TOM LEE: "BUY THESE 7 STOCKS IN 2025 AND NEVER WORK AGAIN"

00:48:22
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VQk2apvRlHs

Résumé

TLDRThe video discusses the recent volatility in the stock market, with significant price swings and uncertainty about future trends. It features analysis of popular stocks like Palantir, Nvidia, and SoFi, focusing on short-term predictions and the potential for a market rebound. Tom Lee's insights on recession probabilities and tariff negotiations are highlighted, emphasizing the importance of investor sentiment. The video concludes with a detailed technical analysis of various stocks, outlining potential price movements and strategies for investors, while cautioning against making impulsive decisions in a volatile market.

A retenir

  • 📉 Massive market swings of 12% to 6-7% this week.
  • 📊 Analysis of stocks like Palantir, Nvidia, and SoFi for short-term trends.
  • 🔍 Tom Lee discusses recession probabilities and market outlook.
  • 🏦 Bank earnings are crucial for market direction.
  • 📈 Potential for a relief rally if tariff negotiations improve.
  • 📉 Current market sentiment is mixed with recession fears.
  • 📊 Importance of technical analysis in stock predictions.
  • ⚖️ Investors should balance caution with opportunities.
  • 📉 Key resistance levels identified for various stocks.
  • 🔄 Reacting to market news is more important than predicting outcomes.

Chronologie

  • 00:00:00 - 00:05:00

    The market experienced significant volatility this week, with swings from 12% highs to 6-7% lows, leading to discussions about potential recession and market recovery. The video will analyze popular stocks like Palantir, Nvidia, SoFi, and others, focusing on short-term trends while acknowledging long-term growth potential.

  • 00:05:00 - 00:10:00

    Tom Lee from Fund Strats discusses the current market sentiment, indicating that a 60% probability of recession has been priced in. He believes there is room for a market rebound if tariff negotiations deescalate, despite the ongoing bear market sentiment felt by many investors.

  • 00:10:00 - 00:15:00

    Investors are conflicted between tactical and long-term strategies. While some seek to identify market bottoms, others remain cautious due to uncertainty surrounding tariffs and recession fears. Lee expresses confidence in US companies navigating through challenges, suggesting that oversold stocks may yield positive returns in the long run.

  • 00:15:00 - 00:20:00

    Concerns arise about upcoming earnings reports from major tech companies, with fears of soft guidance potentially leading to further market declines. The speaker anticipates a relief rally but remains cautious about the overall market direction, emphasizing the importance of earnings guidance.

  • 00:20:00 - 00:25:00

    The discussion shifts to the impact of tariffs on the global economy, with the potential for a pause in negotiations. The speaker believes that positive news could lead to a significant market rally, while ongoing economic concerns could result in further downturns.

  • 00:25:00 - 00:30:00

    The speaker outlines a strategy of reacting to market conditions rather than predicting outcomes, emphasizing the importance of not putting all investments in one basket. They express respect for Tom Lee's transparency regarding market predictions and his willingness to adjust views based on new information.

  • 00:30:00 - 00:35:00

    The analysis of various stocks reveals a mixed outlook, with some showing potential for recovery while others remain in bearish trends. The speaker highlights the importance of monitoring key resistance and support levels for stocks like Palantir, Nvidia, and SoFi, indicating potential trading strategies based on market movements.

  • 00:35:00 - 00:40:00

    The speaker introduces the concept of the Williams consolidation box as a trading strategy, explaining how it can help identify bullish or bearish trends. They emphasize the need for confirmation before making investment decisions and the importance of being prepared for both upward and downward market movements.

  • 00:40:00 - 00:48:22

    In conclusion, the video provides a comprehensive analysis of the current market landscape, urging viewers to stay informed and adaptable. The speaker encourages engagement with their community for further learning and trading strategies, while expressing optimism for potential market recovery in the future.

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Carte mentale

Vidéo Q&R

  • What stocks are analyzed in the video?

    The video analyzes stocks like Palantir, Nvidia, SoFi, Robinhood, Celsius, and others.

  • What is Tom Lee's outlook on the market?

    Tom Lee believes there is potential for a market rebound if tariff negotiations deescalate.

  • What is the significance of bank earnings?

    Bank earnings are seen as a leading indicator for market direction and overall economic health.

  • What is a Williams consolidation box?

    A Williams consolidation box is a trading strategy used to identify potential price movements based on support and resistance levels.

  • What is the current market sentiment?

    The market sentiment is mixed, with concerns about recession and uncertainty affecting investor confidence.

  • What should investors do in this volatile market?

    Investors are advised to be cautious, consider both short-term and long-term strategies, and avoid putting all their money in one basket.

  • What are the key resistance levels mentioned?

    Key resistance levels vary by stock, but for example, Palantir has resistance around $93 and $98.

  • What is the potential downside for stocks?

    The potential downside for stocks could see them drop to key support levels, such as $60 to $70 for Palantir.

  • How does the video suggest reacting to market news?

    The video suggests reacting to market news rather than trying to predict outcomes, emphasizing the importance of confirmation before making trades.

  • What is the overall trend in the market?

    The overall trend is currently bearish, but there is potential for a relief rally if positive news emerges.

