How to SURVIVE and GET RICH During a RECESSION! | Networth & Chill
摘要
TLDRThe video provides insights on how to recession-proof your finances and leverage economic downturns for wealth building. It explains that recessions are a normal part of the economic cycle and offers strategies such as maintaining investments, increasing savings, and focusing on consumer staples for job security. The host encourages viewers to invest in index funds and highlights the importance of financial planning during uncertain times. Additionally, it introduces AskDolly, a tool for accessible financial advice.
心得
- 📉 Recessions are normal and can be opportunities for wealth building.
- 💰 Don't pull your investments during downturns; stay the course.
- 💵 Aim for 6 to 9 months of living expenses in savings.
- 📊 Consider investing in index funds for broad market exposure.
- 🏥 Consumer staples tend to outperform during recessions.
- 🛑 Avoid high-interest debt; pay it down as a priority.
- 🔍 Explore stable job sectors during economic uncertainty.
- 🛏️ Use AskDolly for accessible financial advice.
- 📈 Time in the market beats timing the market.
- 🛒 Economic downturns can lead to better investment opportunities.
时间轴
- 00:00:00 - 00:05:00
In your adult life, you will likely experience five to seven major economic downturns, which can be significant opportunities for wealth building. Wealthy individuals often capitalize on these moments by investing when others are fearful. This episode discusses strategies to recession-proof your finances, emphasizing the importance of staying calm and making informed decisions during economic uncertainty.
- 00:05:00 - 00:10:00
The S&P 500 index, a key indicator of the U.S. economy, has been volatile, causing anxiety about a potential recession. A recession is defined as a significant decline in economic activity lasting more than a few months, typically marked by two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth. Understanding that recessions are a normal part of the economic cycle can help alleviate fear and prepare for financial success.
- 00:10:00 - 00:15:00
To recession-proof your finances, avoid pulling investments during market downturns, as this locks in losses. Instead, consider downturns as opportunities to buy assets at lower prices. Additionally, increase your savings to cover six to nine months of living expenses in a high-yield savings account, ensuring your money is working for you while providing a safety net against economic challenges.
- 00:15:00 - 00:20:00
Pay down high-interest debt and avoid taking on new debt during uncertain times. If struggling, consider nonprofit credit counseling for assistance. It's crucial to manage your finances carefully, especially during economic downturns, to avoid feeling overwhelmed by debt burdens and to maintain financial stability.
- 00:20:00 - 00:25:00
Investing during downturns can lead to significant wealth accumulation. Wealthy individuals often take advantage of lower prices to invest in stocks, real estate, and businesses. If you have extra funds, consider investing in index funds or target date retirement funds to diversify your portfolio and mitigate risks associated with individual stock picking.
- 00:25:00 - 00:31:14
Job security can be a concern during recessions, but certain industries, such as consumer staples and healthcare, tend to perform better than discretionary sectors. Understanding which sectors thrive during downturns can help guide career decisions and job stability. Ultimately, consistent investing and a long-term perspective are key to navigating economic cycles successfully.
思维导图
视频问答
What is a recession?
A recession is defined as a significant decline in economic activity lasting more than a few months, typically marked by two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth.
How can I recession-proof my finances?
Strategies include not pulling investments, increasing savings, paying down high-interest debt, and considering index funds for investment.
What industries thrive during a recession?
Consumer staples like healthcare, financial services, and energy tend to outperform during economic downturns.
Is it a bad time to start investing?
No, market downturns can be a great time to invest. The best time to start investing was yesterday, and the second best is today.
What should I do if I'm worried about job loss during a recession?
Consider looking for jobs in industries that are more stable during downturns, such as consumer staples.
What is the FDIC?
The FDIC is insurance for your money in the bank, protecting deposits up to $250,000.
Should I pull my investments during a downturn?
No, pulling investments locks in losses. It's better to stay the course.
How much should I have in savings during economic uncertainty?
Aim for 6 to 9 months of living expenses in a high-yield savings account.
What are index funds?
Index funds are investment funds that track a specific index, allowing you to invest in a broad range of companies.
What is AskDolly?
AskDolly is a tool for asking financial questions without needing a high net worth to access financial advice.
