Raoul Pal Reveals the BEST Crypto Strategy After Fed Rate Cut
Résumé
TLDRThis episode of Real Vision commemorates the platform's 10-year anniversary, highlighting the virtual celebration event on September 27th. It provides insights into the current cryptocurrency market, particularly the notable increases seen in Bitcoin and Solana, and discusses the perceived paradigm shift in monetary policy given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance. The episode explores various narratives, from the growth of decentralized finance (DeFi) and the prominence of Solana, to potential market dominance of Sui, fueled by its recent integrations and innovations. Discussions extend to NFTs and crypto art, underscoring their significance in capturing cultural moments as well as potential expansion in their market value. The episode further deliberates on the divide between traditional investment figures and the innovative, fast-paced world of crypto, with specific mentions about evolving meme cycles, the potential of Ethereum in current market conditions, and insights into various blockchain projects. In conclusion, it suggests maintaining focus on established tokens while exploring speculative opportunities in emerging sectors like meme coins and NFTs, aligning with broader market dynamics and macroeconomic shifts.
A retenir
- 🎉 Real Vision celebrates its 10th anniversary with special virtual events.
- 📈 Positive momentum observed in crypto markets, especially Bitcoin and Solana.
- 🔍 Increasing interest in blockchain technologies like Solana and Sui.
- 🖼️ NFTs and crypto art maintain significant cultural relevance.
- 📊 Federal Reserve's dovish stance may kickstart a global economic easing cycle.
- 🧐 Sui blockchain shows strong potential with recent integrations.
- 🤔 Solana's influence is being weighed against emerging competitive blockchains.
- 🗳️ Macro events like elections contribute to crypto market volatility.
- 🎭 Meme cycles are evolving, influencing the broader crypto narrative.
- 📚 Education and awareness remain key in navigating crypto investments.
Chronologie
- 00:00:00 - 00:05:00
An announcement is made about a virtual party to celebrate a decade of financial community building with events like a trade ideas competition and exclusive merch offerings.
- 00:05:00 - 00:10:00
The hosts discuss recent positive market trends, highlighting gains in cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Solana after a period of stagnation. They mention ongoing promotions for platform membership.
- 00:10:00 - 00:15:00
Discussion of recent market conditions continues, with a focus on potential rate cuts and easing cycles following the US Fed's actions. A mix of macroeconomic factors is considered for future market impacts.
- 00:15:00 - 00:20:00
The conversation shifts to the market's strategic timing, where they reflect on recent market gains and seek to predict future movements based on current economic indicators and past patterns.
- 00:20:00 - 00:25:00
The talk explores potential impacts of upcoming elections on the market, contemplating Trump’s possible influence on crypto regulation if re-elected and reviewing past market responses to political events.
- 00:25:00 - 00:30:00
Attention turns to Solana and the behaviors seen in its ecosystem, especially in relation to memecoin phenomena. Temporary underperformance is scrutinized in light of new competitive L1 networks.
- 00:30:00 - 00:35:00
The discussion analyzes the possible wane of memecoins resembling the NFT cycle, stressing on retail investor behavior and market saturation with new releases causing reduced profit potential.
- 00:35:00 - 00:40:00
A deep dive into the art and NFT market examines mainstays like xCopy and collections’ growing cultural significance. Observations suggest high-value sales reflect ongoing cultural relevance within the space.
- 00:40:00 - 00:45:00
They ponder the evolving NFT landscape, suggesting a synthesis of NFTs and memecoins. The allure of culturally significant artifacts appears to become a stable investment narrative going forward.
- 00:45:00 - 00:50:00
Sui's performance as a standout in the altcoin arena is credited to technical advantages and strategic partnerships, drawing interest while the market seeks new forefront runners besides Solana.
- 00:50:00 - 00:58:19
The session concludes reflecting on the broader market sentiment, institutional interest in crypto, and possible future impacts of various macroeconomic dynamics alongside evolving crypto infrastructure.
Carte mentale
Questions fréquemment posées
What was the main topic of this Real Vision episode?
The episode focused on the celebration of Real Vision's 10th anniversary and various updates in the crypto market.
When is Real Vision's virtual anniversary party scheduled?
The virtual party is scheduled for September 27th at 12:00 p.m.
What has been the performance trend in the crypto market recently according to the episode?
The crypto market has seen a positive trend, with notable increases in Bitcoin and Solana.
Are there any special tokens recommended in the episode?
The episode recommended focusing on stable tokens like Solana and Sui, while keeping an eye on opportunities in meme coins and NFTs.
What are some notable achievements of the Sui blockchain mentioned?
Sui has integrated Circle's USDC, achieved high liquidity, and low transaction latency, capturing significant market interest.
What are some activities planned for Real Vision's 10th anniversary?
Activities include a virtual party, trade ideas competition, exclusive limited birthday merchandise, and various other events.
What economic conditions were discussed as affecting the crypto market?
Discussions included the economic easing cycle, macroeconomic indicators like the inverted yield curve, and the implications of a dovish Federal Reserve stance.
What role do NFTs play in the crypto ecosystem according to the episode?
NFTs, particularly from recognized creators, remain culturally significant and are expected to grow with increased market cap in crypto.
Is there a perception of emerging market potential in Solana?
There is a perception that Solana's market potential could be seeing its peak, with attention possibly shifting to alternatives like Sui.
What are some concerns for the crypto market moving forward?
Concerns include managing volatility around major events like elections and ensuring emerging trends like deepin sustain market interest.
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- 00:00:00this September I can't believe it's a
- 00:00:02Whole Decade of democratizing the very
- 00:00:04best financial intelligence and building
- 00:00:06this kind of super community of Finance
- 00:00:08including the super platform of finance
- 00:00:11and to celebrate with throwing a virtual
- 00:00:13party on September 27th at 12: p.m and
- 00:00:16you are on the guest list it's free to
- 00:00:18join so don't miss out if you're not a
- 00:00:20member you can sign up at realvision
- 00:00:24docomo got trade ideas competition where
- 00:00:27you can flex your Market smarts some
- 00:00:30exclusive limited birthday merch and
- 00:00:33much more planned for September it's got
- 00:00:35to be a lot of fun so sign up real.com
- 00:00:37forfree and we'll see you at the party
- 00:00:39September 27th at 12:00 p.m. that's
- 00:00:42realism.com
- 00:00:43slf free
- 00:00:48[Music]
- 00:01:03[Music]
- 00:01:07all right we are here again for another
- 00:01:10episode of Rec Vision we've been doing
- 00:01:13this for weeks week in week out we've
- 00:01:15been selling off as soon as we go live
- 00:01:18and Ral decides to turn up the one week
- 00:01:21that we've actually had positive
- 00:01:22probably in the last three months so you
- 00:01:24do like to time your entries pretty well
- 00:01:26it looks like um this had been
- 00:01:28pre-planned that you meant to on this
- 00:01:30show but the one week they were up 10%
- 00:01:32kind of on bitcoin 15% on salana su's up
- 00:01:3550% you just suddenly start to show your
- 00:01:37face so well timed well
- 00:01:39timed um yeah we are back again OSF is
- 00:01:42also back from uh Singapore he'll
- 00:01:44obviously be able to fill us in in what
- 00:01:46happened there and just before we kind
- 00:01:47of go into the main body of the show
- 00:01:50it's just to remind everyone again that
- 00:01:52real vision is turning 10 this month and
- 00:01:55you can get a discount on memberships if
- 00:01:57you head on over to the real Vision
- 00:01:59website real vision.com
- 00:02:01forb birthday and use code bday1 that's
- 00:02:05bday1 all caps you will get a discount
- 00:02:08on
- 00:02:09membership all right let's get started
- 00:02:12guys so it has been one of the best
- 00:02:13weeks in crypto we've had in a long long
- 00:02:16time how's everyone feeling about the
- 00:02:18market are we I titled before we went
- 00:02:19live is the banana Zone finally here is
- 00:02:21it finally in the room with us right now
- 00:02:24well I had to go to Zambia to find the
- 00:02:26source of the banana Zone deep in the
- 00:02:29heart of the Lang angua River and I
- 00:02:31spoke to the baboon tribes and they
- 00:02:33assured me that the banana zone is
- 00:02:36coming and maybe maybe it's in the room
- 00:02:39with us
- 00:02:42now that's uh that's good to hear I've
- 00:02:44seen some incredible animations who was
- 00:02:46that there was a meme coin in animation
- 00:02:48Carlson one yeah I I really laughed at
- 00:02:50that one but it's good to see that
- 00:02:51you've gone to the source the source of
- 00:02:53the problem to see where the bananas
