How To Stay Ahead Of The Market & Find New Winners | Investing With IBD Podcast
Resumo
TLDRIn this episode of the "Investing with IBD" podcast, host Justin Yelson introduces a new live format, starting September 2024, where listeners can engage with the show live every Wednesday at 2 pm Pacific. This episode features Matt Caruso from Caruso Insights who discusses the impact of market volatility, particularly in tech stocks such as Nvidia, Tesla, and Palantir. They explore how different market cycles favor certain indicators and the importance of relative strength in identifying stock potential. The discussion also covers inflation's impact on stock performance and the dynamics of large-cap versus small-cap investments. Future market themes such as AI advancements and strategic energy generation for AI infrastructure are considered as pivotal investment opportunities. The hosts delve into individual stock strategies, emphasizing caution with volatile stocks and the importance of understanding market indicators to adapt to economic shifts.
ConclusΓ΅es
- π The podcast is transitioning to a live format, airing Wednesdays at 2 pm Pacific.
- π§βπΌ Matt Caruso discusses market trends and the importance of adapting strategies to current cycles.
- π Market volatility and its impact on tech stocks like Nvidia and Tesla is a focus topic.
- πΉ Indicators like relative strength are highlighted for investment insights.
- π‘ AI and electricity generation for AI infrastructure are noted as future investment themes.
- π Inverted yield curve briefly mentioned as part of economic context.
- π Rotation between large-cap and small-cap stocks discussed as a market dynamic.
- πΌ Strategic shifts due to inflation's persistent impact are examined.
- π Stock analysis on Nvidia, Tesla, and Palantir for investment potential.
- π£ Viewer engagement encouraged through the live show format.
Linha do tempo
- 00:00:00 - 00:05:00
The host, Justin Yelson, introduces the September 4, 2024 episode of the podcast 'Investing with IBD' and announces the new move to live broadcasts on Wednesdays. He also welcomes guest Matt Caruso, president and founder of Caruso Insights, highlighting their history on the podcast together. The discussion plans to cover current market challenges and indicators.
- 00:05:00 - 00:10:00
Justin and Matt reflect on the turbulence in the market, particularly focusing on the NASDAQ and significant events such as Nvidia's stock decline, described as one of the biggest market cap drops in history. The conversation pivots to discussing market indicators and the importance of choosing the right ones for different market environments.
- 00:10:00 - 00:15:00
Matt explains the performance disparity between market cap weight and equal weight indexes, noting the recent changes in midcaps and small caps performance. He expresses hope for midcaps and small caps to lead as inflation rates potentially come down. Mention of market conditions around July 11th CPI report disrupting earlier trends is discussed.
- 00:15:00 - 00:20:00
They discuss the role of inflation and bond markets in recent market dynamics, comparing it to historical periods like the 1970s. Matt provides insights into how the inflation-driven disparity has influenced market cap performances, suggesting a shift back to a more typical bull market might be on the horizon, dependent on inflation trends.
- 00:20:00 - 00:25:00
Conversation shifts to bonds and interest rates with discussion of the inverted yield curve and potential Fed rate cuts. Matt talks about the implications of these economic signals, drawing contrasts with past cycles. The impact of interest rate changes on market sectors and growth stocks is also explored.
- 00:25:00 - 00:30:00
Matt emphasizes the importance of relative strength as a tool for identifying market trends. He introduces his approach to analyzing market strength using beta-adjusted metrics, offering a nuanced analysis of Starbucks. He discusses the importance of adaptability and understanding market drivers.
- 00:30:00 - 00:35:00
Further elaboration on Matt's methodology for identifying market trends using comparative analysis against indexes. He highlights the significance of nuanced understanding between different stocks and sectors, providing a comparative examination using BCE as an example to demonstrate market readiness.
- 00:35:00 - 00:40:00
Utilizing tools like relative strength and industry comparisons, Matt describes how to navigate through market environments and seek new opportunities. He emphasizes the significance of catching market trends and derivative sectors, seeing utility and REIT sectors as currently favorable given economic conditions.
- 00:40:00 - 00:45:00
The discussion transitions to thematic investing, drawing parallels with the 1990s tech boom, and explores how infrastructure developments in AI might follow a similar evolutionary path as past tech innovations. Matt discusses the importance of anticipating future industry leaders as the sector continues to evolve rapidly.
- 00:45:00 - 00:50:00
Matt highlights specific stocks like Tesla and GE as part of strategic investment in anticipation of technological advances and infrastructure needs like electricity for AI. He discusses Tesla's potential role in autonomous vehicles and considers the broad market implications of these innovative technologies.
- 00:50:00 - 00:55:25
The session wraps up with Justin and Matt discussing Palantir's potential in AI and defense sectors. Matt advises caution in high volatility stocks but sees promise as Palantir gains market traction. Finally, they discuss the experimentation with live podcasts and welcome audience participation.
Mapa mental
Perguntas frequentes
What is the new format for the "Investing with IBD" podcast?
The podcast will now be broadcast live on Wednesdays at 2 pm Pacific, 5 pm Eastern, starting September 2024.
Who is the guest on this episode?
Matt Caruso from Caruso Insights is the guest on this episode.
What market trends are discussed in the podcast?
The podcast discusses volatility in the market, the impact of inflation, and strategic approaches using relative strength indicators.
How important are indicators in investment trends according to the podcast?
Indicators like relative strength are crucial for identifying which stocks to focus on based on current market cycles.
What stocks are analyzed in the episode?
Nvidia, Tesla, and Palantir are among the stocks analyzed for their impact and potential roles in the market.
What sectors show promise according to this episode?
Utilities, REITs, and sectors related to electricity generation and AI are indicated as promising.
How do the hosts suggest handling volatile stocks like Palantir?
They suggest stepping lightly with small initial positions and building up as profits accrue.
What insights are shared about the use of relative strength?
Relative strength helps indicate which stocks are gaining favor in current market cycles, offering insights into changing investor preferences.
What historical market parallels are drawn in the episode?
The 1990s internet boom is used as a parallel to the current AI wave in terms of market cycle phases and company roles.
What are some investment themes discussed for the future?
AI advancements, electricity generation for AI infrastructure, and the strategic positioning of energy companies are discussed as future themes.
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San Jacinto Symposium 2014 part one
- 00:00:02[Music]
- 00:00:10hello and welcome everyone to another
- 00:00:13episode of the investing with ibid
- 00:00:14podcast it's Justin yelson here your
- 00:00:16host and it is September 4th 2024 we've
- 00:00:20got quite a show for you today and it's
- 00:00:22worth mentioning for some of you you
- 00:00:24might notice we're doing something a
- 00:00:25little different here I tweeted out this
- 00:00:27uh morning that we are actually going
- 00:00:29live this was something something that
- 00:00:30we're trying out we're going to be going
- 00:00:32live on Wednesdays starting at 2 pm
- 00:00:35Pacific 5:00 pm Eastern uh so if you're
- 00:00:37regular listener uh you can actually get
- 00:00:40your information earlier now uh so we
- 00:00:42will be live on YouTube um something
- 00:00:44that we're going to try we're still
- 00:00:46going to be posted on all of our usual
- 00:00:48channels afterwards so if that time
- 00:00:50doesn't work out for you never fear uh
- 00:00:53we're still going to be there uh for you
- 00:00:55to watch whenever you get a chance uh as
- 00:00:58as your schedule dictates but um yeah
- 00:01:00this is just something where we can talk
- 00:01:01kind of live and uh you know do
- 00:01:04something a little bit different because
- 00:01:05we're just having a lot of great success
- 00:01:07with our live content so uh that's one
- 00:01:09of the exciting announcements I have for
- 00:01:11you another exciting announcement I have
- 00:01:14is Matt Caruso is back on the show so
- 00:01:17president of Caruso insights president
- 00:01:19and founder I should say um of Caruso
- 00:01:22insights uh Matt has a special place in
- 00:01:25my heart because the very first time I
- 00:01:27ever did the podcast uh as a solo host
- 00:01:31uh Matt was my guest and so of course I
- 00:01:33had a little bit of the nerves going and
- 00:01:36everything but then after I got done
- 00:01:38Matt you made everything so easy and so
- 00:01:40every time I every time I have you on
- 00:01:41it's like oh it reminds me of the first
- 00:01:43time uh
- 00:01:45so great to have you on the show again
- 00:01:47Matt how are you uh thanks for having me
- 00:01:48Justin and see now it's something new
- 00:01:50again with the live and I'm glad to be
- 00:01:51back and to get things tested with you
- 00:01:53and yeah exactly and and I I was telling
- 00:01:55Matt look you know I feel like he's the
- 00:01:57guinea pig he you know helps helps us
- 00:01:59out things out for us um but you know if
- 00:02:02this doesn't work out then I'm okay
- 00:02:05calling him the scapegoat no no shame
- 00:02:07there so uh that's fine but uh we got a
- 00:02:10lot to talk about here because this
- 00:02:12Market really kind of uh threw folks for
- 00:02:15a loop I mean we had the start of August
- 00:02:18really kind of ugly for us uh last month