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  • 00:00:00
    this was an absolutely wild week in the
  • 00:00:03
    market We had massive swings of 12% high
  • 00:00:07
    all the way down to 6 7%
  • 00:00:09
    lows Everybody's talking about this week
  • 00:00:12
    and how uncertain things are going
  • 00:00:15
    forward This person's screaming
  • 00:00:17
    recession that person's screaming we're
  • 00:00:20
    at the bottom In this video we're going
  • 00:00:22
    to be going through the charts of
  • 00:00:24
    multiple popular stocks like Palunteer
  • 00:00:27
    Nvidia SoFi Robin Hood Celsius and so
  • 00:00:31
    many others And we're going to be
  • 00:00:33
    looking at where these stocks are going
  • 00:00:34
    in the short term As we all already know
  • 00:00:36
    in the long term these stocks will go up
  • 00:00:39
    as investments and they will continue to
  • 00:00:42
    rise higher as does the stock market
  • 00:00:44
    over the long term But let's talk about
  • 00:00:45
    the short term for a little bit and see
  • 00:00:47
    where we're going coming into this next
  • 00:00:49
    week We're also going to be looking at a
  • 00:00:51
    video here from Tom Lee talking about
  • 00:00:54
    where he thinks the markets are going
  • 00:00:56
    what he thinks about the recession talks
  • 00:00:58
    and what he thinks about tariffs So
  • 00:01:00
    let's get into it Our talk of the tape
  • 00:01:02
    where do we go from here with all this
  • 00:01:04
    volatility where are we going let's ask
  • 00:01:06
    Tom Lee He is Fund Strats managing
  • 00:01:08
    partner head of research also a CNBC
  • 00:01:10
    contributor with me here at Post 9 Thank
  • 00:01:12
    you for being here So Liberation Day
  • 00:01:14
    didn't go as you thought and you
  • 00:01:17
    apologized publicly for that which I
  • 00:01:18
    think a lot of people appreciated You're
  • 00:01:19
    always a stand-up person about that Uh
  • 00:01:21
    what now where are we going well I think
  • 00:01:24
    a couple things that we're thinking
  • 00:01:25
    about is we know markets have gotten
  • 00:01:27
    very pessimistic They priced in a 60%
  • 00:01:29
    probability of a recession And if tariff
  • 00:01:33
    negotiations deescalate then the
  • 00:01:35
    probability isn't that high So I think
  • 00:01:37
    that there's still a big window for
  • 00:01:39
    markets to have a large rebound but it's
  • 00:01:41
    really the path of this deescalation We
  • 00:01:43
    in a bare market I mean we're we're in a
  • 00:01:45
    bare market right i mean it almost
  • 00:01:46
    doesn't matter you know textbook whether
  • 00:01:47
    you say we are we're not It's like so
  • 00:01:48
    many stocks got just absolutely
  • 00:01:50
    destroyed before before this uncertainty
  • 00:01:53
    happened in the market Yes I mean if if
  • 00:01:54
    we define a bare market as uh stocks
  • 00:01:56
    feel like a grind or you're losing money
  • 00:01:58
    I'd say it really started in December
  • 00:02:00
    because markets weren't churning even
  • 00:02:01
    through the February high But if I was
  • 00:02:04
    to define a bare market as unleashing a
  • 00:02:06
    type of financial tightening that leads
  • 00:02:07
    to a recession we're not at that
  • 00:02:09
    criteria yet But I think it feels like a
  • 00:02:11
    bare market for the average person Are
  • 00:02:12
    we supposed to buy into that or just
  • 00:02:14
    stay cautious and on the sidelines don't
  • 00:02:16
    do anything Sit on our hands I don't
  • 00:02:18
    think people know what to do And I'm not
  • 00:02:19
    just talking in the CEO suites because
  • 00:02:21
    they obviously don't know what to do How
  • 00:02:23
    can you so what is the investor supposed
  • 00:02:25
    to do yeah I mean I think there's sort
  • 00:02:26
    of two brains people are fighting One is
  • 00:02:28
    the tactical brain which is look they
  • 00:02:30
    want to know if this is a bottom and
  • 00:02:32
    they want to be convinced of it by
  • 00:02:34
    saying stocks rally on bad news but if
  • 00:02:36
    someone had the investor hat on and you
  • 00:02:38
    know that's the long-term brain um you
  • 00:02:40
    know I have a lot of confidence the US
  • 00:02:41
    companies are going to navigate through
  • 00:02:43
    this treachery stocks are hugely
  • 00:02:45
    oversold because you never really lose
  • 00:02:47
    money buying the VIX at 50 or when the
  • 00:02:48
    percentage of stocks above the 200 day
  • 00:02:50
    drops to 15 Those are almost guarantees
  • 00:02:52
    of positive 1 year threeear five return
  • 00:02:53
    So it depends which brain you're wearing
  • 00:02:55
    today but I I'd say the majority of our
  • 00:02:57
    clients are trying to be tactical I hear
  • 00:02:59
    views of well it's really hard to get
  • 00:03:02
    I'll say something on that real quick So
  • 00:03:05
    I do believe that big tech will be able
  • 00:03:07
    to navigate these markets but my biggest
  • 00:03:09
    fear going into these earnings coming up
  • 00:03:12
    is that like the other commentator said
  • 00:03:14
    they don't know where we are going and
  • 00:03:17
    they don't understand what's going on
  • 00:03:19
    with tariffs fully So that leads me to
  • 00:03:23
    believe that they've already had weaker
  • 00:03:26
    than forecasted They already had weaker
  • 00:03:28
    guidance last quarter into this quarter
  • 00:03:31
    Now we have more tariff uncertainty We
  • 00:03:34
    have more recession uncertainty
