"Don't Let This Happen To You During This December Dip" | Raoul Pal

00:10:08
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hkRx99oVmx0

Resumen

TLDRThis video features a discussion with R Pal on the future trajectory of the cryptocurrency market. Major points include the potential of the crypto market to reach a $100 trillion valuation by 2030, driven by rapid network adoption and the nascent yet burgeoning asset classes like meme coins and social tokens. The transformative impact of AI and AGI on global economies and job markets is also highlighted. The cyclical nature of liquidity injections by governments every four years is examined in relation to crypto market trends. R Pal emphasizes the importance of maintaining attention within the crypto sphere, where NFT innovation and the high-value art market are emerging as significant trends. Attention and meme culture strongly influence investments, as there's currently a high launch rate of tokens. The macro trend of digital currencies, as a complement or competition to traditional monetary systems, is identified. R Pal shares future predictions and strategic investment insights, particularly in high-quality NFTs and art as a store of wealth.

Para llevar

  • 🐉 The fomo Beast drives impulsive crypto trading due to fear of missing out.
  • 🌐 Crypto market may hit $100 trillion by 2030 with rapid adoption.
  • 🪙 Meme coins and social tokens are new crypto asset classes.
  • 🤖 AI and AGI will significantly transform economies and workforces.
  • 📈 Crypto markets follow four-year cycles linked to liquidity management.
  • 🚀 Potential for a blowoff financial cycle in crypto market.
  • 🎨 NFTs evolving into diverse applications beyond art.
  • 🔗 Network adoption is crucial for crypto asset growth.
  • 💸 Liquidity influences crypto valuations profoundly.
  • 🤑 Strategic investment in high-quality digital art as a wealth store.

Cronología

  • 00:00:00 - 00:05:00

    The speaker discusses the dangers of FOMO (fear of missing out) in trading, emphasizing that it often leads to poor decisions due to peer pressure and market volatility. They highlight the potential growth and impact of the crypto market, predicting it could reach $100 trillion by 2030, influenced by AI and AGI. The rise of meme coins and social tokens as new asset classes in the crypto space is acknowledged, emphasizing their role in community-building and economic transformation.

  • 00:05:00 - 00:10:08

    The speaker delves into market cycle patterns, highlighting seasonal changes and their effects on liquidity and valuation in the crypto market. They discuss the influence of political changes and liquidity cycles on crypto trends, predicting potential blowout cycles with high valuations. The importance of focus and attention in the industry is underlined, noting that the influx of tokens strains investor attention. Utility-based layers and traditional investments like property and art retain value. High-end art as NFTs is gaining interest as a stable investment, indicating a trend where art serves as a long-term store of wealth.

Mapa mental

Vídeo de preguntas y respuestas

  • What is the fomo Beast in crypto trading?

    The fomo Beast refers to the fear of missing out, causing traders to make impulsive decisions based on others' successes.

  • How might the crypto market reach a $100 trillion valuation by 2030?

    The growth is anticipated through increasing network adoption and the transformative impact of blockchain technologies.

  • What role do meme coins and social tokens play in the crypto ecosystem?

    They are emerging as new asset classes, impacting how communities interact and create value.

  • How does AI and AGI potentially transform the economy and workforce?

    AI and AGI are predicted to greatly impact economic structures and redefine human work, creating efficiencies and new job types.

  • What does the four-year cycle in crypto markets refer to?

    It refers to the recurring phases influenced by governmental liquidity injections to manage debts, impacting market trends.

  • Why do some believe in a possible blowoff cycle for cryptocurrencies?

    Based on historical patterns and current political changes, a financial climate that could lead to sudden, high valuations is anticipated.

  • What are NFTs and how might they evolve?

    NFTs are digital assets representing ownership, and they can evolve to cover various applications including high-end art and contractual terms.

  • What is network adoption and its importance in the crypto space?

    Network adoption refers to the increasing use and participation in blockchain networks, driving value and utility of digital tokens.

  • How are liquidity cycles affecting the valuation of cryptocurrencies?

    Liquidity cycles, with their periodic injections, significantly impact the price and investment patterns in cryptocurrencies.

  • What investment strategies are mentioned in the context of crypto finance?

    Investing in high-end digital art and diversifying profits from platforms like Solana are noted as long-term wealth strategies.

