Trump Takes on Russia…or Maybe It's the Other Way Around || Peter Zeihan

00:10:24
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eqdVmz8G6gQ

概要

TLDRIn the video, Peter Zion examines the existing geopolitical situation surrounding Russia and the involvement of the Trump administration. He reveals how Trump's management of intelligence agencies and defense policies has weakened U.S. responses to Russian threats, particularly regarding Ukraine and NATO. Zion criticizes the administration's alignment with Russian demands, indicating a potential for escalating conflict in Europe, and posits that Central Europe may reconsider its stance on nuclear capabilities as a countermeasure.

収穫

  • 📉 Trump's administration weakens U.S. intelligence on Russia.
  • 🔍 NATO will not admit Ukraine, according to U.S. officials.
  • 🤝 Trump's dealings favor Russian demands.
  • 🌍 Central European countries may pursue nuclear options.
  • 🚫 U.S. military involvement in Ukraine is denied.
  • ⚠️ Warning signs of potential conflict in Europe.
  • 👨‍💼 Trump marginalizes experienced staff in key positions.
  • 🔗 European nations are increasingly taking on responsibilities alone.
  • 📖 Historical parallels drawn with past negotiations and failures.
  • 🕵️‍♂️ The U.S. may lose interest in NATO's founding intentions.

タイムライン

  • 00:00:00 - 00:05:00

    Peter Zion discusses the dynamic and rapidly changing political situation involving Russia and the United States, particularly under the Trump administration. He indicates that Trump's management style has weakened the U.S. intelligence community, specifically the CIA, and defense department, further enabling Russian influence and undermining U.S. military readiness. Zion highlights Trump's controversial choices, including the appointment of Tulsi Gabard, suggesting her history of anti-American rhetoric may align with Russian interests, thereby raising concerns about U.S. national security.

  • 00:05:00 - 00:10:24

    The video critiques Trump's approach to NATO and Ukraine, revealing apparent concessions made by the U.S. government that align with Russian demands. An example given is Defense Secretary Pete Hagel's statement that NATO would not engage in Ukraine, effectively abrogating defensive commitments. Zion warns that this could lead to escalating tensions in Europe, where Central European nations may feel compelled to pursue nuclear capabilities as a deterrent in a conflict scenario, thus amplifying the potential for a disastrous war in Europe as U.S. support dwindles.

マインドマップ

ビデオQ&A

  • What is the main focus of Peter Zion's video?

    The video focuses on the recent geopolitical dynamics concerning Russia and the Trump administration's responses.

  • How has Trump's administration affected U.S. intelligence on Russia?

    Trump's administration has marginalized competent intelligence staff, impacting the U.S. government's ability to address Russian threats.

  • What are Trump's views on NATO's involvement in Ukraine?

    Trump has indicated that NATO will not admit Ukraine as a member and that U.S. forces will not be involved in Ukraine.

  • How is the European response characterized in the video?

    Zion describes the European response as insufficient and indicates that they are now facing challenges without U.S. support.

  • What implications does Trump’s approach have for Central Europe?

    Zion warns that Trump's approach may lead Central Europe to consider nuclear options in response to Russian aggression.

  • What previous administrations does Zion compare Trump to?

    Zion compares Trump's handling of Russia to Barack Obama’s administration.

  • What does Zion predict for the future of NATO?

    He suggests that the U.S. may lose interest in NATO, leading to conflict in Europe.