- 00:02:21September man uh yesterday was no fun uh
- 00:02:24on our swing Trader status update I
- 00:02:26called it the Terrible Horrible No Good
- 00:02:28Very Bad Day uh kind of likening it to
- 00:02:31the the children's story um and it's
- 00:02:33gonna be great to get your insights and
- 00:02:35also one of the things that I think is
- 00:02:37going to be interesting to talk to you
- 00:02:38about Matt is this idea of indicators
- 00:02:41you know everyone has kind of their
- 00:02:42favorite indicator but you kind of
- 00:02:43notice that some indicators work better
- 00:02:45in certain markets than others and so
- 00:02:47we'll talk about how you determine which
- 00:02:49indicators to use and when but um let's
- 00:02:52go ahead and uh pull up some charts and
- 00:02:54start with this Market um do you want to
- 00:02:56start with the S&P 500 or the NASDAQ
- 00:02:59sure uh we go with the NASDAQ I think
- 00:03:00it's probably the right one to take a
- 00:03:02look at it's definitely a little bit
- 00:03:06harsher at least yesterday was well I
- 00:03:09mean I think you know Nvidia was the
- 00:03:11gift that kept giving and now it's the
- 00:03:13you know the uh the stock that's taking
- 00:03:15a little bit and I think we're just
- 00:03:16seeing that back and forth where it led
- 00:03:18for so long and this concentration in
- 00:03:20large caps I mean was phenomenal for
- 00:03:22General indexes throughout you know
- 00:03:2320123 and 2024 now that Trend I think is
- 00:03:27leveling off my opinion is I think we at
- 00:03:29least in the intermediate term of
- 00:03:31probably the leadership phase of of
- 00:03:32nvidia's passing and so as you get that
- 00:03:35back and forth action it's Weighing on
- 00:03:37indexes I mean I think yesterday was the
- 00:03:39biggest single largest market cap drop
- 00:03:41for any one stock ever in history on
- 00:03:43Nvidia so was it was a big drop and it's
- 00:03:45normal as you know stocks it's always
- 00:03:47stairs up but it's the elevator down and
- 00:03:48so we're seeing that a little bit here
- 00:03:50yeah and in some ways it felt like uh
- 00:03:52Not only was this an elevator down it
- 00:03:54was kind of like the elevator was
- 00:03:55missing and you just took a took a drop
- 00:03:58you didn't even have the elevator
- 00:03:59bringing you down floor to floor you
- 00:04:01just kind of skipped some uh skipped
- 00:04:02some floors um so in terms of when
- 00:04:05you're analyzing the market you know
- 00:04:07there's certainly that element of you
- 00:04:09know the the bottomup approach and
- 00:04:11looking at the stocks and Nvidia is such
- 00:04:13a good gauge I mean for a while there it
- 00:04:15seemed like as goes Nvidia so goes the
- 00:04:17market for a while there it was Tesla
- 00:04:20was kind of the stock that gauged where
- 00:04:22the market was going um but in terms of
- 00:04:24the technical action are there any
- 00:04:26levels that you're you're kind of
- 00:04:28looking at you know moving average lines
- 00:04:31things like that that kind of really uh
- 00:04:33help provide guard rails for
- 00:04:35you I think instead of just looking at
- 00:04:38averages what i' like to do is really
- 00:04:40and this year has been specifically a
- 00:04:42big outlier like the spread between
- 00:04:43equal weights and the market cap weights
- 00:04:46have been so huge so for the longest
- 00:04:48time I mean all all year long everyone's
- 00:04:50saying hey Market's doing great but that
- 00:04:52was really either you were sitting in
- 00:04:53the market EF or in those individual
- 00:04:55stocks that were running and running and
- 00:04:57running but uh most stocks were it was a
- 00:05:00terrible Market but they just weren't
- 00:05:01running at the same Pace or anywhere
- 00:05:03close to it so I think we're starting to
- 00:05:05get that that shift now where we're
- 00:05:07seeing some like the QQQ equal weight
- 00:05:09has been doing better even the kind of
- 00:05:11midcaps mdy has been holding in a little
- 00:05:13bit better which is a nice change of
- 00:05:15pace we haven't broken out yet I I think
- 00:05:17in terms of levels um taking a look at
- 00:05:21something like the midcap
- 00:05:23ETF you know we've had this pullback I
- 00:05:25think it was dragged down a little bit
- 00:05:26with Nvidia yesterday we've been in this
- 00:05:28range you can see even the pattern wreck
- 00:05:30is is showing it it's been a really up
- 00:05:32and down range for the past several
- 00:05:33months I think as long as we stay in
- 00:05:35this range we're safe we're nowhere near
- 00:05:37kind of a bar Market but really my focus
- 00:05:39My Hope with rates coming down and some
- 00:05:41rotations out of maybe the mega caps is
- 00:05:43that you know the midcaps small caps are
- 00:05:46kind of just pausing here at their highs
- 00:05:47and as soon as Nvidia catches his breath
- 00:05:49from falling they'll be able to push out
- 00:05:51to new highs and they'll take that
- 00:05:52leadership
- 00:05:53torch so one of the things that I think
- 00:05:56was very notable and this is something
- 00:05:57that we've been talking about for a
- 00:05:58while here is that um July 11th you know
- 00:06:02this was a a CPI report that came out
- 00:06:04and it really kind of seemed to change
- 00:06:07uh the market temporarily where midcaps
- 00:06:10all of a sudden uh were were all uh all
- 00:06:14a flutter um iwm the Russell 2000 small
- 00:06:18caps uh huge move uh there and this also
- 00:06:22coincided you know back to your point on
- 00:06:24Nvidia um Nvidia had actually kind of
- 00:06:26topped yeah um a little bit before that
- 00:06:28with this down side reversal was trying
- 00:06:31to get back to New highs and then had
- 00:06:32another downside reversal and the NASDAQ
- 00:06:35um you know also you know had this kind
- 00:06:38of ugly day right here on you know on
- 00:06:40July 11th so it it really kind of seemed
- 00:06:44like there was a change happening but
- 00:06:46then again getting back to the small
- 00:06:48caps you had this kind of come down uh
- 00:06:52just as hard as everything else on those
- 00:06:54three days starting August 1 through
- 00:06:57August 5th um and it it it just seemed
- 00:07:00like it was kind of back to the back to
- 00:07:03the old guys the Old Guard um and small
- 00:07:06caps seemed to lag a little bit you see
- 00:07:08that with the relative strength and so
- 00:07:10it almost felt like there was a rotation
- 00:07:12in play then people were like no wait a
- 00:07:15minute let's go back to the other ones
- 00:07:16and now it seems like they're going back
- 00:07:18so is this like an indecisive Market is
- 00:07:20this kind of a function of Summer uh
- 00:07:23what what do you kind of attribute all
- 00:07:24of this rotation to I I think there's
- 00:07:26two important elements that's driving
- 00:07:28all of this so it you know obviously
- 00:07:30inflation the past few years has
- 00:07:32impacted all of us like in daily life
- 00:07:33but in terms of markets we haven't
- 00:07:35really seen anything to this severity
- 00:07:37unless you went back to the 70s I mean I
- 00:07:39I didn't live through it myself so you
- 00:07:40have to go back and study all of that
- 00:07:42but a lot of the relationships were
- 00:07:44really different during that
- 00:07:45inflationary period like it really it
- 00:07:46really threw a loop like you know a lot
- 00:07:48of the standard um relationships between
- 00:07:51markets so you know one thing for
- 00:07:53example is is uh as soon as inflation
- 00:07:55kind of peaked back in the 70s started
- 00:07:56to Trend lower markets bottomed and they
- 00:07:58started to take off
- 00:08:00this cycle here because of that
- 00:08:01inflation um it really increased
- 00:08:05disparity between the halves and have
- 00:08:07knots in the market so you know if you
- 00:08:08look at the mega cap uh tech stocks not
- 00:08:10only were they kind of a place of safety
- 00:08:12because they were liquid not only were
- 00:08:13they a place of safety because they had
- 00:08:15a big market cap they had a huge
- 00:08:17customer base they also had you know uh
- 00:08:20lower financing costs they could borrow
- 00:08:22at at better rates so like everything
- 00:08:24was working in their Direction usually
- 00:08:26most
- 00:08:27cycles that that's spread between large
- 00:08:30and small is not as big so I I think
- 00:08:33going into really at the end of last
- 00:08:35year the end of 2023 we really started
- 00:08:37to see that broad-based move in November
- 00:08:40December and then we got kind of that
- 00:08:42that sticky inflation beginning of this
- 00:08:44year I don't if you remember that kind
- 00:08:45of like things were picking back up
- 00:08:46concerns came back so I I think it's
- 00:08:49really been the story and we as stock
- 00:08:50investors we tend to always look at
- 00:08:52stocks first but I think it's really
- 00:08:54been a bond story that's that's causing
- 00:08:57all these relationships under the
- 00:08:58surface that people aren't noticing and
- 00:09:00with that if you sprinkle on like the
- 00:09:02modern algorithms where the longest time
- 00:09:04they they do it works right it was you
- 00:09:06know be long large cap Tech short small
- 00:09:08caps and everyone when they get two
- 00:09:11positioned in one trade that you know
- 00:09:12that everyone running for the door at
- 00:09:14the same time caused these very fast
- 00:09:16dislocations so I I think like all that
- 00:09:18in and out it looks so confusing but I
- 00:09:20think it's really if you look at from
- 00:09:21the big picture and you kind of
- 00:09:24understand what's driving it which is
- 00:09:25bonds and inflation these rotations
- 00:09:27sprinkle in algorithm trading and it
- 00:09:30starts to make sense so I think we're
- 00:09:32back at maybe a turning point like we
- 00:09:33were last fall it was put on hold I
- 00:09:35think because inflation uh brought you
- 00:09:37know came back up but should that
- 00:09:39finally you know go to rest and the
- 00:09:41economy holds in there I think we get
- 00:09:43back to more of a normal bull market
- 00:09:45where most stocks go up and broader
- 00:09:47participation yeah and that's kind of
- 00:09:49what seemed like was happening for a
