I Can't Stop Buying This Stock - Why it Continues to Outperform

00:23:04
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=egf15xCWd0U

摘要

TLDRBrookfield Corporation has reported a strong earnings performance with a 27% increase in distributable earnings, reaching $1.5 billion. The company is recognized for its ownership and operation of essential infrastructure assets that support the global economy, including renewable energy projects, railroads, and pipelines. Their asset management segment has seen significant inflows, and the wealth solutions business is projected to grow substantially in the coming years. Despite market volatility, Brookfield remains focused on long-term value creation and cash flow generation, actively buying back shares as they believe their stock is undervalued. The company anticipates continued growth in earnings and is committed to enhancing shareholder value.

心得

  • 📈 Brookfield's distributable earnings increased by 27% to $1.5 billion.
  • 🌍 The company owns critical infrastructure assets globally.
  • 💰 Significant inflows in the asset management business.
  • 📊 Wealth solutions business projected to grow to $5 billion by 2029.
  • 🔄 Brookfield is actively buying back shares, believing its stock is undervalued.
  • 📉 The company focuses on long-term value creation despite market volatility.
  • 🚀 Projected earnings growth rate of 20% annually.
  • 🏗️ Brookfield operates in various sectors, including renewable energy and real estate.
  • 💼 Strong reputation as a capital allocator and manager.
  • 📅 Focus on increasing cash flows on a per-share basis.

时间轴

  • 00:00:00 - 00:05:00

    Brookfield Corporation, a major player in the global economy, reported strong earnings, highlighting its diverse portfolio that includes renewable energy projects, nuclear power, and critical infrastructure like pipelines. The company manages over $1 trillion in assets and has established partnerships with top-tier organizations, showcasing its reputation and unique investment opportunities.

  • 00:05:00 - 00:10:00

    The earnings report revealed a 27% increase in distributable earnings, with significant growth in asset management and wealth solutions. Brookfield's ability to attract capital and execute on investment strategies is evident, as they continue to raise substantial funds despite market volatility, indicating strong operational performance.

  • 00:10:00 - 00:15:00

    Brookfield's wealth solutions business is experiencing explosive growth, with expectations to double its earnings contribution in the next five years. The company is strategically selling off less profitable real estate assets to focus on higher-return investments, which is reflected in their increasing distributable earnings and successful asset sales.

  • 00:15:00 - 00:23:04

    The CEO's shareholder letter emphasizes Brookfield's long-term investment strategy, focusing on acquiring quality businesses and generating cash flow. Despite market uncertainties, Brookfield remains committed to its core competencies, and the company's stock is viewed as undervalued, with potential for significant growth in the coming years.

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思维导图

视频问答

  • What is Brookfield Corporation known for?

    Brookfield Corporation owns and operates critical infrastructure assets globally, including renewable energy projects, railroads, and pipelines.

  • How much did Brookfield's distributable earnings increase?

    Brookfield's distributable earnings increased by 27%, reaching $1.5 billion.

  • What is the company's strategy for growth?

    Brookfield focuses on acquiring great businesses, operating them well, and generating increased cash flows on a per-share basis.

  • What is the outlook for Brookfield's wealth solutions business?

    The wealth solutions business is expected to generate almost $5 billion in annual earnings by 2029.

  • How does Brookfield plan to handle market volatility?

    Brookfield believes its businesses are insulated from market volatility due to their focus on essential products and services.

  • What is Brookfield's current market capitalization?

    Brookfield's market capitalization is approximately $83.70 billion.

  • What is the projected fair value of Brookfield's stock?

    The projected fair value of Brookfield's stock is around $83 per share.

  • What is the company's approach to share buybacks?

    Brookfield is actively buying back shares, believing its stock is undervalued.

  • What is the expected growth rate for Brookfield's earnings?

    Brookfield is projecting a growth rate of 20% annually for its free cash flow.

  • What is the significance of Brookfield's asset management business?

    Brookfield's asset management business is a key driver of earnings, with strong inflows and record fee-related earnings.