  • 00:03:35
    Everybody's screaming from the rooftops
  • 00:03:38
    that we're going into a recession And
  • 00:03:41
    you know even if you just start talking
  • 00:03:43
    about recession people are going to
  • 00:03:44
    start cutting back on spending And so it
  • 00:03:47
    bleeds into the numbers and the
  • 00:03:49
    forecasts and so on and so forth right
  • 00:03:51
    so my biggest fear here is that they
  • 00:03:54
    come in with soft guidance again and if
  • 00:03:58
    these big tech companies like Meta
  • 00:04:00
    Amazon Google Nvidia if they come in
  • 00:04:02
    with soft guidance two quarters in a row
  • 00:04:06
    then we will see a bigger down move I do
  • 00:04:11
    believe that and I honestly already
  • 00:04:13
    believe that we are in a bare market and
  • 00:04:16
    we will continue lower But I do believe
  • 00:04:18
    we're going to get a pretty decent size
  • 00:04:20
    relief rally like uh Tom Lee says in
  • 00:04:23
    this video to the upside And that's what
  • 00:04:25
    I want to talk to you about in this
  • 00:04:26
    video The upside over the next couple
  • 00:04:29
    weeks or month or so leading into these
  • 00:04:32
    big tech earnings
  • 00:04:35
    Uber bearish now because a headline at
  • 00:04:38
    any moment as I said in the open here
  • 00:04:41
    the market is waiting so hard for some
  • 00:04:44
    bit of good news that if you're on the
  • 00:04:45
    wrong side of that you get a day like
  • 00:04:48
    you had on Wednesday Yes I mean I if I
  • 00:04:51
    was to oversimplify the framing of this
  • 00:04:53
    US and China have absurd levels of
  • 00:04:55
    reciprocal tariffs at the moment And if
  • 00:04:57
    you believe those are in place then the
  • 00:04:59
    global economy is in trouble and you
  • 00:05:00
    should be bearish But if this is a
  • 00:05:02
    matter of who makes the overture first
  • 00:05:05
    or blinks but we know it deescalates
  • 00:05:08
    then I think the downside has largely it
  • 00:05:10
    comes off dramatically and I think
  • 00:05:12
    stocks can actually do really well into
  • 00:05:13
    the rest of the year So you'd be a buy
  • 00:05:16
    So with bond with the 10-year and bond
  • 00:05:19
    yields just absolutely skyrocketing
  • 00:05:21
    maybe because of China manipulation Uh I
  • 00:05:23
    heard Japan Japan is selling a lot off a
  • 00:05:26
    lot of our a lot of our bond yields for
  • 00:05:28
    the US you know it's absolutely
  • 00:05:30
    skyrocketing and it's putting uh
  • 00:05:32
    President Trump in a very very bad
  • 00:05:35
    position in a position that he might not
  • 00:05:37
    have known that he would have he would
  • 00:05:38
    be in and it's causing him to kind of
  • 00:05:41
    fold on a lot of these tariff um uh
  • 00:05:45
    stances that he's had It's why I believe
  • 00:05:47
    we got the 90-day pause on on on you
  • 00:05:49
    know reciprocal tariffs across the
  • 00:05:51
    across the world And I do believe you
  • 00:05:54
    know China's not backing down And I
  • 00:05:57
    don't believe Trump wants to be at the
  • 00:05:58
    forefront of an economic crisis on on a
  • 00:06:01
    world scale And so I do believe that
  • 00:06:04
    actually over this weekend into next
  • 00:06:06
    week we do get some sort of pause I
  • 00:06:08
    don't know about a deal A deal would be
  • 00:06:10
    great and this market would absolutely
  • 00:06:12
    rip faces off As you saw um we had that
  • 00:06:15
    12% move up you know markets are ready
  • 00:06:18
    to get this tariff news behind us get
  • 00:06:20
    all this behind us and really start
  • 00:06:22
    moving higher you know and again I do
  • 00:06:25
    believe that we would move higher past
  • 00:06:27
    this tariff news but there's so many
  • 00:06:29
    other you know things in the economy
  • 00:06:32
    that that do scare me for a a further
  • 00:06:35
    down move um just because where things
  • 00:06:37
    are at right now in the economy But we
  • 00:06:40
    could have a blow-off top moment You
  • 00:06:42
    know if we do get good a deal with China
  • 00:06:44
    and US this tariff stuff goes away the
  • 00:06:47
    Fed starts cutting rates inflation stays
  • 00:06:49
    at bay you know we really could see a
  • 00:06:52
    massive rally into a blowoff top
  • 00:06:54
    situation in which I still believe that
  • 00:06:56
    we still have a bigger down move but you
  • 00:06:59
    know it's just going off of uh you know
  • 00:07:03
    the the information as it comes out We
  • 00:07:05
    don't want to jump to conclusions You
  • 00:07:06
    know we can have things in our head We
  • 00:07:08
    can be looking at the charts We could be
  • 00:07:10
    looking and reading and looking at
  • 00:07:11
    economic news and everything and just
  • 00:07:13
    understanding things at a high level but
  • 00:07:15
    at the end of the day we shouldn't be
  • 00:07:17
    trying to predict and put all our money
  • 00:07:19
    in one basket all our eggs in one basket
  • 00:07:21
    just because we think something's going
  • 00:07:22
    to happen or this is how we think it's
  • 00:07:24
    going to play out It's always important
  • 00:07:26
    to just basically um you
  • 00:07:29
    know react more than try to predict Um
  • 00:07:33
    it's definitely okay to to try to
  • 00:07:35
    forecast but don't put your all your
  • 00:07:37
    eggs in one basket when you do that So
  • 00:07:40
    right now yes and with the apology that
  • 00:07:42
    of course you know I didn't think
  • 00:07:43