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- 00:00:00in your adult lifetime you're likely
- 00:00:02only going to see five to seven major
- 00:00:05economic downturns and they are going to
- 00:00:06be your biggest opportunities to build
- 00:00:09wealth let's be very clear rich people
- 00:00:12actually love these moments because
- 00:00:14they're going to rapidfire deploy their
- 00:00:16money into investments when everybody
- 00:00:18else is freaking out let's talk a little
- 00:00:21bit about how you can recession proof
- 00:00:22your finances these are a couple
- 00:00:24strategies you can use to set yourself
- 00:00:26up for financial success no matter what
- 00:00:28the economy throws at us support for
- 00:00:31this show comes from Brook Linen spring
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- 00:01:14today
- 00:01:22what's up rich friends welcome to
- 00:01:24another episode of Network and Chill i'm
- 00:01:27your host Vivian 2 aka your rich bff and
- 00:01:30your favorite Wall Street girly with the
- 00:01:31implementation of Trump's tariffs and
- 00:01:33downward market movement people are more
- 00:01:36stressed than ever about a potential
- 00:01:39recession yes it's scary and it shows
- 00:01:42the S&P 500 index which is essentially
- 00:01:44the benchmark for the American stock
- 00:01:46market has been pretty volatile lately
- 00:01:48and the S&P 500 measures the performance
- 00:01:51of the 500 largest publicly traded
- 00:01:53companies in the United States so it's
- 00:01:56pretty indicative of the overall health
- 00:01:58of the economy the S&P 500 is widely
- 00:02:00considered one of the best gauges of the
- 00:02:02US equities market and like I mentioned
- 00:02:05it is a benchmark so when we're looking
- 00:02:08at it and we're seeing it go down that
- 00:02:09can be kind of scary if the S&P is going
- 00:02:12down down typically it's an indicator
- 00:02:14that the US economy is feeling pretty
- 00:02:16down too now it's important to know that
- 00:02:19at this moment that I'm filming and
- 00:02:21maybe while you're seeing this we are
- 00:02:24not in a recession technically if a
- 00:02:26recession does come it will be declared
- 00:02:28by the National Bureau of Economic
- 00:02:30Research NBER it's a nonprofit
- 00:02:33organization but with all this economic
- 00:02:35volatility people want to know how to
- 00:02:37prep for a recession or just how to get
- 00:02:39through times of economic downturn and
- 00:02:42that's exactly what we are going to
- 00:02:43cover today so first and foremost what
- 00:02:46is a recession like actually a recession
- 00:02:50is defined as a significant decline in
- 00:02:52economic activity that's spread across
- 00:02:54the economy and lasts more than a few
- 00:02:56months typically two straight quarters
- 00:02:59of negative GDP gross domestic product
- 00:03:02growth so when we see the GDP go down
- 00:03:04two quarters in a row that's typically
- 00:03:06when it is a technical recession first
- 00:03:08and foremost it's important to remember
- 00:03:10that recessions are a normal part of the
- 00:03:12economic cycle though their severity and
- 00:03:14duration aka how serious or how long
- 00:03:17they go can vary a lot they represent
- 00:03:20the contraction phase following periods
- 00:03:22of economic expansion so really really
- 00:03:25simplified a normal economic cycle
- 00:03:27consists of four stages first up
- 00:03:30expansion things are on the up then
- 00:03:32there's the boom things are up then
- 00:03:35there's the bust things are coming down
- 00:03:38and then there's the recession things
- 00:03:40are down this then leads back into
- 00:03:42expansion and the cycle repeats and
- 00:03:44repeats and repeats while not ideal by
- 00:03:46any means just know recessions are
- 00:03:48considered part of the normal economic
- 00:03:50cycle so there's no use in spiraling and
- 00:03:53now that we've got the textbook
- 00:03:55definition cleared up let's talk a
- 00:03:57little bit about how you can recession
- 00:03:58proof your finances these are a couple
- 00:04:00strategies you can use to set yourself
- 00:04:02up for financial success no matter what
- 00:04:05the economy throws at us first and
- 00:04:07foremost do not pull your investments
- 00:04:09the second people see market downturn
- 00:04:11they immediately want to sell sell sell
- 00:04:14pull all of their money out of the
- 00:04:15market and pull their investments do not
- 00:04:17do this if you pull your investments
- 00:04:19you're just going to lock in the
- 00:04:21existing losses rather than giving your
- 00:04:24portfolio a chance to go up again and I
- 00:04:26know it's super scary looking at red
- 00:04:28numbers but avoid pulling that money if
- 00:04:30you can a really great example of this
- 00:04:32was co back in March of 2020 we saw the
- 00:04:36stock market
- 00:04:38plummet and the folks who got scared and
- 00:04:40pulled their money locked in those
- 00:04:42losses however if you were smart and
- 00:04:45just stayed the course you held on to
