Can Europe survive or thrive in the new world order? | Business Beyond

00:28:53
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ogLWnZ4Icro

Sintesi

TLDRThe video addresses the crucial challenges Europe faces as outlined in the Draghi and Lettera reports, highlighting Europe’s declining productivity and innovation compared to the US and China. Key insights from prominent figures like Enrico Lettera and Pascal Donu reveal the urgent need for deeper economic integration in sectors such as finance, energy, and telecoms. With rising populism and economic fragmentation threatening unity, the reports emphasize substantial proposed investments needed for Europe to secure its future. Ultimately, the video frames the EU's situation as existential, calling for immediate action to avoid economic collapse and uphold its democratic values.

Punti di forza

  • 💡 Europe must enhance productivity and innovation.
  • 📉 Investment needs in the EU are critical, requiring €750-800 billion annually.
  • 🌍 The EU is losing global competitiveness against the US and China.
  • ⚠️ Rising populism poses threats to EU unity.
  • 🔍 The 'fifth freedom' is vital for innovation and knowledge movement.
  • 📊 EU needs to deepen its single market in finance and other sectors.
  • 🛡️ Trump’s presidency alters EU’s economic landscape.
  • 🏦 Mobilizing private funding alongside public investment is necessary.
  • 🤝 Germany's leadership is crucial for EU stability.
  • ❗ EU's future depends on collective action and decision-making.

Linea temporale

  • 00:00:00 - 00:05:00

    The ECB, led by Mario Draghi, emphasizes the importance of saving the Euro and is now focused on addressing Europe's economic challenges. The Draghi report highlights the EU's lack of productivity and innovation as existential threats, necessitating urgent action for Europe to thrive in a changing global landscape.

  • 00:05:00 - 00:10:00

    Enrico Letta outlines two critical reports aimed at revitalizing the EU economy, emphasizing the need to rediscover and strengthen the significance of the single market. Proposed solutions address fragmentation and overregulation while advocating for a new 'fifth freedom' focused on digital innovation and knowledge.

  • 00:10:00 - 00:15:00

    The EU faces a pressing reality check as US tariffs and defense spending demands under Trump's potential second term highlight the need for unity among EU member states. Fragmentation risks Europe's competitiveness against the US and China, pressing the need for collective action.

  • 00:15:00 - 00:20:00

    Investment disparities between the US and EU are evident as Europe lags in both public and private spending. Reports call for an urgent increase in total annual investments, suggesting the need for a cohesive financial market and coordination of savings to retain capital within Europe.

  • 00:20:00 - 00:28:53

    To adapt to the current geopolitical climate and instabilities within the EU, leaders must navigate rising populism while pushing for deeper integration in vital sectors. Ensuring competitiveness and security within energy, telecoms, and financial services is paramount for Europe to maintain relevance and protect its citizens' future.

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Mappa mentale

Video Domande e Risposte

  • What are the main concerns of the Draghi Report?

    The Draghi Report emphasizes Europe's lack of productivity and innovation, warning that without action, it will fail to survive in a hostile global environment.

  • How does the EU economy compare to the US economy?

    The EU's GDP currently represents less than 3/4 of the US GDP, and its share of global GDP has been steadily declining.

  • What is meant by the 'fifth freedom' in the EU context?

    The fifth freedom refers to the free movement of knowledge and innovation, aimed at enhancing the EU's single market.

  • What significant investments are mentioned in the reports?

    The reports indicate a need for an additional investment of €750 to €800 billion annually to meet strategic goals.

  • What challenges does the EU face regarding political unity?

    Rising populism and political instability in key member states like France and Germany threaten the EU's collaborative efforts.

  • What are key sectors identified for deeper integration in the EU?

    Energy, telecommunications, and financial services are highlighted as crucial sectors for integration.

  • How has Trump's re-election influenced Europe's economy?

    Trump's presidency complicates EU relations, with potential tariffs and increased pressures on defense spending.

  • Why is a capital market union important for the EU?

    A capital market union would facilitate better investment and funding conditions for EU businesses, making Europe more competitive.

  • What does the video suggest as a solution for Europe's investment shortfall?

    It suggests that Europe must mobilize private funding alongside public investment to address its substantial investment needs.

  • What historical context is provided regarding Europe's challenges?

    The video refers to Europe’s historical fragility and the potential for collapse if significant mistakes are made.

