AI Stole My Job, and That's Great News for Our Future | Jacob Rangel | TEDxFolsom

00:15:40
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EXhqaPjrrQA

摘要

TLDRTalen udforsker AI's transformative indflydelse på menneskeheden, fra jobtab til hastigheden af teknologisk udvikling. Talerens rejse fra copywriter til AI-iværksætter illustrerer, hvordan AI ændrer vores liv. Der præsenteres tre kritiske dimensioner: displacement, hvor mange vil miste deres job; weaponization, hvor AI kan bruges til skadelige formål; og speed, som beskriver den hurtige udvikling af AI-teknologier. Løsninger foreslås, herunder oprettelse af et globalt AI-alignment råd og investering i menneskelig udvikling for at imødegå de udfordringer, AI medfører. Talen afsluttes med en opfordring til at bevare menneskelig forbindelse i en teknologisk verden.

心得

  • 🧠 AI ændrer vores liv og samfund.
  • 💼 40% af job kan blive påvirket af AI.
  • ⚔️ AI kan bruges til våbenisering og misinformation.
  • ⏩ Hastigheden af AI-udvikling er alarmerende.
  • 🌍 Vi har brug for et globalt AI-alignment råd.
  • 📚 Investering i menneskelig udvikling er afgørende.
  • 👥 Menneskelig forbindelse er den vigtigste teknologi.
  • 🚀 Der er 97 millioner nye job på vej.
  • 🤝 Vi skal bruge AI til at forbinde os, ikke adskille os.
  • 🎨 Fremtiden for kreativitet er lys med AI.

时间轴

  • 00:00:00 - 00:05:00

    I denne introduktion reflekterer taleren over, hvordan menneskeheden har været drevet af nysgerrighed, og hvordan AI nu lover at besvare vores spørgsmål og opfylde vores drømme. Taleren nævner, hvordan AI har ændret måden, vi skaber indhold på, og hvordan det har transformeret vores liv på kort tid. Han deler sin egen rejse ind i AI-verdenen og introducerer sin app, Prompt Crafter, som kombinerer tekst- og billedgenerering. Men han advarer også om, at vi skal overveje omkostningerne ved denne teknologi, da den kan have dybe konsekvenser for samfundet.

  • 00:05:00 - 00:10:00

    Taleren fortsætter med at diskutere de potentielle omkostninger ved AI, herunder jobtab og behovet for at genuddanne arbejdsstyrken. Han nævner, at op til 40% af job kan blive påvirket af AI, og giver eksempler på, hvordan teknologien kan føre til jobtab i filmindustrien. Han bruger myten om Odin for at illustrere, at vi ikke kender prisen for den viden, AI bringer, og advarer om, at vi skal være opmærksomme på de tegn, der indikerer, hvad denne pris kan være.

  • 00:10:00 - 00:15:40

    I den afsluttende del præsenterer taleren løsninger på de udfordringer, AI medfører, herunder behovet for en global AI-alignment råd og investering i menneskelig kapital. Han fremhæver Singapore som et eksempel på et land, der investerer i genuddannelse, og opfordrer til, at vi også skal investere i os selv. Taleren afslutter med en optimistisk bemærkning om, at der vil være nye jobmuligheder og medicinske gennembrud, men understreger vigtigheden af at bevare menneskelig forbindelse i en tid med hurtig teknologisk udvikling.

思维导图

视频问答

  • Hvad er de tre kritiske dimensioner af AI's indflydelse?

    Displacement, weaponization og speed.

  • Hvordan påvirker AI jobmarkedet?

    AI forventes at påvirke 40% af alle job, hvilket kan føre til betydelig arbejdsløshed.

  • Hvad er en potentiel løsning på AI's udfordringer?

    Oprettelse af et globalt AI-alignment råd for at regulere og overvåge AI-udvikling.

  • Hvad er 'prompt crafter'?

    En app udviklet af taleren, der bruger AI til tekst- og billedgenerering.