    Liberation Day was going to be this
  • 00:07:45
    draconian but yes I would be buying
  • 00:07:47
    stocks today What would you buy and I do
  • 00:07:49
    respect sorry just keep pausing I do
  • 00:07:50
    respect Tom Lee You know he he came out
  • 00:07:53
    he was very bullish very bullish
  • 00:07:54
    consistently on CNBS CNBC as he
  • 00:07:57
    typically is um you know he didn't
  • 00:07:59
    realize that Trump was going to
  • 00:08:01
    absolutely cause this massive meltdown
  • 00:08:04
    in the in the stocks and he didn't
  • 00:08:05
    expect you know tariffs to be what they
  • 00:08:07
    were Nobody did Nobody did And but I I
  • 00:08:10
    appreciate him for being transparent and
  • 00:08:13
    coming out and apologizing for for being
  • 00:08:16
    so bullish into that and and being wrong
  • 00:08:18
    And he admitted that and uh you can't
  • 00:08:20
    you can only respect somebody um when
  • 00:08:23
    they do something like that Bye Well I
  • 00:08:26
    one of the things we did for our clients
  • 00:08:27
    last night is to look at what's called
  • 00:08:29
    Walter Demer calls sold out stocks which
  • 00:08:31
    is which is worse than oversold Sold out
  • 00:08:33
    stocks don't go down because there's a
  • 00:08:34
    lot of bad news priced in There's a lot
  • 00:08:37
    of stocks that didn't make new lows on
  • 00:08:39
    Tuesday April 8th They made their lows a
  • 00:08:41
    month ago and and they had lower volume
  • 00:08:43
    on April 8th Those are what I call
  • 00:08:45
    washed out stocks A group that I think's
  • 00:08:47
    washed out is the MAG 7 So I' I'd look
  • 00:08:49
    at MAG 7 as a place to really expect a
  • 00:08:51
    rebound including stocks like Tesla Okay
  • 00:08:53
    You used the word draconian That was
  • 00:08:56
    your word But I'm going to play off of
  • 00:08:57
    that and say well what if we're in a
  • 00:08:59
    post draconian period love the mag seven
  • 00:09:01
    stocks right now Love them We're left
  • 00:09:03
    with the rubble of that making in the
  • 00:09:06
    White House and the damage has been done
  • 00:09:08
    CEOs have no visibility whatsoever
  • 00:09:11
    Consumer Do you see this consumer
  • 00:09:12
    sentiment number today yeah they're
  • 00:09:13
    awful Do you see where inflation
  • 00:09:14
    expectations are yeah they they've gone
  • 00:09:16
    bananas Do you see what earnings
  • 00:09:18
    expectations have done recently i mean
  • 00:09:19
    there's no ability to make guidance So
  • 00:09:21
    what if the damage is already done now
  • 00:09:22
    that's right Now we have to keep in mind
  • 00:09:24
    this is this could be seven days So it
  • 00:09:27
    is a shock a high amplitude shock but
  • 00:09:28
    only of seven days So someone can
  • 00:09:30
    restart the patient's heartbeat Um I
  • 00:09:33
    think that the White House is now keenly
  • 00:09:34
    aware that Main Street can't handle a
  • 00:09:37
    huge deleveraging because it is going to
  • 00:09:39
    lead to job loss and and he's listening
  • 00:09:40
    to CEOs So I think there's a really big
  • 00:09:42
    window to repair the bulk of this damage
  • 00:09:45
    And at the other side of this of course
  • 00:09:46
    is that we have reciprocal tariffs in
  • 00:09:49
    place that are acceptable We have tax
  • 00:09:51
    policy that's changing and less
  • 00:09:52
    regulation So I I actually think the
  • 00:09:54
    2026 outlook is still quite good Which
  • 00:09:56
    which puts are you so to speak um more
  • 00:09:58
    reliant on now a Fed one or a Trump one
  • 00:10:01
    well I think there's a call at work and
  • 00:10:02
    a couple of puts Um you know I I think
  • 00:10:05
    that there's a Fed liquidity put that
  • 00:10:06
    was in evidence today by the Fed Collins
  • 00:10:09
    when she did Exactly And we know but we
  • 00:10:12
    know the Fed put on rates is much
  • 00:10:13
    strikes much lower The White House has a
  • 00:10:16
    policy put because we know that you
  • 00:10:19
    can't brinkmanship the global economy to
  • 00:10:21
    a halt just to try to get China to blink
  • 00:10:23
    And I think that the call is I think
  • 00:10:25
    there's a there's a negotiator call
  • 00:10:27
    which means I think the White House
  • 00:10:28
    exercised a noviral call and replaced
  • 00:10:30
    him with Besson There we have it I
  • 00:10:33
    really like Tom Lee's outlook and I
  • 00:10:35
    really like the way the man thinks Um I
  • 00:10:38
    don't always agree with him but that is
  • 00:10:41
    normal The biggest thing here is that I
  • 00:10:43
    honestly rather have 2025 just continue
  • 00:10:46
    to be in a bare market And like I said I
  • 00:10:49
    believe
  • 00:10:50
    that guidance is going to be weak for a
  • 00:10:52
    lot of these tech companies And that's
  • 00:10:54
    going to push us further down more so
  • 00:10:56
    into the bare market And I think we get
  • 00:10:57
    more so of like a 2022 uh bare market
  • 00:11:01
    before we bottom out say uh you know
  • 00:11:05
    October November December time frame of
  • 00:11:07
    2025 we really bottom out this year and
  • 00:11:10
    then we have a good year in 2026 like
  • 00:11:12
    Tom Lee says I would rather see that
  • 00:11:15
    happen than to see things you know get
  • 00:11:19
    back to normal We have a blowoff top and
  • 00:11:21
    then that leads us into into end of 2025
  • 00:11:23
    end of 2026 going into a real bare
  • 00:11:26
    market a real recession I'd rather get
  • 00:11:28
