The ONLY Bitcoin Retirement Strategy You Need.
Sintesi
TLDRIn this video, Mark Moss critiques conventional wealth-building strategies related to Bitcoin, asserting they stem from a misunderstanding of money and the financial system. He presents a strategy employed by the wealthy to extract tax-free cash flow from Bitcoin without selling it, thereby fostering generational wealth. Moss emphasizes the importance of acquiring and holding scarce assets, leveraging them responsibly with debt to generate ongoing income. He provides historical performance data for Bitcoin, forecasts its future value, and offers a free tool for viewers to backtest the strategy. Ultimately, he encourages a shift from traditional retirement savings to a focus on building assets that provide lasting cash flow for future generations.
Punti di forza
- ๐ฐ Traditional wealth-building strategies for Bitcoin are flawed.
- ๐ Wealthy individuals leverage assets to generate tax-free cash flow.
- ๐ Real estate is a common asset that provides ongoing income.
- ๐ Bitcoin has shown a historical growth rate of over 200%.
- ๐ง A free tool is available for backtesting the proposed strategy.
- ๐ Using debt responsibly can enhance wealth without selling assets.
- ๐งพ The goal is to create generational wealth through asset accumulation.
- ๐ก Rethink retirement savings; focus on building cash flow instead.
- ๐ฎ Future Bitcoin valuations could reach $1 million by 2030.
- ๐ Free resources are provided for further learning.
Linea temporale
- 00:00:00 - 00:05:00
The video challenges conventional wisdom about building wealth through Bitcoin, arguing that traditional financial frameworks are flawed. The speaker, Mark Moss, introduces a strategy used by the wealthy to generate tax-free cash flow from Bitcoin without selling it, aiming to create generational wealth. He emphasizes the importance of understanding money and the monetary system, sharing his background and experience in Bitcoin since 2015.
- 00:05:00 - 00:10:00
Mark shares a personal story about a friendโs father, 'Papa Rich', who represents the traditional retirement mindset of saving money with the hope it lasts a lifetime. He critiques this approach, highlighting its risks, such as market crashes and inflation, and argues that true wealth-building involves acquiring scarce assets rather than merely saving currency.
- 00:10:00 - 00:15:00
The speaker explains that the wealthy buy and hold assets, like Bitcoin, instead of cashing them in. He stresses the importance of creating cash flow from these assets, using real estate as an example. By leveraging assets to generate income, individuals can maintain their wealth and pass it down to future generations, contrasting this with the traditional 'spend down to zero' retirement model.
- 00:15:00 - 00:20:00
Mark discusses the debt-based monetary system, explaining how money is created through loans. He advocates for using debt responsibly to leverage assets, allowing individuals to access tax-free income while retaining ownership of appreciating assets like Bitcoin. This strategy is positioned as a way to build generational wealth without the pitfalls of traditional financial advice.
- 00:20:00 - 00:25:00
The video presents historical data on Bitcoin's performance, showing its high compounded annual growth rate. Mark introduces a tool he created for backtesting this wealth-building strategy, illustrating how leveraging Bitcoin with debt can yield significant cash flow while preserving the asset's value. He emphasizes the importance of understanding risk and managing debt wisely.
- 00:25:00 - 00:31:41
Finally, Mark outlines future projections for Bitcoin's value based on various models, including market cap laws and inflation. He encourages viewers to use the provided calculator to explore potential outcomes based on their assumptions. The video concludes with a call to rethink retirement strategies, focusing on building assets that generate cash flow for future generations.
Mappa mentale
Video Domande e Risposte
What is the main argument of the video?
The video argues that traditional wealth-building strategies using Bitcoin are flawed and introduces a better approach to generate tax-free cash flow from Bitcoin.
How does Mark Moss suggest building wealth with Bitcoin?
He suggests leveraging Bitcoin as an asset to generate cash flow without selling it, thus avoiding taxes and maintaining the asset's appreciation.
What is the significance of using debt in wealth building?
Using debt responsibly allows individuals to access cash flow while retaining ownership of appreciating assets, which can be passed down to future generations.
What historical performance does Moss reference for Bitcoin?
He mentions that Bitcoin has had a compounded annual growth rate of over 200% since its inception.
What tool does Mark Moss provide for viewers?
He offers a free tool to backtest the strategy and forecast future performance based on different assumptions.
What is the ultimate goal of the strategy discussed?
The goal is to create generational wealth by accumulating and holding assets that provide ongoing cash flow.
How does Moss view traditional retirement savings?
He criticizes the traditional approach of saving for retirement with the hope of having enough to last a lifetime, suggesting it is fundamentally flawed.
What future price predictions does Moss mention for Bitcoin?
He references predictions of Bitcoin reaching $1 million by 2030 and discusses various valuation methods that could lead to even higher valuations.
What risks are associated with leveraging Bitcoin?
Moss acknowledges the risks of volatility and potential liquidation but emphasizes responsible debt management to mitigate these risks.
How can viewers access the free resources mentioned in the video?
Viewers can find links to download the free ebook and access the backtesting tool in the video description.