ビデオをもっと見る

AIを活用したYouTubeの無料動画要約に即アクセス!
字幕
en
オートスクロール:
  • 00:00:00
    hey everybody Peter Zion here um before
  • 00:00:02
    we get into today's video and really
  • 00:00:03
    this whole series keep in mind that I'm
  • 00:00:05
    talking about very very Dynamic
  • 00:00:08
    situations where somebody says something
  • 00:00:10
    then somebody else responds uh
  • 00:00:12
    specifically on today's video about
  • 00:00:13
    Russia defense secretary hagith said one
  • 00:00:16
    set of things he walked them back a few
  • 00:00:18
    hours later Trump countermanded him he
  • 00:00:21
    walked them back the other direction
  • 00:00:22
    Trump said something it's all in motion
  • 00:00:25
    so what I am presenting in the video is
  • 00:00:27
    my best understanding of where we
  • 00:00:29
    actually are as a post to all theah blah
  • 00:00:31
    blah blah blah blah blah okay now that
  • 00:00:33
    you know that here we go okay guys um I
  • 00:00:35
    need my notes for this one so I'm going
  • 00:00:38
    to try to look down as little as
  • 00:00:40
    possible so there's not too much that
  • 00:00:41
    has to be edited out but there's
  • 00:00:43
    definitely going to be some it has been
  • 00:00:45
    a remarkably good month for the Russ
  • 00:00:48
    students uh ever since Donald Trump has
  • 00:00:50
    come in he stressed America's Alliance
  • 00:00:52
    System to an extreme and over the last
  • 00:00:54
    few days we've seen a number of
  • 00:00:56
    decisions made publicly that have
  • 00:00:59
    basically been to the Russian will in
  • 00:01:00
    any number of issues um it started
  • 00:01:03
    probably in the first full week Donald
  • 00:01:05
    Trump's turn when he turned Elon Musk
  • 00:01:08
    and his Department of government
  • 00:01:09
    efficiency on the Central Intelligence
  • 00:01:11
    Agency now the agency has been the
  • 00:01:14
    primary function within the US
  • 00:01:17
    government for decades of informing the
  • 00:01:19
    American president of the threats coming
  • 00:01:20
    from Moscow in general and has actually
  • 00:01:23
    been one of the bureaus has been most
  • 00:01:25
    active en countering those threats and
  • 00:01:27
    one of the first things that musk did is
  • 00:01:29
    went after the senior staff at the
  • 00:01:31
    agency specifically the folks that are
  • 00:01:33
    involved in threat detection and
  • 00:01:35
    briefing the upper ranks of the US
  • 00:01:37
    government on possible options Donald
  • 00:01:40
    Trump has made sure that his inner
  • 00:01:42
    circle doesn't have anyone who is
  • 00:01:43
    competent in it because competent people
  • 00:01:46
    have opinions on topics because they
  • 00:01:47
    know things about topics and Donald
  • 00:01:49
    Trump doesn't like to be countered so he
  • 00:01:51
    has always had a hostile relationship
  • 00:01:53
    with the agency whose job it is to
  • 00:01:55
    inform the executive branch uh the only
  • 00:01:58
    other president that comes even close to
  • 00:02:00
    Trump's degree of dislike for the agency
  • 00:02:03
    was of course Barack Obama now of course
  • 00:02:06
    the agency isn't the only uh agency
  • 00:02:09
    within the US government that is
  • 00:02:10
    involved encountering Russian threats uh
  • 00:02:12
    the defense Department's right up there
  • 00:02:14
    uh and Trump's uh directives against
  • 00:02:16
    defense department have actually been
  • 00:02:18
    more disruptive than what they have done
  • 00:02:20
    against the
  • 00:02:21
    CIA uh specifically the Trump effort on
  • 00:02:25
    Dei diversity equity and inclusion
  • 00:02:28
    basically the woke agenda if you want to
  • 00:02:29
    call it that
  • 00:02:30
    is something that has been around in the
  • 00:02:32
    defense department before the Biden
  • 00:02:34
    Administration it was actually
  • 00:02:35
    implemented by the first Trump term as a
  • 00:02:37
    recruiting tool to get people who are
  • 00:02:39
    not simply white males uh we don't know
  • 00:02:41
    what the future of the military is going
  • 00:02:42
    to be but we know it's going to be a lot
  • 00:02:43
    more technically involved than what we
  • 00:02:45
    have now and we need to throw as wide of
  • 00:02:46
    a net as possible Trump's words uh
  • 00:02:49
    anyway uh by trying
  • 00:02:52
    to comply with the blizzard of anti- Dei
  • 00:02:56
    orders that the Trump Administration has
  • 00:02:58
    handed down since taking over the job
  • 00:03:00
    again on the 20th of January the
  • 00:03:02
    military's basically stopped recruiting
  • 00:03:04
    at anything that might be perceived as
  • 00:03:07
    favoring anyone who isn't a white dude
  • 00:03:09
    and that includes black technical
  • 00:03:11
    universities so we've seen the
