Buy every share of this stock you can‼️

00:33:53
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XfUnl7Q99Lg

Resumen

TLDRThe video highlights the impressive growth of a public investment account, which has surged from $2.5 million to over $3.3 million in two months. The speaker reflects on the missed opportunities for investors who did not buy during a recent market correction, emphasizing the significant gains of various stocks since then. They discuss the current economic climate, including inflation concerns and the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies, predicting potential rate cuts. The importance of making informed investment decisions and maintaining a diversified portfolio is stressed, along with a recommendation for Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) as a solid investment option. The speaker encourages viewers to join a private stock group for enhanced investment strategies.

Para llevar

  • 💰 Public account value exceeds $3.3 million.
  • 📈 Account grew by over $800,000 in two months.
  • 🚀 Significant stock gains since market correction.
  • 📉 Current market sentiment is increasingly bearish.
  • 📊 Importance of running projections before taking profits.
  • 🏠 Diversified portfolios mitigate risks.
  • 📉 Fed should lower interest rates due to low inflation.
  • 🍰 Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) is a recommended buy.
  • 📈 Strong performance of stocks like ELF and Nvidia.
  • 📚 Join a private stock group for better investment strategies.

Cronología

  • 00:00:00 - 00:05:00

    The public account has significantly increased to over $3.3 million, with a notable gain of $48,000 in a single day. This portfolio has rebounded from $2.5 million to over $800,000 in just two months, prompting a reflection on what could be purchased with that amount, including luxury cars and real estate. The speaker emphasizes the missed opportunities for those who chose not to invest during the market correction, highlighting substantial gains in various stocks since then.

  • 00:05:00 - 00:10:00

    The speaker discusses the performance of several stocks, noting impressive gains for companies like ELF, Hims, Palantir, Nvidia, SoFi, and Meta. Despite the market drama involving figures like Elon Musk and Donald Trump, the speaker points out that the market has been resilient. The video will cover four main topics: the Trump-Powell situation, new data affecting market sentiment, profit-taking strategies, and a recommended stock to buy regularly.

  • 00:10:00 - 00:15:00

    The speaker critiques those who are satisfied with modest gains, arguing that individual stock pickers must outperform the S&P 500 significantly. The public account has achieved a 52% gain over the past year, compared to the S&P's 13%. The importance of having a diverse portfolio is emphasized, as relying on a single successful stock is insufficient for long-term success in investing.

  • 00:15:00 - 00:20:00

    The speaker discusses the ongoing conflict between Trump and Powell regarding interest rates, asserting that the Fed is currently too restrictive. With inflation under control, the speaker believes the Fed should lower rates to avoid recession. The speaker predicts three rate cuts before the year's end, emphasizing that failure to do so will result in blame for the Fed.

  • 00:20:00 - 00:25:00

    Recent investor sentiment data shows an increase in bearishness, with a significant portion of investors feeling negative about the market's future. Despite strong earnings reports, the market remains in a 'hated bull market' phase, where gains are met with skepticism. The speaker reflects on historical trends where hated markets often lead to substantial gains, suggesting that current bearish sentiment may not reflect the market's true potential.

  • 00:25:00 - 00:33:53

    The speaker advises on when to take profits, suggesting it may be wise to do so as the market approaches all-time highs. However, decisions should be based on thorough projections of stock performance rather than emotions. The importance of understanding a company's growth potential and market valuation is stressed, along with the need for a well-rounded portfolio that can withstand market fluctuations.

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Vídeo de preguntas y respuestas

  • What is the current value of the public account mentioned?

    The public account is currently valued at over $3.3 million.

  • How much has the account increased in the last two months?

    The account has increased by over $800,000 in the last two months.

  • What stocks have shown significant gains since the market correction?

    Stocks like ELF, Hims, Palantir, Nvidia, SoFi, and Meta have shown significant gains.

  • What is the speaker's opinion on the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy?

    The speaker believes the Fed should lower interest rates as they are currently too restrictive.

  • What stock does the speaker recommend as a buy?

    The speaker recommends Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) as a buy.

  • What is the importance of having a diversified portfolio?

    A diversified portfolio helps mitigate risks and ensures better performance in varying market conditions.

  • What should investors consider before taking profits?

    Investors should run projections on their stocks to determine if taking profits makes sense based on future growth potential.

  • How does the speaker view the current market sentiment?

    The speaker notes that investor sentiment is increasingly bearish despite strong market performance.

  • What is the significance of the CPI in the current economic context?

    The CPI indicates that there is no current inflation problem, suggesting the Fed should lower rates.

  • What does the speaker suggest for those looking to improve their investment strategies?

    The speaker encourages joining a private stock group for better investment education and strategies.

