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okay folks welcome back this teachings
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gonna mean specifically dealing with
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essentials to trading the daily bias
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okay folks we're looking at the dollar
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index this is a daily chart and I want
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to cover some essentials and my
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understanding about how to trade daily
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bias before we begin just understand
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that this is not to teach you every
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single day Monday through Friday of
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every month what the daily buys is going
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to be tomorrow I don't have that
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understanding for every single pair but
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I do know how to find a bias across all
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the pairs so as a scalper I can excel by
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looking at using some of these concepts
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and obviously things that I teach in my
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tutorials both free and in my paid
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mentorship so I'm gonna cover one or two
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things here but I think are paramount
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that will help you at least try to get a
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hold on daily bias so if I look at a
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daily chart what we're trying to do is
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ascertain the likelihood of it being a
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up close or a down close day now there's
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absolutely no guarantee of what I'm
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going to tell you here being accurate so
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you always have to use that as a
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reminder because I'm human and you're
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human too so you're gonna make mistakes
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just as well as I can make a mistake and
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I can be wrong so I don't want you to
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take what I'm stating here as the
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panacea be-all end-all to understanding
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what daily biases there's a number of
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things that we can do to get a better
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opinion about what the daily bias will
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be tomorrow or today but it doesn't
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guarantee results that are going to be
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positive so you always have to consider
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that okay but it's certainly some things
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that you can practice in a demo account
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and build your understanding about daily
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bias in the sandbox if you will of a
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demo so I like to look for enemy a term
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and short term highs and enemy in term
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or short term lows and what I have here
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is I have this high deleted and have
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this low these highs up here this low
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slow this high and this group of lows
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down here okay which is just an
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extension of this low back here now I
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teach that and when the market is not in
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a trending model and/or a parabolic move
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up or down the markets going to work off
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of traditional support resistance theory
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now the problem is is which support
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resistance do we use so I look for the
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key turning points they're real obvious
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ones now you can use these short-term
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ones in here but the main one is here
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because the mark the market moved from
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that low all the way up to this high
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consolidated tribal I'm trying to go
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higher field went lower constant support
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here bound resistance pound support
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tribe one more time failure to market
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moved higher
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so we're looking at the ebb and flow of
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how the market moves from a point of
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overbought to oversold to equilibrium
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and consolidation and a news move that
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would take us to an overbought or
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oversold condition that's a range bound
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market which is where we're seeing the
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dollar trading right now now has a
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slightly bullish bias to it and has had
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that for a couple weeks now but for now
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I just want to just cover how I
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interpret the first thing I look for is
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are we coming off of a run above an old
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high that may see it trade back below it
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or are we trading below an old low that
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may see it trade back above it what I do
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is I look for these intermediate term
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price points and swing highs and swing
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lows on the daily just see if we have
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moved above an old high because we could
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very easily reject that and trade lower
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or if we trade below an old low we could
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see it come back above it and stay
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inside the previous determined range so
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if we look for candles or daily ranges
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that run above an old high
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chances are we could see it continue
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going higher but we also have to be
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mindful that we could see an eventual
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turnaround or reversal and it could
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start to go back below that old high
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because this could be very easily seen
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as a false break same way with the old
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lows as we see here the market does in
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fact trade through it tries to make a
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lower load couldn't do it failed again
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and then started to trade higher so we
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have to have these intermediate term
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swing points on our daily chart because
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they're going to be potential reversal
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points failing to follow through after
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breaking an old high or breaking
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resistance or failing to make a lower
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low and trend lower after breaking below
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old support so when the markets not
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trending this is the scenario that it
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will typically trade within which is a
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classic support resistance theory the
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problem with support resistance theory
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is which high in which low in which
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resistance in which support do you use
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so I start with these swing points like
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this or turning points where it could
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potentially be reversals you can see how
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price eventually does trade above this
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high here finds a measure of resistance
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it consolidates so we're in a point of
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equilibrium and the markets digesting
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whether or not you want to stay at these
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levels or trade higher or trade lower as
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we see the market trades below these
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lows in here can't rally above and
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collapses trades below it reprice is all
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the way down below an old low
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and then rejects comes back into an area