- 00:09:51little while there yeah it seemed like
- 00:09:52we were finally getting the small caps
- 00:09:55going up you know again we had what we
- 00:09:56call a follow through day um on August
- 00:09:5913th and it just seemed like you have
- 00:10:01the S&P 500 going up the NASDAQ going up
- 00:10:03the Dow Jones Industrial Average going
- 00:10:05up the small caps going up the midcaps
- 00:10:07going up it was like everyone's
- 00:10:09everyone's participating uh and then
- 00:10:12again it just seemed like it uh the rug
- 00:10:14kind of got swept out from under you now
- 00:10:16you mentioned bonds and it it brings up
- 00:10:18a few things um so I I've got kind of
- 00:10:20three points that I want to throw at you
- 00:10:22you can decide which order you want to
- 00:10:23take them in so uh number one uh got to
- 00:10:26talk a little bit about the inverted
- 00:10:27yield curve it almost went uninverted
- 00:10:30today at the close uh you know so we
- 00:10:33have kind of the longest you you
- 00:10:35mentioned the 70s and um this is from
- 00:10:37Dow Jones data um some of the folks
- 00:10:41there at Dow Jones were saying this is
- 00:10:43uh the longest streak since 1978 to 1980
- 00:10:47where the yield curve of the two-year
- 00:10:50and 10e has been inverted so we're at
- 00:10:52544 days right now uh started July 1st
- 00:10:552022 um almost you know almost got there
- 00:10:58it's gotten there few times intraday uh
- 00:11:01to uninverted but didn't didn't make it
- 00:11:03at the close today um so we're at this
- 00:11:06very long streak and and this data goes
- 00:11:08back to 1977 I should add so the the the
- 00:11:12inverted yield curve going uninverted or
- 00:11:15getting close to it um that's one thing
- 00:11:18um let's let's talk a little bit about
- 00:11:20Bostic uh today uh the Atlanta fed
- 00:11:24president who is a voting member uh
- 00:11:27typically known for his hawkishness uh
- 00:11:29he was saying look we don't have to wait
- 00:11:31for 2% or we we can't wait until 2%
- 00:11:35inflation Target is reached before we
- 00:11:37make cuts um and then also just the
- 00:11:40whole idea of cutting in general where
- 00:11:44it almost feels like is is the market
- 00:11:47going to have a temper tantrum if we
- 00:11:48don't get 50 basis points uh this month
- 00:11:52uh it seems like more and more
- 00:11:54especially after the joltz report today
- 00:11:57um you know there was there was kind of
- 00:11:58a a a quick little uh jiggle as the
- 00:12:01joltz report missed estimates um lower
- 00:12:04than expected
- 00:12:06and it seemed like the the odds of a you
- 00:12:09know kind of spiked up to like 50% or
- 00:12:12something of a 50 basis point cut now I
- 00:12:15want to say that those fed Futures have
- 00:12:16been off the mark for a while I mean
- 00:12:19they've been uh you know according to
- 00:12:21the FED Futures we got Cuts coming like
- 00:12:24last year and they didn't materialize
- 00:12:26and then it was seven Cuts this year
- 00:12:28which not gonna happen um so what is
- 00:12:31what is kind of your take on those uh
- 00:12:34three topics take whichever one you want
- 00:12:37well so you know you speak of you know
- 00:12:39like the data points going back to the
- 00:12:40late 70s and that's really to my point
- 00:12:42it's the inflationary Playbook so I know
- 00:12:45some people also kind of uh point to
- 00:12:47recently as soon as the FED started
- 00:12:48cutting such as 0708 it led to a big
- 00:12:51crash because they were they were late
- 00:12:52they were behind the curve that that was
- 00:12:54really driven by um many under under the
- 00:12:58surface problems maybe the FED wasn't
- 00:12:59aware of they're just too late or they
- 00:13:01didn't they didn't realize the intensity
- 00:13:02of it all how big it would be but again
- 00:13:05if you go back to like the 70s and the
- 00:13:06rest when the FED started cutting rates
- 00:13:07markets really lifted off um so and if
- 00:13:10you take a look at what stocks are
- 00:13:11leading now and how you're getting
- 00:13:13better breath and you're seeing um
- 00:13:15interest rate sensitive stocks lifting
- 00:13:17it's interesting there's a lot of this
- 00:13:18action that's in my opinion still
- 00:13:20typical of early stages of a bull market
- 00:13:22that that what you typically see so like
- 00:13:24a lot of the stuff that you us usually
- 00:13:25see early bull market hasn't
- 00:13:27materialized because I think the AI
- 00:13:29trade and the mega caps like just took
- 00:13:31all of that flow of capital soas I think
- 00:13:34some people can look at as a little bit
- 00:13:35more as a a worry that all the fed's
- 00:13:37going to be cutting rates in the past
- 00:13:39sometimes has led to a peak I think you
- 00:13:40have to always look at in context of
- 00:13:42what you know what the reason is that in
- 00:13:44past times that led to a decline so the
- 00:13:47way I'm trying to position is I'm always
- 00:13:49a growth investor first but there's some
- 00:13:50trades that I'm looking at for example
- 00:13:52you know if we expect both inflation to
- 00:13:54come down and interest rates to come
- 00:13:56down that means real interest rates so
- 00:13:58you interest rates adjusted for
- 00:13:59inflation should really drop off so like
- 00:14:01I mean and to to what you know bosk said
- 00:14:03today the fed's restrictive right now I
- 00:14:06mean their their rates if you look
- 00:14:07versus the two-year yield the FED is you
- 00:14:09know maybe starting to become late to
- 00:14:11cut here I think if they want to listen
- 00:14:12to what the market thinks so there's
- 00:14:14some groups and you can see like like uh
- 00:14:16gold has been very strong and what's
- 00:14:18interesting about gold is we're sitting
- 00:14:19at highs if if you were to compare gold
- 00:14:22to like
- 00:14:24um interest adjusted um sorry an
- 00:14:27inflation adjusted Bond you know usually
- 00:14:29there's there's that very strong
- 00:14:30correlation if you bring up like gtip
- 00:14:32which is like the Goldman Sachs um like
- 00:14:35tip Bond it's not a it's not a great
- 00:14:38looking chart but uh the way in my
- 00:14:39marketsmith the way it comes up but
- 00:14:42typically yeah because it's not it's not
- 00:14:43a very high volatile type of it's pretty
- 00:14:45flat looking right you put a daily chart
- 00:14:48you'll see it'll look a little bit
- 00:14:49better uhuh yeah so uh it's the
- 00:14:52logarithmic scale of course that does
- 00:14:54that you know kind of um you know
- 00:14:55flattens it out but on the arithmetic
- 00:14:57scale which we do have on The Daily um
- 00:14:59so typically this is very correlated
- 00:15:01with gold and so it's interesting that
- 00:15:03this is putting in if if the chart was
- 00:15:04larger a really big head and shoulders
- 00:15:06bottom which if this goes up means that
- 00:15:08you know real interest interest rates
- 00:15:09are falling that should really support
- 00:15:12gold that should really support
- 00:15:13companies that are high growth because
- 00:15:15you know they're dependent on Capital
- 00:15:17they they're not you know big earnings
- 00:15:19uh drivers right now most of their
- 00:15:20earnings are in the future so it always
- 00:15:22helps when rates are falling for those
- 00:15:23kind of companies so it makes sense if
- 00:15:25we are at that inflection point um
- 00:15:28whereas people think the bull Market's
- 00:15:30over just because looking at what the
- 00:15:31indexes have done yeah because the large
- 00:15:33caps have led but uh I think if if like
- 00:15:36gtip can break away and start to Rally
- 00:15:38you're going to start to get more of
- 00:15:39that classic acting bull market where
- 00:15:41it's small mids high growth those kind
- 00:15:43of stocks that are really lifting off
- 00:15:45and leading the charge versus just the
- 00:15:47mag
- 00:15:48seven so I mean that that kind of gives
- 00:15:50us a good sense of your expectations for
- 00:15:52the market so if we can kind of switch
- 00:15:55gears because to a large degree
- 00:15:59feels like every Market has its kind of
- 00:16:01differences right um it's like oh uh I
- 00:16:04remember in 2018 uh we focus so much as
- 00:16:07growth investors sometimes on the
- 00:16:08earnings and it was like the market
- 00:16:10doesn't care about earnings that's you
- 00:16:12know oh that's so you know a decade ago
- 00:16:15it it was all about the sales and the
- 00:16:18the huge increases in sales and and
- 00:16:20everything like that and look we saw
- 00:16:21sometimes where people say oh it's the
- 00:16:23new economy like you know famous last
- 00:16:25words of uh you know 1999 and 2000 where
- 00:16:28oh oh business uh plans don't matter you
- 00:16:31just throw dotcom at your you know at
- 00:16:33the end of your name and that's your
- 00:16:34business plan um so there there's all
- 00:16:37these indicators sometimes that people
- 00:16:38can look at um and sometimes it's hard
- 00:16:41to figure out you know where where do I
- 00:16:43go which indicator should I use now
- 00:16:45because this indicator is best for this
- 00:16:47type of environment this indicator is
- 00:16:49best for this type of environment so how
- 00:16:52do you kind of cut through you know the
- 00:16:55noise really because there's all these
- 00:16:57different indicators you have available
- 00:16:58to you
- 00:16:59how do you figure out which ones to use
- 00:17:01you know so to the discussion we had
- 00:17:03before every cycle there's some kind of
- 00:17:05different driver right so this time
- 00:17:07around with inflation the rest earnings
- 00:17:08were more important than other Cycles
- 00:17:10when rates were at Z percent I mean you
- 00:17:12know who cares if earnings are five
- 00:17:13years from now there's no no cost for
- 00:17:15you know for interest anyways we'll just
- 00:17:16sit and we'll wait so that that it
- 00:17:19changes based on cycle and that's what
- 00:17:20can get confusing sometimes because you
- 00:17:22know if you look at just the past let's
- 00:17:24say you know the whole Co bull market
- 00:17:26all the stocks I took off were just
- 00:17:27anything that had Topline growth and it
- 00:17:29was all about the new trends and so each