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  • 00:00:00
    Brookfield just reported its earnings
  • 00:00:01
    and I'm sure you all know by now that
  • 00:00:03
    this is the largest stock in my
  • 00:00:05
    portfolio. It is also having a nice
  • 00:00:07
    green day after it reported its
  • 00:00:09
    earnings. And today I want to go through
  • 00:00:10
    the numbers and share what my thoughts
  • 00:00:12
    are on the stock now. But first I want
  • 00:00:15
    to reh highlight what Brookfield's
  • 00:00:17
    business is and what they actually do as
  • 00:00:20
    I think many people don't even know. To
  • 00:00:22
    put it as simply as possible, Brookfield
  • 00:00:25
    owns, operates, and builds the backbone
  • 00:00:27
    of the global economy. For example, in
  • 00:00:30
    their renewables business, they are
  • 00:00:32
    building one of the largest hydrogen
  • 00:00:34
    projects in Canada. They own
  • 00:00:36
    Westinghouse, which is considered to be
  • 00:00:37
    one of the best nuclear companies in the
  • 00:00:39
    world. They own hydro dams, which power
  • 00:00:42
    millions of homes across North America.
  • 00:00:44
    They also have solar, wind, and many
  • 00:00:47
    other renewable energy assets that the
  • 00:00:49
    economy relies on. They also own
  • 00:00:51
    railroads, data centers in Latin
  • 00:00:53
    America. They connect homes in the UK to
  • 00:00:55
    the energy grid, operate energy
  • 00:00:57
    infrastructure across Canada, and
  • 00:00:59
    recently they purchased Colonial
  • 00:01:01
    Pipeline, which is America's largest
  • 00:01:04
    pipeline by volume. It delivers more
  • 00:01:06
    than 100 million gallons of fuel every
  • 00:01:09
    single day. Over 50 million Americans,
  • 00:01:12
    45 military installations, 28
  • 00:01:15
    refineries, eight airports, and four
  • 00:01:17
    terminals rely on this pipeline daily.
  • 00:01:20
    They have so many more assets, too. But
  • 00:01:24
    this shows you the type of assets that
  • 00:01:25
    Brookfield owns and operates. When they
  • 00:01:28
    say they build the backbone of the
  • 00:01:30
    global economy, they mean it. These
  • 00:01:32
    assets are absolutely critical to the
  • 00:01:34
    economy and will continue to produce
  • 00:01:36
    cash flows through all economic
  • 00:01:38
    environments for decades to come.
  • 00:01:41
    Additionally, Brookfield is a
  • 00:01:42
    world-renowned capital allocator and
  • 00:01:45
    manager with over $1 trillion in assets
  • 00:01:48
    under management now. Hedge funds,
  • 00:01:50
    sovereign wealth funds, and high netw
  • 00:01:52
    worth individuals give Brookfield money
  • 00:01:54
    to allocate and invest for them.
  • 00:01:56
    Brookfield's reputation, size, and track
  • 00:01:59
    record give it extremely unique
  • 00:02:01
    investment opportunities, too. For
  • 00:02:03
    example, Brookfield has deals with
  • 00:02:05
    governments and some of the best
  • 00:02:06
    companies in the world. Last year, they
  • 00:02:08
    signed a 10.5 gawatt power deal with
  • 00:02:11
    Microsoft, which was the single largest
  • 00:02:14
    corporate power purchase agreement ever
  • 00:02:16
    by a factor of 8x. Intel also signed a
  • 00:02:20
    $30 billion financing deal with
  • 00:02:22
    Brookfield to finance the buildout of
  • 00:02:24
    its chip factories in Arizona.
  • 00:02:26
    Brookfield was chosen by France to lead
  • 00:02:28
    a 20 billion euro deal to build out
  • 00:02:31
    France's data centers, which also makes
  • 00:02:33
    Brookfield one of Europe's largest data
  • 00:02:35
    centers developers. Now, when SoftBank
  • 00:02:38
    announced its investments into the
  • 00:02:39
    United States economy and Stargate, it
  • 00:02:41
    reached out to Brookfield to be one of
  • 00:02:43
    the companies to help finance all of
  • 00:02:45
    these investments. So, you can clearly
  • 00:02:47
    see that world-renowned organizations of
  • 00:02:49
    the highest quality work with Brookfield
  • 00:02:52
    and governments choose the company as a
  • 00:02:54
    partner to build out their
  • 00:02:55
    infrastructure. And think about it, if
  • 00:02:57
    you're an investor, hedge fund, or
  • 00:02:58
    sovereign wealth fund with billions of
  • 00:03:00
    dollars of dry capital that you want to
  • 00:03:02
    invest, then you probably want to give
  • 00:03:04
    it to a business like Brookfield that
  • 00:03:07
    has these unique relationships and a
  • 00:03:09
    track record of absolutely incredible
  • 00:03:11
    execution. These relationships,
  • 00:03:13
    reputation, and historical track record
  • 00:03:16
    are Brookfield's moat, and this is how
  • 00:03:18
    they continue to attract hundreds of
  • 00:03:20
    billions of dollars of capital and
  • 00:03:21
    invested wisely. So, now let's get into
  • 00:03:24
