00:00:00
whether you're 20 years from retirement
00:00:03
20 months or even just 20 days from
00:00:06
retirement one of the most important
00:00:08
decisions all of us have to make is how
00:00:10
much do we want to spend in retirement
00:00:13
if you're about to enter retirement
00:00:15
obviously this is critically important
00:00:17
but even if you're 20 years away it's
00:00:20
going to impact your goals and how much
00:00:23
that you're trying to save along the
00:00:25
path so in today's video I'm going to
00:00:27
share how should we think about how much
00:00:30
we want to spend in retirement because
00:00:33
candidly there's as many withdrawal
00:00:35
strategies strategies that talk about
00:00:38
how much we can spend in retirement
00:00:40
there's as many of those strategies as I
00:00:43
have cousins and I grew out up outside
00:00:46
of Cleveland Ohio in an ethnic community
00:00:49
and I have a lot a lot of cousins so so
00:00:52
let's jump in and and why is it
00:00:54
important first we don't want to
00:00:57
underspend when we're in retirement and
00:01:00
frankly I think this is a bigger risk
00:01:02
than what many people think in my
00:01:04
experience as a financial adviser for
00:01:06
over 20 years probably 80% of my clients
00:01:11
left to their own would have underspent
00:01:15
they would have worked hard and saved
00:01:18
and sacrificed and not gotten to enjoy
00:01:21
that so I don't want you to underspend
00:01:24
and sacrifice
00:01:25
unnecessarily I also don't want you to
00:01:28
overspend
00:01:30
and put your financial future at risk so
00:01:32
so finding that happy ground is really
00:01:35
important and then finally the third one
00:01:38
is as big as our national debt is I
00:01:41
don't want you to have to pay more in
00:01:43
taxes than you need to and that's why
00:01:46
these strategies are important so let's
00:01:48
jump in let's talk about some of the
00:01:50
more common withdrawal strategies and
00:01:53
then talk about I'm going to share with
00:01:55
you some of my favorite and why they're
00:01:58
favorites and when they might make sense
00:02:00
and when they might not make sense so so
00:02:03
let's jump in some of the common
00:02:05
strategies are what I call a smile
00:02:07
strategy which talks about it's called a
00:02:10
smile because you start off spending
00:02:12
more then in you know as when we first
00:02:15
retire we're excited about retirement we
00:02:18
have all these things we want to do we
00:02:20
spend more money then we've kind of been
00:02:22
there done that and it kind of goes down
00:02:24
and then at end of life none of us know
00:02:27
what kind of health care costs that
00:02:28
we're going to have to have
00:02:30
unfortunately so that's why it's called
00:02:32
the smile the next one is super famous
00:02:35
the next withdrawal strategy it's called
00:02:37
the 4% row and it was made famous by
00:02:40
William bengan who was really looking
00:02:43
for what's the most that you can take
00:02:46
out of your account without ever having
00:02:49
to worry about running out of money
00:02:51
because of a a stock market collapse so
00:02:55
he looked at historical data and found
00:02:57
that if people took 4 perent out even if
00:03:01
the worst situation happened they'd
00:03:03
probably be okay the challenge with that
00:03:06
is you probably I don't want to plan for
00:03:09
the absolute worst situation so many
00:03:13
times that's overly conservative and
00:03:15
again people end up un not spending they
00:03:18
end up sacrificing in hindsight
00:03:21
unnecessarily they could have spent more
00:03:24
money okay the next one which frankly is
00:03:27
probably the most common withdrawal is
00:03:29
just withdrawing a fixed amount you look
00:03:32
at you look at your account you look at
00:03:34
your life and you say okay I have this
00:03:36
amount of money I think I can spend this
00:03:39
amount of money each year and not run
00:03:41
out of money and often times that's just
00:03:44
kind of a guesstimate I don't want you
00:03:46
to guess I want you to have
00:03:48
knowledge um but the challenge with this
00:03:51
is you know you can look at those
00:03:52
numbers initially and say okay let me
00:03:55
just toss out a number we're going to
00:03:56
spend $60,000 a year $5,000
00:04:00
a month and and often times people will
00:04:03
not revisit that and that could put you
00:04:06
in a higher
00:04:08
withdrawal area a higher percentage of
00:04:11
withdrawal than what would make sense
00:04:13
for you it could put you at risk
00:04:15
unfortunately of maybe running out of
00:04:18
money later in life when when you're
00:04:21
least when you're the most vulnerable
00:04:23
and you're least able to accept a risk
00:04:26
like that so fixed income amount can the
00:04:30
appeal is it's simple but the risk is
00:04:33
maybe it's too simple okay the next
00:04:35
strategy is a bucket strategy a bucket
00:04:38
strategy would say you've got some money
00:04:40
set aside that you're going to spend
00:04:42
maybe for the the next three years so
00:04:45
that money you don't take any Market
00:04:47
risk in it you've got other money that's
00:04:49
going to be three to let I'm just making