- 00:17:32cycle um you need to adapt now there
- 00:17:35there's always every cycle going to be
- 00:17:36some stocks that are true to form let's
- 00:17:38say you want stocks with earnings You'll
- 00:17:40Always Find a couple of stocks that lead
- 00:17:41but if you really want to nail a market
- 00:17:44cycle it always helps to understand what
- 00:17:46investors are focusing on and and and it
- 00:17:49may not seem like um it makes a lot of
- 00:17:51sense that that their preferences would
- 00:17:53shift but again because of the economic
- 00:17:54Dynamics it does cause a shift in
- 00:17:56preferences so if you know that's why I
- 00:17:59think relative strength as a tool is the
- 00:18:01most the most important tool because it
- 00:18:03really helps you to um look at all the
- 00:18:06data that's coming in say okay these are
- 00:18:08the the data points we know are
- 00:18:09important we're always trying to figure
- 00:18:10out which companies are growing
- 00:18:12sustainably what investors are willing
- 00:18:14to pay but at the end of the day those
- 00:18:16that are leading in the market are the
- 00:18:17ones that are being rewarded by
- 00:18:18investors right now in this cycle yeah
- 00:18:21so as you're looking at all these
- 00:18:23different stocks and these potential
- 00:18:24stocks again this is always shifting if
- 00:18:26you can always kind of have that
- 00:18:27checklist and be like okay are they at
- 00:18:28least showing relative strength if yes
- 00:18:31it soon starts to become apparent that
- 00:18:32hey they're rewarding either large cap
- 00:18:33or they're rewarding small cap or
- 00:18:35they're report they're rewarding High uh
- 00:18:38Topline growth or earnings growth so
- 00:18:39that relative strength is really the
- 00:18:41important way to kind of double check
- 00:18:43what the theme is this cycle yeah and
- 00:18:46what I what I like about that approach
- 00:18:47because I couldn't agree more but what I
- 00:18:49like about that approach is you know
- 00:18:51sometimes you don't know it's not
- 00:18:52obvious until after the fact right it's
- 00:18:55you know so your signal is kind of like
- 00:18:57okay this is telling you where the money
- 00:18:59is going now you can kind of build a
- 00:19:01thesis as to why but you know look at
- 00:19:04what's happening first um and and react
- 00:19:06to that before you start coming up with
- 00:19:08the why it shouldn't or why it should or
- 00:19:11you know because because again you can
- 00:19:12rationalize yourself out of anything and
- 00:19:14I I often use the point that look you
- 00:19:17can give me some of these headlines
- 00:19:18ahead of time and it wouldn't help me
- 00:19:20the chart helps me but the headline
- 00:19:22doesn't because I I would think it would
- 00:19:24do something completely different um so
- 00:19:27Matt you kind of came up with uh your
- 00:19:29own little twist on on relative strength
- 00:19:32so I've got the Nvidia chart up uh and
- 00:19:34and this is from cuso insights um
- 00:19:37explain a little bit about what we're
- 00:19:38looking at I mean everyone knows kind of
- 00:19:39what's happening with the price but you
- 00:19:41have these blue shaded areas and and for
- 00:19:43people that are maybe listening to this
- 00:19:45you might want to go uh to the video and
- 00:19:47kind of check this out um again for
- 00:19:50those listening to the archive and you
- 00:19:51can find that at ww. investors.com
- 00:19:54podcast um or of course you can go to
- 00:19:56the YouTube um you know check out check
- 00:19:58account Matt's thing uh you can find it
- 00:20:00on our Twitter handles and uh everything
- 00:20:02like that but Matt C could you explain
- 00:20:04what we're looking at here uh much
- 00:20:06detail as you can this came back came up
- 00:20:09to me when I was I was a market maker
- 00:20:10early in my career and and a lot of
- 00:20:12stocks I worked with were precious metal
- 00:20:14stocks so gold stocks are interesting
- 00:20:16because gold itself is probably one of
- 00:20:18the least volatile instruments on the
- 00:20:20market whereas gold stocks are probably
- 00:20:22one of the most volatile in instruments
- 00:20:24in the market so if you just kind of
- 00:20:25looked at any Up Cycle anytime gold went
- 00:20:27up on the way up gold stocks will always
- 00:20:29outperform gold on a percentage basis
- 00:20:31and on the way down they'll always
- 00:20:32underperform so trying to run a regular
- 00:20:33relative strength analysis never really
- 00:20:35gave me that that good kind of
- 00:20:37information so what I started to kind of
- 00:20:39do every day was say okay what is the
- 00:20:40typical um you know volatility for these
- 00:20:43stocks that I'm tracking and I'd watched
- 00:20:45them very closely and so if gold was
- 00:20:47down on the day and the stock should
- 00:20:48let's say fall 3% but only fell 1% I say
- 00:20:51oh this is interesting it should have
- 00:20:52fallen a lot more given how volatile it
- 00:20:55was so by studying that sector in that
- 00:20:57weird spread between the the stocks and
- 00:20:59the asset gave me that interesting
- 00:21:01Insight so I kind of took that a step
- 00:21:03further and really it comes down to kind
- 00:21:04of studying Alpha instead of just
- 00:21:07relative strength so basically you take
- 00:21:09the stock and you look at how it's
- 00:21:11related to the index and you also adjust
- 00:21:13it for how volatile it is how jumpy it
- 00:21:15is and what I do is I look at a few
- 00:21:17different time frames I like to look at
- 00:21:19between three to six months to have a
- 00:21:20more recent reading but the blue shaded
- 00:21:22area is basically when there's like a
- 00:21:24critical threshold is passed where based
- 00:21:26on its relationship to the index and its
- 00:21:27volatility is it is it outperforming
- 00:21:30base for its uh based on its uh
- 00:21:33temperament if that's the case have a
- 00:21:35blue shaded background if not I don't so
- 00:21:38if you look at Nvidia here interestingly
- 00:21:40you can see in January it started to
- 00:21:42turn blue background it had a great run
- 00:21:43up even though we're still pretty close
- 00:21:46to the highs as of now this bad break is
- 00:21:49kind of telling us like hey you know
- 00:21:51given nvidia's you know relationship to
- 00:21:53the market and volatility this is this
- 00:21:54is a bad break so it's it's kind of lost
- 00:21:56that leadership role right now whereas a
- 00:21:58traditional ranking tool like an RS
- 00:22:00which just looks at percentage returns
- 00:22:02over the past 12 months Nvidia still
- 00:22:04looks great so this is kind of an
- 00:22:05interesting tool where it adjusts for
- 00:22:07the specific nature of the individual
- 00:22:10stocks and and so you you're using kind
- 00:22:13of a comparative at is what what's your
- 00:22:15bogey what what is your comparison that
- 00:22:17you're using because you mentioned gold
- 00:22:19versus gold stocks are you getting that
- 00:22:21minute or are you going broad just S&P
- 00:22:24500 so by default I found interestingly
- 00:22:26enough I I even found that I I said stud
- 00:22:28the same gold stocks versus the S&P it's
- 00:22:30really it seems to be whoever is
- 00:22:31outperforming the S&P is really getting
- 00:22:34like the money flow so if you want to be
- 00:22:35if you're a really nich investor and you
- 00:22:37say I just invest in gold stocks or in
- 00:22:39oil stocks or whatever you know you can
- 00:22:41change the point of reference you can
- 00:22:43see I'm GNA compare just to Gold but but
- 00:22:45by default I still always like to refer
- 00:22:47against the S&P 500 that's the the
- 00:22:50default index Everyone's Watching and
- 00:22:51that really helps to show where the big
- 00:22:53money is really rotating to and and why
- 00:22:57why do you use um for instance because
- 00:22:59there there's a lot of different
- 00:23:00measures of volatility um if you want to
- 00:23:02get into the options Market you can look
- 00:23:04at implied volatility looking forward
- 00:23:07you can look at historical volatility
- 00:23:09which people usually use standard
- 00:23:10deviation um you can look at uh some
- 00:23:13people like to look at the ATR the
- 00:23:14average true range over a certain number
- 00:23:17of periods to kind of say oh this is how
- 00:23:19much this stock tends to move um why why
- 00:23:23beta because beta has kind of two
- 00:23:26components to it it looks at both the
- 00:23:28volatil of the stock but it also looks
- 00:23:30at how much it's uh related to the index
- 00:23:33you're comparing it to so for example
- 00:23:35let's say you look at um a telecom
- 00:23:37company it may have low volatility so an
- 00:23:40ATR you know average true range or any
- 00:23:42kind of historical volatility would also
- 00:23:43kind of uh bring you to that conclusion
- 00:23:46but it may not be very correlated with
- 00:23:48the index so by kind of measuring versus
- 00:23:51the S&P but using both those components
- 00:23:53you really get interesting Insight so
- 00:23:55you just brought up uh BCE which is a
- 00:23:57Canadian uh Telecom company and they
- 00:23:59have a really high yield I think at
- 00:24:00their lows was like a 9% interest rate
- 00:24:03yield dividend yield okay which it
- 00:24:04sounds crazy but I mean they're they're
- 00:24:06I think probably the largest Telecom in
- 00:24:08the country so they're a sizable player
- 00:24:09with that yield and you can see they've
- 00:24:11underperformed the entire cycle and
- 00:24:13before people you know start saying
- 00:24:15blame Canada or you know bad things
- 00:24:17about Canada Matt is you know he's in
- 00:24:20Canada right now so it's you know keep
- 00:24:23your comments uh very very friendly okay
- 00:24:26to to our Canadian neighbor
- 00:24:29so so this is a large Telecom so large
- 00:24:31Telecom uh High div yield this has just
- 00:24:33been completely out of favor because you
- 00:24:36know with with rates going up if you can
- 00:24:37get 5% with the government you know why
- 00:24:39take the risk of an individual stock and
- 00:24:41that's what's led to this dislocation
- 00:24:43but it's interesting you can see that um
- 00:24:45coming off of the bottom even in this