    the earnings results from the business.
  • 00:03:25
    And as always, I took screenshots of all
  • 00:03:27
    of the highlights that I found. So,
  • 00:03:29
    right here, we can see that Brookfield
  • 00:03:30
    Corporation reports a 27% increase in
  • 00:03:33
    distributable earnings to 1.5 billion.
  • 00:03:36
    They also repurchased $850 million worth
  • 00:03:39
    of shares so far year-to- date in 2025
  • 00:03:42
    and their deployable capital increased
  • 00:03:44
    to a record of
  • 00:03:46
    $165 billion now. So, right at face
  • 00:03:49
    value, just by reading the headlines, we
  • 00:03:51
    can see that this was a pretty strong
  • 00:03:52
    earnings report. But further on, the
  • 00:03:55
    president of Brookfield Corporation
  • 00:03:56
    said, "Our business performed well in
  • 00:03:58
    the first quarter with earnings 30%
  • 00:04:00
    higher than the prior year, supported by
  • 00:04:02
    continued momentum across our core
  • 00:04:04
    operations. Our asset management
  • 00:04:06
    business had strong inflows of $25
  • 00:04:08
    billion during the first quarter. Our
  • 00:04:11
    operating businesses continue to
  • 00:04:12
    generate resilient cash flows and our
  • 00:04:14
    wealth solutions business delivered
  • 00:04:16
    robust growth. In spite of increased
  • 00:04:19
    market volatility, the outlook for our
  • 00:04:21
    business continues to be strong and our
  • 00:04:23
    focus remains unchanged to deliver 15%
  • 00:04:25
    plus returns to our shareholders over
  • 00:04:27
    the long term. Then down here in this
  • 00:04:29
    table, we can see that distributable
  • 00:04:31
    earnings before realizations were $1.3
  • 00:04:34
    billion and DE before realizations
  • 00:04:37
    increased by about 30% year-over-year.
  • 00:04:40
    Now, distributable earnings on a total
  • 00:04:42
    basis, which does include a realized
  • 00:04:43
    gains from investments was 1.55 billion,
  • 00:04:47
    which was up 27% year-over-year. So,
  • 00:04:50
    Brookfield's distributable earnings
  • 00:04:51
    growth is accelerating, which is exactly
  • 00:04:54
    what the company said would happen. If
  • 00:04:57
    you have been watching my channel for
  • 00:04:58
    some time, then you know that Brookfield
  • 00:04:59
    Corporation put out their investor
  • 00:05:01
    presentation in in September of 2024 and
  • 00:05:04
    they projected 21 to 25% annual
  • 00:05:07
    distributable earnings growth. Well, in
  • 00:05:10
    the first quarter, they just beat that
  • 00:05:11
    and they saw growth of 27%. So, yeah,
  • 00:05:14
    once again, their earnings is actually
  • 00:05:16
    accelerating right now, which is good to
  • 00:05:18
    see. So now let's move on to the next
  • 00:05:20
    screenshot. And the underlined segments
  • 00:05:22
    here is from the asset management
  • 00:05:24
    business and it says fee related
  • 00:05:25
    earnings were a record of $698 million
  • 00:05:28
    representing growth of 26% compared to
  • 00:05:31
    the prior year quarter. This was driven
  • 00:05:33
    by a 20% increase in fee bearing capital
  • 00:05:35
    over the last 12 months to $549 billion.
  • 00:05:39
    And once again, total inflows are $25
  • 00:05:42
    billion in the first quarter. We closed
  • 00:05:44
    our flagship opportunistic credit fund
  • 00:05:46
    strategy at $16 billion. We are set to
  • 00:05:49
    have by far our largest pool of capital
  • 00:05:52
    for opportunistic real estate to date.
  • 00:05:54
    So while the macro is a little bit
  • 00:05:57
    uncertain, it seems like Brookfield
  • 00:05:59
    doesn't really care and they're
  • 00:06:00
    continuing to set records across their
  • 00:06:02
    business, even for capital raising. And
  • 00:06:04
    what's interesting to me is they just
  • 00:06:06
    raised their largest real estate fund
  • 00:06:08
    ever in the company history. And this is
  • 00:06:11
    interesting to me because investors in
  • 00:06:12
    general haven't been too bullish on real
  • 00:06:14
    estate over the past little while, but
  • 00:06:17
    it doesn't really seem like Brookfield's
  • 00:06:19
    clients and their customers really care.
  • 00:06:22
    And they they still raised a massive new
  • 00:06:24
    fund. Now, moving on to their wealth
  • 00:06:25
    solutions business. This says
  • 00:06:27
    distributable operating earnings were
  • 00:06:28
    $430 million in the quarter and $1.5
  • 00:06:32
    billion over the last 12 months. So, the
  • 00:06:35
    wealth solutions business or the
  • 00:06:36
    insurance business is continuing to grow
  • 00:06:38
    extremely well as we're going to
  • 00:06:40
    continue seeing here. But this next
  • 00:06:41
    screenshot is on the operating
  • 00:06:43
    businesses and it says distributable
  • 00:06:45
    earnings were 426 million in the quarter
  • 00:06:47
    and 1.7 billion over the past year. Our