- 00:04:47your investments you didn't look too
- 00:04:49much at your portfolio by August of 2020
- 00:04:52all of those losses would have been made
- 00:04:54up and then over the past five years we
- 00:04:56actually saw the market reach its newest
- 00:04:59highs the peakiest of peaks and you
- 00:05:02would have just made money in fact when
- 00:05:04the stock market is down you can think
- 00:05:06of it like a sale nobody runs from a
- 00:05:09sale at a department store why would you
- 00:05:11run from a sale in the stock market in
- 00:05:13fact if you actually have extra dollars
- 00:05:15to be investing when there is a downturn
- 00:05:18it might be one of the best
- 00:05:20opportunities for you to scoop up assets
- 00:05:23on the cheap everybody loves a deal so
- 00:05:25yes it's okay to look at your portfolio
- 00:05:27but if you think it's going to actually
- 00:05:28just hurt your feelings and scare you
- 00:05:30more than it'll help you stay in touch
- 00:05:32with your holistic financial picture
- 00:05:35it's okay to more sparingly check your
- 00:05:38investments right now up next speaking
- 00:05:40of up let's up your savings normally I
- 00:05:44always recommend you guys have three to
- 00:05:46six months of living expenses in an FDIC
- 00:05:48insured high yield savings account but
- 00:05:50with economic uncertainty try to get
- 00:05:53closer to 6 to 9 months in that high
- 00:05:55yield savings account this way your
- 00:05:57money is earning you more money and
- 00:05:59you're better protected from any issues
- 00:06:01that are beyond your control like
- 00:06:03layoffs but you are actually going to be
- 00:06:06earning money on that nest egg also just
- 00:06:08remember a high yield savings account is
- 00:06:10just like a regular savings account so
- 00:06:12your money is FDIC insured up to
- 00:06:15$250,000 but a quick strategy I do want
- 00:06:18to share is that if you have more than
- 00:06:20$250,000 in cash in one bank account I
- 00:06:23would very much encourage you to spread
- 00:06:25it out across different savings accounts
- 00:06:27so you aren't putting that money at risk
- 00:06:29it's a lot less likely that all of the
- 00:06:31banks you bank with would fail at once
- 00:06:33furthermore when you're choosing where
- 00:06:34to park your money consider national
- 00:06:36banking providers over regional ones why
- 00:06:39you ask because oftentimes bank failures
- 00:06:42stem from too many of the bank's
- 00:06:44customers livelihoods being concentrated
- 00:06:46in one industry so a really great
- 00:06:49example of this was Silicon Valley Bank
- 00:06:51they were a huge provider in the VC and
- 00:06:54San Francisco tech world but because of
- 00:06:56this when one of their clients started
- 00:06:58having issues it meant a lot of their
- 00:07:00clients started having liquidity issues
- 00:07:03this ended up leading to people running
- 00:07:05to the bank trying to get their cash out
- 00:07:06and they when they weren't able to
- 00:07:08service their clients that ultimately
- 00:07:10led to the bank's collapse because when
- 00:07:12one client heard that they couldn't get
- 00:07:13their money everybody panicked and then
- 00:07:15tried to get their money out too up next
- 00:07:17my other hot tip is make sure to pay
- 00:07:19down your debt do your absolute best to
- 00:07:22pay down high interest rate debt
- 00:07:25anything over 7% you want to do that
- 00:07:27ASAP Rocky on top of that do not take on
- 00:07:31any additional high interest rate debt
- 00:07:33and make sure to spend within your means
- 00:07:35on your credit card so that very much
- 00:07:36means spending on things that you need
- 00:07:39and are confident you can pay in full on
- 00:07:41time every single month this is
- 00:07:43certainly not the time not that it ever
- 00:07:45is to risk taking on more debt because
- 00:07:48when things are bad you are actually
- 00:07:50going to feel that debt burden even more
- 00:07:52if you are really struggling this could
- 00:07:54also be a good time to explore nonprofit
- 00:07:57credit counseling so this is where you
- 00:08:00would go and speak to a credit counselor
- 00:08:01they would help you manage your debt
- 00:08:03they would negotiate with your credit
- 00:08:04card companies your you know loan loan
- 00:08:06servicesers and they would get you on a
- 00:08:08good payment plan this is because going
- 00:08:10into a shaky financial environment while
- 00:08:12struggling with debt can be really
- 00:08:14overwhelming up next I would say that
- 00:08:16since we aren't pulling our investments
- 00:08:18we should answer the question of now
- 00:08:19what what should we do in your adult
- 00:08:21lifetime you're likely only going to see
- 00:08:24five to seven major economic downturns
- 00:08:27and they are going to be your biggest
- 00:08:28opportunities to build wealth let's be
- 00:08:31very clear rich people actually love
- 00:08:33these moments because they're going to
- 00:08:35rapidfire deploy their money into