Visualizza altre sintesi video
- 00:00:00everything they're teaching you about
- 00:00:01how to build wealth and retire off of
- 00:00:03Bitcoin is wrong all the YouTube videos
- 00:00:06all the blog posts all the Articles all
- 00:00:09of it because they're all using the
- 00:00:11exact same framework as the traditional
- 00:00:13Financial system which of course is all
- 00:00:16wrong now the people teaching you these
- 00:00:18Concepts fundamentally misunderstand
- 00:00:20money and the monetary system we are in
- 00:00:23which is why in this video I'll show you
- 00:00:24the strategy that the rich use to pull
- 00:00:27cash flow out of Bitcoin taxfree without
- 00:00:30ever having to sell their Bitcoin which
- 00:00:32allows them to create generational
- 00:00:34wealth and I'm going to show you the
- 00:00:35math behind it I'm going to show you a
- 00:00:37tool that I created which we'll use to
- 00:00:39back test this strategy and then we're
- 00:00:41going to forecast this strategy into the
- 00:00:43future now just in case you're wondering
- 00:00:45why you should listen to me let me
- 00:00:46introduce myself real quick my name is
- 00:00:48Mark Moss I created this channel to take
- 00:00:51complex Financial subjects like Bitcoin
- 00:00:53and make them easy to understand for
- 00:00:55everyone now since then my videos
- 00:00:58podcasts and stuff have gone on to
- 00:00:59receive over 100 million views I've
- 00:01:02spent the last s years speaking at the
- 00:01:04biggest Bitcoin conferences in the world
- 00:01:06and I've been buying Bitcoin since 2015
- 00:01:09when it was only
- 00:01:10$300 and so believe me when I say that
- 00:01:13I've seen I've heard it all and no
- 00:01:15matter where I go I get asked the same
- 00:01:17question which is Mark at which price
- 00:01:20will you sell your Bitcoin and I always
- 00:01:22have the same reply which is you don't
- 00:01:25understand the game that we're playing
- 00:01:26do you so before I break down exactly
- 00:01:29what I mean by that state statement I
- 00:01:30want to tell you just a real quick story
- 00:01:32that's not only just personal to me but
- 00:01:34it's also really the reason behind me
- 00:01:36making this video today now about a week
- 00:01:38ago I was over at the gym and I saw one
- 00:01:41of my good friends dad my my friend Rich
- 00:01:43his dad was there we we call him Papa
- 00:01:45rich now he mentioned uh you know I
- 00:01:47watched some of your videos and I still
- 00:01:48remember the time we were at the beach
- 00:01:50and you you were sketching out on the
- 00:01:52ground about Bitcoin and I remember you
- 00:01:55Bitcoin was about $116,000 at the time
- 00:01:57and I was looking at you like you were
- 00:01:58crazy but now I see that you're not and
- 00:02:01we started talking about this and I
- 00:02:03asked him if he has Bitcoin and he talks
- 00:02:04about how you know he's retired and he
- 00:02:06doesn't have a lot of money he basically
- 00:02:08has enough money saved up that he hopes
- 00:02:11that it will last the rest of his life
- 00:02:13all right so think about that he's
- 00:02:15hoping just like everybody else go to
- 00:02:17school get your grade save for
- 00:02:18retirement he's hoping what he saved
- 00:02:20will last him for the rest of his life
- 00:02:22and basically he'll just spend it and
- 00:02:24he'll try to match it perfectly to kind
- 00:02:26of have like no money left by the time
- 00:02:28he dies but like what if there's a
- 00:02:30market crash like in 2008 everyone had
- 00:02:33to go back to work what if there's like
- 00:02:34really high inflation which there will
- 00:02:36be and even if he makes it then he's got
- 00:02:40nothing to pass down to his kids no
- 00:02:41Legacy now the reason I say that you
- 00:02:44don't understand the game we're playing
- 00:02:45is because we don't want to save our
- 00:02:48whole lives with the hope that we're
- 00:02:49going to have enough to spend until we
- 00:02:51die all right that's how you end up in
- 00:02:53the same position is Papa rich now no
- 00:02:55offense Papa rich but that method
- 00:02:56doesn't take into account Market crashes
- 00:02:58like I said or inflation
- 00:03:00it's all fundamentally wrong okay the
- 00:03:03game of money that we're playing is to
- 00:03:04turn fiat currency into assets not
- 00:03:08assets into currency and the ultimate
- 00:03:10goal in this game is to buy the most
- 00:03:12scarce hard trophy assets and continue
- 00:03:14to add to them not cash them in so I buy
- 00:03:18assets to keep forever and eventually
- 00:03:20pass them down to my kids and even my
- 00:03:22grandkids so how do I do that with
- 00:03:24Bitcoin well let me
- 00:03:26explain okay now before I show you the
- 00:03:30really cool tool that I built that back
- 00:03:32tests this strategy as well as projects
- 00:03:35out where this could take you and I'm
- 00:03:37going to give it to you for free so you
- 00:03:38can kind of put in your own assumptions
- 00:03:39there before I get there let me just
- 00:03:41tell you the be you know behind the
- 00:03:43scenes the background of the strategy
- 00:03:44and what I call the game of money and
- 00:03:46like I said at the beginning and like
- 00:03:48I've said in this tweet right here I've
- 00:03:50shown you before when someone says when
- 00:03:51are you going to sell your Bitcoin I say
- 00:03:52they have no idea the game that we're
- 00:03:55playing in the game of Building Wealth
- 00:03:57certainly wealth is not the single most
- 00:03:59important part of of our life but in the
- 00:04:00game of Building Wealth you have to
- 00:04:02understand the game now I don't want to
- 00:04:04go deep into what the game is um I wrote
- 00:04:06a whole ebook on this it's for free if
- 00:04:08you want there's a link in the
- 00:04:09description but in this game you have to
- 00:04:10know a couple things all right number
- 00:04:12one you don't know the game because it's
- 00:04:14been hidden from you it's been hidden
- 00:04:16from you intentionally not just talk to