    these things out of the way get all
  • 00:11:30
    these cracks and uh fixed puttied up and
  • 00:11:33
    and and figured out now instead of
  • 00:11:35
    really having to you know endure more
  • 00:11:39
    turbulence back and forth You know we we
  • 00:11:41
    go we we hit a bottom now local bottom
  • 00:11:43
    we snap up hit new all-time highs have a
  • 00:11:46
    blowoff top and then we uh soon after
  • 00:11:49
    that crash back down into a bare market
  • 00:11:52
    So yeah I mean I just can't get past um
  • 00:11:55
    thinking
  • 00:11:56
    that you know guidance for these big
  • 00:11:59
    tech companies Google Meta Amazon which
  • 00:12:01
    I do I do think I I agree with Tom Lee
  • 00:12:04
    they are very washed out and they are
  • 00:12:06
    very cheap right now Very cheap for
  • 00:12:08
    where they're going over the next 5 to
  • 00:12:10
    10 years And as investments I've been
  • 00:12:12
    buying them pretty consistently outside
  • 00:12:15
    of Apple I'm not the biggest believer in
  • 00:12:17
    Apple right now and I still believe that
  • 00:12:19
    they are very overvalued But all the
  • 00:12:21
    other companies the other six mag seven
  • 00:12:22
    companies I've been buying like crazy
  • 00:12:24
    and and and across all my
  • 00:12:26
    portfolios So I do agree with them there
  • 00:12:29
    but I I am very worried and until we get
  • 00:12:31
    through these earnings until we hear
  • 00:12:33
    their their guidance um I'm just not so
  • 00:12:35
    sure that their guidance is going to be
  • 00:12:37
    all that in a bag of chips and their
  • 00:12:39
    guidance into this quarter has already
  • 00:12:40
    been very meh So going into this next
  • 00:12:44
    quarter um they have to double beat come
  • 00:12:48
    in with better than expected and then
  • 00:12:50
    also have better than expected guidance
  • 00:12:52
    and I feel like that's going to be very
  • 00:12:54
    difficult So where are markets going
  • 00:12:55
    shortterm in my opinion based on the
  • 00:12:58
    charts and based on what I'm seeing u
  • 00:13:00
    we're going to be looking at like I said
  • 00:13:01
    all these companies QQQ Spy Palunteer
  • 00:13:04
    Hood Nvidia SoFi HIMS AMD Celsius Amazon
  • 00:13:08
    and Google We're going to be looking at
  • 00:13:09
    all these Before we do that quick
  • 00:13:12
    announcement We have earnings coming up
  • 00:13:14
    this week Starting this week we have the
  • 00:13:16
    banks reporting earning And now the
  • 00:13:19
    biggest thing about banks I truly
  • 00:13:20
    believe that banks lead markets They
  • 00:13:23
    they are the lifeblood of the economy
  • 00:13:25
    They are the lifeblood of all businesses
  • 00:13:28
    Um everything runs through them The
  • 00:13:30
    consumer businesses everything So
  • 00:13:32
    whatever they report and the direction
  • 00:13:34
    that they go is where we are going to go
  • 00:13:36
    short term If banks come out with good
  • 00:13:38
    earnings good guidance and we and those
  • 00:13:41
    those uh move higher then I do believe
  • 00:13:44
    that we will continue to move higher
  • 00:13:46
    until we get uh big tech earnings And
  • 00:13:49
    again if those have poor guidance then I
  • 00:13:51
    believe that we could snap right back
  • 00:13:53
    down and go into that bare market which
  • 00:13:55
    we could already be in technically So
  • 00:13:57
    QQQ I posted about this whenever it
  • 00:14:01
    actually happened So Friday we had a
  • 00:14:03
    huge um you know backto-back days
  • 00:14:05
    Thursday and Friday just two huge gap
  • 00:14:07
    down days 5% down 6% down Monday we
  • 00:14:11
    rebounded This Monday candle was a move
  • 00:14:14
    of 10% from top to bottom Absolutely
  • 00:14:17
    insane and we we ended the day basically
  • 00:14:19
    break even 24% up and then on Tuesday
  • 00:14:22
    pulled back this was about an 8% total
  • 00:14:25
    move candle so between the top and the
  • 00:14:27
    bottom and the bottom to the top of 8%
  • 00:14:30
    move and we ended 1.8% So really this
  • 00:14:33
    flash down on Monday this crash and then
  • 00:14:36
    rebound to to break even that has been
  • 00:14:38
    the bottom so far and we have created a
  • 00:14:41
    higher low A higher low is essentially
  • 00:14:44
    going from the bottom and from this
  • 00:14:46
    bottom making a higher low than the
  • 00:14:48
    previous low Right so higher low here
  • 00:14:52
    And now what we need to do is we need to
  • 00:14:54
    make a higher high over this high If we
  • 00:14:58
    come up here and close up here say um
  • 00:15:02
    Tuesday or Wednesday of next week then
  • 00:15:04
    we have a higher low and a higher high
  • 00:15:06
    which means trend reversal
  • 00:15:09
    typically Not just that but we had this
  • 00:15:13
    key resistance here We hit 44314 twice
  • 00:15:18
    Monday and Tuesday We hit
  • 00:15:19
    44314 We rejected off of it twice And
  • 00:15:22
    even you could say Friday we came up and
  • 00:15:24
    tested right around that and we rejected
  • 00:15:27
    When we have
  • 00:15:29
    resistance we need to first break
  • 00:15:31
    through the resistance like we did here
  • 00:15:33
    And then we need to retest that
  • 00:15:35
    resistance to flip it into support like
  • 00:15:37
    we did here on Thursday and Friday So we
  • 00:15:41
    had resistance we broke out of
  • 00:15:43
    resistance and then we've uh retested
  • 00:15:46
    resistance and we confirmed now that
