning potential friendly relations into hostility, seeing the current state as a low point with potential for improvement. Moreover, the speaker reflects on the progress and prosperity that China's system has brought to its people and calls for continued dialogue and understanding between the nations to overcome misinformation and geopolitical tensions. In terms of investment and economic prospects, he acknowledges challenges due to geopolitical tensions but remains bullish about China's long-term potential. The speaker advocates for more efficient global manufacturing through shared innovation and technology, expressing hope in globalization's positive impacts.

Takeaways

  • πŸ” China is currently seen as a threat by U.S. political parties.
  • πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China's growth from poverty to prosperity over decades is remarkable.
  • πŸ“‰ Trade tensions and tariffs have damaged both economies.
  • πŸ‘ U.S.-China engagement is seen as a classic win-win relationship.
  • πŸ›‘ Concerns over China's military growth do not imply hostility towards the U.S.
  • πŸ”„ Relations are at a low but expected to improve post-election.
  • πŸ’¬ Direct dialogue can help overcome misunderstandings.
  • πŸš† China's infrastructure progress, like high-speed rail, is noteworthy.
  • 🀝 Calls for more people-to-people connections between nations.
  • 🌐 Advocacy for globalization in sharing innovations and efficiencies.

Garis waktu

  • 00:00:00 - 00:05:00

    China is viewed as a threat by both US political parties, often criticized for infringing on rights and jobs. The speaker believes this rhetoric will decrease post-elections and once it's acknowledged that tariffs harm the US economy. Recognizing that the bilateral trade has positively impacted both countries could shift this negative narrative. Despite current tensions, there's optimism for improving US-China relations if rationality prevails, avoiding any conflict. The military's growth doesn't mean hostility towards the US. Businesses could benefit greatly from collaboration when tensions ease.

  • 00:05:00 - 00:14:31

    The speaker has a long history of visiting China, witnessing its vast growth. Although the US-China relationship is strained, there's potential for improvement through dialogue and personal exchanges. There's concern over misinformation and fear-mongering in the US, promoting China as a threat. However, engaging in respectful dialogue, as fostered by institutions like the George Bush Foundation, could bridge misunderstandings. Globalization's benefits are emphasized, with hopes for enhanced manufacturing efficiencies through global cooperation. The speaker remains hopeful for future collaborations that could benefit all.

Peta Pikiran

Mind Map

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

  • How is China currently perceived in the U.S.?

    China is perceived as a threat by both political parties in the United States.

  • What future does the speaker predict for U.S.-China relations?

    The speaker is optimistic that relations will improve after the current low point.

  • What has contributed to the portrayal of China as a threat in the U.S.?

    Political propaganda and misunderstandings related to China's activities have contributed to this portrayal.

  • Why does the speaker believe the Chinese system has worked for China?

    The speaker believes it has raised countless people from poverty and improved national prosperity dramatically over the past decades.

  • What challenges are seen in improving U.S.-China relations?

    Misinformation, propaganda, and geopolitical tensions present significant challenges.

  • What benefits does the speaker see in the U.S.-China trade relationship?

    The trade relationship has been beneficial for both countries, contributing positively to their economies.

  • How does the speaker view China's military growth?

    The speaker doesn't believe that China's military growth is aimed at the U.S. in a hostile manner.

  • What personal experiences does the speaker have in China?

    The speaker has visited China over 150 times and witnessed its transformation over decades.

  • What is the speaker's perspective on globalization regarding China?

    The speaker views globalization and collaboration as beneficial for sharing innovations and improving manufacturing efficiency.

  • What role does the speaker see for dialogue between China and the U.S.?

    Dialogue is seen as crucial in lowering distrust and fostering cooperation between the two countries.