- 00:04:18you but it's been hidden from you and
- 00:04:20more importantly we need to know that
- 00:04:21the system that we're in the game it's a
- 00:04:24debt-based game it's a debt-based
- 00:04:26monetary system now we can see this in a
- 00:04:28couple of ways here we can see right
- 00:04:30here like uh this I pulled this up on
- 00:04:33Reddit why doesn't anyone understand why
- 00:04:35doesn't anyone understand America's
- 00:04:37debt-based monetary system the answer is
- 00:04:40because it's not taught right so most
- 00:04:43people don't even know it's a debt-based
- 00:04:44monetary system they don't even know
- 00:04:45what that means and it's because it's
- 00:04:46not been taught in Canada I found there
- 00:04:48is no Reserve requirement talking about
- 00:04:50the bank the system that we're in money
- 00:04:52is created on demand for loans money is
- 00:04:56created on demand for loans remember
- 00:04:59that back to the question which is why
- 00:05:00doesn't anybody know that we're in a
- 00:05:01debt based monetary system as Henry Ford
- 00:05:03told us 100 years ago that if the people
- 00:05:06of the nation understood the banking and
- 00:05:08monetary system there would be a
- 00:05:11revolution before the morning not
- 00:05:13tomorrow not next week before the
- 00:05:14morning and so that's where we're at so
- 00:05:16we are in a debt-based monetary system
- 00:05:19okay now back to everybody's wrong not
- 00:05:22just traditional finances wrong I a
- 00:05:25whole video about why Boomer in
- 00:05:27retirement why they're having a problem
- 00:05:28we'll go ahead and Link that to here and
- 00:05:30we'll link it in the show notes if you
- 00:05:31want to watch that video if you want to
- 00:05:32understand why the financial system is
- 00:05:34fundamentally wrong but back to bitcoin
- 00:05:36all these people posting videos um just
- 00:05:39like this you'll see them all across um
- 00:05:41YouTube right here how much Bitcoin do
- 00:05:43you need to retire how much Bitcoin do
- 00:05:45you need to retire how much Bitcoin
- 00:05:46going to retire how they all just make
- 00:05:48the same videos and they're all based
- 00:05:50off the exact same fundamental problem
- 00:05:54the exact same fundamental problem which
- 00:05:55is our financial system that's broken
- 00:05:58okay and so you'll see like this this is
- 00:06:00a a YouTube search that pulled it up
- 00:06:02they say that you need 2.5 times as much
- 00:06:04Bitcoin is to retire Rich than you would
- 00:06:06have you need 6.25 Bitcoin you know all
- 00:06:09these things according to another video
- 00:06:10you would need 2.63 Bitcoin to reach $1
- 00:06:13million see that this is what's broken
- 00:06:16you need 2.63 to reach $1 million
- 00:06:19Bitcoin so basically what they're
- 00:06:20thinking is just like traditional
- 00:06:22Finance which is whatever for the
- 00:06:24American for the average American you
- 00:06:26need about $1.5 million to retire well
- 00:06:29some people need more some people need
- 00:06:30less but they say 1.5 million so what
- 00:06:32they're saying is if you had 2.63
- 00:06:34Bitcoin it'll be worth about a million
- 00:06:36dollar and you'll be okay but that's
- 00:06:38completely again understanding the
- 00:06:41entire game that we're playing even uh
- 00:06:44one of my friends pomp he writes a daily
- 00:06:46newsletter which is really good by the
- 00:06:47way but he wrote this in his newsletter
- 00:06:49and he said that I hate to break it to
- 00:06:51the bit bitcoiners but um if Bitcoin is
- 00:06:54trading at 1 million and you hold one of
- 00:06:56them then you don't have the 1.3 million
- 00:06:59necess NE AR to retire today the 1.3
- 00:07:01million will continue to go up in value
- 00:07:03too because the dollar is being devalued
- 00:07:05so what he's saying is the same thing
- 00:07:07look the average person needs 1.3 most
- 00:07:10people aren't going to get that much in
- 00:07:11Bitcoin and so it's still the same thing
- 00:07:13which is how much Bitcoin do I need to
- 00:07:15retire so that I can spend that money
- 00:07:18down and it will hopefully last until I
- 00:07:20die just like Papa Rich so that's the
- 00:07:23old way this is what everybody's got
- 00:07:24wrong it's what traditional Finance has
- 00:07:26wrong if you want to understand this
- 00:07:27from a deep lever like I said I'll link
- 00:07:28a video down below that really breaks
- 00:07:30this down but there's a better way let's
- 00:07:33just talk about the better way okay the
- 00:07:34better way that the wealthy build wealth
- 00:07:37is that they buy wealth wealth is
- 00:07:40measured in goods and services not
- 00:07:41currency goods and services remember we
- 00:07:43don't want money we don't goods and
- 00:07:44services but we don't want the money the
- 00:07:45currency we want the goods and services
- 00:07:47so the families that have generational
- 00:07:49wealth the ones that you've heard about
- 00:07:50like the Rockefellers and the carnegies
- 00:07:53they buy assets they build wealth
- 00:07:55through assets and they pass those down
- 00:07:57to Generations they don't spend them
- 00:07:59down to zero before they die you don't
- 00:08:01get generational wealth so like Michael
- 00:08:03sailor says is you never sell your
- 00:08:05Bitcoin you buy and you hold assets you
- 00:08:09never sell them you take the currency
- 00:08:10you buy assets then those assets
- 00:08:12continue to appreciate they continue to
- 00:08:15go up in value and then when I give them
- 00:08:17to my kids they hold them and they go up
- 00:08:19in value when they go to my grandkids
- 00:08:20they hold them they go up in value but
- 00:08:22here's the key A lot of people are
- 00:08:24asking yourself right now but Mark when
- 00:08:27do I get my money out what if I want to
- 00:08:30buy something and that's the key so what
- 00:08:33we want is we want assets that can
- 00:08:35provide us cash flow and not just cash
- 00:08:38flow but cash flow forever let's go back