  • 00:03:13
    possibilities for the Pentagon to do
  • 00:03:16
    intake for people with the skill sets
  • 00:03:18
    that we need to maintain today's forces
  • 00:03:20
    much less build tomorrow's basically go
  • 00:03:22
    to zero and uh for the Russians who have
  • 00:03:25
    always been technically behind the
  • 00:03:27
    defense department uh they're thrilled
  • 00:03:28
    with that particular come then of course
  • 00:03:31
    tying this all together requires some
  • 00:03:33
    people and some important notes and
  • 00:03:35
    Donald Trump has found a doozy in Tulsi
  • 00:03:37
    gabard now you have to believe gabard
  • 00:03:40
    falls into one of two categories uh
  • 00:03:42
    number one you have to believe the
  • 00:03:43
    Russians who have publicly been calling
  • 00:03:45
    her one of their agents for the better
  • 00:03:47
    part of the last decade something that
  • 00:03:50
    us intelligence has corroborated to many
  • 00:03:52
    more we listen or two you have to look
  • 00:03:54
    at what gabard has said when she's been
  • 00:03:57
    in or near Russia or China or Iran or
  • 00:04:00
    Syria where she has consistently built
  • 00:04:03
    up a long track record of taking
  • 00:04:05
    anti-American positions and that's
  • 00:04:07
    before you consider that dni job that
  • 00:04:09
    she's taking uh is basically a
  • 00:04:11
    management job to funnel all of the
  • 00:04:14
    intelligence that's coming in into a
  • 00:04:15
    single Source collaborate with the
  • 00:04:17
    agencies to manage their output and then
  • 00:04:19
    in for the president although she's
  • 00:04:21
    never had a management job or an
  • 00:04:23
    intelligent job so either she's a
  • 00:04:27
    traitor or anti-American Amer or
  • 00:04:30
    incompetent or some combination of the
  • 00:04:33
    three and legless to say uh the Russians
  • 00:04:35
    are over the moon at her confirmation
  • 00:04:39
    and then there's Ukraine Trump made it
  • 00:04:42
    very clear in the last week that
  • 00:04:44
    whatever negotiations are involved
  • 00:04:46
    between the United States and Russia
  • 00:04:48
    that he will handle personally and that
  • 00:04:49
    the ukrainians are not involved and the
  • 00:04:51
    Europeans are not
  • 00:04:53
    involved uh considering that the last
  • 00:04:55
    time that Putin and Trump engaged in
  • 00:04:58
    negotiations uh Trump left behind his
  • 00:05:01
    security detail his translation team his
  • 00:05:04
    intelligence team his National Security
  • 00:05:06
    team and he walked into a room where
  • 00:05:08
    Putin had all of those things with him
  • 00:05:10
    and the Russians basically pumped Donald
  • 00:05:13
    Trump for information for three hours
  • 00:05:15
    and used the information they got to
  • 00:05:16
    reshape their world over the next
  • 00:05:18
    several years which is one of the things
  • 00:05:20
    that led to the Ukraine war negotiating
  • 00:05:22
    Master yeah uh
  • 00:05:25
    anyway I don't want to prejudge the
  • 00:05:28
    outcome of negotiations at haven't yet
  • 00:05:30
    started but the other couple of things
  • 00:05:32
    that are going on in Europe right now
  • 00:05:34
    don't make me
  • 00:05:35
    particularly
  • 00:05:37
    um confident uh has to do with Pete hagu
  • 00:05:40
    who is the defense secretary he was
  • 00:05:43
    recently in Munich for the Munich
  • 00:05:45
    security conference which was all when
  • 00:05:47
    all the Europeans and the Americans get
  • 00:05:48
    together in power while about defense
  • 00:05:49
    issues and he said very clearly and
  • 00:05:52
    publicly and officially that NATO will
  • 00:05:55
    never admit Ukraine as a member and US
  • 00:05:57
    forces will never be on the ground in
  • 00:06:00
    Ukraine and this is a European not a
  • 00:06:02
    NATO
  • 00:06:03
    responsibility and in doing that he
  • 00:06:06
    basically hued to every demand that the
  • 00:06:08
    Russians have made since the beginning
  • 00:06:10
    of the war as the starting point for the
  • 00:06:13
    American position uh I have not seen
  • 00:06:17
    this degree of negotiating incompetence
  • 00:06:19
    out of the American leadership since
  • 00:06:21
    Barack Obama gave us that horrible deal
  • 00:06:25
    with Iran what was it 10 years ago and
  • 00:06:27
    from a fairly similar point of view
  • 00:06:29
    Obama just didn't want to deal with it
  • 00:06:31
    it looks like the Trump Administration
  • 00:06:32
    just doesn't want to deal with this
  • 00:06:34
    which brings us to the third and perhaps
  • 00:06:35
    the worst one uh hagith in his speech
  • 00:06:37
    made it very clear that not only would
  • 00:06:39
    US forces never be involved that NATO
  • 00:06:41