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Desplazamiento automático:
  • 00:00:01
    $3.3 million. Well over $3.3 million a
  • 00:00:05
    public account is now at this point in
  • 00:00:06
    time. You gota be flipping my flapjacks.
  • 00:00:09
    That's a holy smokes. This ain't no dang
  • 00:00:11
    joke. Up another $48,000 here today in
  • 00:00:13
    the public account. This portfolio 2
  • 00:00:15
    months ago was $2.5 million. It has come
  • 00:00:19
    back over
  • 00:00:20
    $800,000 in a snap of a fingers. And it
  • 00:00:23
    got me to think, what type of flapjacks
  • 00:00:25
    could you get out there for $800,000? So
  • 00:00:27
    here's what you could do. You go down,
  • 00:00:29
    go down to Ferrari Las Vegas, get
  • 00:00:30
    yourself an F8. Oo, that baby's sweet.
  • 00:00:33
    Get yourself the beautiful Oh, timeless
  • 00:00:36
    488. Additionally, you could buy my
  • 00:00:39
    Roma. And there you go. There's $800,000
  • 00:00:41
    right there. You get this nice house
  • 00:00:43
    that looks uh very nicely redone with
  • 00:00:45
    the pool and everything and 7 Hills. You
  • 00:00:47
    could do the down payment on this big
  • 00:00:49
    beast. Oh my gosh, look at this thing.
  • 00:00:51
    8,100 square ft. Guardgated community.
  • 00:00:54
    Be neighbors with Mike Tyson. Oh man,
  • 00:00:55
    have the time of your life. Right. So
  • 00:00:57
    listen folks, okay? Rest in peace. Rest
  • 00:01:00
    in peace to the folks that made a choice
  • 00:01:02
    not to buy two months ago. I mean, there
  • 00:01:03
    was a lot of people that had the money
  • 00:01:05
    and they chose not to buy. It's one
  • 00:01:07
    thing if you didn't have the funds and
  • 00:01:09
    you're like, man, I would love to be
  • 00:01:10
    buying this major correction. Which,
  • 00:01:12
    let's be very clear, we had a major
  • 00:01:13
    correction, right? It's one thing for
  • 00:01:15
    those people that didn't have money,
  • 00:01:16
    say, I wish I could buy. I just don't
  • 00:01:18
    have the funds around or I've I've, you
  • 00:01:20
    know, spent all my money on stocks now
  • 00:01:21
    at this point in time. But there was a
  • 00:01:22
    lot of people, a lot of fund managers,
  • 00:01:24
    even a lot of retail investors that saw
  • 00:01:26
    what was going on and they cashed out in
  • 00:01:29
    March and April and they said, "I want
  • 00:01:31
    no piece of this market. I'm not
  • 00:01:32
    buying." Right? And look at the gains
  • 00:01:35
    that have uh basically occurred since
  • 00:01:38
    that time. ELF is up 120% since then.
  • 00:01:41
    Hims has doubled since then, up 100%.
  • 00:01:43
    Palanteer's up 76%. Nvidia, a simple
  • 00:01:46
    stock like Nvidia, it's not like this is
  • 00:01:48
    some hidden gem like an elf or something
  • 00:01:50
    or a HIMS. This is Nvidia. Everybody in
  • 00:01:53
    the grandma knows Nvidia. Nvidia's up
  • 00:01:55
    51% since then. 51%. SoFi is up 41%.
  • 00:02:00
    Meta, it's as simple as meta, 36% gain
  • 00:02:03
    since then. The Q's are up 27%. SP 500
  • 00:02:06
    is up a whopping 20%. Now, meanwhile, we
  • 00:02:10
    have drama all over the place. Elon Musk
  • 00:02:13
    says, "Kill the bill." Oh boy, drama.
  • 00:02:16
    Look at this drama right on the front
  • 00:02:17
    page again. Fed Beigebook economic
  • 00:02:20
    report cites declining growth, rising
  • 00:02:22
    prices. We got that drama, right? Trump
  • 00:02:25
    says he spoke to Putin and there's going
  • 00:02:26
    to be no immediate peace in regards to
  • 00:02:29
    Russia Ukraine. We have uh Trump coming
  • 00:02:32
    out today saying pal's too late. He's
  • 00:02:34
    got to lower interest rates. We got that
  • 00:02:36
    drama going on. You got drama and ain't
  • 00:02:38
    for your mama. It's all over this
  • 00:02:40
    market, right? Meanwhile, the latest
  • 00:02:42
    data out of the AI investor sentiment
  • 00:02:44
    was shocking and downright confusing.
  • 00:02:46
    And I'm going to show you guys what
  • 00:02:48
    happened in this video. It's an
  • 00:02:50
    incredible situation, right? So, there's
  • 00:02:52
    four core subjects I'm going to cover
  • 00:02:54
    for you guys in this one here today.
  • 00:02:55
    This beast of a video. First is how do I
  • 00:02:58
    see this Trump POW thing? Basically,
  • 00:03:01
    what do I think how it's going to play
  • 00:03:02
    out, right? I told you guys what, 6
  • 00:03:05
    months ago plus. I told you there's
  • 00:03:07
    going to be a huge fight between Jerome
  • 00:03:09
    Pow and Donald Trump. Exactly what we're
  • 00:03:11
    seeing play out, right? And how's this
  • 00:03:14
    fight going to play out? I'm going to
  • 00:03:15
    tell you guys how this fight's going to
  • 00:03:16
    play out. Okay. Second thing is the
  • 00:03:18
    shocking new data. We got to go through
  • 00:03:20
    that and what that means for this the
  • 00:03:21
    state of the market and where we're
  • 00:03:22
    headed from here. Third thing is when
  • 00:03:25
    does it make sense to take some profits?
  • 00:03:27
    Does it make sense now? Does it make
  • 00:03:29
    sense in a few months? Does it make
  • 00:03:30
    sense once we blow through all-time
  • 00:03:32
    highs? We're going to talk about that.
  • 00:03:33
    It's an important subject. We'll speak
  • 00:03:34
    about that. Okay. And the fourth subject
  • 00:03:36
    we'll cover in this video here today is
  • 00:03:38
    a stock that is a buy every single week,
  • 00:03:41
    every single month right now. It's an
  • 00:03:43
    under the radar stock that's just an
  • 00:03:44
    absolute banger. It's already making
  • 00:03:46
    people so much money. I see the stock
  • 00:03:48
    making people a fortune over time. And
  • 00:03:50
    so we got all that to get into in this
  • 00:03:53
    beast of a video here today. One thing,
  • 00:03:55
    one thing only I need from you guys.
  • 00:03:56
    Smash a like button. I hope you can do
  • 00:03:58
    that for me, man. Got a lot going on out
  • 00:04:00
    there. And uh I try to record you guys,
  • 00:04:03
    you know, an everyday video Monday
  • 00:04:05
    through Friday. And so we're we're
  • 00:04:07
    making it, baby. We're making it. All I
  • 00:04:08
    need from you guys for you to smash that
  • 00:04:09
    like button. And that's that's it, man.
  • 00:04:11
    If you want to subscribe to the channel,
  • 00:04:12
    you can certainly subscribe. We are on
  • 00:04:14
    the path to 900,000 subscribers
  • 00:04:16
    eventually here on the channel. Okay,
  • 00:04:18
    listen. Very important. I start right
  • 00:04:20
    here. I've got to I've got to I've got
  • 00:04:23
    to I got to give it to some folks. Okay,
  • 00:04:27
    listen. There's some folks that are
  • 00:04:30
    happy. They're happy with where their
  • 00:04:32
    portfolio is at. They're happy with how
  • 00:04:33
    they're doing, right? They're like, I
  • 00:04:35
    made 10% the past year. I made 15% the
  • 00:04:37
    past year. Like, I'm good, right? I'm
  • 00:04:39
    doing well. Listen, man. If you're an
  • 00:04:41
    individual stock picker and you made 10%
  • 00:04:44
    over the past year, you're not doing
  • 00:04:46
    well. You're doing bad, very, very bad.
  • 00:04:48
    You're not even performing as well as