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Scorrimento automatico:
  • 00:00:00
    the ECB is ready to do whatever it takes
  • 00:00:04
    to preserve the Euro whatever it takes
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    three words credited with saving the
  • 00:00:10
    Euro from collapse in
  • 00:00:13
    2012 but Mario dragy the man who said
  • 00:00:15
    them recently took on an even bigger
  • 00:00:17
    task saving
  • 00:00:19
    Europe Europe's economic future it may
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    sound boring but I promise you it isn't
  • 00:00:25
    this isn't just about things like
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    tariffs or GDP or interest rates it's
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    about some fundament m al things which
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    many people here in Europe have come to
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    take for granted Prosperity security and
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    democracy the recently released draggy
  • 00:00:40
    report dedicates almost 400 pages to
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    what the former ECB Chief calls the
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    existential challenge facing the EU
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    economy the central message Europe is
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    not productive or Innovative enough and
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    if it doesn't take action now it won't
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    be able to survive in a world that's
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    ever more hostile to
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    it in this episode we speak to the
  • 00:01:00
    former Italian Prime Minister enrio Lea
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    and the Euro group president Pascal donu
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    two other people tasked with remaking
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    the EU economy for a world it wasn't
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    designed for we are in a red alarm
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    situation we have to move we have to act
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    I definitely think there's an awareness
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    amongst voters all over Europe regarding
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    the degree to which the world is
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    changing and we ask one of the leading
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    commentators on the global economy
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    what's at stake if the EU comes up short
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    this really is existential for Europe if
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    it doesn't solve these problems it could
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    literally
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    collapse welcome to business
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    beyond the EU has faced several defining
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    questions over the last 15 years from
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    the global financial crisis to the
  • 00:01:48
    pandemic to the war on Ukraine and now
  • 00:01:50
    the re-election to the US Presidency of
  • 00:01:52
    Donald Trump for a second term has
  • 00:01:54
    raised yet more existential questions
  • 00:01:56
    for
  • 00:01:57
    Europe Trump says he will put tariffs on
  • 00:02:00
    European exports to the US particularly
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    on Industrial sectors like car making at
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    a time when they're
  • 00:02:06
    struggling he has also repeatedly warned
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    EU Nations to increase their defense
  • 00:02:12
    spending one of the presidents of a big
  • 00:02:14
    country stood up said well sir uh if we
  • 00:02:17
    don't pay and we're attacked by Russia
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    will you protect us I said you didn't
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    pay you're delinquent he said yes let's
  • 00:02:26
    say that happened no I would not protect
  • 00:02:28
    you in fact I would encourage them to do
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    whatever the hell they want you got to
  • 00:02:32
    pay you got to pay your bills I think
  • 00:02:35
    this is a very profound shift in the
  • 00:02:38
    world environment my own view is this is
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    probably the most profound shift in the
  • 00:02:44
    world environment of My Life Time Martin
  • 00:02:47
    wolf is a former World Bank Economist
  • 00:02:49
    who has been the financial times chief
  • 00:02:51
    economic commentator for almost 30 years
  • 00:02:54
    he thinks Trump's re-election has
  • 00:02:55
    fundamentally changed things for Europe
  • 00:02:57
    and everyone else well my own view Alas
  • 00:03:01
    and it's
  • 00:03:03
    immensely tragic and I use that word