    would never be involved that the
  • 00:06:43
    Europeans were going to have to do this
  • 00:06:44
    themselves outside of NATO and if the
  • 00:06:46
    Russians attacked the European forces on
  • 00:06:48
    Ukrainian territory that NATO and the US
  • 00:06:51
    would not get involved in the subsequent
  • 00:06:54
    conflict basically abrogating Article 5
  • 00:06:57
    as far as Ukraine is concerned and to to
  • 00:06:59
    call this a sellout is to be generous
  • 00:07:03
    because the United States founded NATO
  • 00:07:07
    with the intent of guarding Western
  • 00:07:09
    Civilization from Moscow and to say that
  • 00:07:13
    now that the Russian forces are on the
  • 00:07:15
    March literally Across The Plains of
  • 00:07:16
    Europe backed up by North Koreans no
  • 00:07:18
    less that the American position on the
  • 00:07:21
    whole thing is basically
  • 00:07:25
    me that haa speech was given in Munich
  • 00:07:29
    which is is the place where the last
  • 00:07:31
    time the West caved to a dictator
  • 00:07:35
    setting the stage for a larger and much
  • 00:07:38
    more violent War than needed to happen
  • 00:07:40
    is not is not lost right and and I can
  • 00:07:44
    tell you precisely where this will lead
  • 00:07:46
    uh I've got a book here that kind of
  • 00:07:50
    dives into this about how the United
  • 00:07:52
    States is eventually going to lose
  • 00:07:53
    interest in NATO and we will have a war
  • 00:07:55
    in the plains of Europe between the
  • 00:07:56
    Russians and the central Europeans now
  • 00:08:00
    I had hoped over the course of the last
  • 00:08:02
    three years that I was wrong um but here
  • 00:08:05
    we are a couple things have changed
  • 00:08:08
    first of all the Russian military is not
  • 00:08:10
    nearly as capable of large scale
  • 00:08:12
    lightning strikes as I thought it was 10
  • 00:08:14
    years ago when I wrote that book it's
  • 00:08:15
    more of a longrain and or attrition
  • 00:08:17
    that's really ugly and takes more time
  • 00:08:20
    and because of that it does buy the
  • 00:08:21
    central Europeans more time to do things
  • 00:08:23
    and to prepare not just to rearm for a
  • 00:08:27
    broader conflict but to age in sort of
  • 00:08:30
    technical military work that normally
  • 00:08:32
    they wouldn't have had the time for and
  • 00:08:34
    what we now need to watch for very
  • 00:08:36
    closely is the nuclearization of the
  • 00:08:39
    weapon systems in Central Europe uh
  • 00:08:41
    specifically Sweden and Finland had the
  • 00:08:43
    capacity to go nuclear a very short
  • 00:08:45
    period of time measured in weeks if not
  • 00:08:47
    days and once that happens Ukraine
  • 00:08:50
    Poland and probably Romania will follow
  • 00:08:52
    suit because this is really the only way
  • 00:08:54
    that they can stand out if NATO forces
  • 00:08:56
    are being completely withheld keep keep
  • 00:08:58
    in mind that the best forces that the
  • 00:08:59
    Europeans have are bound up within the
  • 00:09:01
    NATO alliance and by saying to the
  • 00:09:04
    Europeans that those cannot be used in
  • 00:09:06
    Ukraine or against Russia despite the
  • 00:09:08
    fact that that's the reason the alliance
  • 00:09:10
    exists really limits what the Europeans
  • 00:09:12
    can do so they have already given
  • 00:09:15
    significantly more financial and
  • 00:09:17
    military aid to the ukrainians and the
  • 00:09:19
    Americans have and by now removing the
  • 00:09:22
    best stuff from the table we're really
  • 00:09:24
    giving the Europeans no choice but to
  • 00:09:27
    play the nuke card and once a number of
  • 00:09:30
    countries in Central Europe do this uh
  • 00:09:32
    the junman will be forced to consider
  • 00:09:35
    doing themselves and that triggers a
  • 00:09:36
    serious of strategic entanglements that
  • 00:09:39
    I really don't have the brain power to
  • 00:09:41
    focus on right now I have always found
  • 00:09:43
    it quizzical that people believe that as
  • 00:09:46
    combative and erratic as Donald Trump is
  • 00:09:49
    that somehow he's the person who's going
  • 00:09:50
    to usher in World
  • 00:09:53
    Peace it is difficult to come up with a
  • 00:09:56
    more perfect set of circumstances than
  • 00:09:58
    what the Trump Administration has set up
  • 00:10:00
    in the last few days to trigger anything
  • 00:10:03
    other than a horrific Continental war in
  • 00:10:06
    Europe but here we are and tomorrow
  • 00:10:10
    we'll talk about what the Trump
  • 00:10:11
    Administration has cooking up in the
  • 00:10:12
    Middle East
タグ
  • Russia
  • Trump Administration
  • NATO
  • Ukraine
  • Geopolitics
  • Defense Policy
  • Intelligence Agencies
  • Central Europe
  • Conflict
  • European Security