Rotation Moment Near as VOLATILE for Bitcoin, XRP and Altcoin Market with DeepSeek Stock Market, Fed

00:19:10
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W64H3FwaODw

摘要

TLDRIn this video, Blockchain Backer discusses the recent volatility in the cryptocurrency market, specifically focusing on XRP and Bitcoin. He explains that the current fluctuations are influenced by the broader US stock market, particularly with Nvidia's stock dropping after the launch of a competitor to OpenAI. The analyst highlights patterns in Bitcoin's price movement that mirror historical behaviors, suggesting the market might be entering a critical phase. The video also touches on XRP's recent performance, providing a cautious but optimistic outlook on its potential growth. As the U.S. Federal Reserve prepares to announce its next moves, volatility is expected in the coming week, with implications for cryptocurrency prices.

心得

  • 📉 Bitcoin and XRP are experiencing significant volatility this week.
  • 🚀 Deep Seek's launch is causing Nvidia stock to drop.
  • 📊 Current Bitcoin patterns resemble those from 2021's distribution phase.
  • 💡 XRP holding above key price levels shows potential for growth.
  • 📈 Fed week may increase market volatility but could lead to price rallies.

时间轴

  • 00:00:00 - 00:05:00

    The video discusses the latest trends in cryptocurrency, particularly focusing on XRP and Bitcoin price charts amidst significant market volatility. The host highlights that fluctuations are not just within crypto, as the U.S. Stock Market is experiencing turmoil, with major indices like NASDAQ and Dow facing heavy losses. The discussion looks at past price ranges and how they relate to current patterns, emphasizing that this week is fed week—a critical time concerning interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve, further increasing the market's anticipation and volatility.

  • 00:05:00 - 00:10:00

    The host delves deeper into Bitcoin's price action, suggesting that current movements may correspond with historical distribution phases. He hints at a possible completion of an ABC correction and discusses the necessity of market context when evaluating the potential for price movements. The patterns observed align with previous data from 2021, indicating that price action this week is as expected amid broader market developments, potentially leading to a spike in altcoin movement, including XRP.

  • 00:10:00 - 00:19:10

    As the video concludes, the host reassures viewers about the XRP chart, indicating it remains stable above key historical price levels despite recent volatility. He touches on how the conditions in the cryptocurrency market may soon align with upward movements, largely dependent upon the reactions of the broader tech market and upcoming news narratives. The host promotes his resources for further insights and encourages viewers to remain grounded and not to react impulsively to market fluctuations.

思维导图

视频问答

  • What is causing the volatility in cryptocurrency markets?

    The volatility is driven by factors in both the cryptocurrency and US stock markets, including significant swings in tech stocks.

  • How has the launch of Deep Seek affected Nvidia?

    Deep Seek's launch has created competition for Nvidia, leading to sharp declines in its stock price.

  • What price levels is XRP currently holding?

    XRP is currently around $2.79, having just hit all-time highs.

  • What is the expected impact of the upcoming Fed meeting?

    There is an anticipated pause in the interest rate cutting cycle, which often leads to increased market volatility.

  • What historical patterns in Bitcoin behavior are being observed?

    Current Bitcoin patterns are compared to distribution phases seen in 2021, suggesting a similar trajectory.