  • 00:15:50
    this resistance is now support This is
  • 00:15:53
    all support right here now for the stock
  • 00:15:56
    market to keep bouncing off of and
  • 00:15:58
    moving higher And again if we couple
  • 00:16:00
    that with a higher low moving up here to
  • 00:16:02
    the 470s on the QQQ then we got
  • 00:16:06
    something really good going here And we
  • 00:16:08
    could see an upward move and rally up to
  • 00:16:10
    about maybe 490s
  • 00:16:13
    uh 500 And you know if we really get
  • 00:16:15
    some good news behind us maybe some cuts
  • 00:16:17
    and everything you know we really could
  • 00:16:19
    have a blowoff top and this this could
  • 00:16:21
    end up being a V-shaped recovery We
  • 00:16:23
    don't know All we can do is look at the
  • 00:16:25
    charts and understand um where the trend
  • 00:16:27
    is going right now The overall trend is
  • 00:16:30
    still down obviously But the way to get
  • 00:16:33
    out of these downtrends is essentially
  • 00:16:35
    start making higher lows and higher
  • 00:16:36
    highs break out of that overall
  • 00:16:39
    downtrend and continue higher That would
  • 00:16:41
    be a significant um tell that we are
  • 00:16:45
    coming out of this overall bearish um
  • 00:16:49
    you know
  • 00:16:50
    downtrend on the spy It's basically the
  • 00:16:53
    same thing here So we had this
  • 00:16:55
    resistance
  • 00:16:56
    here We broke out of that resistance
  • 00:16:59
    here on that 12% move We retested it
  • 00:17:01
    with this beautiful hammer candle And
  • 00:17:03
    hammer candles are typically uh reversal
  • 00:17:06
    candles So when you get a hammer
  • 00:17:08
    typically you're going to get an
  • 00:17:09
    outsized move over the next few days
  • 00:17:11
    weeks And you know that's what we
  • 00:17:13
    started on this green candle on on
  • 00:17:15
    Friday with So we flip this from
  • 00:17:18
    resistance to support now And I would
  • 00:17:20
    like to see a continuation move like a
  • 00:17:22
    nice good solid candle up here Um engulf
  • 00:17:26
    this 12% move high Then we have a lower
  • 00:17:29
    high or sorry higher low and a higher
  • 00:17:32
    high And that would mean that we would
  • 00:17:34
    most likely on this buy continue up to
  • 00:17:36
    about 570s 580s and then who knows maybe
  • 00:17:40
    even up to uh 590s uh to 600 Again we
  • 00:17:45
    need to keep piecing together some good
  • 00:17:48
    momentum and some some good u uh bank
  • 00:17:51
    earnings and talks with China and no
  • 00:17:55
    more you know Trump nukes so on and so
  • 00:17:59
    forth
  • 00:18:01
    Palunteer If all this were to happen and
  • 00:18:03
    we were to continue to go higher where
  • 00:18:06
    could Palunteer go well it's pretty
  • 00:18:09
    obvious Palunteer could go straight back
  • 00:18:11
    to all-time highs So
  • 00:18:16
    um and I forgot to mention this QQQ the
  • 00:18:18
    Williams percentage range which is my
  • 00:18:21
    one of my favorite indicators I use it
  • 00:18:23
    for trading I use it for investing
  • 00:18:26
    literally is an indicator that typically
  • 00:18:29
    goes from this green line I call it the
  • 00:18:31
    green support beam to the red barrier
  • 00:18:35
    and from the red barrier to the green
  • 00:18:37
    support line It's like a pendulum It
  • 00:18:40
    swings from one extreme to the other
  • 00:18:43
    back to the other extreme back and forth
  • 00:18:46
    just a pendulum swinging And so I love
  • 00:18:48
    to use it in trying to understand where
  • 00:18:51
    we are going and completing our move As
  • 00:18:54
    I always say a train in motion stays in
  • 00:18:56
    motion So when you get a train in motion
  • 00:18:59
    you typically get it moving higher and
  • 00:19:02
    you will get it to go all the way to the
  • 00:19:03
    red barrier or -20 or higher So
  • 00:19:07
    basically -20 to the red barrier or
  • 00:19:09
    it'll go down to -80 down to the green
  • 00:19:12
    barrier like you see here here here here
  • 00:19:16
    here here You get the point More times
  • 00:19:19
    than not sometimes it doesn't Sometimes
  • 00:19:21
    it maybe gets close but doesn't hit -20
  • 00:19:24
    and comes back down But more times than
  • 00:19:26
    not you are going to get that big
  • 00:19:28
    pendulum swing all the way from one
  • 00:19:31
    extreme to the
  • 00:19:33
    other A little bit more of my strategy
  • 00:19:36
    with this not just the pendulum swings
  • 00:19:38
    but when you get the pendulum swing down
  • 00:19:41
    say to the green barrier it doesn't
  • 00:19:43
    automatically mean that we are right now
  • 00:19:45
    going to swing back to the red barrier
  • 00:19:48
    We will eventually but what I like to do
  • 00:19:51
    is create a box And I call it the
  • 00:19:53
    Williams consolidation box You've never
  • 00:19:56
    heard of this before because this is my
  • 00:19:58
    personal strategy This is something that
  • 00:19:59
    I personally created and back tested and
  • 00:20:04
    everything right and essentially the the
  • 00:20:06
    most simp the most simplistic way I can
  • 00:20:08
    explain it is that you you have a box
  • 00:20:13
    and when you put somebody in the
  • 00:20:15
    confines of a box you know like a crazy
  • 00:20:17
    person in a crazy in a in a psych asylum
  • 00:20:20
    they're going to bounce back and forth
  • 00:20:21
    off the walls like a crazy person right
  • 00:20:24
    so you get a move down to either the