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of consolidation and rejects again
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expansion lower finds a low cannot find
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momentum through it consolidates around
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it tries one more time to go lower and
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trades higher every time the market
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breaks a swing high
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and if we look to the left of that swing
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hi where's the next old
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intermediate-term hi this one here so
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there's nothing for it to potentially
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reverse inside of until we get up to
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here so if we're going to use simple
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classic resistance and support levels we
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could see that this is the one we're
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gonna be looking for okay so if we're
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trading around here and we're looking
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here this is going to be the form of
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resistance so the markets want to try to
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get back up to that level
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the market does in fact try to make an
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attempt to do that but when we have
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these ideas suggesting classic support
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short-term resistance okay that's what
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this whole level is here the markets try
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to go through it
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one more time try to get through an old
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low and then trade it threw it back
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above this swing high here so what I'm
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going to teach you is this is what I
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look for for daily bias now there's a
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lot of folks on social media
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that we're looking for a weaker dollar
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and ignoring these types of phenomenon
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but I'm going to show you here you're
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gonna have that error as well but if we
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know that there is a support level here
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we tried several times to go below it
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and then we had a swing high broken
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what's the market really telling you it
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wants to go higher so what's the next
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level to reach for this short term
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resistance level okay so we can see that
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it wants to get to 90 417 that's the
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high of this candle here so what do we
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do at that point once we clear this high
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here
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what's the bias well if you look at this
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little diagram I have over here this is
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gonna refer to the previous day now this
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could be a bullish or bearish day it
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doesn't make a difference but when the
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market is bullish as we've outlined it
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over here we're gonna be looking for the
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previous day's high to be the target and
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the previous day's low to be supported
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in other words there shouldn't be any
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movement below the previous day's low it
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should all focus on the buy side that
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means reaching for the previous day's
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high when the markets bearish this
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scenario would be reversed we would be
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looking for price having an inability to
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get above the previous day's high and
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seek the previous day's low
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using this criteria here okay once we
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broke this candles swing high here bit
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daily bias on this candle and this
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candle and this is a Sunday we would
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look for Monday as well and then Tuesday
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we would look for bullishness so if we
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use this same theory we're going to draw
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this particular candle right here is the
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one that broke the swing high and then
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we know they have a resistance level it
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could probably reach four so we're going
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to be looking for the next day
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to trade
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not to the previous day's low but to and
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through previous stays high so this next
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day what's the daily bias here's the
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opening what's Tobias
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it's gonna want to reach for this hi so
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where is it wanting to go up so what are
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we going to focus on previous day's love
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or previous day's high create a stays
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high because it's bullet just wanted to
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go higher so the market trades up
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creates up close day then we take this
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thing thing and apply it to
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good need a
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okay so we have very simple approach
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there's no box in the hood up here now
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we have yesterday this is what this one
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this candles date on December 8th this
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candles last Thursday's tie which would
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be 9380 market opens we're going to see
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it trade through that and with the
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anticipation it's going to eventually
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try to reach for this daily high so when
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this happens again we don't think about
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the daily low from the previous day
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we're focusing on the movement through
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the previous day's high and/or
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eventually reaching to this level here
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on the daily the market closes in the
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middle of the range here is Sunday's
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trading then Monday the same phenomenon
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you would look for the market to want to
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trade through what on Monday we would
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look for this previous Friday's low to
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be supported and we would look for a
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price to run through previous Friday's
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high again this is Sunday we wouldn't
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expect anything there Monday we see it
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open here a little bit of movement above
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it but it does in fact pierce Friday's
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low and it comes back and closes where
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it opens so is there any significant
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change in the underlying direction no
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did we trade to this high yet no so we
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take that same premise
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now we apply it to this candle which is
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Monday of this particular week of the
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recording
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and we see it open here so what's the
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bias we're looking for the previous
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day's high why because we have yet to
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trade back to this old resistance level
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market opens here trades up trades
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through it but look what it does it
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comes right back inside the daily range
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okay in the next trading session right
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now at the time of this recording it's
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9:26 p.m. New York time on December 12
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2017 and the candle is already starting