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  • 00:00:00
    [Music]
  • 00:00:13
    hey what's going on everybody this is
  • 00:00:17
    the blockchain backer bringing you the
  • 00:00:19
    latest cryptocurrency news and Analysis
  • 00:00:23
    today we'll be talking about the xrp
  • 00:00:25
    price chart along with the Bitcoin price
  • 00:00:27
    chart is we're seeing a lot of
  • 00:00:28
    volatility as we get ready to kick off a
  • 00:00:30
    new week in today's video we'll be
  • 00:00:32
    discussing the things that are
  • 00:00:34
    triggering a lot of this volatility
  • 00:00:35
    that's happening in the market as this
  • 00:00:37
    is not isolated to crypto this is
  • 00:00:39
    actually taking place over there in the
  • 00:00:41
    US Stock Market as well as Nvidia is
  • 00:00:43
    tanking in pre-market off the launch of
  • 00:00:46
    deep seek which is like a competitor to
  • 00:00:48
    open AI but it runs at only 4% of the
  • 00:00:52
    operating cost of open AI so it's 96%
  • 00:00:55
    cheaper has the market in a little bit
  • 00:00:57
    of a frenzy as we get ready to kick off
  • 00:00:59
    the week you've got the NASDAQ down over
  • 00:01:01
    900 points before the market even opens
  • 00:01:04
    you get the Dow down about 400 points
  • 00:01:06
    and the S&P down about 150 so you're
  • 00:01:09
    down a little bit over 4% over there on
  • 00:01:11
    the NASDAQ bitcoin's down about 3.2% or
  • 00:01:14
    $35,000 in xrp down about 7% back at
  • 00:01:18
    about 279 right now so we'll talk about
  • 00:01:20
    these levels that we've gotten back to
  • 00:01:22
    over here on xrp I'm going to tie in the
  • 00:01:24
    bigger picture of what I see going on
  • 00:01:25
    over here with Bitcoin and reiterate
  • 00:01:28
    these things that we've been talking
  • 00:01:29
    about in in here for the safety trade
  • 00:01:31
    dominance and how we're really kind of
  • 00:01:33
    right on the cusp here as we get into
  • 00:01:35
    February and of course we'll touch base
  • 00:01:37
    here on the xrp price chart but I think
  • 00:01:39
    the most important thing here is to try
  • 00:01:41
    to paint a picture on bitcoin and the
  • 00:01:43
    relationship for there to be some type
  • 00:01:46
    of move like this come in the market
  • 00:01:47
    here in the coming weeks I've
  • 00:01:49
    characterized this range happening for
  • 00:01:52
    Bitcoin is just an extremely complicated
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    range I think that's kind of the term
  • 00:01:56
    I've been using for I don't know 3 or 4
  • 00:01:58
    weeks at this point but I see something
  • 00:02:00
    interesting that has happened in here
  • 00:02:02
    right now that does have Confluence to
  • 00:02:04
    Looking For a Moment Like This to occur
  • 00:02:07
    based on what we actually did end up
  • 00:02:08
    seeing back there in 2021 with a range
  • 00:02:11
    very similar like this to bitcoin right
  • 00:02:14
    back over here so we'll tie in that
  • 00:02:16
    picture of Bitcoin we'll tie in that
  • 00:02:17
    picture of the safety trade dominance
  • 00:02:19
    we'll tie in the picture of xrp and just
  • 00:02:21
    kind of remembering that a lot of these
  • 00:02:23
    things point to that you know the next
  • 00:02:25
    maybe month or two could be pretty
  • 00:02:26
    exciting but to not forget the bigger
  • 00:02:28
    picture of what we're kind of looking at
  • 00:02:30
    it through at least through the lens on
  • 00:02:31
    this channel of this being a rotational
  • 00:02:33
    top in the equity market and well dude
  • 00:02:36
    we just see an event happen for Tech now
  • 00:02:38
    it's not unusual that we're going to see
  • 00:02:40
    some volatility on a week like this this
  • 00:02:42
    is fed week this is where the FED is
  • 00:02:44
    anticipated that it will be pausing its
  • 00:02:46
    interest rate cutting cycle there's a
  • 00:02:48
    97% probability that the FED is going to
  • 00:02:51
    pause we tend to see volatility on weeks
  • 00:02:54
