🚨 SMCI Super Micro Computer Earnings Shock! Will They Meet the Feb 25 SEC Deadline?

00:12:31
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vcs_kktN1P0

Summary

TLDRThis video analysis discusses the current state of Super Micro Computer stock as of February 2025. The stock holds a 'hold accumulate' recommendation with a score of 0.95, showing a significant gain since the last evaluation amid market volatility. Recent earnings reports have fallen short of expectations, affecting investor confidence. The stock exhibits a mixed outlook with various analyst ratings, indicating potential price fluctuations and volatility. Recommendations suggest cautious investing and monitoring upcoming earnings reports for better clarity on the stock's performance. Overall, the video provides insights for investors to make informed decisions while considering their risk tolerance.

Takeaways

  • πŸ“ˆ Current recommendation: hold with score 0.95
  • πŸ“‰ Stock gained 37.76% since last evaluation
  • πŸ”„ Short-term trend shows potential upward movement
  • πŸ“† Upcoming earnings report on February 11, 2025
  • πŸ” Support level identified at $384 for buying opportunity
  • ⚠️ Suggested stop loss at $378 for risk management
  • πŸ”„ Recent insider trades indicate negative power
  • βš–οΈ Mixed analyst ratings suggest caution for investors
  • πŸ’‘ Long-term potential linked to AI market growth
  • πŸ’Ό Current price undervalued; exercise caution in trading decisions

Timeline

  • 00:00:00 - 00:12:31

    Various analysts have recently assigned mixed ratings to Super Micro Computer, with the general consensus being a neutral position. While there are positive buy signals identified in both short and long-term moving averages, there are conflicting signals that could influence the stock's performance negatively. Analysts recommend maintaining a hold or accumulate strategy, particularly ahead of upcoming earnings reports, while suggested trading levels indicate $402 as resistance and $384 as support. Insider trading reflects negative power, suggesting cautiousness among upper management, further complicating a straightforward buy recommendation. Therefore, care should be taken when considering any investment decisions regarding this stock.

Mind Map

Video Q&A

  • What is the current rating for Super Micro Computer stock?

    The current rating for Super Micro Computer stock is 'hold', with a score of 0.95.

  • How has the stock performed recently?

    The stock has gained 37.76% since receiving a 'hold accumulate' designation and is currently exhibiting a weak upward trend.

  • What are the potential returns expected over the next year?

    The 12-month trend forecasts a decline of about 7.339%, with potential returns ranging from 0% to 8.01%.

  • What are the recent earnings results for Super Micro Computer?

    The preliminary second-quarter results fell short of analyst expectations, leading to a revision in revenue guidance.

  • What is the upcoming earnings report date?

    The upcoming earnings report for the fourth quarter of 2024 is anticipated on February 11, 2025.

  • What is the support level for the stock?

    The first support level for Super Micro Computer stock is at $384.

  • What is the recommended stop loss for the stock?

    A stop loss is recommended at $378, indicating a decline of 5.76%.

  • How should investors view Super Micro Computer stock?

    Investors should view the stock as a hold or accumulate candidate due to some technical weaknesses.

  • What is the anticipated opening price for February 12, 2025?

    The anticipated opening price for Super Micro Computer on February 12, 2025, is approximately $40.32.

  • What recent insider activity has occurred?

    Recent insider trades indicate negative insider power, with more shares sold than acquired.