  • 00:03:06
    advisedly is that Trump's reelection is
  • 00:03:09
    going to prove a historic event possibly
  • 00:03:12
    an irreversible one um for first of all
  • 00:03:16
    the US itself and the way it operates
  • 00:03:19
    the us as a guarantor of security the us
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    as the country that created preserved
  • 00:03:28
    defended the international liberal order
  • 00:03:31
    broadly defined that's clearly going to
  • 00:03:34
    be radically different and the part of
  • 00:03:37
    that is security relations and part of
  • 00:03:40
    it is economic relations given what he
  • 00:03:42
    has said about tariffs and defense
  • 00:03:44
    Trump's Victory is forcing Europe to
  • 00:03:46
    confront some hard truths about its own
  • 00:03:48
    economic standing particularly in
  • 00:03:50
    relation to the US but also in the world
  • 00:03:53
    as a
  • 00:03:54
    whole using GDP the standard measure of
  • 00:03:57
    the value added to an economy through
  • 00:03:58
    the production of goods and Services we
  • 00:04:00
    can see how the gap between the size of
  • 00:04:02
    the US and EU economies has widened
  • 00:04:04
    since
  • 00:04:05
    2010 total EU GDP now represents less
  • 00:04:09
    than 3/4 of the US
  • 00:04:13
    total 20 years ago the EU accounted for
  • 00:04:17
    a quarter of global GDP just behind the
  • 00:04:20
    US and way ahead of China after that
  • 00:04:23
    both the US and EU shares declined as
  • 00:04:25
    China experienced a dramatic surge over
  • 00:04:28
    the last decade the us share has
  • 00:04:30
    increased again while the EU has been
  • 00:04:32
    steadily
  • 00:04:33
    declining but beyond all the individual
  • 00:04:36
    crises that the EU has faced it has
  • 00:04:38
    known for a while that it has a bigger
  • 00:04:40
    problem which it must handle that's why
  • 00:04:42
    it has compiled two major reports
  • 00:04:44
    recently focusing on two economic areas
  • 00:04:47
    one its single market and two its
  • 00:04:50
    ability to compete in a world economy
  • 00:04:52
    that's increasingly dominated by the US
  • 00:04:54
    and China what's happened is a sort of
  • 00:04:57
    form of learned helplessness
  • 00:05:00
    it's that they are aware there's a
  • 00:05:02
    problem and dragy was asked as was enrio
  • 00:05:07
    lettera was asked to investigate these
  • 00:05:09
    issues because people know there's a
  • 00:05:12
    problem the letter report and the draggy
  • 00:05:15
    report aim to guide the EU out of its
  • 00:05:17
    current malaise to understand the aim of
  • 00:05:20
    these two major documents we spoke with
  • 00:05:22
    enrio letter the author of the letter
  • 00:05:25
    report he's a former Italian Prime
  • 00:05:27
    Minister and the current dean of e
  • 00:05:30
    University School of politics economics
  • 00:05:32
    and Global Affairs in Madrid
  • 00:05:34
    Spain he says that Europe has to
  • 00:05:37
    ReDiscover the true meaning and spirit
  • 00:05:40
    of its much vaunted single Market the
  • 00:05:42
    idea is that we don't understand that
  • 00:05:45
    the single Market is the true Jewel of
  • 00:05:48
    the European Union is the Hidden
  • 00:05:52
    Gem letter says that Jack delore the
  • 00:05:55
    hugely influential president of the
  • 00:05:57
    European commission from 1985 to 199 95
  • 00:06:00
    told him before he died in 2023 that the
  • 00:06:03
    EU had lost sight of its guiding Mission
  • 00:06:05
    he always told me they are forgetting
  • 00:06:09
    the importance and the centrality of the
  • 00:06:11
    single Market they are all forgetting
  • 00:06:13
    this importance and he always asked us
  • 00:06:17
    at the uh Jac delore Institute to work
  • 00:06:22
    on the single Market thinking that the
  • 00:06:24
    single Market is the true Center of
  • 00:06:27
    everything in a recent article Martin
  • 00:06:29
    wolf listed what he sees as the eu's
  • 00:06:31
    main
  • 00:06:32
    problems he wrote that the most
  • 00:06:35
    important are fragmentation
  • 00:06:37
    overregulation
  • 00:06:38
    inappropriate regulation insufficient
  • 00:06:40
    spending and undue conservatism of these
  • 00:06:45
    fragmentation is the most
  • 00:06:48
    damaging this is the idea that the
  • 00:06:51
    single Market doesn't really exist
  • 00:06:54
    despite the desire to create uh a single
  • 00:06:58
    Market
  • 00:07:00
    to create a banking Union an integrated
  • 00:07:04
    Financial system to create an integrated
  • 00:07:07
    Capital
  • 00:07:08
    markets uh which imply of course highly
  • 00:07:13
    integrated regulatory systems across the
  • 00:07:17
    the the continent across the EU so that
  • 00:07:20
    in essence businesses can operate as if
  • 00:07:24
    Europe was one the EU is clearly very
  • 00:07:28
    very far from that
  • 00:07:30
    he says the clearest examples of this
  • 00:07:31
    can be seen in banking and defense if we
  • 00:07:34
    rescue Banks they will be rescued by
  • 00:07:37
    States member states they won't be
  • 00:07:39
    rescued by the EU acting together
  • 00:07:41
    because the EU as a whole has almost no
  • 00:07:44
    fiscal Firepower at all so it's really
  • 00:07:49
    really hard in this situation to think
  • 00:07:52
    about Europe from the point of view of
  • 00:07:55
    the economy the modern economy as an
  • 00:07:58