  • 00:04:50
    the S&P 500. So, if we look at the
  • 00:04:52
    public account, the public account has
  • 00:04:54
    basically gotten a 52% gain in the past
  • 00:04:57
    year and over the past 5 years, a 200%
  • 00:05:00
    gain, right? That's versus S&P 500 at
  • 00:05:02
    109% and 13%. You've got to make sure
  • 00:05:06
    you're severely outperforming the stock
  • 00:05:09
    market if you're going to go down this
  • 00:05:11
    path of individual stock picking. It's
  • 00:05:13
    not just good enough to be like, I'm
  • 00:05:15
    making money. No, no, no, no, no. You
  • 00:05:17
    need to be beating the indexes.
  • 00:05:19
    Otherwise, why would you put in all this
  • 00:05:20
    work and the stress of individual stock
  • 00:05:22
    picking and things like that? It's got
  • 00:05:24
    to be worth your while, right? Like, you
  • 00:05:27
    got to be severely outperforming. So, if
  • 00:05:30
    you think you're doing well just because
  • 00:05:31
    you got a little gains, no, no, no, no.
  • 00:05:33
    Okay. Additionally, there's some people
  • 00:05:35
    out there that are like, "Ah, you know,
  • 00:05:37
    I had this one stock that went really
  • 00:05:39
    well." Dude, one stock's not enough.
  • 00:05:41
    It's not enough. You need to have a a
  • 00:05:45
    bullpen of good stocks, right? We look
  • 00:05:47
    at the public account. I got bangers all
  • 00:05:49
    over that portfolio. And also remember,
  • 00:05:51
    I've had stocks in the public account
  • 00:05:53
    over the past 6 years like Tesla that I
  • 00:05:55
    made ridiculous gains on, like Nvidia
  • 00:05:58
    that I made ridiculous gains on. those
  • 00:06:00
    two stocks are no longer part of the
  • 00:06:02
    portfolio, but I made insane gains on
  • 00:06:03
    those. So, the amount of just absolute
  • 00:06:06
    like dominating stocks I've held in the
  • 00:06:08
    public account or still hold is
  • 00:06:10
    unbelievable. If you just got one stock,
  • 00:06:12
    that's a onetrick pony. That's not going
  • 00:06:14
    to be good enough to cut it. That's not
  • 00:06:15
    going to have you make it long term,
  • 00:06:17
    right? And so, what we're doing in the
  • 00:06:20
    private group, right, the folks that
  • 00:06:21
    have gone through that, gotten a six
  • 00:06:23
    figure, seven figures above, they
  • 00:06:25
    realize one stock's not good enough to
  • 00:06:27
    just make some money in the market's not
  • 00:06:28
    good enough. If you want to be
  • 00:06:30
    sustainable, if you want to, you know,
  • 00:06:32
    continue to build, build build, build
  • 00:06:33
    build, reach your financial goals,
  • 00:06:35
    whether it be, you know, certain homes,
  • 00:06:37
    cars, vacations, life on your own terms,
  • 00:06:40
    whatever, you got to take it up another
  • 00:06:42
    level, right? You can't just be at this
  • 00:06:44
    level where, you know, you don't really
  • 00:06:46
    know what you're doing. You're just
  • 00:06:47
    throwing some money around, right? You
  • 00:06:49
    need to learn how to make confident
  • 00:06:51
    decisions in any market, cuz the
  • 00:06:53
    market's going to always be different.
  • 00:06:54
    the market we're going through right now
  • 00:06:55
    is not the same market we were in last
  • 00:06:57
    year and it's not going to be the same
  • 00:06:58
    market next year. It you've got to be
  • 00:07:01
    able to adjust for any of these
  • 00:07:02
    situations. And so when you go through
  • 00:07:04
    the private group, you go through those
  • 00:07:05
    course curriculums, you learn how to
  • 00:07:06
    make confident decisions regardless of
  • 00:07:08
    the market. Whether we're going to go
  • 00:07:10
    into a market with very high valuations
  • 00:07:12
    here where the market just blows through
  • 00:07:13
    all-time highs and you're going to get
  • 00:07:14
    stuck in that situation, whether the
  • 00:07:16
    market crashes in the next couple years,
  • 00:07:18
    regardless of what happens, you got to
  • 00:07:20
    be able to make confident decisions and
  • 00:07:21
    and and know what you're actually doing
  • 00:07:23
    in the market, right? And so, you know,
  • 00:07:25
    you look at a video like I put out in
  • 00:07:27
    the private group here today, right? I
  • 00:07:28
    recorded a video on how risky it is to
  • 00:07:31
    buy stocks that have P ratios of 30 40
  • 00:07:34
    plus and the exceptions that make sense
  • 00:07:36
    to do that. You know, that's the type of
  • 00:07:38
    stuff I'm talking about that I teach in
  • 00:07:40
    there very in-depth. So, you know, if
  • 00:07:43
    you're looking to join us in there, pin
  • 00:07:44
    comment down there, click on that, fill
  • 00:07:46
    out a form, and let's get you up to a
  • 00:07:47
    higher level than where you're you're at
  • 00:07:49
    currently because a lot of people are
  • 00:07:51
    walking around right now thinking
  • 00:07:52
    they're good enough because they got one
  • 00:07:53
    stock that was a hit because they made
  • 00:07:55
    some money in the market. And I'm like,
  • 00:07:57
    dude, you want to be sustainable, you
  • 00:07:59
    want to make the real big bucks, you
  • 00:08:01
    better get up to a much higher level
  • 00:08:03
    than where you're at right now. I can
  • 00:08:04
    tell you that much as somebody that's
  • 00:08:05
    been in this game 16 plus years now at
  • 00:08:07
    this point in time. Okay, so pin
  • 00:08:08
    comment, fill out a form. Let's get you
  • 00:08:10
    up to a higher level than where you're
  • 00:08:11
    at and let's start taking things a
  • 00:08:13
    little bit more serious, right? And stop
  • 00:08:14
    gambling money around. All righty. First
  • 00:08:16
    up here, how do I see this Pal and Trump
  • 00:08:19
    fight going? Well, you first got to
  • 00:08:22
    understand who's who's right in this
  • 00:08:25
    situation? Like, is it Pal standing his
  • 00:08:28
    ground saying we're not cutting rates?
  • 00:08:30
    Is it Trump saying, "You guys are late.
  • 00:08:32
    You need to be already cutting rates."
  • 00:08:33
    Right? Well, you need to look at some
  • 00:08:35
    tells. The CPI is one of the most
  • 00:08:37
    important things you can look at. Right
  • 00:08:39
    now, what CPI is going to show us is
  • 00:08:41
    basically the percentage of inflation or
  • 00:08:43
    deflation on a yearly basis, on a
  • 00:08:45
    year-over-year basis, right? And
  • 00:08:47
    basically what we notice is, you know,
  • 00:08:50
    back in 21 into 2022, inflation and even
  • 00:08:53
    into early 2023, inflation was
  • 00:08:54
    completely out of control, right? You
  • 00:08:56
    look back to even September 2021, you
  • 00:08:58
    were looking at CPI of 5% plus, we had
  • 00:09:00
    seen numbers like that in decades. Like
  • 00:09:02
    that's insane. October, 6.2%. There was
  • 00:09:05
    a clear trend that inflation was out of
  • 00:09:06
    control. The Fed should have started
  • 00:09:07
    raising rates uh basically in the fourth
  • 00:09:10
    quarter of 2021 and then kept raising in
  • 00:09:13
    20 in the beginning of 2022, but they
  • 00:09:15
    didn't do that. They started raising
  • 00:09:16
    rates in like the second quarter of 2022
  • 00:09:19
    way. And they've paid the price for
  • 00:09:22
