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KATHLEEN WENDT:
Extreme climate events
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are happening all
over the world.
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They are becoming more
common and more severe.
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To help us deal with
these challenges,
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we need to understand
the causes.
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CRYSTAL KOLDEN: In just the
last decade, 2010 to 2020,
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we saw the hottest decade ever.
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RALPH KEELING: You
look at the data
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and you can't deny that humans
are having a profound impact
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on the whole planet.
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KATHLEEN WENDT: It's only
by understanding the science
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will we find the solutions.
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ASMERET ASEFAW BERHE:
It's a lot of work,
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but it also comes with a
number of opportunities.
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KATHLEEN WENDT: If the
past teaches us anything,
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it's that now is a
better time than ever
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to start making major changes.
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CRYSTAL KOLDEN: In 2020,
we had the largest number
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of mega-fires across the
Western US that we've ever seen.
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When we have multiyear
droughts that
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then leave behind an enormous
amount of dead downed wood,
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when an ignition
does occur, there's
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an enormous amount of fuel.
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It allows for incredibly
explosive growth.
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That spreads the fire
quickly across the landscape.
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We just didn't see these
mega-fires 20, 30 years ago.
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And now we're seeing
them annually.
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KATHLEEN WENDT: The
drought's driving
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these mega-fires are
occurring at a time
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that the Earth is warming.
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ASMERET ASEFAW BERHE:
We've been monitoring
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atmospheric temperatures around
the world since the 1880s,
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and the global
average temperature
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has changed by about 1
degree centigrade since then.
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KATHLEEN WENDT: What
is driving this rise?
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To answer that, we need to
understand the factors that
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control Earth's temperature.
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ASMERET ASEFAW BERHE:
There are three factors.
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The intensity of
solar radiation,
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the composition of the
Earth's atmosphere,
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and the reflectivity of the
ground surface or albedo.
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Scientists have
continuously been
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monitoring solar
radiation and the surface
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reflectivity for decades now.
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And we know that those haven't
changed significantly enough
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to contribute to
warming our planet.
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KATHLEEN WENDT: So that
leaves the atmosphere.
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How does it affect temperature?
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ASMERET ASEFAW BERHE: So the
sun is the dominant source
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of energy on Earth.
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When solar energy comes down
to the Earth, some of it
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is reflected back from
reflective surfaces.
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Some of it is absorbed
by the ground surface
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and is re-radiated back to the
atmosphere as infrared energy.
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Gases, such as carbon
dioxide, methane,
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or water vapor that accumulate
in the Earth's atmosphere,
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they're absorbing
that irradiated heat
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and are able to trap
that heat and cause
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warming of our planet.
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And that's what we call
the greenhouse effect.
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KATHLEEN WENDT:
Has the atmosphere
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been changing in a
way that could explain
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the increase in temperatures?
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To find out, scientists need to
measure the greenhouse gases,
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especially carbon dioxide,
which is one of the most
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abundant in our atmosphere.
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RALPH KEELING:
Charles David Keeling
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pioneered the measurement
of carbon dioxide
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with higher accuracy than it
had ever been done before.
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And he was my father.
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He went by Dave.
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KATHLEEN WENDT: Dave
started taking air samples
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in the mid-1950s
with glass flasks.
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RALPH KEELING: This flask that's
been evacuated, so there's
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no air in it nothing.
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So what you do to take an air
sample is holding our breath,
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and then we just
turn this stopcock,
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and the air just rushes in.
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So this flask, it'll be placed
on this rack and then analyzed,
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and that allows you to
very accurately measure
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how much carbon
dioxide is in the air.
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Among the places he
started making measurements
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was Mauna Loa, which is on
the Big Island of Hawaii.
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It allows you to
sample air that's
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representative of a large
part of the atmosphere.
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KATHLEEN WENDT: Keeling's
first monthly reading
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was 315 parts per million.
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That means for every million
molecules of air, 315 of them
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were carbon dioxide.
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From March 1958 to March
1959, daily air measurements
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were taken.
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RALPH KEELING: So the carbon
dioxide went up to a peak
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and then came down and
then came up again.
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KATHLEEN WENDT: What could
cause this pattern to occur?
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RALPH KEELING: In the spring
and summer, plants leaf out,
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and they take up CO2
from the atmosphere,
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and that produces a drawdown.
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And then in the
fall and the winter,
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CO2 is being released
back, because there's
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decomposition going on.
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And that brings
CO2 back up again.
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He was seeing the
breathing of carbon dioxide
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in and out of the atmosphere
caused by vegetation
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in the northern hemisphere.
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KATHLEEN WENDT: Within the
first few years, the same carbon
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dioxide seasonal cycle
appeared, but another pattern
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began to emerge.
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RALPH KEELING: He could see
that the CO2 overall was rising.
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Mauna Loa was only
one piece of it.
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There was also
measurements being
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made on ships and airplanes and
particularly at the South Pole
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all documenting, very
clearly, this rise.
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The program my father
started, which I continue
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involves keeping
the measurements
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going at Mauna Loa.
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But we also take air samples
from around the world,
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so we get a large scale
view of how CO2 is varying.
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In the late '50s when
my father started,
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the concentrations
in the atmosphere
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were around 315
parts per million.
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And they're now over 100
parts per million above that.
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Today, we're recording
concentrations around 415 parts
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per million.
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We are still marching upwards.
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KATHLEEN WENDT: Carbon dioxide
levels in the atmosphere
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are increasing dramatically.
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But is this a new phenomenon?
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And in order to answer that,
we have to look into the past.
