CEO of Microsoft AI speaks about the future of artificial intelligence at Aspen Ideas Festival
الملخص
TLDRThis discussion features Demis Hassabis, a significant figure in the AI industry and current CEO of Microsoft AI, who has been involved in AI from the early days through ventures like DeepMind, later acquired by Google. The conversation touches on the evolution of AI, from language models to agents, and anticipates a future where AI becomes increasingly integrated into everyday life. The discussion addresses the current stage of AI development, likening it to the early innings of a baseball game, indicating immense growth potential. Demis and the moderator explore the notion of AGI (artificial general intelligence), the possible societal impacts, and the need for stringent ethics and regulation. The conversations extend to the importance of setting global governance systems to ensure AI's benefits outweigh potential harms. Demis highlights the vital need to balance innovation with regulation, drawing parallels with historical tech like automobiles which were eventually regulated to improve safety. The conversation also delves into the implications of vast data consumption by AI, ethical considerations of data sourcing, and ensuring AI benefits are distributed fairly without exacerbating inequality. Demis suggests education and creating a multidisciplinary background are essential in preparing for a future with AI. In the future, AI is seen as a tool to aid productivity and innovation while necessitating careful management of associated risks.
الوجبات الجاهزة
- 🤖 AI is at an early development stage with enormous potential.
- 🔍 There's a critical need to address AI safety and regulation.
- 📚 Education must adapt to incorporate AI and digital learning methods.
- 🌐 Global governance is essential for managing AI impacts.
- 📊 Data use in AI raises intellectual property concerns.
- 💡 Innovation and regulation must balance for societal benefit.
- 🔒 Open vs. Closed AI models remains a debated issue.
- 🧠 Emotional intelligence in AI reflects on deeper human engagement.
- 🌎 Power is concentrating in AI tech companies due to high resource needs.
- 📈 AI could become a major tool for economic and cultural advancement.
الجدول الزمني
- 00:00:00 - 00:05:00
This introductory segment sets the stage for a discussion about the future of AI and its safety challenges with a prominent figure in the industry, Demis Hassabis, currently leading Microsoft’s AI initiatives. Hassabis is recognized for his significant contributions to AI, including co-founding DeepMind and Inflection along with Reid Hoffman.
- 00:05:00 - 00:10:00
The discussion revolves around how AI is perceived at different stages and Hassabis emphasizes the rapid, exponential growth of AI technologies. He discusses the transition from languages models to advanced AI agents and how these developments are changing daily lives, making AI a fundamental part of societal progress currently in its early stages.
- 00:10:00 - 00:15:00
Hassabis cautions against getting overly fixated on achieving superintelligence, emphasizing the importance of addressing AI safety and governance. He argues that while theoretically achievable, superintelligence is not imminent, and current focus should be on ensuring AI benefits humanity positively without causing harm, advocating for balanced and effective global governance.
- 00:15:00 - 00:20:00
The conversation switches to the topic of AI regulation. Hassabis states it’s challenging to determine whether tech leaders' calls for regulation are sincere or self-serving. However, he insists on the necessity of constructive regulation, arguing that successful regulation, like that of automobiles, improves sectors and that such regulation should not stall innovation, especially in open source areas.
- 00:20:00 - 00:25:00
The speaker addresses dynamics within AI companies like OpenAI. Despite some employees leaving and criticizing safety measures, Hassabis appreciates the importance of whistleblowing for ethical practices. He acknowledges OpenAI's achievements and their efforts in prioritizing safety, which he highlights as essential amidst rapid technological advancements.
- 00:25:00 - 00:30:00
Debates in AI development, data sources, and AI's ability to self-improve are brought up next. Hassabis explains that disagreements within AI arise from differing perspectives on future advancements and data availability. He highlights some limitations, such as running out of data, but remains optimistic about continued progress and adapting to these challenges.
- 00:30:00 - 00:35:00
Hassabis discusses the ethical concerns of AI training on existing data, emphasizing the need to address IP rights. He highlights a societal shift where the economic model of information production is changing, causing potential disruptions but also major advancements in knowledge accessibility which underpin technological progress.
- 00:35:00 - 00:40:00
The dialogue pivots to the implications of AI becoming integrated into various aspects of life, questioning professionals about how young generations should prepare for a future dominated by AI. Hassabis suggests cultivating adaptability and learning across various domains as crucial for future success, reflecting the necessary shifts in education approaches.
- 00:40:00 - 00:45:22
Finally, the discussion wraps up with audience questions, exploring issues from misinformation to national security concerns in AI, and reflecting on educational reforms needed to integrate AI effectively. Hassabis emphasizes pragmatic approaches, acknowledging dualistic challenges in both risk management and opportunity harnessing within the current tech landscape.
الخريطة الذهنية
الأسئلة الشائعة
Who is Demis Hassabis?
Demis Hassabis is the CEO of Microsoft AI, co-founder of DeepMind and Inflection, and a prominent figure in AI development.
What was the purpose of the discussion?
The discussion focused on AI's present state, future potential, safety challenges, ethical considerations, and societal impacts.
How does AI affect data usage and IP?
AI relies heavily on data, often from open sources, raising questions about intellectual property rights and data usage ethics.
What are the concerns regarding AI safety?
AI safety concerns include the potential for misuse, regulation needs, and ensuring technology benefits outweigh the risks.
What stance does Demis Hassabis take on AI regulation?
Demis supports thoughtful regulation of AI to ensure safety and ethical use while embracing technological advancement.
How is AI compared to past technologies like cryptocurrency?
AI is seen as far more impactful and enduring than cryptocurrency, which had issues delivering tangible value.
What role does AI play in education?
AI can enhance education by aiding lesson planning and fostering interactive, real-time learning environments.
What is the role of AI in elections?
Microsoft has taken a stance against using AI for electioneering due to current limitations and ethical concerns.
What is the challenge of AI in power concentration?
The major challenge lies in the concentration of AI capabilities becoming limited to powerful tech companies due to high resource demands.
What is the debate over open source AI?
There is debate over open vs. closed source AI models, balancing transparency with potential risks of misuse.
عرض المزيد من ملخصات الفيديو
Changing trends and career in physical education | Chapter 1 | Class 11 | Physical education
From Corporate Life to Real Estate Investing
Individual Rights in a Pandemic [POLICYbrief]
¿Eres cristiano o eres actor? | Sin Mitómanos con Andrés Toro | By Juany & Ana 🧔🏻♂️👩🏻🦰
The Most INSANE D&D Scandal Just Got Leaked
Project Zero | HACKING GOOGLE | Documentary EP005
- 00:00:06TO BE HERE TO TALK ABOUT AI THE FUTURE OF IT WHERE WE ARE,
- 00:00:11THE CHALLENGES OF ITS SAFETY AND SO MUCH MORE. AND WE'RE
- 00:00:17HERE WITH DEMONSTRABLY ONE OF THE OJI'S OF THE AI WORLD WILL
- 00:00:21STOP SELLING AND IS THE CEO NOW OF MICROSOFT AI HE SPENT WITH A
- 00:00:26DECADE AT THE FOREFRONT OF THIS INDUSTRY BEFORE WE EVEN HAD
- 00:00:29GOTTEN TO FEEL IT IN THE PAST COUPLE OF YEARS. NOW HE
- 00:00:34CO-FOUNDED AT DEEPMIND BACK IN 2010. THAT WAS LATER ACQUIRED
- 00:00:37BY GOOGLE IN 2022, HE CO-FOUNDED A COMPANY CALLED
- 00:00:44INFLECTION. HE DID THAT WITH REID HOFFMAN AND THEN RECENTLY
- 00:00:49MOVE THAT COMPANY INSIDE OF MICROSOFT AND IS NOW THE HEAD
- 00:00:53OF MICROSOFT'S AI EFFORTS. SO THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR BEING
- 00:00:55HERE. AND JUST AS A SIDE NOTE,
- 00:00:58HIS PERSONAL STORY, IF I COULD, JUST FOR A SECOND, HIS DAD WAS
- 00:01:03A TAXI DRIVER. HIS MOTHER WAS A NURSE. AND TO SEE HIM NOW IS
- 00:01:06QUITE A THING. SO THANK YOU FOR BEING HERE. REALLY IS SOMETHING
- 00:01:10VERY, VERY SPECIAL. THANK YOU. THANKS A LOT.
- 00:01:14I WANT TO TALK ABOUT THE GOOD, THE BAD, THE UGLY AND
- 00:01:17EVERYTHING IN BETWEEN WHERE WE'RE GOING. BUT LET'S JUST
- 00:01:22START VERY BASICALLY IF IF I WAS A BASEBALL GAME,
- 00:01:26WHAT INNING ARE WE IN? WHERE ARE WE IN THIS? BECAUSE I THINK
- 00:01:30SO MANY OF US HAVE PLAYED WITH CHAT, GPT AND OTHER KINDS OF AI
- 00:01:33PRODUCTS. WE ALL THINK WE KNOW WHAT IT IS A LITTLE BIT.
- 00:01:37WE ALL KEEP TALKING ABOUT WHAT THE FUTURE OF OUR LIFE IS GOING
- 00:01:39TO BE WITH AI.
- 00:01:43IT MIGHT BE HELPFUL JUST TO SORT OF LEVEL SET FOR US WHERE
- 00:01:44WE REALLY ARE.
- 00:01:47>> BECAUSE I THINK THE CHALLENGE IS THAT AS HUMANS WE
- 00:01:52RIDDLED WITH BIASES OF ALL KINDS. SO WE LOOK BACK AND IT
- 00:01:56FEELS INCREMENTAL. BUT IN THE MOMENT, IT REALLY IS FAR MORE
- 00:02:00EXPONENTIAL THAN PEOPLE REALIZE. I MEAN, IT 2 YEARS
- 00:02:05AGO, NOBODY WAS TALKING ABOUT AGENTS, YOU KNOW, AI SYSTEMS
- 00:02:08THAT CAN TAKE ACTIONS A NEW WORLD TODAY. EVERYBODY IS
- 00:02:11EXCITED THAT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF YEARS, AGENTS GOING
- 00:02:14TO BE EVERY WAY DOING THINGS ON OUR BEHALF, ORGANIZING OUR
- 00:02:18LIVES, PRIORITIZING AND PLANNING 4 YEARS AGO. NOBODY
- 00:02:21WAS REALLY TALKING ABOUT LANGUAGE MODELS. TODAY.
- 00:02:24EVERYBODY IS TALKING ABOUT LANGUAGE MODELS. SO IT'S JUST A
- 00:02:28VERY SURREAL EXPERIENCE TO BE INVENTING TECHNOLOGIES, WHICH
- 00:02:32AT ONE MOMENT FEEL IMPOSSIBLE. AND THEN JUST A FEW YEARS LATER
- 00:02:36AND NOW, YOU KNOW, COMING TO PASS, IF YOU JUST THINK ABOUT
- 00:02:36IT,
- 00:02:40IT IS NOW POSSIBLE TO ASK ANY ONE OF THESE CHATBOTS ANY
- 00:02:42QUESTION THAT YOU COULD POSSIBLY IMAGINE AND GET IN ON.
- 00:02:46SO THAT IS PRETTY MUCH AS GOOD AS ANYONE OF US COULD. AUNTS
- 00:02:49ARE IN THIS ROOM ON AVERAGE. AND IT'S EASY TO TAKE THAT FOR
- 00:02:53GRANTED. BUT THAT IS LIKE YEARS AND YEARS OF VERY SLOWLY AND
- 00:02:58STEADILY ADDING CAPABILITY FOR SUCH A EXPERIMENT ING TESTING
- 00:03:02THINGS OUT. AND THEN IN SOME IT REALLY, I THINK CREATES QUITE A
- 00:03:05MAGICAL EXPERIENCE. IF I WERE TO LOOK OUT OVER THE NEXT 10
- 00:03:09YEARS, IT FEELS LIKE WE'RE RIGHT AT THE VERY BEGINNING OF
- 00:03:10THIS MOMENT.