    integrated whole
  • 00:08:00
    for enrio Lea healing this fragmentation
  • 00:08:03
    is the central message of his report we
  • 00:08:06
    think that we are one as the US and as
  • 00:08:11
    China but in reality on too many
  • 00:08:14
    economic issues Europe is just a
  • 00:08:16
    geographical expression we are 27 and if
  • 00:08:20
    we keep being
  • 00:08:22
    27 uh we will be uh I would say uh
  • 00:08:27
    marginalized by the American and the
  • 00:08:29
    Chinese that is the main message the EU
  • 00:08:33
    Prides itself on its Four Freedoms the
  • 00:08:35
    free movement of goods Services capital
  • 00:08:39
    and people but enrio Lea says that it
  • 00:08:41
    has been missing a fifth freedom and
  • 00:08:43
    that now is the time to set that right
  • 00:08:46
    we missed the intangible the digital and
  • 00:08:50
    so the idea to launch this fifth freedom
  • 00:08:52
    on Innovation knowledge and to have uh
  • 00:08:55
    everything related to this decision is
  • 00:08:58
    for me uh
  • 00:08:59
    fundamental uh decision EU leaders
  • 00:09:03
    agreed at a meeting in Budapest in
  • 00:09:04
    November to work on the introduction of
  • 00:09:06
    this intangible fifth Freedom agreeing
  • 00:09:09
    in principle to a single market for
  • 00:09:10
    research Innovation knowledge and
  • 00:09:12
    education a direct response to the
  • 00:09:14
    letter and dragy reports at the center
  • 00:09:17
    of the draggy report is a call for
  • 00:09:19
    Europe to become more productive but it
  • 00:09:21
    says that to do that it needs to become
  • 00:09:24
    more Innovative and to become more
  • 00:09:26
    Innovative it needs to invest
  • 00:09:30
    since the financial crisis investment
  • 00:09:32
    rates in the US have outstripped those
  • 00:09:34
    in the
  • 00:09:35
    EU in terms of private investment the EU
  • 00:09:38
    was ahead of the us until 2011 but the
  • 00:09:40
    Gap has widened significantly over the
  • 00:09:42
    past few
  • 00:09:44
    years for government investment us and
  • 00:09:47
    EU rates have mirrored one another but
  • 00:09:49
    the US has also remained
  • 00:09:51
    ahead the comparison matters because
  • 00:09:53
    many European startups opt to expand in
  • 00:09:56
    the US rather than in the any business
  • 00:09:59
    sets up in America can regard the whole
  • 00:10:02
    United States as its own Market it's
  • 00:10:05
    much more difficult for a European
  • 00:10:08
    business um the lack of a capital Market
  • 00:10:10
    Union for example is one of the reasons
  • 00:10:13
    that if you want to set up a startup uh
  • 00:10:16
    Tech startup it's so much more sensible
  • 00:10:19
    to to to get yourself funded in America
  • 00:10:23
    and then even move to
  • 00:10:25
    America the consequences are easy to see
  • 00:10:28
    here's the largest companies in the
  • 00:10:30
    world by market capitalization it's a
  • 00:10:32
    list dominated by us firms you have to
  • 00:10:36
    go all the way down to number 20 to find
  • 00:10:39
    a European firm the Danish
  • 00:10:41
    pharmaceutical company Novo
  • 00:10:44
    Nordisk among the most valuable us firms
  • 00:10:46
    are the world's leading Tech firms Apple
  • 00:10:49
    Microsoft and Chip giant Nvidia and
  • 00:10:52
    they're worth in the trillions not
  • 00:10:55
    billions Europe's biggest firms are much
  • 00:10:57
    less valuable the most valuable is at
  • 00:11:00
    the same level as the US's 17th or 18th
  • 00:11:02
    depending on a day's given rates and
  • 00:11:05
    Europe's biggest firms deal in more old
  • 00:11:07
    fashioned consumer and Healthcare
  • 00:11:08
    products rather than in more Innovative
  • 00:11:11
    technological Fields the dragy report
  • 00:11:13
    emphasizes repeatedly that the EU must
  • 00:11:16
    ramp up public and private
  • 00:11:18
    investment he even put an exact figure
  • 00:11:20
    on it the report states to meet the
  • 00:11:23
    objectives laid out in this report a
  • 00:11:25
    minimum annual additional investment of
  • 00:11:28
    750 50 to 800 billion EUR is
  • 00:11:32
    needed well I think that he went for a
  • 00:11:35
    big number in the hope that they people
  • 00:11:37
    would be so frightened by the big number
  • 00:11:39
    they would agree on a smaller one I
  • 00:11:41
    think he thought probably I haven't
  • 00:11:43
    talked to him uh about that I have
  • 00:11:45
    actually talked to him about the report
  • 00:11:47
    uh if you'd asked for a smaller number
  • 00:11:49
    people would have said well let's go for
  • 00:11:51
    an even smaller number but it's not just
  • 00:11:53
    public money the report outlines that if
  • 00:11:55
    Europeans invested more and saved less
  • 00:11:58
    it would go a significant way towards
  • 00:12:01
    making up the shortfall following uh the
  • 00:12:04
    ECB numbers there's around 300 billion
  • 00:12:08
    euros per year that is the total amount
  • 00:12:12
    of money coming from European savings uh
  • 00:12:17
    leaving Europe to go to the US and uh
  • 00:12:20
    being invested in the American Market
  • 00:12:23
    why because the American Market is more
  • 00:12:26
    united uh big and and well performing so
  • 00:12:30
    I started by saying why don't we work to
  • 00:12:34
    retain this big amount of savings in
  • 00:12:37
    Europe giving the possibility to
  • 00:12:40