    like this however this is kind of a
  • 00:02:56
    little bit of a catalyst happening at
  • 00:02:58
    the beginning of the week so I'm curious
  • 00:02:59
    of how much actual volatility is going
  • 00:03:01
    to be tied to the FED I tend to think
  • 00:03:03
    markets kind of like Cal themselves down
  • 00:03:05
    participants get themselves all
  • 00:03:07
    positioned and prepared for the FED
  • 00:03:08
    meeting but we're kind of starting it
  • 00:03:10
    off with a lot of volatility so I'm not
  • 00:03:12
    really sure how how much how impactful
  • 00:03:14
    like the FED stuff is going to be this
  • 00:03:15
    week but we will live stream it and that
  • 00:03:17
    will be on Wednesday now as for the news
  • 00:03:20
    of what's Happening Here as we start off
  • 00:03:22
    the week There's deep seek that was
  • 00:03:23
    launched you can go check your app store
  • 00:03:26
    on your phone you will see that number
  • 00:03:28
    one free app being downlo downloaded
  • 00:03:30
    right now is deep seek which is like a
  • 00:03:32
    competitor to open AI or chat GPT and
  • 00:03:35
    the cost or operating cost is only 4%
  • 00:03:38
    that of chat GPT or open Ai and produces
  • 00:03:43
    high quality results so the Market's in
  • 00:03:45
    friend is NVIDIA overvalued are we going
  • 00:03:48
    to need all this stuff and that's kind
  • 00:03:50
    of what we're seeing as we're getting
  • 00:03:51
    ready to kick off the beginning of this
  • 00:03:53
    week but what's going on over here on
  • 00:03:55
    the Bitcoin price chart so I'm going to
  • 00:03:57
    try to make the most sense out of this
  • 00:03:58
    range that I can it least of where we're
  • 00:04:00
    at right now like looking for something
  • 00:04:02
    familiar you know the question has been
  • 00:04:03
    whether or not this is distribution
  • 00:04:05
    that's happening over here for Bitcoin
  • 00:04:07
    you know this is what distribution
  • 00:04:09
    looked like for Bitcoin back in 2021 so
  • 00:04:12
    trying to see is there anything similar
  • 00:04:13
    or familiar that's happening over here
  • 00:04:15
    right now that mimics that of what was
  • 00:04:18
    going on at that time we know that the
  • 00:04:20
    measured move for Bitcoin would have
  • 00:04:22
    gotten you to like 107 108,000 we've
  • 00:04:25
    gotten there we're really struggling
  • 00:04:26
    there at that level but if we just kind
  • 00:04:28
    of look at what distributions can look
  • 00:04:30
    like in here we see some things that are
  • 00:04:33
    familiar where it's just trying to kind
  • 00:04:34
    of work its way up and then pulls back
  • 00:04:37
    right work its way up and pull back kind
  • 00:04:40
    of sloppy sloppy stuff down in here and
  • 00:04:42
    then pushes on to just kind of get a new
  • 00:04:44
    high and then pulls back right we
  • 00:04:46
    actually do get it's really hard to see
  • 00:04:48
    on here but here I'll do this we do
  • 00:04:51
    actually get a little new high right
  • 00:04:52
    there for Bitcoin I'll take that stuff
  • 00:04:54
    off over there we get a new high here
  • 00:04:56
    for Bitcoin and then we start pulling
  • 00:04:58
    back now what's interesting about right
  • 00:05:00
    here is I'll put this on a smaller time
  • 00:05:02
    frame to see it a little clearer is
  • 00:05:04
    whether or not that's already kind of
  • 00:05:06
    getting near the end of a completed ABC
  • 00:05:09
    and that is what we actually ended up
  • 00:05:10
    seeing up in here for the distribution
  • 00:05:13
    phase of Bitcoin back in 2021 is that
  • 00:05:15
    there was an ABC correction that came
  • 00:05:17
    out of there now of course what this
  • 00:05:19
    doesn't tell you is you know are you
  • 00:05:20
    still just right here there's still some
  • 00:05:22
    more slop and some more capitulating
  • 00:05:23
    that's going to end up happening in here
  • 00:05:25
    before something like that can happen
  • 00:05:27
    maybe but if that's what this range is
  • 00:05:30
    well there's a little bit of Confluence
