FEU Public Intellectual Lecture Series | Sonny Africa | Part 1

00:31:18
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zMngxOfNviM

Ringkasan

TLDRLa conférence explore l'état de l'économie philippine sous l'actuel régime en place, avec un focus particulier sur la croissance économique rapportée à environ 6.6% ces dernières années. Cependant, Sunny Africa, directeur exécutif de la Fondation Ibon, suggère que malgré cette croissance apparente, les bénéfices ne sont pas ressentis par la majorité des Philippins. Il fait remarquer que les politiques actuelles favorisent une élite économique, avec une création d'emplois insuffisante et une pauvreté persistante, remettant en cause la véritable impactante croissance économique. Sunny critique particulièrement la loi TRAIN, qui aurait selon lui, plutôt intensifié la disparité économique contrairement aux prétentions de la loi qui devait alléger la fiscalité des pauvres. Les infrastructures envisagées supposément pour aider au développement sont concentrées dans les régions riches, négligeant les besoins des zones plus pauvres et rurales. De plus, la récente libéralisation de l’importation de riz compromet la sécurité alimentaire et met en péril la subsistance des agriculteurs locaux. Il conclut en soulignant que le modèle économique doit être revu pour servir un développement véritablement inclusif qui profite à tous.

Takeaways

  • 📈 La croissance économique des Philippines est réelle mais inégalement répartie.
  • 💼 Le marché du travail ne crée pas assez d'emplois malgré la croissance.
  • 🏗️ Les infrastructures bénéficient davantage aux riches régions urbaines.
  • ⚖️ La loi TRAIN est critiquée pour accroître les inégalités.
  • 🌾 La libéralisation du riz nuit aux agriculteurs locaux.
  • 💰 Les politiques actuelles favorisent une élite économique.
  • 🏛️ Besoin de réévaluer le rôle du gouvernement dans l'économie.
  • 📊 Le PIB ne reflète pas le bien-être des citoyens.
  • 🏥 Les services sociaux devraient échapper à la logique du marché.
  • 🏡 La sécurité alimentaire est compromise par des politiques inadéquates.

Garis waktu

  • 00:00:00 - 00:05:00

    La première partie de la conférence traite de la situation économique des Philippines sous l'ère Duterte, avec une attention particulière sur la croissance économique par rapport à la création d'emplois. Sunny Africa souligne que bien que le PIB ait augmenté de manière significative, cela n'a pas conduit à une amélioration des emplois ni à une diminution de la pauvreté. Il note que l'économie est structurée de manière à favoriser une élite au détriment de la majorité.

  • 00:05:00 - 00:10:00

    Dans la deuxième partie, il est discuté que la croissance économique ne se traduit pas nécessairement par un développement global en raison de la conception de l'économie qui profite principalement aux riches. Les politiques économiques actuelles priorisent les profits et les marchés plutôt que les besoins du peuple, ce qui entraîne une distribution inégale de la richesse et une augmentation de la pauvreté.

  • 00:10:00 - 00:15:00

    La troisième partie aborde des mesures spécifiques comme la loi TRAIN qui, selon Sunny Africa, transfère par conception la richesse des pauvres vers les riches. Les réductions d'impôts pour les plus riches sont compensées par des taxes à la consommation plus élevées pesant lourdement sur les plus pauvres, créant ainsi un déséquilibre économique important.

  • 00:15:00 - 00:20:00

    Elle poursuit en expliquant comment l'infrastructure promise ne bénéficie pas aux pauvres mais est concentrée sur les régions les plus riches. Les projets comme ‘Build, Build, Build’ sont principalement développés dans les zones riches, laissant les populations pauvres et rurales sans les bénéfices attendus, perpétuant ainsi les inégalités.

  • 00:20:00 - 00:25:00

    Dans la cinquième partie, l'impact négatif des politiques de libéralisation du riz sur les agriculteurs locaux est discuté, soulignant que sans subventions adéquates, ceux-ci ne peuvent pas rivaliser avec les importations bon marché. Les politiques actuelles favorisent les importateurs et les grands commerçants de riz, menaçant la sécurité alimentaire et la subsistance des agriculteurs philippins.

  • 00:25:00 - 00:31:18

    La discussion se clôture sur l'importance d'une intervention gouvernementale dans les services sociaux, qui ne devrait pas être laissée aux mains du marché. L'accent est mis sur la nécessité d'imposer davantage les riches pour financer des services publics adéquats. Sunny Africa insiste sur le fait que les indicateurs actuels ne reflètent pas les vraies conditions de vie et que d'autres mesures devraient être prises pour évaluer le bien-être économique.

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Peta Pikiran

Mind Map

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

  • Qu'est-ce que la série de conférences intellectuelles publiques ?

    C'est une série qui invite des experts à discuter de divers sujets pertinents pour le public.

  • Qui est l'orateur invité de cette session ?

    Sunny Africa, directeur exécutif de l'Ibon Foundation.

  • Quelle est la principale critique contre la croissance économique des Philippines ?

    Bien que l'économie croisse, elle ne crée pas assez d'emplois et la pauvreté reste élevée.

  • Qu'est-ce que la loi TRAIN et quel effet a-t-elle ?

    C'est un ensemble de réformes fiscales qui, selon Sunny Africa, transfère la richesse des pauvres vers les riches.

  • L'infrastructure améliorée bénéficie-t-elle aux pauvres ?

    Selon Sunny Africa, non car les projets d'infrastructure sont concentrés dans les régions les plus riches.

  • La libéralisation de l'importation de riz est-elle bénéfique ?

    Non, elle nuit aux agriculteurs locaux car ils ne peuvent pas concurrencer les importations de riz bon marché.

  • Qu'est-ce que le gouvernement pourrait faire différemment ?

    Imposer davantage les riches et investir dans des subventions pour les secteurs vulnérables comme l'agriculture.

  • Quel est l'impact des services sociaux sur l'économie ?

