ICT Forex - Understanding The ICT Judas Swing

00:14:07
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xJMbva8SjzE

Sintesi

TLDRThe video covers the ICT Judas Swing, explaining its significance in trading and how it manifests during the London session. It delves into the concept of price swings as they relate to stop runs and false breakouts, particularly during the midnight to 5:00 a.m. New York timeframe. The presenter discusses methods for identifying bullish and bearish scenarios, backed by chart examples of the Euro Dollar and Dollar Cad. Key strategies include analyzing prior price action and understanding the implications of price movements. The teaching emphasizes the fractal nature of these swings across different time frames, encouraging traders to carefully observe market conditions and patterns before entering trades.

Punti di forza

  • 🕒 Understand the ICT Judas Swing timing: midnight to 5:00 am New York.
  • 📊 Identify bullish and bearish scenarios through higher time frame analysis.
  • 🔍 Look for patterns of stop runs and traps in price action.
  • 🔄 Bullish Judas Swing: Pop above the Asian range, then drop below the opening.
  • 📉 Bearish Judas Swing: Drop below the Asian range, then rise above the opening.
  • 📈 Historical data: Backtest to understand Judas Swing occurrences.
  • 🧠 Follow a disciplined approach; not every day will show a clear Judas Swing pattern.
  • 🔗 Explore further resources at Inner Circle Trader.
  • ⏳ Only trade in high probability conditions for success.
  • 💡 Document your trades for continuous learning.

Linea temporale

  • 00:00:00 - 00:05:00

    The ICT Judas Swing involves understanding price movements that set the London session's high or low, typically characterized by a run on stops or a return to a key price level. This concept is grounded in higher timeframe analysis, which is crucial for anticipating the formation of the ICT Judas Swing. The model emphasizes that between midnight and 5:00 AM New York time, a significant price action is expected, forming the daily high or low, which often misleads traders into making incorrect decisions, preying on their expectations of market direction.

  • 00:05:00 - 00:14:07

    The ICT Judas Swing is implemented in both bullish and bearish scenarios. For bullish conditions, traders observe a consolidation during the Asian range, followed by a manipulation that takes prices below the opening price and the Asian range low, only to form the day's low which then leads to a bullish setup. In contrast, the bearish scenario involves prices initially dropping below the Asian range, tripping traders into a false sense of security before rallying back above the opening price and the range high, trapping buyers on the wrong side. This methodology highlights the recurring patterns in price action that signify potential trade setups.

Mappa mentale

Video Domande e Risposte

  • What is the ICT Judas Swing?

    The ICT Judas Swing is a price movement that often occurs around the London session high or low, involving a false breakout that leads traders to make incorrect decisions.

  • What time frame should I focus on for the ICT Judas Swing?

    Focus on the period between midnight and 5:00 a.m. New York time for spotting the ICT Judas Swing.

  • How do I identify a bullish Judas Swing?

    A bullish Judas Swing involves price breaking above the Asian range high, then dropping below the opening price before rising again.

  • What characterizes a bearish Judas Swing?

    A bearish Judas Swing includes price dropping below the Asian range low, rising above the opening price, then moving back down.

  • Why is higher time frame analysis important?

    Higher time frame analysis helps determine the overall market direction, informing whether to anticipate bullish or bearish Judas Swings.