00:04:51
up things three to seven years of money
00:04:54
and there you can have a mix of stocks
00:04:56
and bonds and then you have that third
00:04:58
bucket which is is designed for
00:05:02
long-term growth because in theory you
00:05:04
won't need to touch that money for seven
00:05:06
years um that can be a good strategy
00:05:10
I've seen people with 8 nine 10 12
00:05:14
different buckets that can get really
00:05:16
complicated really quickly um I there
00:05:19
are some YouTubers uh that I have
00:05:21
respect for that personally use the
00:05:24
bucket strategy and are using it well
00:05:27
but it it tends to be on the more
00:05:30
simplistic side which is part of its
00:05:32
power but it can also have you spending
00:05:36
less than you otherwise could have okay
00:05:39
the next one is an endowment strategy
00:05:42
kind of like what the big universities
00:05:44
use the wealthy University Yale Harvard
00:05:48
Stanford universities like that they
00:05:50
have hundreds of millions of dollars in
00:05:53
their endowment and they take out a
00:05:55
certain percent every year to support
00:05:57
their operational goals you know and
00:06:01
that can be great but but two things
00:06:03
with with the endowment strategy one is
00:06:07
when we retire for most of us we no
00:06:09
longer have new money coming in the
00:06:12
endowments at universities constantly
00:06:15
have new alums going out there starting
00:06:17
companies some of them having big
00:06:19
successes and donating back so they
00:06:22
still have money coming in and frankly
00:06:25
as a as endowments with hundreds of
00:06:29
Millions of dollars they have access to
00:06:32
in quality investment tools that you and
00:06:35
I might not have access to and some of
00:06:38
those are tools that if you can get in
00:06:41
the top 10% of the providers of those
00:06:44
tools they might make sense but the
00:06:47
other 90% of the providers of those
00:06:49
tools they might not make sense right
00:06:52
things like private Equity or Venture
00:06:55
Capital where the top managers the top
00:06:57
10% of managers are the ones delivering
00:07:01
all the returns for for that asset class
00:07:03
for that category and then other people
00:07:06
launch uh look alike funds in the same
00:07:10
space but may or may not have those top
00:07:12
tier
00:07:14
results okay and and then my favorite I
00:07:17
say tongue and cheek remember the the
00:07:20
smile where we start off spending a lot
00:07:22
we we flatten out and then unfortunately
00:07:25
we may have to spend more later the
00:07:27
opposite of that is what I call the
00:07:29
frown strategy which is where you you're
00:07:33
as Frugal as possible each and every day
00:07:36
of your retirement and frankly I see way
00:07:38
too much of that right the frown
00:07:42
strategy for people not working with
00:07:45
advisors yeah I think I think half half
00:07:49
think of your friends that might be
00:07:50
retired think of um a relative that
00:07:53
might be retired and you know they're
00:07:55
they're always going out for the the
00:07:57
early bird special and there's nothing
00:07:59
wrong with that literally just last
00:08:01
night I did that um but if you're always
00:08:04
being as Frugal as possible you're
00:08:07
probably stealing Joy your from yourself
00:08:09
and your spouse if you're married you're
00:08:11
probably sacrificing
00:08:14
unnecessarily so I don't want you to be
00:08:16
too exuberant but I certainly don't want
00:08:19
you to have the frown and then I want to
00:08:21
share with you a newer strategy that has
00:08:24
come out really and has gained in
00:08:27
popularity in the advisory Community
00:08:30
which is now has a name I think a lot of
00:08:33
financial advisers including uh The Firm
00:08:36
I was at we did this which it now has a
00:08:39
name it's it's let me make sure I get it
00:08:41
it right risk based guard rails where
00:08:44
you look at how much you're spending but
00:08:47
you can adjust it every year you know if
00:08:49
the market does something you know Black
00:08:51
Swan event the start of Co was a black
00:08:54
span event the great financial crisis
00:08:56
top to bottom the uh standarded in pores
00:09:00
S&P 500 was down 60%
00:09:05
60% top to bottom that's a black a bad
00:09:09
Black Swan event likewise uh the last
00:09:12
two years as I record this has been a
00:09:14
positive kind of Black Swan event the
00:09:17
market is up
00:09:18
60% over the last two years as I record
00:09:22
this so we're at an all-time high so
00:09:25
these are the strategies those
00:09:27
risk-based guard rails are now a name to
00:09:30
what many financial advisers are have
00:09:33
been doing with their clients which is
00:09:35
using these rules but but also using the
00:09:38
wisdom that comes with working with
00:09:41
their clients for for decades helping
00:09:44
hundreds of people transition into
00:09:46
retirement it's about making good
00:09:49
decisions and not only is it a good
00:09:52
decision with how much money you spend
00:09:54
but when you retire and that's why I
00:09:56
made this video up here why waiting the
00:09:59
65 to retire might be a big mistake