  • 00:06:50
    core real estate portfolio continues to
  • 00:06:52
    grow its same store net operating
  • 00:06:54
    income, delivering a 3% increase over
  • 00:06:56
    the prior year. In our North American
  • 00:06:59
    residential business, we generated
  • 00:07:00
    approximately $640 million of proceeds
  • 00:07:03
    from the sale of the master plan
  • 00:07:05
    communities as we execute on our plan to
  • 00:07:07
    shift the business to a more
  • 00:07:08
    capital-like model. Now, I shared this
  • 00:07:10
    in my recent Brookfield videos, but
  • 00:07:12
    their company is actually planning on
  • 00:07:14
    selling off a lot of its real estate
  • 00:07:16
    over the next 5 years. It kind of has
  • 00:07:18
    this what they call transitional real
  • 00:07:20
    estate portfolio where they build
  • 00:07:23
    residential communities and maybe buy
  • 00:07:24
    some distressed real estate and then fix
  • 00:07:26
    it up and try and flip it. But it's a
  • 00:07:28
    very capital inensive business. And
  • 00:07:30
    overall, they're just not really wanting
  • 00:07:32
    to be in this business anymore. So,
  • 00:07:34
    they're actually projecting to sell off
  • 00:07:36
    their entire transitional development
  • 00:07:38
    real estate portfolio over the next 5
  • 00:07:40
    years, and they're continuing to execute
  • 00:07:42
    on that plan. You may also see some
  • 00:07:44
    bears point out that Brookfield's
  • 00:07:46
    property group's net operating income as
  • 00:07:49
    a whole is declining, but that's partly
  • 00:07:51
    because they're selling off their
  • 00:07:52
    portfolio. And since they have less
  • 00:07:54
    assets, the only natural course is that
  • 00:07:57
    their net operating income from that
  • 00:07:58
    segment of the business is going to go
  • 00:08:01
    down. And I don't really see this as a
  • 00:08:03
    problem personally because they're
  • 00:08:04
    rotating that capital into higher return
  • 00:08:06
    investments. And it's it's clearly
  • 00:08:09
    paying off because the earnings are
  • 00:08:10
    growing substantially. But let's move on
  • 00:08:12
    to the monetization activity where they
  • 00:08:14
    say during the quarter we successfully
  • 00:08:16
    closed approximately $22 billion of
  • 00:08:18
    asset sales across the business.
  • 00:08:20
    Substantially all sales were completed
  • 00:08:22
    at prices in line or above carrying
  • 00:08:25
    values. Now, the reason that this is
  • 00:08:27
    important and I underlined it is because
  • 00:08:31
    as a Brookfield shareholder, I have seen
  • 00:08:33
    so many articles come out over the past
  • 00:08:34
    3 years during my time holding the stock
  • 00:08:37
    that the company is overinflating its
  • 00:08:40
    assets on the balance sheet. But
  • 00:08:42
    whenever Brookfield actually sells those
  • 00:08:44
    assets, they get the value that they
  • 00:08:46
    quote them at on the balance sheet, if
  • 00:08:48
    not higher. So, I think the bearer
  • 00:08:51
    thesis or theory that Brookfield is
  • 00:08:53
    inflating its assets on the balance
  • 00:08:54
    sheet is just false. And they continue
  • 00:08:56
    to prove this correct. Continuing on,
  • 00:08:58
    they said total accumulated unrealized
  • 00:09:01
    carried interest was 11.6 billion,
  • 00:09:04
    representing an increase of 14%. As we
  • 00:09:06
    execute on our monetization pipeline, we
  • 00:09:09
    expect to realize much of this into
  • 00:09:10
    income over the next 5 years. So,
  • 00:09:13
    unrealized carried interest is
  • 00:09:15
    essentially unrealized gains on
  • 00:09:17
    investments. And these unrealized gains
  • 00:09:19
    are now sitting at 11.6 billion, up 14%
  • 00:09:22
    year-over-year. And over the next five
  • 00:09:24
    years, Brookfield is expecting to sell
  • 00:09:26
    off these investments and realize that
  • 00:09:29
    11.6 billion of earnings. This is also
  • 00:09:32
    the realized carried interest figure
  • 00:09:34
    that we see on their financial
  • 00:09:36
    statements and in their reports. The
  • 00:09:38
    realized carried figure is them selling
  • 00:09:40
    off their assets. And again, they have
  • 00:09:42
    that 11.6 billion of current unrealized
  • 00:09:45
    gains. And over time they're going to
  • 00:09:46
    realize those and that is what is
  • 00:09:48
    volatile in the earnings reports. But
  • 00:09:50
    let's move on to the next screenshot
  • 00:09:52
    now. And here we can see that the asset
  • 00:09:53
    management business delivered $684
  • 00:09:56
    million of earnings in the quarter. And
  • 00:09:58
    the wealth solutions business generated
  • 00:10:00
    $430 million. This is up from $273
  • 00:10:04
    million last year, which is growth of
  • 00:10:07
    58% year-over-year. So the wealth
  • 00:10:10