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Scorrimento automatico:
  • 00:00:09
    hey folks welcome back this teaching is
  • 00:00:12
    going to be understanding the ICT due to
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    swing
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    you
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    okay the ICT jutsu swing what ICT
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    concepts are going to be used in this
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    module I'm going to be introducing the
  • 00:00:29
    ICT jutsu swing I'm going to be defining
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    what the ICT due to swing actually is
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    I'm going to show you its utilization in
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    bullish conditions and utilization and
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    bearish conditions
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    okay introducing the ICT Judas swing
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    alright so the price swing that sets the
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    London session high or low is many times
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    an energetic price link now it's going
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    to many times be a run on stops or could
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    be returning to a key price level either
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    one can be the basis for this quick
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    spike in price having a higher time
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    frame understanding and implementing the
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    higher time frame analysis to determine
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    what direction the ICT jutsu swing will
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    form if you look at the chart to the
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    right here I've basically added more
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    dimension and detail to a earlier chart
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    in the series of teachings here I've
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    added a couple different reference
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    points that will help solidify the
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    understanding that creates the daily
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    high and low the open the high low and
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    close on a daily candle I've started
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    your journey in my ICT concepts with the
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    lowest timeframe possible which is this
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    small little segment of price action
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    from an intraday perspective because if
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    you can understand that and as we draw
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    out farther into higher time frame
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    analysis you'll see that these ideas are
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    actually fractal and they form on all
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    time frames because it's defined the ICT
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    jutsu swing first and foremost you start
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    hunting the Judas swing at midnight New
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    York time okay so this is a New York
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    opening price and it ends at 5:00 a.m.
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    New York time and that's basically the
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    entire five hour window that would be
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    utilized for anticipating this price
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    move now I'm not suggesting to everyone
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    sit up all night long waiting for this
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    Judas swing to appear there's some
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    things that you would look for obviously
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    but I can't cover everything in one
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    teaching so I'm giving it to you in
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    small little pieces but for the most
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    part between midnight New York time at
  • 00:02:47
    5:00 a.m. New York time there's going to
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    be a high or low form for the daily
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    range now we understand that typically
  • 00:02:53
    is on the basis of London high Orlin and
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    low forming now the Judas swing is a
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    false rung that trips
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    traders that lack the understanding of
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    true direction of the day and this is
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    going to come by way of higher time
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    frame analysis and implementing that in
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    the intraday price action here we have
  • 00:03:12
    an example of a Judas swing and I'm
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    going to now teach you the
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    implementation of it in in bullish
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    condition okay
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    so here we have the euro dollar chart
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    and I want you to take notice that we
  • 00:03:25
    have the Asian range applied we also
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    have the midnight delineation in New
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    York I've also highlighted the opening
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    price at midnight so this is the New
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    York opening price so whenever you hear
  • 00:03:39
    me refer to New York open price
  • 00:03:41
    it's that price okay whatever the
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    opening price is exactly at midnight New
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    York time I draw that out to around 11
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    o'clock in the morning and obviously we
  • 00:03:53
    see the Asian range hi Asian range low
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    the premise is we would have to already
  • 00:03:58
    arrive at an analysis that lends well to