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So we use ice cores.
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So when we drill into
these Antarctic ice
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sheets over a mile deep,
these long ice cores
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allows us a window
into the past.
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When it snows every
year, little packets
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of air that are in between
the individual snowflakes
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get trapped as bubbles.
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These snow layers build
up on top of each other.
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The further we drill
down, the older the ice.
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And so far, we've been
able to drill down to ice
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that is 800,000 years old.
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Polar ice kind of is like
a constellation of bubbles.
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And trapped inside
each of these bubbles
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is fossil air that's been
trapped since that ice formed.
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And they allow us to study what
greenhouse gas concentrations
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were in the past.
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So we place a sample of
Antarctic ice in a glass flask,
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and then we vacuum away
all of the modern air.
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Then we left the
Antarctic ice melt,
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and the tiny bubbles that
are trapped inside the ice
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are released into the vacuum.
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We can measure what
the greenhouse gas
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concentrations were at the
time of this bubble formation.
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Going back 800,000 years
ago, we see fluctuations
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in carbon dioxide
concentrations over time,
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from about 180 parts per million
up to 300 parts per million.
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And then we reach a period
of the Industrial Revolution,
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CO2 concentrations
begin to gradually rise.
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And over the last
30 years, we've
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seen a skyrocket of
CO2 concentrations
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up to the point of
415 parts per million.
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Ice cores can also
tell scientists
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about past temperatures.
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So by analyzing
the water molecules
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in the ice of
these ice cores, we
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can determine what the past
temperature of the poles was.
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So when we plot
the carbon dioxide
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record and the
temperature record
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going back 800,000
years, whenever
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there is a fall or rise
in CO2 concentrations,
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we see an associated
change in temperatures.
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And this tells us that
throughout Earth's history,
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temperature and CO2
concentrations are intimately
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linked.
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This rise in carbon
dioxide is causing a rise
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in global average temperatures.
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And this rate is completely
unprecedented-- it's
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something we've never seen over
the course of human history.
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What is causing it?
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The carbon atom can
help us find out.
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Carbon always has six protons.
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Now, most carbon also has
six neutrons in its nucleus,
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and that gives it a mass of 12.
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We refer to it as
carbon-12 some.
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Carbon however,
has seven neutrons.
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And so that has a mass of
13, and we call it carbon-13.
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The different varieties of
carbon and carbon dioxide
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allow us to determine whether
the CO2 comes from plants,
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volcanoes, or the oceans.
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Plants prefer to take up
carbon-12 for photosynthesis.
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And so what happens is
that this plant matter
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is made up of much, much more
carbon-12 than carbon-13.
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This carbon-12 preference
creates a distinctive ratio,
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which is also in the
carbon dioxide released
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when plants die or are burnt.
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The carbon dioxide coming
from volcanoes and oceans
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has a different ratio.
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Over the past century, the
carbon-13 to carbon-12 ratio
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in the atmosphere has
become more and more
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like the ratio found in plants.
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But how?
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Fossil fuels are made
of ancient plants.
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And so when we dig
them up and burn them,
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we're emitting more and more
carbon-12 into the atmosphere.
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And this is changing the
carbon-13 to carbon-12 ratio
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within the atmosphere.
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This tells us definitively that
the rise in CO2 concentrations
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that we're observing today
is due to the burning
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of fossil fuels.
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The past 250 years of
burning fossil fuels
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has caused global
average temperatures
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to rise by 1 degree
Celsius, which
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is creating massive
disruptions across the planet.
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CRYSTAL KOLDEN: When we trap
more heat in our atmosphere,
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that energy is what actually
translates into extreme events.
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So if we continue to
burn fossil fuels,
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we will see an increase
of 3 to 5 degrees Celsius
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over the next century,
increasing mega-fires that
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are incredibly destructive.
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When you couple sea level rise
with events like hurricanes
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and typhoons, across
the globe, you
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have millions and millions of
people, animals, and plants
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that are likely to be displaced.
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RALPH KEELING: If we
don't bend this curve,
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we're not in a good place.
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It is something that
humans created, this rise.
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And we're in a position
to do something about it.
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KATHLEEN WENDT: To
stop carbon dioxide
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from increasing further, we
need to reduce or eliminate
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the burning of fossil fuels.
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ASMERET ASEFAW
BERHE: And that has
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to mean converting
our energy sources
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in all aspects of our lives--
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in industry and agriculture
and transportation
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into renewable systems
as soon as possible.
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This transition
also brings a number
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of opportunities for green
jobs and green technology.
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And the same time, we
also have to draw down
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some of the carbon
dioxide that's
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already in the atmosphere.
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Another major solution to
draw down the carbon dioxide
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lies right under our
foot, and it's soil.
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Soil is one of the major
reservoirs of carbon
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in the Earth's system.
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If we can actually transform
our agricultural practices
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to reduce tilling and reduce
disruption of the soil,
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we can offset a third
of the current emissions
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of fossil fuels into the
atmosphere with soil carbon
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sequestration.
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We have the solutions
for climate change.
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What we need now
is a large number
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of people to have the will to
put those solutions in place
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and act to address
the climate crisis.
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[MUSIC PLAYING]
00:16:14
SINGER: (SINGING) We
have solutions, oh oh oh.
00:16:17
We have the power, ah ah ah.
00:16:21
This is our future, we're
in this together, together.
00:16:28
We can do this, save our planet.
00:16:31
This is our future,
now or never.
00:16:35
Clock is ticking.
00:16:37
Time for action.
00:16:39
We'll [INAUDIBLE] we'll
find a way together.