View more video summaries

Get instant access to free YouTube video summaries powered by AI!
Subtitles
en
Auto Scroll:
  • 00:00:00
    [Music]
  • 00:00:11
    is it time to buy or sell super micro
  • 00:00:13
    Computer stock in this video we are
  • 00:00:15
    diving deep into Super Micro computer
  • 00:00:18
    our initial report was published on our
  • 00:00:20
    website on Tuesday the 11th of February
  • 00:00:22
    2025 and now we are here to provide you
  • 00:00:25
    with an even more detailed analysis
  • 00:00:27
    remember to subscribe hit the like
  • 00:00:29
    button and turn on the notification Bell
  • 00:00:31
    to stay updated on our latest analysis
  • 00:00:33
    you do not want to miss any crucial
  • 00:00:34
    updates that could impact your
  • 00:00:36
    Investments enhance your trading
  • 00:00:38
    Decisions by trying our newly launched
  • 00:00:40
    AI stock analysis tool powered by gp4 at
  • 00:00:43
    stockinvest.us tap into the power of AI
  • 00:00:46
    and receive free Price predictions and
  • 00:00:48
    in-depth analysis for any one among
  • 00:00:50
    45,000 companies worldwide today please
  • 00:00:53
    note that this video is for
  • 00:00:55
    informational purposes only and should
  • 00:00:56
    not be considered as Financial advice
  • 00:01:01
    since the 4th day of February in the
  • 00:01:03
    year 2025 our system has classified
  • 00:01:06
    super micro computer as a hold
  • 00:01:08
    accumulate assigning at a score of
  • 00:01:11
    0.95 now let us examine the Stock's
  • 00:01:13
    performance during this time frame
  • 00:01:16
    during this period the stock has
  • 00:01:17
    exceeded our expectations boasting a
  • 00:01:19
    gain of
  • 00:01:28
    37.760761 per day since it received the
  • 00:01:31
    hold accumulate
  • 00:01:35
    designation the stock is currently
  • 00:01:37
    positioned in the midst of a broad and
  • 00:01:38
    relatively weak upward Trend in the
  • 00:01:40
    short term indicating that additional
  • 00:01:42
    increases within this trend are likely
  • 00:01:45
    the existing 3-month Trend points to a
  • 00:01:47
    potential change of approximately
  • 00:01:50
    5.47% over the upcoming 3 months with
  • 00:01:53
    possible returns ranging from negative
  • 00:01:56
    46.69 to positive 20.31%
  • 00:02:00
    regarding the 12-month Trend it
  • 00:02:02
    forecasts a decline of about
  • 00:02:04
    7339 over the next year with potential
  • 00:02:07
    returns varying between
  • 00:02:09
    00% and
  • 00:02:12
    8.01% this implies a price range of 0 to
  • 00:02:15
    8.03 after one
  • 00:02:19
    year our latest daily update for super
  • 00:02:22
    micro computer includes the headline
  • 00:02:24
    High volatility in super micro Computer
  • 00:02:26
    stock price on Tuesday which ended
  • 00:02:28
    trading at $407
  • 00:02:31
    the super micro Computer stock price
  • 00:02:32
    fell by
  • 00:02:34
    5.81% on the last day Tuesday the 11th
  • 00:02:37
    of February 2025 from
  • 00:02:40
    $426 to
  • 00:02:42
    $407 during the trading day the stock
  • 00:02:45
    fluctuated by
  • 00:02:47
    10.25% with a low of
  • 00:02:50
    $384 and a high of $42.39
  • 00:02:53
    the price has risen in six of the last
  • 00:02:56
    10 days and is up by
  • 00:02:58
    4255 over the past two weeks volume fell
  • 00:03:02
    on the last day along with the stock
  • 00:03:03
    which is actually a positive indication
  • 00:03:05
    since volume should follow the stock on
  • 00:03:07
    the last day the trading volume
  • 00:03:09
    decreased by 18 million shares with a
  • 00:03:11
    total of 110 million shares exchanged
  • 00:03:14
    for approximately 4.42
  • 00:03:16
    billion over the past 52 weeks the
  • 00:03:19
    highest stock price was
  • 00:03:24
    $122.7
  • 00:03:26
    125 currently the price is 67.3 1% or
  • 00:03:31
    $82. 73 below the 52- we high of