  • 00:20:27
    green barrier or up to the red barrier
  • 00:20:31
    After that you are going to get a move
  • 00:20:33
    higher say to less
  • 00:20:38
    than65 or above
  • 00:20:41
    -36 and essentially you make you hit the
  • 00:20:44
    green barrier you come up and you make
  • 00:20:47
    your high When you make your high and
  • 00:20:49
    then you come back down you have now
  • 00:20:52
    created what I call the Williams
  • 00:20:53
    consolidation box And again when you
  • 00:20:56
    create this box it's essentially
  • 00:21:00
    saying that we are now in a tight box to
  • 00:21:06
    where as long as we stay within this
  • 00:21:08
    confines of this box we will continue in
  • 00:21:10
    that direction Underg -50 is bearish
  • 00:21:14
    Above -50 is bullish Very simple It's
  • 00:21:18
    like cutting the chart in half This this
  • 00:21:19
    dash line right here right down the
  • 00:21:21
    middle below it is bearish above it is
  • 00:21:24
    bullish
  • 00:21:25
    So when you have this um when you have a
  • 00:21:29
    chart when you have a Williams
  • 00:21:30
    consolidation box on the bottom down
  • 00:21:31
    here that is a bearish Williams
  • 00:21:33
    consolidation box When you have a box up
  • 00:21:36
    here above 50 that is a bullish Williams
  • 00:21:39
    consolidation box For a bearish Williams
  • 00:21:41
    consolidation box as long as you stay
  • 00:21:43
    within the confines of this box guess
  • 00:21:45
    what you are going to continue lower Do
  • 00:21:47
    you see how that works we stay in this
  • 00:21:49
    bearish Williams consolidation box And
  • 00:21:51
    look from the from the time we got into
  • 00:21:53
    it from literally the double top point
  • 00:21:56
    on the QQQ we stay in this confines of
  • 00:22:00
    this box and essentially this partnered
  • 00:22:03
    with my high- five indicator You could
  • 00:22:05
    have gotten to this You could have
  • 00:22:06
    gotten the QQQ short right here off this
  • 00:22:08
    double top and said "Yep we're in the
  • 00:22:10
    confines of this one's consolidation box
  • 00:22:12
    I can go short on the QQQ I can write
  • 00:22:15
    puts I can I can buy puts on the QQQ and
  • 00:22:18
    I can ride this thing lower And as long
  • 00:22:20
    as I don't close above the high- five
  • 00:22:23
    indicator which we never did until down
  • 00:22:25
    here And as long as we stay within the
  • 00:22:27
    Williams consolidation box we are going
  • 00:22:29
    to continue lower and I can stay short
  • 00:22:32
    or keep my puts on the markets Or you
  • 00:22:35
    could have sold out of your stocks as
  • 00:22:36
    investments up here Um or took some
  • 00:22:39
    gains right trim back You never want to
  • 00:22:40
    sell out 100% of anything but you could
  • 00:22:42
    have you know trimmed back and took some
  • 00:22:44
    gains on this stuff That way you weren't
  • 00:22:46
    holding all the way down here to where
  • 00:22:48
    we are now at $48
  • 00:22:50
    uh $454 from our highs of $540 right you
  • 00:22:55
    wouldn't have had you know your
  • 00:22:56
    portfolios wouldn't have been as beat up
  • 00:22:58
    and you would have had some cash would
  • 00:22:59
    be buying down
  • 00:23:00
    here So it's a pretty simple strategy
  • 00:23:03
    but I really love this strategy And you
  • 00:23:04
    see up here when you have a bullish
  • 00:23:06
    Williams consolidation box you are going
  • 00:23:08
    to get a move continuation higher As
  • 00:23:10
    long as you stay above the high- five
  • 00:23:12
    indicator here as you see then we are
  • 00:23:13
    good to go It's once you break out of
  • 00:23:16
    that Williams consolidation box either
  • 00:23:18
    the bullish or bearish on Williams
  • 00:23:19
    consolidation box is when you typically
  • 00:23:21
    are ready to exit your shorts for the
  • 00:23:24
    downside or your put or your calls and
  • 00:23:28
    your longs for the upside Right so when
  • 00:23:31
    you break out of that box you typically
  • 00:23:33
    get a red high- five indicator as well
  • 00:23:36
    You get a close below the high- five
  • 00:23:38
    indicator and it's definitely time to go
  • 00:23:40
    ahead and exit that position And I use
  • 00:23:42
    this strategy to go ahead and basically
  • 00:23:45
    short the market go long the market
  • 00:23:48
    calls uh puts um and I use it for my
  • 00:23:51
    investing as well And and basically my
  • 00:23:53
    whole community that I built is all
  • 00:23:55
    about these strategies that I've built
  • 00:23:58
    not just with trading with the ones
  • 00:24:00
    consolidation box with the high- five
  • 00:24:01
    indicators that I have and I offer also
  • 00:24:04
    my high- five snapshot which is my Excel
  • 00:24:06
    spreadsheet that I that I use to to make
  • 00:24:08
    investment decisions buys sells trims um
  • 00:24:12
    dollar cost averaging into companies I
  • 00:24:14
    teach all of this I have courses on all
  • 00:24:16
    of this I I I have everybody in my
  • 00:24:18
    community you know using these
  • 00:24:20
    strategies and and helping them become
  • 00:24:23
    better investors and traders in my
  • 00:24:25
    community If you are interested the link
  • 00:24:27
    is down below and it's in my bio as well
  • 00:24:30
    So moving on though um you know we have
  • 00:24:34
    broken out of this box like I said and
  • 00:24:36
    that was obviously the time to get out
  • 00:24:38
    because this could have been a reversal
  • 00:24:40