- 00:24:47chart here if you look at last fall you
- 00:24:49saw there was a rally from you know
- 00:24:50October into January but the blue
- 00:24:52background never came on because the S&P
- 00:24:54was still pretty strong during that
- 00:24:56period however if you look at right now
- 00:24:59coming off the bottom we're starting to
- 00:25:00get the initial signs that hey we're
- 00:25:02starting to outperform here I mean a
- 00:25:04traditional chartist would look at this
- 00:25:05and be like whoa this is a still in a
- 00:25:07strong downtrend but there are signs
- 00:25:09that we're improving on a relative basis
- 00:25:12for this stocks volatility versus the
- 00:25:13S&P so this when going through a lot of
- 00:25:15charts uh especially at turning points
- 00:25:18in the market where Nvidia has been the
- 00:25:19clear you know dominant king of this
- 00:25:22market and you're looking at this you're
- 00:25:23saying hey this is fallen out and you
- 00:25:26know who's falling into relative
- 00:25:27strength and it starts to kind of again
- 00:25:29like we said you know figuring out for
- 00:25:31the new cycle it seems like every three
- 00:25:33to six months there's a new kind of
- 00:25:34cycle that will take you know uh
- 00:25:36investors attention you help to kind of
- 00:25:38build that thesis like you said okay
- 00:25:39well what's driving is is it more
- 00:25:41interest rate sensitive stocks is the
- 00:25:42market finally pricing in rate cuts for
- 00:25:44real again you know they dialed it back
- 00:25:46earlier in the year if that's the case
- 00:25:47it's going to lead to new winners uh you
- 00:25:49know this is a maybe a a value type of
- 00:25:52play but again going to even individual
- 00:25:54grow stocks you'll start to see that hey
- 00:25:55wow this is really kind of uh hitting
- 00:25:57new groups that weren't participating
- 00:25:59before well and you know to your point
- 00:26:01sometimes that can let let you know
- 00:26:04growth isn't being favored value is
- 00:26:05being favored you know a lot of times uh
- 00:26:08on our general markets page for for
- 00:26:09folks that aren't aware of this uh we
- 00:26:11have our general markets indicators page
- 00:26:13and two uh two Graphics that bill used
- 00:26:16to really like to look at one was um
- 00:26:19basically growth versus value you know
- 00:26:21he used a a simple growth fund versus a
- 00:26:24value fund when the line was going up
- 00:26:26growth was outperforming when the line
- 00:26:28was going down value was outperforming
- 00:26:30um you know or you could also do that
- 00:26:32with big caps versus small caps it kind
- 00:26:34of gives you that sense you know because
- 00:26:36again at the end of the day a relative
- 00:26:38strength really is just a ratio right
- 00:26:40it's just with you know this this number
- 00:26:43over this number which one if it's going
- 00:26:46up the top number is outperforming and
- 00:26:48you know opposite the other way um talk
- 00:26:52to me a little bit about like especially
- 00:26:53on
- 00:26:54BCE you know this seems like it had
- 00:26:57these short blips you know recently a
- 00:26:59short blip and then oh not not not quite
- 00:27:02a short blip not quite now we're in
- 00:27:04another one of these blue shaded areas
- 00:27:06how do you know how how long is enough
- 00:27:09time to say oh this is really catching
- 00:27:11on now as opposed to oh you had one bad
- 00:27:14day people kind of like were you know
- 00:27:17were scared a little bit or a few bad
- 00:27:19days they went defensive how do you know
- 00:27:21it's a real Trend how many days I guess
- 00:27:25yeah so that's why this tool looks at
- 00:27:27like both kind of one- month readings as
- 00:27:29well as six-month readings so it's it's
- 00:27:31a blend of time frames but another like
- 00:27:33way I like to use it as well to kind of
- 00:27:35get again is the theme broader or is it
- 00:27:37just one stock story if you bring up
- 00:27:39other chart uh AMT which is an American
- 00:27:42um uh you know provider of antennas and
- 00:27:44all all the other kind of Telecom
- 00:27:46infrastructure if you can start seeing
- 00:27:48it you know that those kind of turns
- 00:27:50happening in other stocks in the group
- 00:27:52as well so say oh I think there's a
- 00:27:53little more of a broader stock uh group
- 00:27:55move here than just one individual stock
- 00:27:58so that's a nice thing kind of being
- 00:27:59able to compare different stocks within
- 00:28:01the same group will bring also different
- 00:28:03insights as well instead of just looking
- 00:28:05at the stock by
- 00:28:06itself and you know to your point like
- 00:28:09in terms of one of these areas that does
- 00:28:11seem to be favored right now REITs are
- 00:28:14are a big area um you know xlre if you
- 00:28:17look at the sector spider funds or uh
- 00:28:19one of the things we did with David Ryan
- 00:28:21today on IBD live is he was just like
- 00:28:24okay look at look at the market surge
- 00:28:26growth 250 and you know percent off high
- 00:28:30and the stocks that were the least off
- 00:28:32their highs filled with REITs filled
- 00:28:35with financial specialty filled with
- 00:28:37insurance um filled with utilities uh
- 00:28:40electric power so those you know there's
- 00:28:43just a lot of different ways to come at
- 00:28:45this in terms of what's holding up best
- 00:28:48um that's one way I think this is
- 00:28:50another great way of doing it kind of
- 00:28:52again making that adjustment uh you can
- 00:28:54use Market surge charts and look at the
- 00:28:56relative strength line again a very simp
- 00:28:58ratio uh you can put me moving averages
- 00:29:00on them um so there there's a lot of
- 00:29:03different ways to come at this but at
- 00:29:05the end of the day once you figure out
- 00:29:07okay something's happening then what
- 00:29:11what's your next step how do you how do
- 00:29:12you use this information to again does
- 00:29:15this kind of go to that bottomup
- 00:29:16approach you say okay here are the areas
- 00:29:18that I'm
- 00:29:19noticing that are moving the money is
- 00:29:21Flowing to them this is my list or I
- 00:29:25mean if you're a growth investor and
- 00:29:27growth is isn't working do you just say
- 00:29:29okay I'm going to St cash for now you
- 00:29:31know I think that comes down to again uh
- 00:29:34Bill's methodology which is always Rings
- 00:29:36true is is you have to find the leader
- 00:29:37of the cycle no matter what it is so you
- 00:29:40know last cycle was Nvidia this time
- 00:29:42around we're seeing these different
- 00:29:43stocks kind of move higher and you know
- 00:29:45who's the leader of of this cycle even
- 00:29:47if there is this trend taking off it's
- 00:29:49interesting even looking at like all the
- 00:29:50you know the REITs and the rest of the
- 00:29:51stocks we're looking at like you
- 00:29:53mentioned it brings out I think what is
- 00:29:55like um a key principle of the market it
- 00:29:58it doesn't matter what you did in the
- 00:29:59past it's all about what's coming next
- 00:30:00so yeah you know earnings and sales are
- 00:30:02always a great tool to see it's kind of
- 00:30:04like a um you know your track record
- 00:30:06right a company's track record and it's
- 00:30:07just a way to figure out know are you
- 00:30:09gonna keep being this winner if you've
- 00:30:11done it before chances are you'll do it
- 00:30:12again but at turning points sometimes
- 00:30:14and usually driven by bonds because
- 00:30:15bonds are you know have a big impact on
- 00:30:17so many stocks and and their earnings
- 00:30:20sometimes you know by the time the ccal
- 00:30:22by the time they have great earnings the
- 00:30:23move is over because then after they're
- 00:30:24back to fully they're priced fully back
- 00:30:26to to normal so these turns you know
- 00:30:28sometimes you're seeing these reats in
- 00:30:29in different companies and you're saying
- 00:30:31you can't understand they they don't
- 00:30:32have great numbers yet what's going on
- 00:30:34it's investors anticipating that falling
- 00:30:36interest rates are GNA you know boost
- 00:30:37their earnings in the future it it's
- 00:30:39also going to make them more attractive
- 00:30:40as their dividend yields relative to
- 00:30:42interest rates are going to be higher
- 00:30:44and so those are some key themes now you
- 00:30:45can take it a step further and say okay
- 00:30:48well I I don't want to just invest in
- 00:30:49the utility I who's growing that has big
- 00:30:52growth numbers that's in that theme who
- 00:30:55who's exploiting that theme and also has
- 00:30:58a long-term kind of secular growth Trend
- 00:31:01uh that's benefiting so if you're you
- 00:31:02know talking utilities those utilities
- 00:31:04you know towards energy generation
- 00:31:06that's gonna support AI growth that's a
- 00:31:08way you can kind of tie in two themes
- 00:31:10together to try and find true leaders
- 00:31:12versus just a beaten up stock that's
- 00:31:14bouncing off the bottom so really kind
- 00:31:15of building this Mosaic picture looking
- 00:31:17at different things that maybe at first
- 00:31:20glance aren't related but trying to kind
- 00:31:22of build that thesis with all these
- 00:31:23different data points if you can catch
- 00:31:25on early in the trend what's going on
- 00:31:28then that really allows you to get to
- 00:31:29those key leaders which is again looking
- 00:31:31at Nvidia in the past year all you had
- 00:31:33to do was be in Nvidia and you you had a
- 00:31:34good ride right um so you know to that
- 00:31:38point uh one of the things you and I
- 00:31:39were talking about earlier is you know
- 00:31:41again when you're kind of approaching
- 00:31:42this this theme uh thematic approach um
- 00:31:47you kind of were likening this back to
- 00:31:49the the Heyday of the internet right the
- 00:31:511990s where you did have a lot of this
- 00:31:54infrastructure starting things out um
- 00:31:57you know what what what was it Ascend
- 00:31:58with the switches Cisco you know with
- 00:32:01the networking capabilities and then um
- 00:32:04now you you know after that you got kind
- 00:32:06of the consumer products like Yahoo and
- 00:32:10AOL and you know and and the search