- 00:02:54actually come from yeah it was fine the
- 00:02:56river the river was a bit dry so I can
- 00:02:58understand the slowness of the bananas
- 00:03:00to ripen but they are coming and they're
- 00:03:02being sent down the river and they will
- 00:03:05be here well it it feels like some came
- 00:03:08this week we've been saying you see the
- 00:03:10amount of work that I do in in crypto
- 00:03:13for people I mean this is I risk life
- 00:03:15and lmb for everybody to bring the
- 00:03:17bananas back yeah exactly It's Kind of
- 00:03:21Perfect he did do that Safari isn't it
- 00:03:23at the same time um but good to see you
- 00:03:26brought them it it like I said we've
- 00:03:27been doing this week in week out we've
- 00:03:28been telling everyone you know this is
- 00:03:30the time this is the time start loading
- 00:03:32up in September you've been nowhere to
- 00:03:34be found uh trying to find the original
- 00:03:36sources of bananas then you've turned up
- 00:03:38uh and we're all we're all looking good
- 00:03:39we had a big week this week when it
- 00:03:41comes to macro obviously we had the FED
- 00:03:43which seems to have kicked things off
- 00:03:45then we had Japan even today had the
- 00:03:47bank of England it was a big big week
- 00:03:50but it does feel like we have some more
- 00:03:51clarity now I think that's what everyone
- 00:03:52was kind of hoping for people thought
- 00:03:54that we would rally if we had a a little
- 00:03:56bit more clarity obviously a lot of the
- 00:03:57technical selling is kind of in the rear
- 00:03:59view mirror now now you got FTX coming
- 00:04:01in Q4 and it does feel as though that
- 00:04:05was a pretty dubish fed and we're now in
- 00:04:08for probably what two years you think of
- 00:04:10of rate Cuts I don't know if we're going
- 00:04:12to go straight to QE apart from in China
- 00:04:14but it does feel like we have now kicked
- 00:04:16off the global easing cycle once
- 00:04:20again we um it was just a couple of
- 00:04:23weeks ago actually or maybe three weeks
- 00:04:25ago the last two shows I was on when we
- 00:04:28were saying if you're going to take a
- 00:04:29shot at the market Market it was then it
- 00:04:31was the best time to do it like the
- 00:04:34timeline was in you know maximum fear
- 00:04:36mode Bitcoin barely holding on to 54 55k
- 00:04:40and we'd had a very choppy summer very a
- 00:04:42liquid summer ahead of the rate cuts
- 00:04:46that we had this week that I think was
- 00:04:48on the table whether it 2550 was was the
- 00:04:51um point in question ahead of Elections
- 00:04:55ahead of the fact that the base rate was
- 00:04:57525 to 550 basis points so there's a ton
- 00:04:59of room the FED had to cut so I think we
- 00:05:01said it a couple of weeks ago two or
- 00:05:03three weeks ago that like whether you're
- 00:05:05bullish or not if you're going to have a
- 00:05:06gamble if you're going to take a shot at
- 00:05:08the market that was literally the point
- 00:05:10to do it and those who did I think have
- 00:05:12have fed pretty well because Bitcoin is
- 00:05:14up about whatever it is like 13 14%
- 00:05:17since then and obviously as you
- 00:05:18mentioned many alts and me points up 50%
- 00:05:22or more the question that we're now
- 00:05:24trying to figure out is is this
- 00:05:27something that can be sustained uh um or
- 00:05:30is it just another flash in the pan and
- 00:05:32we'll be disappointed but I think the
- 00:05:34main thing to realize here compared to
- 00:05:36previous fake outs if you like is as you
- 00:05:38said Michael we are at the start of an
- 00:05:41easing cycle and we haven't seen the fed
- 00:05:44this dubish for whatever it is three
- 00:05:46years or something like that um probably
- 00:05:48even longer than that and you have to
- 00:05:51understand that it's a paradigm shift
- 00:05:53and we're about to enter a whole new I
- 00:05:55think um Paradigm of
- 00:05:59policy and easing rates and Global
- 00:06:01liquidity and I think that's the start
- 00:06:03of that in my opinion yeah I'm going to
- 00:06:06try and share some charts so um Nick
- 00:06:08just to warn you and about to share a
- 00:06:10couple of charts that's based on this is
- 00:06:13like from everything I look at this is
- 00:06:17this really is the zone so see if I can
- 00:06:21share
- 00:06:22this one
- 00:06:26sec I mean this is a killer I it's an
- 00:06:30absolute beautiful chart it's the GMI
- 00:06:32Global weekly liquidity so that's both
- 00:06:35private sector liquidity and public
- 00:06:36sector liquidity from the large Global
- 00:06:39economies I mean it's just perfect it
- 00:06:41leads by 10 weeks M2 does pretty much a
- 00:06:44pretty similar job as well so you've got
- 00:06:47that you've got Bitcoin seasonality is
- 00:06:50always strong from this point onwards
- 00:06:52I'm going to share another chart as well
- 00:06:54um let's have a look at this
- 00:06:56one and Bitcoin is also repeating
- 00:07:00what it did last
- 00:07:02year I mean literally
- 00:07:06perfectly you know so we've got the
- 00:07:09macro overlay the FED are going to keep
- 00:07:11cutting over time the other central
- 00:07:12banks are going to be involved we've got
- 00:07:14the seasonality in place we got the
- 00:07:16global liquidity cycle in place I don't
- 00:07:19know what else is left you know it's
- 00:07:21kind of like it has to be now even the
- 00:07:24chart patterns you know usually you get
- 00:07:25three Touches at the top three Touches
- 00:07:27at the bottom of a range that usually
- 00:07:30works
- 00:07:31so I think all of the elements are in
- 00:07:34play yeah look I I think I've been
- 00:07:37pretty public that even on this show
- 00:07:38I've been doing a DCA kind of for the
- 00:07:40last um few weeks or so I think OSF may
- 00:07:43have just Frozen anyway but I've been
- 00:07:45doing a DCA for a little bit of time and
- 00:07:49I still think we probably have a little
- 00:07:51bit of a volatility to go with the
- 00:07:53election that's the final thing I think
- 00:07:56right um and I do think that if if Trump
- 00:08:00is to win that I do think we we could
- 00:08:02see a very very aggressive um rally on
- 00:08:05the back of that towards the end of this
- 00:08:07year because all the other things are in
- 00:08:09play too and the fundamentals have been
- 00:08:11strong for a while and you know that
- 00:08:13because Gold's hitting alltime highs
- 00:08:15every single day right it's just H it
- 00:08:17keeps on hitting highs and you've seen
- 00:08:18that Divergence between gold and Bitcoin
- 00:08:20which has been this perfect opportunity
- 00:08:22to pick up Bitcoin in that
- 00:08:24period um one of the I think it
- 00:08:26negatively correlated for a little bit
- 00:08:28of time and that's really just been
- 00:08:29because technical selling but now Q4
- 00:08:31feels like it's going to be quite a lot
- 00:08:32of technical buying like already this
- 00:08:34week we saw Michael sailor come out and
- 00:08:38upsized a 700 million convertible note
- 00:08:41which he was offering to 1 billion I
- 00:08:44think that means he still has around 1.5
- 00:08:46billion of Bitcoin to buy right now and
- 00:08:49you know he's going to keep on buying
- 00:08:51you've had Black Rock coming out this
- 00:08:54week and saying that they're going to be
- 00:08:56telling their investors that Bitcoin is
- 00:09:00the best Hedge for the uh US debt crisis
- 00:09:03that that's currently happening which
- 00:09:05kind of points to even more
- 00:09:06institutional demand coming on you've
- 00:09:08seen a bunch of different countries
- 00:09:11Qatar Bhutan even came out with a huge
- 00:09:13Bitcoin holding this this um this week
- 00:09:16it feels as though we got a lot of
- 00:09:17different sovereigns coming into it and
- 00:09:20then you have FTX which is 16 billion
- 00:09:22odd coming back into the market as well
- 00:09:24in ke4 so I think the technicals and the
- 00:09:26fundamentals lineup I still think we
- 00:09:29have a little bit of volatility left
- 00:09:30thee of the election but I think that
- 00:09:32window is is really starting to narrow
- 00:09:34and you're going to be buying on the way
- 00:09:35up here rather than catching a yeah and
- 00:09:37that volatility probably happens close
- 00:09:39to the top of the trend you know that
- 00:09:40before the breakout you're kind of
- 00:09:42waiting around that 70,000 Bitcoin level
- 00:09:4570 to 75,000 and it chops around
- 00:09:48frustratingly there before I think
- 00:09:50either way whatever the outcome of the
- 00:09:52election it goes up afterwards anyway
- 00:09:54we've seen that in the past but we saw
- 00:09:56the last time Trump was in obviously
- 00:09:58because Trump is very
- 00:10:00tax light very stimulative um and he's
- 00:10:04very Pro crypto so regulatory stuff both
- 00:10:08for Tech and for for crypto that you
- 00:10:11feel like that could be an extra juice
- 00:10:13if that were to happen and 2016 17 was
- 00:10:15the lasty Trump cycle we didn't have the
- 00:10:18FED actually easing liquidity massively
- 00:10:20they were just starting to raise rates
- 00:10:22and they stopped for
- 00:10:25201617 and it was the Chinese who were
- 00:10:28creating the liquidity
- 00:10:29and the market went you know bananas
- 00:10:31tastic in
- 00:10:352017 yeah I think I think even with the
- 00:10:39politics I guess is less important you
- 00:10:41just never really know but it does feel
- 00:10:43as though for me it's more just the
- 00:10:44clarity actually think we'll rally even