- 00:08:40to Papa Rich for a second so if Papa
- 00:08:42Rich has his savings let's Call it
- 00:08:44Whatever let's call it a million for
- 00:08:45round numbers he has a million dollars
- 00:08:47and he's hoping that he can pull
- 00:08:48whatever hundred grand a year until he
- 00:08:50dies but what if he took that million
- 00:08:52dollars and bought real estate that paid
- 00:08:55him 100 Grand a year now he could
- 00:08:57continue to pull the 100 Grand a year
- 00:08:59out out and that million dooll balance
- 00:09:01never goes down as a matter of fact it
- 00:09:03goes up because the price of the home is
- 00:09:05going up then when he dies instead of
- 00:09:07spending it down to zero the house goes
- 00:09:09to his kids which continues to pay them
- 00:09:12100,000 a year and continues to go up in
- 00:09:14value and goes to their gret and it
- 00:09:16continues to pray cash flow forever
- 00:09:19while you hold the asset and it
- 00:09:21continues to go up that's how you create
- 00:09:23generational wealth sounds pretty easy
- 00:09:25right but you're saying markk Mark but
- 00:09:27but that's fine for Real Estate or in
- 00:09:29paying stocks or businesses I get that
- 00:09:32but Bitcoin has no cash flow so what do
- 00:09:35we do how do we make this work with
- 00:09:37Bitcoin and that's what I'm going to
- 00:09:39break down for you right now okay so
- 00:09:41what we want to do is remember in the
- 00:09:43game of money we're in a debt-based
- 00:09:46monetary system that means money is
- 00:09:49created through debt we talk about the
- 00:09:51Federal Reserve you know printing money
- 00:09:53um putting ink in the printers and
- 00:09:54printing the money that's not how it
- 00:09:55works right when the banks issue loans
- 00:09:57when you take a house a car a boat loan
- 00:09:59when you take that loan the money is
- 00:10:01created into existence through debt so
- 00:10:04what we want to do is we want to
- 00:10:05leverage our assets with debt I don't I
- 00:10:08know Dave Ramsey tells you don't use
- 00:10:10debt pay off your debt all you guys are
- 00:10:12sitting here trying to figure out how
- 00:10:13you can pay your house off faster no no
- 00:10:14no we want to use debt obviously
- 00:10:17responsible and I'm going to show you
- 00:10:18how don't worry we'll break down the
- 00:10:19math so we have to understand we're in a
- 00:10:21debt based monetary system so what we
- 00:10:22want to do is we want to hold the asset
- 00:10:24we don't want to sell the asset if I
- 00:10:26sell the asset Bitcoin I have to pay tax
- 00:10:29on that that I lose a huge chunk of my
- 00:10:31wealth right off the bat then I take
- 00:10:33whatever is left over but I no longer
- 00:10:35have the asset for the appreciation back
- 00:10:38to the house example I can keep the
- 00:10:41asset to go up now the other benefit of
- 00:10:43doing this by leveraging debt against
- 00:10:46the asset not only do I keep the asset
- 00:10:48for appreciation but the income or the
- 00:10:50money I take off the asset with debt is
- 00:10:53taxfree so option one I sell the asset
- 00:10:55pay a big chunk of tax and I have a
- 00:10:57little bit left over to spend but I no
- 00:10:59longer have the asset going up in value
- 00:11:01option number two leverage it with debt
- 00:11:03get tax-free income and keep the asset
- 00:11:05to go up in value this is how you create
- 00:11:08generational wealth it's the same thing
- 00:11:11you're already doing the work why not
- 00:11:13just make sure that your hard work last
- 00:11:15for future Generations by making this
- 00:11:18small shift now I know you got a whole
- 00:11:20bunch of questions about this it's a
- 00:11:21little bit more complex than I make it
- 00:11:23seem so let me break this down for you
- 00:11:26okay now in order to understand how this
- 00:11:29works Works leveraging Bitcoin with debt
- 00:11:31so I can have generational tax-free
- 00:11:33income my kids can have it my grandkids
- 00:11:35can have it we have to look at two
- 00:11:38things the past and we have to look at
- 00:11:39the Future Okay so number one we want to
- 00:11:41look at bitcoin's past now we're going
- 00:11:44to go back to about
- 00:11:462010 and till now 20 2025 about 15 years
- 00:11:50now we can see that Bitcoin has been the
- 00:11:52best performing asset you already know
- 00:11:54this we can see the types of returns
- 00:11:55it's been averaging over a 200%
- 00:12:00compounded annual growth rate
- 00:12:01compounding that means it adds on to
- 00:12:04each additional year now what is a
- 00:12:07233% compounded annual growth rate
- 00:12:10actually mean it means your money is
- 00:12:13tripling every year imagine that and
- 00:12:17it's the it's the triple the triple the
- 00:12:19triple the they keep getting bigger
- 00:12:21bigger bigger like a snowball and so
- 00:12:23233% that's been the history now we can
- 00:12:26see that of course you know this and
- 00:12:28you're already telling me in your head
- 00:12:29but Mark bitcoin's so volatile the price
- 00:12:31goes up and down yes you're absolutely
- 00:12:34right it's extremely volatile which is
- 00:12:35good and bad you want volatile for the
- 00:12:37upside but then you want to make sure we
- 00:12:38don't have too much volatility on the
- 00:12:40downside now when you measure this
- 00:12:42volatility what we would consider a risk
- 00:12:44adjusted return you get what's called a
- 00:12:46sharp ratio now a sharp ratio gives you
- 00:12:48a return based off of the risk or the
- 00:12:51volatility that you have and this is a
- 00:12:53report from Fidelity I believe the
- 00:12:55second largest asset manager uh in the
- 00:12:57world and you can see that the sharp
- 00:12:58ratio show which is the risk adjusted
- 00:13:02return is about on par with gold all
- 00:13:05right so it's it's uh it's pretty high
- 00:13:08it's not the highest but it's about on
- 00:13:10par with gold that's what you can expect
- 00:13:12and what we can see when we look back