    that. the consumer got hit much harder
  • 00:09:23
    than the consumer should have gotten hit
  • 00:09:25
    by inflation essentially. Right now then
  • 00:09:29
    finally inflation started to get under
  • 00:09:30
    control. It started to cool, right? But
  • 00:09:32
    now inflation's been dead for 11
  • 00:09:34
    straight quarters. 11 straight quarters,
  • 00:09:36
    right? 11 straight quarters. Now the the
  • 00:09:40
    Fed is supposed to be data dependent. So
  • 00:09:42
    if they're really data dependent and you
  • 00:09:44
    look at
  • 00:09:46
    CPI, are we in a situation where we have
  • 00:09:49
    an inflation problem? The answer is
  • 00:09:52
    absolutely not. There's zero
  • 00:09:56
    zero% evidence that we have some sort of
  • 00:09:59
    outofc control inflation problem or even
  • 00:10:01
    small inflation problem. There's no
  • 00:10:02
    inflation problem. When you're in the
  • 00:10:04
    twos for CPI, that's normal. You should
  • 00:10:07
    always have some in some sort of
  • 00:10:09
    inflation in the market. 2% perfectly
  • 00:10:11
    normal. So, we have this is not 2021.
  • 00:10:14
    This is not 2022. This isn't even this
  • 00:10:17
    isn't even like close to any of that. We
  • 00:10:19
    have no inflation problem. Now, if you
  • 00:10:21
    want to take it a step further, look
  • 00:10:22
    where the Fed funds rate right now is.
  • 00:10:25
    Fed funds rate
  • 00:10:27
    4.33%. CPI is right here. Now, if the
  • 00:10:32
    basically the Fed funds rate is
  • 00:10:33
    significantly above where CPI is, that
  • 00:10:35
    means the Federal Reserve is extremely
  • 00:10:38
    restrictive. And that's what we're
  • 00:10:40
    seeing right now. CPI is down here and
  • 00:10:42
    you got a Fed funds rate up here.
  • 00:10:43
    Doesn't take a rocket scientist to
  • 00:10:44
    realize the Fed is way restrictive right
  • 00:10:47
    now. way restrictive. Now, it's okay to
  • 00:10:49
    be restrictive right after you go
  • 00:10:51
    through a major inflation spell because
  • 00:10:53
    you're trying to make sure that doesn't
  • 00:10:54
    come back. The inflation spell is
  • 00:10:57
    several years removed now at this point
  • 00:10:58
    in time. We haven't had an inflation
  • 00:11:01
    problem since 2023. We're in 20 we're
  • 00:11:04
    halfway through 2025 now at this point
  • 00:11:06
    in time. Right? Now, if you look back
  • 00:11:08
    here in the Fed had, you know, Fed funds
  • 00:11:11
    rate on the floor. Meanwhile, you had
  • 00:11:14
    CPI that was way up here. That was the
  • 00:11:17
    Fed being way way way too uh
  • 00:11:21
    lacadasical, way too asleep at the wheel
  • 00:11:23
    and they should have been already
  • 00:11:25
    raising interest rates significantly by
  • 00:11:27
    this point in time, but they didn't do
  • 00:11:29
    it right. They made a huge mistake and
  • 00:11:30
    everybody paid the price for that,
  • 00:11:32
    right? And obviously that what happened
  • 00:11:34
    in 2022 with the stock market and
  • 00:11:36
    everything like that was the price to
  • 00:11:37
    pay and and a lot of places around the
  • 00:11:39
    world got hit even much harder. So the
  • 00:11:41
    moral of the story is here like yeah,
  • 00:11:44
    we're way restrictive. The Fed should
  • 00:11:46
    not be this restrictive. Now, if you
  • 00:11:47
    want to take a step further, look at
  • 00:11:48
    PPI. The latest PPI numbers came in at
  • 00:11:52
    2.38%. Dude, when inflation was
  • 00:11:55
    problematic, we were talking about 11%
  • 00:11:58
    plus PPI numbers. We're 2.38% the latest
  • 00:12:02
    numbers. There's no inflation problem at
  • 00:12:04
    all. So, when we look at this picture
  • 00:12:07
    here, these two gentlemen, one of these
  • 00:12:09
    men is right and one man is wrong.
  • 00:12:13
    And there's a lot of things that I don't
  • 00:12:16
    agree with Trump on that I think he
  • 00:12:18
    plays it wrong or, you know, I don't
  • 00:12:19
    like his perspective on. There's a lot
  • 00:12:21
    of things. This is not one of them. I
  • 00:12:24
    100% agree with Trump. 100% not a doubt
  • 00:12:28
    in my mind. The Fed should be lowering
  • 00:12:30
    right now. The fact that they are not
  • 00:12:32
    makes no sense. PPI is not a problem.
  • 00:12:35
    CPI is not a problem. Inflation is not a
  • 00:12:37
    problem. The Federal Reserve should be
  • 00:12:40
    lowering rates right now. They're far
  • 00:12:41
    too restrictive.
  • 00:12:43
    far far too restrictive and pal and the
  • 00:12:46
    Fed have to wake up. They have to wake
  • 00:12:48
    up. Now, there's a few more uh Fed
  • 00:12:52
    meetings this year essentially. Here's
  • 00:12:53
    how I think this is going to play out. I
  • 00:12:56
    believe the Federal Reserve will do
  • 00:12:58
    three 50 basis point
  • 00:13:00
    cuts before the end of the year. So,
  • 00:13:02
    basically, they'll bring down the Fed
  • 00:13:04
    funds rate by 1.5% before the end of the
  • 00:13:06
    year. Now, if they don't do that, if
  • 00:13:10
    they don't do that and we end up going
  • 00:13:12
    into recession, they will take 100% of
  • 00:13:14
    the blame,
  • 00:13:16
    100%. And even though all the Trump
  • 00:13:18
    tariffs and all that drama, at the end
  • 00:13:20
    of the day, there's clear evidence,
  • 00:13:23
    clear
  • 00:13:24
    data. It's not even up for dispute or
  • 00:13:27
    debate that we are far too restrictive
  • 00:13:30
    for far too long and the Fed should be
  • 00:13:32
    lowering rates right now. There's no
  • 00:13:34
    debate, right? And so if the Fed
  • 00:13:37
    continues to keep these Fed funds rates
  • 00:13:39
    up here with CPI where it's at, right,
  • 00:13:43
    that's crazy. That's absolutely crazy.
  • 00:13:45
    You know, you look back at the past 20
  • 00:13:47
    years, 15 years, there's no time period
  • 00:13:49
    where the Fed's ever been this
  • 00:13:51
    restrictive. This is ridiculous. And so
  • 00:13:53
    they've got to get lowering. So what we
  • 00:13:56
    should be looking at is going into 2026,
  • 00:13:59
    we should have a Fed funds rate
  • 00:14:00
    somewhere between 2.75 and three. Now,
  • 00:14:04
    also, I believe if the stock market was
  • 00:14:07
    much lower than where it is right now, I
  • 00:14:08
    believe the Fed would have already been
  • 00:14:10
    lowering. But because the stock market's
  • 00:14:13
    holding up pretty well, the Fed seems
  • 00:14:14
    like there's no rush. You if the Fed's
  • 00:14:17
    making their decisions based upon what
  • 00:14:18
    the stock market's doing, they're lost.
  • 00:14:20
    They're lost, man. They've got to get
  • 00:14:23
    moving here. And um you
  • 00:14:26
    know, otherwise, it's just going to be a
  • 00:14:28
    horrible reputation for Pal. Like Pal's
  • 00:14:30
    already known as the guy that let
  • 00:14:31
    inflation get out of control because he
  • 00:14:33
    stayed, you know, with a Fed funds rate
  • 00:14:35
    on the floor when inflation was already
  • 00:14:37
    out of control and we're at the highest
  • 00:14:38
    numbers we've seen in decades. Right
  • 00:14:40
    now, he's going to play this game. It's
  • 00:14:42
    going to end badly. He's got to get
  • 00:14:44
    lowering. Got to get lower. And if he