- 00:10:46if um CA gets in right like I just think
- 00:10:49that markets rally When there's less um
- 00:10:52uncertainty and I think Trump probably
- 00:10:55points to a more
- 00:10:56aggressive crypto policy you know you
- 00:10:59probably get potential for crypto
- 00:11:01regulation even coming in people will
- 00:11:03start talking again about things like a
- 00:11:05salana ETF I do think you'll start to
- 00:11:06see that sort of stuff happening maybe
- 00:11:07it's stronger for alts for example but I
- 00:11:10think the market rallies in all
- 00:11:11scenarios there like the underlying
- 00:11:13fundamentals are are strong and I think
- 00:11:15it's been a it's been a a very very good
- 00:11:17period we maybe go into that a little
- 00:11:20bit because that was one of the the top
- 00:11:23topics again at token 2049 I think KL
- 00:11:26San s of M coin capital Did did a speech
- 00:11:30on is salana the eth killer that's
- 00:11:34finally uh that's finally come there was
- 00:11:35a lot of talk about whether E's dead or
- 00:11:37not a lot of talk about the L1 L2 trade
- 00:11:39did you catch any of that OSF like what
- 00:11:41was the top topics that were really
- 00:11:43coming up in
- 00:11:44Singapore yeah I don't think
- 00:11:47um I think the eth versus salana thing
- 00:11:50it feels like that's sort of come to a
- 00:11:52conclusion at this point given how much
- 00:11:55Soul e has moved in the last let's say
- 00:11:5712 months so I don't think think it was
- 00:11:59a really topic conversation of like is
- 00:12:00it going to be eth is it going to be
- 00:12:02salana
- 00:12:03um the atmosphere is more really on a
- 00:12:06macro level I think which was like is
- 00:12:09this it or is this just going to be
- 00:12:11another fake out I think that the main
- 00:12:12focus I think something people are
- 00:12:14really trying to figure out is
- 00:12:16like I was actually surprised by like
- 00:12:19the general acceptance that salana may
- 00:12:22not be it for the next 12 months and
- 00:12:24people looking at alternative l1s like
- 00:12:27suie for example was something that came
- 00:12:29up a lot um what is that I I noticed
- 00:12:32that bit of negativity not negativity
- 00:12:34but less enthusi enthusiasm about salana
- 00:12:38where's that coming from because there's
- 00:12:39nothing in the ecosystem that suggests
- 00:12:41anything's changed
- 00:12:43anecdotally and this is purely anecdotal
- 00:12:46this is so you have to um remember that
- 00:12:49I think it's coming from the whole like
- 00:12:50pump. fun meme coin thing where you had
- 00:12:54you know people have this belief that
- 00:12:56that's what's Driven the whole salana
- 00:12:57rally at least for the the first half of
- 00:12:59this year and because that game has
- 00:13:01changed from being very PVE to PVP I
- 00:13:03think people have probably just like
- 00:13:05lost a lot of money and I think it
- 00:13:06become
- 00:13:07less focused on salana with the belief
- 00:13:10that most of the onchain volumes of K as
- 00:13:13a result of this like mem coin boom and
- 00:13:15I think people are very focused on monad
- 00:13:18and bar chain that are both coming next
- 00:13:20year as well so there really seems and I
- 00:13:22just thought this was a belief that I
- 00:13:24had like I've kind of become more less
- 00:13:26bullish on Salan I think over the LA
- 00:13:28over the next over the last few months
- 00:13:31here's a question for you
- 00:13:33um monad and bar chain they're going to
- 00:13:36come out in what is potentially the
- 00:13:39final stage of a bull market what why
- 00:13:41the hell would retail buy it is it not
- 00:13:44just the people who got in at seed um
- 00:13:46and are going to flip it out I I just
- 00:13:48don't see why a retail investor would
- 00:13:51buy something that launches in March
- 00:13:53when potentially the whole bloody Market
- 00:13:55finishes by late autumn
- 00:13:59that's uh that's what retail guys do
- 00:14:01that's what what they did with salana
- 00:14:04last cycle yeah but salana was still
- 00:14:062021 I'm sorry 2020 it was April 2020
- 00:14:10that's true April 2020 it was more like
- 00:14:12sewer years yeah for me I I just think
- 00:14:16the L1 trades become a little bit more
- 00:14:19competitive and I think 12 months ago
- 00:14:21salana was a very super obvious
- 00:14:25trade uh and I think I just think over
- 00:14:27the last few months because
- 00:14:30the big change for me really is that is
- 00:14:32that pump. fun thing I think there's a
- 00:14:33big thing where the actual coin itself
- 00:14:35when salana itself is the asset that you
- 00:14:38use to buy something you know it was
- 00:14:40being used to buy meme coins just like
- 00:14:43in 2021 you were using e to buy nfts you
- 00:14:47know when it becomes the actual form of
- 00:14:49exchange that can really change the
- 00:14:52trajectory of a coin in any point of the
- 00:14:54cycle and when I think over the last two
- 00:14:56three months salana hasn't really done
- 00:14:58bad L but it's moved more towards the
- 00:15:01payments infrastructure the deepin stuff
- 00:15:05number of users has stayed high but def5
- 00:15:07volumes have gone down and although I
- 00:15:10think those things are more sustainable
- 00:15:13I actually think there's been less talk
- 00:15:15about like oh people are spending salana
- 00:15:17on this thing you know they're buying
- 00:15:19something with it and I think that
- 00:15:21sometimes can slow down um uh yeah the
- 00:15:24growth that that begs the
- 00:15:27question do you guys think the me
- 00:15:29cycle is over or was this just the first
- 00:15:32pump I mean and draw parallels to the
- 00:15:35nft cycle when it first started what are
- 00:15:38your thought I mean I I I think we got
- 00:15:40another whole run to go but maybe more
- 00:15:42narrow less
- 00:15:44broad I think it's I think it's the
- 00:15:46beginning of the end of of the meme pump
- 00:15:47to be honest with you like it feels like
- 00:15:50to me what nfts felt like in 2022 which
- 00:15:53was you're no longer early to this great
- 00:15:56big Casino the super normal profit has
- 00:15:58disa appeared the market participants
- 00:16:01have become much more sophisticated so
- 00:16:04you know there are Bots there are all
- 00:16:05these different tools that people are
- 00:16:06using to to have an edge and the main
- 00:16:09thing is like when you have something
- 00:16:10like this the easy money if you're if
- 00:16:13you have no morals and no ethics the
- 00:16:14easy money is just to come in create
- 00:16:17your own meme coin have Insider Supply
- 00:16:18pump and dump and move on to the next
- 00:16:19one and that's what happened with nfts
- 00:16:21like at the beginning there were just a
- 00:16:22handful of NT projects and they all did
- 00:16:24well and then in the middle of 2022 um
- 00:16:29there was like a new project every other
- 00:16:30day which was really been created by the
- 00:16:32same people and they would launch it
- 00:16:34monetize it move on to the next one do
- 00:16:35the same thing and that's what's very
- 00:16:37clearly been happening on on Soul memes
- 00:16:39at the moment so I just think that
- 00:16:42freshness of it has has disappeared um
- 00:16:45and it's going to be very hard for it to
- 00:16:46return Because unless you get a huge
- 00:16:48influx of users which I personally don't
- 00:16:50think we're going to get you just have
- 00:16:52way too many way too much potential
- 00:16:55attention versus the number of people
- 00:16:56that exist and all of that is split and
- 00:16:59bated and the only one thing I'd add
- 00:17:01with regard to salana just that we're
- 00:17:03talking about is I think it's important
- 00:17:04to look at the price it's not it's
- 00:17:06important to not just look at the price
- 00:17:08but look at the market cap and and the
- 00:17:11circulating market cap and salana is
- 00:17:13close to all-time highs than circulating
- 00:17:14market cap I think right now it's 69
- 00:17:16billion I think the highs it got to this
- 00:17:18year was um something like 80 billion
- 00:17:21and the highs it got to last uh in 2021
- 00:17:24was 75 billion so remember like a lot of
- 00:17:27salana is like vesting and being
- 00:17:28unlocked so it's actually hit alltime
- 00:17:31highs in terms of circulating market cap
- 00:17:34this year and there's a ton more to be
- 00:17:36unlocked at the beginning of next year
- 00:17:38too so it's important to just understand
- 00:17:40I think to not look at just the the
- 00:17:42price because everyone is maybe married
- 00:17:43to like the 270 prints or whatever it
- 00:17:45was last year but also the circulating
- 00:17:47market cap which I think is very
- 00:17:49important yeah I'm not a short-term
- 00:17:52Trader necessarily but like I would look
- 00:17:54at stuff in terms of months and I do
- 00:17:55think that we probably just because of
- 00:17:57how strong the mean cycle was I don't
- 00:18:00know if people are rushing back like new
- 00:18:02wallets are rushing back from now until
- 00:18:05year end let's say um I think it
- 00:18:07probably takes a little bit of time to
- 00:18:08settle but I do think having been here
- 00:18:11now for however many years the
- 00:18:13tokenization of of Internet culture is
- 00:18:15going to be one of the main use cases of
- 00:18:17blockchain it just feels like that's an
- 00:18:18up only thing for blockchain the idea
- 00:18:20you can instantly turn internet culture
- 00:18:22or Internet communities into something