- 00:32:12engines um you know at one point
- 00:32:15remember we were it was all about Yahoo
- 00:32:16and ask G's right I remember that yeah
- 00:32:19things like that you know and again you
- 00:32:21never know sometimes who is gonna be the
- 00:32:24winner of of some of these um you know I
- 00:32:26mean Qualcomm was the by far in a way
- 00:32:30the chip leader because of what they
- 00:32:31were doing in phones um you know and you
- 00:32:34just you you just sometimes don't know
- 00:32:36so I guess there's that um Balancing Act
- 00:32:40of being early enough to kind of catch
- 00:32:43the majority of the trend but not being
- 00:32:46too early to where it's not apparent who
- 00:32:50who's going to lead or or what's going
- 00:32:52to lead sometimes it's a little bit of a
- 00:32:55mismatch as people are trying to figure
- 00:32:57out the theme still so how do you kind
- 00:32:59of learn from that past uh that past
- 00:33:02experience in the 90s and apply it to
- 00:33:04something like AI today I think I think
- 00:33:07we're fortunate because um if you were
- 00:33:10in you know trading in the 90s there
- 00:33:11there wasn't a perfect parallel like
- 00:33:13like a um a growth industry that was
- 00:33:16going to grow that fast so we can look
- 00:33:18back at the internet and what you had
- 00:33:20was the initial infrastructure wave that
- 00:33:22then led to Consumer products like you
- 00:33:23mentioned like the yahoos and the rest
- 00:33:25and then you also had a secondary
- 00:33:27infrastructure wave like Qualcomm you
- 00:33:28mentioned that they only had their big
- 00:33:29move like way late in the 90s yeah and
- 00:33:31also you know originally you know Cisco
- 00:33:33was the big winner but late on late on
- 00:33:35you had like um uh Lucent Nell networks
- 00:33:38where ethernet people demanded faster
- 00:33:40internet so um looking at the current
- 00:33:44cycle nvidia's been that initial leader
- 00:33:45but if you get too fixated on the leader
- 00:33:48from one part of the cycle you sometimes
- 00:33:50you know the opportunity for that leader
- 00:33:51gets fully priced in and then there's
- 00:33:53these new upstarts that come around that
- 00:33:54have these incredible advances so I
- 00:33:57think we had wave one uh even with
- 00:34:00Nvidia I think there was news recently
- 00:34:01about the antitrust and all the rest so
- 00:34:03it's kind of you get so big so fast and
- 00:34:05you run into some other different issues
- 00:34:06but there's always going to be someone
- 00:34:07who's new who's coming to the market
- 00:34:09who's going to provide a new angle to
- 00:34:11make the chips even faster or what I
- 00:34:13think is the next stage is we're going
- 00:34:15to start to see the fruits of all this
- 00:34:16massive capex so you know you're looking
- 00:34:19at companies like Tesla where musk is
- 00:34:21deploying these AI clusters yeah Nvidia
- 00:34:24benefited now because he bought all
- 00:34:26these thousands of of chips from them
- 00:34:28but at the end of the day if you can't
- 00:34:29turn all that into a profit you know
- 00:34:30they Nvidia won't keep selling those
- 00:34:32chips so you know someone's going to be
- 00:34:34generating some incredible products and
- 00:34:37that's going to create a whole new wave
- 00:34:38of opportunity so we need to be we can't
- 00:34:40just get too fixated on one leader
- 00:34:42because as that theme unfolds if you
- 00:34:44look at the 90s there's always you know
- 00:34:46each person will build on the person
- 00:34:48that came before and you know Joe fam's
- 00:34:50been on the show often I always like to
- 00:34:51listen to what Joe says and and he talks
- 00:34:53about how nowadays investor sentiment
- 00:34:55shifts faster than before I feel also
- 00:34:58you know um again with AI and all the
- 00:35:01rest techn technology grows or changes a
- 00:35:04lot faster than it did before so maybe
- 00:35:05saying that the internet was a 10 12
- 00:35:07year rollout we're probably G to see a
- 00:35:09lot faster rapid change going on to new
- 00:35:12names than we did in the 90s as well so
- 00:35:14I think it's gonna be really interesting
- 00:35:16the next few years yeah and and to that
- 00:35:18point I mean there were so many in 2021
- 00:35:22right there were all these IPOs spaxs
- 00:35:25the special purpose acquisition
- 00:35:26companies and and then 2022 that spot
- 00:35:30dried up it was like nothing and it did
- 00:35:33remind me of you know the internet kind
- 00:35:35of thing where you saw the late 90s
- 00:35:37everyone was coming out with IPO and
- 00:35:39again slapping doc on their name and
- 00:35:42that was their business plan and then
- 00:35:44nothing it was just like this desert IPO
- 00:35:47desert for a while so um how how closely
- 00:35:51you're are you watching that IPO Market
- 00:35:53as kind of like oh you know now the now
- 00:35:56the next wave is kind of starting yeah
- 00:35:59I'm watching that closely and I'm also
- 00:36:01watching what companies uh that are a
- 00:36:03little bit larger because if if you look
- 00:36:04at all the you know Nvidia and all the
- 00:36:07leaders so far are the biggest market
- 00:36:09caps of the market there's going to be
- 00:36:10rotation to new names IPO Market's going
- 00:36:12to be really interesting because it's
- 00:36:13been so quiet but at the same time you
- 00:36:16know the money that's going to rotate
- 00:36:17out of Nvidia won't necessarily want to
- 00:36:19rotate into a very small cap or micro
- 00:36:22cap you know IPO type of opportunity so
- 00:36:25I think trying to look at who the key
- 00:36:26winners are going to be have more
- 00:36:28substantial market caps I think that's
- 00:36:30probably going to be the next wave
- 00:36:32because you know from from a consumer
- 00:36:34perspective and an investor perspective
- 00:36:36there's that trust Factor people have to
- 00:36:37feel like okay you know we're actually G
- 00:36:39to get something for this capex you know
- 00:36:41this person's actually able to come to
- 00:36:42markco with a a product that's gonna be
- 00:36:45a real earnings driver in the future so
- 00:36:47I'm looking at you know I think Elon
- 00:36:49Musk again even something like the robo
- 00:36:52taxi which he's going to unveil or
- 00:36:53supposed to unveil October 10th that's
- 00:36:56really an AI problem
- 00:36:58and and you know if there's anyone who
- 00:36:59has kind of that finger on the pulse of
- 00:37:02a a future Tech I mean I think musk is
- 00:37:05someone who could possibly solve that
- 00:37:07it's a lot of wh ifs because the
- 00:37:09products are not around yet but AI is
- 00:37:10moving at such a Breakneck Pace um you
- 00:37:13have to kind of start to anticipate you
- 00:37:15know who could really be the big Winners
- 00:37:16and and I think robot tax it could be
- 00:37:18one uh Uber could also benefit they
- 00:37:21recently signed a deal where they're
- 00:37:22going to be um with GM as one of the
- 00:37:25places where people can kind of uh hire
- 00:37:28these uh autonomous vehicles to pick
- 00:37:30them up or whatnot uh there's there's
- 00:37:32some you know some small upstarts like
- 00:37:33serve SCV they have like these kind of
- 00:37:36Last Mile little delivery robotic type
- 00:37:38Vehicles there's a lot of different kind
- 00:37:39of interesting ways these real world AI
- 00:37:42is going to start to come into play H
- 00:37:44but I think musk is probably going to be
- 00:37:46the first one that's going to be big
- 00:37:48liquid and an opportunity for scale that
- 00:37:50people are gonna be looking at so I
- 00:37:51think that October 10th is going to be
- 00:37:53really important to see how this AI is
- 00:37:55coming to fruition in the real world
- 00:37:57instead of just in theory so let let's
- 00:38:00let's dive a little bit more into the
- 00:38:01into the stocks and I I think it's again
- 00:38:03such an interesting point that you're
- 00:38:05making here um because um you know I
- 00:38:08mean I think back to again if we use the
- 00:38:1090s as an example it was it was very
- 00:38:13different uh then because you had your
- 00:38:17your market cap leaders were things like
- 00:38:20Exxon Mobile you know I mean it was it
- 00:38:23was uh it's hard to you know it's I saw
- 00:38:26this um
- 00:38:28I I I don't know where I saw it but it
- 00:38:30it was really interesting it was kind of
- 00:38:31like your your market cap leaders uh
- 00:38:34your top 10 or 15 or something like that
- 00:38:36over time and I was I was stunned to see
- 00:38:40how many of the market cap leaders in
- 00:38:43the 9s I mean it was it was a while
- 00:38:45before you had like the the IBM the
- 00:38:47Intel you know uh and again like the Dow
- 00:38:50Jones Industrial Average even sometimes
- 00:38:52it's kind of late to the game in terms
- 00:38:54of oh we'll add you on and it's like oh
- 00:38:56okay well yeah after the move is done
- 00:38:59yeah but um let's talk about a little
- 00:39:02bit more of the stocks I mean you you
- 00:39:04you mentioned Tesla already and and I I
- 00:39:06gotta I gotta say like there there are
- 00:39:08certainly some of the things like um
- 00:39:11even with SpaceX where when when I when
- 00:39:13I first saw that like Falcon 9 like land
- 00:39:16I I was like I got goosebumps I was like
- 00:39:19oh my gosh you know how how does this
- 00:39:21change things going forward and uh I
- 00:39:25think you know some people were thinking
- 00:39:26that with you know AI uh the the chat
- 00:39:29GPT um and and starting to think of oh
- 00:39:32what kind of different things can I do
- 00:39:34with this and and seeing some of the i i
- 00:39:38my my daughter is going to college and
- 00:39:41I'm thinking of some of the ways in
- 00:39:42which she can use AI to study that are
- 00:39:46so I mean she can just hit record on a
- 00:39:49lecture have ai come up with a whole
- 00:39:52study guide for her um flashcards you
- 00:39:55know all these different things it's
- 00:39:56just you know I mean sometimes I think
- 00:39:58unfair you know I wish I had that but um
- 00:40:01so so back to Tesla a little bit so I
- 00:40:04guess part of the problem sometimes is
- 00:40:07the story can be so enticing you know
- 00:40:10it's sometimes I get sucked in it's like