    Les services sociaux devraient être subventionnés par le gouvernement et ne devraient pas être laissés au marché libre.

  • Pourquoi la mesure de l'économie par le PIB ou le RNB est-elle critiquée ?

    Parce que ces mesures ne reflètent pas nécessairement le bien-être et la qualité de vie de la population.

  • L'idée du marché libre est-elle remise en question ?

    Oui, il est affirmé que le marché libre favorise les riches et ne soutient pas équitablement la majorité.

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Teks
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Gulir Otomatis:
  • 00:00:00
    [Music]
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    good day and welcome to another session
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    of the public intellectual lecture
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    series
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    i am leo for the department from the
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    department of interdisciplinary studies
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    and today's session involves economics
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    and the philippines
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    how far have we gone under the there the
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    regime we have here for today's guest
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    sunny africa the executive director of
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    ebon foundation
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    a non-profit research and advocacy group
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    thank you very much
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    uh sunny for accommodating us for
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    today's session well thank you for the
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    invitation leo
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    something yes um of course this will be
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    a very
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    interesting discussion because
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    apparently you know
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    the claims from both the opposition and
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    those who support the government
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    differ but we're talking about the same
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    reality
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    so the topic for today is about
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    economics now
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    so perhaps you can provide us a brief
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    overview
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    of the economic condition of the
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    philippines right the economic situation
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    because on one hand you have the
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    government or government data even
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    saying that there's economic growth a
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    6.6 increase
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    or 6.6 economic growth sin for the past
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    two years
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    and then you have also the the
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    supporters of the government claiming
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    that the various tax reform packages
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    have have actually been geared towards
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    uplifting the lives of the poor
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    and then on the other you have critics
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    saying that it has not really
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    impacted the lives of those who whose
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    lives
  • 00:01:42
    need to be uplifted perhaps you can talk
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    or perhaps give us an overview regarding
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    that discussion
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    the thing about the economy of course
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    there's so many figures you can throw
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    around
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    but for us what really matters is we
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    have to look at the figures that matter
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    to people's lives
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    so i think the fact of economic growth
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    it's true i mean
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    it's a it's a statistical fact that the
  • 00:02:04
    economy has been growing
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    it's also a statistical fact the economy
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    has been growing more rapidly
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    in the last more or less the last five
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    to ten years
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    compared to previous decades but also
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    it's a statistical fact
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    the economy is not creating enough jobs
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    and the number of poor people are
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    increasing so for us
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    it's not actually a question of um who's
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    saying
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    what's factual or not what's true or not
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    it's actually choosing what fact matters
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    for us when we assess the economy
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    so for us we will grant that the economy
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    has been growing
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    we will grant that it has been growing
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    most at the most rapid rate
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    in maybe like three to four decades but
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    i think
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    people who hold on to facts have to
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    accept the fact the economy is creating
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    less jobs now than before
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    the fact is also there are more poor
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    people now than in the country's history
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    so for us i think um
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    let's not sort of let's not look for
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    single figures about the economy
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    to say that's the state of the economy
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    so for the most important figures about