  • 00:04:01
    bullish prices for euro dollar for this
  • 00:04:04
    particular day if we have that
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    assumption and we stick to our guns if
  • 00:04:10
    you will about only taking a trade based
  • 00:04:13
    on what I'm going to suggest to you here
  • 00:04:15
    in your demo can I think you're gonna
  • 00:04:17
    see there is a repeating phenomenon
  • 00:04:19
    inconsistency if you apply it it will
  • 00:04:22
    not give you a trade every single day to
  • 00:04:23
    practice with it will give you a set up
  • 00:04:26
    a few times a week if you look at the
  • 00:04:28
    majors that are coupled with a dollar
  • 00:04:30
    euro dollar Cable Aussie dollar dollar
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    yen there's four markets if you just
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    watch those it'll give you a wide array
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    of potential scenarios where this type
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    of thing forms now what is did you two
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    swing here and how is it implemented on
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    a bullish scenario we're looking for an
  • 00:04:50
    Asian range that is in a tight
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    consolidation we look for initial run-up
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    the trip traders in so buy stops are hid
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    traders arnelle long want a breakout we
  • 00:05:03
    wait for the market to trade down below
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    the asian range low to take the stops
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    anticipate some measure of a sweep 10 20
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    pips or so but this move below the
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    opening price that
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    this is actually the ICT Judas swing now
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    this is a bullish Judas swing and it
  • 00:05:20
    creates the low of the day inside the
  • 00:05:21
    London session the London low - ends up
  • 00:05:25
    becoming the low of the actual day so
  • 00:05:28
    what we look for is obviously a higher
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    time frame premise that we are
  • 00:05:32
    anticipating bullishness or a higher
  • 00:05:35
    close on the day and we wait we wait for
  • 00:05:38
    a scenario where the Asian range is
  • 00:05:40
    tripped by running the stops above the
  • 00:05:44
    Asian range high ok this is the first
  • 00:05:46
    level of manipulation and then we
  • 00:05:49
    anticipate a move below the opening
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    price preferably we want to see a trade
  • 00:05:53
    below the asian range low if you were to
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    trade just below that asian range low as
  • 00:05:57
    an entry and use a respectable amount of
  • 00:05:59
    pips in terms of a stop it might get you
  • 00:06:02
    into a pretty good trade below below
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    this asian range low to a certain degree
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    of support and old Hika trade to you
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    classic support resistance ideas would
  • 00:06:16
    lend well here as well but long and
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    short we want to see a measure of move
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    below the opening price see the actual
  • 00:06:23
    drop below the opening price is a ICT
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    due to swing when the markets bullish
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    otherwise just any little little
  • 00:06:29
    movement below it like this one here
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    this would not start a nice et Judas
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    swing the Judas swing is first it leads
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    traders in on the wrong side and then it
  • 00:06:40
    tears lower going below the asian range
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    low and this whole move little opening
  • 00:06:45
    price that's exactly the ICT Judas swing
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    my initial teaching him when I was
  • 00:06:50
    teaching on baby pips when I was doing
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    videos for that community it was right
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    away snatched up by a lot of traders and
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    said well this is the do to swing or
  • 00:07:01
    that's a Judas swing and I didn't give
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    you the details that I'm giving you here
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    ok so there's a specific element that
  • 00:07:08
    has to be there otherwise it's not a
  • 00:07:11
    Judas swing ok and why did I name it a
  • 00:07:13
    Judas swing I try to teach my children
  • 00:07:16
    these concepts and I come up with little
  • 00:07:18
    interesting titles for certain things
  • 00:07:20
    like order blocks and new jutsu swings
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    and things like that and it just helps
  • 00:07:25
    me create a language for them to learn
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    and
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    it's a phenomenon that makes sense
  • 00:07:30
    because you know sheep herders they
  • 00:07:33
    would use a Judas goat and the Judas
  • 00:07:35
    goat would lead the sheep into the
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    slaughterhouse but the Judas goat would
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    turn away right before going into the
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    slaughterhouse while the Sheep just kept
  • 00:07:43
    on going on and obviously you know the
  • 00:07:46
    outcome you get lamb chops so that same
  • 00:07:49
    premise is seen in price action where
  • 00:07:52
    the they introduce false breakout here
  • 00:07:55
    but then the Judas goat leads price
  • 00:07:58
    action lower and traders that see this
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    they want to go short they sell sell
  • 00:08:03
    sell sell sell and that's actually the
  • 00:08:06
    wrong thing to be doing the actual
  • 00:08:09
    prices going the other way after it goes
  • 00:08:11
    below the opening price so what we're
  • 00:08:13
    looking for is the element of a bullish
  • 00:08:16
    Judas swing is a pop above the Asian
  • 00:08:19
    range high then a drop below the opening
  • 00:08:22
    price at midnight and then below the
  • 00:08:24
    asian range low when that occurs that's
  • 00:08:26
    the actual Judas swing that's a bullish
  • 00:08:31
    now this is what it looks like without
  • 00:08:33
    any of those elements on the price
  • 00:08:35
    action you can see probably doesn't give
  • 00:08:38