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Gulir Otomatis:
  • 00:00:00
    China right now is perceived as a threat
  • 00:00:02
    to the United States by both political
  • 00:00:04
    parties and China is an easy Whipping
  • 00:00:07
    Boy for political propaganda you know
  • 00:00:10
    it's easy to bash China as infringing on
  • 00:00:14
    our rights and taking our jobs and
  • 00:00:16
    whatever doing all these evil things
  • 00:00:17
    with Tick Tock and Huawei and blah blah
  • 00:00:19
    blah I think the rhetoric will die down
  • 00:00:23
    um as one after this election is over
  • 00:00:26
    first second after we realize that our
  • 00:00:30
    economy has been damaged by tariffs
  • 00:00:33
    China's rise from a very poor bicycling
  • 00:00:36
    country to a country now that is the
  • 00:00:38
    leading deployer of electric vehicles on
  • 00:00:40
    the streets or you know where there's so
  • 00:00:42
    much Prosperity that was unimaginable 50
  • 00:00:45
    years ago when I first came here I've
  • 00:00:47
    come to the conclusion and most
  • 00:00:49
    Americans probably can't even tolerate
  • 00:00:52
    that I will say this but that the
  • 00:00:54
    Chinese system has worked for China
  • 00:00:56
    Chinese system has been so beneficial to
  • 00:01:00
    hundreds of millions of people whose
  • 00:01:03
    prospects for Prosperity were zero back
  • 00:01:07
    50 years
  • 00:01:11
    ago you've been to China more than 100
  • 00:01:15
    times 150 times since the 1970s so you
  • 00:01:19
    witness the ups and downs of China us
  • 00:01:22
    relations at this particular time are
  • 00:01:26
    you optimistic or pessimistic about the
  • 00:01:28
    future of China us Rel Rel I'm realistic
  • 00:01:31
    that this is probably a low point in us
  • 00:01:34
    China relations I'm optimistic that it
  • 00:01:37
    can't get any worse I mean it could get
  • 00:01:39
    worse but I'm optimistic that it won't
  • 00:01:41
    get worse I think things ride in cycles
  • 00:01:45
    and we're at a low EB of this cycle um
  • 00:01:48
    China right now is perceived as a threat
  • 00:01:50
    to the United States by both political
  • 00:01:53
    parties and China is an easy Whipping
  • 00:01:56
    Boy for political propaganda you know
  • 00:01:59
    it's easy to bash China as infringing on
  • 00:02:02
    our rights and taking our jobs and
  • 00:02:04
    whatever doing all these evil things
  • 00:02:06
    with ticktock and Huawei and blah blah
  • 00:02:08
    blah I think the rhetoric will die down
  • 00:02:11
    um as one after this election is over
  • 00:02:15
    first second after we realize that our
  • 00:02:18
    economy has been damaged by tariffs and
  • 00:02:22
    that the relationship the bilateral
  • 00:02:24
    trade relationship with China doesn't
  • 00:02:26
    have an evilness to it that it's
  • 00:02:28
    actually very healthy
  • 00:02:30
    and that it's been good for American
  • 00:02:31
    consumers and good for for American
  • 00:02:34
    America's Prosperity but it's also been
  • 00:02:36
    very good for China so there's been this
  • 00:02:38
    classic win-win situation um and I think
  • 00:02:41
    Americans going to realize that Chinese
  • 00:02:43
    aren't bad people you know that they're
  • 00:02:45
    they're nice people and um and I the
  • 00:02:49
    other kind of critical question is what
  • 00:02:52
    are China's motivations as China grows
  • 00:02:55
    clearly its military will also grow cuz
  • 00:02:58
    that's what countries do they build up
  • 00:03:00
    defense capabilities and the question is
  • 00:03:03
    what will China use that military for
  • 00:03:07
    and and is it possible that that
  • 00:03:08
    military is going to be aimed at America
  • 00:03:11
    in some hostile way I don't think it I
  • 00:03:14
    don't think that that's China's
  • 00:03:16
    intentions at all you know my father
  • 00:03:18
    never believed that China was an enemy
  • 00:03:20
    to the United States and I guess you can
  • 00:03:23
    turn a friend into an enemy if you treat
  • 00:03:26
    them that way you know eventually but it
  • 00:03:28
    would be devast ating to to both
  • 00:03:31
    countries and to the world if we ended
  • 00:03:34
    up engaging in some kind of a conflict
  • 00:03:36
    so yeah I'm I'm realistically suggesting
  • 00:03:40
    that we're at a low Point optimistically
  • 00:03:43
    looking forward to to a to an upswing
  • 00:03:46
    you know when when rational thought
  • 00:03:49
    prevails as a businessman and investor
  • 00:03:52
    yourself and how do you see the future