  • Hvordan kan vi investere i menneskelig udvikling?

    Ved at støtte reskilling programmer og skabe dynamiske arbejdspladser for unge og ældre.

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  • 00:00:07
    we used to chase dragons now we Chase
  • 00:00:11
    algorithms and uh you know since the
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    dawn of
  • 00:00:15
    Consciousness we've been driven by our
  • 00:00:18
    curiosity now ai promises to answer all
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    of our questions make all our dreams
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    come true and it's not even off to a bad
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    start I've seen things you people
  • 00:00:28
    wouldn't believe AI generated worlds so
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    immersive and intricate that they erased
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    the lines of
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    reality models that can compose
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    Symphonies and novels so rich and
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    profound they capture the essence of
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    what it is to be
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    human all these creations will be lost
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    like lines of code on a corrupted hard I
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    can't I didn't write this opening in my
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    defense
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    I had one of my assistants Do It um
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    they're AI of
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    course you didn't expect me to write
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    this from scratch I
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    mean that's what's Wild is that uh 18
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    months ago I would be writing all this
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    stuff from scratch and I wouldn't have
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    any you know virtual writer room of
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    assistance and great minds that are uh
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    in these llms to help me um and that's
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    how fast things change
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    that's how fast we
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    change because the story of artificial
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    intelligence isn't just about the rise
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    of intelligent
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    machines it's about the transformation
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    of humanity itself and that story starts
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    today I'm an AI Explorer and I want to
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    share my perspective my journey my
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    concerns and my hopes how we might
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    navigate the future
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    ahead so let's wind the clocks back to
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    November 30th 2022 chat GPT comes out it
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    hits the world like a juggernaut you can
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    feel it
  • 00:02:06
    shake and every other report on TV ends
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    with the person saying and this segment
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    was written by chat
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    gbt that got annoying fast but designers
  • 00:02:19
    and entrepreneurs could generate code to
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    build the apps that they could never do
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    before with the help of the
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    llms and throughout the land you can
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    almost hear a collective have relief of
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    high school students everywhere who had
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    to help me write this
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    button boy did we miss
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    out I think like I could have really
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    used a algebra tutor to be honest and it
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    would have never got sick of my
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    questions so all this stuff happens and
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    it's displacement and at the time I was
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    working uh at a startup and as a
  • 00:02:54
    copywriter I thought I should really
  • 00:02:56
    learn this AI
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    stuff two weeks after chat came out I
  • 00:03:00
    was let go of my
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    job and as an ex copywriter I thought I
  • 00:03:05
    should really learn this AI
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    stuff so I did I I dove in head first
  • 00:03:11
    and swam deep and within four months me
  • 00:03:13
    and a co-founder released an app named
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    prompt crafter uh it was great it uh
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    could do text generation it was so fun