- 00:18:25on chain I think that's that's always
- 00:18:27going to be there but I do think
- 00:18:29probably have a little bit of time of
- 00:18:31just that settling down a little bit I
- 00:18:32don't think I don't think P I think
- 00:18:33pump. funds daily revenu is probably hit
- 00:18:35an all-time high for for at least the
- 00:18:37next few months yeah I do think some of
- 00:18:39the memes will continue because as
- 00:18:41people come to the market memes tend to
- 00:18:42do well but I think you're right that
- 00:18:44the whole pump. fund thing has probably
- 00:18:46died down a lot and I think you're dead
- 00:18:48right that culture nfts were culture
- 00:18:52this is culture they're all going to
- 00:18:53morph into something that we yet haven't
- 00:18:55seen and that's probably next next cycle
- 00:18:58this is all kind of experimentation
- 00:18:59stuff um and yeah I think it's still
- 00:19:02going to be one of the largest parts of
- 00:19:04this entire thing but over time yeah
- 00:19:07yeah so I think you can paint a pretty
- 00:19:09good picture of it I actually bought eth
- 00:19:11the most eth I've ever bought this week
- 00:19:13I just kind of felt like there was so
- 00:19:15much it was so well not ever bought but
- 00:19:17for for for many many months uh that I
- 00:19:20bought I just kind of feel as though it
- 00:19:24kind of got the narrative's been beaten
- 00:19:26down everyone kind of knows the L1
- 00:19:28versus L to um hicc up you saw Benjamin
- 00:19:31kowan come out this today and say oh I
- 00:19:34think we're actually close to the bottom
- 00:19:35of e BTC um it could have a little bit
- 00:19:38of a
- 00:19:39rally I see a lot of the other chain
- 00:19:41still doing well and E just hasn't
- 00:19:43really been able to rally and and I
- 00:19:45don't know I just kind of felt as though
- 00:19:46it looked mispriced versus the amount of
- 00:19:49stuff still going on there but I've got
- 00:19:53gotum CH what do you think about those
- 00:19:55three at the moment let me give you a
- 00:19:57hopium chart let me I just need to
- 00:19:58sharer you need an eth CH it's an
- 00:20:01ethopian
- 00:20:05chart it it does feel like to me that's
- 00:20:09eth versus eth last year I can't find a
- 00:20:12closer m fit I can't that's crazy the
- 00:20:16other thing about the eth Bitcoin cross
- 00:20:18is it's driven by um it's actually
- 00:20:20driven by the ism and the business cycle
- 00:20:24um so you're kind of all in that point
- 00:20:26on a weekly uh for those like technicals
- 00:20:29on a weekly Demar count eth just put in
- 00:20:31a 13 low as well it feels that
- 00:20:34everything is in place but that chart is
- 00:20:36is quite remarkable now we know we know
- 00:20:39that these charts fall apart just when
- 00:20:40you want them the most to work so expect
- 00:20:42it to not work but it's just interesting
- 00:20:47contextually it is it does feel like
- 00:20:49we're just an all-time low for eth
- 00:20:53sentiment and part of me does still
- 00:20:56believe that if we have just a general
- 00:20:58risk valy it should perform with the
- 00:21:01other major it should perform with soul
- 00:21:02it should perform with BTC and you know
- 00:21:04e BTC has dropped from like
- 00:21:070.059 pre ETF announcement to 0 what is
- 00:21:11it 0.04 now it hits 0.038 It's a massive
- 00:21:15massive move lower in um the E BTC ratio
- 00:21:20like huge move lower for not
- 00:21:22like for no real good reason other than
- 00:21:24e Foundation has been selling it and
- 00:21:26people are Maybe as active on on it as
- 00:21:29the casino as they are on salana and
- 00:21:31other things but um it does feel like
- 00:21:34it's the lows for sentiment but I don't
- 00:21:35know I don't know Michael if it's like a
- 00:21:37longer term thing that is ready to
- 00:21:38correct because I still do feel
- 00:21:41like we should just spoke about how
- 00:21:42attention is so divided across all meme
- 00:21:44coins I think intention is so divided
- 00:21:46across the ethereum ecosystem because
- 00:21:47you have so many different l2s you have
- 00:21:50some meme coins onne it's just like it
- 00:21:53feels like if anyone wants to chase it
- 00:21:54an e like okay cool I'm going to go go
- 00:21:56out there and buy arbitrum or optimism
- 00:21:58or blast or something else and
- 00:22:02um I don't know it doesn't feel like the
- 00:22:05the dgen money which is I think a large
- 00:22:08pool of capital wants to sit on eth and
- 00:22:11I wonder if they will ever want to sit
- 00:22:13on eth given the way the direction in
- 00:22:15which eth is going which is let's have a
- 00:22:17ton of l2s which all have their own
- 00:22:19tokens Bitcoin doesn't have that Soul
- 00:22:21doesn't have
- 00:22:22that yeah look I I completely agree with
- 00:22:25that I'm not sitting here as somebody
- 00:22:26who has been Ane bull for a while now
- 00:22:29like all I'm saying about here is from
- 00:22:31Ral perspective to a large extent like I
- 00:22:35think e b Bitcoin has been smashed all
- 00:22:39cycle salana is heading back up towards
- 00:22:42100 billion FTV you have things like
- 00:22:45suie up to about 15 billion ton all
- 00:22:48these other chains are rallying I just
- 00:22:50feel as though e got beaten up and I've
- 00:22:52said before I did like coinbase like as
- 00:22:55the alternative to buying eat because a
- 00:22:57lot of Base Revenue I think is going to
- 00:22:59is going to be supported in in coinbase
- 00:23:02but it just felt like eth was easy for
- 00:23:03me to buy today so I don't know I'm
- 00:23:06buying it I appre all those narratives I
- 00:23:09just feel as though it's also got quite
- 00:23:11a lot going for it mean I've been buying
- 00:23:13it just because I've been buying x copy
- 00:23:17and be stuff mainly x copy you know
- 00:23:20really my entire um eth portfolio is
- 00:23:23just um nft digital art that's it I'm
- 00:23:28comfortable that but we should chat
- 00:23:30about that actually because the x copy
- 00:23:31stuff has been taking off I saw uh an
- 00:23:34addition of one and six sell for 300 eth
- 00:23:39yesterday and I think there was an
- 00:23:40addition of one in 10 that sold for
- 00:23:43around 200 e 250 these are not even one
- 00:23:46of ones these are additions small
- 00:23:48editions which are going
- 00:23:49for very very large amounts um what do
- 00:23:53you guys make of that is that is that
- 00:23:56just going to be a solely an x copy
- 00:23:58thing or is that a sign and you know
- 00:23:59we've had some large Punk sales recently
- 00:24:01as well is that a sign to
- 00:24:03say eth nfts maybe have a chance of
- 00:24:06having you
- 00:24:07know I've got a very strong thesis on
- 00:24:09this that as the market cap of crypto
- 00:24:14goes up over time from two trillion to
- 00:24:16where I think it's going which is 100
- 00:24:18trillion you're going to generate more
- 00:24:19wealth than any other trade in all human
- 00:24:22history in the shortest period of time
- 00:24:23and that gets recycled into art and you
- 00:24:27know I started buying copy really in
- 00:24:30January and I've been buying all year
- 00:24:33that triggered a whole bunch of people
- 00:24:35and I've shared the thesis a lot with
- 00:24:37people that you know the really
- 00:24:39culturally relevant things will will be
- 00:24:41highly sought after first but I think it
- 00:24:43will broaden out again you know art
- 00:24:45doesn't go away um and so we've
- 00:24:49seen punks x copy and you know there's
- 00:24:54very little be for sale at all so those
- 00:24:57are there
- 00:24:59yes fenzza have come down in price and
- 00:25:01yes some of the others have come down in
- 00:25:03price um but I think we will see a
- 00:25:05rotation it's kind of like if you think
- 00:25:07of x copy and beeple and punks as
- 00:25:10Bitcoin you get Bitcoin dominance first
- 00:25:13and as the market broadens out it moves
- 00:25:15to the other uh layer ones layer twos
- 00:25:17and other stuff and I think we'll see
- 00:25:19the same here I think we'll we will see
- 00:25:22a uh a big uptick in art as we start
- 00:25:25going through all-time highs not only in
- 00:25:27Bitcoin but in the other big one which
- 00:25:29is salana because that's what people
- 00:25:30have got a lot of you know I we surveyed
- 00:25:33all of our hedge funds in exponential
- 00:25:35age Asset Management in xam and the
- 00:25:37biggest trade is
- 00:25:38salana yeah I think what I would say is
- 00:25:42what we saw in 2021 was a bunch of
- 00:25:43different smaller and medium emerging
- 00:25:45artists let's say come in and do drops
- 00:25:48and and do really really well I think I
- 00:25:50go back to what I said at the start
- 00:25:51which was just that I think tokenizing
- 00:25:54internet culture is going to be
- 00:25:55something that stays with blockchain for
- 00:25:58a long long time and probably stay
- 00:25:59probably going to be the easiest way to
- 00:26:00do it for decades hopefully and I do
- 00:26:04think that people will continue to buy
- 00:26:07artifacts of internet and blockchain
- 00:26:09culture and x copy just is that what you
- 00:26:12haven't seen is a massive massive pickup
- 00:26:14in emerging artist um art sales what
- 00:26:18you've seen is things like this which is
- 00:26:21we have on screen right now which is
- 00:26:24you're starting to see bigger collectors
- 00:26:26of um this is this is air warning art
- 00:26:28which is done by lock guer who is
- 00:26:31involved in the sale of The Da Vinci
- 00:26:32Salvador Mundy for 450 million he's