  • 00:03:54
    of China's economy and what other
  • 00:03:56
    potentials if the companies and other
  • 00:03:59
    people from China and America can work
  • 00:04:01
    together yeah the potential is great the
  • 00:04:04
    the the prospects of working together
  • 00:04:07
    right now are pretty pretty sluggish
  • 00:04:10
    only because of the the geopolitical
  • 00:04:12
    tensions China's been hurt I think by by
  • 00:04:15
    our trade relationship with the tariffs
  • 00:04:17
    our trade debt has gone down with China
  • 00:04:20
    the trade exch the amount of trade
  • 00:04:23
    exchange has gone down I'm not sure I'd
  • 00:04:25
    be bullish right now on investing in
  • 00:04:27
    China I would be bullish on the
  • 00:04:29
    long-term prospects of China's
  • 00:04:32
    Rejuvenation or you know rebounding you
  • 00:04:35
    know Co set things back the geopolitical
  • 00:04:37
    situation set things back and China has
  • 00:04:40
    a large enough consumer population and a
  • 00:04:43
    large enough Center of innovation there
  • 00:04:46
    are many entrepreneurs or many small and
  • 00:04:48
    mediumsized businesses that will grow
  • 00:04:50
    and become you know prosperous so I I
  • 00:04:53
    wouldn't bet against China's economy I'm
  • 00:04:56
    not an economist but just from what I
  • 00:04:58
    hear on the street and what I read I
  • 00:05:01
    wouldn't wouldn't predict China's robust
  • 00:05:04
    growth anytime soon like you mentioned
  • 00:05:07
    before you came to China 150 times in
  • 00:05:11
    the past few decades have anyone asked
  • 00:05:13
    you why why you go to China so
  • 00:05:16
    often um that's a great my wife asks me
  • 00:05:19
    that all the time why are you going back
  • 00:05:21
    to China I don't I I really love my
  • 00:05:23
    visits to China I started in 1975 when I
  • 00:05:26
    was a 20-year-old man I was in college
  • 00:05:28
    and I came and saw firsthand China
  • 00:05:31
    during the cultural revolution the end
  • 00:05:33
    of the cultural revolution and since
  • 00:05:35
    then I've been coming back every every
  • 00:05:37
    just about every year not every year in
  • 00:05:39
    the in the 80s but since then I come
  • 00:05:42
    back frequently um during every year and
  • 00:05:45
    it's been a
  • 00:05:46
    remarkable thing to witness China's rise
  • 00:05:49
    from a very poor bicycling country to a
  • 00:05:53
    country now that is the leading deployer
  • 00:05:55
    of electric vehicles on the streets or
  • 00:05:57
    you know where there's so much
  • 00:05:58
    Prosperity that was unimaginable 5050
  • 00:06:01
    years ago when I first came here and so
  • 00:06:03
    it's been really wonderful for me to
  • 00:06:06
    witness firsth hand and and to I've come
  • 00:06:09
    to the conclusion and most Americans
  • 00:06:12
    probably can't even tolerate that I will
  • 00:06:14
    say this but that the Chinese system has
  • 00:06:17
    worked for China Chinese system has been
  • 00:06:20
    so beneficial to hundreds of millions of
  • 00:06:23
    people whose prospects for Prosperity
  • 00:06:27
    were zero back 50 years ago were very
  • 00:06:30
    limited under the old system and so with
  • 00:06:33
    the opening with the US China bilateral
  • 00:06:36
    trade and with the global trade with
  • 00:06:38
    globalization China has has risen and so
  • 00:06:41
    I come back for business I come back to
  • 00:06:44
    promote my father's long-standing Legacy
  • 00:06:47
    interest in having uh respectful
  • 00:06:50
    dialogue in having better understanding
  • 00:06:53
    in finding ways to collaborate on major
  • 00:06:56
    issues when I wear the business hat and
  • 00:06:58
    when I work kind of on behalf of my
  • 00:07:00
    father's Legacy interest I it brings me
  • 00:07:03
    back frequently this is my sixth trip to
  • 00:07:05
    China this year for example wow this
  • 00:07:08
    year W just this year yeah I mean my
  • 00:07:10
    passports already I got a brand new
  • 00:07:12
    passport it's already
  • 00:07:14
    been I really wish more American people
  • 00:07:16
    like you will come to visit China and
  • 00:07:18
    talk to us yeah I actually the only time
  • 00:07:20
    I've ever been in the presence of
  • 00:07:22
    President shei U was with a group of
  • 00:07:26
    distinguished leaders and I was asked to
  • 00:07:29
    give a speech there's like three or four
  • 00:07:31
    of us who are asked to give like a
  • 00:07:32
    three-minute presentation to the
  • 00:07:34
    president so I told him during my speech
  • 00:07:36
