AMZN Stock Analysis: 🧐 Will Weak Q1 Guidance Sink Prices or Spark Opportunity?

00:13:31
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YyLKCggvpNE

Resumo

TLDRThe video discusses Amazon's stock performance as of February 2025, highlighting its classification as a buy candidate since January 17, 2025. Amazon's stock has shown a modest increase with a 1.32% gain. The short-term outlook suggests a potential upward trend of 14.45% over the next three months, while the long-term projection estimates a 28.1% increase within the year. However, recent fluctuations and some negative signals raise caution among investors. Despite this, Amazon's strong market position in e-commerce and cloud computing supports a promising long-term growth trajectory.

Conclusões

  • 📈 Amazon is rated as a buy candidate since January 17, 2025.
  • 📉 Recent stock performance showed a slight decline, down 1.64% on February 12.
  • 🔼 Potential growth of 14.45% in the next three months is expected.
  • 🔍 Analysts suggest caution due to mixed signals in the market.
  • 🔒 Long term, Amazon is poised for growth, especially in key markets like India.
  • ⚖️ Monitoring stock signals is essential for investors.
  • 💼 The next earnings report is anticipated on April 28, 2025.
  • 📊 Short-term strategy includes watching resistance at $235.42.

Linha do tempo

  • 00:00:00 - 00:05:00

    This video provides an in-depth analysis of Amazon stock, having classified it as a buy candidate since January 17, 2025, with a score of 2.71. The stock has shown a 1.32% gain and suggests a further increase due to a strong upward trend. Predictions indicate a potential change of 14.45% over the next three months and about 28.1% over the next year, with volatility noted in recent price declines following mixed earnings results and analysts' cautious sentiments due to economic concerns and predicted sales weakness for the first quarter.

  • 00:05:00 - 00:13:31

    Despite short-term uncertainties and sell signals from various indicators, long-term prospects for Amazon remain robust due to its innovative capabilities and market leadership. The video discusses key analyst ratings, resistance and support levels, and insider trading activity, indicating potential price movements. An upcoming earnings report is anticipated on April 28, 2025, with expectations influencing trader behavior. Overall, while there are signals of a downtrend in the immediate term, the current stock price suggests a long-term buying opportunity under the right market conditions.

Mapa mental

Vídeo de perguntas e respostas

  • What is the current rating for Amazon stock?

    Amazon has been classified as a buy candidate since January 17, 2025.

  • What has been the recent performance of Amazon stock?

    The stock has gained 1.32% since it was designated as a buy candidate.

  • What is Amazon's potential price change over the next year?

    The 12-month trend suggests a potential change of around 28.1%.

  • What does the buy and sell signal mean for Amazon?

    There is a sell signal from the short-term moving average but a buy signal from the long-term average.

  • What is the expected opening price for Amazon on February 13, 2025?

    It is expected to open approximately 493 cents higher at around $229.42.

  • What is the investment risk associated with Amazon stock?

    Trading carries significant risk, and it's advisable to consult a financial adviser.

