$COST Costco Q4 2024 Earnings Conference Call
Resumen
TLDRDuring Costco's Q4 2024 earnings call, the company reported a net income of $2.35 billion, reflecting a 9% year-over-year increase. The call highlighted the opening of 14 new warehouses, with a focus on expanding both domestically and internationally. E-commerce sales saw significant growth, particularly in appliances and furniture, with an 18.9% increase. Membership fee income rose slightly, and the renewal rate remained stable at 92.9%. Costco emphasized its commitment to employee wages, with an average wage of over $30 per hour, and discussed challenges such as inflation and supply chain issues. The company plans to continue investing in technology to enhance the member experience and drive growth.
Para llevar
- π Net income rose to $2.35 billion in Q4 2024.
- π’ Opened 14 new warehouses, expanding footprint.
- π E-commerce sales grew by 18.9%, led by appliances.
- π³ Membership fee income increased slightly by $3 million.
- π₯ Renewal rate stable at 92.9% in the US and Canada.
- π° Average wage for employees is over $30 per hour.
- π Gas sales were negative low single digits due to price drops.
- π Focus on technology investments to improve member experience.
- π Continued commitment to employee wages and member value.
- π Plans for future growth include expanding warehouse and e-commerce capabilities.
CronologΓa
- 00:00:00 - 00:05:00
The Costco fourth quarter 2024 earnings call begins with a reminder about forward-looking statements and the associated risks. The management emphasizes their commitment to delivering high-quality goods at low prices and highlights the importance of employee culture and succession planning.
- 00:05:00 - 00:10:00
Ron Vakis discusses Costco's progress in fiscal year 2024, including the promotion of 95 new warehouse managers and the opening of 30 new warehouses. The company is also expanding its e-commerce business and improving technology to enhance member experience.
- 00:10:00 - 00:15:00
Gary provides an overview of the fourth quarter financial results, noting a net income increase to $2.35 billion and a 1% rise in net sales. Comparable sales metrics show positive growth in the U.S. and Canada, with e-commerce sales up significantly.
- 00:15:00 - 00:20:00
Membership fee income increased slightly, with a renewal rate of 92.9% in the U.S. and Canada. The company ended the quarter with 76.2 million paid household members, reflecting a 7.3% year-over-year growth.
- 00:20:00 - 00:25:00
Costco's gross margin improved by 40 basis points, driven by e-commerce growth and better gas margins. The company continues to focus on lowering prices while maintaining profitability through operational efficiencies.
- 00:25:00 - 00:30:00
SG&A expenses increased slightly, attributed to higher wages and investments in employees. Costco remains committed to driving sales growth while managing costs effectively.
- 00:30:00 - 00:35:00
Interest expense decreased due to debt paydown, while interest income rose significantly. The company also reported a lower tax rate compared to the previous year, benefiting from discrete tax items.
- 00:35:00 - 00:40:00
In the fourth quarter, Costco opened 14 new warehouses, with capital expenditures totaling approximately $1.58 billion. Non-food categories led sales growth, with strong performance in health and beauty, seasonal items, and fresh food departments.
- 00:40:00 - 00:45:00
The company is focused on sustainability and cost reduction, with initiatives to localize production and reduce packaging waste. This has resulted in lower prices for members and significant savings.
- 00:45:00 - 00:50:00
Costco's digital business continues to grow, with improvements in app functionality and e-commerce traffic. The company is testing new programs to enhance member experience and drive sales.
- 00:50:00 - 00:58:33
The Q&A session addresses various topics, including membership fee increases, consumer behavior, and the impact of gas prices on traffic. Costco remains optimistic about its growth opportunities and commitment to delivering value to members.
Mapa mental
VΓdeo de preguntas y respuestas
What was Costco's net income for Q4 2024?
Costco's net income for Q4 2024 was $2.35 billion.
How many new warehouses did Costco open in Q4 2024?
Costco opened 14 new warehouses in Q4 2024.
What was the growth rate of Costco's e-commerce sales?
Costco's e-commerce sales grew by 18.9% in Q4 2024.
What is the current membership renewal rate for Costco?
The membership renewal rate for Costco was 92.9% in the US and Canada.
How much did Costco's membership fee income increase?
Costco's membership fee income increased by $3 million or 0.2% year-over-year.
What is the average wage for Costco employees in the US?
The average wage for Costco employees in the US is just over $30 an hour.
What challenges did Costco face in Q4 2024?
Costco faced challenges such as inflation and supply chain issues.
What is Costco's strategy for future growth?
Costco's strategy for future growth includes expanding its warehouse footprint, enhancing e-commerce capabilities, and investing in employee wages.
How did Costco's gas sales perform in Q4 2024?
Gas sales were negative low single digits due to lower average prices per gallon.
What is the focus of Costco's technology investments?
Costco's technology investments focus on improving member experience and operational efficiency.
Ver mΓ‘s resΓΊmenes de vΓdeos
- 00:00:00good afternoon everyone and thank you
- 00:00:02for joining Costco's fourth quarter 2024
- 00:00:05earnings call I'd like to start by
- 00:00:08reminding you that these discussions
- 00:00:09will include forward-looking statements
- 00:00:11within the meaning of the private
- 00:00:13Securities litigation Reform Act of
- 00:00:151995 these statements involve risks and
- 00:00:18uncertainties that may cause actual
- 00:00:20events results and or performance to
- 00:00:22differ materially from those indicated
- 00:00:25by such statements the risks and
- 00:00:27uncertainties include but are not
- 00:00:29limited to those outlin in today's call
- 00:00:32as well as other risks identified from
- 00:00:34time to time in the company's public
- 00:00:36statements and reports far with the
- 00:00:39SEC forward-looking statements speak
- 00:00:41only as of the date they are made and
- 00:00:43the company does not undertake to update
- 00:00:45these statements except as required by
- 00:00:48law comparable sales and comparable
- 00:00:50sales excluding impacts from changes in
- 00:00:53gasoline prices and foreign exchange are
- 00:00:55intended as supplemental information and
- 00:00:57are not a substitute for net sales
- 00:00:59presented in accordance with
- 00:01:01gap now before we dive into our
- 00:01:03financial results for the quarter I'm
- 00:01:05delighted to say that Ron vakis is
- 00:01:07joining us for the call today I'll now
- 00:01:10hand over to Ron for some opening
- 00:01:12comments thank you Gary and good
- 00:01:14afternoon everyone thank you for joining
- 00:01:16us today as we turn the page on fiscal
- 00:01:19year 2024 let me make a few comments on
- 00:01:22our progress during the year as a whole
- 00:01:25throughout the fiscal year 2024 we were
- 00:01:27continue to execute on our strategy of
- 00:01:30growing the top line through delivering
- 00:01:32the highest quality Goods at the lowest
- 00:01:34possible price to our members as a
- 00:01:36management team we continue to be
- 00:01:38incredibly proud of our 333,000
- 00:01:41employees worldwide and the culture that
- 00:01:44they Foster the consistency of our
- 00:01:46financial results is a reflection of the
- 00:01:49commitment of our entire team to member
- 00:01:51service and the Costco
- 00:01:53experience most of these employees are
- 00:01:56led by our fantastic Warehouse managers
- 00:01:58who we view as Executives in our company
- 00:02:01succession planning continues to be a
- 00:02:02key focal point for us as we're
- 00:02:04continually working on identifying the
- 00:02:06Future Leaders of our
- 00:02:08company in fiscal year 24 we promoted 95
- 00:02:12new Warehouse managers 85% of those
- 00:02:16promoted started at Costco as an hourly
- 00:02:18employee this promote from within
- 00:02:21culture and the long-term career it
- 00:02:23helps to build is core to who we are as
- 00:02:26a company Community member and retailer
- 00:02:31a few other highlights I'd like to
- 00:02:33mention in fiscal 2024 we hit our Target
- 00:02:36of 30 new Warehouse openings this
- 00:02:38included one relocation and resulted in
- 00:02:4129 net new buildings highlights included
- 00:02:44our first ever building in Maine
- 00:02:46bringing us to 47 States and our 600th
- 00:02:49us building in new Clair
- 00:02:51Wisconsin we also continue to see
- 00:02:53significant opportunities worldwide and
- 00:02:56our fiscal 2025 plan has 12 of our
- 00:02:59planned 29 openings coming outside of
- 00:03:02the us including our fifth building in
- 00:03:04Spain which opened in Zaragoza two weeks
- 00:03:08ago with three of these warehouses being
- 00:03:10relocations we expect to add 26 net new
- 00:03:14buildings in fiscal
- 00:03:1625 we continue to grow our e-commerce
- 00:03:19business and Costco Logistics has had a
- 00:03:21remarkable year appliances and furniture
- 00:03:24and big and bulky has led the way and
- 00:03:27Logistics delivered over 4.5 million