- 00:08:37investments when everybody else is
- 00:08:40freaking out they're going to use this
- 00:08:42opportunity to buy stocks real estate
- 00:08:44and honestly whole ass companies on the
- 00:08:46low they're going to get them for cheap
- 00:08:48and then when things inevitably do
- 00:08:50recover they're going to be able to ride
- 00:08:52that wave right back up so that'll be
- 00:08:54their opportunity to generate a lot of
- 00:08:56growth and a lot of wealth however folks
- 00:09:00who don't have the means or people who
- 00:09:01don't think to invest their money that
- 00:09:03they have on hand right now are actually
- 00:09:05going to be worse off due to inflation
- 00:09:07making our lives more expensive over
- 00:09:09time and I do not have to be the one to
- 00:09:11tell you that the cost of living right
- 00:09:13now is crazy eggs are like $20 so you
- 00:09:17want to make sure you have that managed
- 00:09:19this all said if you are paycheck to
- 00:09:21paycheck and you're more worried about
- 00:09:22buying food than investments I get that
- 00:09:25i do not want to be tonedeaf and I
- 00:09:27really do recognize that this period is
- 00:09:29going to be incredibly challenging this
- 00:09:31is going to hit those folks the hardest
- 00:09:34and it sucks and it's unfair and I I
- 00:09:37wish I we had a better answer for this
- 00:09:39but if you do have any extra money to
- 00:09:41spare or even if you're willing to just
- 00:09:43put yourself in an uncomfortable
- 00:09:45position for a temporary period of time
- 00:09:48by picking up a side hustle or a second
- 00:09:50job this really could be the difference
- 00:09:53between whether or not you are where you
- 00:09:55want to be or financially secure in the
- 00:09:57next 5 to 10 years so think of this as
- 00:10:00an opportunity i don't want this to
- 00:10:02sound like rahrh hustle porn but truly
- 00:10:05try your best try to invest right now as
- 00:10:08for the investments actually what to buy
- 00:10:11instead of telling you my top five stock
- 00:10:13picks I'm going to tell you how to buy
- 00:10:15hundreds of companies at the same time
- 00:10:17you are going to consider something
- 00:10:18called an index fund the reason they're
- 00:10:21called index funds are because they
- 00:10:23often track indexes indexes and as an
- 00:10:25example if you invest through Vanguard
- 00:10:28VO tracks the S&P 500 and the reason I
- 00:10:31want to call out Vanguard specifically
- 00:10:33is because if you invest with Fidelity
- 00:10:35or Schwab they have their own version of
- 00:10:38VO you want to make sure you are buying
- 00:10:40the appropriate one based on what
- 00:10:43brokerage you are using because you'll
- 00:10:45pay less in fees so just make sure that
- 00:10:47wherever you're at they have something
- 00:10:49that tracks the S&P 500 i'm sure they do
- 00:10:51and you're going to be able to use that
- 00:10:53to invest another alternative if you
- 00:10:55want to get a little tech heavier QQQ
- 00:10:58tracks the NASDAQ 100 this is a great
- 00:11:00way to get some of that tech exposure if
- 00:11:02you think that sector is going to be a
- 00:11:05little stronger if you want to get some
- 00:11:07international exposure because you think
- 00:11:09everything here states side is going to
- 00:11:10hell in a hand basket well VXUS again
- 00:11:13this is the Vanguard version there are
- 00:11:15going to be Fidelity Schwab other
- 00:11:17brokerage versions that's the Vanguard
- 00:11:19total international stock index fund so
- 00:11:21it's essentially investing in all of
- 00:11:24these international markets so you can
- 00:11:26also have exposure outside of the US
- 00:11:28alternatively if you don't want to pick
- 00:11:30an index fund you can also choose to
- 00:11:31invest in a target date retirement fund
- 00:11:34this will give you something a little
- 00:11:35bit more tailored to your age and how
- 00:11:37close you are to retirement what you're
- 00:11:39going to do is you're going to calculate
- 00:11:40what year you turn 65 and round to the
- 00:11:44closest year ending in five or zero then
- 00:11:46you're going to pick the target date
- 00:11:47fund with that year in it because you're
- 00:11:48going to see target date fund 2025 2030
- 00:11:522035 2040 2045 all the way up to like
- 00:11:542075 2080 so just pick the year that
- 00:11:57most correlates to when you would turn
- 00:11:5965 in addition to that you can always
- 00:12:02tap a robo advisor so you just take a
- 00:12:04quick quiz about your money goals and
- 00:12:06then it will pick a diversified
- 00:12:08portfolio that makes sense for you this
- 00:12:10is a great way to be invested quickly
- 00:12:12and efficiently if you don't want to do
- 00:12:13it yourself but the net net takeaway is
- 00:12:16just keep investing don't be distracted
- 00:12:19by these headlines here's another really
- 00:12:21big topic that people are asking me
- 00:12:22about job loss some people are panicking
- 00:12:25about losing their jobs due to the
- 00:12:27impending recession but what we're going