- 00:40:12oh this is amazing I mean I was a I was
- 00:40:13a big sci-fi fan when I was little you
- 00:40:16know I I read hline and azimov and um
- 00:40:19and you're you know I loved Back to the
- 00:40:21Future when they go to 2015 and it's
- 00:40:23like oh my gosh look at look at how the
- 00:40:25future is you know so cool and stuff um
- 00:40:29how do you kind of separate the story
- 00:40:31between oh it's it's really happening
- 00:40:33the investors are rewarding this and
- 00:40:36it's not just
- 00:40:37hype well first of all I know you know
- 00:40:41obviously just hype alone is a negative
- 00:40:43you have to produce something but if you
- 00:40:44look at every cycle the really big
- 00:40:46movers are always stocks that somewhat
- 00:40:49kind of capture the imagination of
- 00:40:50people for good or for bad like in in
- 00:40:52the let's say going back to 1970s it was
- 00:40:54really worry about OPEC and you know gas
- 00:40:56lines and was what was on people's minds
- 00:40:58or you know the the 90s the internet I
- 00:41:00mean it was computers like a computer it
- 00:41:02was it was really dramatic kind of stuff
- 00:41:04so I I think Ai and looking at things
- 00:41:07like an auto an autonomous vehicle does
- 00:41:09capture the imagination and it has
- 00:41:11incredible real world applications but
- 00:41:13you know you can't just fall for hype
- 00:41:15it's it's important so that I think
- 00:41:18relative strength plays a part of a role
- 00:41:20but I think this is also where you have
- 00:41:23to understand what management is you
- 00:41:24have to hear what they're articulating
- 00:41:25if if they can't really show path to
- 00:41:28profitability it's probably a stock
- 00:41:30that's going to have a quick run and
- 00:41:31then drop I mean the reason Nvidia you
- 00:41:33know went up so far and is retained its
- 00:41:35gains to date or got you know companies
- 00:41:37like Microsoft and the rest is because
- 00:41:39they've delivered those earnings
- 00:41:40eventually so you know that's I think
- 00:41:42where you have to dis delivered but like
- 00:41:44went Way Beyond like smashed
- 00:41:48expectations you but if you look at in
- 00:41:50apple early like 2003 with iPod it was a
- 00:41:53new invention like no one knew iPhone
- 00:41:55was going to come around and iPad and
- 00:41:56all this kind of stuff so at first it
- 00:41:58was really okay we can see how music can
- 00:42:00be changed and we can instead of a CD be
- 00:42:02in a you know a a hard drive device
- 00:42:04basically and and then after but you
- 00:42:06know Steve Jobs was able to kind of do
- 00:42:07it at scale profitably so again having
- 00:42:10your pulse on what key themes could be
- 00:42:12sometimes the move is enough it's
- 00:42:14substantial enough where hey maybe they
- 00:42:16never get to you know profitability but
- 00:42:18it's a still a 200% move and that's
- 00:42:20that's still a good enough of a trade
- 00:42:21depends your your wheelhouse but I think
- 00:42:23if you're more concerned this is where
- 00:42:25again you can use relative strength to
- 00:42:26find different winners and I think
- 00:42:28another interesting stock is gev GE
- 00:42:31Renova which is an energy generation
- 00:42:33company there was a recent split GE
- 00:42:35recently split into three companies
- 00:42:37right and um I think that they're the
- 00:42:39highest growth um company of the three
- 00:42:42and they're just focused on electricity
- 00:42:44generation they have the oil gas um
- 00:42:45segment they have Renewables and they
- 00:42:47also have small modular reactors which
- 00:42:49is nuclear so they really basically
- 00:42:51whatever whatever segment is going to
- 00:42:53win in the future they have a hand in it
- 00:42:54already and they're already profitable
- 00:42:56they have big earnings uh growth coming
- 00:42:58down the pipe and I just love a company
- 00:43:01you know this goes back to um the book
- 00:43:03you could be a stock market genius too
- 00:43:04by uh Joel greenblat where he talks
- 00:43:07about how you know spin-offs are a great
- 00:43:10sign that management cares about
- 00:43:11shareholders you know most CEOs just
- 00:43:13want a bigger company to manage if they
- 00:43:14went out of their way to break up a
- 00:43:16company and have a smaller Kingdom to
- 00:43:18rule over it's because they really think
- 00:43:20it's in the best interest of what the
- 00:43:21stocks can do so GE splitting into three
- 00:43:24gives it more Focus uh it's young stock
- 00:43:27but I think a lot of flows are going to
- 00:43:28come its way I think it was just was
- 00:43:29upgraded today by Jeff if I'm not
- 00:43:31mistaken and I think there's a great way
- 00:43:33you can play AI as a theme in regards to
- 00:43:37it's just going to be more and more
- 00:43:38electricity generation whether it's must
- 00:43:41that pulls it off whether it's Invidia
- 00:43:43selling more chips or whatever it is if
- 00:43:45AI is going to be what people think it
- 00:43:46will turn into we're going to need more
- 00:43:48electricity and so I think G ver NOA is
- 00:43:50an interesting way you can focus on
- 00:43:52earnings and still be in that
- 00:43:54Trend um yeah it's it's interesting that
- 00:43:57you say that because you know I I I feel
- 00:43:59like for a while there spin-offs were
- 00:44:00kind of given a uh a short shrift
- 00:44:03because it was kind of like oh you're
- 00:44:04you're really trying to get rid of the
- 00:44:06junkie stuff and you know it's it's like
- 00:44:09okay this this this is just we'll look
- 00:44:11better if we get rid of some of this
- 00:44:12junkie stuff but in in the case of GE it
- 00:44:14really was kind of like these are such I
- 00:44:17mean GE was so many things I mean it was
- 00:44:20in Diversified operations because it had
- 00:44:23jet jet engines um it had uh NBC it had
- 00:44:28you know light bulbs it had like you
- 00:44:30know all these different things and now
- 00:44:31it's kind of like oh you can kind of
- 00:44:33understand a little bit more like oh
- 00:44:35this is what this company does instead
- 00:44:37of like oh it just does a little bit of
- 00:44:38everything um yeah but uh you know to
- 00:44:41that end um M 3M seems like it's kind of
- 00:44:45taking a uh taking a page from the the P
- 00:44:48the the the the Playbook of GE and you
- 00:44:51know it just recently did a a spin-off I
- 00:44:53do have a position in 3M myself um and
- 00:44:56uh yeah it is interesting to see how
- 00:44:59this kind of plays out from oh let's
- 00:45:02consolidate consolidate and get as big
- 00:45:03as possible and yeah you know now there
- 00:45:06is some of these concerns as you
- 00:45:07mentioned with Nvidia antitrust uh
- 00:45:10Google antitrust right um is there kind
- 00:45:13of another wave of hey you know you guys
- 00:45:15are getting too big and you know if you
- 00:45:18don't break yourselves up someone else
- 00:45:21will uh kind of thing I'm thinking of
- 00:45:23back in Theodore Roosevelt's days with
- 00:45:25the you know with with with a STI you
- 00:45:27know um but well you know going back to
- 00:45:29the original uh trust that was broken
- 00:45:31which was Standard Oil I mean it was the
- 00:45:32big initial of case and and when those
- 00:45:34companies were broken up all the big
- 00:45:35oils we know today were all Standard Oil
- 00:45:37originally yeah once they were broken up
- 00:45:39they were much more valuable if you
- 00:45:40added them all up broken up than when
- 00:45:41they were conom that really unlocked a
- 00:45:43lot of value that was kind of one of the
- 00:45:44first case studies of how that worked
- 00:45:46out and um so I mean but you know
- 00:45:49whether it's Nvidia whether they're
- 00:45:50broken up whether it's uh not that it's
- 00:45:52going to happen tomorrow or anything but
- 00:45:53whether AMD comes up with a competing
- 00:45:55chip or or so if the end result is more
- 00:45:58electricity generation because AI is
- 00:46:00really solving real world problems then
- 00:46:03someone like gev has the opportunity to
- 00:46:06supply that electricity and you should
- 00:46:07get continued earnings growth over the
- 00:46:09coming years so I think gev is an
- 00:46:10interesting way to play both a move into
- 00:46:12utilities and that more secular AI theme
- 00:46:15yeah um one more stock uh to cover and
- 00:46:18and you know what I I really appreciate
- 00:46:20the folks that did join us live um there
- 00:46:22there's a few names that I recognize uh
- 00:46:24you know from our ibid Live Crew uh so
- 00:46:26some regulars there um you know some
- 00:46:28people giving comments about uh looking
- 00:46:31at Dan IES uh you know saying that hey
- 00:46:33the AI theme you know Dan IV saying it's
- 00:46:36bottom of the first top of the second
- 00:46:38inning you know that's a lot of game
- 00:46:40left to play here um uh you know folks
- 00:46:43mentioning your your point about the
- 00:46:44monetization I mean let's think about um
- 00:46:47you know meta someone brought up you
- 00:46:49know Facebook and you know this this is
- 00:46:51an example we've used before but you
- 00:46:53know if you go back to the original IPO
- 00:46:57here it was you know it was a it was an
- 00:47:00ugly start you know from the IPO even
- 00:47:03though they had such market share yeah
- 00:47:04it didn't matter until right here oh
- 00:47:07guess what we know how to monetize this
- 00:47:10now right and that that kind of changed
- 00:47:12everything um so kind of a a big AI name
- 00:47:18um is paler uh pltr and to your earlier
- 00:47:22point about volatility I mean this you
- 00:47:25know paler i' played it a few times and
- 00:47:28I have not done well because right the
- 00:47:31volatility a lot of times Shake shakes
- 00:47:33me out if if I if I buy it on a pullback
- 00:47:36I do much better if I buy it on a
- 00:47:38breakout I'm I'm toast it's it's not
- 00:47:40gonna happen uh because the volatility
- 00:47:42just shakes me out so what what is it
- 00:47:43about paler that you like so to your
- 00:47:47point about volatility sometimes you
- 00:47:48come to Market and the valuation is just
- 00:47:50so excessive kind of like a meta it just
- 00:47:52takes time for that to catch up and and