- 00:03:29items this last year up 29% over the
- 00:03:33year
- 00:03:33prior improvements in our item sortment
- 00:03:36delivery times and scheduling
- 00:03:38functionality all enhance the member
- 00:03:41experience we have great momentum with
- 00:03:43this business and expect big and bulky
- 00:03:45items will be a key part of our
- 00:03:47continued progress with e-commerce in
- 00:03:49the coming
- 00:03:51year turning to technology we're
- 00:03:54starting to realize the benefits from
- 00:03:55the work that was done this past year
- 00:03:58members are very excited about able to
- 00:04:00check Warehouse inventory via the Costco
- 00:04:02app and the membership card scanners
- 00:04:05installed at the front doors have
- 00:04:06delivered on the goal of speeding up the
- 00:04:08checkout process this has been very well
- 00:04:11received by our
- 00:04:13members more improvements are currently
- 00:04:15under way which should further benefit
- 00:04:17our business both online and in our
- 00:04:20warehouses with that I'll turn it back
- 00:04:22over to Gary to discuss the results for
- 00:04:24the quarter and I'll jump back on during
- 00:04:26Q&A to field some questions
- 00:04:29thanks Ron in today's press release we
- 00:04:32reported operating results for the
- 00:04:34fourth quarter of fiscal 2024 the 16
- 00:04:37weeks ended September 1st as we did last
- 00:04:40quarter we published a slide deck on our
- 00:04:42investor site under events and
- 00:04:44presentations with supplemental
- 00:04:46information to support today's press
- 00:04:48release you might find it helpful to
- 00:04:50have this presentation in front of you
- 00:04:51as I walk through our
- 00:04:53results throughout this discussion when
- 00:04:55we're comparing to last year's fourth
- 00:04:57quarter the best way to normalize for
- 00:04:59the extra week is to multiply last
- 00:05:01year's results by
- 00:05:041617 net income for the 16 we fourth
- 00:05:07quarter came in at $2.35 4 billion or
- 00:05:12$5.29 per diluted share up from $2.16
- 00:05:16billion and
- 00:05:17$486 per diluted share in the 17we
- 00:05:21fourth quarter last year this year's
- 00:05:23results included a non-recurring net tax
- 00:05:26benefit of $63 million or 14 cents
- 00:05:29diluted share related to a transfer
- 00:05:32pricing settlement and true Ops of
- 00:05:34various tax
- 00:05:35reserves reported net income was up 9%
- 00:05:38year-over-year
- 00:05:39excluding this year's non-recurring tax
- 00:05:42benefit and normalized for the extra
- 00:05:44week last year net income and earnings
- 00:05:47per diluted share were up 12.7% and
- 00:05:5012.6%
- 00:05:52respectively net sales for the fourth
- 00:05:54quarter were $ 78.2 billion an increase
- 00:05:58of 1% from 7 $7.4 billion in the fourth
- 00:06:01quarter last year adjusting for the
- 00:06:04extra week last year net sales would
- 00:06:06have been up
- 00:06:087.3% the following comparable sales
- 00:06:11reflect comparable locations
- 00:06:13year-over-year and 16 comparable retail
- 00:06:16weeks us comp sales were up 5.3% or 6.3%
- 00:06:21excluding gas
- 00:06:23deflation Canada comp sales were up 5.5%
- 00:06:26while 7.9% excluding gas deflation and
- 00:06:30FX and other International comp sales
- 00:06:33were up 5.7% or 99.3%
- 00:06:36adjusted this all led to Total company
- 00:06:39comp sales of Plus 5.4% or plus 6.9%
- 00:06:44adjusted for gas deflation and
- 00:06:46FX finally e-commerce comp sales were up
- 00:06:5018.9% or 19.5% adjusted for
- 00:06:54FX in terms of Q4 comp sales metrics
- 00:06:58foreign currencies relative to the US
- 00:07:00dollar negatively impacted sales by
- 00:07:02approximately
- 00:07:04.9% while gasoline price deflation
- 00:07:06negatively impacted sales by
- 00:07:08approximately
- 00:07:106% traffic or shopping frequency
- 00:07:12increased 6.4% worldwide and 5.6% in the
- 00:07:17US our average transaction or ticket was
- 00:07:21negative .9% worldwide and negative. 3%
- 00:07:24in the
- 00:07:25US this includes the headwinds from gas
- 00:07:28deflation and FX
- 00:07:30adjusted for those items ticket would
- 00:07:32have been positive. 5% worldwide and
- 00:07:34positive. 6% in the
- 00:07:37US moving down the income statement to
- 00:07:39membership fee income we reported
- 00:07:42membership fee income of $1.51 two
- 00:07:44billion an increase of $3 million or .2%
- 00:07:48on one less week year-over-year
- 00:07:51FX negatively impacted membership fee
- 00:07:53income by
- 00:07:550.9% excluding the impacts from the
- 00:07:57extra week last year and FX normalized
- 00:08:00membership fee income was up
- 00:08:037.4% in terms of renewal rates at Q4 end
- 00:08:06our US and Canada renewal rate was
- 00:08:0992.9% down 1 to the per from Q3 end this
- 00:08:14slight decrease related to an online
- 00:08:16membership promotion that we ran for a
- 00:08:18short period in fiscal year 2023 which
- 00:08:21resulted in over 200,000 new
- 00:08:24signups as those members entered the
- 00:08:26renewal rate calculation during Q4
- 00:08:28fiscal year before the lower renewal
- 00:08:31rates for that cohort which is typical
- 00:08:33for digital promotions had a negative
- 00:08:35impact on the overall us renewal
- 00:08:37rate outside of those signups there were
- 00:08:40no meaningful changes in the US renewal
- 00:08:43rate the worldwide rate came in at 90.5%
- 00:08:47the same as Q3 with Improvement
- 00:08:49internationally offsetting the slight
- 00:08:51negative in the
- 00:08:53US we ended Q4 with 76.2 million paid
- 00:08:57household members up 7 .3% versus last
- 00:09:00year and 136.8888855
- 00:09:29now represent 46.5% of paid members and
- 00:09:3373.5% of worldwide
- 00:09:36sales turning to gross margin our
- 00:09:39reported rate in the fourth quarter was
- 00:09:41higher year-over-year by 40 basis points
- 00:09:43coming in at 11% compared to 10.6% last
- 00:09:47year and up 33 basis points excluding
- 00:09:50gas
- 00:09:51deflation coil was lower by five basis
- 00:09:54points and lower by 11 basis points
- 00:09:56without gas
- 00:09:57deflation in terms of core margins on
- 00:10:00their own sales our core on core margins
- 00:10:02were higher by nine basis
- 00:10:05points ancillary and other business's
- 00:10:07gross margin was higher 44 basis points
- 00:10:10and higher 42 basis points excluding gas
- 00:10:14deflation this increase year-over-year
- 00:10:16was driven by gas and
- 00:10:18e-commerce e-commerce benefited from
- 00:10:21strong sales growth item mix and
- 00:10:23fulfillment productivity and gas margins
- 00:10:27benefited from some moderate Tailwinds
- 00:10:29and lapping a slightly weaker quarter
- 00:10:31last year but nothing as significant as
- 00:10:33the benefit in q1 2024 as a result of
- 00:10:36the volatility from world events in that
- 00:10:39quarter 2% rewards was HED by four basis
- 00:10:42points or three basis points without gas
- 00:10:45deflation reflecting higher sales
- 00:10:47penetration from our executive members
- 00:10:50and lifo was a benefit of five basis
- 00:10:52points we had an $8 million lifeo Credit
- 00:10:55in Q4 this year compared to a $30
- 00:10:57million charge in Q4 last year
- 00:11:01moving to sgna our reported sgna rate in
- 00:11:05the fourth quarter was higher
- 00:11:06year-over-year by eight basis points
- 00:11:08coming in at
- 00:11:1099.04% compared to last year's
- 00:11:138.96% sgna was higher by two basis
- 00:11:16points adjusted for gas
- 00:11:18deflation the operations component of
- 00:11:20sgna was higher four basis points but
- 00:11:23was flat excluding gas
- 00:11:25deflation higher wages went into effect
- 00:11:27for the last 6 weeks of the quarter in
- 00:11:29the US and Canada which was a headwind
- 00:11:32for the quarter of approximately four
- 00:11:33basis
- 00:11:34points investing in our employees
- 00:11:37remains a key part of our strategy and
- 00:11:39we will continue to focus on driving
- 00:11:41Topline sales and improving productivity
- 00:11:44to mitigate the incremental
- 00:11:46costs Central was higher by three basis
- 00:11:49points and two basis points without gas
- 00:11:51deflation stock compensation was flat
- 00:11:53year-over-year and pre-opening was e one
- 00:11:56basis point but flat without gas
- 00:11:58deflation
- 00:12:01below the operating income line interest
- 00:12:03expense was $49 million versus $56
- 00:12:06Million last year reflecting $1 billion
- 00:12:09of Debt Pay down in the second week of
- 00:12:11Q4 this
- 00:12:12year interest income for the quarter was
- 00:12:15$138 Million versus $21 Million last
- 00:12:18year primarily due to the 6.7 billion
- 00:12:22special dividend paid in January
- 00:12:252024 interest income will continue to be
- 00:12:28a headwind in the first half of this
- 00:12:29year due to lower year-over-year cash
- 00:12:32balances and lower interest
- 00:12:34rates FX and other was an $18 million
- 00:12:38loss this year versus a $37 million gain
- 00:12:40last year this was primarily due to
- 00:12:43Foreign
- 00:12:44Exchange in terms of income taxes our
- 00:12:47tax rate in Q4 was
- 00:12:4924.4% compared to 27.1% in Q4 last year
- 00:12:54as mentioned earlier this year's rate
- 00:12:57benefited from $63 million of net tax
- 00:12:59discrete items adjusted for this benefit
- 00:13:02the tax rate for the quarter would have
- 00:13:04been
- 00:13:0726.4% turning now to some key items of