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  • 00:00:00
    [Music]
  • 00:00:11
    is it time to buy or sell Amazon stock
  • 00:00:13
    in this video we are diving deep into
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    Amazon our initial report was published
  • 00:00:17
    on our website on Wednesday the 12th of
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    February
  • 00:00:20
    2025 and now we are here to provide you
  • 00:00:23
    with an even more detailed analysis
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    remember to subscribe hit the like
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    button and turn on the notification Bell
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    updates that could impact your
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    Decisions by trying our newly launched
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    AI stock analysis tool powered by gp4 at
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    stockinvest.us tap into the power of AI
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    and get free Price predictions and deep
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    analysis for any one among 45,000
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    companies worldwide today please note
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    that this video is for informational
  • 00:00:53
    purposes only and should not be
  • 00:00:55
    considered as Financial advice
  • 00:01:00
    since the 17th of January 2025 our
  • 00:01:03
    system has classified Amazon as a buy
  • 00:01:06
    candidate assigning it a score of
  • 00:01:08
    2.71 now let us examine the Stock's
  • 00:01:11
    performance during this time frame the
  • 00:01:13
    stock has experienced a gain of
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    1.32% this equates to an average return
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    of
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    0.07% per day since it was designated as
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    a buy
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    candidate the stock is currently
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    positioned within a robust upward Trend
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    in the short term indicating that
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    further increases are likely the trend
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    observed over the past 3 months suggests
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    a potential change of approximately
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    14.45% in the next 3 months with
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    possible returns ranging from
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    12.21% to
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    22.56%
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    looking at the 12-month Trend it
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    indicates a potential change of around
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    28.1% over the next year with returns
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    that could range from
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    5.76% to 36.7%
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    this would correspond to a price range
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    between
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    $242 12 to
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    $31.7 after one
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    year our latest daily update for Amazon
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    includes the headline red day on
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    Wednesday for Amazon stock after losing
  • 00:02:18
    1.64% the Amazon stock price fell by
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    1.64% on the last day Wednesday the 12th
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    of February 2025 from
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    $232 74 to
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    $228.95 during the last trading day the
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    stock fluctuated
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    1.32% with a day low of
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    $228.6 and a day high of $231
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    18 the price has decreased in six of the
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    last 10 days and is down by
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    3.43% over this period volume increased
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    on the last day by 7 million shares but
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    this occurred alongside falling prices
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    this may serve as an early warning
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    indicating a slight increase in Risk
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    over the the next couple of days in
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    total 30 million shares were exchanged
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    for approximately $6 b950 million over
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    the past 52 weeks the highest stock
  • 00:03:10
    price was $242 52 while the lowest price
  • 00:03:14
    was
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    $151
  • 00:03:17
    61 currently the price is
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    5.60% or
  • 00:03:22
    $13.59 below the 52e high and
  • 00:03:26
    8246 or
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    $176 27 cents below the all-time high on
  • 00:03:32
    January 15th 2018 when the price reached
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    $1,352 shares of Amazon are currently
  • 00:03:42
    experiencing some volatility slipping