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Desplazamiento automático:
  • 00:00:00
    yeah but you've got to tame that Beast
  • 00:00:01
    the fomo Beast is the most dangerous
  • 00:00:03
    Beast of all cuz that's when you do all
  • 00:00:06
    the stupid cuz your friends making
  • 00:00:08
    money you become desperate to make the
  • 00:00:10
    100x and then you start listening to
  • 00:00:11
    your friends trade recommendations and
  • 00:00:14
    you get into them so fomo is really one
  • 00:00:16
    of the beasts you need to Tain trust me
  • 00:00:18
    I've been through I've been in this
  • 00:00:20
    industry since 2013 every time prices go
  • 00:00:23
    down they BL single you out and blame
  • 00:00:25
    you as if you have done it so them in
  • 00:00:27
    this interview with Mario naal and r we
  • 00:00:30
    explore R's bold prediction of the
  • 00:00:32
    crypto Market reaching a $100 trillion
  • 00:00:35
    valuation by 2030 the transformative
  • 00:00:37
    impact of AI and AGI on the global
  • 00:00:40
    economy and the future of work and the
  • 00:00:42
    rise of meme coins and social tokens as
  • 00:00:45
    new asset classes in the crypto
  • 00:00:47
    ecosystem Bitcoin is trading at $96,000
  • 00:00:50
    with recent Market changes showing
  • 00:00:52
    increased volatility don't forget to
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    like subscribe and hit the notification
  • 00:00:56
    Bell to stay updated with the latest in
  • 00:00:58
    crypto and blockchain techn ology it's
  • 00:01:00
    like everybody's hopes and dreams are in
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    that
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    banana if everyone's latched on to this
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    is okay this is the time to make all the
  • 00:01:08
    money and then said the hopes and dreams
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    r in it when the reverse happens you've
  • 00:01:13
    shattered their
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    Illusions it's scary you have to take it
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    really really seriously coin is all
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    about attention sana's got utility
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    they're build you're building stuff on
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    top of it yeah a Minon is attenion and
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    we saw this with nft communities when
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    people walk away the attention dispair
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    everyone's like well what into my
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    utility I was supposed to be doing this
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    and you were going to be building
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    clubhouses and and then they found out
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    it was
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    no this is a
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    technology that is the new lay to the
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    Internet it's not just about tokens
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    what's unique about this technology is
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    as token incentivization built in which
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    is why these networks bootstrap so fast
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    it's currently $3 trillion as an
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    industry if I extrapolate out the rate
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    of growth the trend rate of adoption is
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    twice the speed of the
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    internet as the internet slowed down in
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    adoption rates because it gets more
  • 00:02:07
    saturated if we extrapolate the same we
  • 00:02:10
    get to about 4 billion users by 23st so
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    I think the asset class goes to hundred
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    billion and we're only 3% of the way
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    that so this is the largest fastest
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    accumulation of wealth in all human
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    history that lies ahead of us it's the
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    big rebalance how everybody can get
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    involved whichever country you're in
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    however much you are right so it's the
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    big one the biggest macro trade of all
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    time that's primarily my interest in the
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    trade the whole Space is driven by
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    Network adoption more people join the
  • 00:02:40