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    the state of the people
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    and that's what the economy is about
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    because in the end growth does not mean
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    anything if the people aren't feeling it
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    and right now i think the sad reality is
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    despite the growth
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    the people are not feeling economic
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    growth some people are getting very very
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    wealthy
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    they're probably the ones that are quite
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    happy to talk about economic growth
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    because it reflects increasing profits
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    increasing wealth
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    but that is not the state of the economy
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    but
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    that's the point now how do we reconcile
  • 00:03:26
    that contradiction because
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    on one hand you said it's an objective
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    reality a statistical reality
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    that there's an increase in the cos
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    there's an increase in growth
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    there's an increase in you mentioned
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    something about i think um
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    certain uh or growth being increased and
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    then on the other what they're also
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    saying it's also an objective reality
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    that people do not have jobs or a lot
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    there's an increasing rate in people not
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    having jobs
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    or not having an adequate quality of
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    life now perhaps we can start this
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    discussion
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    because that's a very loaded question i
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    think now but let's start with that
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    with the with an explanation of why for
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    example the economy is
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    booming or the economy is or this wealth
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    is being
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    generated no a lot of health is being
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    generated
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    actually um there is no contradiction
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    um there's only a contradiction if we
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    hold on to the assumption that an
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    economy
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    automatically reflects the conditions of
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    the people
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    i'm saying this whole contradiction
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    because the economy is doing what it's
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    doing by design
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    and that's actually where the problem
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    lies
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    in principle an economy should serve the
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    needs of the greatest number
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    that's what we all believe that's what
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    people who talk about economic
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    development like to believe
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    but if um if it seems like it's a
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    contradiction between growth and under
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    development
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    that contradiction disappears once you
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    accept the hard the brutal fact
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    the economy is not designed for the
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    people the way the economy is structured
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    right now it's a very elite driven elite
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    dominated economy
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    we have a political system making
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    economic policy decisions
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    for the interests of a few for the
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    interest of the wealthy
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    versus the interest of the many so the
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    reason i'm saying that's not a
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    contradiction because by design
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    when you're talking about a free market
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    economy that's unregulated
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    we're talking about economic policies
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    that prioritize profits
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    and the market over the needs of the
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    many what we will have is what is
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    happening right now but it's not which
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    is not contradictory it's a natural
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    result
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    of an economy that's um relies on an
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    undergrated free market
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    and i think that's such an important
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    point to grasp because it's not just a
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    matter of
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    let's have faster growth and then we
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    will have more development
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    if the economy is designed that that
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    growth is not going to go to the many
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    no matter how fast your growth is it is
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    by design going to
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    concentrate wealth and profits in a few
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    while not creating enough jobs and