- 00:03:14>> WE'VE ALL PLAYED WITH WITH WITH CHAT GPT BUT OTHERS TALK
- 00:03:19ABOUT G I THIS THIS SORT OF A WORLD WHERE ARTIFICIAL,
- 00:03:21GENERALIZED, INTELLIGENT INTELLIGENCE CAN EFFECTIVELY DO
- 00:03:24EVERYTHING, ANYTHING AND EVERYTHING. THAT IS SORT OF THE
- 00:03:28THING THAT IS BOTH THE GREAT OPPORTUNITY AND ALSO THE THING
- 00:03:31THAT I THINK PEOPLE FEAR IN MANY WAYS
- 00:03:33HE'S AT ON YOUR DECADE LONG ROAD MAP.
- 00:03:38>> I JUST NOT QUITE SURE THAT'S A SORT OF HELPFUL FRAMING AND
- 00:03:43WE'VE GOT TO GET FIXATED ON SUPER INTELLIGENCE THIS MOMENT
- 00:03:47WHEN AN AI CAN DO EVERY SINGLE TOSS THAT A HUMAN CAN DO BETTER
- 00:03:48THAN HUMANS. AND
- 00:03:52IF YOU REALLY PUSH ME, I HAVE TO SAY, THEORETICALLY, IT IS
- 00:03:56POSSIBLE AND WE SHOULD TAKE THE SAFETY RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH
- 00:04:00THAT SUPER SERIOUSLY. I HAVE BEEN ADVOCATING FOR THE SAFETY
- 00:04:02AND ETHICS OF H I
- 00:04:05ALMOST 15 YEARS. AND SO I I REALLY DO CARE ABOUT IT A LOT.
- 00:04:10BUT PEOPLE TEND TO LUNGE AT IT AS THOUGH IT IS A INEVITABLE BE
- 00:04:13DESIRABLE AND SEE COMING TOMORROW. I JUST THINK NEITHER
- 00:04:18OF THOSE THINGS, THE TRUE, IT IS AN UNPRECEDENTED TECHNOLOGY.
- 00:04:21AND AS A SPECIES, WE'RE GOING TO HAVE TO FIGURE OUT A NEW
- 00:04:24KIND OF GLOBAL GOVERNANCE MECHANISMS. SO THAT TECHNOLOGY
- 00:04:27CONTINUES TO ALWAYS SOUTH AUSTIN, MAKE A SMALL, HEALTHY
- 00:04:30AND HAPPY OR MAKE US MORE EFFICIENT IN ADD VALUE IN THE
- 00:04:33WELL, BECAUSE THERE IS A RISK THAT THE TECHNOLOGIES THAT WE
- 00:04:38DEVELOP THIS CENTURY DO END UP CAUSING MORE HARM THAN GOOD.
- 00:04:42AND THAT IS JUST THE KIND OF CUTS OF PROGRESS. WE HAVE TO
- 00:04:45FACE THAT REALITY, RIGHT? THESE TECHNOLOGIES ARE GOING TO
- 00:04:49SPREAD FAR AND WIDE. EVERYBODY IS GOING TO HAVE TO CAPACITY TO
- 00:04:53INFLUENCE PEOPLE AT SCALES PREVIOUSLY CONSIDERED TO BE
- 00:04:55COMPLETELY UNIMAGINABLE. AND SO THAT'S WHERE YOU'RE
- 00:04:58GOING TO BE A QUESTION OF GOVERNMENT TO ASK YOU A
- 00:04:58QUESTION ABOUT THAT.
- 00:05:01>> WHICH IS THAT LEADERS IN THIS INDUSTRY, INCLUDING
- 00:05:03YOURSELF AND SAM MOMENT IS SO MANY OTHERS HAVE GONE TO
- 00:05:05CAPITOL HILL AND ELSEWHERE AROUND THE WORLD. HE SAID,
- 00:05:09PLEASE, WE MAY NEED NOT. WE MAY WE NEED REGULATION THAT
- 00:05:12THERE ARE LOTS OF PROBLEMS POTENTIALLY WITH THIS
- 00:05:15TECHNOLOGY. IT'S A UNIQUE IN THAT VERY FEW VERY FEW
- 00:05:18INDUSTRIES TO THE CEOS GO TO THE REGULATORS SAY, PLEASE
- 00:05:21REGULATE ME. IS THAT A SINCERE EFFORT
- 00:05:26OR IS THAT A PROTECTIVE EFFORT TO SAY, LOOK, WE TOLD YOU THERE
- 00:05:29COULD BE PROBLEMS. WE KNEW YOU WERE NEVER GOING TO REGULATE US
- 00:05:31ANYWAY, SEE SOCIAL MEDIA.
- 00:05:33AND HERE WE ARE NOW.
- 00:05:36>> YOU KNOW, AGAIN, I I THINK THAT THIS IS ALSO A FALSE
- 00:05:40FRAME. YOU KNOW, IS IT UP, YOU KNOW, A SINCERE EFFORT OR IS IT
- 00:05:41ACTUALLY ABOUT REGULATORY CAPTURE?
- 00:05:44>> BECAUSE THEY GET UP. THERE WAS ACTUAL REGULATION. I I HAVE
- 00:05:47A FUNNY FEELING. WE WOULD HAVE A DIFFERENT CONVERSATION ABOUT
- 00:05:49WHICH PIECES ARE REGULATED, HOW IT'S REGULATED. THERE BE A LOT
- 00:05:52OF PUSHBACK ON THE SENATE MADE. MAYBE IT'S BECAUSE I'M A SORT
- 00:05:56OF, YOU KNOW, BRIDGE WITH EUROPEAN TENDENCIES. BUT I
- 00:05:57DON'T FEAR REGULATION.
- 00:05:59>> IN THE WAY THAT SORT OF EVERYONE SEEMS TO BY DEFAULT
- 00:06:03THINK THE REGULATION IS EVIL HERE. I THINK THERE IS NO
- 00:06:06TECHNOLOGY IN HISTORY THAT HASN'T BEEN SUCCESSFULLY
- 00:06:09REGULATED ALL ABOUT JUST LOOK AT THE CAR AND WE'VE BEEN
- 00:06:13REGULATING CAUSE SINCE THE 20'S AND HAS CONSISTENTLY STEADILY
- 00:06:16MADE CARS BETTER. AND IT'S NOT JUST THE CAR ITSELF. IT'S THE
- 00:06:19STREETLIGHTS. IT'S THE TRAFFIC LIGHTS. IT'S THE ZEBRA
- 00:06:22CROSSINGS. IT'S THE CULTURE OF SAFETY AROUND DEVELOPING A
- 00:06:26CAUGHT DRIVING A CALL BE. SO THIS IS JUST A HEALTHY
- 00:06:29DIALOGUE THAT WE JUST NEED TO ENCOURAGE AND STOP FRAMING AS A
- 00:06:33KIND OF BLACK AND WHITE. IT'S I THE EVIL REGULATION OR
- 00:06:36IT CYNICALLY MINDED TO DRIVE REGULAR TREE CAPTURE. I THINK
- 00:06:39IT'S A GREAT THING. THE TECHNOLOGISTS AND ENTREPRENEURS
- 00:06:42AND CEOS OF COMPANIES LIKE MYSELF AND SAM, WHO I LOVE
- 00:06:46DEARLY AND THINK IS ALSO HE'S NOT CYNICAL. HE IS SINCERE.
- 00:06:49HE BELIEVES IT GENUINELY SO TO THE REST OF THEM. AND I THINK
- 00:06:51THAT'S JUST GREAT. WE SHOULD EMBRACE THAT. AND OF COURSE,
- 00:06:54THAT WILL BE DOWNSIDES TO IT, RIGHT? SO I'M NOT DENYING THAT,
- 00:06:58YOU KNOW, PULL REGULATION CAN SLOW US DOWN, MAKE US LESS
- 00:07:01COMPETITIVE, CREATE CHALLENGES WITH OUR INTERNATIONAL AVERAGE
- 00:07:04TREES. YOU KNOW IT. AND IT CERTAINLY SHOULDN'T SLOW DOWN
- 00:07:06THE OPEN SOURCE COMMUNITY, ALL THE STOPS.
- 00:07:09>> LET ME ASK A MORE COMPLICATED QUESTION. MICROSOFT
- 00:07:10HAS A DEEP,
- 00:07:12DEEP RELATIONSHIP WITH OPEN AI.
- 00:07:17THAT IS HOW MICROSOFT, AT LEAST FOR RIGHT NOW IS PURSUING IT AI
- 00:07:19AMBITIONS. I KNOW THERE'S LOTS OF OTHER EFFORTS UNDERNEATH AND
- 00:07:22WE'LL TALK ABOUT THOSE IN A MINUTE. BUT YOU REFERENCE AM
- 00:07:25ALTMAN WHO'S GOING TO BE HERE AND SPEAKING TOMORROW. THERE'VE
- 00:07:27BEEN A LOT OF HEADLINES AND I WANT YOU TO HELP US MAKE SOME
- 00:07:31SENSE OF THEM WHERE WE HAVE SEEN A NUMBER OF PEOPLE INSIDE
- 00:07:36OPENAI WHO WORKED ON THEIR SAFETY TEAMS AT OPENAI NOT JUST
- 00:07:41LEAVE THE COMPANY BUT OPENLY OBJECT TO THE
- 00:07:43APPROACH THAT THE COMPANY HAS TAKEN. I'M GOING TO READ YOU A
- 00:07:46QUOTE FROM ONE OF THE PEOPLE ON THE SAFE TEAMS LEFT. YOU SAID
- 00:07:50THESE PROBLEMS ARE QUITE HARD TO GET RIGHT AND I AM CONCERNED
- 00:07:53WE AREN'T ON A TRAJECTORY TO GET THEM RIGHT. IT IS VERY
- 00:07:57UNUSUAL TO SEE EMPLOYEES LEAVE AND SPEAK OUT THE WAY THEY HAVE
- 00:08:01ABOUT WHAT'S HAPPENING INSIDE OPEN AT WHAT DO YOU THINK IS
- 00:08:01HAPPENING?
- 00:08:04>> I'M PROUD THAT WE LIVE IN A COUNTRY AND WE OPERATE IN A
- 00:08:08TECH ECOSYSTEM WHERE THAT CAN BE WHISTLE BLOWS AND THOSE
- 00:08:11WHISTLE BLOWS ARE ENCOURAGED AND SUPPORTED. AND IF THOSE
- 00:08:14PEOPLE FEEL LIKE THIS IS THE MOMENT WHERE THEY NEED TO MAKE
- 00:08:17THAT STATEMENT, I CELEBRATE AND SUPPORT THAT. I PERSONALLY HAVE
- 00:08:20ENORMOUS RESPECT FOR EVERYTHING THE OPENAI HAS ACHIEVED.
- 00:08:23I THINK THEY CAN GO DOWN AS ONE OF THE DEFINING TECHNOLOGY
- 00:08:27COMPANIES IN HISTORY. AND I GENUINELY THINK THAT THEY'RE
- 00:08:30GRAPPLING IN A SINCERE WAY WITH THE CHALLENGE OF PUSHING
- 00:08:33FORWARD WITH THE TECHNOLOGY IS POSSIBLE POSSIBLE, BUT ALSO
- 00:08:35PUTTING SAFETY ON THE TABLE FRONT AND CENTER. I MEAN,
- 00:08:39THEY'VE BEEN LEADING THE SAFETY RESEARCH AGENDA. LET'S JUST BE
- 00:08:42CLEAR ABOUT THAT. PUBLISHING PAPERS COMMITTING TO ACADEMIC
- 00:08:45ARCHIVES ATTENDING THE CONFERENCE IS RAISING AWARENESS
- 00:08:49OF THESE ISSUES, OPEN SOURCING, SAFETY, TOOLING AND AND
- 00:08:51INFRASTRUCTURE TICKETS. NOW INSIDE THE ROOM, THOUGH,
- 00:08:54WHEN PEOPLE ARE HAVING THIS DEBATE TO THE EXTENT WORSE AND
- 00:08:55WE'RE SEEING IT PLAY OUT.
- 00:08:58>> WHAT IS THE DEBATE OVER? IS IT ABOUT RESOURCES? HOW MUCH
- 00:09:01MONEY IS BEING DEVOTED TOWARDS THE SAFETY ISSUE? IT'S ABOUT
- 00:09:06THE PSYCHOLOGY AND PHILOSOPHY ABOUT HOW HOW QUICKLY TO MOVE
- 00:09:07FORWARD
- 00:09:10AND WHERE DOES MICROSOFT SIT IN THAT DISCUSSION?