    that I'd been to China like 150 times or
  • 00:07:39
    something and afterwards he said you
  • 00:07:41
    need to get more people to be like you
  • 00:07:43
    just like you did you need more people
  • 00:07:45
    to come and it's true if you come and
  • 00:07:47
    visit a country and you have
  • 00:07:49
    preconceived notions of what it's going
  • 00:07:50
    to be like and those Notions are
  • 00:07:52
    challenged by the reality that the
  • 00:07:55
    people are friendly the food is great
  • 00:07:57
    the progress is tangible you can see all
  • 00:07:59
    this progress being made you know and
  • 00:08:01
    that's those are that there's real
  • 00:08:02
    evidence if you actually take time to
  • 00:08:04
    come and look at today I came from
  • 00:08:06
    Beijing on a highspeed rail MH you know
  • 00:08:09
    this Cruise along you know at a very
  • 00:08:11
    high rate and a comfortable you know
  • 00:08:14
    train car we don't have those in America
  • 00:08:17
    and and may I don't know if there's if
  • 00:08:19
    they're economically viable or
  • 00:08:20
    successful in China but it's it's
  • 00:08:22
    something that I'm kind of jealous of I
  • 00:08:24
    wish I could get on a high-speed rail to
  • 00:08:25
    go from Houston to Austin you know in my
  • 00:08:28
    state it would be makes so much sense
  • 00:08:31
    but we haven't been able to to um work
  • 00:08:33
    around regulations or the you know
  • 00:08:35
    restrictions to get it done China gets
  • 00:08:38
    things
  • 00:08:38
    done I've also visited America many
  • 00:08:41
    times and talked to a lot of local
  • 00:08:43
    people there and I find a lot of people
  • 00:08:46
    actually very nice to us yes but of
  • 00:08:49
    course there there's certain amount of
  • 00:08:51
    misunderstandings misin informations
  • 00:08:53
    once they uh know that I'm from China so
  • 00:08:57
    and I think the other day I saw the news
  • 00:08:59
    that I think the House of Representative
  • 00:09:01
    passed a bill to raise to use $1.6
  • 00:09:04
    billion US dollars to deliver anti-china
  • 00:09:07
    narratives overseas so I mean really I
  • 00:09:10
    didn't see that yeah there's a news so
  • 00:09:12
    like it's possible that we're passing
  • 00:09:14
    into law so there's a effort in certain
  • 00:09:17
    like misinform so with that um
  • 00:09:20
    misinformation and cause certain
  • 00:09:22
    misunderstandings how can we bring the
  • 00:09:24
    people from both countries together to
  • 00:09:26
    make sure we understand each other yeah
  • 00:09:28
    I don't that's very difficult to I have
  • 00:09:30
    no idea how that's going to change I do
  • 00:09:32
    think that we're at a low E I do think
  • 00:09:34
    there's going to be Improvement in the
  • 00:09:36
    ties and I think they're going to be
  • 00:09:37
    more direct and more transparent and
  • 00:09:40
    accurate Communications about facts you
  • 00:09:43
    know what China's motives are you know
  • 00:09:45
    how tariffs affect individual consumers
  • 00:09:48
    in America and all those kinds of things
  • 00:09:49
    and eventually things will will swing
  • 00:09:52
    back to a more positive direction but
  • 00:09:55
    yeah you're right right now America have
  • 00:09:57
    you ever heard of the book Destin for
  • 00:09:59
    war um it's a book by a by a professor
  • 00:10:02
    from Harvard who did a study of 16 cases
  • 00:10:07
    where an established power like the
  • 00:10:08
    United States that the strongest power
  • 00:10:11
    faces a rising power in today's world
  • 00:10:13
    China is a rising power and in uh 12 of
  • 00:10:17
    the 16 cases it ended up in war this is
  • 00:10:20
    over the past 600 years ended up in war
  • 00:10:23
    and the reason it is the that that a
  • 00:10:25
    rising power established power end up in
  • 00:10:28
    war is because the established power
  • 00:10:30
    feels threatened by the rise and as a
  • 00:10:33
    and they make up these claims that the
  • 00:10:34
    rising power wants to take over and be
  • 00:10:36
    the most powerful force on the Earth or
  • 00:10:38
    the rising power is going to take over
  • 00:10:40
    my economy or the rising power you know
  • 00:10:42
    what I mean they come up with false
  • 00:10:43
    narratives there are many false
  • 00:10:45
    narratives being planted right now and I
  • 00:10:48
    think it's a direct uh directly related
  • 00:10:50
    to China's rise and the perceived threat
  • 00:10:53
    of that rise to our standard of living
  • 00:10:55
    and to our way of life and to our