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    relieving poverty because that is not
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    the objective of
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    current economic policy right now so
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    it's a long-winded way of saying
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    there's so contradiction because the
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    economy is unfortunately designed for a
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    few
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    not designed for them any so for us it's
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    a political question
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    i don't think we're living in much of a
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    democracy right now we can't have a
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    political democracy
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    if there's lack of democracy in the
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    economy and if there's no democracy in
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    the economy
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    we will have political decision making
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    for the interest of a few
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    leading to the seeming contradiction but
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    actually
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    intrinsic outcome of an undemocratic
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    economy
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    but again because you're mentioning the
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    free market now you're mentioning this
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    ladies fair point of view that everyone
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    should be able to have
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    the opportunity to compete and it should
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    be sort of like a
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    functional meritocracy you know where
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    the fit test can actually survive or the
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    most competent can actually survive
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    but the point there is shouldn't the
  • 00:06:48
    government
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    be regulating these things because as as
  • 00:06:52
    the duterte government has proclaimed
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    that the trained law the tax reform law
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    should actually
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    impact the poor rather than the rich and
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    that's what the government is also
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    saying
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    the train law is actually impacting
  • 00:07:03
    positively growth
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    and also um inclu inclusivity because
  • 00:07:09
    now most of the government should now be
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    able to accumulate funds
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    to impact the lives of the poor now so
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    why is that
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    because what if that's the problem with
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    the system what is the government doing
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    to regulate the system or at least
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    to fix that system that's a good
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    specific example the terrain law
  • 00:07:26
    first it's not true that the train law
  • 00:07:29
    is helping economic growth help in
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    development
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    if anything the train law is designed to
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    transfer wealth from the poorest
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    to the richest and that is by design
  • 00:07:38
    what does a trained law do train package
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    one
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    reduced personal income taxes on the
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    richest families
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    by our estimation the top 20 percent of
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    wealthiest families in the philippines
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    will be paying less personal income tax
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    because a government needs revenue the
  • 00:07:56
    reduction in revenues from
  • 00:07:58
    lowering personal income tax on the
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    richest is made up for
  • 00:08:02
    by increasing consumption taxes on
  • 00:08:04
    everyone including the poorest 80
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    percent
  • 00:08:06
    so the net effect is they reached 20
  • 00:08:09
    they are paying higher consumption taxes
  • 00:08:12
    but they get more in their pocket from
  • 00:08:14
    lower personal income taxes that in the
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    end they have more money in their pocket
  • 00:08:18
    the problem is with the poor is 80 they
  • 00:08:20
    are paying higher consumption taxes
  • 00:08:22
    but with no offsetting gains in personal
  • 00:08:24
    income tax
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    so the net effect for the poor is 80
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    percent they have less money in their
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    pocket
  • 00:08:29
    so overall what is happening is you're
  • 00:08:31
    transferring wealth from the poorest 80
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    percent
  • 00:08:34
    to the richest 20 and that is by design
  • 00:08:36
    so for us
  • 00:08:37
    again we were talking earlier about what
  • 00:08:39
    facts are in place unfortunately the
  • 00:08:41
    train was a good example
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    of government economic managers not
  • 00:08:45
    actually being very truthful
  • 00:08:47
    they keep saying that 99 of filipino
  • 00:08:50
    households will benefit from the terrain
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    law that actually isn't
  • 00:08:55
    a brazen untruth because we have
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    their own data which they presented in
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    senate committee hearings which they
  • 00:09:02
    gave to us
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    as part of our formal data requests they
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    knew
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    that the burden of the train law would
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    fall on the poorest
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    they knew that reindeer would liberate
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    the richest families
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    but they said something contrary to that
  • 00:09:18
    so first it's an untruth and again