  • 00:14:46
    gets lowering, then we then we're we're
  • 00:14:48
    looking pretty decent here. Okay. Now,
  • 00:14:50
    the second thing is we got some shocking
  • 00:14:52
    data. Shocking data, right? This is the
  • 00:14:55
    latest AI investor sentiment numbers
  • 00:14:57
    that came out, right? I need to cover
  • 00:14:58
    this because this is crazy. The market
  • 00:15:01
    just went even more bearish, more
  • 00:15:03
    bearish. So, we had finally started a
  • 00:15:06
    trend of basically the market getting
  • 00:15:08
    less and less bearish. Nope. This past
  • 00:15:10
    week just went more bearish. Went from
  • 00:15:12
    36.7% of investors feeling bearish on
  • 00:15:15
    the market in the next 6 months to now
  • 00:15:16
    it's almost 42%. The normal percent is
  • 00:15:20
    31% folks, 31%. Now, the historical
  • 00:15:24
    average for bullishness is 37.5. These
  • 00:15:26
    latest numbers came in at
  • 00:15:28
    32.9. So people are not feeling very
  • 00:15:30
    bullish on the market the next 6 months
  • 00:15:32
    and they're feeling very bearish on the
  • 00:15:34
    market the next 6 months, right? Crazy.
  • 00:15:37
    That that's wild, man. Wild. You think
  • 00:15:40
    about how well the market's doing. You
  • 00:15:43
    think about how strong earnings came in
  • 00:15:44
    at. I mean earnings look very very good,
  • 00:15:47
    especially for all the stocks that
  • 00:15:48
    matter the most to the stock market.
  • 00:15:50
    Like the far majority of them look
  • 00:15:52
    great, good conference calls. And yet,
  • 00:15:55
    you know, just investors are bearish,
  • 00:15:57
    man. Just remaining bearish. No, if you
  • 00:16:00
    guys follow me on the reaction channel,
  • 00:16:01
    I'm not sure how many of you guys follow
  • 00:16:02
    me on the reaction channel. It's called
  • 00:16:03
    Jeremy Lefay makes money, right?
  • 00:16:05
    Yesterday, I reacted to three Tom Lee
  • 00:16:07
    clips, right? In one of those Tom Lee
  • 00:16:09
    clips, he was talking about how hated of
  • 00:16:11
    a bull market this is. And there's no
  • 00:16:14
    doubt this is an ultrahated bull market
  • 00:16:17
    because you have the market just
  • 00:16:19
    blasting higher. It's up 20, you know,
  • 00:16:20
    NASDAQ's up 27% from the lows. You're
  • 00:16:23
    seeing stocks up 40, 60, 80, 100 plus
  • 00:16:26
    percent. In in the last two months,
  • 00:16:28
    right? Meanwhile, people are saying,
  • 00:16:30
    "Oh, you know, we don't have a
  • 00:16:31
    conclusion. All this tariff stuff. We
  • 00:16:33
    don't know how all this is going to work
  • 00:16:34
    out. You know, recession fears,
  • 00:16:36
    inflation fears, blah blah blah, right?
  • 00:16:38
    What we don't know what the Fed's going
  • 00:16:40
    to do." And so, but the market's just
  • 00:16:41
    rallying, rallying, rallying. That's
  • 00:16:43
    called a hated hated bull market. But I
  • 00:16:46
    can tell you guys in since I've been in
  • 00:16:48
    the market, right, which I got on the
  • 00:16:49
    market 0809, many of the most hated
  • 00:16:51
    markets we've ever seen were some of the
  • 00:16:54
    most bullish markets you've ever been in
  • 00:16:55
    with just gains that were ridiculous.
  • 00:16:58
    This 09 market when we bottomed early09,
  • 00:17:00
    that was a hated market. Hated that
  • 00:17:03
    market just rallied like insane in 2009
  • 00:17:06
    and into 2010. Meanwhile, people, you
  • 00:17:09
    know, investors are looking out there
  • 00:17:10
    like, how are people buying stocks right
  • 00:17:12
    now? Look at how bad the economy is.
  • 00:17:15
    Look at the unemployment rate. Obama's a
  • 00:17:18
    socialist. Blah blah blah, right? They
  • 00:17:20
    gave a million reasons why you shouldn't
  • 00:17:22
    be buying stocks. And at the end of the
  • 00:17:24
    day, the market just
  • 00:17:27
    soared. And it was a hated an ultrahated
  • 00:17:31
    bull market. If I show you the 2020, oh
  • 00:17:34
    my gosh, coming out of that 2020 crash,
  • 00:17:36
    that was a hated bull market. People are
  • 00:17:38
    like, why is the market rallying? Like,
  • 00:17:40
    we still don't know how all this Rona
  • 00:17:41
    stuff's going to work out. you know, we
  • 00:17:43
    don't know how any of this is going to
  • 00:17:45
    go, like blah blah blah. It was a very
  • 00:17:47
    hated bull market initially coming out
  • 00:17:49
    of Rona, right? Even what happened in
  • 00:17:52
    2022 and as that market started to rally
  • 00:17:54
    at the end of 22 and going into 23, oh
  • 00:17:56
    my gosh, Wall Streeters were still so
  • 00:17:59
    bearish. If I show you, I still have
  • 00:18:01
    them on my computer. I have screenshots
  • 00:18:02
    of what the S&P 500 price targets were
  • 00:18:05
    for the end of of uh
  • 00:18:07
    2023. Oh my gosh, they were so bearish.
  • 00:18:09
    They were so bearish. And I I know I
  • 00:18:11
    think I have the 2024 ones as well. They
  • 00:18:13
    were insanely bearish. They thought, you
  • 00:18:15
    know, like a lot of these Wall Street
  • 00:18:16
    firms basically didn't even have the
  • 00:18:17
    market going up. Well, guess what? The
  • 00:18:20
    market rallied like 20% and then another
  • 00:18:21
    20%. Like it's just ridiculous, right?
  • 00:18:24
    What a hated hated bull market that was.
  • 00:18:26
    Many of the most powerful bull markets
  • 00:18:29
    you will ever be in, it's not people all
  • 00:18:31
    cheering happy. It's people miserable
  • 00:18:34
    saying, "How is this market going higher
  • 00:18:37
    right now? It shouldn't be going higher.
  • 00:18:39
    It should be stagnant. should be going
  • 00:18:40
    down, right? Why am I not more invested?
  • 00:18:44
    That's actually the most powerful bull
  • 00:18:45
    markets. The the very I call it lame
  • 00:18:48
    bull markets are actually when
  • 00:18:50
    everybody's rooting for the market to go
  • 00:18:52
    higher when all the hedge funds are
  • 00:18:53
    really fully invested, when all the
  • 00:18:55
    retail's fully invested. That's actually
  • 00:18:58
    the lame bull markets and that's
  • 00:19:00
    actually when you get ready for a flip
  • 00:19:02
    there. Okay. Now, next thing up here,
  • 00:19:04
    when does it make sense to take some
  • 00:19:06
    profits? I think this is a fair
  • 00:19:08
    argument. A lot of people made a lot of
  • 00:19:09
    money recently, and I mean a lot of
  • 00:19:11
    money, right? Here's my views on this. I
  • 00:19:14
    think it can make sense over the summer
  • 00:19:16
    to especially as we bust through
  • 00:19:18
    all-time highs, you know, assuming that
  • 00:19:20
    happens, which gosh, what are we 2% away
  • 00:19:21
    now at this point in time, right? I
  • 00:19:23
    think it can make sense to take some
  • 00:19:24
    profits here and there depending upon
  • 00:19:27
    what you own, where you're at in the
  • 00:19:29
    market, where your cash levels are at,
  • 00:19:32
    all those sorts of things. But I have no
  • 00:19:34
    I have no problem if people have made
  • 00:19:36
    fortunes of gains in some stocks to take
  • 00:19:39
    some profits this summer. Especially if
  • 00:19:40
    we bust through all-time highs and set
  • 00:19:41
    new alltime highs, set new alltime high,