    European Savers to invest them in Europe
  • 00:12:43
    in European savings tools that can give
  • 00:12:48
    them a good return Europeans save a
  • 00:12:51
    higher share of their GDP significantly
  • 00:12:53
    more particularly private people
  • 00:12:55
    households than in America or Britain
  • 00:12:57
    for that matter and EOL lettera believes
  • 00:13:00
    that private funding will help unlock
  • 00:13:02
    Public Funding and that both are
  • 00:13:05
    desperately needed today U we understand
  • 00:13:09
    very well that the big results we need
  • 00:13:12
    we can't get them only with Public
  • 00:13:15
    Funding if we are not able to mobilize
  • 00:13:17
    private funding it would be impossible
  • 00:13:20
    and to mobilize private funding the only
  • 00:13:22
    way is to create a a single Market on
  • 00:13:26
    financial services in Europe this is
  • 00:13:28
    what we don't have to today and this is
  • 00:13:30
    why I wanted to put this point at the
  • 00:13:33
    center of the scene Mario dr's report
  • 00:13:36
    lays out in Stark detail what the EU
  • 00:13:38
    needs to do in order to be able to
  • 00:13:40
    compete with the US and China but
  • 00:13:42
    knowing what has to be done and actually
  • 00:13:44
    been able to do it are two very
  • 00:13:46
    different things political instability
  • 00:13:49
    is a problem including in the two main
  • 00:13:51
    EU drivers France and
  • 00:13:53
    Germany France has had four prime
  • 00:13:56
    ministers in a year
  • 00:13:59
    with President Emanuel macron looking
  • 00:14:01
    increasingly
  • 00:14:02
    weakened Germany will hold elections
  • 00:14:05
    next month after the previous
  • 00:14:06
    three-party government
  • 00:14:08
    collapsed meanwhile both countries have
  • 00:14:10
    seen a significant rise in support for
  • 00:14:12
    far-right parties as of several other EU
  • 00:14:17
    Nations Martin wolf believes that
  • 00:14:19
    Germany's reluctance to borrow big
  • 00:14:21
    exemplified by a constitutionally
  • 00:14:23
    enshrined limit known as the debt break
  • 00:14:26
    is holding the nothing can happen here
  • 00:14:30
    without Germany uh I mean it's clear and
  • 00:14:33
    Germany will have to take the lead and
  • 00:14:36
    it will have to be willing to do things
  • 00:14:39
    that Germany's historically opposed
  • 00:14:42
    concern about common borrowing uh sh
  • 00:14:45
    common borrowing common revenue is is
  • 00:14:48
    well known there's the debt break uh
  • 00:14:51
    which I think will clearly have to go um
  • 00:14:53
    it's clearly going to be part of the
  • 00:14:55
    debate in the German election he thinks
  • 00:14:57
    a Fresh Approach from a new German
  • 00:14:59
    government could provide the EU with a
  • 00:15:02
    Lifeline if the German government came
  • 00:15:05
    forward and said this is an Epoch of
  • 00:15:08
    change we have to be show the sort of
  • 00:15:11
    ambition we did in uh when the EU well
  • 00:15:16
    the EC as it was was founded uh well it
  • 00:15:20
    was actually the European coal and Steel
  • 00:15:21
    Community was founded and then the EC in
  • 00:15:24
    in the 50s uh the single market and The
  • 00:15:27
    single currency they're going to have to
  • 00:15:28
    show a willingness to do that sort of
  • 00:15:31
    thing enrio Lea wants to see Europe
  • 00:15:34
    Forge a closer single Market in three
  • 00:15:36
    specific areas energy telecoms and
  • 00:15:39
    financial services he believes a lot can
  • 00:15:42
    be done in a short space of time without
  • 00:15:43
    the need for changes to existing EU
  • 00:15:46
    treaties the period of Co and also the
  • 00:15:49
    period of uh the beginning of the war
  • 00:15:52
    the the Russian aggression to Ukraine uh
  • 00:15:55
    demonstrate that uh in within the
  • 00:15:57
    European treaties there are a lot of
  • 00:16:00
    tools that we can use to avoid um I we
  • 00:16:04
    say complicated discussions on on treaty
  • 00:16:08
    changes and we have not to open the
  • 00:16:11
    Pandora dos the Pandora box of treaty
  • 00:16:14
    changes because otherwise it will be
  • 00:16:16
    impossible to be successful it's clear
  • 00:16:19
    that some big decisions have to be made
  • 00:16:21
    here in Brussels and across the European
  • 00:16:22
    continent and to consider some of the
  • 00:16:25
    key questions and the issues involved we
  • 00:16:27
    spoke with Pascal donu he's the
  • 00:16:29
    president of the Euro Group which is the
  • 00:16:30
    collection of the 20 Finance ministers
  • 00:16:33
    which make up the Euro Zone Euro group
  • 00:16:35
    president Pascal dunu thank you very
  • 00:16:37
    much for speaking to us here on business
  • 00:16:38
    Beyond not at all Delight to be on your
  • 00:16:40
    program now I believe this is the first
  • 00:16:42
    Gathering of the Euro group since the
  • 00:16:44
    reelection to the presidency in America
  • 00:16:46
    of Donald Trump my first question to you
  • 00:16:48
    today would be is Europe ready for Trump
  • 00:16:50
    2.0 so I believe Europe will be ready
  • 00:16:53
    for Trump 2.0 uh because we have a track
  • 00:16:56
    record of being able to adjust to really
  • 00:16:59
    big strategic developments that takes
  • 00:17:01
    place elsewhere in the world uh but we
  • 00:17:04
    do have work that we need to do uh we
  • 00:17:06
    need to deepen the foundations of the