  • 00:05:31
    on something else that we've been
  • 00:05:33
    talking about for it to be in that phase
  • 00:05:35
    right now and that's what we've been
  • 00:05:37
    talking about with the safety trade
  • 00:05:39
    dominance if I come back over here and
  • 00:05:41
    we'll take a look at that right if this
  • 00:05:42
    is a distribution range if we're you
  • 00:05:45
    know getting close to being halfway
  • 00:05:47
    through this distribution for Bitcoin
  • 00:05:49
    and if there's still more working out in
  • 00:05:52
    here and then this and that and you know
  • 00:05:55
    you know if we're just somewhere along
  • 00:05:57
    there right well it would have
  • 00:05:58
    Confluence to this which is the safety
  • 00:06:00
    trade dominance it's breaking down in
  • 00:06:02
    here from back in 2021 and this is where
  • 00:06:04
    things got really crazy but like I can
  • 00:06:06
    overlay that Bitcoin dominance right
  • 00:06:08
    here on this chart to show where it was
  • 00:06:10
    at in that phase if you were just right
  • 00:06:14
    there at that completion right in here
  • 00:06:16
    by overlaying Bitcoin dominance we got
  • 00:06:18
    to put us on the daily on here but what
  • 00:06:21
    you see in here is that this is that
  • 00:06:23
    moment right this is actually where uh
  • 00:06:26
    the breakdown happens from so we're over
  • 00:06:28
    here talking about this and and looking
  • 00:06:30
    at it through the lens of us being right
  • 00:06:32
    in here in this market well in that
  • 00:06:34
    distribution range for Bitcoin back in
  • 00:06:36
    2021 that's where it was it does this
  • 00:06:39
    ABC in here and then once that happens
  • 00:06:42
    that's where the Bitcoin dominance
  • 00:06:43
    tumbles on itself after the completion
  • 00:06:46
    of that correction right in there right
  • 00:06:48
    major participants probably realize hey
  • 00:06:50
    we are in distribution this thing is not
  • 00:06:52
    acting like a range here the market just
  • 00:06:54
    kind of floods the cash throughout the
  • 00:06:56
    rest of the market and we have crazy
  • 00:06:57
    excitement until we get to a 7 to
  • 00:06:59
    retracement over here and then that
  • 00:07:01
    marks the end of the cycle right but
  • 00:07:03
    this is definitely something we've been
  • 00:07:05
    talking about in essentially every
  • 00:07:06
    single video that we've done and that
  • 00:07:08
    it's moved kind of right on time of
  • 00:07:10
    where we are right now and that if
  • 00:07:12
    things were going to get moving and if
  • 00:07:13
    things were going to get exciting in
  • 00:07:15
    this market uh that it would probably
  • 00:07:16
    end up being probably sometime around
  • 00:07:19
    this weekend or heading into next week
  • 00:07:21
    as we get February kicked off well if
  • 00:07:23
    you're going to you know draw that
  • 00:07:24
    contrast to that and say okay well if
  • 00:07:26
    we're using kind of a model from back in
  • 00:07:28
    2021 well what was happening in the
  • 00:07:30
    broader context of the market during
  • 00:07:32
    that moment well this is what was
  • 00:07:34
    happening right and this is where it
  • 00:07:35
    ends up breaking down and this is where
  • 00:07:37
    that dominance Falls and the altcoin
  • 00:07:39
    market goes pretty crazy in here but we
  • 00:07:41
    are in a distribution range right in
  • 00:07:43
    what phase of the distribution range
  • 00:07:45
    were we at or after we kind of completed
  • 00:07:47
    this ABC correction that ends up
  • 00:07:48
    happening in here so the question is is
  • 00:07:51
    that also where we are right are we in a
  • 00:07:53
    distribution range are we finishing off
  • 00:07:55
    an ABC correction happening in here and
  • 00:07:58
    then it starts off right the market
  • 00:08:00
    actually looks like it should look or at
  • 00:08:02
    least Bitcoin does look like it should
  • 00:08:05
    look uh if we were going to be looking
  • 00:08:06
    for that to happen and having Confluence