- 00:47:54and as new Tailwinds build if you look
- 00:47:56at at what paler has been doing uh they
- 00:47:58partnered with the unit UK's Health uh
- 00:48:01system a lot of other hospitals the way
- 00:48:03they've been able to reduce weight times
- 00:48:04and increase efficiencies in hospitals
- 00:48:06those are real world case studies of how
- 00:48:08AI can take big data and bring really
- 00:48:11meaningful results and if you're going
- 00:48:14to be bringing AI to a lot of companies
- 00:48:16yeah upstart there's always going to be
- 00:48:17room for new upstarts but if you're
- 00:48:19large organizations and you want to
- 00:48:20incorporate AI it's not like the
- 00:48:22internet era where it at first was just
- 00:48:24a website if you're going to have
- 00:48:25something with your data you want
- 00:48:26someone you can trust someone who can
- 00:48:27get the right insights you want someone
- 00:48:30at paler scale to pull that off um so I
- 00:48:33think they have a big opportunity
- 00:48:34they're already showing how they're
- 00:48:35extracting real value from using Ai and
- 00:48:38another Tailwind which is you know it's
- 00:48:40it's not always what you want to see but
- 00:48:41you know going back to um you know
- 00:48:43what's going on around you in the world
- 00:48:45the Peter Lynch Theory see what you see
- 00:48:46in front of you if you look at the kind
- 00:48:48of Russian Ukrainian War so much of that
- 00:48:51has become like this drone Warfare oh
- 00:48:53yeah and paler has just signed some
- 00:48:54recent contracts with the US defense
- 00:48:56department if you listen to the CEO I
- 00:48:58mean he's very cognizant about which
- 00:49:00countries are even allowed to use their
- 00:49:02software for defense purposes so I mean
- 00:49:04if you have a software that's in such
- 00:49:05demand that you can choose who your
- 00:49:07customers are going to be think of you
- 00:49:09know race a Ferrari uh that's a good
- 00:49:11example of someone who gets to choose
- 00:49:12who their customers are that that really
- 00:49:15uh yeah that really signals that you
- 00:49:17have a product that brings value and so
- 00:49:20again looking forward I think paler has
- 00:49:21its fingers on both kind of consumer
- 00:49:23applications and defense applications
- 00:49:26and again if you look at that war and
- 00:49:27how it's become kind of like a drone War
- 00:49:30um and everything that everyone's
- 00:49:32developing you know AI is going to be
- 00:49:34needed for defense and consumers I think
- 00:49:36paler is touching multiple themes I
- 00:49:38think it's caught up a little bit in
- 00:49:40terms of the valuation which was a
- 00:49:41little bit overhot at um at the IPO and
- 00:49:45also I think just AI is starting to grow
- 00:49:47in a more mature way where they can
- 00:49:49finally now you know kick off on new
- 00:49:51trends and Lead that space whereas maybe
- 00:49:53that was still a newer concept even
- 00:49:56three or four years years ago so I think
- 00:49:57paler and again in terms of relative
- 00:50:00strength you're seeing this is leading
- 00:50:02now this is still sitting near its highs
- 00:50:04whereas stocks like Nvidia have broken
- 00:50:06lower off of their
- 00:50:08highs yeah um and and this is this is
- 00:50:11one that really kind of seemed like it
- 00:50:13um got a lot of institutional following
- 00:50:16very very early on um you know it was
- 00:50:20just not not that this matters that much
- 00:50:23but I I'll share with you that one of
- 00:50:24the things for a while there um if if
- 00:50:27you wanted to write an article and you
- 00:50:28wanted it to get a lot of hits paler was
- 00:50:31the clickbait like I mean put paler in
- 00:50:33the name and it didn't matter how bad
- 00:50:36the chart looked you put paler on the
- 00:50:37name and it was like your article's
- 00:50:39gonna do okay you know kind of thing um
- 00:50:41so to the point where you almost don't
- 00:50:43want to bring up the symbol but when you
- 00:50:44really see like a change of character
- 00:50:46you know it's not bringing up the symbol
- 00:50:48just for the sake of the symbol whereas
- 00:50:49you can see like other times it was
- 00:50:50clearly lagging the General market this
- 00:50:52is one versus NASDAQ versus AI names
- 00:50:55like you know this is holding up
- 00:50:57stronger now recently so it's one one to
- 00:50:59watch is I I do think they have like the
- 00:51:00potential here so um in that regard do
- 00:51:04you again because of its higher
- 00:51:07volatility um how do you how do you kind
- 00:51:10of do your entry on something like that
- 00:51:13and I'm asking for a
- 00:51:15friend you need to step lightly and
- 00:51:17there there's never really a a perfect
- 00:51:20solution but the way I build into um all
- 00:51:23stocks is I never put on a full position
- 00:51:25all at once I'll always uh you know if I
- 00:51:27think it's a proper breakout I'll start
- 00:51:28with a breakout or or you know paler I
- 00:51:30bought this just recently on the
- 00:51:31pullback at around 30 and a qu 30 just
- 00:51:33around $30 a couple of days ago um and
- 00:51:36so that's kind of like the first step in
- 00:51:38if it's working and your profits are
- 00:51:40building if this is going to be a big
- 00:51:41big winner you're gonna have a lot of
- 00:51:42opportunity so because the volatility so
- 00:51:45high I I wait to get some profit cushion
- 00:51:47then I use that to my you know to to
- 00:51:50unlock the ability to add more money to
- 00:51:51the stock just kind of plunging
- 00:51:53aggressively in a stock like this can
- 00:51:55can be a little bit more difficult so
- 00:51:57that's kind of where a gev is where you
- 00:51:59can get a little more aggressive out of
- 00:52:00the gate with a stock like that versus a
- 00:52:02paler yeah and um uh one one of our one
- 00:52:05of our listeners right now was
- 00:52:06mentioning that Joe fi kind of said a
- 00:52:08similar thing you mentioned Joe FY
- 00:52:10earlier and it was just basically like
- 00:52:11yeah if you're gonna do follow if you're
- 00:52:12going to do more volatile stocks you
- 00:52:14know like paler uh you got to step
- 00:52:16lightly you have to you know start with
- 00:52:18smaller position sizes and um a few a
- 00:52:21few people were also mentioning that
- 00:52:22paler is one of the few stocks that have
- 00:52:24caused them to use vow language um
- 00:52:28I just break keyboards I just my closet
- 00:52:30have like a bunch of keyboards take one
- 00:52:32out plug it back in and we're good to go
- 00:52:34right okay well hey Matt I gotta say
- 00:52:36it's it's been a pleasure having you on
- 00:52:38I really appreciate you being the guinea
- 00:52:40pig it was great having uh having the
- 00:52:42the comments up here I could kind of you
- 00:52:44know check where people were at and um
- 00:52:46what kind of things that they were
- 00:52:47looking at so I really appreciate our
- 00:52:48audience that tuned in live appreciate
- 00:52:50the audience that's going to be looking
- 00:52:51at this at the archive version too um
- 00:52:54next week we're going to do this all
- 00:52:55over again with a live showing we're
- 00:52:57going to try this a few times uh see how
- 00:52:59this uh plays out but uh Matt really
- 00:53:01appreciate you coming on um and uh
- 00:53:04joining me for this uh where can folks
- 00:53:06get more information uh I I know that
- 00:53:08you you put some great stuff out on on X
- 00:53:11uh so uh please share your Twitter
- 00:53:13handle with folks yeah I'm uh Trader M
- 00:53:17Caruso and there's also my website
- 00:53:19Caruso insight.com we actually just
- 00:53:21relaunched this week with a mobile app
- 00:53:23and a whole bunch of new features Market
- 00:53:25alerts and all so put a lot of work into
- 00:53:27that that past few months which I'm
- 00:53:28excited about so plenty of information
- 00:53:30there as well in the resources section
- 00:53:32free uh free articles and just general
- 00:53:34thoughts and I I should mention that
- 00:53:36Matt some of your some of your videos
- 00:53:38that you've done your educational videos
- 00:53:39are are phenomenal uh there you know you
- 00:53:42were a finance Professor for a while
- 00:53:44again you already made the comment about
- 00:53:45how 70s I wasn't even you know around
- 00:53:48for that I you know that's that's
- 00:53:49history to me but you know you you have
- 00:53:52a great uh great Professor uh mentality
- 00:53:57in terms of how you explain things and
- 00:53:58it's something I really appreciate and
- 00:54:00I've gained a lot of uh information from
- 00:54:02you so thanks for sharing it with our
- 00:54:03listeners um I really appreciate you
- 00:54:05coming on and thanks again for being my
- 00:54:07guinea pig anytime Justin thank you so
- 00:54:09much I appreciate it okay that's gonna
- 00:54:11wrap it up for us uh this segment um
- 00:54:13this this this show uh I'm used to doing
- 00:54:15segments typically but uh thank you so
- 00:54:17much for watching uh next week we're
- 00:54:19gonna have Harold Morris one of our
- 00:54:21senior market surge product coaches he's
- 00:54:23going to be on we're going to be doing
- 00:54:25it live again next week so make sure you
- 00:54:27kind of Mark on your calendar uh 5:00
- 00:54:29p.m. Eastern 2:00 Pacific uh we can do
- 00:54:32this all again I'm going to be watching
- 00:54:34in the comments um and uh yeah we we're
- 00:54:37gonna have a good time so Harold on next
- 00:54:39week um Arusha is gonna be back uh a
- 00:54:41couple weeks after that so uh he's he's
- 00:54:44you know few people were asking about
- 00:54:45him he's going to be back in a few weeks
- 00:54:47um and also don't forget to like And
- 00:54:49subscribe that really helps us out and
- 00:54:51kind of lets us know that we're on the
- 00:54:52right uh the right tack here with these
- 00:54:55uh live streams um you can also get the
- 00:54:57archive version at
- 00:55:00www.investors.com
- 00:55:01podcast and uh you know join the like
- 00:55:05And subscribe of the podcast venue that
- 00:55:08you prefer so uh thanks a lot for
- 00:55:10watching this time around we'll see you
- 00:55:12next week take care
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