  • 00:19:43
    right? But it really, you know, not all
  • 00:19:46
    stocks are equal. That's the biggest
  • 00:19:48
    thing I got to say here. There's some
  • 00:19:49
    stocks that I can tell you make a lot of
  • 00:19:52
    sense to take profits on. And I mean a
  • 00:19:55
    lot of sense where they're trading at
  • 00:19:56
    ridiculously high forward P ratios
  • 00:19:58
    trailing 12 month P ratios even two-year
  • 00:20:02
    out forward P ratios ridiculously high.
  • 00:20:05
    And so on some of those stocks I think
  • 00:20:06
    it can make sense to take some profits
  • 00:20:08
    this summer and say you know what woo we
  • 00:20:12
    made a lot of money here you know we
  • 00:20:13
    made 50% gains 100% gains you know 200%
  • 00:20:17
    gains whatever you know what let me let
  • 00:20:19
    me take a little chips off the table.
  • 00:20:21
    Especially if you're very low on cash.
  • 00:20:24
    That's my opinion. I think it can make
  • 00:20:26
    sense to do that this summer, especially
  • 00:20:28
    if we blow through all-time highs, man.
  • 00:20:30
    And then we just set new alltime high
  • 00:20:32
    after new alltime high. But what you
  • 00:20:33
    really need to be doing, you need to be
  • 00:20:35
    running projections on companies to
  • 00:20:37
    really understand if it makes sense
  • 00:20:39
    because it's not just as simple as this
  • 00:20:41
    stock's up 50%. In a matter of uh 2
  • 00:20:44
    months, let me cash it. Run your
  • 00:20:47
    projections. If you if you don't use a
  • 00:20:50
    tool like ThousandX, right? ThousandX,
  • 00:20:51
    we have the projections built in with
  • 00:20:53
    the numbers already loaded and then you
  • 00:20:55
    can just alter, you know, what you want
  • 00:20:56
    for revenue growth, net income growth, P
  • 00:20:58
    ratios, things like that, and it'll spit
  • 00:21:00
    you out what the share price should
  • 00:21:01
    likely be in future years, you know,
  • 00:21:03
    based upon what your what your situation
  • 00:21:05
    is, right? And then you do that for the
  • 00:21:07
    the BA base case and bare case. If you
  • 00:21:09
    don't want that, at least build out your
  • 00:21:11
    own like Excel projections, right? You
  • 00:21:13
    can build out your own Excel
  • 00:21:15
    projections. It doesn't take a rocket
  • 00:21:16
    scientist to build that out. It's much
  • 00:21:18
    more time consuming, right? And you got
  • 00:21:20
    to make sure you do it right or you're
  • 00:21:21
    going to screw up the numbers because
  • 00:21:22
    it's not, you know, you got to make sure
  • 00:21:23
    your calculations are all correct and
  • 00:21:24
    all that stuff, right? Additionally,
  • 00:21:26
    you're going to have to autoimp import
  • 00:21:28
    the numbers. So, it's not like thousandx
  • 00:21:29
    where you just enter in a ticker symbol
  • 00:21:30
    and it populates for you and it enters
  • 00:21:32
    in automatically what the expected
  • 00:21:34
    revenue and net income for that company
  • 00:21:35
    is and the net income margins, right?
  • 00:21:37
    So, you have to kind of upload all that.
  • 00:21:38
    It's a pain in the butt, but at least do
  • 00:21:40
    it. Like if you're not going to use
  • 00:21:42
    thousandx, do your own projections. Run
  • 00:21:44
    your own Excels because then you'll be
  • 00:21:46
    able to know, does it make sense to take
  • 00:21:48
    profits? Because once again, it's not
  • 00:21:50
    just good enough to say, I'm up a lot,
  • 00:21:52
    let me take profits. No, no, no. Run
  • 00:21:53
    your projections. Cuz there's going to
  • 00:21:54
    be some stocks you run projections on.
  • 00:21:56
    That at the end of the day, you're like,
  • 00:21:58
    dang, man. On my base case, and my bare
  • 00:22:00
    case, you know what? I don't think I'm
  • 00:22:02
    even going to make money on the stock.
  • 00:22:03
    The only way I'm going to make any good
  • 00:22:04
    money over the next few years is if my
  • 00:22:06
    bull case comes true. If that's a
  • 00:22:07
    situation, it makes a lot of sense to
  • 00:22:09
    take some profits this summer. On the
  • 00:22:11
    flip side, if you've made 75% on a stock
  • 00:22:14
    already, right, and you run your bay
  • 00:22:16
    bare case, base case, and in bull case,
  • 00:22:19
    and you look at it and you say, "Dude,
  • 00:22:22
    under all these circumstances, I'm
  • 00:22:23
    feeling pretty darn comfortable. Like,
  • 00:22:25
    even under my base case, I'm going to
  • 00:22:27
    still make a lot of money." Then hold.
  • 00:22:29
    And it makes sense to hold and not cash
  • 00:22:31
    those shares. Okay? That's how you get
  • 00:22:33
    up to a higher level of thinking. and
  • 00:22:35
    and you aren't thinking with emotion
  • 00:22:37
    because the biggest thing you got to
  • 00:22:38
    take out uh when you're in stock market
  • 00:22:40
    investing is you got to take out the
  • 00:22:41
    emotion. You know, this is not this is
  • 00:22:44
    not a you know emotions in the stock
  • 00:22:46
    market don't go well. You don't want to
  • 00:22:49
    mix emotions in the stock market. You
  • 00:22:51
    want your decisions to be based upon
  • 00:22:54
    numbers, right? And based upon
  • 00:22:57
    understanding of business models, okay,
  • 00:22:58
    I can see how this company's going to
  • 00:23:00
    expand their business exponentially over
  • 00:23:02
    the next 3 years, 5 years, seven years.
  • 00:23:03
    Okay, here's why they're getting into
  • 00:23:05
    their store. They're going to expand
  • 00:23:06
    their software, blah blah blah blah
  • 00:23:07
    blah. Okay, and then you once you do
  • 00:23:09
    that, you can run your numbers, your
  • 00:23:10
    projections, look at your income
  • 00:23:12
    statements, your balance sheets, right?
  • 00:23:13
    And then you can begin to understand,
  • 00:23:15
    does it make sense to cash some some
  • 00:23:17
    shares out here or not? And if it makes
  • 00:23:20
    sense to cash some shares because your
  • 00:23:21
    projections show you that this stock is
  • 00:23:24
    pretty overvalued, take some profits and
  • 00:23:27
    and don't worry about it. If the stock
  • 00:23:28
    continues to go higher right after you
  • 00:23:30
    sell, it's fine. You're never, you got
  • 00:23:32
    to understand, you're never going to
  • 00:23:33
    sell right at the top and you're never
  • 00:23:35
    going to buy right at the bottom. You
  • 00:23:37
    might sell close to the top. You might
  • 00:23:39
    buy close to the bottom, but you're
  • 00:23:41
    never going to get it perfect. And in
  • 00:23:43
    this game, you don't have to get it
  • 00:23:46
    perfect. Not every, you know, you don't
  • 00:23:48
    always have to get it perfect. Listen,
  • 00:23:51
    you look at a stock like ELF, right? ELF
  • 00:23:53
    is now, you know, what is ELF now? Uh, I
  • 00:23:55
    think we saw it at the beginning of this
  • 00:23:57
    video, right? What is ELF popped up to
  • 00:23:59
    now? E.L.F. is up to, is it 117 now? Oh
  • 00:24:03
    my gosh. Okay, so Elf's at 117. ELF at
  • 00:24:06
    the lows went all the way down to what
  • 00:24:08
    50s something dollars I think it was.
  • 00:24:10
    Uh, Elf on a Shelf. Listen, you didn't
  • 00:24:13
    have to get E.L.F. right at at, you