    solutions business over at Brookfield is
  • 00:10:13
    absolutely exploding. They're doing an
  • 00:10:14
    incredible job growing this business.
  • 00:10:16
    And as we're going to see later on in
  • 00:10:18
    the video, by 2029, Brookfield is
  • 00:10:21
    expecting this business to generate
  • 00:10:22
    almost $5 billion in annual earnings,
  • 00:10:26
    which is about how much the entire
  • 00:10:28
    company generates today. So within the
  • 00:10:30
    next 5 years, they're basically
  • 00:10:32
    expecting just the wealth solutions
  • 00:10:34
    business to double the company's entire
  • 00:10:36
    earnings. That's how much growth is left
  • 00:10:39
    in this business and how much growth
  • 00:10:41
    they are expecting from it over the
  • 00:10:42
    short term. And it is great to see that
  • 00:10:44
    this business is continuing to grow by
  • 00:10:46
    roughly 60% year-over-year. It's
  • 00:10:48
    actually becoming one of the largest
  • 00:10:50
    earnings contributors to the entire
  • 00:10:52
    company. Now, the next underlying
  • 00:10:53
    segment here is the Brookfield Property
  • 00:10:55
    Group because distributable earnings
  • 00:10:57
    from Brookfield Property Group came in
  • 00:10:59
    at $215 billion and increased by roughly
  • 00:11:01
    30% year-over-year. In total, the
  • 00:11:04
    operating businesses generated $426
  • 00:11:06
    million of earnings and Brookfield as a
  • 00:11:08
    whole generated distributable earnings
  • 00:11:10
    before realizations of that 1.3 billion,
  • 00:11:13
    up 30%. Then we can see that they had
  • 00:11:16
    realized carried interest of about 190
  • 00:11:18
    million, which increased total earnings
  • 00:11:20
    on the quarter to about 1.55 billion and
  • 00:11:24
    is up 27% year-over-year. This is all
  • 00:11:26
    fantastic to see. Moving on to the next
  • 00:11:29
    screenshot. What I like to do every
  • 00:11:30
    quarter is just show Brookfield's
  • 00:11:32
    distributable earnings before
  • 00:11:34
    realizations. And I outline these boxes
  • 00:11:37
    with a red outline because this is how
  • 00:11:39
    much operating earnings Brookfield's
  • 00:11:42
    business generates. The realized carried
  • 00:11:44
    interest the light blue boxes that you
  • 00:11:46
    see on top are them realizing gains on
  • 00:11:49
    investments. And that's just a much more
  • 00:11:50
    volatile figure. So to put it simply,
  • 00:11:53
    the red boxes here are the company's
  • 00:11:55
    actual operating earnings. And what we
  • 00:11:57
    can see is that they are very clearly
  • 00:12:00
    growing in 2025. Now, in the trailing 12
  • 00:12:02
    months, they're sitting at $5.2 billion.
  • 00:12:05
    And in the trailing 12 months, that's
  • 00:12:08
    $326 per share. So that's how much
  • 00:12:10
    earnings the business is generating. And
  • 00:12:12
    this number is projected to continue
  • 00:12:14
    growing by over 20% over the next 5
  • 00:12:17
    years. Moving on to the next screenshot.
  • 00:12:19
    This one is the infamous confusing table
  • 00:12:21
    of all of Brookfield's different assets.
  • 00:12:24
    But right away, we can see that
  • 00:12:25
    Brookfield Corporation's ownership of
  • 00:12:27
    BAM is now sitting at about $57 billion
  • 00:12:30
    as of the end of the quarter. And these
  • 00:12:32
    shares are publicly traded, by the way.
  • 00:12:34
    So, if you go to the BAM ticker on Yahoo
  • 00:12:36
    Finance or on Stock Unlock or anywhere,
  • 00:12:39
    Brookfield Corporation owns about 1.2
  • 00:12:42
    billion shares of that business in the
  • 00:12:44
    public market. So, this value right
  • 00:12:46
    here, you can calculate at any time. And
  • 00:12:48
    at the end of the quarter, it was
  • 00:12:49
    sitting at almost $57 billion. Then we
  • 00:12:52
    have accumulated unrealized carried
  • 00:12:54
    interest of about 7 billion after paying
  • 00:12:57
    taxes and all the fees. Direct
  • 00:12:59
    investments of about 11.4 billion. The
  • 00:13:01
    insurance business is now valued at
  • 00:13:03
    around 25 billion. All of the operating
  • 00:13:05
    businesses are valued at around 41.5
  • 00:13:08
    billion. Brookfield has corporate debt
  • 00:13:10
    of about 19 billion which gives the
  • 00:13:12
    company a net capital value or net asset
  • 00:13:15
    value of around $150 billion today. On a
  • 00:13:19
    per share basis, this is $94 US per
  • 00:13:22
    share. And this is what the company
  • 00:13:24
    believes its net asset value or
  • 00:13:26
    intrinsic value is is that $94 US per
  • 00:13:30
    share. I believe this is still about 60
  • 00:13:33
    to 70% above where the stock is
  • 00:13:35
    currently trading. And this is why
  • 00:13:37
    Brookfield is continuing to buy back its
  • 00:13:38
    shares because it does believe that its
  • 00:13:40
    stock is undervalued. And I do agree.