- 00:09:15>> BUT I THINK SMART PEOPLE CAN SINCERELY DISAGREE ABOUT THE
- 00:09:19SAME OBSERVATIONS. SO SOME INDIVIDUALS LOOK AT THE
- 00:09:23EXPONENTIAL TRAJECTORY THAT WE'RE ON AND THEY WILL ARGUE
- 00:09:29THAT FOR THE LAST 60 IS WE HAVE SEEN AN ORDER OF MAGNITUDE MORE
- 00:09:34COMPUTE AND MORE DATA APPLIED TO THE SAME METHOD. SO 10 TIMES
- 00:09:38MORE COMPUTER THAN 10 TIMES MORE DATA APPLIED EVERY SINGLE
- 00:09:42YEAR. IN FACT, FOR THE LAST DECADE AND EACH TIME YOU ADD 10
- 00:09:46X MALL, YOU DO LIVE A VERY MEASURABLE IMPROVEMENTS IN
- 00:09:50CAPABILITIES. THE MODELS PRODUCE FEW LOOSE, THE NATION'S
- 00:09:52THEY CAN ABSORB MORE INFORMATION, MORE FACTION
- 00:09:56INFORMATION. THEY CAN INTEGRATE REAL-TIME INFORMATION AND
- 00:10:00THEY'RE MORE OPEN TO STYLISTIC CONTROL. SO YOU CAN TUNE THAT
- 00:10:03BEHAVIOR, BOTH FROM A PRODUCT PERSPECTIVE AND FROM UP.
- 00:10:06SO TO THE PERSONALITY OF THE MOBILE AND THE PEOPLE WHO ARE
- 00:10:10MOST SCAD ABOUT THIS ARGUE THAT THEY CAN SEE A PASS OVER THE
- 00:10:15NEXT 3, 0, 4, 0, 5, ORDERS OF MAGNITUDE. CALL IT 5 IS A E IS
- 00:10:19WET THAT CAPABILITY. SHE ACTUALLY DOESN'T SLOW DOWN.
- 00:10:22ACTUALLY, IT JUST GETS BETTER AND BETTER AND BETTER. THE
- 00:10:24COUNTER ARGUMENT TO THAT IS THAT WE'RE ACTUALLY RUNNING OUT
- 00:10:27OF DATA. WE NEED TO FIND NEW SOURCES OF INFORMATION TO LEARN
- 00:10:30FROM. AND WE DON'T KNOW THAT IT'S JUST GOING TO KEEP GETTING
- 00:10:32BETTER. THAT COULD ASK THEM TO WRITE. WE'VE SEEN THAT MANY
- 00:10:35TIMES IN THE HISTORY OF TECHNOLOGY. SO I THINK IT'S A
- 00:10:38HEALTHY DEBATE TO HAVE. YOU MENTIONED THE WORD WHOSE NATION
- 00:10:39AND ANYONE WHO'S PLAYED.
- 00:10:42>> WITH ANY OF THESE PRODUCTS IS PROBABLY EXPERIENCED A
- 00:10:48MOMENT WHERE IT APPEARS THAT THE BOT HAS LOOSEN AID. ONE OF
- 00:10:50THINGS WE HEAR FROM PEOPLE IN THE INDUSTRIES, THEY SAY,
- 00:10:53YOU KNOW WHAT, WE CAN'T REALLY EXPLAIN WHY WE'VE SEEN IT AND
- 00:10:59WE CAN'T REALLY EXPLAIN WHAT'S GOING ON INSIDE THE BOX,
- 00:11:00CAN YOU?
- 00:11:06>> I THINK I SAW COM IN A WAY THAT WOULD SATISFY YOU. BUT I
- 00:11:09ALSO KHAN EXPLAIN WHY YOU CHOSE TO WEAR A BLUE SHOT THIS
- 00:11:13MORNING. I CAN EXPLAIN VERY LITTLE ABOUT TO YOU OR I OFF
- 00:11:18THE REQUIREMENT FOR EXPLANATION IS I THINK, AGAIN, A LITTLE BIT
- 00:11:21OF A HUMAN BIAS. WHEN IOS YOU TO EXPLAIN WHY YOU HAD
- 00:11:25SCRAMBLED EGGS FOR BREAKFAST THIS MORNING, YOU WILL CREATE A
- 00:11:26FULLY IMAGINE
- 00:11:29AN EXPLANATION IN HINDSIGHT AND DEPENDING ON YOUR MOOD AND THE
- 00:11:33CONTEXT THAT YOU'RE IN AND THE OTHER LIKE ASSOCIATED METHOD,
- 00:11:36A TOUR OF THE EXPLANATION, YOU'RE PROBABLY GOING TO SAY IT
- 00:11:38SLIGHTLY DIFFERENTLY. AND IT'S STILL CLEAR THAT IT WAS
- 00:11:42ENTIRELY KOZEL. THERE IS SOME BASIS IN REALITY FOR IT.
- 00:11:46BUT THIS ONE TO ONE MAPPING IS A VERY HIGH FOR RATIONAL
- 00:11:49IMPOSITION ON THE WAY THAT WE THINK IS HUMANS. IN FACT,
- 00:11:53WE JUST DON'T REALLY OPERATE LIKE THAT. WE OPERATE, I THINK,
- 00:11:54FAR MORE BY ASSOCIATION.
- 00:11:57>> SHOULD WE WORRY ABOUT THAT? BUT I MEAN, SHOULD WE WORRY THE
- 00:12:00WEEK ONE CANNOT UNDERSTAND OURSELVES TO ANOTHER, TO NOT
- 00:12:03UNDERSTAND HOW THE COMPUTER GETS. YOU KNOW, THE MOST PEOPLE
- 00:12:06THINK THAT ALL OF THIS IS JUST A BIG MATHEMATICAL PROBLEM,
- 00:12:10RIGHT TO PUSH TO SHOULD ALWAYS EQUAL 4. IT'S NOT A BELIEF OR
- 00:12:14WE NEED TO UNDERSTAND IT WAS JUST CUTE OR RATHER SO THAT
- 00:12:15THAT'S JUST NOT HOW.
- 00:12:18>> SO HUMAN REASONING AND CULTURE ACTUALLY WORKS. IN MY
- 00:12:23OPINION, WE HUMAN REASONING WORKS AS A RESULT OF BEHAVIORAL
- 00:12:23OBSERVATIONS.
- 00:12:28WHEN YOU CONSISTENTLY DO THE SAME THING OVER AND OVER AGAIN,
- 00:12:33I GAIN TRUST. YOU BECOME MORE RELIABLE WHEN USED TO TELL ME
- 00:12:37THAT YOU ARE UNSURE ABOUT SOMETHING AND THEN I LOOK BACK
- 00:12:40AND IT TURNS OUT THAT YOU WILL SUCCINT HE WAS A CORRECT
- 00:12:43ASSESSMENT OF THE OUTCOME. THAT UNCERTAINTY GIVES ME
- 00:12:47REASSURANCE, RIGHT? SO I LOVE THAN TO TRUST YOU AND INTERACT
- 00:12:49WITH YOU BY OBSERVATION. AND I THINK THAT THAT'S
- 00:12:51ACTUALLY HOW WE WILL OPERATE IN RELATION TO OUR MOTHERS,
- 00:12:54HOW WE PRODUCE CULTURE AND SOCIETY. AND THAT'S HOW WE'LL
- 00:12:57TREAT THESE MODELS. IT'S, YOU KNOW, THIS. THERE WAS A THERE
- 00:13:01WAS AN EXPOSE COMPETITION OF RADIOLOGISTS 3 MONTHS AGO,
- 00:13:05PANELS OF RADIOLOGISTS IN THIS LIVE ENVIRONMENT, 10'S OF THE
- 00:13:08VERY BEST CONSULTANTS GOING HEAD TO HEAD AGAINST THE
- 00:13:10MACHINE. AND OBVIOUSLY, THERE'S LOTS OF SKEPTICISM. WHY IS THE
- 00:13:14MACHINE PRODUCING THIS CORRECT CANCER DIAGNOSIS? WHY IS IT
- 00:13:17PRODUCING THIS CORRECT EYE EXAMINATION AND IDENTIFYING
- 00:13:20THAT THIS IS WELCOME? WELL, YOU KNOW, WE CAN SORT OF ALLUDE TO
- 00:13:23SOME OF THE TRAINING DATA THAT IS USED TO TRAIN ON IT. BUT THE
- 00:13:27FACT IS IT'S DOING IT MORE ACCURATELY MORE RELIABLY DOWN
- 00:13:29THE HUMAN. I THINK THAT THAT IMPAIR A COOL OBSERVATION OF
- 00:13:32THE FACTS IS WHAT WE SHOULD RELY ON TO BE ABLE TO TRUST THE
- 00:13:35SYSTEMS. ONE OF THE THINGS YOU SAID JUST BEFORE THAT
- 00:13:40>> WAS THE IDEA THAT THE AI MACHINES, THE TRAINING THAT
- 00:13:44THAT IDA'S IS RUNNING OUT OF DATA TO CONSUME.
- 00:13:46AND WE'LL HAVE A CONVERSATION. I THINK IN A MOMENT WITH US,
- 00:13:49I WANT TO TALK ABOUT THE IDEA OF SYNTHETIC DATA THAT IS
- 00:13:50ACTUALLY
- 00:13:53DIGITAL DATA. STILL MOST REPRODUCED OFF OF DATA THAT
- 00:13:57THAT DOESN'T EXIST. BUT I WANT TO ACTUALLY ABOUT ASK ABOUT THE
- 00:14:00DATA THAT DOES EXIST. THERE ARE A NUMBER OF OFFICERS HERE AT
- 00:14:03THE ASPEN IDEAS FESTIVAL AND A NUMBER OF JOURNALISTS AS WELL.
- 00:14:07AND IT APPEARS THAT A LOT OF THE INFORMATION THAT HAS BEEN
- 00:14:12TRAINED ON OVER THE YEARS HAS COME FROM THE WEB AND THE
- 00:14:14QUESTION AND AND SOME OF ITS THE OPEN WEB AND SUMS NOT.
- 00:14:19AND WE'VE HEARD STORIES ABOUT HOW OPEN OPEN AI WAS TURNING A
- 00:14:22YOUTUBE VIDEOS INTO TRANSCRIPTS AND THEN TRAINING ON THE
- 00:14:28TRANSCRIPTS AND WHO IS SUPPOSED TO ONLY IP WHO WAS SUPPOSED TO
- 00:14:32GET VALUE FROM THAT. I P AND WHETHER TO PUT IT IN A VERY
- 00:14:36BLUNT TERMS WHETHER THE AI COMPANIES HAVE EFFECTIVELY
- 00:14:38STOLEN THE WORLD'S I P.
- 00:14:40>> YEAH, I THINK THAT'S A VERY FAIR ARGUMENT. I THINK THAT
- 00:14:44WITH RESPECT TO CONTENT THAT IS ALREADY ON THE OPEN WEB,
- 00:14:47THE SOCIAL CONTRACT OF THAT CONTENT SINCE THE 90'S HAS BEEN
- 00:14:51IT IS FAY USE. ANYONE CAN COPY IT, RECREATE WITH IT REPRODUCED
- 00:14:55WITH IT. THAT HAS BEEN FREEWAY. IF YOU LIKE, THAT'S BEEN THE
- 00:14:58UNDERSTANDING THERE'S A SEPARATE CATEGORY WHERE A
- 00:15:01WEBSITE OR PUBLISH OR NEWS ORGANIZATION HAD EXPLICITLY
- 00:15:05SAID DO NOT SCRAPE WILL CREW ME FOR ANY OTHER REASON THAN
- 00:15:08INDEXING ME SO THAT OTHER PEOPLE CAN FIND THAT CONTENT.
- 00:15:10BUT THAT'S THE GRAY AREA. AND I THINK THAT'S GOING TO
- 00:15:12WORK ITS WAY THROUGH THE COURTS.
- 00:15:14AND WHAT DOES THAT MEAN WHEN YOU SAY IT'S A GRAY AREA?