- 00:13:14through bitcoin's volatility is we
- 00:13:16typically have like three or four good
- 00:13:18years and then a bad year then we have
- 00:13:20like three good years and we have a bad
- 00:13:21year three good years and then a bad
- 00:13:24year so we have these fouryear Cycles
- 00:13:26this is all important to understand the
- 00:13:27history I'll show you back tested
- 00:13:29results so we can understand the future
- 00:13:31okay so now let's take a look at some of
- 00:13:33these back tested results now by the way
- 00:13:37I do just want to let you know this is a
- 00:13:38tool that I created you can have it for
- 00:13:40free you can put your own numbers in and
- 00:13:42see where you would turn out uh if you
- 00:13:43scan this QR code that's up on the
- 00:13:45screen or we'll link to it down below
- 00:13:47you can download this whole workbook
- 00:13:48that explains it and get access to the
- 00:13:50tool but let's just take a look at some
- 00:13:52of the math that I pulled from the tool
- 00:13:54okay so basically what this is showing
- 00:13:56right here we're going to start at year
- 00:13:582011 the first recorded price was in
- 00:14:002010 but there wasn't really much
- 00:14:02trading it's really hard to find pricing
- 00:14:04so let's just start at 2011 now what we
- 00:14:06do is we started January 1st 2011 the
- 00:14:09price of Bitcoin was 30 cents 30 cents
- 00:14:13now let's say in 2011 year one I I had
- 00:14:17$5,000 I put into it most people didn't
- 00:14:20because it was so risky what the heck is
- 00:14:22this thing I'm not going to put 5,000
- 00:14:23I'll put 500 maybe but for the purpose
- 00:14:26of this back testing results put 5,000
- 00:14:28again you can have the calculator you
- 00:14:29can put any number you want in 5,000
- 00:14:31what that means is that we would had
- 00:14:3416,667 Bitcoin okay $5,000 gets a 16,000
- 00:14:38Bitcoin now this is back tested so that
- 00:14:41year Bitcoin went up by
- 00:14:441,00% the next year it went up 270 the
- 00:14:47next year it went up
- 00:14:495,500 and then the fourth year went down
- 00:14:52by 76% because Bitcoin has all these big
- 00:14:54crashes then it went up 80% 160,50
- 00:14:59and then it crashed again it went up up
- 00:15:01up and then it crashed again okay so
- 00:15:04these are actual real historical numbers
- 00:15:07now what this tells is if I would have
- 00:15:08put $5,000 in here year one 20 2011 and
- 00:15:13I would have waited till till the year
- 00:15:15five I would have approximately $3
- 00:15:18million in Bitcoin so I started with
- 00:15:205,000 I now have 3 million now here's
- 00:15:22where we leverage it with debt so what
- 00:15:24we can do is if I would borrow only 5%
- 00:15:29of my total valuation you see what most
- 00:15:31people get wrong is they don't
- 00:15:32understand leverage they don't
- 00:15:34understand debt they get themselves into
- 00:15:35too much trouble I think about debt or
- 00:15:37leverage like fire I can use it to heat
- 00:15:40my home but it could also burn my house
- 00:15:42down little kids shouldn't play with
- 00:15:44fire because they don't understand how
- 00:15:45to manage it and like Dave Ramsey most
- 00:15:47adults don't know how to manage debt
- 00:15:48either they shouldn't play with it and
- 00:15:50so most people are like well I want to
- 00:15:51borrow 50% of uh 50% of that money and
- 00:15:54then they get themselves into trouble
- 00:15:55the VA the the volatility gets them into
- 00:15:57Margin Call requirements they get
- 00:15:59liquidated so I don't advise that I
- 00:16:01advise 5% all right that means the price
- 00:16:05of Bitcoin would have to drop very very
- 00:16:07far farther than it has in history to
- 00:16:08get liquidated all right so I if we take
- 00:16:115% that's
- 00:16:14$156,000 so we have
- 00:16:16$156,000 of free cash flow all right
- 00:16:18that's money I can go spend it's debt
- 00:16:20it's non- taxable okay now the next year
- 00:16:23Bitcoin went up by 80% which now puts my
- 00:16:26valuation at 5.6 million next year I
- 00:16:29borrow 6% I have to take some of the
- 00:16:32money of the 337 pay off the debt from
- 00:16:34the year before cuz they're one- year
- 00:16:36loans and then I still end up with about
- 00:16:39$180,000 of free cash flow the next year
- 00:16:43I'm at 5.6 I borrow 3% I pay off the old
- 00:16:47I keep 190 as free cash flow um but the
- 00:16:50next year it crashed then it went down
- 00:16:52by 72% so in order to do that the next
- 00:16:55year I have to increase the amount that
- 00:16:58I borrow
- 00:16:59in order to get that amount and
- 00:17:01basically each year I'm borrowing more
- 00:17:03to pay off the year before and I end up
- 00:17:06with about 150 to 250 of free cash flow
- 00:17:10each year now this is back tested
- 00:17:11results from 2011 through 2024 okay now
- 00:17:16what we can see here as you play around
- 00:17:18with this tool like I said we'll link to
- 00:17:19it down below you can get it for free
- 00:17:21this gives you the price of Bitcoin so
- 00:17:22again price of Bitcoin was at 30 cents
- 00:17:24and today well at the beginning of 2024
- 00:17:26January 1st we were about 4546 $6,000 so
- 00:17:30this kind of shows you how much free
- 00:17:31cash flow you could have by borrowing
- 00:17:33just a little bit of your stack each
- 00:17:35year and what the price of Bitcoin will
- 00:17:37be okay that is back tested now as we
- 00:17:41say in investing past performance is no
- 00:17:44guarantee a future performance so let's
- 00:17:46take a look at where this future
- 00:17:48performance could go no guarantee let's
- 00:17:50take our best guess now I'm going to
- 00:17:52give you some assumptions of some very
- 00:17:54big financial analyst I'm going to give
- 00:17:56you my assumptions I'm going to give you
- 00:17:57a calculator and you can put put your
- 00:17:59own assumptions in so how does that work
- 00:18:00again if you want the calculator just
- 00:18:02scan the QR code on the screen or we'll