- 00:13:09note in the quarter we opened 14 new
- 00:13:12warehouses in the fourth quarter 10 in
- 00:13:15the US two in Japan and one each in
- 00:13:17Korea and China capital expenditure in
- 00:13:20Q4 was approximately 1.58 billion
- 00:13:24bringing the total year spend to $ 4.71
- 00:13:27billion taking a deeper look into core
- 00:13:30merchandising sales once again non Foods
- 00:13:33led the way with the highest comparable
- 00:13:34sales in
- 00:13:35Q4 our buyers have done a fantastic job
- 00:13:38finding new and exciting items of great
- 00:13:40values gold and jewelry gift cards toys
- 00:13:43and seasonal Home Furnishings tires and
- 00:13:47housewares all were up double digits in
- 00:13:49the
- 00:13:50quarter Health and Beauty AIDS also
- 00:13:52performed well as we have expanded and
- 00:13:54elevated that category with new high-end
- 00:13:57SKS both online and inware house
- 00:13:59including assorted luxury fragrances at
- 00:14:02a 30 to 70% value to
- 00:14:05retail across the fresh departments we
- 00:14:07saw High single digigit growth as our
- 00:14:10continued focus on value is resonating
- 00:14:12with our
- 00:14:13members an example of this in the meat
- 00:14:15department is our Kirkland Signature
- 00:14:17boneless chicken tenderloins where we
- 00:14:19lowered the price 13% and saw a 21% lift
- 00:14:22in pound
- 00:14:23sold in food and sues the introduction
- 00:14:26of more International food products such
- 00:14:28as pania cheese Punjabi cookies and
- 00:14:31fried tofu kimbap are resonating
- 00:14:34extremely well with our members we're
- 00:14:36also delivering greater value by adding
- 00:14:38some new Kirkland Signature items such
- 00:14:41as our KS organic golden maple syrup and
- 00:14:44KS aerosol whipped
- 00:14:46cream Kirkland Signature offers
- 00:14:48significant member value compared to the
- 00:14:50National Brands and continues to grow at
- 00:14:52a faster Pace than our business as a
- 00:14:55whole our goal is always to be the first
- 00:14:57to lower prices where we see the
- 00:14:59opportunities to do so and just a few
- 00:15:01examples this quarter include KS
- 00:15:04standard foil reduced from 3199 to
- 00:15:0829.99 KS macadamia nuts reduced from
- 00:15:11$18.99 to
- 00:15:1313.99 ks Spanish olive oil 3 liter
- 00:15:16reduced from $38.99 to$
- 00:15:1934.99 and KS baguette two pack reduced
- 00:15:22from 599 to
- 00:15:254.99 our commitment to sustainability
- 00:15:28and achieving emissions is also
- 00:15:30presenting opportunities to lower our
- 00:15:32costs a great example of this is our KS
- 00:15:35laundry packs which we recently
- 00:15:37converted from a rigid plastic tub to a
- 00:15:39pouch this allowed us to reduce the
- 00:15:42plastic packaging by 80% and pass these
- 00:15:44cost savings onto the member lowering
- 00:15:46the price by $1 from1 1999 to1
- 00:15:5118.99 we've also found success working
- 00:15:53with suppliers to localize production of
- 00:15:55bulky items such as water paper and
- 00:15:59laundry
- 00:15:59detergents by manufacturing these Goods
- 00:16:02closer to the countries in which they're
- 00:16:03sold both costs and Emissions associated
- 00:16:06with the shipment of these goods are
- 00:16:08greatly
- 00:16:09reduced this quarter we introduced our
- 00:16:11new Japan produced Kirkland Signature
- 00:16:13paper towels in addition to the
- 00:16:16emissions benefits from no longer
- 00:16:17shipping millions of units of paper
- 00:16:19towels from the US to Asia the reduced
- 00:16:22Freight allowed us to lower the price by
- 00:16:24approximately 30% or $8 per unit in that
- 00:16:27market
- 00:16:29as production ramps up we are in the
- 00:16:31process of transitioning our other Asian
- 00:16:33markets to locally produced
- 00:16:35SKS Shifting the production country of
- 00:16:38this one product will result in annual
- 00:16:40member Savings of $30
- 00:16:43million within ancillary businesses
- 00:16:45Pharmacy had the strongest sales
- 00:16:47percentage increase driven by double-
- 00:16:49digigit growth in script counts our
- 00:16:52optical department also perform well as
- 00:16:54more members have taken advantage of the
- 00:16:56exceptional values in brand name frames
- 00:16:58and sun
- 00:16:59glasses on a like for like 16we basis
- 00:17:03gas sales were negative low single
- 00:17:05digits in the quarter as a result of the
- 00:17:07average price per gallon being 5% lower
- 00:17:10this was partially offset by gallon
- 00:17:12growth of
- 00:17:133% inflation was once again effectively
- 00:17:16flat in the quarter across all core
- 00:17:18merchandise food and sundies and Fresh
- 00:17:20Foods were slightly inflationary and
- 00:17:22this was offset by deflation in non-
- 00:17:25Foods in the supply chain we are seeing
- 00:17:28good flow of product through Panama and
- 00:17:30Baltimore the Red Sea is a remaining
- 00:17:32pain point and is causing some
- 00:17:34relatively minor shipping delays product
- 00:17:37availability has generally been good
- 00:17:39with a few exceptions egg supplies are
- 00:17:42still being negatively impacted by Aven
- 00:17:44influenza and Prime Beef and a handful
- 00:17:46of vegetable skews have been
- 00:17:49tight as Ron shared earlier we are
- 00:17:52pleased with the momentum in our digital
- 00:17:54business and continue to make good
- 00:17:55progress with our technology priorities
- 00:17:59our app was downloaded 3.5 million times
- 00:18:01in the quarter bringing total downloads
- 00:18:04to approximately 39 million and we
- 00:18:06recently upgraded the native search
- 00:18:08function on our US Mobile app leading to
- 00:18:11a doubling of the click-through rate on
- 00:18:12search
- 00:18:14results e-commerce traffic conversion
- 00:18:16rates and average order value were all
- 00:18:19up year-over-year helping to drive
- 00:18:21another strong quarter of comparable
- 00:18:23sales
- 00:18:24growth while continued strength in
- 00:18:26bullan was a meaningful Tailwind to
- 00:18:28e-commerce compy PS appliances Health
- 00:18:30and Beauty AIDS tires toys gift cards
- 00:18:34Hardware housewares Home Furnishings
- 00:18:37Optical and Pharmacy all grew double
- 00:18:39digits year-over-year
- 00:18:41the roll out of buy online pickup in
- 00:18:43warehouse for TVs in the US market was
- 00:18:46also completed in Q4 this allows same
- 00:18:49day pickup of a new TV for members who
- 00:18:51prefer not to wait for delivery while
- 00:18:54buy online pickup in Warehouse isn't
- 00:18:56cost effective for us on lower priced
- 00:18:58items
- 00:18:59for high value items with high shipping
- 00:19:01costs like TVs the freight savings more
- 00:19:04than offset the added labor required in
- 00:19:06warehouses to fulfill those orders we're
- 00:19:09now testing a similar program on
- 00:19:12laptops Costco next accurated
- 00:19:14Marketplace while still small continued
- 00:19:17to grow nicely in the quarter we added
- 00:19:2011 new vendors bringing the total to 866
- 00:19:23and adjusting for the extra week grow
- 00:19:25sales grew nearly 40% year-over-year
- 00:19:30a brief comment on the membership fee
- 00:19:31increase that went into effect on
- 00:19:33September the 1st due to deferred
- 00:19:36accounting this will have minimal impact
- 00:19:38early in the year the vast majority of
- 00:19:40the benefit will come in the back half
- 00:19:42of fiscal year 2025 and into fiscal year
- 00:19:462026 with that being said our commitment
- 00:19:49to invest in our employees and members
- 00:19:51is continuous as evidence by the July
- 00:19:53wage increase and lower prices such as
- 00:19:56the example shared on today's call
- 00:20:00in closing we are encouraged by our
- 00:20:02momentum exiting fiscal year 2024 and
- 00:20:05are excited about the growth
- 00:20:06opportunities ahead as we continue to
- 00:20:08execute our strategy of delivering
- 00:20:10exciting new items and greater value for
- 00:20:13members innovating with copon signature
- 00:20:16and growing our warehouse footprint and
- 00:20:17digital capabilities
- 00:20:19globally in terms of upcoming releases
- 00:20:22we will announce our September sales
- 00:20:24results for the five weeks ending Sunday
- 00:20:26October the 6th on Wednesday October the
- 00:20:299th after market
- 00:20:31close that concludes our prepared
- 00:20:33remarks we'll now open the lineup for
- 00:20:37Q&A thank you we will now begin the
- 00:20:40question and answer session if you'd
- 00:20:42like to ask a question please press star
- 00:20:44one on your telephone keypad to raise
- 00:20:47your hand and join the queue and if
- 00:20:49you'd like to withdraw your question
- 00:20:51again press star one and please limit
- 00:20:53yourself to one question your first
- 00:20:56question comes from Simeon Gutman with
- 00:20:59Morgan Stanley please go
- 00:21:04[Music]
- 00:21:06ahead Simeon Gutman please press star
- 00:21:14one our questions on the previous
- 00:21:17earnings call there was a discussion
- 00:21:19about the possibility of Greater sgna
- 00:21:22leverage in the future as a lot of
- 00:21:24foundational Investments have already
- 00:21:26been made shortly after Costco announced
- 00:21:30a membership fee increase and
- 00:21:31reinvestment into uh employee wages as
- 00:21:34well while wage Investments are are
- 00:21:37clearly the right thing for the business
- 00:21:38and instrumental for Costco's culture