  • 00:08:09
    to that moment because I think the
  • 00:08:11
    arguments have all been there that we've
  • 00:08:13
    been moving really on the trajectory of
  • 00:08:14
    what you would think and that this
  • 00:08:16
    Market is much further along in the
  • 00:08:18
    cycle than people probably anticipate
  • 00:08:20
    that it is you know fouryear Cycles
  • 00:08:22
    we've got until November October or
  • 00:08:24
    December or whatever uh but that were
  • 00:08:26
    really kind of pointing towards Maybe
  • 00:08:27
    not maybe like the end of February or
  • 00:08:30
    you know middle part of March and it's
  • 00:08:32
    one thing to just kind of look at this
  • 00:08:33
    and say hey that's how our timing is
  • 00:08:35
    looking at but if you're looking for a
  • 00:08:37
    contextual comparison to say well what
  • 00:08:39
    was happening in the market right here
  • 00:08:41
    for that event to end up happening it's
  • 00:08:44
    that Bitcoin was in distribution and
  • 00:08:47
    that when this phase ends up happening
  • 00:08:49
    in here that's where Bitcoin is it
  • 00:08:52
    pushes for a new high ABC corrects then
  • 00:08:56
    as Bitcoin goes for its final push up in
  • 00:08:58
    here we are in the breakdown of the
  • 00:09:00
    dominance we're in quote alt season as
  • 00:09:03
    the distribution finishes off in here so
  • 00:09:05
    for those whove been following and
  • 00:09:06
    watching this thing for years what would
  • 00:09:09
    you be looking for right here well you
  • 00:09:11
    would be looking for that and the
  • 00:09:13
    question is are we getting it and as of
  • 00:09:15
    right now it appears so it appears we're
  • 00:09:17
    getting exactly what you would be
  • 00:09:19
    looking for for that moment to occur
  • 00:09:22
    right when you're supposed to which
  • 00:09:23
    would again give Confluence to that
  • 00:09:25
    argument of rotational top over there in
  • 00:09:27
    the equity Market there probably not as
  • 00:09:28
    much time as people think probably until
  • 00:09:30
    somewhere around March and you can view
  • 00:09:32
    that from hey look like the next several
  • 00:09:34
    weeks look like they have the setup to
  • 00:09:36
    be pretty exciting or you know the end
  • 00:09:38
    is near whatever you want right but I
  • 00:09:39
    think the point of what I'm trying to
  • 00:09:41
    show is that you know as we kick off the
  • 00:09:42
    new week and there's a lot of volatility
  • 00:09:43
    there in the stock market people be like
  • 00:09:45
    oh no the end is here but technically
  • 00:09:47
    speaking for all the things that we've
  • 00:09:49
    been looking at you actually would be
  • 00:09:51
    expecting this price action to be
  • 00:09:52
    happening for Bitcoin if it was in a
  • 00:09:55
    distribution top and this is exactly
  • 00:09:58
    what you would look for right before the
  • 00:10:00
    dominance would break itself down it's
  • 00:10:02
    exactly what happened in 2021 and where
  • 00:10:05
    we're at right now is right on Q it's
  • 00:10:07
    right on par so it's like if we were to
  • 00:10:09
    sit here and say it's going to do this
  • 00:10:10
    just because of the sake that it's going
  • 00:10:12
    to do this well it's like well what was
  • 00:10:13
    the context of what was happening when
  • 00:10:15
    this occurred well Bitcoin was in
  • 00:10:17
    distribution and it was at a specific
  • 00:10:18
    phase which was right here and then that
  • 00:10:21
    actually happened so you say okay well
  • 00:10:23
    are we in that right now it's like oh
  • 00:10:25
    wow it actually kind of looks pretty
  • 00:10:27
    similar like we actually are there right
  • 00:10:28
    now so again not saying we won't see
  • 00:10:31
    something like this come throughout the
  • 00:10:33
    week but I think by the time we get to
  • 00:10:34
    the end of the week and we head into the
  • 00:10:36
    weekend to try to see it shoot its way
  • 00:10:38
    back up again it's fed week There's
  • 00:10:40