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    1.65% recently and down 4.14% since last
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    Thursday's Market
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    close despite surpassing analyst
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    forecast for revenue and earnings per
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    share for the fourth quarter the
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    upcoming earnings call is fostering a
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    cautious sentiment among investors
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    importantly the potential cancellation
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    of tariff exemptions on small packages
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    from China may work in Amazon's favor by
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    increasing operational costs for
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    competitors which could enhance its
  • 00:04:10
    Market position Amazon's forward price
  • 00:04:12
    to earnings valuation is at a 10-year
  • 00:04:14
    low suggesting that the stock remains
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    appealing despite its substantial market
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    capitalization of $2.47
  • 00:04:21
    trillion expectations are elevated for
  • 00:04:24
    Amazon web services as the company
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    prepares to take advantage of a
  • 00:04:27
    projected Cloud super cycle for further
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    bolstered by impressive advertising
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    Trends across various digital platforms
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    however the company's guidance
  • 00:04:36
    indicating weak first quarter sales has
  • 00:04:38
    raised some concerns the mixed results
  • 00:04:41
    from the fourth quarter and prevailing
  • 00:04:42
    economic worries suggest that investors
  • 00:04:45
    may need to proceed with caution in the
  • 00:04:46
    short term likely resulting in
  • 00:04:48
    fluctuations in stock price as the
  • 00:04:50
    market interprets these signals in the
  • 00:04:52
    long term Amazon remains well positioned
  • 00:04:55
    to capitalize on growth in the Loyalty
  • 00:04:56
    Market particularly in key regions like
  • 00:04:59
    India as its e-commerce and cloud
  • 00:05:00
    services continue to expand investors
  • 00:05:03
    may discover value in maintaining their
  • 00:05:04
    positions despite short-term
  • 00:05:06
    uncertainties overall the short-term
  • 00:05:09
    Outlook depends on navigating these
  • 00:05:10
    mixed signals while long-term prospects
  • 00:05:13
    appear strong given Amazon's Innovative
  • 00:05:15
    capabilities and Market
  • 00:05:19
    leadership analyst ratings on Tuesday
  • 00:05:22
    February 4th 20125 it was reported that
  • 00:05:25
    Benchmark assigned Amazon a buy grade
  • 00:05:27
    along with a hold action on Tuesday
  • 00:05:29
    January 21st 2025 it was reported that
  • 00:05:32
    Raymond James assigned Amazon a strong
  • 00:05:34
    buy grade with a hold action on Tuesday
  • 00:05:37
    January 14th 2025 it was reported that
  • 00:05:40
    Wells Fargo assigned Amazon a positive
  • 00:05:42
    grade along with a hold action on
  • 00:05:45
    Tuesday January 7th 2025 it was reported
  • 00:05:49
    that loop capital markets assigned
  • 00:05:50
    Amazon a buy grade with a hold action on
  • 00:05:53
    Tuesday January 7th 2025 it was reported
  • 00:05:56
    that canor Fitzgerald assigned Amazon an
  • 00:05:59
    overweight grade with a hold
  • 00:06:03
    action analysts have provided Amazon
  • 00:06:05
    stock with a general neutral rating they
  • 00:06:07
    assess the price to earnings ratio as a
  • 00:06:09
    strong sell and the price to book ratio
  • 00:06:12
    as strong sell in terms of return on
  • 00:06:14
    investment analysts rate the stock as a
  • 00:06:16
    strong
  • 00:06:19
    buy the following signals have been
  • 00:06:21
    identified for Amazon a sell signal was
  • 00:06:23
    issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday
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    the 4th of February 2025 and so far the
  • 00:06:29
    stock has fallen by
  • 00:06:31
    5.42% further declines are indicated
  • 00:06:34
    until a new bottom pivot has been
  • 00:06:35
    established additionally there is
  • 00:06:37
    currently a sell signal from the 3-month
  • 00:06:39
    moving average convergence Divergence or
  • 00:06:41
    macd volume increased on falling prices
  • 00:06:44
    yesterday which may serve as an early
  • 00:06:46
    warning suggesting that the stock should
  • 00:06:48
    be monitored more closely some positive
  • 00:06:50
    signals have also emerged which could
  • 00:06:52
    influence short-term developments the
  • 00:06:55
    Amazon stock holds a sell signal from
  • 00:06:57
    the short-term moving average however
  • 00:06:59
    there is a Buy Signal from the long-term
  • 00:07:01
    average since the short-term average is
  • 00:07:03
    above the long-term average there is a
  • 00:07:05
    general Buy Signal for the stock
  • 00:07:06
    indicating a positive forecast on
  • 00:07:09
    further gains the stock will encounter
  • 00:07:11
    resistance from the short-term moving
  • 00:07:13
    average at approximately $
  • 00:07:17
    23441 conversely if the stock declines
  • 00:07:20
    it will find some support from the
  • 00:07:21
    long-term average at approximately
  • 00:07:26
    $228.8 a breakout above the short-term
  • 00:07:29
    average will trigger a Buy Signal while
  • 00:07:31
    a breakdown below the long-term average
  • 00:07:33
    will trigger a sell
  • 00:07:36
    signal here are some other interesting
  • 00:07:38
    signals you might want to consider the
  • 00:07:41
    moving average convergence Divergence
  • 00:07:43
    indicates a sell signal pivots have