- 00:12:29to go over is what jobs and industries
- 00:12:33might actually thrive during a period of
- 00:12:36economic downturn and then we'll also
- 00:12:38cover what might be a little bit more at
- 00:12:40risk this is important because like I
- 00:12:43mentioned economic cycles are going to
- 00:12:46favor different sectors our consumer
- 00:12:48economy has high and low points and when
- 00:12:51the economy is booming industries that
- 00:12:55are discretionary aka nice to have and
- 00:12:59cyclical typically outperform this is
- 00:13:01essentially luxury industries things
- 00:13:03that people can go without nice to have
- 00:13:05but not necessities these sectors tend
- 00:13:08to fluctuate with the natural business
- 00:13:11cycle like I mentioned cyclical um so
- 00:13:13you're going to see things like travel
- 00:13:15companies like Hilton Marriott Delta
- 00:13:17United American Airlines tech Netflix
- 00:13:21Amazon entertainment so Disney Comcast
- 00:13:24luxury retail LVMH Nike you get the idea
- 00:13:27this is stuff people don't need need
- 00:13:30those really do succeed during periods
- 00:13:32of economic boom however during times of
- 00:13:35economic downturn such as a recession
- 00:13:37we're actually going to see consumer
- 00:13:39staples that are nonsyclical outperform
- 00:13:42these sectors do not fluctuate with
- 00:13:44business cycles because people need them
- 00:13:47you can't just spend less things like
- 00:13:49healthcare Fizer Merc financial services
- 00:13:52Bank of America JP Morgan insurance
- 00:13:54companies energy Shell Chevron Kico
- 00:13:57Phillips industrials like Waste
- 00:14:00Management or UPS and FedEx this is
- 00:14:02stuff people very literally will have to
- 00:14:05keep paying for no matter how bad the
- 00:14:07economy gets maybe they'll spend less
- 00:14:10maybe they'll you know do less but
- 00:14:12ultimately these are necessities and
- 00:14:14when I say outperform I don't
- 00:14:17necessarily mean won't ever take a loss
- 00:14:20i mean versus the broader market they'll
- 00:14:22do better so versus a benchmark like the
- 00:14:24S&P 500 they will do better so say if
- 00:14:28the overall stock market only returns 3%
- 00:14:31this year because things are down things
- 00:14:33aren't great based on where we are in
- 00:14:35the economic cycle sectors that are
- 00:14:37predicted to outperform staple companies
- 00:14:39could see five or 6% um maybe if we're
- 00:14:43lucky 8% so they'll outperform that 3%
- 00:14:46but it doesn't necessarily mean that
- 00:14:47they're going to be returning 25% like
- 00:14:49we saw the market return last year the
- 00:14:52real takeaway here the major key is you
- 00:14:54don't need to hit a home run every year
- 00:14:55to be a good investor you need to invest
- 00:14:57for a longer period of time and be
- 00:15:00consistent and even though I did name a
- 00:15:02bunch of companies I wanted to be really
- 00:15:04clear you are more likely to succeed
- 00:15:07investing in baskets of stuff versus
- 00:15:10trying to cherrypick the perfect company
- 00:15:12also if you have a job that's less
- 00:15:14industry focused and more role-based
- 00:15:16such as HR or marketing or sales and you
- 00:15:18could work at any company doing those
- 00:15:20things you might find more stability at
- 00:15:23staples staple companies versus
- 00:15:26discretionary ones over the next few
- 00:15:28months or years just something to keep
- 00:15:30in mind if you're considering changing
- 00:15:32jobs or looking for work support for
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- 00:16:41online at
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- 00:16:47brnen.com get 15% off your first order
- 00:16:50today q&a okay we asked for your guys's
- 00:16:53burning questions about the potential
- 00:16:55recession so we're going to answer a few
- 00:16:57of the top submissions and just in case
- 00:17:01your question doesn't get the answer
- 00:17:02because honestly we had over hundreds of
- 00:17:05submissions for this I want to highlight
- 00:17:07a new tool that I'm building where you
- 00:17:09can ask me and licensed CFPs questions
- 00:17:13without needing to have a half a million
- 00:17:14dollar net worth and hire a financial
- 00:17:16adviser you don't need to be rich to use
- 00:17:18it it's called askdy.com
- 00:17:21as
- 00:17:24sky.com right now we are getting people
- 00:17:26on our weight list and for the first
- 00:17:285,000 folks who sign up you're going to
- 00:17:31be invited to beta test this tool this
- 00:17:34is the thing I would have killed to have
- 00:17:36when I was figuring out my finances so I
- 00:17:39hope you love it and I hope it lets you
- 00:17:40access financial knowledge without an
- 00:17:43insane price tag essentially where I
- 00:17:45came up with the idea was now that I'm
- 00:17:4830 now that I'm a multi-millionaire I
- 00:17:50have people banging down the door dying
- 00:17:53to help me with my money they want to be
- 00:17:55my money manager they want to be my