    volatility it's crazy there's all kinds
  • 00:10:42
    of stuff that happens in here with the
  • 00:10:43
    market readjusting itself during fed
  • 00:10:45
    week and especially since we're finally
  • 00:10:46
    pausing The Cutting cycle but you know
  • 00:10:48
    kind of like today is something like
  • 00:10:50
    that right in there and there's still a
  • 00:10:51
    little bit more and then it works its
  • 00:10:53
    way up so hopefully that put this into
  • 00:10:55
    context a little bit of what was going
  • 00:10:57
    on in the Market at the time when all of
  • 00:10:59
    this occurred Bitcoin was in
  • 00:11:01
    distribution and it was at a very
  • 00:11:02
    specific phase in its distribution when
  • 00:11:04
    this breakdown happened and sure enough
  • 00:11:06
    that move that just happened right in
  • 00:11:08
    there if that's an ABC happening in
  • 00:11:09
    there that's exactly what was occurring
  • 00:11:11
    so all right moving on over to things
  • 00:11:13
    like xrp we got several lines drawn here
  • 00:11:16
    on the screen of course we've compared
  • 00:11:17
    this to double tap bull flags that are
  • 00:11:20
    happening in here still this could just
  • 00:11:21
    be a bull flag that's merging in here
  • 00:11:23
    current levels that it's currently
  • 00:11:24
    holding right now this is the highest
  • 00:11:26
    daily candle close from 200 18 so as you
  • 00:11:30
    can see this is what we broke out of
  • 00:11:32
    here recently which is marked by this
  • 00:11:33
    level right here this level is the
  • 00:11:35
    highest price that we saw over here in
  • 00:11:37
    December of 2024 and this is the
  • 00:11:39
    previous all-time high so you could see
  • 00:11:40
    struggling here at the all-time high
  • 00:11:42
    still holding above the highest daily
  • 00:11:44
    close in history right now even if we
  • 00:11:46
    close ourselves right in here we're
  • 00:11:48
    still above the highest close ever from
  • 00:11:50
    2018 and from here in December of 2024
  • 00:11:53
    so nothing and crazy has been happening
  • 00:11:55
    in here just yet we've shown what the
  • 00:11:57
    parabolic Rises of xrp can look like as
  • 00:12:00
    they go towards their end I doubt it
  • 00:12:02
    that we're in this just yet that we've
  • 00:12:04
    having the crazy whipsaw happen back yet
  • 00:12:07
    but nothing happening in here that you
  • 00:12:10
    just wouldn't see in a parabolic rise
  • 00:12:12
    and still major Milestone levels are
  • 00:12:14
    still continuing to hold at least as we
  • 00:12:16
    kick off Monday I do understand it's
  • 00:12:18
    pretty far away but really the only time
  • 00:12:21
    where things become super concerning is
  • 00:12:24
    just if you take out the low that
  • 00:12:26
    happens back down in here at a $1.90
  • 00:12:28
    otherwise if events like this happening
  • 00:12:30
    in here are all normal and really it
  • 00:12:32
    still just seems like we're working on
  • 00:12:34
    that second Bull flag one of the things
  • 00:12:36
    I've always said about xrp is it does
  • 00:12:38
    not move independently it moves with the
  • 00:12:40
    rest of the market so when I look at
  • 00:12:42
    things like this I have to say to myself
  • 00:12:44
    okay we just hit the all-time high are
  • 00:12:46
    we in a position where need to be pretty
  • 00:12:49
    worried about that since we've hit the
  • 00:12:51
    all-time high and can it reject off of
  • 00:12:52
    there and that's the end of the cycle
  • 00:12:54
    right I think it's a reasonable question
  • 00:12:55
    everybody should ask themselves and I
  • 00:12:57
    have to say well it's only really going
  • 00:12:58
    to move up if we actually have those
  • 00:13:00
    conditions set up there for the rest of
  • 00:13:01
    the market to be able to do something
  • 00:13:03
    like that and that is why we talk about
  • 00:13:06
    these types of things that is why we
  • 00:13:07
    look at Bitcoin that is why we look at
  • 00:13:09
    the phases of when things can happen
  • 00:13:11