    that much detail to you but again we add
  • 00:08:40
    it back let that burn in you can see it
  • 00:08:43
    gives a whole lot more clarity as to why
  • 00:08:45
    price is doing what it's doing okay now
  • 00:08:53
    we're going to define the ICT due to
  • 00:08:55
    swing for a bearish scenario okay so
  • 00:09:01
    we're looking at the dollar cad here
  • 00:09:03
    very similar to what we just mentioned
  • 00:09:05
    on the previous pair you're a dollar now
  • 00:09:08
    we're looking at the dollar cad with
  • 00:09:09
    very similar idea the idea going into
  • 00:09:13
    this day was higher timeframe
  • 00:09:15
    bearishness so we anticipate a lower
  • 00:09:16
    closed based on what we anticipate from
  • 00:09:19
    either a higher time frame daily or
  • 00:09:20
    weekly but for this example again the
  • 00:09:22
    asian range small tight consolidation we
  • 00:09:25
    want to see it drop down trip traders in
  • 00:09:28
    right away then run on the other side of
  • 00:09:31
    the asian range high that movement above
  • 00:09:33
    the opening price above the asian range
  • 00:09:36
    high that is the Judas swing this is the
  • 00:09:38
    false or trap move that I use the
  • 00:09:42
    in London setups now that's not the only
  • 00:09:44
    setup but that's one characteristic of
  • 00:09:46
    the setups that I use now right away
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    some of you're gonna say well you're
  • 00:09:50
    holding things back Michael that's not
  • 00:09:52
    fair well that's why I have a mentorship
  • 00:09:53
    I don't know anything back there but
  • 00:09:56
    I've given you enough here that if you
  • 00:09:58
    look through your price charts okay even
  • 00:10:01
    if you are not trading them live with
  • 00:10:02
    your demo account look for these things
  • 00:10:05
    in hindsight because by printing them
  • 00:10:07
    out and creating a study log of what
  • 00:10:10
    these individual days look like it will
  • 00:10:13
    build a historical reference in your
  • 00:10:17
    memory and even though you weren't
  • 00:10:19
    actually in these moves if you are able
  • 00:10:22
    to watch price action live you'll start
  • 00:10:25
    to see when it should be happening again
  • 00:10:27
    the number one premise going into this
  • 00:10:29
    when it's bearish we want to anticipate
  • 00:10:31
    lower prices momentum lower so that way
  • 00:10:35
    we'll be looking for after midnight New
  • 00:10:39
    York time we want to see price initially
  • 00:10:42
    drop down below the asian range level
  • 00:10:43
    when that happens we are set to wait and
  • 00:10:46
    anticipate the run back above the asian
  • 00:10:49
    range high when it does that and goes
  • 00:10:51
    above the opening price at that moment
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    right here on this candle this becomes a
  • 00:10:55
    Judas swing because it's now leading
  • 00:10:57
    people in on the wrong side why because
  • 00:11:00
    we have already arrived at a bearish
  • 00:11:02
    tone on the marketplace so our analysis
  • 00:11:04
    is suggesting lower prices while any
  • 00:11:07
    rally intraday at this time of day
  • 00:11:09
    should be viewed as a suspect rally or a
  • 00:11:12
    fake move it's going to run up here get
  • 00:11:15
    everybody excited notice the most energy
  • 00:11:17
    is seen with it making the high of the
  • 00:11:19
    day this is slow lethargic movement
  • 00:11:22
    below that's typical that stop running
  • 00:11:25
    below the asian range low those short
  • 00:11:28
    holders that have been trading short now
  • 00:11:30
    and a breakout their stops going to be
  • 00:11:31
    rating above here 10 20 pips type of
  • 00:11:35
    scenario to unfold
  • 00:11:36
    that's how about how far to do to swing
  • 00:11:38
    you'll reach for traits the high today
  • 00:11:40
    and then quickly moves away that's a
  • 00:11:44
    telltale hallmark sign that traders have
  • 00:11:47
    now been trapped and any return back to
  • 00:11:49
    it all I'm seeing is an Asian range
  • 00:11:51
    return back to the high doesn't give
  • 00:11:54
    them an opportunity to see higher prices
  • 00:11:56
    and then quickly accelerates going lower
  • 00:11:58
    in the New York session so hopefully
  • 00:12:02
    I've given you a little bit more detail
  • 00:12:04
    and insight about what makes a nice et
  • 00:12:06
    Judas wing it really is nothing more
  • 00:12:08
    than this just watch the video a few
  • 00:12:09
    times the elements and characteristics
  • 00:12:12
    of it are very simple you want to see
  • 00:12:15
    the manipulation first when it's bearish
  • 00:12:17
    below the Asian range well then climb
  • 00:12:19
    above the opening price at midnight and
  • 00:12:21
    then go through the Asian range high
  • 00:12:22
    once it does that that's a Judas swing
  • 00:12:24
    you can demo trait that or do some back
  • 00:12:27
    testing and see how this works out many
  • 00:12:29
    times when you have a bearish tone from
  • 00:12:31
    a hard time perspective this is the type
  • 00:12:34
    of move you'll see okay and another
  • 00:12:36
    classic sign that you're right is if it
  • 00:12:38
    starts to move aggressively away from
  • 00:12:40
    that high because now it's already done
  • 00:12:43
    its work sheep are getting slaughtered
  • 00:12:45
    so hopefully you can go through the
  • 00:12:48
    charts and find many examples of this
  • 00:12:50
    very thing happening I think if you look
  • 00:12:51
    at a large sampling of data say you know
  • 00:12:55
    three or four months and pick a couple
  • 00:12:57
    pairs you'll see that this is in fact
  • 00:13:00
    what actually happens in the marketplace
  • 00:13:01
    and it's very interesting to see it live
  • 00:13:03
    i I'm never at a loss of interest when
  • 00:13:07
    it comes to watching London setups
  • 00:13:09
    because it's a repeating phenomenon it's
  • 00:13:11
    pretty classic it goes on and on in
  • 00:13:13
    terms of consistency but again try not
  • 00:13:17
    to believe that it's going to form every
  • 00:13:19
    single day because it's not going to do
  • 00:13:20
    that folks there's going to be times
  • 00:13:22
    where I set up is this really loaded in
  • 00:13:24
    your favour to see either trades lower
  • 00:13:27
    with a lower close or a higher close
  • 00:13:28
    when bullish and this is the type of
  • 00:13:31
    scenario we are looking for now here's
  • 00:13:32
    the takeaway from this if you don't see
  • 00:13:35
    this phenomenon take place it's probably
  • 00:13:38
    better for you to stay out of the market
  • 00:13:39
    place
  • 00:13:39
    because you want to be trading in the
  • 00:13:41
    most highest probable condition and in
  • 00:13:44
    my opinion if you're looking for London
  • 00:13:45
    setups this is one of the best things to
  • 00:13:48
    look for and one the hallmarks to
  • 00:13:49
    outstanding London sessions
  • 00:13:57
    hopefully you enjoyed this presentation
  • 00:13:58
    and if you'd like to find more you can
  • 00:14:00
    find additional teachings at the inner
  • 00:14:02
    circle trader com
Tag
  • ICT
  • Judas Swing
  • Trading
  • Price Action
  • Forex
  • Bullish
  • Bearish
  • London Session
  • Market Analysis
  • Higher Time Frame