  • 00:07:45
    shown a sell signal 7 days ago Ballinger
  • 00:07:47
    bands indicated a Buy Signal 12 days ago
  • 00:07:50
    the short-term moving average has
  • 00:07:52
    presented a sell signal 7 days ago the
  • 00:07:54
    long-term moving average suggested a Buy
  • 00:07:56
    Signal 21 days ago the relationship
  • 00:07:59
    between the short and long moving
  • 00:08:00
    averages produced a Buy Signal 17 days
  • 00:08:03
    ago when we examine the 12-month chart
  • 00:08:06
    we observe the short moving average
  • 00:08:08
    indicated a sell signal 2 days ago the
  • 00:08:10
    long-term moving average provided a Buy
  • 00:08:12
    Signal 87 days ago the relationship
  • 00:08:15
    between the short and long moving
  • 00:08:16
    averages showed a Buy Signal 95 days ago
  • 00:08:20
    for more signals be sure to visit our
  • 00:08:21
    page at stockinvest.us
  • 00:08:26
    support risk and stop-loss for Amazon
  • 00:08:29
    Amazon finds support from accumulated
  • 00:08:31
    volume at
  • 00:08:50
    $228.96 two representing a change of
  • 00:08:53
    1.32% for the past week the stock has
  • 00:08:56
    experienced an average daily volatility
  • 00:08:58
    of 1.8
  • 00:09:02
    86% before we dive into the potential
  • 00:09:04
    trading levels for Amazon let's quickly
  • 00:09:06
    cover some essential fundamental data
  • 00:09:09
    first let's discuss the price to
  • 00:09:11
    earnings ratio commonly known as the PE
  • 00:09:13
    Ratio this important ratio measures a
  • 00:09:15
    company's current share price in
  • 00:09:17
    relation to its earnings per share a
  • 00:09:19
    high PE ratio may suggest that the stock
  • 00:09:21
    is overvalued or that investors are
  • 00:09:23
    anticipating significant growth rates in
  • 00:09:25
    the future in other news the next
  • 00:09:27
    earnings report for the first quarter of
  • 00:09:29
    the year 2025 is expected on the 28th of
  • 00:09:33
    April
  • 00:09:34
    2025 analysts have a consensus estimate
  • 00:09:36
    of
  • 00:09:38
    $135 it's important to monitor these
  • 00:09:40
    figures as they can significantly
  • 00:09:42
    influence stock
  • 00:09:46
    prices now let's discuss some potential
  • 00:09:48
    day trading levels for Amazon in case of
  • 00:09:51
    an upward Trend the first resistance
  • 00:09:53
    level for Amazon is at
  • 00:09:55
    $235
  • 00:09:57
    42 if you do not currently own any
  • 00:09:59
    shares you may want to wait for this
  • 00:10:01
    level to be surpassed before entering a
  • 00:10:03
    position for those already holding the
  • 00:10:05
    stock this could be a strategic point to
  • 00:10:07
    consider for swing trading on the
  • 00:10:09
    downside Amazon encounters its first
  • 00:10:11
    support level at
  • 00:10:29
    some recent Insider trades on the 9th
  • 00:10:31
    day of December in the year 2024
  • 00:10:33
    Jonathan Rubenstein executed an Insider
  • 00:10:36
    sale of
  • 00:10:37
    4,351 shares of common stock with a par
  • 00:10:40
    value of 1 cent per share on the fourth
  • 00:10:42
    day of December in the year 2024
  • 00:10:45
    Jonathan Rubenstein conducted another
  • 00:10:46
    Insider sale of
  • 00:10:48
    4549 shares of common stock with a par
  • 00:10:51
    value of 1 cent per share on the second
  • 00:10:54
    day of December in the year 2024 Douglas
  • 00:10:56
    J Harrington performed an Insider sale
  • 00:10:59
    of 3,500 shares of common stock with a
  • 00:11:02
    par value of 1 cent per share on the
  • 00:11:05
    21st day of November in the year 2024
  • 00:11:07
    Andrew R jasse engaged in an Insider
  • 00:11:10
    purchase of 31,900
  • 00:11:29
    most recent Insider trades we find that
  • 00:11:31
    The Insider power is negative with a
  • 00:11:33
    ratio of 88.6 26 in total insiders
  • 00:11:37
    acquired
  • 00:11:42
    135,50 51,6 182 shares in the last 100
  • 00:11:49
    trades our recommended stop loss is set
  • 00:11:52
    at
  • 00:11:52
    $218 22 indicating a decline of
  • 00:11:57
    4.68% this stock exhibits Medi medum
  • 00:11:59
    daily fluctuations which suggests a
  • 00:12:01
    medium level of risk additionally a cell
  • 00:12:04
    signal has been generated from a pivot
  • 00:12:05
    top identified 6 days
  • 00:12:09
    ago is Amazon stock a good buy currently
  • 00:12:13
    several indicators suggest a negative
  • 00:12:15
    Trend which we believe will impact the
  • 00:12:17
    Stock's development over the coming days
  • 00:12:19
    and possibly weeks however we see
  • 00:12:21
    today's price as a potential buying
  • 00:12:23
    opportunity anticipating that it will
  • 00:12:25
    rise during or by the end of this
  • 00:12:27
    3-month period after a assessing the
  • 00:12:29
    volatility and movements from the last
  • 00:12:31
    trading day our analysis indicates that
  • 00:12:33
    the current price is undervalued for
  • 00:12:35
    trading on Thursday the 13th of February
  • 00:12:38
    we expect Amazon to open approximately
  • 00:12:40
    493 cents higher starting at a price of
  • 00:12:44
    $229
  • 00:12:48
    42 we want to remind you that trading
  • 00:12:51
    carries a significant risk of financial
  • 00:12:53
    loss it is advisable to consult with a
  • 00:12:56
    financial adviser before making any
  • 00:12:58
    decisions regarding the purch purch or
  • 00:12:59
    sale of Securities your investment
  • 00:13:02
    choices should not be based solely on
  • 00:13:04
    information from stockinvest.us by
  • 00:13:06
    utilizing this information you
  • 00:13:08
    acknowledge and accept responsibility
  • 00:13:10
    for your own investment decisions this
  • 00:13:11
    is our current view of the stock do you
  • 00:13:14
    agree or disagree please comment below
  • 00:13:16
    and share your thoughts what is your
  • 00:13:18
    target for the stock remember to like
  • 00:13:21
    And subscribe we wish you successful
  • 00:13:23
    trading and hope you have a beautiful
  • 00:13:24
    day with warmer regards from all of us
  • 00:13:26
    here at stock invest
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