  • 00:13:43
    Now, I personally don't love to take a
  • 00:13:45
    look at the net asset value of the
  • 00:13:47
    business and value it that way. What I
  • 00:13:49
    like to do is take a look at its price
  • 00:13:50
    to cash flows or price to distributable
  • 00:13:53
    earnings and also the company's
  • 00:13:55
    expectations for future earnings growth.
  • 00:13:57
    And later on in this video, we will take
  • 00:14:00
    a look at those metrics. But now, let's
  • 00:14:02
    move on to the highlights from the
  • 00:14:03
    shareholder letter, which is written by
  • 00:14:04
    Bruce Flatt. And there is so much gold
  • 00:14:07
    in this shareholder letter. It was nine
  • 00:14:09
    pages long. I only have a couple of
  • 00:14:10
    snippets from it, but I would recommend
  • 00:14:12
    that everyone go and read it. Even if
  • 00:14:14
    you're not an investor in Brookfield
  • 00:14:16
    because it's always a master class on
  • 00:14:18
    investing, thinking long-term, zooming
  • 00:14:20
    out, and not getting so caught up in the
  • 00:14:22
    day-to-day volatility and noise of the
  • 00:14:24
    markets. So, let's take a look at what
  • 00:14:26
    Bruce had to write this time. While the
  • 00:14:27
    geopolitical environment is more
  • 00:14:29
    uncertain than 3 months ago, our focus
  • 00:14:31
    remains the same. find great businesses
  • 00:14:33
    to acquire, buy them when we can acquire
  • 00:14:35
    for value, and operate them well once we
  • 00:14:38
    own them. History has proven through all
  • 00:14:40
    economic conditions that owning great
  • 00:14:42
    businesses for long periods of time is
  • 00:14:44
    the cornerstone of wealth creation. And
  • 00:14:47
    typical Charlie Munger fashion, I have
  • 00:14:49
    nothing to add. Moving on to the next
  • 00:14:51
    screenshot. Global markets were
  • 00:14:52
    volatile, our business strong. We
  • 00:14:54
    started the year with positive economic
  • 00:14:56
    momentum. To date, growth and labor
  • 00:14:58
    market data have remained resilient, but
  • 00:15:01
    changes in US trade policy have created
  • 00:15:03
    uncertainty and capital markets. While
  • 00:15:05
    our businesses and operations are not
  • 00:15:07
    immune, they are generally insulated
  • 00:15:09
    from the current environment. This is
  • 00:15:11
    because our business focuses on
  • 00:15:13
    providing essential products and
  • 00:15:14
    services which do not rely on crossber
  • 00:15:17
    movement of goods. They serve customers
  • 00:15:19
    locally and generally pass through
  • 00:15:21
    increased input costs contractually to
  • 00:15:23
    the end consumer. As we have experienced
  • 00:15:25
    in previous periods of stress, markets
  • 00:15:27
    move for reasons that often don't
  • 00:15:29
    reflect underlying fundamentals. This
  • 00:15:31
    creates opportunities for experienced,
  • 00:15:34
    well- capitalized investors to invest
  • 00:15:36
    for value. Regardless of how the current
  • 00:15:39
    administration's trade policies
  • 00:15:40
    develops, the US remains a premier
  • 00:15:42
    destination for investment globally. It
  • 00:15:45
    is energyindependent, boasts the largest
  • 00:15:47
    GDP in the world, has the deepest and
  • 00:15:49
    most liquid capital markets, and is a
  • 00:15:52
    leader in technology and
  • 00:15:53
    entrepreneurship. The administration's
  • 00:15:55
    objectives focus on lower taxes,
  • 00:15:58
    deregulation, and industrialization,
  • 00:16:00
    which on balance are positive from a
  • 00:16:02
    long-term investment perspective. We
  • 00:16:04
    will all get to the other side of this.
  • 00:16:06
    So basically what Brookfield is trying
  • 00:16:08
    to convey here is that their businesses
  • 00:16:10
    while they're not immune to all of the
  • 00:16:12
    global uncertainty that's going on right
  • 00:16:14
    now. They are pretty well insulated and
  • 00:16:16
    this is because Brookfield doesn't do
  • 00:16:18
    too much shipping of goods over borders.
  • 00:16:21
    What they do is they'll go and set up
  • 00:16:22
    shop in a country like India and then
  • 00:16:24
    they'll build local businesses or
  • 00:16:26
    acquire local businesses within India
  • 00:16:28
    and operate in that country. So while
  • 00:16:31
    they are an international business,
  • 00:16:33
    their businesses are actually pretty
  • 00:16:34
    localized in the countries that they
  • 00:16:36
    operate in. Bruce is also saying here
  • 00:16:38
    that he believes that the world is going
  • 00:16:40
    to get through these uncertain times and
  • 00:16:42
    that the economy is going to continue to
  • 00:16:44
    grow and that the United States remains
  • 00:16:46
    a very investable place to well invest.
  • 00:16:50
    So Brookfield is going to get through
  • 00:16:51