- 00:18:04link to it down below now the first
- 00:18:05thing we want to do to project out how
- 00:18:08much Bitcoin we're actually going to
- 00:18:09need to retire based off of this model
- 00:18:12not the save and spend and die with zero
- 00:18:14model but in this model I want to look
- 00:18:16at bitcoin's Future valuation three ways
- 00:18:18now I'm not going to spend a lot of time
- 00:18:19doing this because I have many other
- 00:18:20videos where I've broken it down in
- 00:18:21depth so I'm going to go over this very
- 00:18:23quickly if you want to get this more in
- 00:18:25depth Again download the free book I
- 00:18:27have links and resources you can dig
- 00:18:28more into so we're going to look at it
- 00:18:29three ways number one metc caps law
- 00:18:31number two Venture Capital um and number
- 00:18:34three we're going to look at through
- 00:18:34inflation okay so three ways to identify
- 00:18:38what bitcoin's valuation is so the first
- 00:18:40one is what we call metaps law now
- 00:18:42Fidelity again Fidelity is the second
- 00:18:45largest asset manager they have been in
- 00:18:47Bitcoin I believe since 2014 they put
- 00:18:49out amazing research on bitcoin and the
- 00:18:52kind of cryptocurrency space in general
- 00:18:54highly advise just Google it Fidelity
- 00:18:56Bitcoin report as well as in the free um
- 00:18:59resource I have down below I have their
- 00:19:02uh research pretty well expanded plus I
- 00:19:04have links to all of it if you want to
- 00:19:05go look at it but one of the ways they
- 00:19:07value bitcoin's future potential is
- 00:19:09using what they call Mets law and that
- 00:19:11means that the more nodes there are on a
- 00:19:14network the more they're worth if you're
- 00:19:15the only one in the world with a
- 00:19:16telephone it's not worth very much as a
- 00:19:18matter of fact since I'm pretty old my
- 00:19:20first mobile phone that I had I was the
- 00:19:23only one that I knew I was the first one
- 00:19:24of anybody I knew that had a mobile
- 00:19:26phone so I had no one to call and I
- 00:19:28didn't even really carry it around with
- 00:19:29me I just pretty much left it at home um
- 00:19:31and uh it wasn't really valuable to me
- 00:19:33because not a lot of people had phones
- 00:19:35back then but the more people that get
- 00:19:37phones the more valuable they are which
- 00:19:39is more people that use Bitcoin the more
- 00:19:42valuable it becomes and what um what
- 00:19:45Fidelity has put out is they say using
- 00:19:49these analogues of past Market Cycles
- 00:19:52like this they predict per Fidelity they
- 00:19:56predict Bitcoin would be 1 million by 20
- 00:19:5830 and 1 billion by 2040 now that's
- 00:20:03pretty high it's a lot higher than my
- 00:20:04own valuation is but I do believe in
- 00:20:07this 1 million by 2030 number I think
- 00:20:09this billion by 2040 is pretty high uh
- 00:20:12we'll come back to that in a minute but
- 00:20:13Fidelity says 1 million by 2030 let's
- 00:20:15hold that number now another way we can
- 00:20:17look at this is Venture Capital so the
- 00:20:19way venture capitalist look at something
- 00:20:21is like if I was in Silicon Valley 15
- 00:20:23years ago they're pitching me on Uber I
- 00:20:25look at it and I say well how much could
- 00:20:27Uber be worth one day well what are the
- 00:20:29markets it's disrupting taxis limos Vans
- 00:20:32Etc how much is the total valuation of
- 00:20:35those markets and what percentage do I
- 00:20:37think is reasonable that we could get
- 00:20:39from those markets all right that's a
- 00:20:40way that a venture capitalist would
- 00:20:42approach this What markets are we
- 00:20:44disrupting now I did a video
- 00:20:46recently um where I broke all this down
- 00:20:48in depth and I showed that Bitcoin gets
- 00:20:50to $43 million per Bitcoin I think this
- 00:20:54is in like 50 years so much more
- 00:20:56conservative than what Fidelity thinks
- 00:20:58if you want to watch watch that video uh
- 00:20:59we'll put it right here or we'll link to
- 00:21:00it down below you can go watch that
- 00:21:02later if you want the in-depth but let
- 00:21:04me give you the cliff notes so basically
- 00:21:06Bitcoin is a lot of things it's more
- 00:21:08things than what we know it will be but
- 00:21:10one thing that we do know it is is it's
- 00:21:12a store of value so we can say it's
- 00:21:15disrupting store of value assets like
- 00:21:17gold cars and collectibles Fine Art
- 00:21:19stocks real estate bonds and money those
- 00:21:21are all just things we just store we we
- 00:21:24save our money in okay if we add all
- 00:21:27those up we get to 9 $900 trillion of
- 00:21:30value do you think it's realistic for
- 00:21:33Bitcoin to get 10% of that 5% of that
- 00:21:3750% of that you can decide on your own
- 00:21:39again I'll give you the calculator you
- 00:21:41can play with it but let's just say that
- 00:21:42it takes 10% of that now Goldman Sachs
- 00:21:45JP Morgan they've said that Bitcoin will
- 00:21:47overtake gold I'm just saying it can get
- 00:21:5010% all right they're saying it will
- 00:21:51overtake it uh if we did that that gives
- 00:21:54us 10% gives us 200 trillion which puts
- 00:21:57Bitcoin at 10 m million per Bitcoin so
- 00:22:00Fidelity said 1 million by 2030 here
- 00:22:03we're looking at $10 million per Bitcoin
- 00:22:05if we only get 10% of those um and
- 00:22:08another way we can look at this is
- 00:22:11through inflation so what do I mean by
- 00:22:13that the reason why prices go up is
- 00:22:15because the government won't stop making
- 00:22:18money they won't stop printing money and
- 00:22:19what we can see right here is the supply
- 00:22:21of the or the the growth of the money
- 00:22:23supply and I put some trend lines here
- 00:22:25so you can see this is the old
- 00:22:27trajectory that we were on on and then
- 00:22:30we started going much steeper and then
- 00:22:32we started going much steeper and we
- 00:22:33started going much steeper and now we're
