2025 Bitcoin Bull Run Top Scenario (Altcoin Season Finale)

00:08:15
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K1di1xUz4Wc

摘要

TLDRThe video discusses upcoming trends in the cryptocurrency market, focusing on significant altcoins like XRP and Solana as leaders in 2025, potentially outpacing Ethereum, which might face challenges due to institutional dominance. The speaker predicts the bull run's peak by April 1st, 2025, suggesting an intricate relationship between Bitcoin and altcoin cycles. Institutions may influence Ethereum's trajectory, disadvantaging retail investors. The analysis emphasizes understanding market cycles and timelines, particularly observations from December to January trends, to navigate potential market behaviors more effectively, rather than solely relying on price metrics.

心得

  • 📈 Predicted peak of bull run by April 1st, 2025.
  • 🚀 XRP and Solana seen as leading altcoins in the upcoming market.
  • 🔮 AI integration is expected to influence altcoin platforms.
  • 📉 Ethereum may struggle due to institutional dominance, affecting retail investors.
  • 📊 Importance of focusing on market cycles and timelines, not just price.
  • 🔍 Historic December to January trends offer predictive insights.
  • 🏦 Institutions may use their influence to disrupt Ethereum's retail value.
  • 📉 Potential bear market could start post-altcoin peak if Bitcoin doesn't hit a new high.
  • ⚠️ Caution advised for those holding Ethereum in the current cycle.
  • 📊 Observing pattern shifts could inform strategic investment decisions.

时间轴

  • 00:00:00 - 00:08:15

    The discussion revolves around predictions for the cryptocurrency market in Q4 2025, suggesting platforms like XRP and Solana might lead. There is speculation on the altcoins and Bitcoin market cycles, highlighting that altcoins could potentially offset Bitcoin's market cap if it doesn't hit another all-time high, creating new dynamics within market cycles. The discussion includes personal insights and predictions about Ethereum's future with institutions likely influencing its volatility and market positioning. There is a potential shift expected in the Ethereum market due to institutional control, though there's still some inherent value with its adoption in the next Bull Run. Additionally, there are insights shared on market patterns, emphasizing the importance of recognizing them early for better forecast accuracy regarding market movements, particularly focusing on a potential rise in crypto assets between December and January.

思维导图

视频问答

  • What cryptocurrencies were highlighted as leading in 2025?

    XRP and Solana were highlighted as leading cryptocurrencies for 2025.

  • What is the expected timeframe for the bull run mentioned?

    The bull run is expected to last until April 1st, 2025.

  • How does the speaker view Ethereum's future?

    The speaker is skeptical about Ethereum's future in retail markets, anticipating it may be overshadowed by institutional interests.

  • What role do cycles and timelines play in cryptocurrency predictions here?

    Cycles and timelines are emphasized as more critical than solely focusing on prices, especially observing patterns from past December to January trends.

  • How might institutional adoption affect Ethereum?

    Institutional adoption might inflate Ethereum's value temporarily, but it could marginalize retail investors.

  • Is there a prediction for Bitcoin's all-time high in this discussion?

    The discussion contemplates a scenario where Bitcoin might not reach a new all-time high, though altcoins might push total market cap higher.

  • What is the speaker's opinion on holding Ethereum?

    The speaker suggests caution in holding Ethereum, particularly for retail investors, due to potential institutional impact.

  • What could indicate the start of a bear market according to the speaker?

    A bear market might begin after the altcoin season peaks, especially if Bitcoin doesn't set a new all-time high.