- 00:26:34setting up a specific auction house for
- 00:26:38digital art and they're gonna be
- 00:26:39auctioning one two pieces a month
- 00:26:42they're starting with an autog glyph I
- 00:26:44think you're going to start to see this
- 00:26:45you're G to see collectors come in and
- 00:26:48buy um artifacts let's say of crypto
- 00:26:51history maybe even internet internet
- 00:26:54culture history so one of the things
- 00:26:56that I've always said is that you know
- 00:26:58Nostalgia has value right so we all look
- 00:27:00back on the past and it's valuable to us
- 00:27:03and you know x copy is is a moment in
- 00:27:05time as is B and the great example of
- 00:27:09that is particularly if you're English
- 00:27:11you'll see the prices Oasis tickets are
- 00:27:13going for right that is what they're
- 00:27:16doing there is monetizing
- 00:27:20Nostalgia um and you can make tremendous
- 00:27:23amounts of money by doing that and
- 00:27:25people will pay I mean I haven't bought
- 00:27:27my tickets yet but I'm sure I'll
- 00:27:28massively overpay for them because the
- 00:27:31scarcity and that cultural moment means
- 00:27:33a lot to a lot of people a real lot of
- 00:27:37people and this is the same thing the
- 00:27:39cultural moments of 2018 19 20 21 really
- 00:27:44will stick in people's minds forever
- 00:27:46people from this space um and so I think
- 00:27:49it just gets more valuable over
- 00:27:53time do you think the same collection
- 00:27:57activity
- 00:27:59of
- 00:28:00nfts happens on salana or any other
- 00:28:03chain does it stay on I think it stays
- 00:28:06on eth
- 00:28:09ordinals
- 00:28:10possibly but for some
- 00:28:14reason for some reason yes people are
- 00:28:17experiment and other stuff but for some
- 00:28:19reason eth seems to be that chain and
- 00:28:22and it becomes very clunky I've got you
- 00:28:25know nfts and salana and I can't see
- 00:28:27them in in the same place and they're
- 00:28:29not in my open SE and they're not in my
- 00:28:31wallet so it's kind of like it's a bit
- 00:28:33of a
- 00:28:34pain um so I I do think it it tends to
- 00:28:39stay within eth now the question is is I
- 00:28:43actually also think NFS and mem coins
- 00:28:45will merge at some point we saw that
- 00:28:47with the kind of Frank deg God's doing
- 00:28:50the opposite but I think
- 00:28:53somewhere there's a rarity value of the
- 00:28:57NF tea that massively enhances a mecoin
- 00:29:00community in terms of whether it's
- 00:29:03status you know I was talking to the
- 00:29:04smoking chicken fish guys I'm like you
- 00:29:06should give out you know Bishop hoods
- 00:29:08and priesthoods and stuff like that as
- 00:29:10nfts and you can buy your status
- 00:29:12whatever it is right but somewhere these
- 00:29:14are coming together people are thinking
- 00:29:17them it's a or b I don't think it is
- 00:29:19it's a plus b equals c which is the
- 00:29:21moment the Manda was talking about which
- 00:29:23is where culture becomes a very big
- 00:29:26thing yeah I really
- 00:29:28I definitely agree with that I
- 00:29:30think pfp communities were some of the
- 00:29:33strongest communities in 2021 and if
- 00:29:35anything the hurdle for them really was
- 00:29:38being able to join the club if the
- 00:29:40cheapest nft was a few thousand dos it
- 00:29:42was hard for someone to be part of that
- 00:29:44Community um because you know fractal
- 00:29:46nfts never really took off so if you
- 00:29:48have a uh an nft collection which is
- 00:29:52kind of like a has a meme based
- 00:29:53community and you have a meme token that
- 00:29:56goes along with it so is A+ B I think
- 00:30:00that's a very powerful combination
- 00:30:02because you can Flex by you know buying
- 00:30:05the the gold one or the the rare one but
- 00:30:08you can just enter the community with
- 00:30:09with as little as$ one theoretically and
- 00:30:12I I
- 00:30:14think yugul will prove this point out I
- 00:30:17know people have written it all off I
- 00:30:19don't think you should write off B8 yach
- 00:30:20club by the time they actually have a
- 00:30:22clubhouse in Miami and it becomes a real
- 00:30:25thing we will all use it when we go to
- 00:30:28Miami it'll become like a so house thing
- 00:30:30and I can see that idea spreading and I
- 00:30:33can now see that they're working very
- 00:30:35hard on making use cases out of um 8coin
- 00:30:38and eight chain and let's see because
- 00:30:42that they were the people who had the
- 00:30:43big idea is these things are all
- 00:30:46together combined um and I still think
- 00:30:48it's yet to play out but I think it's
- 00:30:49interesting I mean I just saw that dooky
- 00:30:51Dash is like number three on all free
- 00:30:53downloads of games number three on apps
- 00:30:55I I think so we've we've been speaking
- 00:30:58about this now for what 10 minutes we've
- 00:30:59all agreed that that it feels as though
- 00:31:01it's more internet culture blockchain
- 00:31:03culture that's going to be valuable if
- 00:31:05somebody was listening to this and
- 00:31:06saying actually I agree with these guys
- 00:31:08what are the top three things you would
- 00:31:10maybe advise them to buy other than
- 00:31:12maybe x copy because you know you have
- 00:31:14to have 700 Grand to buy it no you can
- 00:31:17buy that don't forget there's a lot of
- 00:31:18floor cheap stuff like that's true there
- 00:31:21he has an open addition which which is
- 00:31:22which is less than that but are there
- 00:31:23any other two things that you or let's
- 00:31:26say three things what are the things
- 00:31:27that you would you would pick out now
- 00:31:28that we've been in the space for many
- 00:31:30years and you can see the stuff that's
- 00:31:32probably going to
- 00:31:33be more likely to be
- 00:31:36valuable I still think rare Pepe is a
- 00:31:39massive
- 00:31:40underlooked part of the nft market which
- 00:31:43technically are not on eth like the
- 00:31:45original ones are on counterparty
- 00:31:46although you can buy on you can buy
- 00:31:512016 um
- 00:31:54vintage nft like original nfts I think
- 00:31:57that k like the N movement of the
- 00:32:00biggest internet meme character of all
- 00:32:02time like and it's difficult to buy like
- 00:32:04I think that's that's actually a feature
- 00:32:06not a bug so to me and you there rare
- 00:32:09Pepes that are cheap as like a probably
- 00:32:10like a few hundred dollars if not even
- 00:32:12less and then some are worth hundreds of
- 00:32:15thousands of dollars but um you have the
- 00:32:17whole range but I think owning like a
- 00:32:18rare Pepe is pretty much as OG as you
- 00:32:21get in the nft space on more levels than
- 00:32:25one historical significance cultural
- 00:32:28ific um what about Pepe the coin as well
- 00:32:31I'm just trying to think about that as a
- 00:32:32as like a multicycle meme coin as well
- 00:32:35yeah Doge I wouldn't write off Doge ever
- 00:32:39yeah it does feel like if if someone if
- 00:32:41someone said to me what what would you
- 00:32:43buy coming into this space obviously x
- 00:32:45copy feels like he's gonna have that art
- 00:32:48narrative pretty sewn up I feel like
- 00:32:50Pepe and Doge probably are multi the
- 00:32:52biggest multicycle memes that you can
- 00:32:54probably own and you're going to see mad
- 00:32:56volatility but the you know they're
- 00:32:57never going to go to zero they're always
- 00:32:59going to have a bid from internet
- 00:33:01culture and then for for broader nfts I
- 00:33:03do a lot of them have been beaten down
- 00:33:06but I can see I can see a rebound in
- 00:33:07things like Bo Apes um I think maybe
- 00:33:10mutant apes are cheap
- 00:33:12enough mutant prices are not that
- 00:33:15expensive
- 00:33:16now um you know because board apes are
- 00:33:19still not cheap you know for the average
- 00:33:21person but mutants that's not wildly
- 00:33:24expensive and in x copy it's the max
- 00:33:26pain because he keeps burning them so
- 00:33:29there's less and less all the time and
- 00:33:31max pay are very cheap they're kind of
- 00:33:33interesting and punks I guess we would
- 00:33:35all agree on as well yeah we're all
- 00:33:38supposed to say w guy as well but well I
- 00:33:41I don't disagree mate as you know that I
- 00:33:43think W guy I think mfers I think crypto
- 00:33:47dick butts there's a few of that period
- 00:33:49that that will always be culturally
- 00:33:53remembered right and so they're always
- 00:33:55going to have
- 00:33:56value and all it needs is whether you
- 00:33:59guys or mfers I mean they've got the MFA
- 00:34:01coin and stuff whether that is worth
- 00:34:03anything or not um or that was just a
- 00:34:06stunt for Bas but I just think if when
- 00:34:09if you if you see the opportunity to
- 00:34:11reinvigorate outside of the wreck drinks
- 00:34:13and back in that n nft Community when
- 00:34:16it's the right time and it feels
- 00:34:18authentic I think it'll come alive again
- 00:34:21and you know people won't forget mfers
- 00:34:24because most people don't sell that
- 00:34:26stuff in the end they just identify with
- 00:34:29it if I look at my if I go to um I'm
- 00:34:31just going to share my screen again if I
- 00:34:38can you're right like these are sort of
- 00:34:40things that get remembered I think you
- 00:34:42you got to pick those things now maybe
- 00:34:44from the last cycle which are being
- 00:34:45remembered but are still relatively
- 00:34:47cheap and will probably be remembered
- 00:34:48next cycle as well yeah so I've got