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    to play this new tech uh it also could
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    do pictures so it was multimodal
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    multimodal what's that I don't want to
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    bore you with the brilliant detail but
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    uh it could do pictures and text one app
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    it was a novel for the time and
  • 00:03:37
    uh this is the first uh image it
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    actually
  • 00:03:41
    created that's for sure going to end up
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    in the animals of History I just I just
  • 00:03:44
    feel
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    it uh so at the time like everyone's
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    doing this right we're all jumping in
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    we're playing with the stuff and and I'm
  • 00:03:52
    just one of millions of people they're
  • 00:03:55
    playing with and pushing this technology
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    every day and
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    that's great but as we Marvel at these
  • 00:04:02
    wonders we must also consider the cost
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    we must also consider how it's reshaping
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    things in Norse
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    mythology there's a story of
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    Odin you you may heard of his sons Loki
  • 00:04:18
    and Thor but it it all started with Odin
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    and you know he was just a man and he he
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    wanted to know everything about the
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    universe and he heard that there was a
  • 00:04:27
    guy out in the Land of the Giants named
  • 00:04:30
    mirror so he went and he he sought him
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    out and he found the cave and when he
  • 00:04:36
    went in he saw this old man with a white
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    beard sitting in front of this great
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    pool of water and he asked
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    him I want to know everything mamir
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    teach me what do I have to do he says
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    you have to drink from the pool of water
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    but first you must pay the price and he
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    said what's
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    that take out one of your eyes and place
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    it in the
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    pool so Odin did
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    and he uh put his eyee and put in the
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    water and was floating up looking at him
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    and he drank from the the pool and he
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    gained all Cosmic knowledge and he saw
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    farther with one eye than he ever did
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    with
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    two and I think that is a story of
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    humanity and
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    AI right now except there's one big
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    difference is that we don't yet know the
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    price so if you're paying attention
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    there's actually signs of what these
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    price could be of what the cost could be
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    um and I think it's emerging in three
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    critical Dimensions displacement is the
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    first one so what's displacement okay
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    people are going to lose jobs and have
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    to Res skill um I think it's the IMF the
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    international monetary fund they predict
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    that 40% of all jobs will be affected
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    that's a lot let's say they're wrong by
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    half and it's only 20% still look around
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    that means almost one of every four of
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    us is going to be unemployed or looking
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    for work in the next 10
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    years and it's not always obvious that
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    AI Bots are directly taking jobs
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    sometimes it's more
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    subversive uh case in point Tyler Perry
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    he has a a huge film studio out in
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    Atlanta 12 sound stages it's bigger than
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    Warner Brothers and uh he was just about