  • 00:17:08
    Euro with regard to Capital markets with
  • 00:17:11
    regard to banking Union uh and we also
  • 00:17:13
    need to look at what further steps we
  • 00:17:15
    can take to deepen the competitiveness
  • 00:17:18
    of the European Union uh as we furnish
  • 00:17:22
    and develop a new relationship with the
  • 00:17:24
    United States we need to do it from a
  • 00:17:26
    position of Greater strength than we
  • 00:17:28
    have a the moment well I definitely want
  • 00:17:30
    to get into some of those issues a
  • 00:17:31
    little later but just to step back a
  • 00:17:33
    little bit and we look at events all
  • 00:17:34
    over the world over the last sort of 5
  • 00:17:36
    to 10 years the world has gotten a lot
  • 00:17:38
    unfriendliest sudden I mean we can look
  • 00:17:40
    at Russia we can look at China it's a
  • 00:17:42
    different strand of issues but
  • 00:17:43
    nonetheless considerably less friendly
  • 00:17:45
    to Europe as it perhaps was in the past
  • 00:17:46
    and now indeed our one of our closest
  • 00:17:48
    allies the US there's a lot of
  • 00:17:50
    uncertainty as you've alluded to in that
  • 00:17:51
    relationship so when you look at the EU
  • 00:17:54
    and how it's structured particularly
  • 00:17:55
    from an economic perspective is it fair
  • 00:17:56
    to say that the EU wasn't built
  • 00:17:58
    necessarily for this type of a new world
  • 00:18:00
    that we're in so uh the EU is a
  • 00:18:03
    collection of
  • 00:18:04
    democracies uh sometimes does take
  • 00:18:07
    longer to adjust to Big developments
  • 00:18:10
    than other forms of political governance
  • 00:18:12
    but a consequence of our decision making
  • 00:18:15
    though is that when we do make decisions
  • 00:18:17
    they are resilient they hold and we have
  • 00:18:19
    the ability to take big decisions over
  • 00:18:22
    time so I think there's no doubt at all
  • 00:18:25
    that all of the change that we've seen
  • 00:18:27
    happen even in recent weeks from what's
  • 00:18:29
    happening in America to what's happening
  • 00:18:31
    in the Middle East does remind me that
  • 00:18:34
    there's a volatility in the world that
  • 00:18:36
    we haven't seen for some time but I
  • 00:18:39
    would argue though that stability still
  • 00:18:41
    has big benefits particularly if you're
  • 00:18:44
    a collection of democracies as the EU is
  • 00:18:47
    and I'm confident that we will be able
  • 00:18:48
    to rise to the challenges that are now
  • 00:18:51
    developing at some speed and we could
  • 00:18:53
    talk for example about some of the the
  • 00:18:55
    minutia of said the issues that the
  • 00:18:57
    Trump presidency could bring in such as
  • 00:18:58
    tariffs we could talk about more General
  • 00:19:00
    economic tees like inflation and so on
  • 00:19:02
    but the EU has clearly been aware for a
  • 00:19:04
    while that some of these problems that
  • 00:19:05
    are mounting are go beyond these
  • 00:19:07
    relatively short-term issues and for
  • 00:19:09
    that reason there's been two big reports
  • 00:19:10
    commissioned this year the letter report
  • 00:19:12
    obviously looking at the single market
  • 00:19:13
    and then the the dragy report on
  • 00:19:15
    competitiveness why do you think these
  • 00:19:17
    reports were so necessary and what have
  • 00:19:19
    you as Euro group president taken from
  • 00:19:21
    them so they are so necessary because of
  • 00:19:25
    the volatility that you described
  • 00:19:26
    earlier on uh we can see big changes
  • 00:19:29
    that are taking place in Europe uh much
  • 00:19:32
    of which is due to the consequences of
  • 00:19:35
    the war and what has also H happened
  • 00:19:37
    with the cost and the availability of
  • 00:19:39
    energy but in addition to all of that
  • 00:19:42
    happening we very big Global
  • 00:19:43
    developments taking place as we see uh
  • 00:19:47
    other parts of the world uh from China
  • 00:19:49
    to India to America uh changing their uh
  • 00:19:54
    economic stance and we've also seen
  • 00:19:57
    their economic growth in recent years
  • 00:20:00
    continue to be very strong and their
  • 00:20:02
    medium-term economic Outlook also
  • 00:20:05
    continued to be very strong so these
  • 00:20:07
    pieces of work reassessing where Europe
  • 00:20:10
    stands in the world and where the Euro
  • 00:20:12
    area stands in the world we're
  • 00:20:14
    responding back to the changes that
  • 00:20:15
    we've seen taking place in terms of what
  • 00:20:18
    we are doing within the Euro group with
  • 00:20:20
    regard to this I'd highlight three
  • 00:20:22
    pieces of work firstly what is the right
  • 00:20:25
    budget policy for the Euro area and for
  • 00:20:27
    member states of the Euro area to get
  • 00:20:30
    the balance right between having safe
  • 00:20:32
    public finances but investing in our
  • 00:20:34
    future second it's the work that we have
  • 00:20:37
    underway with regard to Capital markets
  • 00:20:39
    Union which has taken time but we
  • 00:20:42
    shouldn't underestimate the ability of
  • 00:20:45
    continuing to make decisions in this
  • 00:20:47
    area but maybe accelerating the pace of
  • 00:20:50
    that decision making so that we can
  • 00:20:52
    deepen and integrate our Capital markets
  • 00:20:54
    within the Euro area and the Euro group