- 00:34:51something in my you know in my whole
- 00:34:54kind of n collection which is you x copy
- 00:34:56B Pool Plus a few artist and stuff but I
- 00:34:59have something that I call my
- 00:35:01identity it's the things that that I
- 00:35:05think represent me and it's obviously my
- 00:35:08punk and my ape and then I did these
- 00:35:10hybrids with my ex copies that an artist
- 00:35:11made for me and I minted but then
- 00:35:14there's my mfer and my wck
- 00:35:16guy and I'm never going to sell those
- 00:35:19because they actually represent a bit of
- 00:35:21me and a bit of a moment in time and
- 00:35:24people see them and they smile
- 00:35:28because you know what it means you know
- 00:35:29what it's about you can remember when it
- 00:35:31came out it's like you know it's an
- 00:35:33album it's something you remember it you
- 00:35:35remember the day R guy came out and
- 00:35:37Snoop dogs buying one you know nobody's
- 00:35:39ever going to forget that it's folklore
- 00:35:41so anyway I don't want to Big you guys
- 00:35:43up as well but you know it's I think
- 00:35:44it's part of it yeah I hope so too I do
- 00:35:47I do think that you can um that these
- 00:35:50things are going to be around but I
- 00:35:52think that's what you got to really
- 00:35:53choose now because I think it's very
- 00:35:55very clear that internet culture crypto
- 00:35:57culture is going to be with us and you
- 00:35:59can kind of guess which stuff now is
- 00:36:00going to be it has to have folklore it
- 00:36:02has to have
- 00:36:04folklore so maybe we we we'll change tax
- 00:36:07slightly because we've been talking
- 00:36:08about a lot of left curve stuff there
- 00:36:10and maybe just focus on what was the
- 00:36:11best perform of this week releasing on
- 00:36:13the l1s which was which was
- 00:36:16sui um which has been I think it was
- 00:36:19trading at not point a half a dollar um
- 00:36:22in the middle of August it's now at 1.5
- 00:36:24it's done a 3X over the space of about a
- 00:36:28month and a half I think it's close to
- 00:36:31its all-time high in current market cap
- 00:36:33because there's actually been some
- 00:36:35dilution um just because it does have a
- 00:36:37decent amount of unlocks but this has
- 00:36:40been a really really crazy trade uh as a
- 00:36:42comeback this week they announced that
- 00:36:45they are having Circle um integrate
- 00:36:48their stable coin usdc onto the chain
- 00:36:51last week we had grayscale come out and
- 00:36:53do a suy trust or at least start to get
- 00:36:56funds from in tional investors on that
- 00:36:59this one really feels it has some
- 00:37:00momentum I know you're very close or
- 00:37:02close with the um with the
- 00:37:05foundation what what what do you think
- 00:37:08here is it is this one that's going to
- 00:37:10keep on pushing on is this stuff that
- 00:37:12you think is coming which is going to be
- 00:37:13a game changer for sui yeah I mean I you
- 00:37:17know just the disclaimer is I am on the
- 00:37:18board of the
- 00:37:19foundation but I have you know I'm a
- 00:37:22mercenary when it comes to my own money
- 00:37:23and and
- 00:37:25I have for a while been thinking we all
- 00:37:28three of us have talked about this is
- 00:37:31that this might be one of the chosen
- 00:37:33ones and the reason being is that the
- 00:37:35team is world class they've built you
- 00:37:37know
- 00:37:39scalable um blockchains suitable for
- 00:37:42three billion people plus I mean these
- 00:37:44guys are world class they're a little
- 00:37:46bit
- 00:37:47technical so the narrative was missing
- 00:37:50but then started to come alive with
- 00:37:53narrative but the reality is they've got
- 00:37:55the latency of the chain down to 600
- 00:37:58milliseconds it's stupid fast they've
- 00:38:01got they've now just building this wall
- 00:38:03Russ which is a data storage layer which
- 00:38:06is a separate token but it's like
- 00:38:08basically AWS on top of you know this
- 00:38:12whole move virtual machine idea then
- 00:38:15they've got pilot fish coming which is
- 00:38:17their version kind of a fire dancer
- 00:38:19which gives it kind of unlimited
- 00:38:22TPS and they've got a very serious bis
- 00:38:24Dev team obviously we've just got Circle
- 00:38:27um and there'll be I'm sure plenty of
- 00:38:30others whether it's in gaming or real
- 00:38:31world assets and other stuff to
- 00:38:33come so they've they're just capturing
- 00:38:36mind share now don't forget this is a
- 00:38:39low free float and once you capture mind
- 00:38:42share in a low free FL it outperforms by
- 00:38:45definition because there's less of it
- 00:38:46around you you can have the same mind
- 00:38:48share for eth it's not going to go it's
- 00:38:50barely going to move so I know people
- 00:38:53hate low free floats you're going to
- 00:38:54love them in a bull market and hate them
- 00:38:56again in a bare Market because they're
- 00:38:58just Super Beta so I think that's the
- 00:39:00that's the point to realize it's also
- 00:39:02Super Beta capturing mind share uh you
- 00:39:06know they seem to be executing well and
- 00:39:08people are looking for the next big
- 00:39:10trade because as as Obie was talking
- 00:39:12about you know people are kind of like
- 00:39:14well is the salana trade over what's the
- 00:39:17next big one and so it feels like it's
- 00:39:20it's got everything right and I think it
- 00:39:23it I don't see what else is going to
- 00:39:24dominate I look at the charts of sui
- 00:39:26versus the top 20 tokens and a whole
- 00:39:28bunch of other stuff I don't see
- 00:39:30anything that looks close to being able
- 00:39:33to compete with it for the time being
- 00:39:35the only things coming are monad and bar
- 00:39:38chain doesn't mean that Celestia and all
- 00:39:40this stuff doesn't go up a lot but it's
- 00:39:42very difficult to see anything that's
- 00:39:43going to outperform that
- 00:39:45chart yeah we're just bringing it up now
- 00:39:47so it was a top performer in the top 100
- 00:39:50this week I think it even was last week
- 00:39:52as well it' been brewing for a while I
- 00:39:53remember you actually posted a chart of
- 00:39:55it versus salana a few weeks back and it
- 00:39:58really just gapped uh during that period
- 00:40:01I think it's been interesting
- 00:40:02interesting one obviously this is one
- 00:40:03like you said it's a $4 billion market
- 00:40:05cap it's a 15 billion FTV and there are
- 00:40:08there are a decent amount of unlocks as
- 00:40:09there are even for many of the other
- 00:40:11chains in the top the big unlock
- 00:40:13happened the really horrible one has
- 00:40:16happened and um I think the story there
- 00:40:20has really been a bit more B2B right
- 00:40:22like they do a lot of B2B sort of
- 00:40:24Integrations and less of the b2c at
- 00:40:26least recently or at least it's been
- 00:40:28less obvious that some of their um
- 00:40:30consumer crypto applications but this
- 00:40:33this usdc integration perhaps really you
- 00:40:37know uh allows their defi projects to to
- 00:40:41grow the TV's huge as well it's $800
- 00:40:43billion dollar now $800 million yeah um
- 00:40:47so I think I think it's in a decent spot
- 00:40:49it's obviously this is a trade which has
- 00:40:51done basically a 3X in a month and a
- 00:40:53half so be be wary but at the same time
- 00:40:57this is um it's definitely caught
- 00:40:58attention and kind of led the other uh
- 00:41:01l1s Phantom's been another one because
- 00:41:03they've got an upgrade coming but suie
- 00:41:05does feel like it's it's captured M
- 00:41:07chare you can actually see a lot of it
- 00:41:09has come out from eth a lot of people
- 00:41:10have been selling eth to buy suie
- 00:41:12they've kind of felt like they probably
- 00:41:13missed the salano trade and moved into
- 00:41:15into sui but you could see from the
- 00:41:17onchain flows that a lot of it actually
- 00:41:18came from East the other one that's
- 00:41:20interesting I just interviewed John Woo
- 00:41:22from
- 00:41:23Avalanche and I caught up with P kicks
- 00:41:27in Portugal when I was there and I don't
- 00:41:29know have you met Pierce yet Mando
- 00:41:31you've got to meet him he's such a great
- 00:41:33guy good friend of mine and he's the
- 00:41:35gaming guy at um Deli and um he talked
- 00:41:39about the investment he's made in Off
- 00:41:42the Grid he's like it is the best game
- 00:41:44I've ever seen in web 3 and it may be
- 00:41:46one of the best games I've ever played
- 00:41:48that's on Avalanche um and I got John on
- 00:41:51because of what Pierce said to talk
- 00:41:52about it that's going to be really
- 00:41:54interesting because we've not had a
- 00:41:55proper Breakout
- 00:41:57you know this is a battle royale game
- 00:42:00you know ultra high definition super
- 00:42:03quality um if this takes off okay that's
- 00:42:05a big
- 00:42:07deal well gaming gaming has had a bit of
- 00:42:10a weird cycle it was very very strong
- 00:42:12probably a year ago you had a bunch of
- 00:42:13different coins come out there's
- 00:42:14actually A1 billion doll gaming coin
- 00:42:16which launched today uh on the ton
- 00:42:19Network there was a you know one of
- 00:42:20these telegram mobile games launched by
- 00:42:24binance um hit a billion dollars today
- 00:42:27you have the hamster
- 00:42:28combat uh launch I think next week which
- 00:42:31could be multiple billions looking at
- 00:42:33looking at um where that Co launched
- 00:42:36today but if that is the case then yeah