- 00:22:36like going like straight up and as the
- 00:22:39money supply increases the costs of
- 00:22:41goods and services go up so the money
- 00:22:43supply increased by about 35% real
- 00:22:46estate went up by about 35% stocks went
- 00:22:49up by about 40 or 50% so as the money
- 00:22:52supply increases the cost of all these
- 00:22:54assets like real estate go up and so
- 00:22:56then I would say well much money do we
- 00:22:59think will be created in the future well
- 00:23:01we can just turn directly to the
- 00:23:02government's own projections this is
- 00:23:03from the CBO Congressional budget office
- 00:23:06and what they show us is that the amount
- 00:23:08of debt that we have today ain't nothing
- 00:23:11they expect us to add another 20
- 00:23:15trillion do of debt in the next 20 years
- 00:23:19another 20 trillion of debt basically
- 00:23:22doubling so if you increase the money
- 00:23:24supply by that much then the price of
- 00:23:27homes goes up that much the price of the
- 00:23:29stock market goes up that much and we
- 00:23:31can see it in this chart right here so
- 00:23:34the money supply went up by about 35%
- 00:23:37and the S&P 500's threeyear return is
- 00:23:40what
- 00:23:4233% do you understand this so another
- 00:23:44way we can look at it is well how much
- 00:23:46more will the money supply increase well
- 00:23:48they already told us 20 trillion we can
- 00:23:50see what happened with it before put
- 00:23:51stocks up by 30% we know that Bitcoin
- 00:23:54moves up many multiples more than stocks
- 00:23:57so we would expect it to go up at least
- 00:24:0030% if not more okay that's three
- 00:24:02different ways we can look at it now
- 00:24:04let's take a look at the
- 00:24:06calculator and see what this looks like
- 00:24:08now again you can get this calculator
- 00:24:10and you can play with it on your own um
- 00:24:12just so you know only only I would only
- 00:24:15play with the green arrows you don't
- 00:24:17want to mess up all the formulas that I
- 00:24:18have here but now we're going to start
- 00:24:19in year
- 00:24:202024 um January 1st 2024 Bitcoin was
- 00:24:24about $43,000 per coin and if I started
- 00:24:27with $100,000 in January of 2024 that
- 00:24:31would be about 2.3 Bitcoins that I have
- 00:24:33okay now this year 20124 Bitcoin will go
- 00:24:37about 200% we haven't finished the year
- 00:24:39yet so we have to kind of wait and see
- 00:24:41based off of the 200% annual compounded
- 00:24:44growth rate maybe that's approximate we
- 00:24:46don't know all right then let's say next
- 00:24:48year it goes up 150% because we're in
- 00:24:50the having cycle as most of you know if
- 00:24:53you're following along most of the
- 00:24:54growth in the in this uh in this
- 00:24:56four-year cycle should come over the
- 00:24:58next 12 months or so so let's say we
- 00:25:00have that and then we're probably going
- 00:25:01to have another big crash I hate to tell
- 00:25:03you but it happens on a four-year cycle
- 00:25:05we'll probably have another big draw
- 00:25:07down right here then we'll have a couple
- 00:25:09good years we'll have another big draw
- 00:25:11down a couple good years another big
- 00:25:13draw down couple good years and another
- 00:25:15big draw down because of the four-year
- 00:25:17having cycle that happens this is what's
- 00:25:19been historically there's no guarantee
- 00:25:21it will continue but I think it probably
- 00:25:22will now I don't think that it's going
- 00:25:24to continue going up by 200% forever as
- 00:25:26a matter of fact it's going to continue
- 00:25:28to slow down pretty aggressively but if
- 00:25:30the money supply continues to increase
- 00:25:32like the CBO says it will and it pushes
- 00:25:34stocks up at least 30% and Bitcoin moves
- 00:25:36up multiples of that then I think it
- 00:25:38would be pretty conservative to think
- 00:25:40that Bitcoin would go up at least 30%
- 00:25:42right so I have it going up by 200% and
- 00:25:44then slowing down to 150 then a massive
- 00:25:46draw down then slowing down to about
- 00:25:48100% 100% 50% 50% a big draw down and
- 00:25:52eventually it's only going up by 25 or
- 00:25:5430% down here in my opinion I think
- 00:25:57that's somewhat conservative ative based
- 00:25:59off of all of these numbers that we've
- 00:26:00taken a look at and if we look at where
- 00:26:02does this put us by
- 00:26:042030 right here it puts us at about a
- 00:26:07million dollars per Bitcoin which is in
- 00:26:09line with what Fidelity predicts which
- 00:26:11is in line with sort of what I predict
- 00:26:13as well none of us have a crystal ball
- 00:26:15you might think I'm out of my mind and
- 00:26:16so you can put in whatever valuations
- 00:26:18you want but let's just take a look at
- 00:26:19this so let's say hypothetically you put
- 00:26:21$100,000 into Bitcoin and it follows
- 00:26:24this model this is very conservative
- 00:26:26based off the historical and off of the
- 00:26:28three forecast looking uh ways that
- 00:26:30we've looked at it but you decide so
- 00:26:33$100,000 goes in here we wait four years
- 00:26:36then we have about
- 00:26:38$750,000 worth of bitcoin we borrow 10%
- 00:26:41against our stack a little bit more than
- 00:26:43I said in the original model now we're
- 00:26:45borrowing 10% that gives us about
- 00:26:47$75,000 of free cash flow it goes up the
- 00:26:50next year we have 1.5 we borrow 10%
- 00:26:52again gives us enough to pay off the old
- 00:26:54debt plus keep another 75,000 of free
- 00:26:57cash flow and on and on and on this year
- 00:26:59it had a big draw down and went down by
- 00:27:0135% so the next year I have to borrow
- 00:27:0320% Which is a little bit more than I'd
- 00:27:05like to it's a little bit more risk
- 00:27:07again play with these numbers as you see
- 00:27:08fit now I got to borrow 20% to pay off
- 00:27:10the old debt and still get me my 100,000
- 00:27:12but then it starts coming back down and
- 00:27:14as you can see I'm never really