  • 00:20:56
    has done a lot of work on this and then
  • 00:20:59
    finally I would argue that the digital
  • 00:21:01
    future of the euro is also a very
  • 00:21:04
    strategic response back to the way in
  • 00:21:07
    which we see the global economy
  • 00:21:08
    beginning to change just on that topic
  • 00:21:11
    of budget decisions I mean we we'll get
  • 00:21:12
    onto the dragy report now one of the big
  • 00:21:14
    headlines from the dragy report was his
  • 00:21:16
    his mention of a figure of an extra 800
  • 00:21:18
    billion euros a year that's needed in
  • 00:21:20
    his View for the EU to catch up in some
  • 00:21:22
    of those areas that you've touched on
  • 00:21:23
    whether it's Innovation and sort of
  • 00:21:25
    digital Innovation and and
  • 00:21:26
    Entrepreneurship essentially to try and
  • 00:21:27
    catch up with that considerable Gap that
  • 00:21:30
    has now emerged between European
  • 00:21:31
    companies and American companies and
  • 00:21:32
    indeed Chinese companies do you think
  • 00:21:34
    the EU can come up with that kind of a
  • 00:21:36
    figure and how do you think it could do
  • 00:21:37
    this uh yes I believe we can and I
  • 00:21:40
    believe there's two ways in which we
  • 00:21:41
    will do firstly it will go back to the
  • 00:21:44
    opportunity that is there regarding a
  • 00:21:47
    private savings within the European
  • 00:21:49
    Union and how we can coordinate them in
  • 00:21:52
    a way uh that delivers a better benefit
  • 00:21:55
    for Europeans and for the European Union
  • 00:21:58
    if you have a look at how many other
  • 00:22:01
    parts of the world have managed the
  • 00:22:03
    investment needs that they have you've
  • 00:22:05
    seen them make far smarter use of the
  • 00:22:08
    savings and investment uh funds of their
  • 00:22:11
    own citizens than we've been able to do
  • 00:22:14
    in the European Union so that is a big
  • 00:22:17
    part of that that jigsaw and the other
  • 00:22:19
    part of the jigsaw will then be
  • 00:22:22
    decisions that we make regarding funding
  • 00:22:24
    the budget of the European Union and the
  • 00:22:27
    willingness of members states to look at
  • 00:22:29
    new forms of Public Funding that deliver
  • 00:22:32
    European public goods in other words
  • 00:22:34
    European Collective benefits and that
  • 00:22:36
    will be a big part of the negotiation
  • 00:22:38
    for the next budget of the European
  • 00:22:40
    Union uh some of which will involve
  • 00:22:42
    choices regarding priorities uh what
  • 00:22:46
    areas are going to be more important in
  • 00:22:48
    the years ahead uh than they have been
  • 00:22:50
    in the years that have gone by others
  • 00:22:52
    will undoubtedly involve a debate
  • 00:22:54
    regarding whether there's a need for New
  • 00:22:56
    Economic instruments now we have viewers
  • 00:22:58
    from all over the world and you already
  • 00:22:59
    alluded to this earlier that there's
  • 00:23:00
    whole parts of the world for example in
  • 00:23:02
    in India Indonesia what sometimes
  • 00:23:03
    referred to as the global South and
  • 00:23:05
    other countries all over the place where
  • 00:23:07
    they will look at Europe and they look
  • 00:23:08
    at European companies and they will just
  • 00:23:10
    think that's yesterday's world that's
  • 00:23:12
    that's a different type of world the
  • 00:23:13
    world's changing as you've as you've
  • 00:23:14
    hinted at in many ways why should they
  • 00:23:16
    look at Europe now and think well
  • 00:23:18
    actually no that's going to be
  • 00:23:19
    tomorrow's world as well that's that's
  • 00:23:20
    an Innovative place that can that we
  • 00:23:22
    need to be have our stake in as well as
  • 00:23:24
    the world changes well we need to give
  • 00:23:26
    them further reason to believe that uh
  • 00:23:28
    uh the uh perception and views of
  • 00:23:31
    different parts of the world abs and
  • 00:23:33
    flows uh but when you're dealing with a
  • 00:23:35
    perception issue I think you need to
  • 00:23:37
    look at a level beyond that and say
  • 00:23:39
    what's the substance and what we need to
  • 00:23:41
    do is look at what are the policy
  • 00:23:43
    decisions that we need to make that
  • 00:23:45
    would build on the success that we have
  • 00:23:48
    that in turn will allow the view of
  • 00:23:50
    Europe to be recast by other parts of
  • 00:23:53
    the world so from my point of view uh
  • 00:23:56
    our ability to fix a a perception issue
  • 00:24:01
    will only be delivered when we address
  • 00:24:04
    the substance of the issues that is
  • 00:24:06
    causing other parts of the world to look
  • 00:24:09
    at Europe in a more critical way and the
  • 00:24:11
    way in which we will do it is by
  • 00:24:13
    decisions that we can make ourselves
  • 00:24:16
    that I believe we can make um over the
  • 00:24:19
    next one to two years and to make these
  • 00:24:21
    decisions obviously we need governments
  • 00:24:23
    working together but we also need
  • 00:24:24
    populations working together and this
  • 00:24:26
    comes at a time when you have
  • 00:24:27
    significant Discord in a lot of
  • 00:24:29
    countries you have for example I've
  • 00:24:30
    mentioned France I've mentioned Germany
  • 00:24:32
    a lot of support there for farri
  • 00:24:33