- 00:42:38avac does have a very very strong gaming
- 00:42:40Inc care system we could say we could
- 00:42:42see that come come back um pretty pretty
- 00:42:45strongly are there any other altcoin
- 00:42:46narratives that you picked up on OSF in
- 00:42:49in Singapore anything that people were
- 00:42:51talking about that could be applications
- 00:42:53I know I saw a few people mention like
- 00:42:54deep in being the like the main one but
- 00:42:56I didn't because I think there was some
- 00:42:58Integrations with like grab out there
- 00:43:00and couple other deep um Integrations it
- 00:43:02does feel as though that one seems to
- 00:43:05have the strongest things going on with
- 00:43:06it right now yeah I would agree with
- 00:43:08that but there wasn't
- 00:43:11any it was one of those conferences I
- 00:43:13didn't come away with like oh we have to
- 00:43:15spend time looking at this and that
- 00:43:17usually happens to every conference I go
- 00:43:18to this one was
- 00:43:20like it felt like a conference of people
- 00:43:23with frustrated positions that hadn't
- 00:43:25gone well this year like that was my
- 00:43:27sentiment for it usually when I go to
- 00:43:30whatever like nft myc or consensus
- 00:43:32Austin or whatever I come back thinking
- 00:43:34oh I need to spend a day right now
- 00:43:36looking at this thing to put money into
- 00:43:38it it didn't feel like that at all um I
- 00:43:41think all the narratives are out there
- 00:43:42all the yor coins have been identified
- 00:43:44it's just a case of canot rally like
- 00:43:48that's the that's what it feels like to
- 00:43:50me there wasn't anything new or any
- 00:43:52particular area where I felt like people
- 00:43:53were specifically focused on or or or
- 00:43:56excited about really to be honest with
- 00:43:58you is more just hope trade
- 00:44:01which we're all in in it for the hopium
- 00:44:03as well but is there anything you like
- 00:44:06anything you've liked as well R like I
- 00:44:08know you often at like The Cutting Edge
- 00:44:09of a lot of these sort of early trends
- 00:44:11that you've interviewed or or spoken to
- 00:44:13recently you're like oh
- 00:44:15W um you know I joined the board of Club
- 00:44:17dean of danan which you guys know as
- 00:44:20well because I'm just really interested
- 00:44:22in following that Journey you know
- 00:44:25they're launching their token today
- 00:44:27tomorrow um it's not really about token
- 00:44:29price for me and that it's like can you
- 00:44:31actually use this stuff for loyalty
- 00:44:33Logistics dpin and all of the things
- 00:44:36that are being talked about um but in
- 00:44:39the markets now I'm super concentrated
- 00:44:42you know it's the salana sui and even my
- 00:44:45memes are all down to one uh two which
- 00:44:47is Doge and uh smoking chicken fish so
- 00:44:50I'm hyper concentrated and then nfts is
- 00:44:54my long-term savings bucket you know
- 00:44:56stuff I want to have for 10 years um and
- 00:44:59that's it I'm trying to keep out of
- 00:45:01trouble um I think it's a really
- 00:45:03important thing is if you think you've
- 00:45:05got decently strong narratives just
- 00:45:07don't [ __ ] around with it because before
- 00:45:09you know it you chop yourself up to
- 00:45:11death by trying to C catch
- 00:45:14something the other thing I saw this
- 00:45:16week was the was the Bhutan headline
- 00:45:19which was that they are they came out as
- 00:45:21a holder of $780 million Bitcoin I know
- 00:45:24also you're somebody who speaks to
- 00:45:25various different Sovereign wealth funds
- 00:45:27various different even Nations
- 00:45:29themselves um in terms of advising about
- 00:45:31blockchain and blockchain
- 00:45:33strategy do you think we had more of
- 00:45:35these sort of stories coming we saw
- 00:45:36Qatar come out with with crypto
- 00:45:38regulation about a week ago or has it
- 00:45:41been kind of quiet I know you've kind of
- 00:45:43you've spoken to people on both sides
- 00:45:45there like do you think we're going to
- 00:45:46see adoption from a sovereign and
- 00:45:48Sovereign wealth fund level from some of
- 00:45:50the conversations you've
- 00:45:51had I don't
- 00:45:54think if they do it's going to be the
- 00:45:57radar screen the last thing you want to
- 00:45:59flag is to the US Reserve currency that
- 00:46:02you don't want to hold their
- 00:46:04currency um and you know something
- 00:46:07they're kind of somewhat hostile to you
- 00:46:09want to hold that so I mean Bhutan is
- 00:46:12different they're recycling
- 00:46:13electricity I mean we know Iran has it
- 00:46:16I'm sure the Saudis have mined it um you
- 00:46:19know I've spoken to Abu Dhabi about
- 00:46:21using the gas flare offs to do
- 00:46:24it um so I think there'll be experiment
- 00:46:27mentation but I don't think there's
- 00:46:29going to be Sovereign Sovereign Nation
- 00:46:31State hoarding and don't forget the US
- 00:46:34knows how to analyze blockchain down to
- 00:46:36every single small detail so you you
- 00:46:39can't evade them the only real way of
- 00:46:41doing it is what I think tasek did which
- 00:46:44is I think they had investments in
- 00:46:46Bitcoin miners to get virgin Bitcoin so
- 00:46:50therefore it's the only untraceable way
- 00:46:52of doing it do do you think just with
- 00:46:56you know how oil has been going a lot of
- 00:46:58different Commodities even this cycle
- 00:46:59particularly the energy sector as well
- 00:47:02do you not think a lot of these Gulf
- 00:47:03States will just jump at something like
- 00:47:06Bitcoin like as a way to diversify I was
- 00:47:08looking I was reading a lot of pieces
- 00:47:09about how the Saudis are under pressure
- 00:47:11of their budget at the moment they're
- 00:47:13all pegged to the dollar I mean
- 00:47:16they you know they have to be very
- 00:47:18careful in how they do things there are
- 00:47:20some things deemed to be acceptable and
- 00:47:22things to be deemed to be unacceptable
- 00:47:24they will do it but in the background
- 00:47:27but I don't think we're going to wake up
- 00:47:28it's like Saudi buying you know10
- 00:47:30billion dollar a day for the next 50
- 00:47:32years it's just I just don't think
- 00:47:35that's going to happen I think that's
- 00:47:36more opium but of course there'll be
- 00:47:39more participation and it will come
- 00:47:42from I mean I spoke to the head of the
- 00:47:45Australian Sovereign wealth fund and he
- 00:47:49was like sat in his office and he's like
- 00:47:52listen I am never going to put crypto on
- 00:47:55my balance sheet
- 00:47:57he said ' I'll do VC and stuff like that
- 00:47:59I said why not he goes I am not going to
- 00:48:02a G7 meeting or whatever it is a world
- 00:48:05bank and doing this I can't I just can't
- 00:48:08and that was a big you know clear thing
- 00:48:10it's like it's a it's a no
- 00:48:14no yeah I just agree with you you so you
- 00:48:17think that the the golf stations won't
- 00:48:19even be allowed to like just they have
- 00:48:21to buy dollars and they're not going to
- 00:48:22be allowed to to maybe diversify they to
- 00:48:25do it somewhat in their Sovereign wealth
- 00:48:28in some
- 00:48:29respects but it's kind of hidden pushed
- 00:48:32to the periphery you know don't forget
- 00:48:33the Saudis are not big in this yet
- 00:48:35they've still yet to be convinced the
- 00:48:37regulation's not super clear uh yes you
- 00:48:40know potentially uh
- 00:48:43Bahrain Qatar some of those other states
- 00:48:48might do something but again below the
- 00:48:50radar screen I don't think there's going
- 00:48:52to be any Public Announcement much like
- 00:48:54Bhutan managed to do this without
- 00:48:55anybody knowing this has been going on
- 00:48:56for several years yeah I just feel there
- 00:49:00could be a rush to diversify now if oil
- 00:49:02continues to head south um and
- 00:49:06particularly if or you know if the the
- 00:49:08giant Shale oil fields kind of come back
- 00:49:11online or even grow in the US like I do
- 00:49:14think that there's going to be more and
- 00:49:15more questions about how a lot of these
- 00:49:16Gulf States are going to um treat crypto
- 00:49:19or maybe look to it to diversify their
- 00:49:22their current Holdings should we get to
- 00:49:24the question so yeah we have about eight
- 00:49:26minutes left so um let's move on to
- 00:49:28questions before we do that um just a
- 00:49:31quick one for you guys we want to
- 00:49:32showcase some more Pro crypto content on
- 00:49:34real Vision earlier this week the
- 00:49:36community came together for the monthly
- 00:49:38Discord Distillery this is the show
- 00:49:40where the r real Vision Pro crypto
- 00:49:42members share the best Alpha from their
- 00:49:44Discord so you can check that out on the
- 00:49:45realvision website that's realvision
- 00:49:47decom and don't forget there's a Code
- 00:49:49you can use right now to bag yourself a
- 00:49:51membership at a discount that is bday1
- 00:49:54uh the code to use but yeah now on to
- 00:49:56the question questions um we'll kick it
- 00:49:58off from Jason on the real Vision
- 00:50:00website which is his question is
- 00:50:02thoughts on true flation and true
- 00:50:04inflation's token how do you categorize
- 00:50:06alts that are
- 00:50:07databased it's an interesting question
- 00:50:11actually I I've got some in my wallet
- 00:50:13because they gave them some to me but
- 00:50:14it's like a grand or something um I
- 00:50:21don't I get the point of utility tokens