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    ready to pull the trigger on a $800
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    million
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    expansion and um when he saw this new
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    technology come out it was a text to
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    video engine named Sora s o r a if you
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    haven't seen it put it in your notes to
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    go home tonight watch the Youtube demo
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    it's about 10 minutes of a handful of e
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    clipse but it'll show you what he saw
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    which is this is where the technology is
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    now and it almost looks Hollywood level
  • 00:06:47
    quality if he wants to have a a snowy
  • 00:06:49
    Cabin in the Woods he can just type
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    it but it's not just about all the jobs
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    that were lost on the expansion think
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    about all the food that'll never be
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    served by Craft Services all the
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    Carpenters and Craftsman that will never
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    raise a hammer or the grips or lighter
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    lighting people that will never bring in
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    stuff all those jobs carved out with one
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    decision because of one product so I
  • 00:07:12
    think that puts it in
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    perspective moving on to the next
  • 00:07:15
    potential critical thing we have to
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    worry about is
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    weaponization now we've already seen
  • 00:07:20
    what disinformation campaigns can do uh
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    and divide us and now there's voice
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    cloning technology where you could think
  • 00:07:29
    you're talking to a loved one but it
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    could be puppeteered by a criminal
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    organization a cousin you haven't heard
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    of from a long time he calls you up it
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    sounds just like him and it only takes
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    about 30 seconds of recorded audio right
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    now to clone a voice with pretty good
  • 00:07:45
    accuracy and it's not just the virtual
  • 00:07:48
    dimensions of
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    weaponization it's also the
  • 00:07:53
    physical right now uh the US Marine
  • 00:07:56
    Corps is testing and training alongside
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    robot
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    dogs with Armament strapped to their
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    back that's no joke that's really
  • 00:08:04
    happening and in uh Southern California
  • 00:08:06
    there's a defense Tech startup named
  • 00:08:09
    andural and they have this cool
  • 00:08:11
    technology or kind of scary but it's
  • 00:08:13
    called lattice and what lattice does is
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    it corresponds with all of their
  • 00:08:18
    Hardware out in the field so autonomous
  • 00:08:20
    drones submarines surveillance towers
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    and Soldiers with the equipment and the
  • 00:08:25
    sensors they have and it's able to
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    ingest all these data streams in real
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    time and essentially play the
  • 00:08:31
    battlefield like 3D
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    chess have you noticed a
  • 00:08:39
    pattern whatever this Tech
  • 00:08:42
    touches becomes more Nimble more
  • 00:08:45
    intelligent more
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    efficient all while accelerating its own
  • 00:08:51
    self-development so
  • 00:08:53
    speed might be the most alarming out of
  • 00:08:56
    all these Dimensions these critical
  • 00:08:57
    Dimensions because it accelerates the
  • 00:09:00
    first
  • 00:09:02
    two AI is going so fast it's
  • 00:09:07
    scarious I know I had to create my own
  • 00:09:09
    word to describe the velocity of this
  • 00:09:11
    thing it's really that
  • 00:09:15
    fast and let's look at the hardware so
  • 00:09:18
    on the hardware side this is Mo's law
  • 00:09:20
    every two years let's say the number of
  • 00:09:22
    transistors on a chip will
  • 00:09:23
    double so that's not how AI works though
  • 00:09:26
    AI uses compute so compute is graphic
  • 00:09:28
    processing units they're just stacked up
  • 00:09:30
    in the cloud and they're doing heavy
  • 00:09:33
    heavy crunching almost like Bitcoin
  • 00:09:34
    mining same thing using that same
  • 00:09:37
    technology but it's accelerating at a
  • 00:09:39
    rate of 10x every six months since
  • 00:09:42
    November when Chachi BT came out back in
  • 00:09:45
    2022 and if you've lived like most of us
  • 00:09:48
    have through the mors law phase that's
  • 00:09:50
    felt pretty fast I think but now we're
  • 00:09:54