- 00:21:40and success how should we reconcile this
- 00:21:43potential posture of driving more
- 00:21:45leverage but also adopting uh the same
- 00:21:48prior approach of putting upside back
- 00:21:49into
- 00:21:51wages hi yes good afternoon thanks for
- 00:21:53the question um you know as we think
- 00:21:56about our overall model for the company
- 00:21:59our focus is on really achieving a
- 00:22:00balance across the business and as you
- 00:22:02know over the years what we've done
- 00:22:04successfully at Costco is continue to
- 00:22:06invest in members continue to invest in
- 00:22:09in lowering prices and value for our
- 00:22:10members and continue to invest in our
- 00:22:12employees and we believe that's going to
- 00:22:14be a critical part of our overall
- 00:22:16strategy going forward to make sure that
- 00:22:18we keep driving our Topline sales growth
- 00:22:20uh you you're absolutely right join the
- 00:22:22quarter and in fact I think three times
- 00:22:24during the year we share we made various
- 00:22:25investments in our employees back in
- 00:22:28September 2023 we announced an increase
- 00:22:30in the starting wage and then in March
- 00:22:33this year we announced uh that we were
- 00:22:36increasing uh wages for a number of our
- 00:22:38managerial roles in the warehouses and
- 00:22:40as you mentioned we recently announced a
- 00:22:42further increase for all of our uh
- 00:22:44hourly employees uh in the warehouses
- 00:22:47and across our distribution Network and
- 00:22:49and so from our perspective we think
- 00:22:51that's an important part of continuing
- 00:22:52to support the Topline growth in the
- 00:22:54company as you saw in the uh the quarter
- 00:22:57when you ad just s GNA for gas deflation
- 00:23:01and for uh looking particularly at the
- 00:23:03operational part of the business the
- 00:23:05good news was we were able to
- 00:23:06effectively offset that cost those cost
- 00:23:09increases by driving productivity and
- 00:23:11driving sales leverage and I think we've
- 00:23:13done that pretty consistently over time
- 00:23:14and our expectation of ourselves is that
- 00:23:17we'll continue to to do that so I think
- 00:23:19for us it's it's less about giving
- 00:23:22specific guidance on you know a
- 00:23:23particular measure but more look looking
- 00:23:25over the long term of how we expect to
- 00:23:27be able to keep making those Investments
- 00:23:29but also driving leverage in our in our
- 00:23:31model to ensure we're sustainably
- 00:23:33driving Top Line and driving profitable
- 00:23:35growth R anything you'd like that no I
- 00:23:37have to agree with you
- 00:23:40g got it that's really helpful and just
- 00:23:43as a quick followup can you speak to the
- 00:23:45impact of the the card readers at the
- 00:23:47different stores you've rolled out so
- 00:23:49far should should we be modeling
- 00:23:51potentially a a lift in member counts or
- 00:23:54or growth in addition to the uh mfi uh
- 00:23:58bump from the fee increase as
- 00:24:01well this is Ron you know the purpose uh
- 00:24:04of the card readers at the front door
- 00:24:06this is a system we've been using for
- 00:24:08over two years now in Europe in
- 00:24:09especially in the UK and we piloted here
- 00:24:12in the US for about 6 months several
- 00:24:14different benefits for it it gives our
- 00:24:16operators realtime traffic counts
- 00:24:18throughout the day so we're able to
- 00:24:20adjust frontend lines that we need to
- 00:24:22open and closed lines based on the
- 00:24:24fluctuations of business we can monitor
- 00:24:26our Fresh Foods a little better because
- 00:24:28we know what the traffic counts look
- 00:24:29like and so forth and it has also taken
- 00:24:32the friction of membership verification
- 00:24:35away from the front-end registers and
- 00:24:37move that to the front door where we're
- 00:24:38able to look at people's membership
- 00:24:40status we let them know if their renewal
- 00:24:42is due before they get to the front end
- 00:24:44so we've re we've realized some very
- 00:24:46nice healthy front-end improvements in
- 00:24:49productivity and and it's allowed our
- 00:24:51operators to manage the business much
- 00:24:52better throughout the
- 00:24:56day your next question comes from Chris
- 00:24:59horvers with JP Morgan please go
- 00:25:03ahead thank you good evening I'm GNA
- 00:25:06train hopefully you can hear
- 00:25:08me question is is can you talk about the
- 00:25:11risk around the Port strike that's
- 00:25:14emerging here you know what percentage
- 00:25:16of the product do you comes through
- 00:25:19those affected ports any description on
- 00:25:21maybe the categories that are more
- 00:25:24exposed versus the others and to what
- 00:25:26extent have you tried to bring in
- 00:25:27product early for the holidays uh to try
- 00:25:30to to manage that
- 00:25:33risk yeah this is Ron again yes I I'll
- 00:25:35take that question um you know the Port
- 00:25:37strike is something we've been watching
- 00:25:39very closely for some time we knew about
- 00:25:41the timing of this as well when you
- 00:25:42think about the impact to our business
- 00:25:44we import primarily non foods and some
- 00:25:47limited food incendies come in but non
- 00:25:49Foods is less than about 25% of our
- 00:25:52total business and only a subset of that
- 00:25:54is imported there's some domestic Goods
- 00:25:56in there as well that are not import in
- 00:25:58in non Foods um we have done a little
- 00:26:00bit of everything that you spoke about
- 00:26:02we've got contingency plans um we've
- 00:26:04cleared the ports we've pre- shipped um
- 00:26:08we've done several different things that
- 00:26:09we could to get holiday Goods in um
- 00:26:12ahead of this time frame and looked at
- 00:26:14alternate plans that we could execute
- 00:26:16with moving Goods to different ports and
- 00:26:18coming across the country if needed um
- 00:26:20it could be disruptive based on how
- 00:26:22impactful I can't tell you until we know
- 00:26:24length and and what could happen out
- 00:26:26there but it is in our
- 00:26:28our buyers are all over it they're
- 00:26:30watching it closely and we've taken as
- 00:26:32many preemptive measures as we could to
- 00:26:34prepare for
- 00:26:36this and then just as a quick followup
- 00:26:38as you think about the risk around ocean
- 00:26:40Freight rates is your expectation that
- 00:26:43Freight Freight rates are maybe elevated
- 00:26:45right now because of all this and and
- 00:26:47perhaps come down into next year as we
- 00:26:50think about contract renewal periods
- 00:26:52thank
- 00:26:53you you know I I I'm not good at
- 00:26:55predicting the future but I can tell you
- 00:26:57that from what we're seeing a big chunk
- 00:26:59of of our freight comes in under
- 00:27:02contract so we've been insulated from
- 00:27:03that um the spot Market has peaked in
- 00:27:06the last quarter um we see that coming
- 00:27:08off now if a port disruption um could
- 00:27:11happen or something else could happen in
- 00:27:13the Red Sea could that go up absolutely
- 00:27:15it could go up but from what we're
- 00:27:16seeing now the spot Market did increase
- 00:27:19is coming off at this point and uh again
- 00:27:22our team did a great job by insulating
- 00:27:24us with good solid contracts for this
- 00:27:26year thanks
- 00:27:29your next question comes from the line
- 00:27:31of Chuck Grom with Gordon hasket please
- 00:27:33go
- 00:27:34ahead thanks good afternoon Gary and Ron
- 00:27:37just to go back to the membership card
- 00:27:39scanners um can you just uh speak to
- 00:27:41where you are in the on the roll out of
- 00:27:43that across the US and any positive
- 00:27:46reactions you've seen so far our checks
- 00:27:48have shown that in some locations you
- 00:27:49guys are actually seeing a double digit
- 00:27:51increase in new
- 00:27:53signups um yeah we we have about 350
- 00:27:58um us warehouses rolled out at this
- 00:28:01point um and through the process uh you
- 00:28:04know reaction has been very positive
- 00:28:06myself all our operators and we really
- 00:28:08rely on feedback of our warehouse
- 00:28:10managers and what's been done and our
- 00:28:12our head operator Russ Miller and myself
- 00:28:14have been met with great um positive
- 00:28:17reactions both from the members and from
- 00:28:21The Operators as well um we have seen
- 00:28:23some some lift in in member signups from
- 00:28:26that we've also seen a lift in renewals
- 00:28:29because before people get to the front
- 00:28:30end now they're aware that my renewal is
- 00:28:33going to be due when I get to the
- 00:28:34registers so um members are very
- 00:28:36appreciative of that they know that and
- 00:28:38they get up to the front and they're not
- 00:28:39shocked by that process as well so
- 00:28:42improve improv productivity um improved
- 00:28:45interaction and as we know as our
- 00:28:47volumes grow we're looking for
- 00:28:48everything we can find to use technology
- 00:28:50to help get our members through the
- 00:28:52front ends in a good smooth
- 00:28:55manner that's very helpful and then my
- 00:28:57father just area on on the other
- 00:28:59business line within the the margin
- 00:29:01build up 42 basis points that cast can
- 00:29:04you add a little bit of color on on the
- 00:29:06sequential change how much came from