- 00:15:17WELL, IF IF HAS SO FAR, SOME PEOPLE HAVE TAKEN THAT
- 00:15:20INFORMATION. I DON'T KNOW WHO WON, WHO HASN'T, BUT THAT'S
- 00:15:23GOOD TO GET LITIGATED AND THE U.S. RIGHT. DO YOU THINK THAT
- 00:15:26THE IP LAWS SHOULD BE DIFFERENT, RIGHT? I COULD GO AS
- 00:15:30AN OFFER. I CAN GO WRITE A BOOK IN THE PROCESS OF WRITING MY
- 00:15:33BOOK. I COULD GO TO THE THE LIBRARY WHERE BY ALL.
- 00:15:36>> 40 OTHER BOOKS ON AMAZON. I COULD READ THOSE BOOKS,
- 00:15:40PUT THEM IN MY BIOGRAPHY AND HOPEFULLY PRODUCE A BOOK AND I
- 00:15:42WOULD THE AUTHORS OF THOSE 40 BOOKS, NOTHING MORE THAN
- 00:15:46WHATEVER IT COST ME TO BUY THOSE PRICE THE AND MAYBE THE
- 00:15:50LIBRARY BOTTOM WANTS AS WELL. NOBODY EVER IMAGINED THAT I WAS
- 00:15:54GOING TO BE ABLE TO PRODUCE A MILLION BOOKS EVERY 10 SECONDS,
- 00:15:58RIGHT. AND WHAT THE ECONOMICS OF THAT SHOULD BE RIGHT.
- 00:16:00>> YOU KNOW, LOOK AT THE ECONOMICS OF INFORMATION ARE
- 00:16:05ABOUT TO RADICALLY CHANGE BECAUSE WE CAN REDUCE THE COST
- 00:16:09OF PRODUCTION OF KNOWLEDGE TO 0 MARGINAL COST.
- 00:16:11AND THIS IS THIS IS JUST OF A VERY
- 00:16:15DIFFICULT THING FOR PEOPLE TO ENSURE IT. BUT IN 15 OR 20
- 00:16:18YEARS TIME, WE WILL BE PRODUCING NEW SCIENTIFIC
- 00:16:22CULTURAL KNOWLEDGE AT ALMOST 0 MARGINAL COST. IT WILL BE
- 00:16:26WIDELY OPEN SOURCE AND AVAILABLE TO EVERYBODY. AND I
- 00:16:29THINK THAT IS GOING TO BE, YOU KNOW, A TRUE INFLECTION POINT
- 00:16:32IN HISTORY OF A SPECIES, BECAUSE WHAT ALL WE
- 00:16:36COLLECTIVELY AS AN ORGANISM OF HUMANS, OTHER THAN A KNOWLEDGE
- 00:16:40AND INTELLECTUAL PRODUCTION ENGINE, WE PRODUCE KNOWLEDGE,
- 00:16:43OUR SCIENCE MAKES US BETTER. AND SO WHAT WE REALLY WANT IN
- 00:16:46THE WORLD, IN MY OPINION, ON NEW ENGINES THAT CAN
- 00:16:47TURBOCHARGE DISCOVERY AND INVENTION.
- 00:16:49>> OKAY. NOW LET'S GET THE TOPICAL GOING TO GET YOU ON THE
- 00:16:52COUCH. YOU KNOW, THE WHOLE DID NOT KNOW ABOUT THAT BECAUSE I
- 00:16:55THINK YOU ACTUALLY JUST RAISE THE FUNDAMENTAL QUESTION,
- 00:17:00WHICH IS WHO ARE WE AND WHAT ARE WE AND WHAT ARE WE IF IF
- 00:17:05THIS IS 6 TO IS AS SUCCESSFUL AS I THINK YOU WANT IT TO BE,
- 00:17:08WHAT IS OUR VALUE? I HAVE CHILDREN WHO ARE IN HIGH SCHOOL
- 00:17:10RIGHT NOW, A JUNIOR HIGH RIGHT NOW, LOU, IT AND WE'RE TRYING
- 00:17:13TO FIGURE OUT WHAT ARE THEY SUPPOSED TO STUDY, HOW I THINK
- 00:17:15IT'S BEST TO THINK ABOUT WRITING PAPERS. ARE THEY EVER
- 00:17:18GOING TO HAVE TO LEARN HOW TO WRITE A PAPER?
- 00:17:20SPEAK TO THAT?
- 00:17:28>> LOOK, I THINK WHEN PEOPLE SEE WHAT SHOULD MY KIDS STUDY,
- 00:17:32I I SAY SPEND MORE TIME DIGITALLY LEARNING FROM
- 00:17:35EVERYBODY ELSE AS FAST AS POSSIBLE BECAUSE THE
- 00:17:39TRADITIONAL METHOD OF TEXTBOOK BASED LEARNING IS STILL GOING
- 00:17:42TO BE VALUABLE. AND IT IS OBVIOUSLY GOING TO BE REALLY
- 00:17:46IMPORTANT THAT YOU CAN DEEPLY PAY ATTENTION AND, YOU KNOW,
- 00:17:50READ FOR 2 HOURS AND THEN WRITE AN ESSAY FOR 2 HOURS, OF
- 00:17:51COURSE, AS VALUABLE.
- 00:17:55I THINK THE GENERALIST WHO CAN SPEAK MULTIPLE SOCIAL LANGUAGE
- 00:17:59IS WHO CAN ADAPT VERY QUICKLY. THAT AGILITY IS GOING TO BE ONE
- 00:18:03OF THE MOST VALUABLE SKILLS AND OPEN MINDEDNESS AND NOT BEING
- 00:18:06JUDGMENTAL, FEARFUL OF WHAT'S COMING IN. EMBRACING THE
- 00:18:09TECHNOLOGY. BY THE WAY, YOUR KIDS NOT NOT YET. NOT YET.
- 00:18:13OKAY. HERE'S MY QUESTION FOR YOU FOR THE PARENTS IN THE
- 00:18:13ROOM.
- 00:18:15>> AND BECAUSE YOU'RE SAYING WE SHOULD EMBRACE THE STUFF.
- 00:18:19ONE OF THESE THAT I WORRY ABOUT IS AND I WONDER WHETHER YOU
- 00:18:21THINK THERE SHOULD BE POLICIES WHETHER THE MICROSOFT
- 00:18:24IMPLEMENTED MORE APPLE AAPL, BY THE WAY, JUST PUT APPLE
- 00:18:28INTELLIGENCE INTO THERE PHONES, NEW PHONES ON ON ON TO THE POOR
- 00:18:31PAGES. YOU CAN YOU WRITE THE PAPER FOR YOU AND THESE KIDS
- 00:18:33ARE GOING TO GO TO SCHOOL AND THEY'RE GOING TO HAVE TO WRITE
- 00:18:35THE PAPER. THEY REALLY GOING RIGHT? THE PAPER OR THEY'RE NOT
- 00:18:39GOING RIGHT. THE PAPER, WHAT KINDS OF TOOLS OR RESTRICTIONS
- 00:18:42OR OTHER THINGS YOU THINK SHOULD BE PUT IN PLACE IT FOR
- 00:18:46STUDENTS WHEN ALONE ADULTS? YEAH, LOOK, I THINK WE HAVE TO
- 00:18:48BE SLIGHTLY CAREFUL ABOUT.
- 00:18:51>> FEARING THE DOWNSIDE OF EVERY TOOL, YOU KNOW, JUST AS
- 00:18:54WHEN CALCULATORS CAME IN, THERE WAS A KIND OF THIS GOT REACTION
- 00:18:57ON EVERYONE'S GOING TO HAVE TO SORT OF SOULFUL THE EQUATIONS
- 00:18:59INSTANTLY. AND IT'S GOING TO MAKE US DAMA BECAUSE WE'RE
- 00:19:03ABOUT TO DO MENTAL ARITHMETIC. PARTLY THAT'S TRUE. YOU KNOW,
- 00:19:06I'VE GOT WORSE AT REMEMBERING TELEPHONE NUMBERS SINCE I'VE
- 00:19:09HAD MY PHONE RIGHT WHEN I WAS YOUNG. I I I REMEMBERED
- 00:19:13PROBABLY 40 OR 50 NUMBERS, YOU KNOW, SO I DEFINITELY A LOSING
- 00:19:15SOME SKILLS. MAYBE MY MAP NAVIGATIONAL SKILLS AND NOT
- 00:19:18QUITE AS GOOD NOW BECAUSE I JUST GO TO GOOGLE MAPS OR APPLE
- 00:19:21MAPS STRAIGHTAWAY, RIGHT? SO THERE ARE GOING TO BE SOME
- 00:19:25SHIFTS THAT WE HAVE TO MAKE. BUT NET NET, I BELIEVE THAT IF
- 00:19:28WE REALLY EMBRACE THIS TECHNOLOGY AND RESPONDED WITH
- 00:19:33THE GOVERNMENT IN AN AGILE WAY, SUPER IMPORTANT IS CLEAR.
- 00:19:35BUT SOME OF OUR KIDS WERE GETTING PHONE ADDICTION.
- 00:19:38IT'S CLEAR THAT THEY WERE GETTING SPENDING FAR TOO MUCH
- 00:19:41TIME AND SOCIAL MEDIA THAT IT WAS MAKING THEM FEEL ANXIOUS
- 00:19:44AND FRUSTRATED. AND FRANKLY, IT WAS PROBABLY OBVIOUS TO THOSE
- 00:19:48OF US IN TECHNOLOGY SOONER THAN WE MADE A BIG FUSS ABOUT IT.
- 00:19:50RIGHT. SO WITH WHAT WE HAVE TO DO IS MAKE SURE THAT WE ARE
- 00:19:53REACTING WITH OUR INTERVENTION, OUR INTERVENTIONS AND A
- 00:19:56GOVERNMENT AS FAST AS WE CREATING THE TECHNOLOGY CAN ASK
- 00:19:59A DIFFERENT QUESTION. THERE ARE A NUMBER OF ENTREPRENEURS IN
- 00:20:03THIS ROOM, SOME IN THE DIGITAL SPACE WHO ARE TRYING TO GET
- 00:20:06INTO. I KNOW THAT WE'RE THINKING ABOUT IT.
- 00:20:09WHAT WOULD YOU ADVISE THEM IN TERMS OF WHERE TO GO AND WHAT
- 00:20:11TO DO AND WHAT INDUSTRIES ARE PLACES?
- 00:20:14>> THAT THERE'S GOING TO BE OPPORTUNITY AND IN A WORLD IN
- 00:20:17WHICH I SHOULD BE ABLE TO WRITE ALL OF THESE APPS AND OTHER
- 00:20:20PROGRAMS FOR ME AT ANY MOMENT. YEAH,
- 00:20:24IF THERE IS NO NO DEFENSIVE MOAT AROUND A BUSINESS BECAUSE
- 00:20:28AI IS GOING TO BE ABLE TO JUST DO IT FOR YOU,
- 00:20:30WOULD ANYBODY INVEST IN ANY WAY?
- 00:20:33>> I THINK THAT THERE IS GOING TO BE THIS BIFURCATION WET,
- 00:20:36THE AT THE VERY LARGEST SCALES WITH THE GREATEST CAPITAL
- 00:20:40INFRASTRUCTURE. WE'RE GOING TO BE PRODUCING MODELS, WHICH I
- 00:20:42WILL TRAIN THE IMPRESSIVE, BUT EQUALLY
- 00:20:47KNOWLEDGE SPREADS FOSSA THAN WE'VE EVER SEEN IN THE HISTORY
- 00:20:52OF HUMANITY. AND SO THE OPEN SOURCE MODELS WHICH 100% FREE
- 00:20:55WITHIN 18 MONTHS OF THE QUALITY AND PERFORMANCE AS THEY WERE IN
- 00:20:58THE PRIVATE SPACE, YOU KNOW, JUST A MOMENT AGO, NOT THAT'S A
- 00:21:01VERY, VERY BIG DEAL, RIGHT? AND I THINK THAT SHOULD
- 00:21:04ACTUALLY IS GOING TO CONTINUE GPT 3
- 00:21:09TENS OF MILLIONS OF DOLLARS TO TRAIN AND IS NOW AVAILABLE FREE
- 00:21:12AND OPEN SOURCE. YOU CAN OPERATE ON A SINGLE PHONE
- 00:21:15SUNDAY ON A LAPTOP GBT FOR THE SAME STORY. SO I THINK THAT
- 00:21:18THAT'S GOING TO MAKE THE RULE MATERIALS NECESSARY TO BE
- 00:21:22CREATIVE AND ENTREPRENEURIAL, CHEAPER AND MORE AVAILABLE THAN
- 00:21:22EVER BEFORE.