  • 00:24:16
    know, 50 whatever dollars it went. Did
  • 00:24:18
    it go down to 49? Like I don't remember
  • 00:24:19
    where the low was for E.L.F. Let's say
  • 00:24:21
    it was $50. Okay, you didn't have to buy
  • 00:24:24
    ELF right at $50 to make a tremendous
  • 00:24:26
    amount of money. If you bought ELF at
  • 00:24:27
    60, you made a fortune. You made you
  • 00:24:29
    bought Alpha 65, you made a fortune. You
  • 00:24:32
    bought at 55, you made a fortune. You
  • 00:24:33
    bought at 75, you made a fortune. Bought
  • 00:24:35
    at 80, you made a fortune. No matter
  • 00:24:36
    what, you still made crazy money
  • 00:24:38
    already, right? You don't have to get
  • 00:24:41
    these stocks right at the bottom. You
  • 00:24:42
    look at Meta in the 2022 crash, right?
  • 00:24:45
    That stock went down to $200. It went
  • 00:24:48
    down to $150. It went down to $100, and
  • 00:24:50
    it bottomed at$88. And I have some
  • 00:24:52
    shares at $88.94. So, I got some shares
  • 00:24:54
    very close, but a lot of shares I
  • 00:24:56
    didn't. I bought a lot of shares in the
  • 00:24:58
    100 150s, right? Even in the
  • 00:25:01
    200s, and it was still a steal in the
  • 00:25:03
    end. Meta's nearly $700 stock now.
  • 00:25:05
    That's on its way to becoming a thousand
  • 00:25:07
    stock probably by the end of this year.
  • 00:25:08
    And don't be surprised if Meta is $1,500
  • 00:25:11
    to $2,000 in the next few
  • 00:25:13
    years. And so, even if you bought Meta
  • 00:25:16
    at 200, you still got a steel deal. If
  • 00:25:19
    you bought at 150, remember you bub meta
  • 00:25:21
    in the 2022 crash at 150, the stock
  • 00:25:25
    still crashed nearly 50% from that point
  • 00:25:29
    and you got the steel of a lifetime at
  • 00:25:31
    150. Think about that. Let that sink
  • 00:25:35
    in. I think that's very important, okay?
  • 00:25:38
    If you really want to play this game on
  • 00:25:39
    a high level, okay? All righty. Next up
  • 00:25:41
    here, let's talk about a stock that is a
  • 00:25:44
    buy every week, every month right now.
  • 00:25:45
    Under the radar, which you know, it's
  • 00:25:48
    interesting because a stock was talked
  • 00:25:49
    about on CNBC today and I'm starting to
  • 00:25:51
    think, oh baby, this one might be
  • 00:25:53
    getting over the radar. And it is cake.
  • 00:25:57
    Oh boy, look at this. I had CNBC on in
  • 00:26:01
    the background while I was doing some
  • 00:26:02
    work today. And check out what they
  • 00:26:04
    popped up there. Also, I heard
  • 00:26:06
    restaurant stocks. I look up and right
  • 00:26:08
    at the top of the list, Cheesecake
  • 00:26:11
    Factory talking about it right on Power
  • 00:26:13
    Lunch. Prime Time for CNBC showing the
  • 00:26:15
    year to date. Cake's up 20 plus% year to
  • 00:26:19
    date. McDonald's is up 8%, Shake Shacks
  • 00:26:24
    1%,
  • 00:26:25
    Chipotle negative 13%. Remember the guy
  • 00:26:28
    that was warning everybody about
  • 00:26:29
    Chipotle? Valuations gotten really,
  • 00:26:31
    really stretched. Remember that last
  • 00:26:33
    year? remember the guy was buying put
  • 00:26:34
    options on on
  • 00:26:37
    Chipotle. And so Cake is just it's it's
  • 00:26:41
    tearing all these guys up. All these
  • 00:26:43
    bigname companies, McDonald's, Shake
  • 00:26:44
    Shack, Chipotle, the ones that you know
  • 00:26:46
    the masses would think like, "Oh, I got
  • 00:26:48
    to buy these stocks." And there you got
  • 00:26:50
    Sneaky Cake just absolutely obliterating
  • 00:26:53
    these guys, right? Cake is now up 49%
  • 00:26:57
    plus in the past year. In the past year.
  • 00:27:00
    And keep in mind, Cake's a big dividend
  • 00:27:02
    payer. So that's just in terms of how
  • 00:27:03
    much their stock price has gone up,
  • 00:27:05
    right? But you know, Cake's a bigger got
  • 00:27:07
    a bigger dividend yield on it. Should I
  • 00:27:09
    still have a bigger dividend yield on it
  • 00:27:11
    than than McDonald's if I recall. Uh
  • 00:27:13
    Shake Shack, I I don't even think they
  • 00:27:14
    pay a dividend. And Chipotle, from what
  • 00:27:16
    I remember, they don't pay a dividend
  • 00:27:17
    either, right? So you're getting
  • 00:27:19
    tremendous gains on the stock along with
  • 00:27:21
    great dividends, right? Great dividends.
  • 00:27:24
    And the thing that's so comfortable with
  • 00:27:25
    Cake that makes it just such an easy
  • 00:27:27
    stock. Like you see me continue to buy
  • 00:27:29
    the stock, like I just keep buying
  • 00:27:30
    shares, keep buying shares. I'm already
  • 00:27:32
    up huge on the stock and I just keep
  • 00:27:33
    buying shares. And the reason being the
  • 00:27:36
    Ford P is so low. Like you think about
  • 00:27:39
    how much growth this company has over
  • 00:27:40
    the next 10 years, right? With the
  • 00:27:43
    brands are going to be expanding. North
  • 00:27:44
    Italia, Flowerchild, and the brands
  • 00:27:46
    behind that, right? Trading at a Ford P
  • 00:27:49
    of well under 20. Come on, man. Like,
  • 00:27:52
    like it's still an easy buy. Even though
  • 00:27:54
    it's made so much money, right? It's had
  • 00:27:56
    all these gains. It's still a very easy
  • 00:27:58
    buy cuz there's a lot of protection
  • 00:28:01
    built in here. Okay, listen. The way
  • 00:28:03
    I'll put it to you guys like this. The
  • 00:28:05
    higher the P ratio, the less protection
  • 00:28:08
    a stock has. And you know, you think
  • 00:28:11
    about like a market multiple. The market
  • 00:28:13
    multiple is somewhere around 20 roughly,
  • 00:28:15
    right? So, let's do some math here. So,
  • 00:28:17
    if you got a stock that's trading at a
  • 00:28:20
    40 uh forward P, right? right? And let's
  • 00:28:23
    say the market multiple is 20, that
  • 00:28:25
    stock would have to fall 50%, just get
  • 00:28:28
    to get down to a market multiple. So if
  • 00:28:30
    growth rates slip with that company or
  • 00:28:31
    something like that and all a sudden
  • 00:28:32
    they can't command that crazy forward P,
  • 00:28:35
    you're going to see the stock crash like
  • 00:28:37
    50%. Which is pretty devastating to go
  • 00:28:39
    through, especially if that stock's down
  • 00:28:41
    there for years to go in the future,
  • 00:28:42
    right? No, if a stock just keeps coming
  • 00:28:44
    in with great growth and great growth,
  • 00:28:45
    then they they can command a high P
  • 00:28:48
    ratio forward P for many many years,
  • 00:28:50
    right? But if all a sudden growth slips
  • 00:28:52
    and I I went through in the private
  • 00:28:53
    stock group and I did a case study on a
  • 00:28:55
    on a very very popular stock here today
  • 00:28:57
    and I showed that stock and I was
  • 00:28:59
    pointing out that it used to trade at
  • 00:29:00
    this sort of P ratio. Growth rate
  • 00:29:02
    slipped a little bit and suddenly it
  • 00:29:04
    commanded a way less way less forward P
  • 00:29:07
    and people could have held that stock
  • 00:29:09
    for 10 or 15 years and made no money
  • 00:29:12
    over 10 or 15 years. When you talk about
  • 00:29:15
    paying a much lower forward P, as long
  • 00:29:17
    as that company still grows, you take so