    because if this dominance is falling
  • 00:13:13
    right in here these are the times where
  • 00:13:14
    xrp can perform well so it's one thing
  • 00:13:17
    for us to just look at the chart and say
  • 00:13:19
    oh the chart does the structure that
  • 00:13:20
    looks familiar and similar it's got to
  • 00:13:22
    be is the broader context there for it
  • 00:13:24
    at the same time it's why we look at
  • 00:13:26
    these it's why we look at this all of
  • 00:13:28
    those context still seem just fine right
  • 00:13:30
    in there so for continued growth price
  • 00:13:33
    looks absolutely normal we still have
  • 00:13:35
    fine closes happening in here we'll see
  • 00:13:36
    how this closes throughout the rest of
  • 00:13:38
    the day but you could totally see this
  • 00:13:39
    is the highest close in history leading
  • 00:13:41
    up till 2025 we're still sitting right
  • 00:13:44
    on top of it here as we're kicking off
  • 00:13:46
    the new week and the best thing I can
  • 00:13:48
    tell anybody is to sit there and not get
  • 00:13:51
    sucked into the narratives get sucked
  • 00:13:53
    into the hype but say to yourself is
  • 00:13:55
    there something in the market that looks
  • 00:13:57
    like there could be a bro based rally
  • 00:14:00
    happening throughout here and that's
  • 00:14:01
    what we have and those are the
  • 00:14:03
    conditions that xrp needs there's no
  • 00:14:05
    flip of the switch there's no nothing
  • 00:14:07
    right I mean maybe the case gets dropped
  • 00:14:09
    and we get like a nice a nice rally um
  • 00:14:11
    especially since you know if we're
  • 00:14:13
    moving into this type of thing of course
  • 00:14:14
    people will credit that but we we are
  • 00:14:17
    appearing to be moving into the market
  • 00:14:19
    dynamics of euphoria right and so those
  • 00:14:22
    events and those news narratives could
  • 00:14:24
    likely come out during the period of
  • 00:14:26
    euphoria and you know that's what we
  • 00:14:28
    always kind of anticipate what happen
  • 00:14:30
    like like I always said it like when
  • 00:14:31
    we're at like 40 and 50 cents of being
  • 00:14:32
    like what would you do if we get up near
  • 00:14:34
    you know price levels and extensions and
  • 00:14:37
    then that's when the Everything Changes
  • 00:14:40
    right we we came up with some silly
  • 00:14:42
    stuff like what if Trump says he loves
  • 00:14:44
    xrp right I mean like that's like re
  • 00:14:46
    it's like possible right I don't know
  • 00:14:48
    but like you know then the appeal
  • 00:14:49
    getting dropped or stuff like that and
  • 00:14:51
    every gosh and then if it does become
  • 00:14:53
    something like where it gets added to a
  • 00:14:55
    reserve or something like that you have
  • 00:14:57
    every reason in your mind to believe not
  • 00:14:59
    to do anything about it but you know
  • 00:15:02
    we're reaching the market conditions of
  • 00:15:03
    euphoria where it's perfect for those
  • 00:15:05
    news narratives to come out in here and
  • 00:15:07
    for people to think this time is
  • 00:15:08
    different right but you know when I look
  • 00:15:10
    at these things of course I have to draw
  • 00:15:12
    in the broader picture of it I can't
  • 00:15:14
    just structurally look at these things
  • 00:15:15
    and say the structure is there I have to
  • 00:15:17
    look at the bigger picture context and
  • 00:15:19
    that is why I show that to you if this
  • 00:15:21
    context wasn't here it we could sit here
  • 00:15:24
    and be pretty worried about xrp hitting
  • 00:15:25
    that alltime high but the fact that we
  • 00:15:28
    have this Market I and this Market
  • 00:15:29
    Dynamic showing up here throughout the
  • 00:15:31
    market I don't see any reason not to be
  • 00:15:33
    excited so I think we're totally fine
  • 00:15:35
    right now if things change we talk about
  • 00:15:37
    that but that's why we talk about this
  • 00:15:39
    stuff so as we get closer to Market
  • 00:15:42
    opening xrps back to
  • 00:15:44