    on to another whole level it leaves
  • 00:09:56
    Mor's law in the
  • 00:09:57
    dust so we got displacement
  • 00:09:59
    weaponization and
  • 00:10:01
    speed and it's not like trying to hit a
  • 00:10:04
    moving Target it's like trying to aim at
  • 00:10:05
    a
  • 00:10:12
    blur got
  • 00:10:18
    heavy let's go to my special
  • 00:10:22
    place let's all take a collective breath
  • 00:10:26
    one two 3
  • 00:10:33
    all right now let's talk
  • 00:10:39
    Solutions I think the first thing is we
  • 00:10:41
    need a global AI alignment
  • 00:10:44
    Council so what does that look like um
  • 00:10:47
    well the atomic energy commission
  • 00:10:48
    regulates nuclear energy so we need
  • 00:10:51
    something that's the same level as same
  • 00:10:53
    level of
  • 00:10:54
    vigilance because I believe when AI gets
  • 00:10:57
    smarter could be 5 years five months
  • 00:11:00
    maybe 10 years when it gets smarter it's
  • 00:11:03
    going to be the equivalent of meeting an
  • 00:11:04
    alien
  • 00:11:07
    species and we don't know how aliens
  • 00:11:09
    think so we need a global Force that's
  • 00:11:13
    funded that's
  • 00:11:14
    coordinated and that's full of experts
  • 00:11:17
    that are AI researchers that are pushing
  • 00:11:19
    the bounds of trying to understand
  • 00:11:21
    abstract threat Theory because the way
  • 00:11:24
    that this will attack us if it does we
  • 00:11:27
    won't understand it that's how high
  • 00:11:29
    level it is it might take us years to
  • 00:11:31
    see the long game it's playing so we
  • 00:11:33
    need to have a body of people that are
  • 00:11:35
    coordinated and informed the best Minds
  • 00:11:38
    in the world working to protect us
  • 00:11:41
    Watchers on the
  • 00:11:44
    wall that's one solution the next one is
  • 00:11:48
    hi
  • 00:11:50
    hi human investment
  • 00:11:54
    initiative so there's going to be a big
  • 00:11:56
    displacement a lot of jobs going away
  • 00:11:59
    what are we going to do I think we need
  • 00:12:01
    to invest in ourselves like never before
  • 00:12:05
    Singapore has already taken the lead on
  • 00:12:07
    this and their prime minister has agreed
  • 00:12:09
    to put a billion
  • 00:12:12
    dollars behind their reskilling program
  • 00:12:15
    if you're 40 or
  • 00:12:17
    above then you can get a free ride and
  • 00:12:20
    go back to
  • 00:12:20
    school and they're doing this cool thing
  • 00:12:22
    where they're mixing the cohorts they
  • 00:12:24
    want old and young working together the
  • 00:12:27
    wisdom and experience life experience of
  • 00:12:29
    the older people working next to the
  • 00:12:31
    Fearless embracement Tech of the young
  • 00:12:34
    which would create a dynamic
  • 00:12:35
    Workforce and we need to do the same
  • 00:12:38
    thing the Department of Defense their
  • 00:12:41
    budget is bloated and it's unfocused why
  • 00:12:43
    not peel off like a 100 billion a year
  • 00:12:45
    to reinvest in ourselves
  • 00:12:48
    because if uh 40% of the population
  • 00:12:52
    being unemployed or displaced isn't a
  • 00:12:55
    national security concern I don't know
  • 00:12:56
    what is
  • 00:13:03
    so these threats are out there but we
  • 00:13:05
    have Solutions there's things we can
  • 00:13:07
    do the good news is the world economic
  • 00:13:11
    Forum says there's 97 million new jobs
  • 00:13:13
    coming so that's cool and that's going
  • 00:13:16
    to help us get started just by 2025 to
  • 00:13:18
    be clear so that's happening right now
  • 00:13:21
    but that's even more reason why we need
  • 00:13:23
    to Res skill and get people back into
  • 00:13:25
    the
  • 00:13:26
    workforce and get them reskilled right
  • 00:13:28
    now so let's let's invest in
  • 00:13:30
    them and I think this signals a really
  • 00:13:33
    positive movement those 97 million job
  • 00:13:36
    figure because we're about to enter the
  • 00:13:39
    most abundant time in human history
  • 00:13:42
    there will be money for reskilling there
  • 00:13:44
    will be money for oversight there will
  • 00:13:46
    be medical breakthroughs that can extend
  • 00:13:48
    our lives by decades
  • 00:13:50
    more and things are going to get
  • 00:13:52
    wonderfully
  • 00:13:54
    weird you want to write and direct your
  • 00:13:58
    own tent pole movie type the words you
  • 00:14:01
    want to talk to animals would you like
  • 00:14:03
    that to be a voice or
  • 00:14:05
    chat you want to download your dream
  • 00:14:08
    from last night and play it like a video
  • 00:14:09
    game grab the controller we're about to
  • 00:14:12
    enter one of the most fun amazing
  • 00:14:14
    creative periods we've ever
  • 00:14:17
    seen but we can't let AI
  • 00:14:20
    become
  • 00:14:22
    everything and in fact I think we have a
  • 00:14:26
    big job to do
  • 00:14:30
    it's on us to unplug to
  • 00:14:31
    connect as great as these tools
  • 00:14:35
    are we can't fall into the same traps we
  • 00:14:37
    have
  • 00:14:39
    before we can't let this amazing Tech
  • 00:14:42
    divide us like social media has to push
  • 00:14:44
    us
  • 00:14:45
    apart we each have a personal
  • 00:14:48
    responsibility and how we act and how we
  • 00:14:50
    incorporate this technology into our own
  • 00:14:52
    lives so be ruthless on how you set your
  • 00:14:57
    boundaries because the one thing we
  • 00:14:59
    cannot do is let this technology drive
  • 00:15:02
    us further
  • 00:15:03
    apart from where we are right
  • 00:15:06
    now I actually believe it has the power
  • 00:15:08
    to bring us together like never
  • 00:15:11
    before because we have a
  • 00:15:13
    responsibility to not
  • 00:15:15
    forget the most important technology the
  • 00:15:19
    most ancient and sacred
  • 00:15:21
    technology and that is human connection
  • 00:15:35
    [Applause]
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