- 00:17:56financial adviser my CFP they want to be
- 00:17:58a part of my business management team
- 00:18:00great but I don't need your help now i
- 00:18:03needed your help when I was 22 when I
- 00:18:05barely had two nickels to rub together
- 00:18:07when I was waiting for my direct deposit
- 00:18:10from my job to hit at 1201 so I could
- 00:18:13leave the bar and actually pay my bar
- 00:18:15tab it's really frustrating to me
- 00:18:17because getting the status and getting
- 00:18:20the licenses you need to become a
- 00:18:22financial adviser or become a certified
- 00:18:23financial planner is really expensive
- 00:18:26and I want to be really clear people who
- 00:18:28get those jobs and get those licenses
- 00:18:30often spend tens of thousands of dollars
- 00:18:32to do so so they have every right to
- 00:18:34want to make money but that becomes a
- 00:18:36self- selecting problem right so the
- 00:18:38people who can afford to become
- 00:18:40financial adviserss or CFPs will become
- 00:18:43them and then they only want to work
- 00:18:44with clients who can afford to pay them
- 00:18:46a significant chunk of change because
- 00:18:48they've already invested so much upfront
- 00:18:50i at 22 did not have that kind of money
- 00:18:52i did not have hundreds of thousands of
- 00:18:54dollars i barely had tens of thousands
- 00:18:55of dollars heck my first year in
- 00:18:58Manhattan when I had a Wall Street job I
- 00:19:01was living paycheck to paycheck because
- 00:19:02my rent was so expensive i really wish
- 00:19:04there was something and someone I could
- 00:19:06have gone to and asked these financial
- 00:19:07questions and now that's what I am
- 00:19:09trying to build with Ask Dolly i want
- 00:19:11you to be able to go somewhere where you
- 00:19:12can ask questions where you don't need
- 00:19:14to spend an arm and a leg there's going
- 00:19:16to be a free tier there's going to be
- 00:19:17paid tiers if you want to really have
- 00:19:19one-on-one connection but this is a way
- 00:19:22for you to be able to ask your burning
- 00:19:25finance money questions and make sure
- 00:19:26you get an answer in a timely fashion so
- 00:19:30please check it out sign up for the
- 00:19:31weight list
- 00:19:33askdally.com
- 00:19:36askdly.com i can't wait for you guys to
- 00:19:39check it out please let me know what you
- 00:19:40think but back to our submitted
- 00:19:42questions specifically about the
- 00:19:43recession first question based on
- 00:19:46probable volatility do you have
- 00:19:47different approaches for different
- 00:19:48stages of life yes here's my big advice
- 00:19:52you should not be investing the same
- 00:19:54throughout your entire lifetime and it's
- 00:19:57so funny that I'm trying to share this
- 00:19:59pearl of wisdom because my own
- 00:20:0174year-old father will not take my
- 00:20:03advice he is in retirement and 80% of
- 00:20:07his portfolio is still in equities and
- 00:20:10that is a terrible idea because you want
- 00:20:13to make sure that as you get older and
- 00:20:15closer to retirement more of your
- 00:20:17portfolio is focused on wealth
- 00:20:18preservation versus wealth growth when
- 00:20:21you're 20 and you're far away from
- 00:20:23retirement you can afford to be a little
- 00:20:24bit more risky but as you get closer to
- 00:20:26retirement you want to make sure that
- 00:20:28you're actually protecting that money so
- 00:20:30how do you decide what of your portfolio
- 00:20:33should be growth and what of your
- 00:20:34portfolio should be preservation here's
- 00:20:36the quick equation take your age and
- 00:20:38round to the nearest five so something
- 00:20:41that ends in a five or something that
- 00:20:42ends in a zero now that you have that
- 00:20:44number you're going to subtract 10 from
- 00:20:46it that is the percentage of your
- 00:20:49portfolio that should be in bonds
- 00:20:51everything else should be in equities so
- 00:20:55say I'm 42 that rounds to 40 40 - 10 is
- 00:21:0130 30% of my portfolio should be in
- 00:21:05bonds 70% should be in equities however
- 00:21:09if I'm 57 that rounds up to 60 60 minus
- 00:21:1410 half of my portfolio should be in
- 00:21:16bonds the other half should be in stocks
- 00:21:18because essentially as you get older and
- 00:21:20older you want to focus on that
- 00:21:21preservation additionally on this note I
- 00:21:24really encourage you to understand where
- 00:21:25your risks lie because sometimes
- 00:21:29people's portfolios get very heavy on
- 00:21:31one thing without them realizing a big
- 00:21:33risk here is company stock options if
- 00:21:36you hold a ton of your company stock I
- 00:21:38need you to think deeply about is this
- 00:21:40too big of a percentage of my portfolio
- 00:21:42one and two do I actually believe in
- 00:21:44this company because sometimes you may
- 00:21:46want to derisk aka sell a little bit of
- 00:21:49that and then transfer those dollars
- 00:21:51into other investments that make more
- 00:21:53sense for you um but again this is all
- 00:21:55about understanding your own risk