    $2.88 bitcoin's back above
  • 00:15:46
    $100,000 as of right now of trying to
  • 00:15:49
    make sense of the range that we're
  • 00:15:50
    seeing over here on bitcoin this is the
  • 00:15:52
    most sense I can make out of the range
  • 00:15:54
    currently right now and it has
  • 00:15:56
    Confluence to other elements that we've
  • 00:15:58
    been talking about a lot lately last
  • 00:16:00
    week when we were talking about this it
  • 00:16:01
    was saying I don't know if we'll see
  • 00:16:02
    anything next week which would be this
  • 00:16:04
    week but on seeing something happen once
  • 00:16:06
    February starts to kick off well that's
  • 00:16:09
    exactly the dynamic that we'd be looking
  • 00:16:10
    for here so if we get a strong reaction
  • 00:16:12
    at of Bitcoin then kind of watching to
  • 00:16:14
    see you know do we end up getting that
  • 00:16:16
    big breakdown in the dominance to happen
  • 00:16:18
    as distribution still continues for
  • 00:16:20
    Bitcoin over here so there you go make a
  • 00:16:22
    little bit of sense out of the range
  • 00:16:23
    there for Bitcoin it happens to have
  • 00:16:25
    exact Confluence with the things that
  • 00:16:26
    we've been talking about over here and
  • 00:16:28
    that influence matches up for what
  • 00:16:30
    you've been looking for for xrp and
  • 00:16:32
    really the rest of the altcoin market so
  • 00:16:34
    we'll get through fed week we'll get to
  • 00:16:36
    see how the stock market reacts and
  • 00:16:37
    digests the information that it's got
  • 00:16:39
    this morning in regards to Big Tech is
  • 00:16:41
    Big Tech overpriced is it threatened my
  • 00:16:44
    thoughts have always been it's going to
  • 00:16:45
    be a rotational top out of tech and if
  • 00:16:47
    so that would buy us a month or two or a
  • 00:16:51
    month and a half still left in this
  • 00:16:52
    market right now so we'll let the market
  • 00:16:55
    kind of digest all of this happening
  • 00:16:56
    here this morning seems right on page
  • 00:16:59
    for the things that we've been talking
  • 00:17:00
    about over here for the phase you would
  • 00:17:02
    think you would be at over here with
  • 00:17:03
    bitcoin's distribution we'll see how
  • 00:17:05
    things progress throughout the week and
  • 00:17:06
    of course I'll be here with you
  • 00:17:07
    throughout all of it and then Wednesday
  • 00:17:09
    we'll have markets in the morning and
  • 00:17:10
    we'll live stream the FED meeting stocks
  • 00:17:12
    are slightly improved as we get closer
  • 00:17:13
    to opening still openings about an hour
  • 00:17:15
    and a half from right now I'm up very
  • 00:17:17
    early in the morning I know that I will
  • 00:17:19
    get the you're always sick comments that
  • 00:17:23
    last week I was mentioning man I was
  • 00:17:24
    feeling something coming on and and sure
  • 00:17:26
    enough last night it was nothing but the
  • 00:17:28
    fever sweat 102 fever and woke up and it
  • 00:17:31
    felt like I kind of broke it this
  • 00:17:32
    morning I was back down to 99 but my
  • 00:17:34
    clothes were soaked so hopefully we've
  • 00:17:36
    bypass the worst of it all um but I'll
  • 00:17:39
    be here all throughout the week of
  • 00:17:41
    course you guys can check out blockchain
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    back. substack do.com over here this is
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    my newsletter it includes a 35 minute
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    audio voiceover recording that I record
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    myself talking all about these market
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    have a wonderful day what a start to the
  • 00:18:24
    week I think we're going to have crazy
  • 00:18:26
    all week long but we'll be here for all
  • 00:18:28
    of it so all right that's it thank you
  • 00:18:30
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    [Music]
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