- 00:21:25>> OK, SO I KNOW YOU'RE AT ONE OF THE DOW, THE BIG GIANTS IN
- 00:21:29TECH. BUT LET ME ASK YOU THIS. HOW DO YOU THINK,
- 00:21:32HONESTLY, ABOUT THE CONCENTRATION OF POWER IN
- 00:21:35TECHNOLOGY, ESPECIALLY AS IT RELATES TO I BECAUSE ONE OF
- 00:21:37THINGS THAT'S PASSING, BUT I AT LEAST THESE LARGE LANGUAGE
- 00:21:41MODELS, YOU NEED AN ENORMOUS AMOUNT OF COMPUTE, WHICH MEANS
- 00:21:44YOU NEED AN ENORMOUS AMOUNT OF MONEY. AND
- 00:21:46IF THIS IS NOT STUFF THAT'S BEING BUILT IN A GARAGE
- 00:21:51ANYMORE. AND SO THE THE TRUE POWER HAS ACTUALLY GONE BACK TO
- 00:21:55MIKE OF YOU. YOU ENDED UP BACK AT MICROSOFT. THERE'S GOOGLE.
- 00:21:59AMAZON IS IS TRYING TO BUILD. AND I EVEN OPENAI WHICH WAS ON
- 00:22:03ITS OWN, DECIDED TO ULTIMATELY PARTNER WITH MICROSOFT.
- 00:22:06IS THIS A GOOD THING IS A BAD THING? LINA KHAN AND OTHERS
- 00:22:09HAVE LOOKED AT IT. IT'S NOT THAT
- 00:22:13THERE'S BEEN WHOLESALE MERGERS OF THESE THINGS BUT EVEN THE
- 00:22:15PARTNERSHIPS UNTO THEMSELVES.
- 00:22:18>> YEAH, THIS LOOK, IT MAKES ME VERY ANXIOUS THAT THE REALITY
- 00:22:22IS EVERY WAY YOU LOOK, WE SEE BRAD PITT CONCENTRATIONS,
- 00:22:25WHETHER IT'S IN NEWS MEDIA AND THE POWER OF THE NEW YORK
- 00:22:28TIMES, THE FINANCIAL TIMES, THE ECONOMIST, THE GREAT NEWS
- 00:22:32ORGANIZATIONS OR WHETHER IT'S IN CITIES, THE CONCENTRATION OF
- 00:22:35POWER AROUND A FEW BIG METROPOLITAN ELITE CITIES,
- 00:22:39WHETHER IT'S IN TECHNOLOGY COMPANIES. AND THE PRACTICAL
- 00:22:43FACT IS THAT OVER TIME POWER OF COMPOUND,
- 00:22:46POWELL HAS A TENDENCY TO ATTRACT MORE POWER BECAUSE IT
- 00:22:49CAN GENERATE THE INTELLECTUAL RESOURCES IN THE FINANCIAL
- 00:22:52RESOURCES TO BE SUCCESSFUL AND OUT COMPETE IN OPEN MARKETS
- 00:22:55ALL. ON THE ONE HAND, IT FEELS LIKE AN INCREDIBLY COMPETITIVE
- 00:23:00SITUATION BETWEEN MICROSOFT, META, GOOGLE AND SO ON. YOU
- 00:23:04KNOW, IT CLEARLY IS ALSO TRUE THAT WE'RE ABLE TO MAKE
- 00:23:07INVESTMENTS THAT JUST PRECEDENT IN CORPORATE HISTORY.
- 00:23:11>> CAN YOU SPEAK TO WHAT I IMAGINE IS A FRIENDLY OR IT
- 00:23:14COULD TURN INTO A FRIEND OF THE SITUATION WITH OPEN AI, WHICH
- 00:23:16IS YOU HAVE THIS PARTNERSHIP NOW, BUT YOU GUYS ARE
- 00:23:20DEVELOPING YOUR OWN TECH AS WELL. YOUR YOUR OWN I IN FACT
- 00:23:22THEY HELP YOU GET TO THE LEAD. I WANT TO READ YOU SOMETHING.
- 00:23:25THIS IS SEMAPHORE I THOUGHT WAS ACTUALLY A FASCINATING
- 00:23:28ANALOGIES. YOU KNOW THIS COOL. OKAY WITH THAT WITH THE TOUR DE
- 00:23:32FRANCE COMING UP, HERE'S A BIKE ANALOGY THAT I THINK EVERYONE
- 00:23:35WILL UNDERSTAND. OPENAI MICROSOFT DURING A 2 PERSON
- 00:23:39BREAKAWAY FAR AHEAD FROM THE PELOTON BY WORKING TOGETHER.
- 00:23:44NOW THEY MIGHT BE ABLE TO KEEP THE LEAD IF EITHER GO SO LOW
- 00:23:48THEY MAY FALL. BOTH BEHIND BOTH COMPANIES HAVE TO THINK ABOUT
- 00:23:53THEIR FINISH LINE STRATEGY WHEN THEY WILL HAVE TO DITCH THE
- 00:23:53OTHER.
- 00:23:58>> YOU'RE ON THE BIKE AGAIN. I DON'T BUY THE METAPHOR THAT
- 00:24:03THERE IS A FINISH LINE. THIS IS ANOTHER FALSE FRAME IS ACTUALLY
- 00:24:07VERY MUCH ALSO TRUE IN THE CONTEXT OF ALL RACE WITH CHINA,
- 00:24:10WE'RE GOING HEAD TO HEAD ITS 0 SUM. THAT WILL BE A FINISH
- 00:24:13LINE. WHEN WE CROSS THAT WE WILL HAVE AN A GIANT IF WE GET
- 00:24:16IT 3 YEARS BEFORE THEM WILL BE ABLE TO DESCEND HOW BIG THIS
- 00:24:20IS. JUST STOP IT. WE HAVE TO STOP FRAMING EVERYTHING IS AN
- 00:24:24ADVERSARIAL RACE LIKE IT IS TRUE THAT WE HAVE FEROCIOUS
- 00:24:26COMPETITION WITH THEM. THEY'RE AN INDEPENDENT COMPANY. WE
- 00:24:29DON'T OWN OR CONTROL THEM. WE DON'T EVEN HAVE ANY BOARD
- 00:24:31MEMBERS. AND YOU KNOW, SO THEY DO THAT, HEIDI, THEIR OWN
- 00:24:34THING. BUT WE HAVE A DEEP PARTNERSHIP, VERY GOOD FRIENDS
- 00:24:38WITH SAM HAVE HUGE RESPECT AND, YOU KNOW, TRUST AND FAITH IN
- 00:24:41WHAT THEY'VE DONE. AND THAT'S HOW IT'S GOING TO ROLL FOR
- 00:24:44MANY, MANY YEARS TO COME. YOU MENTIONED CHINA.
- 00:24:46>> SPEAK TO WHERE YOU THINK AND I KNOW YOU DON'T LIKE THE
- 00:24:49FRAME, BUT I THINK PEOPLE WANT AT LEAST UNDERSTAND WHAT'S
- 00:24:54GOING ON, WHICH IS TO SAY, WHERE ARE WE RELATIVE TO?
- 00:24:56WHERE ARE THEY? YEAH.
- 00:25:00>> WE APPROACHED THIS WITH THE DEFAULT ADVERSARIAL MINDSET,
- 00:25:05WHICH WITH ALL DUE RESPECT TO MY GOOD FRIENDS IN DC AND THE
- 00:25:08MILITARY INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX, IS THAT THE FULL FRAME THAT IT CAN
- 00:25:12ONLY BE A NEW COLD WAR, THEN THAT IS EXACTLY WHAT IT WILL BE
- 00:25:15BECAUSE IT WILL BECOME A SELF-FULFILLING PROPHECY.
- 00:25:17THEY WILL FEAR THAT WE FEAR THAT WE'RE GOING TO BE
- 00:25:21ADVERSARIAL. SO THEY HAVE TO BE ADVERSARIAL AND THIS IS ONLY
- 00:25:24GOING TO ESCALATE AND WILL END IN CATASTROPHE. AND SO WE HAVE
- 00:25:28TO FIND WAYS TO COOPERATE, BE RESPECTFUL OF THEM WAS ALSO
- 00:25:30ACKNOWLEDGING THAT WE HAVE DIFFERENT SET OF VALUES.
- 00:25:34AND FRANKLY, WHEN I LOOK OUT OVER THE NEXT CENTURY, I THINK
- 00:25:39THAT PEACE IS GOING TO BE A PRODUCT OF US AS IN THE WEST
- 00:25:41AND PARTICULARLY AMERICAN LEADING THE TIP OF THE SPEAR
- 00:25:46THAT KNOWING HOW TO GRACEFULLY DEGRADE THE THE THE EMPIRE THAT
- 00:25:49WE HAVE MANAGED OVER THE PREVIOUS CENTURY, BECAUSE THIS
- 00:25:52IS A RISING POWER OF PHENOMENAL FALLS WITH A DIFFERENT SET OF
- 00:25:57VALUES FOR US. AND SO WE HAVE TO FIND WAYS TO COEXIST WITHOUT
- 00:25:59JUDGMENT WITHOUT GOING TO WAR WITH THEM UNNECESSARILY,
- 00:26:02BECAUSE I THINK THAT WOULD BE TERRIBLE FOR BOTH OF US.
- 00:26:07>> YOU MAY DIFFER WITH MY NEXT FRAMING SONG, BUT I'M GONNA TRY
- 00:26:07GREAT.
- 00:26:11THERE IS A DEBATE IN THE INDUSTRY WHETHER YOU LIKE ABOUT
- 00:26:18THIS IDEA OF OPEN SOURCE VERSUS CLOSE SOURCE. I WANT TO CLOSE
- 00:26:21OR SAYS A LOT OF THE THINGS THAT ACTUALLY OPENAI YOU'RE
- 00:26:25DOING AT MICROSOFT. OPEN SOURCE IS AVAILABLE TO THE PUBLIC.
- 00:26:29YOU CAN SEE INSIDE OF IT. AND RIGHT NOW YOU WOULD ARGUE
- 00:26:32THAT A META. THE OWNER, FACEBOOK IS THE LEADER THERE
- 00:26:34WITH ITS LAMA PRODUCT.
- 00:26:36THERE ARE QUESTIONS ABOUT
- 00:26:40BOTH MODELS. ELON MUSK'S THINKS EVERYTHING SHOULD BE OPEN
- 00:26:46SOURCE. I DO A WHOLE BUNCH OF PEOPLE WHO THINK THAT
- 00:26:49FEAR THAT ACTUALLY, IF YOU ALLOW THE OPEN SOURCE TAP INTO
- 00:26:51THE WILD, THAT IT COULD BE MISUSED AND THEREFORE, THAT'S
- 00:26:55WHY THEY'RE ADVOCATES FOR CLOSE SOURCE. YEAH, BECAUSE IT AGAIN
- 00:26:59OVERSEE OBJECT TO THE FRAMING. YOU KNOW, SO.
- 00:27:05>> WE AT MICROSOFT IN MY 4TH WEEK OPEN SOURCE, THE STRONGEST
- 00:27:09MODEL FOR ITS WEIGHT CLASS 5, 3, THAT IS IN THE WILD HANDS
- 00:27:12DOWN. STILL, AS YOU CAN USE IT ON BALLS AND ON DESKTOP,
- 00:27:15THE BEST OPEN SOURCE MODEL. SO WE TOTALLY BELIEVE IN OPEN
- 00:27:18SOURCE AS WELL. AGAIN, IT'S A MISS FRAMING, BUT WE ALSO
- 00:27:21BELIEVE IN CREATING VERY POWERFUL, VERY LARGE, VERY
- 00:27:25EXPENSIVE MODELS, WHICH WE MAY OPEN. SO SOME OF OVERTIME
- 00:27:28SYSTEM, THE WHERE AGAINST OPEN SOURCE TOOL, WE JUST, YOU KNOW,
- 00:27:31TO SEE THAT YOU HAVE TO HAVE A MIXTURE OF APPROACHES.