    movement it's not impossible to imagine
  • 00:24:35
    for example Marine Leen as the future
  • 00:24:37
    president of France it's not impossible
  • 00:24:38
    to imagine the afd in Germany getting a
  • 00:24:40
    significantly larger share of the vote
  • 00:24:42
    we see what's happening in Romania at
  • 00:24:43
    the moment where a far-right candidate
  • 00:24:45
    has been doing very well in elections
  • 00:24:46
    there how can can Europe stay United on
  • 00:24:50
    some of these issues when you have this
  • 00:24:51
    sort of populism rising in all across
  • 00:24:53
    the continent by pointing to the
  • 00:24:55
    benefits of the European Union and
  • 00:24:57
    making the case for a contemporary
  • 00:24:59
    rationale for the European Union and for
  • 00:25:02
    European political and economic
  • 00:25:04
    integration which is the simply say that
  • 00:25:07
    because the opportunities that we face
  • 00:25:09
    and the challenges that we Face are so
  • 00:25:12
    big that no one European country on
  • 00:25:14
    their own is capable of rising to them
  • 00:25:17
    uh and that we can achieve more together
  • 00:25:19
    by acting collectively and if we don't
  • 00:25:21
    act collectively the national loss will
  • 00:25:23
    even be greater so for me there's a
  • 00:25:25
    deeply practical argument to be made
  • 00:25:28
    regarding the role of the European Union
  • 00:25:30
    I can make many arguments about the
  • 00:25:33
    political value of us about the optimism
  • 00:25:36
    of us I can make many arguments about
  • 00:25:38
    our historical background and why we're
  • 00:25:40
    showing a very different way for Europe
  • 00:25:42
    in its future versus where we have been
  • 00:25:45
    in our past but for many we need to make
  • 00:25:48
    a more practical argument at a time of
  • 00:25:49
    populism and at a time of division and
  • 00:25:52
    that practical argument is as I said
  • 00:25:55
    that because the change in the world is
  • 00:25:57
    so big no one country can rise to it on
  • 00:25:59
    their own no matter how big they are in
  • 00:26:02
    Europe Pascal donu president of the Euro
  • 00:26:04
    group thank you very much for joining us
  • 00:26:05
    today on business language the European
  • 00:26:08
    Union is a complex and diverse Place 27
  • 00:26:11
    different National governments and
  • 00:26:12
    economies a kaleidoscope of cultures and
  • 00:26:15
    languages and a wide range of different
  • 00:26:17
    political and legal systems yet for most
  • 00:26:19
    of the post World War II order the
  • 00:26:21
    European Union has found a way not just
  • 00:26:23
    to stick together but to thrive together
  • 00:26:26
    yet to secure its future the EU must
  • 00:26:28
    bind these threads together more tightly
  • 00:26:31
    than ever at a time when their fraying
  • 00:26:33
    can be seen all across the continent
  • 00:26:35
    these are civilizational questions
  • 00:26:37
    they're not just about the
  • 00:26:41
    way people live from day to day uh
  • 00:26:46
    Europe is going to be challenged to be
  • 00:26:48
    able to stand up for
  • 00:26:50
    itself and to provide a decent living
  • 00:26:54
    for its citizens and hope for the future
  • 00:26:57
    for its citizens
  • 00:26:58
    There's the link between two words that
  • 00:27:01
    will be crucial and the two words are
  • 00:27:04
    competitiveness and security if we are
  • 00:27:07
    not able to integrate the three sectors
  • 00:27:11
    that I put at the center of my report
  • 00:27:13
    energy Telecom and financial services it
  • 00:27:17
    will be impossible to be secure and at
  • 00:27:20
    the same time to be competitive the
  • 00:27:23
    world has changed dramatically in the
  • 00:27:24
    last 10 years and many Europeans are
  • 00:27:27
    beginning to feel that a global order
  • 00:27:28
    which has served them well for a long
  • 00:27:29
    time is beginning to turn against them
  • 00:27:32
    the states and the EU together could
  • 00:27:35
    disintegrate you can't assume that what
  • 00:27:38
    we used to will last that's what history
  • 00:27:41
    tells us and particularly European
  • 00:27:43
    history of the 20th century is if you
  • 00:27:46
    make really big mistakes things can
  • 00:27:49
    collapse
  • 00:27:51
    completely the EU dream could collapse
  • 00:27:53
    and our economies could collapse and
  • 00:27:55
    then the future becomes very very dark
  • 00:27:59
    and very
  • 00:28:00
    unpredictable in 1989 the year the
  • 00:28:02
    Berlin Wall fell Jac delore said the
  • 00:28:05
    following Europe will never be built if
  • 00:28:08
    young people do not see it as a
  • 00:28:09
    collective undertaking that will shape
  • 00:28:11
    their future nearly four decades later
  • 00:28:15
    the continent's leaders face the same
  • 00:28:17
    problem Europe's fate depends on their
  • 00:28:20
    ability to find the
  • 00:28:24
    solution that's all for this episode of
  • 00:28:26
    business Beyond if you'd like like to
  • 00:28:28
    see more from us check out our playlist
  • 00:28:30
    in the description thanks a lot for
  • 00:28:32
    watching and until the next time take
  • 00:28:34
    care
  • 00:28:40
    [Music]
Tag
  • EU economy
  • Draghi report
  • Lettera report
  • investment needs
  • productivity
  • innovation
  • economic integration
  • Trump effect
  • capital market union
  • populism