- 00:29:08e-commerce how much came from the
- 00:29:10Improvement in gas margins thank you
- 00:29:13sure yeah we called those to out because
- 00:29:14they were the the two biggest factor in
- 00:29:16the results so i' think of them as being
- 00:29:17you know relatively similar similar in
- 00:29:19terms of the impact um e-commerce
- 00:29:21actually has been a a nice Trend that
- 00:29:23we've seen for the last couple of
- 00:29:24quarters we've been really pleased with
- 00:29:25the momentum in e-commerce of course the
- 00:29:27headline sales growth has been very
- 00:29:29positive which is a great starting point
- 00:29:31but then the team's done a really nice
- 00:29:33job of improving fulfillment efficiency
- 00:29:35and driving um better sell through in
- 00:29:38terms of the product and the inventory
- 00:29:40management as well and the mix has
- 00:29:41improved as I mentioned on the prepared
- 00:29:43remarks we've seen really good growth
- 00:29:45really balance across across the board
- 00:29:47around uh e-commerce growth so
- 00:29:50e-commerce was has been a a sort of a
- 00:29:51sustained Trend that we've been pleased
- 00:29:53with the last couple of quarters on the
- 00:29:55the gas side of things it was really I
- 00:29:57wouldn't say there was anything usual
- 00:29:58during the quarter it was really more a
- 00:29:59case of that we had uh a little bit of
- 00:30:01Tailwind in margin and and as I
- 00:30:03mentioned earlier we were cycling uh
- 00:30:05some some lighter margin in the the same
- 00:30:08quarter in
- 00:30:112023 thank
- 00:30:13you your next question comes from the
- 00:30:15line of Paul lios with City Group please
- 00:30:18go
- 00:30:20ahead hey everyone this brand sh on for
- 00:30:22Paul hey Gary and Ron I want to talk
- 00:30:25about um new store growth you know you
- 00:30:27mentioned 6 net in
- 00:30:302025 um with I guess an increasing on
- 00:30:34focus on International um anything you
- 00:30:37can share on why the US would step down
- 00:30:39from 24 levels should we think about
- 00:30:42Internationals you know being a more
- 00:30:44important growth vertical for you and
- 00:30:47then on the US side you know how many of
- 00:30:49those are new markets versus infill
- 00:30:51where you're trying to alleviate traffic
- 00:30:53congestion from a nearby
- 00:30:56store you know on on the international
- 00:30:59to domestic um new openings it it really
- 00:31:02is based on timing through the system I
- 00:31:05mean you know it in in larger markets we
- 00:31:08may have a building that's taken us
- 00:31:09three years to get to fruition where
- 00:31:11some markets move quite quickly so um
- 00:31:14you know there's no specific plan that
- 00:31:16we have we put we put the buildings in
- 00:31:18queue we agree that we're going to go
- 00:31:20there and then it's following the
- 00:31:22process all the way through to how
- 00:31:24utilities come along infrastructure
- 00:31:26those type of things um as far as the
- 00:31:29the outlook on International versus um
- 00:31:33domestic growth it's pretty balanced
- 00:31:35again more of a timing thing than
- 00:31:37anything you know I think we've got 12
- 00:31:39next year that will be outside of the US
- 00:31:41um and we've got some you could imagine
- 00:31:44in some countries it takes us a few more
- 00:31:45years to get a building opened up so it
- 00:31:48really is about the Cadence of them
- 00:31:49opening but we we continue to look
- 00:31:52forward that we feel pretty good
- 00:31:53balanced um growth um we we see infields
- 00:31:57as being very positive for us both in US
- 00:32:00Canada and all of North America that we
- 00:32:02have plenty of opportunities for infills
- 00:32:04in North America for the next several
- 00:32:06years ahead and then a good a good
- 00:32:09Market of you know new new regions of
- 00:32:12the world I don't think we have anything
- 00:32:14lined up for next year but new markets
- 00:32:15I'd say that we're probably looking at
- 00:32:17five to six new markets that uh we'll be
- 00:32:20expanding into next
- 00:32:22year got it okay thanks and just one
- 00:32:25follow up on the mfi P Incas
- 00:32:28I know you all typically reinvest in the
- 00:32:30member experience and and price and we
- 00:32:32already talked about wages you know how
- 00:32:34should we think about the timing of that
- 00:32:36because you realize you know the mfi
- 00:32:39increase over a longer period is there
- 00:32:41any near-term pressure that might um
- 00:32:44flow through the p&l as you do kind of
- 00:32:47focus on delivering that value to the
- 00:32:49member after you've increased that Fe
- 00:32:52thanks
- 00:32:53guys sure yeah thanks for the question
- 00:32:56you know we mentioned a couple of the
- 00:32:57these things in the prepared comments
- 00:32:59too but we certainly think about uh as
- 00:33:01we increase the membership fee our goal
- 00:33:03is always to find ways to deliver more
- 00:33:06value for the member and we think that
- 00:33:07about that pretty holistically it can be
- 00:33:10uh lowering prices it can be launching
- 00:33:12new Kirkland Signature products it's
- 00:33:14also investing in ways that we can
- 00:33:15improve the member experience and some
- 00:33:17of the things that Ron mentioned earlier
- 00:33:19and and we believe a critical part of
- 00:33:21delivering a better experience for our
- 00:33:22members is also in employee wages so we
- 00:33:25we very much look at it holistically and
- 00:33:27how do we make sure sure we feel
- 00:33:28confident that we're delivering more
- 00:33:30value to our members over time and some
- 00:33:32of those things as you heard in Q4 we've
- 00:33:34already started that Journey with some
- 00:33:36of the wage increases and some of the
- 00:33:38ways in which we've been able to lower
- 00:33:40prices and deliver more value through
- 00:33:41new Kirkland Signature products in the
- 00:33:43quarter um to answer maybe the the
- 00:33:45broader question that you mentioned as
- 00:33:47as you know we generally don't provide
- 00:33:49guidance um as part of our updates to
- 00:33:51for for the results of the company you
- 00:33:53know that being said I would say overall
- 00:33:55we feel very good about our momentum
- 00:33:57ending fiscal year 24 and as we head
- 00:34:00into the new fiscal year we feel very
- 00:34:02good about the uh the opportunity ahead
- 00:34:04of us as always we've set ourselves High
- 00:34:07internal expectations for how we expect
- 00:34:09to grow the top line and to do so
- 00:34:11profitably and we'll be doing that by
- 00:34:13continuing to invest in member value and
- 00:34:15employees while driving efficiencies and
- 00:34:18leverage and we still see many
- 00:34:19opportunities to find ways to uh improve
- 00:34:22gross margin and OG sgna in terms of
- 00:34:25opportunities to fund those Investments
- 00:34:27um we wouldn't normally comment on
- 00:34:29Cadence for the year ahead either um but
- 00:34:31as I mentioned in my prepared remarks
- 00:34:32you know there are a few unusual items
- 00:34:35this year with the Deferred accounting
- 00:34:36for the membership fee increase as you
- 00:34:38mentioned uh and that will generally
- 00:34:41sort of really the most part of that
- 00:34:42will come in in the second half of
- 00:34:442025 and the first half of 2026 and then
- 00:34:48there are also a couple of um specific
- 00:34:50factors to q1 namely the interest income
- 00:34:53where we'll be cycling higher cash
- 00:34:55balances and higher interest rates from
- 00:34:56last year and uh gas profit while it's
- 00:34:59really been pretty stable over the years
- 00:35:01there was certainly some volatility due
- 00:35:03to world events in q1 last year so the
- 00:35:06one thing I think I would say is that as
- 00:35:07you think about our Cadence of our
- 00:35:09earnings growth across 25 it's likely to
- 00:35:11be less linear than you you would
- 00:35:12probably typically
- 00:35:15expect your next question comes from the
- 00:35:18line of John hinacle with googleheim
- 00:35:21Securities please go
- 00:35:23ahead hey Gary I wanted to start with I
- 00:35:25think I think you said right core on
- 00:35:26core was up nine n bips um what what was
- 00:35:29the color uh byproduct category U you
- 00:35:33know fresh food suies and non food yeah
- 00:35:37food and suies were slightly negative uh
- 00:35:39fresh was uh slightly positive and non
- 00:35:42Foods was the the strongest of the three
- 00:35:44which was really again I think from the
- 00:35:46from the mix perspective and the strong
- 00:35:48sell through in the year but that was
- 00:35:49sort of the breakout of it
- 00:35:51John and then maybe for both of you guys
- 00:35:54how do when you think about Kirkland
- 00:35:56Signature right you talked about you
- 00:35:58gave some price decreases that you've
- 00:36:00taken and all of those that you cited
- 00:36:02anyway were Kirkland Signature you so
- 00:36:05maybe you know talk about that um those
- 00:36:07price decreases maybe versus uh brand
- 00:36:10name product where Kirkland's signature
- 00:36:12penetration is now and is is that
- 00:36:15business because you're getting scale is
- 00:36:17is that just becoming a lot more
- 00:36:18profitable than it used to be or uh or
- 00:36:22you're trying to you're trying to manage
- 00:36:24to a a flatter an unchanged margin on