- 00:21:57personal finance is personal there's no
- 00:21:59one-sizefits-all answer but you do want
- 00:22:01to understand what your risks are how
- 00:22:04old you are and how close you are to
- 00:22:05retirement and ultimately what your
- 00:22:07portfolio what those percentages need to
- 00:22:10be next question is what's the main
- 00:22:12purpose behind the Trump tariffs what's
- 00:22:14his actual goal so let's be clear
- 00:22:17technically the stated goal is to boost
- 00:22:21US manufacturing and protect jobs
- 00:22:23raising tax revenue and growing the
- 00:22:25domestic economy trump said that he also
- 00:22:27wants to restore America's trade balance
- 00:22:29with its foreign partners essentially
- 00:22:32reducing the gap that exists between how
- 00:22:35much the US is importing versus how much
- 00:22:38we're exporting to those partner
- 00:22:40countries in theory this is great but in
- 00:22:43practice what we really understand is
- 00:22:46that these tariffs are going to make
- 00:22:47things more expensive here at home
- 00:22:50because we pay the tariffs not those
- 00:22:52foreign countries we already know what
- 00:22:55prices look like in the grocery store
- 00:22:56we're going to start seeing that across
- 00:22:58the board and I do worry about the cost
- 00:23:00of living rising very quickly and
- 00:23:02hitting lower or medium incomes hardest
- 00:23:05the bigger issue I think though is the
- 00:23:07on andoff switch one day they're on one
- 00:23:09day they're off this is absolutely going
- 00:23:12to shortcircuit the supply chain
- 00:23:14manufacturers are typically able to
- 00:23:16roughly estimate how much of something
- 00:23:18they've they have to make and they
- 00:23:20employ that many people buy that many
- 00:23:23machines buy that much raw material to
- 00:23:26be able to create that much stuff but
- 00:23:28the problem with the on and off again
- 00:23:30switch I'm trying to do a light switch
- 00:23:32here if you're watching on video there
- 00:23:34isn't enough time given to these
- 00:23:37countries and these industries to
- 00:23:40recalibrate so at some point
- 00:23:42manufacturers might make too much stuff
- 00:23:44and that's a bummer because things are
- 00:23:46probably going to go to waste but then
- 00:23:48at other times they might not make
- 00:23:50enough and that's going to lead to a
- 00:23:52very terrifying picture do you remember
- 00:23:55the empty shelves you saw when CO was
- 00:23:59officially announced and everybody was
- 00:24:00raiding their grocery stores like we
- 00:24:02were just buying whatever you could get
- 00:24:03your hands on we are going to see empty
- 00:24:05shelves and higher prices because if
- 00:24:07you're used to buying Greek yogurt and
- 00:24:09so are other grocery shoppers and so is
- 00:24:11the breakfast cafe down the street and
- 00:24:13so is the smoothie joint on the block
- 00:24:15but suddenly there are now half as many
- 00:24:18containers of Greek yogurt you're all
- 00:24:20now fighting over less supply you're
- 00:24:23going to pay more and there's just going
- 00:24:25to be less to go around ultimately it's
- 00:24:28hard to officially say where this is
- 00:24:29going to go because it does feel like
- 00:24:31those headlines change daytoday but
- 00:24:34whatever this is the flip-flopping is
- 00:24:36going to hurt consumers next question
- 00:24:39what are the chances all of my money
- 00:24:41just poof disappears let's be clear very
- 00:24:45low but admittedly not zero that said if
- 00:24:50we get to that point you're not going to
- 00:24:52need to worry about money money is not
- 00:24:53going to have any like value or meaning
- 00:24:56you are going to need to be worrying
- 00:24:57about survival frankly the odds of all
- 00:25:01of that going to zero are so low i as
- 00:25:04someone who you know has a healthy
- 00:25:07amount of disdain and mistrust for our
- 00:25:10government I'm still continuing to pile
- 00:25:13money into the stock market if there's
- 00:25:15anyone who should be worried it's people
- 00:25:16who have a lot invested and I certainly
- 00:25:18do so I wouldn't let that keep you up at
- 00:25:20night another great question i've never
- 00:25:23invested is a bad time to start right
- 00:25:25now no market downturns are actually a
- 00:25:28great time to consider investing but the
- 00:25:30simplest advice I can give you is the
- 00:25:32best day to start investing was
- 00:25:34yesterday and the second best day is
- 00:25:37today time in the market will beat
- 00:25:39timing the market every time so
- 00:25:43essentially time in the market aka how
- 00:25:45long you invest for will be timing aka
- 00:25:47trying to find the perfect entry point
- 00:25:49every time because you are just never
- 00:25:52going to find the perfect entry point
- 00:25:54hindsight's always going to be 2020 but
- 00:25:56if you wait too long to get involved you
- 00:25:58might miss out on all of that compound
- 00:26:00interest over time and last but not
- 00:26:02least do you think the FDI will be