- 00:27:34>> ALL OF THESE LARGE LANGUAGE MODELS AND ANOTHER SMALLER
- 00:27:36MODELS AS WELL. BUT THE LARGE LINE WAS, MILES IN PARTICULAR,
- 00:27:39AS I MENTIONED AT THE BEGINNING, REQUIRE HUGE AMOUNT
- 00:27:42OF COMPUTING COMPUTING POWER. AND THAT ALSO MEANS THEY
- 00:27:45REQUIRE A TON OF ENERGY. THERE ARE A WHOLE NUMBER OF
- 00:27:49CONVERSATIONS HAPPENING HERE AT THE ASPEN IDEAS FESTIVAL AROUND
- 00:27:53ENERGY USE AND CLIMATE AND THE LIKE. AND I'M CURIOUS WHAT YOU
- 00:27:56THINK ABOUT GIVING ALL THE PLEDGES, FRANKLY, THAT
- 00:27:59TECHNOLOGY COMPANIES MADE EVEN ONLY 2, 3, IN 4 YEARS AGO
- 00:28:04AROUND CLIMATE AND GETTING TO TO 0 BY 2030 AND THE LIKE
- 00:28:08IT APPEARS THAT ON THIS TRAJECTORY, ALL OF THOSE THINGS
- 00:28:08WOULD GO OUT THE WINDOW.
- 00:28:12>> NO. SO WHEN WITH MICROSOFT'S ALREADY 100% RENEWABLE BY THE
- 00:28:14END OF THIS YEAR BY TWENTY-THIRTY WILL BE FULLY
- 00:28:19NET-ZERO, WE'RE ACTUALLY, YOU KNOW, 100% SUSTAINABLE AND OUR
- 00:28:23WATER BY THE END OF NEXT YEAR. SO LOOK WITH VERY COMMITTED TO
- 00:28:26KEEPING UP WITH THAT. AND THE GOOD NEWS ABOUT NEW TO MOM IS
- 00:28:28THAT IT COMES WITH A NEW OPPORTUNITY TO REINFORCE
- 00:28:32SUSTAINABILITY. WHERE'S ALL SUPPLY, I THINK IS MUCH HARDER
- 00:28:34TO MOVE. SO I THINK THAT WE'RE ACTUALLY IN A VERY GOOD PLACE
- 00:28:37ON ITS TRUE THAT IS GOING TO UNPRECEDENTED BUDGET ON THE
- 00:28:42GRID BECAUSE SCALE WISE, WE'RE DEFINITELY CONSUMING FALL MORE
- 00:28:45ENERGY THAN THE GREAT HAS PREVIOUSLY MANAGED. BUT IT'S,
- 00:28:48YOU KNOW, THE GREAT IS LONG OVER DEW, A RADICAL UPLIFT,
- 00:28:50RIGHT? THESE ARE THE KINDS OF INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS THAT
- 00:28:53WE NEED TO BE MAKING IN OUR COUNTRIES IN THE WEST FOR THE
- 00:28:57FUTURE OF, YOU KNOW, SOCIETY SPENDING LESS ON WAR AND MORE
- 00:29:00ON SPENDING HUNDREDS OF BILLIONS OF DOLLARS UP LEVELING
- 00:29:03IOWA, OUR GRID SO THAT WE CAN MANAGE ALL OF THE NEW BATTERY
- 00:29:06SPENT BY SHRI CAPACITY. THAT'S GOING TO COME FROM LOCAL
- 00:29:10GENERATION IN YOUR HOMES AND SMALL BUSINESSES AND COSTS.
- 00:29:12>> DO YOU THINK YOU SPENT A LOT OF TIME IN WASHINGTON? DO YOU
- 00:29:15THINK THE FOLKS IN WASHINGTON WHICH I THINK STRUGGLE TO EVEN
- 00:29:18UNDERSTAND SOCIAL MEDIA UNDERSTAND THIS WEATHER COMES
- 00:29:21TO THE IMPLICATIONS OF AI BUT ALSO THE ENERGY IMPLICATIONS
- 00:29:24AND EVERYTHING ELSE? YEAH, I THINK TO SOME EXTENT THE
- 00:29:27CONVERSATION IS SHIFTING NOW TOWARDS TO RENEWABLE ENERGY
- 00:29:29QUESTION. I THINK PEOPLE TO REALIZE THAT WE CONSUMING VAST
- 00:29:33AMOUNTS OF ENERGY END, YOU KNOW THIS, THIS THIS HAS TO SHIFT,
- 00:29:36BUT IT NEEDS THIS ISN'T GOING TO SHIFT JUST BECAUSE MICROSOFT
- 00:29:39BY 100% RENEWABLE, WHICH OF COURSE GOOGLE DOES AS WELL AND
- 00:29:41THE OTHER COMPANIES HEADING IN THAT DIRECTION. YOU KNOW,
- 00:29:44SO I THINK IT SHOULD BE CELEBRATED. THAT WAS SAYING A
- 00:29:47BIT OF A STANDARD, BUT IT NEEDS NATIONAL INFRASTRUCTURE TO
- 00:29:50SUPPORT THAT TRANSITION.
- 00:29:55HOW DO YOU THINK ABOUT THE COMPETITION WITH OTHERS AND THE
- 00:29:58IDEA THAT SOME IT IS POSSIBLE THAT ACTUALLY USE LARGE
- 00:30:00LANGUAGE MODELS. MAYBE YOU DISAGREE WITH THIS FRAMING
- 00:30:05COULD BECOME COMMODITIZED, WHICH IS TO SAY YOU'VE GOT ONE.
- 00:30:07GOOGLE HAS WON.
- 00:30:09APPLE'S NOW PARTNER WITH OPEN AI, BUT THEY'RE APPARENTLY
- 00:30:13GOING TO PARTNER WITH LOTS OF OTHER PEOPLE. AMAZON, WHICH
- 00:30:15OWNS A PIECE OF ANTHROPIC
- 00:30:18YOU COULD ARGUE HAS ONE IN HIS BUILDING ITS OWN WITH EVERYBODY
- 00:30:21HAVE WON. IF EVERYBODY HAVE ONE, HOW HOW VALUABLE IS IT
- 00:30:25ANYWAY, THAT HAS KNOWLEDGE PROLIFERATES. EVERYTHING
- 00:30:29ESSENTIALLY BECOMES COMMODITIZED AT DEVELOPMENT
- 00:30:32USED TO BE A SUPER UNIQUE, HIGHLY SKILLED.
- 00:30:35>> SET OF THINGS TO A TINY GROUP. NOW EVERYONE CAN SPIN UP
- 00:30:38AND UP INTO THE EARLY WEB DEVELOPMENT. REMEMBER WHEN THAT
- 00:30:41WAS LIKE A REAL THING NOW YOU CAN JUST SEE THE PLUG AND PLAY
- 00:30:44AND DRAG BUTTONS AROUND AND YOU NEED NO TECHNICAL SKILLS
- 00:30:46WHATSOEVER. OTHER THAN BEING ABLE TO POINT A MOUSE TO BUILD
- 00:30:50A PRETTY DECENT WEBSITES OVER TIME AS THE KNOWLEDGE AND
- 00:30:54CAPABILITY PROLIFERATES, IT DOES BECOME COMMODITIZED.
- 00:30:58>> HOW DO YOU THINK ABOUT AI AND HOW FULLY INTEGRATED IN
- 00:31:01THIS COASTAL PRIVACY QUESTION ALSO GOES, BY THE WAY THAN TO
- 00:31:02TRUST QUESTION
- 00:31:06SHOULD GET INTEGRATED INTO EVERYTHING, WHICH IS TO SAY,
- 00:31:09FOR EXAMPLE, RIGHT NOW, THE EU, AS YOU KNOW, HAS ACCUSED
- 00:31:11MICROSOFT OF BREACHING ANTITRUST RULES. YOU SHOULD
- 00:31:15KNOW APPLE HAS DELAYED A INTRODUCING ITS OWN AI FEATURES
- 00:31:18IN THE U BECAUSE OF THE REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT. AND I
- 00:31:22THINK THERE'S A REAL QUESTION ABOUT, YOU KNOW, HOW CONNECTED
- 00:31:26ALL OF THESE PRODUCTS NEED TO BE, FRANKLY, BOTH TO WORK,
- 00:31:29BUT ALSO THERE FOR THEM WHAT THEY DO TO THE REST OF THE
- 00:31:29BUSINESS.
- 00:31:33>> YEAH, I MEAN, I I THINK THAT'S A GOOD QUESTION. SO
- 00:31:38YOU LIKE THE FRONT? YES, FINALLY, HAHA
- 00:31:44FRICTION IS GOING TO BE OFF FRIEND HERE. AND THAT IS A
- 00:31:48DIFFERENT YOU KNOW, THAT IS A A DIFFERENT REALITY TO WHAT WE'VE
- 00:31:52EXPERIENCED IN THE PAST WHERE EVERY, YOU KNOW, SECONDS THAT
- 00:31:55WE CAN GAIN IN PUTTING TECHNOLOGY OUT INTO THE WORLD
- 00:31:59IS ALWAYS PRODUCING NET BENEFIT. AND I JUST THINK,
- 00:32:02YOU KNOW, THESE TECHNOLOGIES OF BECOMING SO POWERFUL, THEY WILL
- 00:32:05BE SO INTIMATE. THEY'LL BE SO EVER-PRESENT THAT THIS IS A
- 00:32:09MOMENT WHERE IT'S FINE TO TAKE STOCK AND THINK AND IF IT TAKES
- 00:32:126 MONTHS LONGER, 18 MONTHS LONGER, WILL, YOU KNOW, MAYBE
- 00:32:17EVEN LONGER THAN THAT. IT'S IT'S IT'S TIME WELL SPENT.
- 00:32:19>> I WANT TO OPEN UP TO QUESTIONS IN JUST A MOMENT.
- 00:32:22BUT I WANT TO TALK ABOUT THE IDEA BEFORE WE DO
- 00:32:26OF THE I GIVE EMOTIONAL INTELLIGENCE AI. THIS WAS
- 00:32:28SOMETHING YOU ACTUALLY SPENT A LOT OF TIME THINKING ABOUT AND
- 00:32:31WORKING ON WHEN IT CAME TO INFLECTION AND WHAT INFLECTION
- 00:32:35WAS ABOUT. YEAH, INFLECTION. HE'S HE'S HE'S A I REGIONAL
- 00:32:40PROJECT HAS BEEN ARE A REMARKABLE EMOTIONAL IQ OR DQ.
- 00:32:44YEAH, OPPONENT TO IT. AND THERE WERE SOME SURVEYS AND OTHER
- 00:32:46THINGS. IT SAID THAT PEOPLE ACTUALLY THOUGHT THAT THEY WHEN
- 00:32:49THEY WERE HAVING CONVERSATIONS WITH IT WAS BETTER THAN HAVING
- 00:32:51A CONVERSATION WITH A HUMAN.
- 00:32:54MAYBE THIS GETS BACK TO SOME OF THE PHILOSOPHICAL CONVERSATIONS
- 00:32:55WE WERE HAVING BEFORE. BUT,
- 00:32:58YOU KNOW, WE'VE ALL SEEN ARE A LOT OF PEOPLE SEE THE MOVIE
- 00:33:00HER. IS THAT REALISTIC?
- 00:33:03>> YOU KNOW, I THINK FOR THE LONGEST TIME IN SILICON VALLEY
- 00:33:06AND IN TECHNOLOGY, WE HAVE BEEN OBSESSED WITH FUNCTIONAL
- 00:33:09UTILITARIANISM. YOU KNOW, YOU WANT TO EFFICIENTLY GET
- 00:33:13SOMEBODY INTO A NAP. SO THAT PROBLEM HELP THEM TO BUY
- 00:33:16SOMETHING, BOOK SOMETHING AND SOMETHING AND THEN GET THEM
- 00:33:16OUT.