- 00:36:26Kirkland Signature
- 00:36:29you know um I guess I'll take that one
- 00:36:31we we you know we continue to see the
- 00:36:33penetration grow and and it's in the in
- 00:36:35the high 20s now um as it continues to
- 00:36:38grow as our as our penetration across
- 00:36:40the board goes we are not only seeing
- 00:36:42investment in price in Kirk and
- 00:36:44signature but with Claudine and her team
- 00:36:47they they have a commitment that if
- 00:36:48we're going to expect that of our
- 00:36:49suppliers we're going to start with
- 00:36:51setting that example and and showing the
- 00:36:53the benefits of investing in price and
- 00:36:55driving unit volume so we are doing that
- 00:36:58but we're also seeing great support from
- 00:37:00our suppliers and our partners around
- 00:37:02the world that are also interested in
- 00:37:04driving their business and using Costco
- 00:37:06as that partner to get that done so you
- 00:37:09know we continue I think we've got some
- 00:37:10great items coming up this next year in
- 00:37:12Kirkland Signature that will continue to
- 00:37:14enhance that uh that value proposition
- 00:37:17to our members and continues to build
- 00:37:19the Loyalty with our members because um
- 00:37:21this is this is a place you come to get
- 00:37:23Kirk and signature so we see good things
- 00:37:26coming we see the penetration continue
- 00:37:28to grow and we can continue to see the
- 00:37:31the value and the benefits to the
- 00:37:32members improving over time Gary if
- 00:37:35you're yeah maybe Ron just to add um to
- 00:37:37to the comment also uh John you were
- 00:37:39asking around um the margin opportunity
- 00:37:41obviously we we stay very disciplined
- 00:37:43about we have a cap on the margin that
- 00:37:45we expect to to make on a Kirkland
- 00:37:47Signature product but as that mix
- 00:37:49continues to grow it definitely creates
- 00:37:50some overall Tailwind in our in our
- 00:37:53margin overall and uh you know I
- 00:37:55mentioned a couple of examples in the
- 00:37:56prepared comments where all also seeing
- 00:37:58some some really great opportunities as
- 00:37:59we're thinking more globally across our
- 00:38:02merchandising teams really working
- 00:38:03together and finding ways to buy more
- 00:38:05efficiently and um in country production
- 00:38:07that we mentioned so when you take all
- 00:38:09those combined I think that's creating
- 00:38:11opportunity for us to win-win in the
- 00:38:13sense that we can create more value for
- 00:38:14the member stick within our our
- 00:38:16commitments around uh the you know the
- 00:38:18margins that we work within but I do
- 00:38:20think it creates Tailwinds and ways to
- 00:38:22balance the investment in the member
- 00:38:23while continuing to grow long
- 00:38:25term thank you
- 00:38:29your next question comes from the line
- 00:38:30of Scott Cully
- 00:38:32with yes SEC Carelli my apologies but
- 00:38:36Tris Securities please go ahead hey guys
- 00:38:39Scott
- 00:38:40chiarelli um another question on the ID
- 00:38:43scanning any feel for how often
- 00:38:46non-members were shopping at Costco and
- 00:38:49then secondly just given some of the
- 00:38:50price reductions that you highlighted
- 00:38:52earlier can you comment on your broader
- 00:38:54inflation and deflation expectations for
- 00:38:56fiscal
- 00:38:59thanks as as far as the scanning I
- 00:39:01really couldn't give you a number I mean
- 00:39:03we've we've been exclusive for since the
- 00:39:06Inception of the company that that uh
- 00:39:07we're exclusive to members um you know
- 00:39:10there there are shop cards and those
- 00:39:12type of things that people come in with
- 00:39:13but I really couldn't give you a set
- 00:39:16number of what percent of people coming
- 00:39:18in are non-members um and as far as
- 00:39:20inflation I think Gary's Gary's signing
- 00:39:22that he'd like to take that one yeah
- 00:39:24happy to probably similar to Ron's
- 00:39:26comment earlier I don't know we would be
- 00:39:27particularly good at telling you what we
- 00:39:29forecast for the market overall but what
- 00:39:31I what I can me to give you some a
- 00:39:32little bit more color from what we're
- 00:39:33seeing um Scott from our perspective we
- 00:39:35you know we shared for the quarter
- 00:39:37overall inflation was essentially flat
- 00:39:39we saw a little bit of inflation in
- 00:39:41fresh that was mainly driven by produce
- 00:39:43right now that was sort of the the key
- 00:39:44category there that drove but again very
- 00:39:46low inflation nothing meaningful to talk
- 00:39:49about we're still seeing it very uh very
- 00:39:51quiet in terms of the inflationary
- 00:39:53impact on prices and and on the business
- 00:39:56uh food would have been slightly
- 00:39:57inflationary as well but it's a it's
- 00:39:59remarkable actually how the small range
- 00:40:01now between the different categories
- 00:40:02really nothing between positive2 and
- 00:40:04negative2 and sort of all coming back
- 00:40:07out to even just very slightly
- 00:40:08inflationary but nothing much there
- 00:40:11either that we're seeing um we are
- 00:40:13seeing more of a mix view on Commodities
- 00:40:15things like corn and flour and sugar are
- 00:40:16all deflationary which is causing the
- 00:40:18bakery category as a whole to be
- 00:40:20deflationary uh but then on things like
- 00:40:22butter and cocoa and eggs as I mentioned
- 00:40:24earlier on the call and cheese we're
- 00:40:26seeing more inflation so I don't know
- 00:40:28that we're seeing anything today that's
- 00:40:30causing us to believe that you know
- 00:40:32where we are today is is what the world
- 00:40:34looks like and our goal of course is
- 00:40:35always to find ways to lower our costs
- 00:40:38and therefore hold prices down for our
- 00:40:40members so I wouldn't say that we're
- 00:40:41seeing anything dramatically different
- 00:40:44from how our quarter looked for this
- 00:40:46quarter but of course we're you know
- 00:40:48we're like everybody we're susceptible
- 00:40:49to shocks and changes that can happen in
- 00:40:51the
- 00:40:51market helpful thanks a lot
- 00:40:55guys your next question comes from the
- 00:40:58line of Michael Lasser with UPS please
- 00:41:01go
- 00:41:04ahead hi this is Zan Barac on from
- 00:41:06Michael Lasser thanks very much for
- 00:41:08taking our question while it's early
- 00:41:11what has been the customer response to
- 00:41:13the mfi increase and do you expect to
- 00:41:16see a rise in customer attrition why or
- 00:41:19why not thank
- 00:41:22you yeah uh thanks for the question um
- 00:41:25you know as you as you were familiar
- 00:41:27with the membership fee increase we uh
- 00:41:29we were very deliberate about the timing
- 00:41:31in fact we we really delayed by two
- 00:41:33years from when we've TR traditionally
- 00:41:35increase the fee every five years and
- 00:41:37that was initially because of what we
- 00:41:39thought our members were experiencing
- 00:41:41with covid and then we saw higher
- 00:41:42inflation so we were very deliberate in
- 00:41:44delaying the increase until we felt that
- 00:41:47we started to see inflation dissipate
- 00:41:49and our members were uh spending more in
- 00:41:51non-f food categories seeing that they
- 00:41:53were were coming through the
- 00:41:54inflationary period um from a member
- 00:41:56reaction perspective you know I'd say we
- 00:41:58haven't really uh heard a significant
- 00:42:00member reaction our membership renewal
- 00:42:02rates there's no real change in Trend as
- 00:42:04I mentioned in some of my rep prepared
- 00:42:06remarks um you know I think the fact
- 00:42:08that we've been able to Stave off
- 00:42:11inflation on things like the uh the hot
- 00:42:13dog price staying at $150 and the
- 00:42:15rotisserie chicken at $499 and generally
- 00:42:18demonstrating the way that we're
- 00:42:19lowering prices for members whever we
- 00:42:21can I think there's been a a recognition
- 00:42:23that in the context of what's happened
- 00:42:24more broadly over the last seven years
- 00:42:26that we've stay true to our principles
- 00:42:28of of really trying to help the member
- 00:42:30and deliver the value and and as we
- 00:42:31mentioned earlier on the call we've been
- 00:42:33making Investments whether it be in
- 00:42:35wages for our employees or in lowering
- 00:42:37cost to show our members that we want to
- 00:42:40make sure that the increase is
- 00:42:41delivering value to
- 00:42:47them your next question comes from the
- 00:42:50line of rupesh perish with Oppenheimer
- 00:42:54please go ahead good evening and thanks
- 00:42:57for taking my question so just on the
- 00:42:58consumer front just curious how you guys
- 00:43:00are feeling about the health of your
- 00:43:01consumer and then any changes in
- 00:43:03consumer behavior of notor in the
- 00:43:05quarter sure thanks repes um you know I
- 00:43:09think um we see the that the consumer
- 00:43:11our member through through of course
- 00:43:12through our lens and what I would say is
- 00:43:14that it's very clear that quality and
- 00:43:16value have never been more important
- 00:43:18that's something that is very clearly
- 00:43:20coming through in our insights and how
- 00:43:21we're seeing our members shop I think
- 00:43:23the encouraging thing for us is as you
- 00:43:25as you know as you look at our Trends in