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here it opened had a little bit of
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moving up and now we're moving little
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bit lower so it may want to trade a
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little bit higher go a little bit higher
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through this old high but as we're
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reaching for these any amount of term
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levels on the daily chart we're
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factoring in does it have enough range
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to reach for it above or below and then
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we take that approach and apply it
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immediately to the previous day's high
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and low as we have here and what you're
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determining is is if we're bullish we're
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gonna be focusing on the previous day's
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high for momentum and more bearish when
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we focus on the previous day's low for
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momentum very rarely do you see both
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sides of the previous day's candle
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tagged or traded through if it does it's
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usually indecisiveness or it's going to
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be a reversal soon and they're clearing
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the board on both sides of the
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marketplace and when you start seeing
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those types of things get prepared
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because the market could be in fact
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about the reverse you can see that
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actually happening here previous day's
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high and low here the next day it trades
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through it and it's low is violated too
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so we're about to see a reversal next
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day reversal ok and I'll show you
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another example of that see here we have
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it here as well
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we have a thursdays range now this low
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comes in at 94 42 and alone here is 94
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42 so it's equal but still very very
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close to the high this is Sunday in a
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Monday
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nothing shown there but end up getting
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of a very important hi eventually
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afterwards and now this is called an
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outside day when you have a previous
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day's range that's violated with this is
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example it to this high is 93 98 in the
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low is 93 67 this candles low is 93 58
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in the highest 90 99 so this is an
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outside day with a down close that's
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typically bullish reason why it creates
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a false break above the previous day's
00:14:07
high and then close it on the low if
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we're in a bullish market overall and
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that occurs generally sends up a really
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good buy scenario I've learned that from
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Larry Williams and that's from like old
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school stuff but you got that context
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behind it can't just take a outside they
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was down closing this naturally this
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film is going to be a bullish today but
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you can see it does in fact give a huge
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opportunity be a buyer on this day and
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my application of outside day is when it
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does that it sets up a potential
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short-term reversal what Larry Williams
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brought to the table with it is it
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creates a short-term oversold scenario
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so it doesn't necessarily mean it's a
00:14:42
reversal just means it's many times a
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continuation pattern
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according to his definitions all right
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and here's another scenario here outside
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day we have the candle here the hi comes
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in at ninety three twenty three and a
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low is 92 eighty one the very next day
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the high is taking out ninety three
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twenty four the lowest 9275 so reversal
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day and then we can see the market
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doesn't Peck alone trade higher as a
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result so you will always get the
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outside day at turning points but I'd
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like to look for it because it builds a
00:15:19
lot of confidence behind it and by using
00:15:21
these tools okay and when the market
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also breaks more or less a swing high of
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importance and we have a level that
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doesn't have anything else until we get
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to here the bull it's bullish okay it's
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bullish avoid this whole scenario like
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looking at this high to this low point
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feds don't looking for optimal trade
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entry you didn't sell off a lot stuff
00:15:43
it's all raishin and willingness to want
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to go below this low multiple times and
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then it broke a swing high so the
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momentum is bullish and that's gonna
00:15:53
reach for this now if we're doing that
00:15:54
analysis on a daily for the dollar index
00:15:57
and we've arrived at a bullishness for
00:16:00
the dollar what does that translate for
00:16:02
foreign currency in terms of daily bias
00:16:04
it's gonna be a mirror image so if we go
00:16:07
to the euro dollar we can see that the
00:16:09
euro dollar has been bearish as we would
00:16:12
reasonably expect notice that every
00:16:14
single day the daily high is not
00:16:17
concerned with at all it's the previous
00:16:19
day's low it trades through it so now we
00:16:23
have a low here what's it gonna do it's
00:16:25
gonna want to trade to the previous
00:16:26
day's low it trades through it so what's
00:16:28
the next story line opens trades down
00:16:31
below the previous day's low next day
00:16:34
what's it gonna do it's kinda trade
00:16:35
through not only the previous day's low
00:16:37
but what's it really reaching for that
00:16:40
old intermediate term low on the daily
00:16:42
I'll give you some lipstick on the
00:16:44
charts you can see that framing out a
00:16:46
little bit
00:16:51
so this love here and it's price is
00:16:53
starting to drop down it's reaching for
00:16:56
this level here why because it's
00:16:58
basically the opposite of what we're
00:16:59
seeing
00:17:00
done here dollars reaching for this area
00:17:04
term hi well the euro dollar is reaching
00:17:07
for a mere term low each day we're
00:17:10
focusing on again this phenomenon here
00:17:13
we're focusing on for the euro because
00:17:16
dollar is bullish we're focusing on the
00:17:18
previous day's low and that's where it's
00:17:19
going to be aiming for to it and through
00:17:22
it that's how you think about it mines
00:17:23
bearish back to the euro dollar every
00:17:27
single trading day opens creates a small
00:17:30
little tail power three Judas swing
00:17:32
sell it down close reach for the
00:17:34
previous day's low next day opens false
00:17:37
rally g2 swing sell it reach for the
00:17:40
previous day's low does it next day
00:17:43
opens rallies false rally Judas swing
00:17:45
sell it fade it reach for the previous
00:17:48
day's low boom handled next day open
00:17:50
small little tail trades lower comes
00:17:53
back off of the low okay but we're still
00:17:57
targeting here okay we're still reaching
00:17:59
for that next day well this is gonna be
00:18:03
Sunday so here's a Monday trading range
00:18:06
it opens rallies up because the short
00:18:09
term over vault scenario comes off the
00:18:12
highs that is a potential reversal
00:18:14
scenario the next day same same skit
00:18:18
we're looking for what to market to open
00:18:20
trade below the previous day's low and
00:18:22
then ultimately fit trades through that
00:18:23
forget Sunday go to Friday it trades
00:18:26
through Friday's range and then
00:18:28
ultimately reach for this low here so
00:18:30
we're looking for that scenario here
00:18:32
potentially to trade through this low
00:18:33
still is there and so the daily bias
00:18:36
today on December 12 2017 should be a
00:18:41
move lower below this low using what I'm
00:18:44
teaching you here okay so hopefully this
00:18:49
has been insightful to you guys it gives
00:18:51
you a little bit more framework to work
00:18:52
with in obviously there's so many things
00:18:53
that we can build on to build bias and
00:18:56
inter market relationships as well but I
00:18:59
try to incorporate the application of
00:19:01
the dollar index analysis and also to
00:19:03
justify what we would view in terms of
00:19:06
foreign currencies bullish or bearish
00:19:07
news as well and using daily bias
00:19:10
okay folks hopefully you enjoyed this
00:19:12
presentation if you like this
00:19:14
presentation you want to find more you
00:19:16
can visit my website at B inner circle
00:19:18
trader.com