- 00:33:20WE NOW HAVE A NEW KIND OF DESIGN MATERIAL, A NEW CLAY,
- 00:33:23IF YOU LIKE, AS CREATIVES DEVELOPED TO PRODUCE
- 00:33:27EXPERIENCES, WHICH SPEAK TO THE OTHER SIDE OF OUR BRAINS,
- 00:33:31YOU KNOW, AND THAT'S AN AMAZING OPPORTUNITY TO DESIGNED WITH
- 00:33:34REAL INTENT TO BE KIND AND RESPECTFUL AND EVEN-HANDED.
- 00:33:37AND YOU'RE RIGHT IN A BUNCH OF THE STUDIES PEOPLE FOUND UP
- 00:33:42HIGH. THE AI THAT I DO PREVIOUSLY WAS JUST VERY KIND
- 00:33:46AND CARING. IT JUST AUST YOU QUESTIONS. IT LISTENED. IT
- 00:33:49RESPONDED WITH ENTHUSIASM. IT WAS SUPPORTIVE. A CHALLENGE
- 00:33:53TO OCCASIONALLY IT WAS ALWAYS EVEN HANDED A NON JUDGMENTAL.
- 00:33:57EVEN IF YOU CAME WITH A QUOTE, UNQUOTE, YOU KNOW, JUDGMENT OR
- 00:34:01WITH THE SORT OF RACIST OR DISCRIMINATE REVIEW, IF YOU,
- 00:34:04YOU KNOW, TALKING ABOUT HOW YOU ARE AFRAID OF NEW IMMIGRANTS
- 00:34:07ARRIVING IN YOUR AREA, TAKING YOUR JOBS OR AFRAID OF YOUR
- 00:34:11CHILD MARRYING A BLACK PERSON OR, YOU KNOW, IT WOULDN'T JUST
- 00:34:13SHUT YOU DOWN AND SAY THAT'S LIKE YOU SHOULDN'T BE SAYING
- 00:34:16THAT IT WOULDN'T ADD MORE TOXICITY TO THE EQUATION.
- 00:34:19IT WOULD ACTUALLY ENGAGE WITH YOU AND TALK AND HELP YOU
- 00:34:22EXPLORE YOUR FEELINGS WAS ALSO BEING HYPE AND KNOWLEDGEABLE
- 00:34:25AND, YOU KNOW, TEACHING YOU IN PROVIDING YOU WITH ACCESS TO
- 00:34:28INFORMATION IN REAL TIME ON THE WEB. AND SO I THINK IT WAS A
- 00:34:33PROOF POINT THAT TECHNOLOGY IS DESIGNED WITH INTENTIONALITY
- 00:34:36REALLY CAN MAKE A DIFFERENCE AT ALL POSSIBLE. NOW WITH THIS
- 00:34:38NEW, LET ME READ ONE INTERESTING POINT, THOUGH,
- 00:34:40BECAUSE OF THE CONTROVERSIAL TOPICS IN ALL OF US.
- 00:34:44>> MAY ULTIMATELY END UP TALKING TO AN AI BOT ABOUT
- 00:34:48WHICH IS WHO IS THE THE GOD, IF YOU WILL. THAT'S GOING TO TELL
- 00:34:49US WHAT'S RIGHT AND WRONG.
- 00:34:52AND THIS IS SOMETHING WE'VE HEARD ABOUT, BY THE WAY,
- 00:34:55FROM ELON MUSK WHO SAID THAT HE BELIEVES THAT THERE SHOULD BE
- 00:34:58MULTIPLE AI BOTS AND THERE SHOULD BE, YOU KNOW, IF YOU
- 00:35:01WANT TO HAVE A RACIST AI BOT THAT SHOULD BE AVAILABLE TO YOU
- 00:35:04FROM A FREE SPEECH PERSPECTIVE. I DON'T KNOW IF YOU THINK
- 00:35:05THAT'S TRUE. YEAH.
- 00:35:07>> YEAH, I MEAN THAT THAT'S A VERY GOOD QUESTION. SO AT THE
- 00:35:10VERY LEAST, I THINK THE DEFAULT POSITION IS THAT IT SHOULD
- 00:35:13FACILITATE YOUR OWN THINKING AN EXPLORATION IN A NON-JUDGMENTAL
- 00:35:16WAY. NOW THAT WILL BE BOUNDARIES THAT BECAUSE IF YOU
- 00:35:20WANT TO FACILITATE MORE EXTREME EXPERIENCES, THEN THIS IS NOT
- 00:35:23GOING TO BE I'M NOT GONNA BUILD A PLATFORM OR PRODUCT THAT
- 00:35:27ENABLES YOU TO REINFORCE THOSE IDEAS THAT COULD BE POTENTIALLY
- 00:35:31HARMFUL TO SOCIETY MORE GENERALLY. THE QUESTION IS WHO
- 00:35:34GETS TO DEFINE WHAT THAT BOUNDARY IS THAT HOME? AND I
- 00:35:36THINK YOU DON'T RAISE A GOOD POINT. WE'RE ALL THINKING ABOUT
- 00:35:40EXACTLY THAT QUESTION IN SOCIAL MEDIA. THERE REALLY WAS AN
- 00:35:44INDEPENDENT VOICE THAT SAID, WELL, THIS KIND OF CONSPIRACY
- 00:35:48THEORY IS LEGITIMATE AS A SOURCE OF ACTIVE PUBLIC INQUIRY
- 00:35:51AND DISCUSSION. BUT THIS KIND OF CONSPIRACY THEORY, QUOTE,
- 00:35:55UNQUOTE, IS OVER THE LINE AND WE SHOULD REMOVE IT. AND I I
- 00:35:58JUST THINK WE'VE HAD 10 TO 15 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE OF SOCIAL
- 00:36:03MEDIA AND WE STILL DON'T HAVE GOOD PROPOSALS FOR HOW SOCIETY
- 00:36:06MORE GENERALLY, NOT NECESSARILY JUST THE POLITICIANS WILL THE
- 00:36:10JOHN LIST. SO THE ELITES BUT COLLECTIVELY GETS TO INFLUENCE
- 00:36:12WHERE THAT BOUNDARY OF MODERATION IS. WE'RE ABOUT TO
- 00:36:16SEE THAT BOUNDARY BE CONTESTED, EVEN MORE ACUTELY AND
- 00:36:18DYNAMICALLY WITH THESE MODELS. RIGHT? AND SO, YOU KNOW,
- 00:36:22I THINK THAT SHOULD BE LIKE THE THAT IS MUCH MORE IMPORTANT
- 00:36:25QUESTION THAN WHEN WILL THE SINGULARITY HAPPENED? OKAY.
- 00:36:27FINAL QUESTION FOR ME. AND THEN WE'RE GOING TO OPEN UP AND I
- 00:36:29KNOW THERE'S MICROPHONES IN THE ROOM. THERE'S A WHOLE BUNCH OF
- 00:36:31PEOPLE IN THIS ROOM. THEY'RE GOING TO WATCH AND GO TO THE
- 00:36:35WATCH PARTY ON THURSDAY NIGHT OF THE DEBATES. AND WE HAVEN'T
- 00:36:38REALLY TALKED ABOUT POLITICS IN THIS ELECTION.
- 00:36:42JUST PLAYED OUT FOR US. THE ROLE OF AI.
- 00:36:47>> THE ELECTION OF 2024 AND THEN PLAY OUT THE ROLE OF AI IN
- 00:36:50THE ELECTION OF 2028. YEAH.
- 00:36:55>> SO THE VIEW THAT WE'VE TAKEN FOR MICROSOFT CO PILOT SO FAR
- 00:36:59HAS BEEN THAT'S HEY, ICE SHOULD NOT PARTICIPATE IN
- 00:37:03ELECTIONEERING CAMPAIGNING, EVEN IF THEY SUCCESSFULLY
- 00:37:04PROVIDE FACTUAL INFORMATION.
- 00:37:07AND, YOU KNOW, THAT'S A VIEW. PEOPLE CAN DISAGREE WITH THAT
- 00:37:11VIEW. BUT WE'VE TAKEN A PRETTY HARD LINE ON THAT BECAUSE WE
- 00:37:16KNOW THE TECHNOLOGY ISN'T QUITE YET GOOD ENOUGH TO ARTICULATE
- 00:37:19THAT BOUNDARY BETWEEN WHAT IS, YOU KNOW, A FALSEHOOD AND WHAT
- 00:37:23IT'S TRUE IN REAL TIME, RIGHT? AND THIS IS JUST TOO SENSITIVE
- 00:37:25FOR US TO PARTICIPATE. SO THERE'S GOING TO BE SOME
- 00:37:29DOWNSIDE TO THAT BECAUSE THE AI DOES ALSO PROVIDE QUITE BALANCE
- 00:37:32INFECTION INFORMATION MOST OF THE TIME. BUT SOMETIMES IT GETS
- 00:37:35A CATASTROPHICALLY WRONG. SO I'VE ALWAYS BEEN ADVOCATING
- 00:37:38THAT I SHOULD NOT BE ABLE TO PARTICIPATE IN ELECTIONS AND
- 00:37:41DEMOCRACY IS SACROSANCT THROUGH ALL OF ITS FAULTS AND
- 00:37:44STRENGTHS. IT IS SOMETHING THAT HUMANS PARTICIPATE IN THE I
- 00:37:51SHOULDN'T IN 2030, OR 2035, WE KINDA HAVE TO FACE THE REALITY
- 00:37:54THAT SOME PEOPLE FEEL SO ATTACHED TO THAT PERSONAL EYES
- 00:37:57THAT THEY WILL ADVOCATE FOR PERSON. HOOD, JUST AS THERE ARE
- 00:37:59SOME PEOPLE WHO ADVOCATE FOR PERSON AND FOR THE ANIMALS,
- 00:38:02FOR EXAMPLE, YOU KNOW, IN KIND OF MORE EXTREME ANIMAL RIGHTS
- 00:38:06CASES. AND I I AGAIN, THIS IS A PERSONAL VIEW, BUT THIS IS
- 00:38:07SOMETHING THAT WE'LL HAVE TO DEBATE.
- 00:38:10I THINK WE SHOULD TAKE A HARD LINE ON THAT. I JUST WANT TO
- 00:38:15KNOW WILL DEMOCRACY IS FOR HUMANS AND OTHER KIND FORMS OF
- 00:38:18BEING SHOULDN'T REALLY BE ABLE TO PARTICIPATE. KT KNOW WE HAVE
- 00:38:23A PANEL AND 30 IN 2035. THEM ABOUT HUMAN HOOD FOR FOR THE
- 00:38:23BUCS.
- 00:38:25>> WE'VE GOT A WHOLE BUNCH OF HANDS. WE'VE GOT NOT A LOT OF
- 00:38:31TIMES. WE'LL TRY TO GO AS FAST AS WE CAN. WHAT DO WE GO RIGHT
- 00:38:34OVER HERE? AND THEN WE'LL COME DOWN HERE AND WE'LL SEE IF WE
- 00:38:39CAN MOVE AROUND AS QUICKLY AS WE CAN IT ABOUT. YEAH.
- 00:38:43>> THANK YOU BOTH FOR BEING HERE TODAY ON VERY INTELLIGENT
- 00:38:47CONVERSATIONS HERE. I JUST WANT MY NAME IS MONICA MAN AND THE
- 00:38:50FORMER DEPUTY MAYOR OF THE CITY OF BOCA RATON, FLORIDA.
- 00:38:54AND I'M ALSO AN OLD-SCHOOL TECHNOLOGIST, OK, DATE MYSELF,
- 00:38:59IBM, COBOL PROGRAMMERS. SO I I WATCH TECHNOLOGY THROUGH THE
- 00:39:01LAST 30, 40 YEARS
- 00:39:05AND I UNDERSTAND THE SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPLICATIONS
- 00:39:07AND APPLICATIONS OF AI
- 00:39:10THE LAST SEVERAL YEARS. CRYPTOCURRENCY HAS BEEN LIKE A
- 00:39:13BIG BUZZWORD. EVERYBODY'S TALKING ABOUT THE CURRENCY,
- 00:39:14THIS AND THAT
- 00:39:18UNTIL SPF CONVICTION FRAUD SEVERAL MONTHS AGO.