- 00:43:26the year today um we have seen that as
- 00:43:28inflation has dissipated our members
- 00:43:31have have started to spend more on non-
- 00:43:33food items which is really encouraging
- 00:43:35in our mind and what we're really
- 00:43:37pleased about is the the widespread
- 00:43:39nature of that across the different
- 00:43:40categories that we've seen in non Foods
- 00:43:43um I would say that on on some
- 00:43:45categories like appliances and
- 00:43:46electronics definitely they've become uh
- 00:43:49more promotional over time that would be
- 00:43:51uh you know a factor I think that
- 00:43:52members are looking for more deals and
- 00:43:55for us of course we're always going to
- 00:43:56be there on price but we also uh include
- 00:43:59within uh what we're offering to our
- 00:44:01members the the installation and the
- 00:44:02removal of of the old product if that's
- 00:44:04necessary in the the delivery so we kind
- 00:44:07of tend to try and differentiate there
- 00:44:08on the overall experience as well as
- 00:44:10being a great everyday low value um I
- 00:44:13think they're the kind of key trends in
- 00:44:14non Foods on the food side of things uh
- 00:44:17We've we've definitely seen um some
- 00:44:19signals that would suggest that members
- 00:44:21and consumers in general are maybe
- 00:44:23shifting a little bit of spend from food
- 00:44:25away from home to food at home on the
- 00:44:27the food and Sury side of our business
- 00:44:30uh alcohol would still be relatively
- 00:44:32soft um but as I mentioned in my
- 00:44:33prepared remarks we're seeing really
- 00:44:35strong growth in our ethnic food
- 00:44:37categories and also in the Kirkland
- 00:44:38Signature products particularly in the
- 00:44:39new ones that we've been introducing and
- 00:44:42then on the Fresh side of things um
- 00:44:44really strong growth across um meat
- 00:44:47produce and bakery um I would say we
- 00:44:50we've certainly seen a a continued
- 00:44:52acceleration in some of those lower cost
- 00:44:54protein items like poultry uh cheaper
- 00:44:57cuts of beef like ground beef and pork
- 00:44:59um so so you know there's definitely
- 00:45:01some signs that the the the consumer is
- 00:45:04being very choiceful in how they're
- 00:45:05spending their dollars but thankfully
- 00:45:07with the quality and value that we're
- 00:45:08offering it's definitely resonating with
- 00:45:10our
- 00:45:11members great and then maybe just one
- 00:45:13follow question you know big Focus out
- 00:45:15there on alter revenue streams including
- 00:45:16media just curious on the latest on the
- 00:45:18effort from Costco and you know is there
- 00:45:20more is there maybe a more aggressive
- 00:45:21push in you know growing that that
- 00:45:24area yeah I I think we still see it as a
- 00:45:27a significant opportunity it's
- 00:45:28definitely a journey for us it's you
- 00:45:29know the foundations of that Journey are
- 00:45:31getting our technology infrastructure in
- 00:45:33a position where we feel uh really good
- 00:45:35about the capabilities that will allow
- 00:45:37us to deliver to the member in terms of
- 00:45:38the offers that we can give to them and
- 00:45:40the level of targeting and personalized
- 00:45:43uh capabilities that creates um we've
- 00:45:45already started to build out those plans
- 00:45:48and and starting to identify how we can
- 00:45:50capture the lwh hanging fruit where
- 00:45:52there are opportunities uh but we we
- 00:45:54would see it as a significant
- 00:45:55opportunity over the long term to to
- 00:45:57drive new Revenue uh we will approach
- 00:46:00this probably a little bit differently
- 00:46:01than many others in that you know we'll
- 00:46:03be reinvesting uh the vast majority of
- 00:46:05those dollars as we always do to drive
- 00:46:07Topline growth and we think that'll be a
- 00:46:09competitive Advantage with our cpg
- 00:46:10partners because it will show them that
- 00:46:12every dollar they spending is really
- 00:46:14intended to drive overall uh growth of
- 00:46:17the company um that being said I do
- 00:46:19think it will help also with you know
- 00:46:21e-commerce business is typically less
- 00:46:23profitable and this Cates a way to
- 00:46:24offset some of those costs in delivery
- 00:46:26in fulfillment as
- 00:46:28well great thank you
- 00:46:30for your next question comes from the
- 00:46:33line of Kelly B with Capital markets
- 00:46:36please go
- 00:46:38ahead hi good evening uh Gary and Ron um
- 00:46:42just wanted to ask about e-commerce um
- 00:46:46obviously continued strength there just
- 00:46:48can you just give us a broad update on
- 00:46:50the penetration the profitability and
- 00:46:54and how that is impacting margins at
- 00:46:56this growth uh level and just an update
- 00:46:59on what the penetration would be if you
- 00:47:01included instacart um like others do in
- 00:47:04that
- 00:47:07penetration yeah thanks Kelly as we we
- 00:47:09look at the progress we're really
- 00:47:11pleased with the momentum that we've
- 00:47:12seen in digital actually we were looking
- 00:47:13at the uh the data recently over a
- 00:47:1510-year period and we've grown our comp
- 00:47:17compounded annual growth rate in in
- 00:47:19e-commerce has been over 20% for that
- 00:47:2110-year period so it's been a
- 00:47:23significant growth story for us and uh
- 00:47:25members clearly have in the the the
- 00:47:28additional uh ways in which we're giving
- 00:47:30them opportunities to to find new New
- 00:47:32Deals and uh and and and value for the
- 00:47:34member um overall um it would be the
- 00:47:37penetration would be in the sort of high
- 00:47:39single digigit range based on how we
- 00:47:40report e-commerce today um if you kind
- 00:47:43of to your point earlier we we don't
- 00:47:45include some of those um digitally
- 00:47:48started sales transactions if I could
- 00:47:50say it that way so instacart Uber the
- 00:47:52ways in which uh members might be buying
- 00:47:54uh groceries and food and sundies uh if
- 00:47:56you you added those in and and and of
- 00:47:58course we also include gas in our our
- 00:48:00total sales we we'd be into the double
- 00:48:02digit penetration when you include all
- 00:48:04those elements in in the
- 00:48:08number okay and any comments on on
- 00:48:11profitability and how that's how how
- 00:48:13e-commerce is impacting
- 00:48:15profitability yeah I would still say
- 00:48:17it's uh you know it's marginally um it's
- 00:48:19lower than the traditional shopping in
- 00:48:21the warehouse and and that's obviously
- 00:48:23intuitively makes sense given that we're
- 00:48:25doing more of the picking and and
- 00:48:27shopping for the member um as I
- 00:48:29mentioned in the prepared remarks though
- 00:48:30we have seen some good improvements as
- 00:48:32we've grown our sales numbers that's
- 00:48:34created some leverage in the model we're
- 00:48:36improving the efficiency of our
- 00:48:38fulfillment cost so it is it is
- 00:48:40continuing on an improving Trend over
- 00:48:42time because of the sales growth and The
- 00:48:44Leverage that's creating but also some
- 00:48:45of the improvements the team are making
- 00:48:47in the business to drive more efficiency
- 00:48:48as
- 00:48:53well your next question comes from the
- 00:48:56line of Michael Baker with da Davidson
- 00:48:59please go
- 00:49:00ahead uh great thanks uh two questions
- 00:49:03one can you talk about competitive
- 00:49:05pricing particularly in grocery there's
- 00:49:07been a lot of talk about some grocery
- 00:49:09chains investing in price Etc what are
- 00:49:11you seeing how are your price gaps uh
- 00:49:14and then I'll have a followup after that
- 00:49:18thanks yeah yeah thanks for the question
- 00:49:21um you know I think that the key thing
- 00:49:22for us is we're our own biggest
- 00:49:24competitor you know we as you heard us
- 00:49:26mention earlier we want to be the first
- 00:49:27to lower prices and the last to raise
- 00:49:30prices and at every one of our regular
- 00:49:32budget meetings we're talking about how
- 00:49:33can we find ways to do that and the
- 00:49:35majority of our Price investments are
- 00:49:37proactive not that we're reacting but of
- 00:49:39course we're always watching and staying
- 00:49:41very close to competition I would say
- 00:49:43that the promotional environment has
- 00:49:45been increasing that would be with us as
- 00:49:46Ron mentioned earlier that our cpg
- 00:49:49partners are investing to find ways to
- 00:49:51drive units and that would certainly be
- 00:49:53the case uh you know across some of the
- 00:49:55competition as well I mentioned earlier
- 00:49:57appliances and and and consumer
- 00:49:59electronics would be an area where we've
- 00:50:00seen more of that activity but I think
- 00:50:02if you took it all on balance we
- 00:50:04wouldn't say that we're seeing the
- 00:50:05activity is sort of outside of of normal
- 00:50:07in the in the food space and we feel
- 00:50:10very good about our position uh relative
- 00:50:12to the market and uh continue to be
- 00:50:14proactive in finding ways to uh you know
- 00:50:17provide the best quality best value for
- 00:50:19our
- 00:50:20members excellent thank you that makes
- 00:50:23sense um follow up uh when gas prices
- 00:50:27fall I think gas prices are down now 15