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  • 00:00:00
    do we see alt top in Q4 2025 I I think
  • 00:00:03
    so I I I do think that's what we're
  • 00:00:04
    going to see I think we're to see xrp s
  • 00:00:06
    and salana just lead
  • 00:00:10
    everything I'm not
  • 00:00:13
    AER these are more viable platforms than
  • 00:00:15
    have been in the past the these are
  • 00:00:17
    things that people are using and
  • 00:00:18
    especially when the AI gets going and
  • 00:00:20
    look I'm I'm kind of out on fetch right
  • 00:00:22
    now I I'm liking I um well I like ICP
  • 00:00:25
    but pal and near those are two lir W AI
  • 00:00:30
    blockchains so you should definitely go
  • 00:00:33
    look into those so still set for April
  • 00:00:35
    1st for the end of the bull run I think
  • 00:00:38
    the top of the bull run because and look
  • 00:00:41
    it's going to be really interesting what
  • 00:00:42
    happens if we let's say we hit 140k and
  • 00:00:45
    then we hit
  • 00:00:46
    1399 on the second runup and we don't
  • 00:00:50
    you know we would call it a double top
  • 00:00:52
    but technically that would mean that the
  • 00:00:53
    bare Market would start at the peak but
  • 00:00:57
    I I think pretty much people would still
  • 00:00:59
    look at especially if all and this is
  • 00:01:01
    what could make things really
  • 00:01:02
    interesting Max anan's point which is if
  • 00:01:06
    Bitcoin doesn't reach another all-time
  • 00:01:09
    high but
  • 00:01:11
    altcoins make the total market cap get
  • 00:01:14
    to another all-time high that would kind
  • 00:01:16
    of offset things and we'd have a hard
  • 00:01:18
    time talking about it we'd have to say
  • 00:01:19
    that the the bare Market began after the
  • 00:01:21
    altcoin season but if Bitcoin doesn't
  • 00:01:23
    get close right we would actually start
  • 00:01:26
    looking at potentially two different
  • 00:01:27
    kinds of waves for altcoins and Bitcoin
  • 00:01:29
    in these Cycles potentially which would
  • 00:01:31
    make sense uh eventually oh what's up
  • 00:01:34
    Doug good to see you good to see
  • 00:01:35
    everybody guys smash the like button
  • 00:01:36
    number one thing you can do smash like
  • 00:01:38
    button oh by the way Doug he's uh I got
  • 00:01:41
    him in my corner he's coming out to
  • 00:01:42
    Dubai for the oh nice so we'll see him
  • 00:01:44
    again yeah nice I got uh I got my cut
  • 00:01:47
    guy my cut guy who's a very special cut
  • 00:01:50
    guy who's G he made my mouthpiece and
  • 00:01:53
    hook me up with the guy that made
  • 00:01:55
    my I'll just call it my Sultan wear
  • 00:01:58
    that's what I'll call it hell yeah but
  • 00:01:59
    anyways uh he's going to be in my corner
  • 00:02:01
    he's a really good cut guy and he says
  • 00:02:03
    when you're fighting a tall guy you want
  • 00:02:04
    to make sure you got one and see how
  • 00:02:05
    important a cut guy is oh you saw in the
  • 00:02:08
    fight the the girl fight oh my gosh oh
  • 00:02:10
    my God he best job ever I mean that was
  • 00:02:12
    an amazing job that guy did just just
  • 00:02:14
    such a shame that she lost when she
  • 00:02:16
    really won that fight by every you know
  • 00:02:18
    barometer more punches thrown landed
  • 00:02:20
    power all that stuff it was a clear and
  • 00:02:22
    all her bleeding was from headbutts
  • 00:02:24
    right so come on guys anyways that was a
  • 00:02:26
    very embarrassing job in that by the
  • 00:02:28
    judges in that fight I believe but that
  • 00:02:30
    whole thing that whole thing was a
  • 00:02:31
    disaster but it show it showed you how
  • 00:02:34
    important a cut guy is and then Tyron
  • 00:02:36
    Woodley tyron's goingon to be in my
  • 00:02:37
    corner boom so oh my guy my guy t-wood
  • 00:02:41
    3.36 tril oh man that's a nice number to
  • 00:02:44
    see man that's a good number that's a
  • 00:02:46
    great number wow 24-hour volume $300
  • 00:02:51
    billion big Dominus 57.2 e dominance
  • 00:02:54
    11.9 that eat the sliding eat the
  • 00:02:56
    sliding ether sliding eat done uh those
  • 00:02:59
    in mark my words those institutions they
  • 00:03:03
    are going to just pillage you all that
  • 00:03:07
    hold on to E through the cycle they're
  • 00:03:09
    they're just going to pound you and
  • 00:03:11
    destroy you and make you feel like
  • 00:03:14
    you're just so dumb for holding a theum
  • 00:03:16
    when everybody else is making money in
  • 00:03:18
    every coin even Bitcoin is crushing you
  • 00:03:20
    I'm looking at you what what's my guy
  • 00:03:23
    with the glasses name Ryan Sean Adams
  • 00:03:24
    I'm looking at you I'm looking at you to
  • 00:03:26
    built your you guys that built your
  • 00:03:27
    entire Empire on E you need to start
  • 00:03:29
    moving over to something unless y'all
  • 00:03:30
    want to be like I don't know the
  • 00:03:33
    institutional the the the podcast that
  • 00:03:36
    hedge fund guys listen to I guess I
  • 00:03:39
    don't know but that's a good audience
  • 00:03:42
    there you go but that's all it's going
  • 00:03:43
    to be there because the retail people
  • 00:03:45
    are out completely out on ethereum I
  • 00:03:47
    have a really hard time with coins are
  • 00:03:48
    on ethereum figuring out you know I
  • 00:03:50
    think you got to move you got to get off