    network the more applications that get
  • 00:02:41
    built the more valuable these networks
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    become beyond
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    that it's then broken down to different
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    companies or projects selling block
  • 00:02:51
    space that's all they do which is a data
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    storage or and essentially that block or
  • 00:02:58
    distributed Ledger
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    and there's there's they've all got a
  • 00:03:02
    different sales approach Bitcoin has
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    we're the most trusted we're secure
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    ethereum is like we're the board big one
  • 00:03:09
    salana is like we're the fast retail so
  • 00:03:11
    everyone is selling blog space but again
  • 00:03:14
    we're all incentivized to get passionate
  • 00:03:16
    Behind these things because of the
  • 00:03:18
    tokens this whole thing is being driven
  • 00:03:20
    by a big macro Trend the big macro trend
  • 00:03:23
    is the basement of currents so as
  • 00:03:25
    liquidity gets pushed into the markets
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    every four years when the government's
  • 00:03:28
    going to roll their debt this is driven
  • 00:03:30
    by everything I call the everything code
  • 00:03:32
    and work that I did showing that every
  • 00:03:34
    four years governments need to refinance
  • 00:03:35
    their debts and what they do is inject
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    massive liquidity to be able to do it
  • 00:03:40
    and try and get interest rates lower so
  • 00:03:42
    as we do
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    that it creates a perfect four-year
  • 00:03:47
    cycle and it's not going to go away
  • 00:03:48
    until we get rid of the debt equations
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    and everything else so where are we in
  • 00:03:52
    the four-year cycle I break them down by
  • 00:03:53
    Seasons each year being a different
  • 00:03:55
    season okay winter being when
  • 00:03:57
    liquidity's being taken away 2022 2023
  • 00:04:00
    spring okay Market stop going down
  • 00:04:03
    people don't quite believe it yet but
  • 00:04:04
    you see green shs coming but it still
  • 00:04:06
    feels a bit wintry and cold and
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    miserable then summer which is what
  • 00:04:10
    we're finishing now macro summer is the
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    year three same year as the election
  • 00:04:14
    cycl and then we go into macro fall or
  • 00:04:18
    Autumn uh crypto as discussed by Raul
  • 00:04:21
    pal let's explore the potential for the
  • 00:04:23
    crypto Market to reach a $100 trillion
  • 00:04:25
    valuation by 2030 how Ai and AGI could
  • 00:04:29
    transform economies and redefine human
  • 00:04:31
    work and the significance of meme coins
  • 00:04:34
    and social tokens in creating new forms
  • 00:04:36
    of community and value now let's hear
  • 00:04:38
    more from R pal the beginning of the
  • 00:04:41
    year we go into the next the fall or the
  • 00:04:43
    Autumn cycle that's usually the most
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    explo usually the most explosive so
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    summer starts to rip and then we hit
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    what I've called the banana Zone which
  • 00:04:51
    is when everything depends on global
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    liquidity normally it lasts until about
  • 00:04:56
    November um because of this cycle it
  • 00:04:59
    last until November and we have
  • 00:05:01
    different structures of these Cycles we
  • 00:05:03
    had the last one which it usually has a
  • 00:05:06
    peer and tax season so March people have
  • 00:05:09
    to sell some tokens to pay taxes it
  • 00:05:11
    falls for a bit and then it rips at the
  • 00:05:13
    end of the year last time it fell 50%
  • 00:05:16
    over that period in 2021 and then it
  • 00:05:18
    ripped but it didn't really extend and
  • 00:05:21
    everyone kind of got caught out by
  • 00:05:23
    double
  • 00:05:24
    top 2017 and 13 well they were different
  • 00:05:29
    they had the same cycle structure it
  • 00:05:32
    went to the summer 2017 Bitcoin
  • 00:05:35
    10x from there in four months it's the
  • 00:05:39
    same and that's the blowoff cycle so we
  • 00:05:41
    don't know what we're going to get a
  • 00:05:42
    stunted cycle or blowoff cycle but
  • 00:05:44
    thinking about the political change and
  • 00:05:46
    what's been going on the probability has
  • 00:05:49
    to be towards a blowout cycle so that
  • 00:05:51
    would be much higher price than everyone
  • 00:05:53
    expect most people have PTSD from the
  • 00:05:54
    last cycle um and they don't want to
  • 00:05:57
    overextend themselves and they're
  • 00:05:58
    worried that they're going to be caught
  • 00:05:59
    holding the bag which usually means
  • 00:06:01
    they'll sell early because the markets
  • 00:06:03
    give as much pain to the most number of
  • 00:06:04