- 00:39:22SO NOW I FEEL LIKE EYES THE NEW WORD.
- 00:39:25WE'VE GOT A VERY SHORT AMOUNT OF TIMES. YOU'VE GOT TO PUT A
- 00:39:26QUESTION, MARK,
- 00:39:31WHAT ARE THEIR CONCERNS THAT I WILL BE COOL UNTIL THE NEXT BIG
- 00:39:33TECHNOLOGY REVOLUTION?
- 00:39:37>> NO, I DON'T THINK SO. I HAVE HEARD THE COMPARISONS
- 00:39:38AND I THINK THAT
- 00:39:41CRYPTOCURRENCY, IN MY OPINION TO STA DIDN'T REALLY DELIVER
- 00:39:45VALUE EVEN IN THE MOMENT. AND I THINK THAT THE VALUE THAT
- 00:39:49THESE MODELS ALREADY DELIVERIES KIND OF OBJECTIVELY TO
- 00:39:53TO GET A MICROPHONE RIGHT DOWN HERE.
- 00:39:58>> IF YOU'D LIKE, THEY WON'T BE. BUT WE'RE GOING TO WE'RE
- 00:40:00GOING TO EVERY QUESTIONS 20 SECONDS OR LESS, LITERALLY,
- 00:40:03BECAUSE WE HAVE WE'VE GOT TO HAVE A LOT OF MONAHAN'S AND
- 00:40:06VERY LITTLE TIME AND LYNDA RESNICK, WE EDUCATE 5,000
- 00:40:07UNDERSERVED CHILDREN.
- 00:40:11>> AND I'M I'M GRAPPLING, YOU KNOW, WE FORCED HIM BEHIND THEM
- 00:40:15FOR THE LAST 10 YEARS. AND NOW I'M BEGINNING TO THINK THAT WE
- 00:40:17HAVE TO TEACH MORE ABOUT THE HUMANITIES.
- 00:40:20AND I JUST WONDERED HOW YOU FELT ABOUT THAT BECAUSE THAT
- 00:40:24WAY THEY CAN MAKE A CHOICE AND UNDERSTAND IF WE LOOK AT THE
- 00:40:27GREAT SCHOLARS OF OUR HISTORY LIKE THE ASPEN INSTITUTE,
- 00:40:31HE TEACHES US GREAT YESTERDAY. I'M I'M WITH YOU ON THAT FELT
- 00:40:31ABOUT THAT.
- 00:40:33>> I'M VERY MUCH WITH YOU ON THAT. I THINK ACTUALLY, IF YOU
- 00:40:36LOOK BACK IN HISTORY, THE GREATEST GOAL AS A VOICE BEEN
- 00:40:38AL MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCHOLARS AND IN THE PASS, THAT REALLY
- 00:40:41WASN'T THIS ACCUTE DISTINCTION BETWEEN STEM AND HUMANITIES.
- 00:40:45AGAIN, IT'S QUITE OF SIMPLISTIC ADVERSARIAL POSITION. I'M A
- 00:40:48GREAT BELIEVER IN BOTH. AND YOU KNOW, I THINK THAT
- 00:40:51MULTIDISCIPLINARY SKILLS SAW GOING TO BE THE, YOU KNOW,
- 00:40:53THE ESSENCE OF THE FUTURE.
- 00:40:58>> MYRIAM SEVERE O C S I S NONRESIDENT SENIOR ADVISER
- 00:41:01WANTED TO ASK YOU A LITTLE MORE SPECIFICALLY ABOUT
- 00:41:04MISINFORMATION AND DISINFORMATION AND WHAT YOU
- 00:41:08THINK SHOULD BE DONE TO ADDRESS THOSE CONCERNS.
- 00:41:10>> YEAH, I MEAN, I THINK ON THE DIS-INFORMATION FROM THERE ARE
- 00:41:14CLEARLY BAD ACTORS WHO, FOR MANY, MANY, IS HAVE BEEN
- 00:41:17ACTIVELY TRYING TO POLLUTE THE INFORMATION ECOSYSTEM. AND I
- 00:41:22THINK THAT, YOU KNOW, OUR OUR BIG TECH PLATFORMS COULD DO
- 00:41:25MORE AGGRESSIVE JOB OF WEEDING THOSE OUT. AT THE SAME TIME,
- 00:41:28WE'RE TRYING TO STRETCH TRENT THIS LINE FOR NOT SORT OF
- 00:41:31DAMAGING, YOU KNOW, THE THE FREE SPEECH THAT WE WILL VALUE,
- 00:41:33RIGHT? SO, YOU KNOW, THIS IS GOING TO BE A CONSTANT
- 00:41:37WHAC-A-MOLE GAME, ESPECIALLY AS THE COST OF PRODUCTION OF THAT.
- 00:41:41THIS INFORMATION GOES DOWN AND THE EASE WITH WHICH LESS
- 00:41:44CAPABLE ACT IS LOOKING TO BE ABLE TO PRODUCE VAST AMOUNTS OF
- 00:41:47THAT CONTENT. AT THE SAME TIME, HAVE FAITH IN HUMANITY WERE
- 00:41:51INCREDIBLY RESILIENT AND ADAPTIVE. AND YOU AS WE SOAR IN
- 00:41:53THE INDIAN ELECTION WITH THE SPREAD OF MISINFORMATION,
- 00:41:56DEEPFAKES THE PEOPLE THAT THAT REAL QUICK AND THEY CAN TELL
- 00:41:59THE DIFFERENCE IN THE SKEPTICAL AND THAT IF IT MAKES US A
- 00:42:02LITTLE MORE INQUISITIVE AND QUESTIONING AND ENGAGED IN THE
- 00:42:04PROCESS, I THINK THAT'S A GOOD THING.
- 00:42:08>> GOOD QUESTION OVER HERE. THANK YOU. AGAIN, I GO BACK TO
- 00:42:09CHINA.
- 00:42:12I FEEL YA. NATIONAL SECURITY IS DRIVING A POLICY
- 00:42:20TECHNOLOGY AND AND CLEARLY WHAT POINT A POTENTIALLY NO RETURN
- 00:42:25WITH THAT RESULTING TO DEVELOP INTO DIFFERENT TECHNOLOGIES
- 00:42:25STANDARDS.
- 00:42:27WHAT ARE WE THERE IN YOUR OPINION?
- 00:42:29>> NO, I TOOK A I THINK,
- 00:42:32FOR MIGHT TALK ABOUT COOPERATION. I'M ALSO VERY
- 00:42:36PRAGMATIC ABOUT THE BALKANIZATION, WHICH IS ALREADY
- 00:42:39TAKING PLACE. THE FACT THAT, YOU KNOW, OUR EXPORT CONTROLS
- 00:42:43NOW HAVE ESSENTIALLY FORCE CHINA TO DEVELOP THEIR OWN
- 00:42:46CHIP, WHICH THEY WON'T NECESSARILY ON A PASS TO DO.
- 00:42:48AND, YOU KNOW, AGAIN, SMART PEOPLE CAN DISAGREE ABOUT THE
- 00:42:52SAME FACTS WHEN WE TOOK THE VIEW. I MEAN, UDC TOOK THE VIEW
- 00:42:55THAT, YOU KNOW, WE HAVE TO SEPARATE AND THAT'S THE PASTA
- 00:42:58WE NOW ON AND THAT BUILDING THEIR OWN TECHNOLOGY ECOSYSTEM
- 00:43:01AND THERE SPREADING THAT AROUND THE WORLD. WE SHOULD REALLY PAY
- 00:43:04CLOSE ATTENTION MUCH AS WE'RE OBSESSED OVER THE QUESTION OF
- 00:43:07THE MIDDLE EAST AND THAT, YOU KNOW, IT'S AN IMPORTANT
- 00:43:09QUESTION, BUT LET'S NOT NEGLECT. THE FACT THAT, YOU
- 00:43:13KNOW, DIGITIZE ATION IS A NEW KIND OF, YOU KNOW,
- 00:43:16INSTEAD OF SHAPING OF VALUES IN AFRICA. AND THE PROVISION OF
- 00:43:20SATELLITE COMMUNICATIONS AND OPERATING SYSTEMS ARE READY
- 00:43:24GOING TO SHAPE THE NEXT FEW DECADES IN A MUCH MORE PROFOUND
- 00:43:25WAY THAN BOOTS ON THE GROUND.
- 00:43:27>> OK, THAT'S GOING MAKE A PHONY IN THE CHEAP SEATS ARE
- 00:43:30THE IMPORTANT SEATS ALL THE WAY IN THE BACK? I THINK I THINK I
- 00:43:33SEE A HAND IN THE ABSOLUTE BACK ROW AND JUST FOR SITTING IN THE
- 00:43:34BACK ROW. WE'RE GOING GIVE YOU A QUESTION,
- 00:43:38MAKE IT QUICK BECAUSE WE'VE GOT ABOUT LITERALLY A MINUTE.
- 00:43:43>> HELLO A SUMMER. THEY COME TO US AND US AND I'M AN EDUCATOR
- 00:43:45IN NEW JERSEY FOR 8 YEARS. SHOUT OUT TO MY STUDENTS.
- 00:43:49SHE'S RIGHT HERE. SO I'VE BEEN ARGUING A LOT WITH A LOT OLDER
- 00:43:54TEACHERS FOR USING AI BECAUSE I'M A HUGE ADVOCATE FOR IT.
- 00:43:57WHAT WOULD YOU SAY TO THOSE SPECIFIC TEACHERS AND HOW DO
- 00:44:00YOU THINK TEACHERS CAN ACTUALLY UTILIZE? I KNOW YOU SPOKE
- 00:44:05BRIEFLY ABOUT STUDENTS, BUT I WANT TO KNOW THE EDUCATOR'S
- 00:44:05PERSPECTIVE.
- 00:44:07>> YEAH, GREAT, GREAT QUESTION. I MEAN, YOU KNOW, I THINK
- 00:44:12SKIING AI TO PRODUCE A LESSON PLANS AS SORT OF THE FIRST ONE
- 00:44:17INTRODUCTION, BUT PERFORMING ALONGSIDE A I IT'S KIND OF AN
- 00:44:20INTERESTING NEW DIRECTION TO TAKE IT LIKE WHAT WOULD IT LOOK
- 00:44:24LIKE FOR A GREAT TEACH OR EDUCATE TO HAVE A PROFOUND
- 00:44:28CONVERSATION WITH AN AI THAT IS LIVE IN IN FRONT OF THEIR
- 00:44:32AUDIENCE AND THEN OCCASIONALLY ENGAGE, YOU KNOW, THAT STUDENTS
- 00:44:36TO GET INVOLVED? I MEAN, YOU KNOW, LITERALLY BY THE END OF
- 00:44:41THIS YEAR, WE'LL HAVE REAL-TIME VOICE-BASED INTERFACES THAT
- 00:44:42ALLOW
- 00:44:45FULL DYNAMIC INTERRUPT. AND IT FEELS LIKE JUST TALKING,
- 00:44:48YOU KNOW, LIKE I AM RIGHT NOW WITHOUT INJURY. IT'S JUST A
- 00:44:52COMPLETELY DIFFERENT EXPERIENCE. I THINK THAT LIKE
- 00:44:55LEANING INTO THAT SHOWING THE BEAUTY OF THAT AND BEING
- 00:44:57CREATIVE WITH IT IS IS IS REALLY THE FUTURE.
- 00:45:01>> FOLKS IT TO BOTH. THANK YOU AND ALSO APOLOGIZE BECAUSE
- 00:45:03WE'RE OUT OF TIME. I WANT TO THANK YOU FOR YOUR FABULOUS
- 00:45:06QUESTIONS. BUT PLEASE JOIN ME IN THANKING THIS GENTLEMAN FOR
- 00:45:08A FABULOUS CONVERSATION.
- 00:45:10>> ON THE HUNT.
- 00:45:12THANK YOU, BUDDY.
- AI
- Safety
- Regulation
- DeepMind
- Microsoft
- Demis Hassabis
- Technology
- Future
- Governance
- Education