  • 00:10:57
    national security you know I just don't
  • 00:11:00
    I don't believe that the rise represents
  • 00:11:02
    a threat to America so I'm so I'm I'm in
  • 00:11:04
    a different Camp than 90% of the
  • 00:11:05
    American people right now and I and I
  • 00:11:08
    agree with you that if more people could
  • 00:11:10
    come they could make their own judgment
  • 00:11:13
    and not listen to the propaganda and the
  • 00:11:15
    demagoguery of the political Elite in
  • 00:11:18
    America that make China out to be some
  • 00:11:20
    kind of devil and you know enemy and you
  • 00:11:24
    know yeah what a main drive for you to
  • 00:11:27
    continue to work and build connections
  • 00:11:30
    between China and America I'm trying my
  • 00:11:32
    best it's a very
  • 00:11:34
    lonely very lonely no I the B the George
  • 00:11:36
    hush foundation for us China relations
  • 00:11:39
    Is run by a guy that's a fluent Chinese
  • 00:11:42
    speaker um he worked in China for the US
  • 00:11:46
    state department for a long time he has
  • 00:11:48
    the same sensibility that my father had
  • 00:11:51
    about you know establishing dialogue so
  • 00:11:53
    we host dialogue between we have a
  • 00:11:56
    partyt party where the CPC group meet
  • 00:12:01
    you know has a meeting with Republicans
  • 00:12:03
    and Democrats so we we we host military
  • 00:12:06
    to military you know conversations kind
  • 00:12:09
    of track two type dialogue we have a a
  • 00:12:11
    conference every once in a while so in
  • 00:12:13
    the spirit of George HW Bush we try to
  • 00:12:15
    bring people together um and it's true
  • 00:12:18
    that if you sit in a room with somebody
  • 00:12:19
    and you look them eye to eye and you
  • 00:12:21
    listen respectfully you can't help it be
  • 00:12:24
    empathetic or you know learn from and
  • 00:12:27
    and lowers tension you know it creates
  • 00:12:30
    an kind of an opportunity for working
  • 00:12:33
    together and so we need way more of that
  • 00:12:36
    people to people government to
  • 00:12:38
    government business to business we need
  • 00:12:40
    way more interactions between both sides
  • 00:12:43
    to lower the distrust and the fear we're
  • 00:12:47
    here at the world manufacturing
  • 00:12:49
    convention yes what's your perspective
  • 00:12:51
    what's your vision for the future of
  • 00:12:53
    this manufacturing convention do you see
  • 00:12:56
    that the Europe China north America
  • 00:13:00
    Australia we can all work together I
  • 00:13:02
    hope so yeah I'm not a manufacturing
  • 00:13:04
    expert I'm not an economist but I do
  • 00:13:07
    believe that there's going to be growing
  • 00:13:09
    pressure on economies to and yeah for
  • 00:13:12
    economies to be more efficient you know
  • 00:13:15
    the Chinese are going to suffer from a
  • 00:13:17
    population decrease there's going to be
  • 00:13:19
    a bunch of old people retiring and so
  • 00:13:21
    who's going to what kind of productivity
  • 00:13:23
    is going to come to support you know the
  • 00:13:25
    retirement of these large P you need we
  • 00:13:28
    need and not just China but globally
  • 00:13:30
    there needs to be an increase in in in
  • 00:13:33
    manufacturing efficiencies you know so
  • 00:13:36
    that we can have higher rates of
  • 00:13:37
    productivity to meet the growing needs
  • 00:13:40
    of citizens around the world and so to
  • 00:13:43
    me it seems pretty logical and maybe I'm
  • 00:13:47
    I'm living at Old School thought process
  • 00:13:49
    here but globalization has worked very
  • 00:13:52
    well in helping to share best practices
  • 00:13:55
    share Technologies share Innovations and
  • 00:13:57
    that kind of thing it benefiting people
  • 00:13:59
    all across the globe and it would be my
  • 00:14:02
    hope that conferences like this and
  • 00:14:05
    others around the world can lead to to
  • 00:14:08
    more like um um joint research for
  • 00:14:13
    Innovation like real applications to
  • 00:14:16
    help increase efficiencies in
  • 00:14:19
    manufacturing in manufacturing globally
  • 00:14:22
    I don't know so I I I hope this is the
  • 00:14:23
    kind of thing that that will be a
  • 00:14:25
    positive influence on on making the
  • 00:14:27
    world a better place and I'm Happ happy
  • 00:14:29
    to be here thank you so much sir
Tags
  • China
  • United States
  • Political propaganda
  • Economic relations
  • Trade
  • Globalization
  • Misinformation
  • Collaboration
  • Innovation
  • China-U.S. relations