  • 00:03:52
    there it's a sinking chip for uh if if
  • 00:03:55
    you're not Enterprise or institution
  • 00:03:57
    Enterprise or institution they've got
  • 00:03:58
    their Niche carved they've got their ETF
  • 00:04:00
    now Franklin Templeton just got their
  • 00:04:03
    Bitcoin ethereum ETF they got that
  • 00:04:06
    pushed until 2025 now when we'll get an
  • 00:04:08
    answer on that potentially so that's
  • 00:04:11
    that sounds good right like oh it's
  • 00:04:12
    great for eth right right do do y not
  • 00:04:16
    they're doing it again they do it every
  • 00:04:18
    time this is what trafi does and they're
  • 00:04:21
    going to do it again to ethereum and
  • 00:04:23
    there's no doubt I just I man I I think
  • 00:04:27
    there is still some value in and holding
  • 00:04:30
    some ethereum because of the
  • 00:04:33
    institutional adoption it certainly in
  • 00:04:35
    the next Bull Run could potentially
  • 00:04:38
    could potentially rip again who knows it
  • 00:04:41
    by that point it's use case will be
  • 00:04:42
    fully realized nobody will be thinking
  • 00:04:43
    this is a thing we do nfts on anymore
  • 00:04:45
    question for you uh coming in from
  • 00:04:46
    Abdullah should we be focusing more on
  • 00:04:48
    timelines rather than the Bitcoin price
  • 00:04:50
    remember last cycle yes exactly that
  • 00:04:54
    that's why I'm telling you guys
  • 00:04:55
    according to uh all of my kind of measur
  • 00:05:00
    here we should be looking at the
  • 00:05:03
    rippage going from the middle of
  • 00:05:05
    December to the middle of January
  • 00:05:14
    now he's a thinking it's a thinking bit
  • 00:05:19
    boy
  • 00:05:20
    [Music]
  • 00:05:23
    oo you know I thought about what did you
  • 00:05:25
    just think about that was wild
  • 00:05:29
    let's go to the charts did you just have
  • 00:05:31
    an epiphany I think so well the reason
  • 00:05:33
    why I started thinking was I thought to
  • 00:05:35
    myself you
  • 00:05:36
    know the last time we ripped in between
  • 00:05:40
    the middle of December and the middle of
  • 00:05:41
    Jan December 19th I think or so or 18th
  • 00:05:43
    some 21st maybe maybe it a 21st all the
  • 00:05:46
    way into like second week of January
  • 00:05:48
    what if it just moved back one month we
  • 00:05:51
    see that a lot in these cycles and it
  • 00:05:54
    doesn't always make sense when it
  • 00:05:56
    happens okay I want everybody to
  • 00:05:58
    understand me on this it doesn't always
  • 00:05:59
    always make sense when it happens but if
  • 00:06:02
    you can catch that pattern early and you
  • 00:06:04
    can see what it's doing it usually will
  • 00:06:06
    complete that same type of pattern
  • 00:06:08
    that's why I love looking at these
  • 00:06:10
    Cycles over cycle and I think that if
  • 00:06:12
    you look up here at this and you look at
  • 00:06:15
    kind of where we're at right now you
  • 00:06:17
    know it started ripping like right here
  • 00:06:20
    but it's like the rippage yeah I mean
  • 00:06:22
    look act actually it does look kind of
  • 00:06:25
    similar a little bit now we're really
  • 00:06:26
    looking at it that little like wedge
  • 00:06:27
    that you see taken out right there yeah
  • 00:06:29
    and that this would put this would put
  • 00:06:32
    us
  • 00:06:34
    yeah golly Jam where does it put us
  • 00:06:38
    where does it put us where does it put
  • 00:06:39
    us I say right about where like the
  • 00:06:41
    22,000 range is on this on that chart
  • 00:06:45
    right yeah about right here somewhere
  • 00:06:47
    yeah like in that little cons just above
  • 00:06:49
    that little yeah but see we're just it's
  • 00:06:50
    not well okay like let's say it shoots
  • 00:06:53
    up to
  • 00:06:54
    120 comes back down to
  • 00:06:58
    100 and
  • 00:07:01
    then Peaks Back At One hey look it could
  • 00:07:05
    go 150 or 160 it could go there on a
  • 00:07:06
    stretch 160 maybe 150 160 it might could
  • 00:07:10
    do that it might could do that but then
  • 00:07:12
    that only gets us it to the beginning of
  • 00:07:13
    the bull run which is perfect which is
  • 00:07:15
    perfect look I I actually think this is
  • 00:07:17
    pretty accurate I think this is pretty
  • 00:07:19
    accurate I think this is pretty similar
  • 00:07:20
    to what we're probably gonna see um but
  • 00:07:22
    the most the the most accurate thing so
  • 00:07:24
    far it has in fact been my my lines that
  • 00:07:27
    I drew and I think that it's really
  • 00:07:29
    important to kind of I want to make one
  • 00:07:31
    note before we move on actually go look
  • 00:07:33
    at the top gainers of the day I need to
  • 00:07:34
    go back to single pain man that was
  • 00:07:35
    double
  • 00:07:36
    painful
  • 00:07:38
    okay one thing to pay attention to here
  • 00:07:41
    is that while my lines have man they
  • 00:07:44
    have been followed so closely there is
  • 00:07:47
    potential that we could see
  • 00:07:50
    here the white line because it flips
  • 00:07:52
    these lines it hovers around but it
  • 00:07:55
    looks like it right now it could be kind
  • 00:07:56
    of flipping this in into support
  • 00:07:59
    potential actually
标签
  • crypto
  • trend analysis
  • XRP
  • Solana
  • Ethereum
  • bull run
  • institutional influence
  • market cycles
  • prediction
  • AI integration