    this. I think all investors are going to
  • 00:16:53
    get through this. And this is what I do
  • 00:16:55
    as well is I just try to focus on the
  • 00:16:57
    long term. And I don't think that 10
  • 00:16:59
    years out the the global economy is
  • 00:17:02
    going to be completely erect. I think
  • 00:17:03
    it's going to be larger than it is now.
  • 00:17:05
    And I think that everything is going to
  • 00:17:06
    be just fine when we zoom out a bit,
  • 00:17:08
    which I think a lot of investors right
  • 00:17:10
    now really do need to do is just zoom
  • 00:17:12
    out, calm down, get your emotions in
  • 00:17:14
    check, and uh continue investing for the
  • 00:17:16
    long term. This next screenshot is just
  • 00:17:19
    the conclusion of the shareholder letter
  • 00:17:20
    where this says, "Over decades of
  • 00:17:22
    operations, we have successfully
  • 00:17:24
    navigated through many periods of
  • 00:17:25
    uncertainty. We remain committed to our
  • 00:17:28
    core competencies, investing in
  • 00:17:29
    highquality assets and businesses that
  • 00:17:32
    compound strong cash returns on equity
  • 00:17:34
    while emphasizing downside protection
  • 00:17:36
    for the capital employed. Our primary
  • 00:17:38
    objective continues to be generating
  • 00:17:40
    increased cash flows on a per share
  • 00:17:42
    basis, thereby enhancing intrinsic value
  • 00:17:44
    per share over the long term. If you
  • 00:17:46
    have been watching my channel, then you
  • 00:17:48
    know that per share profits growing is
  • 00:17:51
    what creates shareholder value for
  • 00:17:53
    investors. And the number one focus of
  • 00:17:55
    Brookfield Corporation is to increase
  • 00:17:57
    its free cash flow on a per share basis.
  • 00:18:00
    And this is what the company has always
  • 00:18:01
    done. It's why it's compounded massively
  • 00:18:03
    over the past 20, 30 plus years. And it
  • 00:18:06
    sounds like this is what the company is
  • 00:18:08
    going to continue focusing on over the
  • 00:18:09
    long term. And that's why I'm remaining
  • 00:18:12
    a very happy shareholder. All right,
  • 00:18:13
    let's head back over to Stock Unlock
  • 00:18:15
    now. And currently, we can see that
  • 00:18:16
    Brookfield's market capitalization is
  • 00:18:19
    $83.70 billion. Now if we divide this by
  • 00:18:22
    their trailing 12 months distributable
  • 00:18:25
    earnings of 5.171 billion now and this
  • 00:18:28
    is their operating distributable
  • 00:18:29
    earnings by the way then we get a price
  • 00:18:31
    to distributable earnings of about
  • 00:18:34
    16.2. In my opinion this is a very fair
  • 00:18:37
    price to pay for a business that is
  • 00:18:39
    growing by 27% over the past year. It
  • 00:18:42
    has a great management team and I
  • 00:18:44
    believe that it is incredibly high
  • 00:18:46
    quality. I think that it's probably one
  • 00:18:48
    of the best asset managers in the entire
  • 00:18:50
    world. And you can even go and compare
  • 00:18:52
    them to Apollo or KKR. And when you look
  • 00:18:54
    at Apollo and KKR, these companies trade
  • 00:18:57
    for a significantly higher price
  • 00:18:59
    multiples. So a 16 price to DE I
  • 00:19:02
    personally think is quite undervalued.
  • 00:19:05
    One, because it's a low multiple
  • 00:19:06
    relative to the company's quality and
  • 00:19:08
    its growth, and second, because this
  • 00:19:10
    multiple is quite a bit lower than what
  • 00:19:12
    its peers trade for in the same space.
  • 00:19:15
    So, I do think that there is an
  • 00:19:16
    opportunity for multiple expansion of
  • 00:19:18
    Brookfield Corporation over the long
  • 00:19:19
    term, but I'm not going to bake that in
  • 00:19:21
    to the DCF that we're about to do right
  • 00:19:23
    here. So, I ran a DCF on Brookfield
  • 00:19:26
    Corporation today, and I put in the free
  • 00:19:28
    cash flow that the business has
  • 00:19:30
    generated over the past year now, which
  • 00:19:31
    was that
  • 00:19:32
    $5.171 billion. I also have the company
  • 00:19:36
    growing its free cash flow by 20%
  • 00:19:38
    annually, which is actually below what
  • 00:19:40
    they are expecting to do over the next 5
  • 00:19:42
    years. They're projecting about 25%
  • 00:19:44
    annual growth. So 20% growth is on the
  • 00:19:47
    lower end of what the company is
  • 00:19:48
    expecting to produce. I also have them
  • 00:19:50
    buying back 1% of their shares on an
  • 00:19:52
    annual basis over the next 5 years,
  • 00:19:54
    which they're currently doing, and
  • 00:19:55
    trading for a 16 price to distributable
  • 00:19:58
    earnings, which is what they're
  • 00:19:59
    currently trading for. So no multiple
  • 00:20:01
    expansion over the next 5 years. And if
  • 00:20:04
    Brookfield can do this and simply meet
  • 00:20:06