- 00:26:06dismantled okay so here's another really
- 00:26:08great scary headline meant to be scary
- 00:26:11to get clicks but there is a real story
- 00:26:13here and this has more to do with saving
- 00:26:16and your banking versus investing but
- 00:26:19first off let's cover what is the FDIC
- 00:26:21it's essentially insurance for your
- 00:26:23money in the bank think about it like a
- 00:26:26a co-signer when you were 22 and you had
- 00:26:28$4 to your name your parents had to
- 00:26:31co-sign on your rental agreement to
- 00:26:34basically promise okay if our kid is
- 00:26:37irresponsible and can't make rent we are
- 00:26:39still going to make sure that the
- 00:26:40landlord gets paid the landlord wanted
- 00:26:43an insurance policy against you the FDI
- 00:26:46does that but for banks so back during
- 00:26:48the Great Depression when 9 million
- 00:26:51Americans had their entire life savings
- 00:26:53wiped out uh there was a lot of fear and
- 00:26:57the FDI was created to maintain public
- 00:27:00confidence in the US financial system
- 00:27:03the US did not want people to stop using
- 00:27:06banks and their main strategy to ensure
- 00:27:08that your money in your bank account was
- 00:27:10safe even if the bank itself went belly
- 00:27:12up was to enact the
- 00:27:15FDIC so you deposit up to $250,000 your
- 00:27:19bank goes belly up the FDI makes sure
- 00:27:22that you get your cash back but lately
- 00:27:24there's been a lot of headlines about
- 00:27:26Trump wanting to get rid of the FDI
- 00:27:29entirely but I'm going to be real the
- 00:27:31actual news is a lot more mild it's
- 00:27:35unlikely that the government agency is
- 00:27:38going to go away entirely but the FDIC's
- 00:27:41regulatory role could get combined with
- 00:27:44the office of the controller of the
- 00:27:47currency the OC it's a division of the
- 00:27:50Treasury and while it is likely that the
- 00:27:54FDIC may see a roll back on what they
- 00:27:56can regulate the actual insurance piece
- 00:27:59is unlikely to go away and I say all of
- 00:28:02this to preface i'm not going to start
- 00:28:04stuffing cash under my mattress it's not
- 00:28:06smart you could lose it if something
- 00:28:08happens to your house and it's honestly
- 00:28:10just going to be eaten away by inflation
- 00:28:13you're going to be way better off again
- 00:28:15putting that money in an FDIC insured
- 00:28:17high yield savings account so you can
- 00:28:18earn money on your nest egg on your
- 00:28:21savings on your emergency fund and
- 00:28:24please let this be the takeaway for this
- 00:28:26episode don't let the headlines distract
- 00:28:28you stay the course ultimately I want to
- 00:28:32be clear it is not wrong to feel how
- 00:28:36you're feeling recession is a very scary
- 00:28:38word it sounds negative and honestly
- 00:28:41when we in particular millennials or
- 00:28:44folks around my age we've seen so many
- 00:28:47major downturns in our lifetime already
- 00:28:50this can feel bone chilling it can feel
- 00:28:52like a chance for us to be laid off
- 00:28:53again or set back just as soon as we're
- 00:28:56trying to get our financial footing
- 00:28:58underneath us but ultimately recessions
- 00:29:00are a normal part of the economic cycle
- 00:29:03there are things you can do to really
- 00:29:04set yourself up for success and last but
- 00:29:07not least it's important to remember
- 00:29:09that they end ultimately recessions lead
- 00:29:12to expansion periods where there will be
- 00:29:15the good boom times again I don't want
- 00:29:18everybody to freak out making rash
- 00:29:20decisions pulling your money out of
- 00:29:21investing is going to set you back a lot
- 00:29:24more than frankly just riding the
- 00:29:26recession will so please if you take
- 00:29:29anything away take a breath don't freak
- 00:29:31out don't spiral a recession is scary
- 00:29:34but we're all going to get through it
- 00:29:35continue to stay the course continue to
- 00:29:38responsibly spend save your money budget
- 00:29:41and also invest you will be fine for the
- 00:29:44future i hope you enjoyed this week's
- 00:29:46episode i'm so grateful to be able to
- 00:29:48talk to you and answer some of your
- 00:29:49questions and don't forget to check out
- 00:29:52askdy.com if you want to ask me more
- 00:29:54questions as always I'm so grateful for
- 00:29:57your friendship i'm so grateful for your
- 00:29:58attention and I'll catch you guys next
- 00:30:00week bye support for this show comes
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- 00:30:45today thanks for tuning in to this
- 00:30:47week's episode of Network and Chill part
- 00:30:49of the Vox Media Podcast Network if you
- 00:30:51like the episode make sure to leave a
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- 00:30:55never miss an episode got a burning
- 00:30:57financial question that you want covered
- 00:30:59in a future episode write to us via
- 00:31:01podcast
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