  • 00:09:19
    it cuts the heart of the matter the
  • 00:09:21
    training is a very specific
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    data point about economic policy making
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    this an economic policy
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    designed for the wealthy at the expense
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    of the buddhists and that cuts across
  • 00:09:31
    wage policy land reform policy trading
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    investment policy
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    unfortunately the underlying spirit of
  • 00:09:36
    our economic policy is
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    to make things better for the richest
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    even if it
  • 00:09:42
    tramples on the interest of the many so
  • 00:09:46
    given that obviously by design the train
  • 00:09:49
    law is actually
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    taxing the poor more rather than the
  • 00:09:52
    rich but
  • 00:09:53
    wouldn't the logic also there or within
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    the government logic also there apply
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    that they're trying to fall
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    or follow like a kinesian model where
  • 00:10:01
    the government accumulates
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    funds so it can stimul or they can
  • 00:10:05
    actually create more jobs so for example
  • 00:10:08
    i think part of the funding that's
  • 00:10:09
    coming from or part of the funds that
  • 00:10:11
    come from the train law will actually be
  • 00:10:13
    utilized for the build build build
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    program
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    so if you follow if you're following
  • 00:10:18
    that train of logic now
  • 00:10:19
    so even if the poor is actually paying
  • 00:10:22
    more
  • 00:10:22
    aren't they getting more from that
  • 00:10:24
    particular um from that particular law
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    because
  • 00:10:27
    the government will now move towards
  • 00:10:29
    providing more jobs for them again
  • 00:10:32
    unfortunately that is not what's going
  • 00:10:33
    to happen
  • 00:10:34
    um if the training is meant to be
  • 00:10:36
    funding infrastructure
  • 00:10:37
    let's focus on the flagship
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    infrastructure projects there are 75
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    flagship infrastructure projects right
  • 00:10:43
    now um by the government
  • 00:10:46
    about 90 of those are transport projects
  • 00:10:49
    about two-thirds of those are in the
  • 00:10:52
    country's richest regions
  • 00:10:53
    um national capital region centre luzon
  • 00:10:55
    and southern tagalog
  • 00:10:57
    so at a stroke that belies the argument
  • 00:11:00
    that the train loss revenues
  • 00:11:02
    which go to infrastructure will go to
  • 00:11:04
    the poor
  • 00:11:05
    because train law will be funded
  • 00:11:07
    infrastructure projects concentrated in
  • 00:11:10
    the three wealthiest regions of the
  • 00:11:11
    country
  • 00:11:12
    not trickling down to the remaining um
  • 00:11:16
    13 12 13 regions of the country so it
  • 00:11:18
    can't be called
  • 00:11:19
    a prop or infrastructure spending if
  • 00:11:21
    it's being spent mainly
  • 00:11:23
    in the country's religious regions
  • 00:11:24
    secondly
  • 00:11:26
    in all honesty the poor
  • 00:11:29
    don't need more roads who needs more
  • 00:11:32
    roads
  • 00:11:32
    the companies based in ncr cl and
  • 00:11:35
    st who need
  • 00:11:39
    more mobility for their goods and
  • 00:11:41
    services to go to the port area to send
  • 00:11:44
    their goods abroad
  • 00:11:45
    or to bring goods into their export
  • 00:11:47
    zones they're
  • 00:11:48
    going to be the main benefits of the
  • 00:11:50
    train law so i know
  • 00:11:51
    it's always nice to have infrastructure
  • 00:11:54
    it's always nice to feel that you know
  • 00:11:55
    you have a
  • 00:11:57
    quicker commute but our problem there is
  • 00:11:59
    that infrastructure spending
  • 00:12:01
    is not commensurate to the benefits and
  • 00:12:03
    infrastructure spending will be financed
  • 00:12:05
    by the aggressive
  • 00:12:06
    tax reform package which is the train
  • 00:12:08
    law so it's not
  • 00:12:10
    it's a complete untruth the government
  • 00:12:11
    says that um
  • 00:12:13
    the revenues will be spent on proper
  • 00:12:14
    infrastructure that is not happening
  • 00:12:17
    but you mentioned that specifically
  • 00:12:18
    because farm to market roads are
  • 00:12:20
    sort of like part of this package of
  • 00:12:22
    part of the infrastructure package
  • 00:12:24
    offered by the duterte government you
  • 00:12:26
    also mentioned central the zone in
  • 00:12:27
    southern tagalog
  • 00:12:29
    because i was thinking about the recent
  • 00:12:30
    events regarding farmers
  • 00:12:32
    um apparently there's a contradiction
  • 00:12:35
    between what the government wants for
  • 00:12:38
    food supply and the condition of farmers
  • 00:12:41
    wouldn't infrastructure or farm to
  • 00:12:43
    market roads from central luzon
  • 00:12:45
    to ncr in southern tagalog to ncr
  • 00:12:49
    and even from other regions in mindanao
  • 00:12:51
    to davao and as the ports support areas
  • 00:12:53
    now
  • 00:12:54
    wouldn't these actually contribute to
  • 00:12:56
    alleviating or actually improving the
  • 00:12:58
    lives of farmers no
  • 00:12:59
    isn't that part of the government
  • 00:13:00
    framework again another good example
  • 00:13:03
    that is liberalization law well
  • 00:13:05
    sometimes called the right
  • 00:13:06
    stratification law
  • 00:13:07
    the rice liberalization law it took away
  • 00:13:10
    protections for
  • 00:13:11
    rice for domestic domestic rice industry
  • 00:13:13
    um so it took away
  • 00:13:14
    import cotas it took away the regulatory
  • 00:13:17
    authority of the national food authority
  • 00:13:19
    and it opened up the country to
  • 00:13:20
    basically unlimited rice imports as long
  • 00:13:22
    as certain tariffs are paid
  • 00:13:24
    it's basically open up the country to
  • 00:13:26
    cheap rice imports
  • 00:13:28
    again it's by design the way the free
  • 00:13:32
    market operates is
  • 00:13:34
    it kills the poor uh so it kills the
  • 00:13:37
    uncompetitive who tend to be
  • 00:13:39
    the poorest and that's exactly what's
  • 00:13:40
    happening right now um
  • 00:13:42
    because of the rice liberalization law
  • 00:13:44
    in center luzon
  • 00:13:46
    even if you have more farm-to-market
  • 00:13:48
    roads farmers will still not be able to
  • 00:13:50
    compete because
  • 00:13:51
    they have not felt the subsidies to
  • 00:13:54
    become more efficient to become more
  • 00:13:56
    competitive
  • 00:13:57
    yet right now because of the rice
  • 00:13:58
    liberalization law they're having to
  • 00:14:00
    compete with cheap
  • 00:14:02
    imported rice from thailand from vietnam
  • 00:14:04
    in india which are heavily subsidized in
  • 00:14:06
    their
  • 00:14:07
    home countries and what is happening is
  • 00:14:09
    exactly what's happening now
  • 00:14:10
    the way the market operates is you have
  • 00:14:13
    cheap
  • 00:14:13
    ballet from cheap rice from abroad it
  • 00:14:15
    drives local
  • 00:14:16
    ballet prices down rice traders will not
  • 00:14:19
    get any more from the local
  • 00:14:20
    rice farmers they will buy from abroad
  • 00:14:23