    people as possible why in 2021
  • 00:06:06
    everyone's expecting one of the reasons
  • 00:06:08
    you're not seeing those High super high
  • 00:06:10
    valuations yet is because liquidity has
  • 00:06:13
    not been massive right the more
  • 00:06:15
    liquidity people earn more money funds
  • 00:06:18
    make more money businesses make more
  • 00:06:20
    money more money gets recycled up the
  • 00:06:21
    risk curb and people start taking bigger
  • 00:06:23
    risks so I think it's still to come but
  • 00:06:26
    the VC markets had no exits outside of
  • 00:06:28
    tokens there's been no equity exits in
  • 00:06:31
    any project we need Circle to go public
  • 00:06:34
    or get bought we need some of the you
  • 00:06:36
    know cracker and we need some of these
  • 00:06:38
    bigger things to recycle the VC money to
  • 00:06:40
    then rature the whole Space up again and
  • 00:06:43
    then as you say if we've captured a
  • 00:06:46
    certain amount of liquidity yes it's
  • 00:06:47
    increasing but then you've sucked a
  • 00:06:50
    whole bunch into the casino of mean
  • 00:06:52
    coins it take some of that away because
  • 00:06:55
    people this entire industry trades on
  • 00:06:58
    attention and there's only so many of us
  • 00:07:00
    in the industry so let's say there's a
  • 00:07:02
    million active people in the
  • 00:07:04
    industry well that's a million people's
  • 00:07:07
    attention and you've got 10,000 tokens
  • 00:07:10
    launching a day how much attention can
  • 00:07:12
    we give to anything so it really is this
  • 00:07:15
    game of attention and memes have got it
  • 00:07:16
    now because everyone believes that they
  • 00:07:18
    can make the next 100x and so utility
  • 00:07:22
    stuff layer twos nobody
  • 00:07:25
    cares it will come back because we'll
  • 00:07:27
    have different investors coming to the
  • 00:07:28
    space and looking for for real value
  • 00:07:30
    it's just I think a nature of where we
  • 00:07:32
    are I think the next stage is a lot of
  • 00:07:34
    the application stuff uh the real world
  • 00:07:39
    assets the deepin gting utility gaming
  • 00:07:42
    it's all to come yes I do because
  • 00:07:45
    they're social identifiers it shows you
  • 00:07:47
    early to the space you've been around
  • 00:07:49
    you understand the space it's a it's an
  • 00:07:50
    identifier right um
  • 00:07:54
    and but that pfp business it'll come
  • 00:07:56
    back in various forms nfts as a
  • 00:07:58
    technology can use for everything
  • 00:08:00
    ticketing any contractual term OTC
  • 00:08:03
    derivatives you name it um so they're
  • 00:08:05
    going to get used a lot the and I think
  • 00:08:08
    Punk 6529 it talks about this is this
  • 00:08:10
    may be larger than the underlying tokens
  • 00:08:12
    themselves yes because everything we do
  • 00:08:15
    as humans has contracts and this is you
  • 00:08:17
    know nft is a is a contract essentially
  • 00:08:20
    a smart contract so there's that but
  • 00:08:23
    then what's really happening the big
  • 00:08:24
    move in
  • 00:08:26
    nfts is highend
  • 00:08:28
    Arts so
  • 00:08:30
    copy and be and feden they've been
  • 00:08:32
    getting liquidity again yes oh wow
  • 00:08:35
    because as people make money the Richer
  • 00:08:37
    people get what do they do they buy ours
  • 00:08:40
    so a longterm store of value so if you
  • 00:08:43
    ask any you know go and look at any rich
  • 00:08:45
    person in manhatt go and find a big
  • 00:08:48
    hedge fund manager say where did you
  • 00:08:51
    invest once you made your money they'll
  • 00:08:52
    tell you two things property and art
  • 00:08:54
    yeah it's always the same okay so we're
  • 00:08:57
    seeing that market coming alive there
  • 00:08:59
    super sket is they're all being taken on
  • 00:09:01
    40 something um x copy who's like the
  • 00:09:05
    most legendary OG culturally relevant in
  • 00:09:07
    the space I own every single be Edition
  • 00:09:10
    that's I had an idea I own yeah I own a
  • 00:09:13
    lot a lot and I've been buying all this
  • 00:09:15
    year that's that's my big trade is I've
  • 00:09:18
    been top slicing salana profits that
  • 00:09:21
    I've made and lock it into art as a 10
  • 00:09:24
    15 year storage of wealth to watch the
  • 00:09:27
    full interview check the link in the
  • 00:09:29
    description rul pal provides invaluable
  • 00:09:31
    insights into the future of crypto ai's
  • 00:09:34
    impact on society and the evolving
  • 00:09:36
    landscape of digital assets we would
  • 00:09:38
    love to hear your thoughts on some
  • 00:09:40
    questions do you believe the crypto
  • 00:09:42
    Market will reach $100 trillion by 2030
  • 00:09:45
    how do you think AI will reshape our
  • 00:09:47
    economies and job markets thank you for
  • 00:09:49
    watching if you enjoyed this video
  • 00:09:51
    please subscribe to our Channel like
  • 00:09:53
    this video and share it with your
  • 00:09:55
    friends to keep up with the latest
  • 00:09:56
    trends in crypto and blockchain
  • 00:09:58
    [Applause]
  • 00:10:06
    [Applause]
Etiquetas
  • Crypto Market
  • $100 Trillion Valuation
  • AI and AGI Impact
  • Meme Coins
  • Digital Assets
  • Network Adoption
  • Liquidity Cycle
  • Investment Strategy
  • Blockchain Technology
  • NFT Innovation