- 00:27:16borrowing more than about 10% of my
- 00:27:19stack so I'm keeping my risk low but
- 00:27:21there is risk but I'm keeping my risk
- 00:27:22low now again I don't have a crystal
- 00:27:24ball but assuming that it goes somewhere
- 00:27:27in line with this what happens is my
- 00:27:29$100,000 in the year
- 00:27:322043 fidell said it' be worth a billion
- 00:27:34dollars I think that's uh crazy um I'm
- 00:27:37saying that Bitcoin would be worth 16
- 00:27:39million a lot less than the four billion
- 00:27:42um but assuming that this model in 2043
- 00:27:45you would have about $37 Million worth
- 00:27:47of bitcoin now that's the valuation of
- 00:27:50the Bitcoin but you would also owe $2.5
- 00:27:53million but you owe 2 and5 million out
- 00:27:56of the 30 million that you have I think
- 00:27:59that's a pretty good deal and what
- 00:28:00you've done is you've continued to hold
- 00:28:02the Bitcoin for this appreciation and
- 00:28:05you've pulled out free cash flow every
- 00:28:07year because of inflation starting at 75
- 00:28:09grand down here the last year you're at
- 00:28:12$230,000 of free cash flow never drawing
- 00:28:15down on your Bitcoin stack but still
- 00:28:18having all the money that you need to
- 00:28:19live and then of Kiss of course your
- 00:28:21kids can hold the what do we have 2.3
- 00:28:23Bitcoin your kids get the 2.3 Bitcoin
- 00:28:25your grandkids get the 2.3 Bitcoin and
- 00:28:28and on and on and on this is what we
- 00:28:30call generational wealth now I pulled
- 00:28:33this data again from historical data
- 00:28:35that shows you the 3 + one uh cycle that
- 00:28:38we're in now again I don't have a
- 00:28:40crystal ball and as they say past
- 00:28:42performance is no guarantee of the
- 00:28:43future but that's kind of what I think
- 00:28:45and you can play with the numbers
- 00:28:46yourself now I know this brings up a ton
- 00:28:49of questions I can already hear them
- 00:28:50because I've talked about this subject
- 00:28:51quite a bit like for example hey Mark
- 00:28:54where do I get these loans well there
- 00:28:56was a video just recently Michael sailor
- 00:28:59explaining that he believes in the
- 00:29:00future all the financial institutions
- 00:29:02and banks will be offering Bitcoin based
- 00:29:04loans Let's Play a clip from that I mean
- 00:29:06anybody wanting a mortgage or wanting a
- 00:29:08credit card or a home loan they would
- 00:29:10normally go to a mega mega bank anyway
- 00:29:13and the problem in the market is those
- 00:29:15Banks haven't they haven't uh custody
- 00:29:18Bitcoin and because they don't custody
- 00:29:20it it's not part of the collateral
- 00:29:22package and there are a lot of reasons
- 00:29:24why they haven't or they couldn't but as
- 00:29:26soon as they can I actually think the
- 00:29:30rest of the credit issues uh become very
- 00:29:32straightforward and you'll find a bank
- 00:29:34will give you either that margin Loan in
- 00:29:37lie of apple or Microsoft stock
- 00:29:40or sometimes they'll give you a mortgage
- 00:29:43and they'll say post some other assets
- 00:29:45as security against the mortgage and you
- 00:29:48end up posting some Securities and you
- 00:29:50get you get a 30-year mortgage with some
- 00:29:52Securities posted to get it going and
- 00:29:54they may just take Bitcoin as that
- 00:29:56security to top up your mortgage okay so
- 00:30:00right now today there's two or three
- 00:30:01places you can get these loans but in
- 00:30:03the future I set to wait 5 years in 5
- 00:30:05years as Michael sailor believes and I
- 00:30:07probably agree most of the financial
- 00:30:09institutions and banks will offer loans
- 00:30:11because they give loans on your stocks
- 00:30:13and your equities and your assets anyway
- 00:30:15I can get loans against my car as an
- 00:30:17asset my house as an asset my stocks as
- 00:30:19an asset and yes my Bitcoin uh probably
- 00:30:21a lot of questions about what are the
- 00:30:22risks mark this is super risky all these
- 00:30:24people got loans from Celsius and
- 00:30:26blockfi and they got the rug ped well
- 00:30:28there's a lot of ways to mitigate that
- 00:30:30there's a lot of ways we can offset that
- 00:30:31risk uh what if your numbers are off
- 00:30:34well again make your own assumptions uh
- 00:30:36use the calculator you see fit what
- 00:30:38about inflation how does that affect it
- 00:30:39and what if the government makes this
- 00:30:40all illegal now these are a lot of
- 00:30:41questions this video has already gone
- 00:30:42long but I'd happy to make any
- 00:30:44additional videos on this if you want to
- 00:30:46leave me a comment down below let me let
- 00:30:48me know which ones of these you want and
- 00:30:50most of these questions are all answered
- 00:30:52in this book retire off of Bitcoin
- 00:30:54taxfree it's completely free my gift to
- 00:30:56you you can download it there's a link
- 00:30:58down below all right now hopefully this
- 00:31:00video one changed your entire Assumption
- 00:31:04of how the monetary system work and more
- 00:31:06specifically the uh adage of save for
- 00:31:08retirement forget that the role the goal
- 00:31:11is to build assets that provide cash
- 00:31:13flow that pay me until I die and let my
- 00:31:16kids continue to own those assets that
- 00:31:18continue to pay them what I've shown you
- 00:31:19is a unique strategy of how to actually
- 00:31:21use that billionaire strategy and apply
- 00:31:23it to bitcoin an asset with no cash flow
- 00:31:26hopefully this makes sense to you but
- 00:31:27but I'd love to hear what you think
- 00:31:29leave me a comment down below and let me
- 00:31:30know what you think of course as always
- 00:31:32if you like the video give me a thumbs
- 00:31:33up and if you don't give me a thumbs
- 00:31:35down that's okay but at least tell me
- 00:31:37why in the comments down below and
- 00:31:38that's what I got all right to your
- 00:31:39success I'm out
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