    driving
  • 00:14:24
    ballet prices down driving farmers
  • 00:14:26
    incomes down
  • 00:14:27
    forcing rice farmers to go bankrupt
  • 00:14:29
    forcing rice farmers to find other means
  • 00:14:31
    of livelihood because it's no longer
  • 00:14:33
    profitable or conventional to their
  • 00:14:35
    effort to produce rice hence
  • 00:14:37
    they will produce less rice or they will
  • 00:14:40
    stop
  • 00:14:41
    farming rice they might go to
  • 00:14:43
    construction for short-term jobs
  • 00:14:45
    you have two major long-term effects
  • 00:14:47
    rice domestic rice production will
  • 00:14:49
    collapse
  • 00:14:50
    rice farmers will be displaced and
  • 00:14:52
    they're earning like maybe six thousand
  • 00:14:53
    seven thousand pesos a month right now
  • 00:14:55
    that's nothing
  • 00:14:56
    and third the country's food security
  • 00:14:58
    over the long term will be compromised
  • 00:15:00
    and we're forced to rely on imported
  • 00:15:03
    rice so on so many levels
  • 00:15:05
    the free market operating in the rice
  • 00:15:07
    industry again it's emblematic
  • 00:15:09
    it hits the poor the worst it makes the
  • 00:15:11
    right status very wealthy because they
  • 00:15:12
    can now
  • 00:15:13
    have markups on their larger markups on
  • 00:15:16
    the
  • 00:15:16
    rice they sell but long-term development
  • 00:15:19
    and short-term
  • 00:15:20
    welfare farmers is completely
  • 00:15:22
    compromised because
  • 00:15:24
    the free market is operating so against
  • 00:15:26
    that any claim that yeah but they have
  • 00:15:28
    three more they have
  • 00:15:29
    farm to market roads it's not enough
  • 00:15:32
    what they need is what
  • 00:15:33
    thai rice farmers vietnamese rice
  • 00:15:35
    farmers indian rice farmers and actually
  • 00:15:38
    japanese rice farmers are getting um
  • 00:15:41
    there's a lot of talk about the rice
  • 00:15:42
    competitors enhancement fund
  • 00:15:44
    it's supposed to be 10 billion pesos a
  • 00:15:46
    year that is nothing compared to what
  • 00:15:48
    vietnamese farmers are earning
  • 00:15:50
    vietnamese farmers are getting over one
  • 00:15:52
    billion dollars in subsidies every year
  • 00:15:54
    thai farmers are getting over four
  • 00:15:56
    billion dollars in their subsidies every
  • 00:15:58
    year
  • 00:15:58
    japanese rice farmers are getting over
  • 00:16:00
    16 billion dollars in rice subsidies
  • 00:16:02
    every year
  • 00:16:03
    and that's the kind of support rice
  • 00:16:05
    farmers need
  • 00:16:06
    infrastructure won't help them right
  • 00:16:08
    civilization will devastate them
  • 00:16:10
    that's a good point but from i know this
  • 00:16:13
    is a very harsh point of view
  • 00:16:14
    but doesn't that or isn't that proof
  • 00:16:17
    that the free that the lazy sphere
  • 00:16:19
    concept works because
  • 00:16:20
    you're now driving or you're now
  • 00:16:23
    producing or
  • 00:16:24
    you have now access to cheaper rice
  • 00:16:26
    which benefits consumers
  • 00:16:28
    and now on the other now if you if
  • 00:16:30
    farming or agriculture is no longer
  • 00:16:32
    viable for farmers
  • 00:16:34
    they now can move on because that's the
  • 00:16:36
    promise you can now move on
  • 00:16:38
    you can now migrate to the city and
  • 00:16:40
    acquire higher paying jobs now
  • 00:16:42
    i know there's an issue on the long term
  • 00:16:44
    with when it comes to food security
  • 00:16:46
    but again from the point of view of the
  • 00:16:47
    individual consumer and you know they
  • 00:16:50
    meet the maybe the government can argue
  • 00:16:52
    the the past and they cannot move on to
  • 00:16:53
    more um
  • 00:16:55
    economically rewarding activities
  • 00:16:58
    i think it's nice to unpack some some
  • 00:17:00
    seemingly intuitive notions
  • 00:17:02
    there um i'll i'll work backwards first
  • 00:17:05
    intuitive notion okay
  • 00:17:07
    it's not profitable to farm i'll move to
  • 00:17:09
    the cities for a higher paying job
  • 00:17:10
    because that's how lazy sphere works
  • 00:17:12
    that is not happening
  • 00:17:14
    why the highest unemployment rates in
  • 00:17:16
    the country are in the cities
  • 00:17:18
    um the worst urban living condition
  • 00:17:21
    living conditions are in our
  • 00:17:22
    city urban centers they're congested
  • 00:17:25
    they're polluted
  • 00:17:26
    they're the social problems of crime and
  • 00:17:28
    everything so
  • 00:17:31
    we have to disabuse ourselves with an
  • 00:17:33
    ocean a farmer who loses work
  • 00:17:35
    will have options in the city because
  • 00:17:38
    they won't have options in the city we
  • 00:17:39
    have a bloated informal sector
  • 00:17:41
    with very low paying insecure informal
  • 00:17:44
    work
  • 00:17:45
    they will not earn more in the cities
  • 00:17:47
    they will just bloat the informal sector
  • 00:17:49
    they will blow
  • 00:17:50
    urban urban unemployment so that's i
  • 00:17:52
    think a completely
  • 00:17:54
    dodgy thing to claim that the space
  • 00:17:57
    farmer has options in the city because
  • 00:17:59
    they're not enough options in the city
  • 00:18:01
    um second point
  • 00:18:02
    um is it okay for inefficient farming to
  • 00:18:06
    just let it die
  • 00:18:07
    and then let the economy because it's
  • 00:18:09
    moving allegedly the capitalist
  • 00:18:11
    system is a self-correcting
  • 00:18:13
    self-regulating system
  • 00:18:15
    again we have to unpack that because
  • 00:18:17
    there is a prime of place that should be
  • 00:18:19
    given to
  • 00:18:20
    food self-sufficiency and it's an
  • 00:18:22
    insight that our neighbors
  • 00:18:24
    ironically were getting rice from they
  • 00:18:26
    realized they realized
  • 00:18:28
    if they let the free market operate in
  • 00:18:30
    the thigh
  • 00:18:31
    vietnamese india and japanese right
  • 00:18:33
    industry then if the free market
  • 00:18:35
    operates
  • 00:18:36
    those industries those sectors will
  • 00:18:38
    collapse
  • 00:18:39
    so they made a political choice to
  • 00:18:41
    subvert the market
  • 00:18:42
    for a development end of rice
  • 00:18:44
    self-sufficiency
  • 00:18:46
    they're subsidizing their rice farmers
  • 00:18:49
    because if they were not subsidized the
  • 00:18:50
    market would kill them
  • 00:18:52
    but there's a political decision we want
  • 00:18:54
    a rice industry
  • 00:18:56
    even if the market is inefficient and on
  • 00:18:59
    balance what's more important
  • 00:19:00
    what the market says or what economic
  • 00:19:03
    development demands
  • 00:19:04
    the political choice should be what
  • 00:19:07
    economic development demands people need
  • 00:19:09
    it's a wrong political choice
  • 00:19:11
    to they fight the market and say
  • 00:19:12
    whatever the market says
  • 00:19:14
    that's the that's the way to go the
  • 00:19:17
    market in the rice industry will say
  • 00:19:20
    let it die import the cheap from abroad
  • 00:19:22
    at the expense of
  • 00:19:24
    short-term transition costs for farmers
  • 00:19:26
    at the expense of long-term food
  • 00:19:29
    self-insufficiency and food insecurity
  • 00:19:31
    that's a political decision it goes
  • 00:19:34
    along it cuts across all runs of
  • 00:19:37
    economic activity
  • 00:19:39
    if for instance again our neighboring
  • 00:19:41
    countries
  • 00:19:42
    japan china if they chose to
  • 00:19:46
    let the market operate in terms of
  • 00:19:48
    industrial development
  • 00:19:49
    they would not have indices to begin
  • 00:19:51
    with they remain backward agricultural
  • 00:19:52
    countries
  • 00:19:53
    but at their periods of development
  • 00:19:56
    their governments intervened in