  • 00:29:20
    much risk off the table because if you
  • 00:29:22
    buy cake, you're already getting it for
  • 00:29:25
    arguably under a market multiple,
  • 00:29:28
    right? Like already getting it under a
  • 00:29:31
    market multiple, but the company should
  • 00:29:32
    likely grow at a far faster clip,
  • 00:29:35
    revenue, net income, and earnings per
  • 00:29:37
    share than an average
  • 00:29:40
    company. That's where the magic's at.
  • 00:29:43
    And so that's why when I look at a stock
  • 00:29:44
    like Cake, I know it's not the most
  • 00:29:46
    popular stock and the most talked about
  • 00:29:47
    stock, but I can tell you it's a
  • 00:29:50
    performer. It's a performer, man. It
  • 00:29:53
    does tremendous. And it really comes
  • 00:29:54
    down to that P ratio. The higher P, the
  • 00:29:57
    less protection you have. The lower the
  • 00:29:58
    forward P, if they can still put up good
  • 00:30:01
    good solid growth of 5 10%. You got so
  • 00:30:03
    much protection built in there and you
  • 00:30:05
    have so much potential for upside gains,
  • 00:30:07
    right? Because you look at a stock like
  • 00:30:09
    Cake, it wasn't that long ago. Cake was
  • 00:30:12
    trading at a forward PE of like 11.
  • 00:30:16
    Wasn't that long ago. Now
  • 00:30:20
    listen, a stock trading at a forward P
  • 00:30:22
    of 11. What does that mean? That means a
  • 00:30:25
    stock could almost double to just get
  • 00:30:28
    back to a market
  • 00:30:29
    multiple. That means you have so much
  • 00:30:31
    for potential gains in a stock like
  • 00:30:33
    that, right? So much. and what are the
  • 00:30:36
    chances it goes down to a five or a six
  • 00:30:38
    Ford P. The only companies that go down
  • 00:30:39
    to those sorts of P's are companies that
  • 00:30:41
    they believe they're going to like go
  • 00:30:42
    out of business in the next decade,
  • 00:30:44
    right? So like uh a lot of automobile
  • 00:30:46
    manufacturers and and and companies like
  • 00:30:48
    that will trade at that. Maybe companies
  • 00:30:49
    that are very cyclical like a home
  • 00:30:51
    builder, even home builders don't go
  • 00:30:52
    that low. Home builders go down to like
  • 00:30:54
    Ford Ps of like 8 9 10 11 12 somewhere
  • 00:30:57
    in there, right? I was getting at that
  • 00:31:00
    at 11 with the type of growth that
  • 00:31:01
    company's going to have. Come on, man.
  • 00:31:03
    Like that's just ridiculous. And so, you
  • 00:31:05
    know, that one remains a buy week in and
  • 00:31:08
    week out. Now, you're building a
  • 00:31:11
    portfolio, right? Week after week, month
  • 00:31:13
    after month, you got to you're building
  • 00:31:14
    like a brick wall and you got to build
  • 00:31:16
    this thing solid to get through any
  • 00:31:18
    market, right? To so, if we have another
  • 00:31:21
    major correction this year or crash this
  • 00:31:23
    year, which if watched the reaction
  • 00:31:25
    channel video, uh the gentleman was
  • 00:31:27
    talking about we've never seen two 20%
  • 00:31:30
    moves down in the market in a given year
  • 00:31:32
    ever, right? So, could we this be the
  • 00:31:34
    first time ever? Probably not. But it's
  • 00:31:37
    always potential, right? But the the
  • 00:31:39
    goal is to build a portfolio that it
  • 00:31:41
    doesn't matter. Like at the end of the
  • 00:31:43
    day, we could have the stock market
  • 00:31:45
    crash. I'm very confident that my
  • 00:31:47
    portfolios will make it through just
  • 00:31:48
    fine, right? Doesn't mean there won't
  • 00:31:50
    get hit. Of course, they'll get hit, but
  • 00:31:51
    they'll make it through to the other
  • 00:31:52
    side and they'll be there to see the
  • 00:31:54
    next bull market, right? If the stock
  • 00:31:56
    market goes beast rally here, right? And
  • 00:31:59
    valuations start getting way stretched.
  • 00:32:02
    Oh, as the summer goes along, I know how
  • 00:32:04
    to adjust for that. I know how to hedge
  • 00:32:05
    my portfolio to protect from downside
  • 00:32:07
    risk, right? And plus, all my dividend
  • 00:32:10
    stocks will be paying me very nice
  • 00:32:11
    dividends at that time. I know when it's
  • 00:32:13
    right to take profits. I know how to run
  • 00:32:15
    projections on stocks, right? And my
  • 00:32:17
    portfolio can get through whatever
  • 00:32:19
    market. It's like being a great boxer. A
  • 00:32:21
    great boxer should be able to face any
  • 00:32:23
    type of opponent. a very aggressive
  • 00:32:25
    opponent, a very uh defensive opponent
  • 00:32:28
    that's just more focused on just, you
  • 00:32:29
    know, defense and just throwing jabs.
  • 00:32:32
    Like no matter what, you got to be ready
  • 00:32:33
    for the opponent. And so in the market,
  • 00:32:35
    it's going to give you a different
  • 00:32:36
    market every year. And you've got to be
  • 00:32:38
    able to make adjustments. And that's
  • 00:32:40
    what I that's what I do. Like some years
  • 00:32:41
    I got to focus a little more on hedging
  • 00:32:43
    because there's a lot of risk that's
  • 00:32:44
    coming in the market, right? Some years
  • 00:32:47
    I got to focus more on buying growth
  • 00:32:48
    stocks, you know, especially when we're
  • 00:32:51
    in a major correction or crash. Growth
  • 00:32:52
    stocks. Look at a lot of the stocks I
  • 00:32:54
    was buying heavy in that March, April
  • 00:32:56
    major correction, we had growth, growth,
  • 00:32:58
    growth. Because those stocks were
  • 00:33:00
    getting obliterated at that time. Right
  • 00:33:02
    now, on the flip side, as the market
  • 00:33:04
    gets, let's call it stretched,
  • 00:33:06
    valuations get stretched, what do I like
  • 00:33:08
    to buy? More dividend value stocks.
  • 00:33:10
    Because when you're in one of those sort
  • 00:33:12
    of bull markets, people are more focused
  • 00:33:13
    on the growth stocks. They're not really
  • 00:33:15
    focused on dividends. Who cares about
  • 00:33:17
    dividend stocks, right? That's where I
  • 00:33:19
    like to step in and buy a lot of
  • 00:33:20
    dividend stocks and then hedge. So, you
  • 00:33:23
    know, build a portfolio you're confident
  • 00:33:25
    in regardless of the market that gets
  • 00:33:27
    thrown at you because it's always going
  • 00:33:28
    to be a different one, right? All
  • 00:33:29
    righty, folks. Pin comment down there.
  • 00:33:31
    Let's get you up to a much higher level
  • 00:33:32
    in where you're at. Confident in your
  • 00:33:33
    decision-m regardless of the market. Pin
  • 00:33:35
    comment, click on that, fill out a
  • 00:33:36
    forum. Let's see if we can get you
  • 00:33:37
    access into the the uh private stock
  • 00:33:39
    group and let's get you scaling and
  • 00:33:41
    hopefully you can scale to six figures,
  • 00:33:42
    multi6 figures, seven figures, eight
  • 00:33:44
    figures like so many of our members have
  • 00:33:46
    done over the years. Absolutely
  • 00:33:47
    phenomenal to see that. And um this gets
  • 00:33:50
    you up to much higher milestones.
Etiquetas
  • investment
  • stock market
  • public account
  • Cheesecake Factory
  • Federal Reserve
  • inflation
  • portfolio
  • diversification
  • market correction
  • profit-taking