  • 00:03:36
    $22.90 which is also the all-time high
  • 00:03:39
    for the
  • 00:03:42
    stock super micro computer or smci is
  • 00:03:45
    making headlines today as it has
  • 00:03:47
    reported preliminary second quarter
  • 00:03:48
    results that fell short of analyst
  • 00:03:50
    expectations the company also announced
  • 00:03:53
    plans to meet a critical filing deadline
  • 00:03:55
    ahead of a looming cutof on February
  • 00:03:57
    25th to avoid potential delisting in
  • 00:04:00
    conjunction with this smci has cut its
  • 00:04:02
    FYE Revenue guidance a move that could
  • 00:04:04
    shake investor confidence in the short
  • 00:04:06
    term and pressure the stock price
  • 00:04:08
    additionally super micro is facing
  • 00:04:10
    scrutiny over its management issues
  • 00:04:12
    which have been flagged amidst a
  • 00:04:13
    backdrop of strong demand for AI chips
  • 00:04:15
    from competitors like Nvidia and AMD
  • 00:04:18
    despite this smci is highlighted as
  • 00:04:21
    potentially undervalued with a forward
  • 00:04:23
    price to earnings ratio of 15 and
  • 00:04:25
    expected year-on-year earnings growth of
  • 00:04:27
    120% this could attract long-term
  • 00:04:29
    investors looking for high reward
  • 00:04:31
    opportunities in an evolving Market the
  • 00:04:33
    announcement of a private placement of
  • 00:04:35
    $700 million in new convertible senior
  • 00:04:38
    notes due in 2028 suggests that the
  • 00:04:41
    company aims to strengthen its balance
  • 00:04:42
    sheet reflecting a calculated approach
  • 00:04:44
    amid recent
  • 00:04:46
    volatility however the mixed signals
  • 00:04:48
    from leadership concerning financial
  • 00:04:50
    performance and the need for
  • 00:04:51
    transparency could weigh on the stock
  • 00:04:53
    leading to increased volatility overall
  • 00:04:56
    while the short-term Outlook may be
  • 00:04:58
    challenging due to recent earning news
  • 00:05:00
    and revised Guidance the long-term
  • 00:05:02
    potential associated with the AI market
  • 00:05:04
    and super micro's Financial strategies
  • 00:05:06
    could provide investors with a
  • 00:05:07
    compelling case for
  • 00:05:12
    patients analyst ratings on Wednesday
  • 00:05:15
    the 6th of November 2024 it was reported
  • 00:05:17
    that NM assigned smci a mixed rating
  • 00:05:20
    with a hold action on the same day City
  • 00:05:22
    Group also rated SCI with a reduced
  • 00:05:25
    grade recommending a hold action earlier
  • 00:05:27
    on Wednesday the 2nd of October 20 24
  • 00:05:30
    Barkley's rated smci as equal weight
  • 00:05:32
    with a hold action on Monday the 23rd of
  • 00:05:35
    September 2024 loop capital markets
  • 00:05:38
    provided smci with a buy rating along
  • 00:05:40
    with a hold action finally on Wednesday
  • 00:05:42
    the 18th of September 2024 NM rated smci
  • 00:05:46
    as a buy with an initialize
  • 00:05:50
    action analysts have assigned super
  • 00:05:53
    micro Computer stock a general neutral
  • 00:05:55
    rating they classify the price to
  • 00:05:56
    earnings ratio as strong sell and the
  • 00:05:58
    price to book r ratio as strong sell as
  • 00:06:01
    well however for return on investment
  • 00:06:03
    the analysts rate the stock as strong
  • 00:06:07
    buy the following signals have been
  • 00:06:10
    identified for super micro computer the
  • 00:06:12
    super micro Computer stock presents buy
  • 00:06:14
    signals from both short and long-term
  • 00:06:16
    moving averages indicating a positive
  • 00:06:18
    outlook for the stock additionally a
  • 00:06:21
    general Buy Signal arises from the
  • 00:06:23
    relationship between these two
  • 00:06:24
    indicators as the short-term average is
  • 00:06:26
    positioned above the long-term average
  • 00:06:29
    in the event of downward Corrections