- 00:50:2916% year-over-year
- 00:50:31um broadly speaking at least in the
- 00:50:34latest data do does that hurt your
- 00:50:37traffic at all because I think you guys
- 00:50:39say 50% of people who come to get gas
- 00:50:42come into the club and buy something um
- 00:50:45I think the unit growth the gallons
- 00:50:47growth did decelerate a little bit this
- 00:50:49quarter uh you know is that something
- 00:50:51that you guys look at or have any
- 00:50:52concern
- 00:50:53over yeah this is Ron I don't see it as
- 00:50:56a concern uh you know gallons were up 3%
- 00:51:00um which was a little bit softer than
- 00:51:01the prior quarter so when you do hit
- 00:51:03those Peaks and prices we will see a
- 00:51:05greater attraction to the Costco gas
- 00:51:08stations but uh you know our balance of
- 00:51:10of transactions dual transactions that
- 00:51:13we have looks very positive and uh so
- 00:51:16we're not seeing traffic dropping off at
- 00:51:17all in the warehouse based on the
- 00:51:20slightly softer gallon growth that we're
- 00:51:22seeing out in the gas
- 00:51:23[Music]
- 00:51:25stations excellent thank
- 00:51:28you here our next question comes from
- 00:51:30the line of Karen short with Malia
- 00:51:33research please go
- 00:51:35ahead hey thanks a lot and good to talk
- 00:51:38to you again um so thanks for taking my
- 00:51:41question uh so my question is when you
- 00:51:46look at your pre-tax margin um I know
- 00:51:50you don't manage to that in any way
- 00:51:52shape or form but it obviously has been
- 00:51:56creeping up
- 00:51:58so you know when you look at the actual
- 00:52:02Delta on you know a 10 basis point
- 00:52:05increase in that
- 00:52:07margin um it's not immaterial
- 00:52:11to you know to earnings and or valuation
- 00:52:16obviously so wondering how you think
- 00:52:19about
- 00:52:20that hi Karen yeah I think the way we
- 00:52:23think about it is really back to some of
- 00:52:25the the comments that we were referring
- 00:52:26to earlier is that you know our goal is
- 00:52:28always to drive Top Line That's the top
- 00:52:30priority for the company and we're
- 00:52:32focused on investing and delivering
- 00:52:33value for the member and delivering uh
- 00:52:36improved investments in our employees as
- 00:52:38well to make sure that we're an employer
- 00:52:39of choice I think you appreciate the
- 00:52:42comment because I think we have been
- 00:52:43successful over the years in doing that
- 00:52:45uh because there are ways for us to
- 00:52:47continue to lower our costs in our gross
- 00:52:50margin part of our business and and
- 00:52:51drive more value for the member some of
- 00:52:53the things that we've been focused on
- 00:52:55like Global buying and the Kirland
- 00:52:57signature growth that we've seen
- 00:52:59e-commerce growth as we mentioned
- 00:53:00earlier and there'll be opportunities of
- 00:53:02things like Redal media in the future so
- 00:53:03I think there are a number of uh ways in
- 00:53:06in gross margin and also a number of
- 00:53:08ways in sgna where we can continue to be
- 00:53:11more efficient um to drive that
- 00:53:13investment our focus is always to drive
- 00:53:16as I mentioned the top line and and if
- 00:53:17that over time allows us to continue to
- 00:53:20to grow uh the margins then obviously
- 00:53:22that's something that we're we're we're
- 00:53:24pleased with and it's a it's a good
- 00:53:25outcome for investors but I wouldn't say
- 00:53:27as you mentioned it's a it's a targeted
- 00:53:29outcome it's really about making sure
- 00:53:31that we're driving that Topline growth
- 00:53:33and and the history as you've mentioned
- 00:53:35would suggest that when we've done that
- 00:53:37well as we continue to look for
- 00:53:38opportunities it has allowed us to
- 00:53:40expand margin slightly as well you know
- 00:53:43I would add I agree with Gary I would I
- 00:53:45would add to that there's several
- 00:53:46several lovers that our our operators
- 00:53:48and our buyers have to improve margin
- 00:53:51and and our buyers speak often about the
- 00:53:53fact that we can lower prices while
- 00:53:55improving margin as well and that comes
- 00:53:58with the efficiencies that we're seeing
- 00:54:00comes with very good sell throughs that
- 00:54:01we're realizing and the goods that we're
- 00:54:03buying um you know newness and bringing
- 00:54:05in new items to the market that that
- 00:54:07could have a little bit better margins
- 00:54:09and our our operating shrinkage has been
- 00:54:11um improving and we saw a nice solid
- 00:54:14year this year and picked up some margin
- 00:54:16on improving shrink results in in the
- 00:54:18business as well so those are some
- 00:54:20different levers that that will augment
- 00:54:22lowering prices and continue to improve
- 00:54:24margins
- 00:54:26but but is it fair to think that 4% is
- 00:54:30and maybe going up from there is
- 00:54:36realistic yeah I think we wouldn't get
- 00:54:39into as you know into sort of guidance
- 00:54:41of of what we're expecting in the future
- 00:54:43I I do think as Ron shared that we we
- 00:54:45don't see it as a if feel like a zero
- 00:54:47sum game I think we believe there's an
- 00:54:49opportunity to continue to find ways to
- 00:54:52invest in our members and our employees
- 00:54:53and we do believe you can do that
- 00:54:55through uh
- 00:54:56what the way that we manage the business
- 00:54:58to continue to improve profitability
- 00:55:00over time but I wouldn't want to really
- 00:55:01provide any specific guidance related to
- 00:55:04that great thank you thanks
- 00:55:19Ken CHR are you there is that all that
- 00:55:21questions
- 00:55:24Christa hello
- 00:55:28Laura champagne from loop capital your
- 00:55:30line is
- 00:55:33open
- 00:55:35great your next question comes from Greg
- 00:55:39Mich with evercore isi please go
- 00:55:43ahead hi thanks um I want to go back to
- 00:55:47uh the profitability and and gross
- 00:55:49margin particularly gasoline the
- 00:55:51Tailwind um what are we now back at 20
- 00:55:55cents Penny profit per gallon or or what
- 00:55:58should we think of that as sort of a
- 00:56:00normalized range um going
- 00:56:03forward yeah I think Greg we we uh we we
- 00:56:06generally aren't sharing specific
- 00:56:08breakdown of of profitability and that
- 00:56:10would be true obviously across um a
- 00:56:11number of are of the business but on on
- 00:56:13gas as I mentioned earlier I would think
- 00:56:14of gas as being sort of Fairly stable in
- 00:56:17general for us you know there are Peaks
- 00:56:19and troughs because of volatility uh in
- 00:56:22the market in the short term sometimes I
- 00:56:23wouldn't think of this quarter uh while
- 00:56:25it showed up in a in a as part of the
- 00:56:27overall Improvement in other businesses
- 00:56:30I wouldn't call it out as being like
- 00:56:31anything that was particularly changing
- 00:56:34the trajectory of of gas or um or that
- 00:56:37would cause us to be wanting to share
- 00:56:39any more sort of detailed color because
- 00:56:41generally we're expecting the gas side
- 00:56:43of the business to be relatively stable
- 00:56:45as I mentioned you know next quarter
- 00:56:47this quarter I should say uh there that
- 00:56:49was an example of where there was some
- 00:56:51really uh very unusual volatility
- 00:56:54because of world events but in the main
- 00:56:56I would think of gas as not being you
- 00:56:58know a major sort of uh underlying
- 00:57:00change in trajectory or or something to
- 00:57:02look at differently in our model um
- 00:57:04obviously we do provide color where
- 00:57:05there's something unusual that pops up
- 00:57:08but I wouldn't I wouldn't think of that
- 00:57:09as being a directional
- 00:57:11change got it and and given the recent
- 00:57:13wage increase um could you help level
- 00:57:16set us on maybe on what your average
- 00:57:17wages are now in the US or globally I
- 00:57:19think think in the past the number was
- 00:57:21something like $26 an
- 00:57:23hour no currently the the average wage
- 00:57:27um is just North of $30 an hour just
- 00:57:30north of 30 great and that's for the
- 00:57:32US
- 00:57:34yes US and Canada it equivalized in
- 00:57:38Canada got it no I'm last
- 00:57:41but go ahead go ah so my last question
- 00:57:45was just given the the nonf food the
- 00:57:48success there uh you called out the Gold
- 00:57:50bowling again I'm just curious are there
- 00:57:52any plans to maybe bring Kirkland
- 00:57:54Signature into the gold bulling Market
- 00:57:59um no plans at this
- 00:58:01time all right thanks a lot and good
- 00:58:03luck guys thank you thank
- 00:58:06you and ladies and gentlemen that's all
- 00:58:08the time we have for questions today I
- 00:58:10will now turn the conference back over
- 00:58:12to grie for closing
- 00:58:15comments thank you uh Christa thank you
- 00:58:17all for joining the call today um we
- 00:58:19look forward to talking to you at the
- 00:58:21the next quarterly earnings call that
- 00:58:23will conclude our call thank you ladies
- 00:58:25and and gentlemen this does conclude
- 00:58:27today's conference call thank you for
- 00:58:29your participation and you may now
- 00:58:31disconnect
- Costco
- earnings call
- Q4 2024
- net income
- e-commerce
- warehouse openings
- membership fees
- employee wages
- inflation
- supply chain