  • 00:19:57
    industrial development
  • 00:19:59
    to subsidize their industries to protect
  • 00:20:01
    their industries not following what the
  • 00:20:03
    market says
  • 00:20:04
    hence their industrial powerhouses now
  • 00:20:06
    so for us that's such a key concept to
  • 00:20:09
    to grasp we've gotten so used to
  • 00:20:11
    thinking that what the market says
  • 00:20:14
    is going to be correct it's
  • 00:20:15
    self-regulating we've gotten so used to
  • 00:20:17
    thinking
  • 00:20:18
    the only activity worth entering into is
  • 00:20:20
    profitable
  • 00:20:21
    but that is at the point of the economy
  • 00:20:23
    if the point of an economy is to create
  • 00:20:25
    enough jobs
  • 00:20:26
    enough incomes for the population if the
  • 00:20:28
    point for an economy
  • 00:20:30
    especially agricultural agriculture
  • 00:20:31
    country is to have food security for the
  • 00:20:34
    population
  • 00:20:35
    the market will not give that on its own
  • 00:20:37
    account the market actually
  • 00:20:38
    will go in contrary directions hence the
  • 00:20:41
    government should step in to regulate it
  • 00:20:43
    in a certain way to bring the economy to
  • 00:20:46
    development and that's what i think
  • 00:20:47
    where the
  • 00:20:48
    the third administration and even past
  • 00:20:50
    philippine governments have failed
  • 00:20:52
    um in the last four decades we've bought
  • 00:20:55
    into
  • 00:20:56
    the deification of the market what into
  • 00:20:58
    this celebration of global
  • 00:21:00
    competitiveness and market efficiency
  • 00:21:02
    worst of all we've bought into the idea
  • 00:21:04
    that the government should not intervene
  • 00:21:06
    in national economic development which
  • 00:21:08
    should lead to the market
  • 00:21:09
    and we are where we are right now with
  • 00:21:11
    growth
  • 00:21:13
    being very high but not enough jobs with
  • 00:21:16
    good with a lot of profits for a few
  • 00:21:19
    wealthy families and big corporations
  • 00:21:21
    but with the majority
  • 00:21:23
    actually still in poverty that is what
  • 00:21:25
    the market is delivered and by any
  • 00:21:27
    standard
  • 00:21:28
    i don't think that's a good development
  • 00:21:29
    outcome what the free market has given
  • 00:21:31
    us over the last four years four decades
  • 00:21:33
    that's actually a very good point thank
  • 00:21:35
    you because you were also mentioning
  • 00:21:37
    about the role of government
  • 00:21:38
    in ensuring i guess competitiveness in a
  • 00:21:41
    very lazy
  • 00:21:42
    in a very free market economy driven
  • 00:21:44
    system
  • 00:21:45
    but isn't the government also
  • 00:21:46
    intervening in terms of
  • 00:21:48
    of government services social services
  • 00:21:50
    because that's also part of the promise
  • 00:21:52
    promise of the trained law now that it's
  • 00:21:54
    not just about infrastructure but also
  • 00:21:56
    providing more for education
  • 00:21:58
    health services and in a way aren't we
  • 00:22:01
    seeing it in terms of the free tuition
  • 00:22:03
    policy for state universities and
  • 00:22:05
    colleges isn't that a byproduct
  • 00:22:08
    as well of a free market economy where
  • 00:22:10
    the government
  • 00:22:11
    actually just taxes people and then
  • 00:22:15
    regurgitates or you know returns no
  • 00:22:17
    these
  • 00:22:18
    uh it's uh it's funding into the forms
  • 00:22:20
    of social service
  • 00:22:22
    again let's unpack that a bit first
  • 00:22:25
    social services
  • 00:22:26
    should never be provided in market terms
  • 00:22:29
    so for us
  • 00:22:30
    that's a key key notion that we have to
  • 00:22:31
    grasp
  • 00:22:33
    health and education to some degree even
  • 00:22:35
    housing
  • 00:22:37
    if the if that's left to the market they
  • 00:22:39
    will be too
  • 00:22:40
    expensive and inaccessible for too many
  • 00:22:42
    people because
  • 00:22:44
    they will become more expensive because
  • 00:22:45
    there's always going to be a profit
  • 00:22:47
    premium put on that
  • 00:22:49
    so i think a core notion about social
  • 00:22:51
    services the people need it
  • 00:22:53
    we cannot leave it to the market and
  • 00:22:54
    privatize it because if we commodify
  • 00:22:56
    health and education
  • 00:22:58
    only those who can afford it will have
  • 00:23:00
    it so that's an important point because
  • 00:23:02
    that
  • 00:23:02
    points to how the government has to over
  • 00:23:06
    the long term
  • 00:23:06
    be the ones providing in a publicly
  • 00:23:10
    funded subsidized manner health
  • 00:23:12
    education
  • 00:23:13
    housing and all of that so those can't
  • 00:23:16
    be left to the market so
  • 00:23:17
    point number one point number two where
  • 00:23:20
    would the government get the resources
  • 00:23:21
    to provide the health education whether
  • 00:23:23
    it's universal health care or free
  • 00:23:25
    tuition
  • 00:23:25
    all of that they should get exactly from
  • 00:23:28
    taxation
  • 00:23:29
    but should you get it by taxing the poor
  • 00:23:32
    or taxing the rich
  • 00:23:33
    and that's where the prob our problem is
  • 00:23:35
    with a train law it's blackmailing the
  • 00:23:37
    poor
  • 00:23:37
    to say that you have to pay higher taxes
  • 00:23:39
    because they're giving it back to you
  • 00:23:41
    that's blackmail because behind that
  • 00:23:43
    statement that
  • 00:23:44
    if you don't if we don't charge you
  • 00:23:47
    higher taxes you won't get your services
  • 00:23:49
    then the statement is you're telling the
  • 00:23:51
    rich
  • 00:23:52
    don't worry you'll be paying less taxes
  • 00:23:55
    that's where the problem lies
  • 00:23:56
    the government has to generate revenues
  • 00:23:59
    for the social services
  • 00:24:01
    but it should be the revenue should be
  • 00:24:03
    earned
  • 00:24:04
    from those have the most ability to pay
  • 00:24:05
    that which is the rich
  • 00:24:07
    and that is a very problematic notion
  • 00:24:09
    for us under terrain law
  • 00:24:11
    they are making the rich pay less and
  • 00:24:13
    making the poor pay more
  • 00:24:15
    on the argument that it gives social
  • 00:24:17
    services that's wrong
  • 00:24:19
    the rich should pay more so the poor can
  • 00:24:21
    have social services
  • 00:24:22
    and again that's a political choice
  • 00:24:24
    redistribution of wealth
  • 00:24:26
    public responsibility for the buddhists
  • 00:24:28
    so it doesn't make sense for us
  • 00:24:30
    for the richest families and with a
  • 00:24:32
    trained package too right now
  • 00:24:33
    for the biggest corporations it doesn't
  • 00:24:35
    make sense for us that those with the
  • 00:24:37
    most ability to pay
  • 00:24:38
    will actually end up paying less and
  • 00:24:40
    those with the least ability to pay who
  • 00:24:42
    will feel every peso they lose
  • 00:24:44
    will end up paying more so again that's
  • 00:24:46
    i think a key notion
  • 00:24:48
    the train law should not be used to
  • 00:24:50
    blackmail the poor if anything
  • 00:24:52
    the government should make a political
  • 00:24:54
    choice those who have the most should
  • 00:24:56
    pay the most
  • 00:24:56
    those have the least should pay the
  • 00:24:58
    least or not paid they can't afford it
  • 00:25:01
    so because now we're we're talking about
  • 00:25:04
    data now because we're mentioning
  • 00:25:05
    the train law and its impact on the
  • 00:25:07
    economy while the
  • 00:25:08
    well economic data actually shows wealth
  • 00:25:10
    is being generated it's not being
  • 00:25:12
    equitably distributed
  • 00:25:14
    so it means those who actually have more
  • 00:25:16
    are getting more
  • 00:25:18