  • 00:06:31
    support is anticipated at the levels of
  • 00:06:33
    $34. 33 and
  • 00:06:36
    $32.7 a decline below either of these
  • 00:06:39
    thresholds would trigger sell signals
  • 00:06:41
    moreover there is a Buy Signal stemming
  • 00:06:43
    from the 3-month moving average
  • 00:06:45
    convergence Divergence or
  • 00:06:47
    MCD however several negative signals
  • 00:06:49
    have also been generated which could
  • 00:06:51
    impact short-term developments a cell
  • 00:06:53
    signal was issued from a pivot top on
  • 00:06:55
    Monday December 9th 2024 and to date the
  • 00:06:59
    stock has decreased by
  • 00:07:01
    99.04% further declines are suggested
  • 00:07:04
    until a new bottom pivot is established
  • 00:07:06
    during the last trading day volume
  • 00:07:08
    decreased alongside the price which
  • 00:07:10
    mitigates overall risk as volume
  • 00:07:12
    typically aligns with price
  • 00:07:16
    movement here are some additional
  • 00:07:17
    signals that may peque your interest
  • 00:07:20
    moving average convergence Divergence
  • 00:07:22
    indicates a Buy Signal pivots show a
  • 00:07:24
    sell signal from 43 days ago the
  • 00:07:27
    short-term moving average has generated
  • 00:07:28
    a Buy Signal from 7 days ago the
  • 00:07:30
    long-term moving average has also
  • 00:07:32
    provided a Buy Signal from 5 days ago
  • 00:07:35
    the relationship between the short and
  • 00:07:36
    long moving averages indicates a Buy
  • 00:07:39
    Signal from 3 days ago when examining
  • 00:07:41
    the 12-month chart we observe the short
  • 00:07:43
    moving average has issued a Buy Signal
  • 00:07:45
    from 6 days ago the long-term moving
  • 00:07:48
    average shows a Buy Signal from 4 days
  • 00:07:50
    ago the relationship between the short
  • 00:07:52
    and long moving averages indicates a Buy
  • 00:07:55
    Signal from 170 days ago for more
  • 00:07:57
    signals remember to visit our page page
  • 00:07:59
    at stockinvest.us
  • 00:08:03
    support risk and stop-loss for super
  • 00:08:06
    micro computer super microcomputer finds
  • 00:08:08
    support from accumulated volume at
  • 00:08:12
    $384 this level may present a buying
  • 00:08:15
    opportunity as an upward reaction can be
  • 00:08:17
    anticipated when the support is tested
  • 00:08:19
    this stock may experience significant
  • 00:08:21
    movement throughout the day indicating
  • 00:08:23
    High volatility with a large prediction
  • 00:08:25
    interval from the Ballinger band the
  • 00:08:27
    stock is categorized as high risk over
  • 00:08:29
    the last day the stock fluctuated by
  • 00:08:32
    $394 between its high and low which is a
  • 00:08:34
    change of
  • 00:08:36
    10.25% for the past week the daily
  • 00:08:38
    average volatility of the stock has been
  • 00:08:45
    10.44% before we dive into the potential
  • 00:08:47
    trading levels for super micro computer
  • 00:08:49
    let's quickly cover some essential
  • 00:08:51
    fundamental data first we have the price
  • 00:08:54
    to earnings ratio commonly known as the
  • 00:08:56
    PE Ratio this important metric measures
  • 00:08:58
    a company's current share price in
  • 00:09:00
    relation to its earnings per share this
  • 00:09:02
    PE ratio is relatively normal typically
  • 00:09:04
    observed in companies with established
  • 00:09:06
    track records or stable revenues in
  • 00:09:09
    other news the upcoming earnings report
  • 00:09:11
    for the fourth quarter of 2024 is
  • 00:09:13
    anticipated on the 11th of February 2025
  • 00:09:17
    analysts consensus estimates stand at
  • 00:09:21
    75.3 it is important to monitor these
  • 00:09:23
    figures as they can significantly
  • 00:09:24
    influence stock
  • 00:09:28
    prices now let's discuss some potential
  • 00:09:30
    day trading levels for super micro
  • 00:09:32