    their targets and continue buying back
  • 00:20:08
    shares, then the stock could compound by
  • 00:20:10
    about 18% annually over the next 5 years
  • 00:20:13
    from its current share price. Its fair
  • 00:20:15
    value would also be about $83 per share.
  • 00:20:19
    And I do think that this is probably
  • 00:20:20
    around where the fair value of the
  • 00:20:22
    business is. So when I take a look at
  • 00:20:24
    these metrics right here, when I take a
  • 00:20:26
    look at the price of the business, its
  • 00:20:27
    quality, and its future outlook, I think
  • 00:20:29
    that Brookfield stock is still quite
  • 00:20:31
    cheap in the market. And I actually
  • 00:20:33
    bought more shares in the market today
  • 00:20:35
    after earnings. I am completely fine
  • 00:20:37
    averaging up, buying near all-time
  • 00:20:39
    highs, buying on a day where the stock
  • 00:20:40
    is up 4%. Because when I take a look at
  • 00:20:43
    the price of this business relative to
  • 00:20:45
    its fundamentals and its underlying
  • 00:20:47
    value, I do think that it is still very
  • 00:20:50
    undervalued and could continue to
  • 00:20:51
    outperform the S&P 500 over the next 5
  • 00:20:54
    years and over the long term. So, for
  • 00:20:56
    those reasons, I'm not really focused on
  • 00:20:59
    where the stock is trading right now. If
  • 00:21:01
    it's up 25% over the past month, if it's
  • 00:21:03
    near all-time highs, I really just don't
  • 00:21:05
    care. I could care less. What I care
  • 00:21:08
    about is what is what what do I think
  • 00:21:10
    the actual value of the business is? And
  • 00:21:12
    right now, I think the value of the
  • 00:21:14
    business is probably around $83 per
  • 00:21:16
    share US. And as long as the stock
  • 00:21:19
    remains below that, I'm probably going
  • 00:21:21
    to continue just dollar cost averaging
  • 00:21:23
    and buying more and more shares of
  • 00:21:24
    Brookfield Corporation. So, this stock
  • 00:21:27
    has been a massive, massive winner in my
  • 00:21:29
    portfolio, especially when I factor in
  • 00:21:31
    the realized gains that I took on
  • 00:21:33
    Brookfield Asset Management to put more
  • 00:21:35
    into my BN shares. This is by far the
  • 00:21:38
    largest gainer that I've ever had in my
  • 00:21:40
    portfolios. And it's been a massive
  • 00:21:42
    winner for me. But what's interesting is
  • 00:21:44
    whenever I talk about Brookfield, I
  • 00:21:46
    always get comments like, "This is such
  • 00:21:48
    a boring company. No one cares about
  • 00:21:49
    Brookfield. Why are you talking about
  • 00:21:50
    it?" But I guess people just don't like
  • 00:21:53
    making money. I I I find it crazy. Like
  • 00:21:55
    this is such a great business in my
  • 00:21:57
    opinion. It's extremely high quality. It
  • 00:21:59
    has a great track record, great
  • 00:22:01
    management, very aligned insiders that
  • 00:22:04
    own 20% of the entire company. They're
  • 00:22:06
    also exposed to so many different mega
  • 00:22:09
    trends that I think are going to
  • 00:22:10
    continue for decades to come. And in
  • 00:22:13
    like to me, it just seems like this
  • 00:22:14
    business is almost obviously going to
  • 00:22:16
    grow. And I think the price is also
  • 00:22:18
    extremely fair. So, I don't know. I I
  • 00:22:21
    don't know why people don't like when I
  • 00:22:22
    talk about Brookfield so much, but you
  • 00:22:24
    know, it's the largest position in my
  • 00:22:25
    portfolio. I strongly believe this one
  • 00:22:27
    is going to continue to be a winner for
  • 00:22:29
    me. So, I'm going to continue sharing my
  • 00:22:31
    analysis on it and let you guys know
  • 00:22:33
    what I'm doing with my position. But, I
  • 00:22:35
    could talk about Brookfield all day. So,
  • 00:22:37
    I'm going to stop myself and wrap up the
  • 00:22:39
    video there. So, if you did enjoy the
  • 00:22:40
    video, then please leave a like on it
  • 00:22:42
    and let me know what you think about
  • 00:22:43
    Brookfield down in the comment section
  • 00:22:45
    below. And I'll do my best to respond to
  • 00:22:47
    you guys and answer as many questions as
  • 00:22:48
    I possibly can. Also, if you're new here
  • 00:22:50
    and you want to stick around and see
  • 00:22:52
    more investment content like this, then
  • 00:22:54
    please consider subscribing to my
  • 00:22:55
    channel because that would be pretty
  • 00:22:57
    awesome. And lastly, as always, thank
  • 00:22:59
    you so much for tuning in. I truly do
  • 00:23:01
    appreciate it and I hope to see you
  • 00:23:03
    again in my next
标签
  • Brookfield Corporation
  • earnings report
  • distributable earnings
  • asset management
  • infrastructure
  • renewable energy
  • wealth solutions
  • market volatility
  • share buybacks
  • long-term growth