    while those who have less pay more for
  • 00:25:20
    the services that are that
  • 00:25:22
    for that do not necessarily um
  • 00:25:25
    meet the requirements now but if that's
  • 00:25:27
    the case now if we're not looking at
  • 00:25:29
    statistics like gdp gnp
  • 00:25:32
    and if that's the case how are we
  • 00:25:34
    supposed to a
  • 00:25:36
    define what is a humane existence
  • 00:25:38
    because
  • 00:25:39
    obviously that is now being under no no
  • 00:25:41
    under interrogation
  • 00:25:42
    because what does it really mean to have
  • 00:25:44
    a livable
  • 00:25:45
    humane life and next if that is the
  • 00:25:48
    perspective what should we really be
  • 00:25:50
    measuring what are what should
  • 00:25:52
    what data what information should we be
  • 00:25:55
    really looking into
  • 00:25:56
    and evaluate when determining the if
  • 00:25:58
    there is economic growth
  • 00:26:00
    if there is upliftment in the lives of
  • 00:26:01
    people
  • 00:26:03
    i think um human well-being there's so
  • 00:26:05
    many dimensions but you know to be a bit
  • 00:26:07
    crude about it so can sort of be more
  • 00:26:09
    manageable we can talk about the
  • 00:26:10
    material aspects of
  • 00:26:12
    human welfare it's so basic
  • 00:26:15
    for human welfare for a family
  • 00:26:18
    to have any minimum standard of welfare
  • 00:26:20
    their breadwinners have to have jobs
  • 00:26:23
    and those jobs have to be secure and
  • 00:26:24
    giving them enough incomes
  • 00:26:26
    to provide for the basic needs of daily
  • 00:26:28
    life that's one aspect jobs and incomes
  • 00:26:31
    second aspect they should have access to
  • 00:26:33
    decent social services
  • 00:26:34
    education health and housing so i think
  • 00:26:37
    in terms of material needs
  • 00:26:38
    jobs with enough incomes and social
  • 00:26:42
    services
  • 00:26:43
    i think that's where the current
  • 00:26:45
    administration is
  • 00:26:46
    is actually falling far short first we
  • 00:26:49
    always stress all the time there's
  • 00:26:51
    something wrong with the job data being
  • 00:26:53
    presented right now
  • 00:26:55
    first it's a fact that we're not
  • 00:26:57
    generating enough jobs
  • 00:26:58
    um the on average 81 000 annual job
  • 00:27:02
    generation the first two years
  • 00:27:04
    of the administration that's the worst
  • 00:27:06
    job generation in the post-marcos era
  • 00:27:09
    unemployment is actually much higher
  • 00:27:10
    than officially reported
  • 00:27:12
    the official unemployment rate is about
  • 00:27:14
    five and a half percent
  • 00:27:16
    the official number of unemployed is
  • 00:27:17
    only about 2.3 million
  • 00:27:19
    but that's because the government has
  • 00:27:21
    stopped counting unemployed
  • 00:27:22
    filipinos um they made this
  • 00:27:26
    sticker definition you had to have been
  • 00:27:28
    looking for work in the last six months
  • 00:27:30
    and able to do to um
  • 00:27:34
    start working at the drop of a pin to
  • 00:27:36
    the counter i think you need to be
  • 00:27:38
    looking for work
  • 00:27:39
    for work and immediately available for
  • 00:27:41
    work that's so tricky because by putting
  • 00:27:43
    those two new conditions
  • 00:27:45
    in the current unemployment statistics
  • 00:27:47
    2.3 million filipinos
  • 00:27:49
    are jobless but not counted as
  • 00:27:52
    unemployed
  • 00:27:52
    so that's a problem for us because um
  • 00:27:56
    when that definition was was changed in
  • 00:27:58
    2005
  • 00:27:59
    the government has been using it it
  • 00:28:01
    falsely reduces the number of unemployed
  • 00:28:04
    falsely reduced the unemployment rate
  • 00:28:06
    and gave me the impression that growth
  • 00:28:08
    is benefiting the people but i think
  • 00:28:09
    that's
  • 00:28:10
    so important because you know it's so
  • 00:28:13
    normal in a especially market economy
  • 00:28:15
    you have to have a job in the earning
  • 00:28:17
    to actually be buying your basic
  • 00:28:20
    necessities
  • 00:28:21
    so on the jobs front there's a big
  • 00:28:23
    problem um we're a service economy more
  • 00:28:26
    than a producing economy
  • 00:28:27
    we're de-industrializing we're not
  • 00:28:29
    creating enough jobs
  • 00:28:31
    because of the free market framework
  • 00:28:32
    we're doing there in terms of wages
  • 00:28:36
    productivity is actually increasing
  • 00:28:37
    labor productivity has been increasing
  • 00:28:39
    for the last two decades
  • 00:28:40
    but wages have not been increasing why
  • 00:28:43
    are we just not
  • 00:28:44
    increasing because they're being taken
  • 00:28:46
    as profits
  • 00:28:47
    by the owners of capital so the economy
  • 00:28:50
    is growing
  • 00:28:51
    because productivity is increasing but
  • 00:28:53
    the benefits from growth and
  • 00:28:54
    productivity
  • 00:28:56
    they're not going to the workers higher
  • 00:28:57
    wages because the real wages have been
  • 00:28:59
    flat for the last
  • 00:29:00
    18 years they're going to profits so
  • 00:29:03
    that's a problem there
  • 00:29:04
    again inequality and also concentrating
  • 00:29:06
    wealth on the very
  • 00:29:08
    already the very very richest so that's
  • 00:29:11
    where the problem is right now
  • 00:29:13
    we have an economy by design not
  • 00:29:15
    creating enough jobs
  • 00:29:16
    an economy by design concentrating
  • 00:29:19
    income on the very richest
  • 00:29:21
    in an economy even worse now by design
  • 00:29:24
    lowering the tax burden on the richest
  • 00:29:26
    and extremely taxable and the poor so
  • 00:29:28
    even
  • 00:29:29
    the social services we're supposed to be
  • 00:29:31
    getting
  • 00:29:32
    at best we can call them crumbs because
  • 00:29:36
    um talking about the free tuition only
  • 00:29:39
    half of the population
  • 00:29:40
    of the student population at the
  • 00:29:42
    tertiary level is actually going to be
  • 00:29:44
    benefiting from that
  • 00:29:46
    the other half of the tertiary level
  • 00:29:48
    population will still be
  • 00:29:49
    in private colleges with very very high
  • 00:29:52
    tuition
  • 00:29:53
    so it's a good step forward the free
  • 00:29:56
    tuition and sucs
  • 00:29:58
    but still a partial measure to universal
  • 00:30:00
    education at a tertiary level
  • 00:30:02
    same goes for universal healthcare it
  • 00:30:05
    might seem like a good idea to put money
  • 00:30:06
    in people's pockets through field health
  • 00:30:08
    so they can pay for hospital services
  • 00:30:11
    but
  • 00:30:12
    if those are privately provided hospital
  • 00:30:14
    services with a profit premium
  • 00:30:16
    actually you're paying more for
  • 00:30:20
    hospital care when you should be because
  • 00:30:24
    you've added a profit premium because a
  • 00:30:26
    hospital care is provided by a
  • 00:30:28
    by a private firm which is
  • 00:30:30
    profit-seeking
  • 00:30:31
    so but the social level that's a problem
  • 00:30:34
    because
  • 00:30:35
    health has become a commodity
  • 00:30:36
    unnecessarily expensive
  • 00:30:38
    instead of being a public publicly
  • 00:30:42
    provided social service provided at cost
  • 00:30:44
    or better yet subsidized so for us i
  • 00:30:47
    think you know we have to unpack some
  • 00:30:49
    some deeply held things that have been
  • 00:30:51
    that have been told to us about
  • 00:30:53
    economic growth jobs incomes and even
  • 00:30:55
    social services
  • 00:31:06
    [Music]
  • 00:31:18
    you
Tags
  • économie philippine
  • loi TRAIN
  • inégalités
  • croissance économique
  • création d'emplois
  • infrastructure
  • libéralisation du riz
  • politiques fiscales
  • marché libre
  • services sociaux