    computer in case of an upward Trend the
  • 00:09:35
    first resistance level for Super Micro
  • 00:09:37
    computer is at
  • 00:09:39
    $402 if you do not own any shares you
  • 00:09:42
    may want to wait for this level to be
  • 00:09:43
    breached before entering a position for
  • 00:09:46
    those already holding the stock this
  • 00:09:48
    could be a level to consider for swing
  • 00:09:49
    trading on the downside super micro
  • 00:09:52
    computer encounters its first support
  • 00:09:54
    level at
  • 00:09:55
    $384 if this support level holds it
  • 00:09:58
    could be a good entry Point anticipating
  • 00:10:00
    a
  • 00:10:03
    rebound the combined average rating for
  • 00:10:05
    super micro computer from multiple
  • 00:10:07
    analyst sources is neutral now let's
  • 00:10:10
    examine some recent Insider trades the
  • 00:10:12
    five most recent Insider trades were
  • 00:10:14
    conducted by Chun Kenneth who bought and
  • 00:10:16
    sold 16,700 shares or options in the
  • 00:10:19
    company analyzing the 100 most recent
  • 00:10:22
    Insider trades we've determined that
  • 00:10:24
    Insider power is negative with a ratio
  • 00:10:26
    of - 177103
  • 00:10:29
    in total insiders acquired
  • 00:10:32
    3,684 662 shares and divested
  • 00:10:37
    5,261 645 shares in the last 100
  • 00:10:43
    trades we recommend setting a stop loss
  • 00:10:46
    at
  • 00:10:47
    $378 which represents a decline of
  • 00:10:50
    5.76% this stock experiences significant
  • 00:10:53
    daily fluctuations indicating a higher
  • 00:10:55
    level of risk additionally a cell signal
  • 00:10:58
    has been identified from a pivot top
  • 00:11:00
    established 42 days
  • 00:11:04
    ago is super micro Computer stock a good
  • 00:11:07
    buy Super Micro computer exhibits
  • 00:11:09
    several positive indicators however we
  • 00:11:11
    do not find these sufficient to
  • 00:11:13
    recommend it as a buy at this time at
  • 00:11:16
    its current position it should be viewed
  • 00:11:17
    as a hold or accumulate candidate while
  • 00:11:20
    we await additional developments due to
  • 00:11:22
    some minor weaknesses in the technical
  • 00:11:23
    picture we have adjusted our analysis
  • 00:11:25
    from a strong buy to a hold or
  • 00:11:27
    accumulate recommendation since our last
  • 00:11:29
    evaluation after examining the
  • 00:11:31
    volatility and movements from the most
  • 00:11:33
    recent trading day our systems indicate
  • 00:11:35
    that the current price is undervalued
  • 00:11:38
    for trading on Wednesday the 12th of
  • 00:11:40
    February we anticipate super micro
  • 00:11:42
    computer will open up at approximately
  • 00:11:44
    16 cents and begin trading at $40.32
  • 00:11:50
    we remind you that trading carries a
  • 00:11:52
    significant risk of financial loss and
  • 00:11:54
    it is advisable to consult with a
  • 00:11:56
    financial adviser before making any
  • 00:11:58
    purchases or sales of Securities your
  • 00:12:00
    investment decisions should not be
  • 00:12:02
    solely based on information from
  • 00:12:04
    stockinvest.us by utilizing this
  • 00:12:07
    information you acknowledge and accept
  • 00:12:09
    responsibility for your own investment
  • 00:12:11
    choices this is our current view of the
  • 00:12:12
    stock do you agree or disagree please
  • 00:12:15
    comment below and share your thoughts
  • 00:12:17
    what is your target for the stock
  • 00:12:19
    remember to like And subscribe we wish
  • 00:12:21
    you successful trading and hope you have
  • 00:12:23
    a wonderful day with warm regards from
  • 00:12:25
    all of us here at stock invest
Tags
  • Super Micro Computer
  • stock analysis
  • investment strategy
  • performance review
  • earnings reports
  • analyst ratings
  • financial advice
  • market trends
  • trading signals
  • volatility