- 00:50:24but I'm not sure how much value they
- 00:50:25acrew without Mass use
- 00:50:27case
- 00:50:29um so maybe over time if they can build
- 00:50:32out a much larger Suite if they can take
- 00:50:34on standard and pause or whoever it is
- 00:50:36for all of the data then it's it's a
- 00:50:39valuable Network to own um not sure yet
- 00:50:42I think just follow the journey and see
- 00:50:45it's not the uh prettiest chart I've
- 00:50:47I've ever seen as as I pulled it up
- 00:50:51um but to be honest with you I'm not
- 00:50:53super familiar with uh with as a token
- 00:50:57I don't know if you had any thoughts on
- 00:50:58that one Mando no I haven't I haven't
- 00:51:00really looked into it so yeah not not
- 00:51:02one for me um all right next question
- 00:51:05from Elia on the real Vision website um
- 00:51:07thoughts on deep in and how it factors
- 00:51:09into the cycle any specific projects the
- 00:51:12guys are looking into with regard to
- 00:51:14deep
- 00:51:15in yeah I think I think this is one that
- 00:51:18I picked up on just from the commentary
- 00:51:19from token 2049 like Singapore is
- 00:51:21integrating a few of these s deepin apps
- 00:51:24already the big big app so far this
- 00:51:28cycle um has been the mobile provider um
- 00:51:30helium in the in the US which I think is
- 00:51:33is growing pretty rapidly I think it's
- 00:51:35in hundreds of thousands of of um
- 00:51:38subscribers at the moment to their
- 00:51:40mobile plan and they are looking to to
- 00:51:42grow that pretty
- 00:51:43aggressively and if that works then I do
- 00:51:47think you'll see copy cap sort of
- 00:51:49projects happen in a lot of different
- 00:51:50countries um and the idea is you you
- 00:51:54basically run a small let's say Network
- 00:51:58at your house which is able to boost the
- 00:52:015G um capabilities of the network and
- 00:52:04you get paid in the in a native token
- 00:52:06for doing that and that means you have
- 00:52:08network coverage kind of across the us
- 00:52:11at the moment and they are very good
- 00:52:12network coverage across the US and
- 00:52:15seemingly they're looking to to to do
- 00:52:17this potentially in M multiple other
- 00:52:18different countries but I think a lot of
- 00:52:20other countries will move before that so
- 00:52:22I think mobile networks is a very
- 00:52:24interesting one particularly on the back
- 00:52:26what's going on there so that's the main
- 00:52:28winner I would say in the deep in SE of
- 00:52:30this cycle there's been some other ones
- 00:52:32which kind of merge Ai and data storage
- 00:52:36stuff but that that's the one I think
- 00:52:37it's been the stand out also the I think
- 00:52:39it's on salana they're experimenting
- 00:52:41with a uber version which people have
- 00:52:43talked about for a long time is perfect
- 00:52:45for deepin feels right somebody tried it
- 00:52:47in India didn't take off um people have
- 00:52:50tried it but there's a new one starting
- 00:52:52that could be
- 00:52:54interesting next question um does the
- 00:52:57inverted yield curve turning normal
- 00:52:59cause any concern so much talk about how
- 00:53:01it is a recession
- 00:53:04indicator I think it's just a Big R red
- 00:53:06herring um I'm just you know it's just
- 00:53:10the macro doomsters looking for another
- 00:53:12reason why the markets are going to
- 00:53:13collapse and everything's going to go to
- 00:53:15hell and inflation's going to come
- 00:53:17roaring back and this is just one of
- 00:53:19those things we've had signals in the
- 00:53:21past where it didn't work we've got
- 00:53:22distortions in the yield curve because
- 00:53:24of how the fedish ring notes stuff at
- 00:53:26the short end um I think
- 00:53:29ignore I agree I think something I see a
- 00:53:32lot is people talking about oh
- 00:53:34historically rate cuts a sign of a
- 00:53:37recession and you know point where
- 00:53:38markets turn I just don't think you can
- 00:53:41take one factor which is rate cuts and
- 00:53:44extrapolate it to every single situation
- 00:53:46and did LA you know last time that
- 00:53:49happened did you have this crazy AI
- 00:53:51bubble and AI boom no like last time
- 00:53:53that happened did you have rates go
- 00:53:56to the highest levels they've they've
- 00:53:57been in the last four decades at the
- 00:54:00same time as stocks hitting consistently
- 00:54:02hitting new alltime highs that's never
- 00:54:04happened before right so we're in a new
- 00:54:06paradigm because of AI and because of
- 00:54:08tech stocks and you can't just compare
- 00:54:11this current market situation to
- 00:54:12previous times when we've had rate Cuts
- 00:54:15in my opinion um so you have to to
- 00:54:17consider everything every single factor
- 00:54:18and not just one of them um next
- 00:54:22question from John on the real verion
- 00:54:23website the market feels like this is
- 00:54:25retail crypto people buying back in and
- 00:54:27front running as best as they can are
- 00:54:30there any indicators of bigger money
- 00:54:31flows into crypto I'm not seeing any I
- 00:54:35mean everybody I speak to is saying
- 00:54:37they're not raising Capital right now
- 00:54:39everyone's kind of in that wait and see
- 00:54:41mode and people are a bit disheartened
- 00:54:44not disenchanted but disheartened and I
- 00:54:48think the the Raa networks the family
- 00:54:51offices and some of the institutions
- 00:54:53they're really more likely to fomo in at
- 00:54:56north of 880,000 Bitcoin and right now
- 00:54:59it's rotation it's bit of money went on
- 00:55:03the sidelines goes back in I don't see
- 00:55:05anything more I don't know are you guys
- 00:55:06seeing anything
- 00:55:08else the whole cycle yeah I I don't I
- 00:55:10don't I don't really feel like we've had
- 00:55:11a huge influx of new people coming into
- 00:55:14crypto this cycle we'd had a little bit
- 00:55:15of a of an influx I think at the start
- 00:55:18of the year and then slowly died down um
- 00:55:21that being said I do think the the ETF
- 00:55:23is also taking a few of those Maybe on
- 00:55:26chain holders I think Bitcoin holders is
- 00:55:28at least um deposit addresses is like a
- 00:55:305year low at the moment but I think a
- 00:55:32lot of that is moving uh to the ETF I
- 00:55:34think if for St people to start fomo
- 00:55:37foming and you start to hear those of
- 00:55:38stories which bring people in you need
- 00:55:40Bitcoin at an alltime high again so I
- 00:55:42does feel as though people are probably
- 00:55:43just buying back in with spare cash they
- 00:55:45have or anything that they've sold um
- 00:55:48rather than than like new wallets coming
- 00:55:50in but that doesn't necessarily mean
- 00:55:51they won't come in later like that's
- 00:55:52what 2 at xam we've got a big list of
- 00:55:56people who came in for inquiries around
- 00:55:59March April and then the market traded
- 00:56:02sideways and they're like all aring and
- 00:56:04ouring and oh yeah I'll do my paperwork
- 00:56:07later and my guess is the conversion
- 00:56:09rate of those guys will be very high
- 00:56:12once we're hitting alltime highs yeah
- 00:56:14just a natural inclination FTX is also
- 00:56:17the other big one 16 billion is not a
- 00:56:19small amount going back but wasn't most
- 00:56:22of that kind of pre-sold in advance via
- 00:56:25Galaxy and panta and that's been
- 00:56:28depressing Soul somewhat because some of
- 00:56:30those unlocks have been coming out um
- 00:56:32because other people saying well it's
- 00:56:33maybe two billion or three billion of of
- 00:56:36actual money that's coming back in I
- 00:56:39don't know
- 00:56:41this the potential impacts would be but
- 00:56:43I think there's two things right there's
- 00:56:45like the FCX FTX estate sales which have
- 00:56:49been in the market for a while and then
- 00:56:50there's also the impact of um money
- 00:56:54being distributed back to depositors
- 00:56:56some of which been also sold you know I
- 00:56:58think I heard people sold claims as low
- 00:57:00as 10 cents and obviously recover is
- 00:57:02north of par there but I think that
- 00:57:04secondary impact of those of that money
- 00:57:07being returned to depositors should be
- 00:57:09bullish assuming that not everyone has
- 00:57:11sold their to their
- 00:57:14claims um yeah I think there's two parts
- 00:57:16to it yeah but yeah that's uh that's the
- 00:57:19last question that brings us to time so
- 00:57:22thanks everyone again for tuning in
- 00:57:24thanks Ral for for turning up I think um
- 00:57:27we managed to Not Crash the market today
- 00:57:29um maybe that's the r he's turned up
- 00:57:32we'll see you again at alltime highs Ral
- 00:57:34like we'll be here exactly I only come
- 00:57:36for the glory my friends I don't I don't
- 00:57:39dirty my hands with anything
- 00:57:41else um but thanks everyone for tuning
- 00:57:43in that was re Vision make sure you're
- 00:57:45following us on X remember to check out
- 00:57:46realvision
- 00:57:47docomo and use the code bday1 to get a
- 00:57:51discount on memberships um we will not
- 00:57:53have a show next week but Mando and I
- 00:57:55will be joining the 10th birthday
- 00:57:57celebrations on real Vision um so go to
- 00:58:00the website to watch that next Friday
- 00:58:02that will be at 12:00 p.m. EAS time uh
- 00:58:05or 5:00 pm British summertime and thanks
- 00:58:07everyone for tuning in have a great
- 00:58:08weekend great to see you all take care
- 00:58:10out there
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