    It wasn't but it was the time that we
  • 00:24:43
    got the pendulum swing from outside of
  • 00:24:46
    this box from the green up to the red
  • 00:24:49
    Like I said when we get these we will
  • 00:24:50
    get these pendulum swings back and forth
  • 00:24:52
    All that to say just to explain my
  • 00:24:54
    strategy So we made this previous
  • 00:24:58
    resistance into support now and we are
  • 00:25:01
    climbing higher We were at the green
  • 00:25:03
    barrier support beam and now we are
  • 00:25:05
    moving to the red barrier And I don't
  • 00:25:08
    believe this move will be done until we
  • 00:25:09
    get to the red
  • 00:25:11
    barrier Um it of course you know we
  • 00:25:13
    could have hit this negative 80 and this
  • 00:25:15
    could be you know us moving down now but
  • 00:25:17
    I really don't believe that because we
  • 00:25:18
    are making we made a higher low as well
  • 00:25:21
    So I do believe that we will get up here
  • 00:25:23
    to the red barrier And guess what i will
  • 00:25:25
    be waiting to create a Williams
  • 00:25:27
    consolidation box here a bullish one and
  • 00:25:30
    continue to ride this higher And I will
  • 00:25:32
    know that this move is is ready to go
  • 00:25:35
    back down to the green support beam And
  • 00:25:37
    the move is teetering out once we break
  • 00:25:39
    out of that Williams consolidation box
  • 00:25:41
    once we flip back over to red and we
  • 00:25:44
    close beneath the high- five indicator
  • 00:25:46
    So right now I do have some uh lottos
  • 00:25:48
    some lottery uh calls right now because
  • 00:25:51
    we are moving up and I do believe that
  • 00:25:54
    we're going to get a uh a pause with
  • 00:25:57
    China coming up here this this weekend
  • 00:25:59
    or this week So those are my thoughts on
  • 00:26:02
    the SPY and the QQQ Let's get into
  • 00:26:04
    Palanteer and the other stocks and where
  • 00:26:05
    I think they're going Essentially
  • 00:26:07
    they're all doing the same thing here
  • 00:26:09
    right so we have our red barrier up here
  • 00:26:14
    We have our green barrier and you see
  • 00:26:16
    the same thing They go from one extreme
  • 00:26:18
    to the other like a pendulum swinging We
  • 00:26:21
    are up here We already hit our red
  • 00:26:24
    barrier and now is where I believe that
  • 00:26:26
    we make our Williams consolidation box
  • 00:26:29
    here on Palunteer We make our Williams
  • 00:26:32
    consolidation box here We are breaking
  • 00:26:36
    out We are making higher
  • 00:26:38
    lows and higher highs here And if we
  • 00:26:41
    close get a close above $93 and then we
  • 00:26:45
    get a close above $98 and we really
  • 00:26:47
    start moving here making higher lows
  • 00:26:49
    higher highs if we get this bullish
  • 00:26:52
    cross green high five indicator through
  • 00:26:55
    the smoothing line I do believe that you
  • 00:26:57
    know with this momentum with these giant
  • 00:27:00
    uh candles with the market being as
  • 00:27:02
    depressed as it is I do believe that we
  • 00:27:04
    could get an outsized move up to fill
  • 00:27:07
    these gaps here at about $13 $3 and up
  • 00:27:11
    to about $110 And you know we could get
  • 00:27:14
    it back to alltime highs It's just going
  • 00:27:15
    to depend on how far this market wants
  • 00:27:17
    to run Like I said I use my strategies
  • 00:27:20
    to get in these on these bullish crosses
  • 00:27:24
    Like we said like we see here could have
  • 00:27:25
    got in here on this bearish cross Could
  • 00:27:27
    have got here in here on this bullish
  • 00:27:29
    cross and rode this thing from you know
  • 00:27:31
    72 all the way up to 125 And that's what
  • 00:27:34
    I'm kind of looking at doing here as
  • 00:27:36
    well you know we are very depressed and
  • 00:27:38
    I do believe that we're going to get a
  • 00:27:39
    big uh relief rally here and I would
  • 00:27:42
    like to you know see a bullish engulfing
  • 00:27:44
    candle so I can get into this name to
  • 00:27:46
    the long side ride it up until basically
  • 00:27:48
    the Williams consolidation b uh box
  • 00:27:51
    cracks or we close beneath the high five
  • 00:27:54
    indicator That's how I'll be playing
  • 00:27:55
    Palunteer So I could see an outsized
  • 00:27:57
    move if all this fails right and this is
  • 00:28:00
    just you know basically a lower high um
  • 00:28:04
    and lower low here And then we close
  • 00:28:06
    below this then we will continue to go
  • 00:28:08
    down to
  • 00:28:10
    maybe you know 60 is 63 is pretty key
  • 00:28:14
    support here all in here That's pretty
  • 00:28:16
    key support That's why we bounced so
  • 00:28:18
    hard there So I could see us moving down
  • 00:28:21
    to you know 60 to $70 per share um if we
  • 00:28:26
    were to continue down no news no no good
  • 00:28:28
    news with China Things get worse Things
  • 00:28:30
    continue to escalate We go into
  • 00:28:31
    recession So on so forth guys So you got
  • 00:28:34
    to see both sides We can't just sit here
  • 00:28:35
    and say "Yeah this is about to cross and
  • 00:28:38
    now let's go allin Palunteer to the long
  • 00:28:40
    side I need a FOMO buy right now because
  • 00:28:43
    Ronnie V said that we're about to go
  • 00:28:44
    higher." You need to play You need to be
  • 00:28:46
    ready to play both sides guys We could
  • 00:28:49
    build a new Williams consolidation box
  • 00:28:50
    and continue higher get this beautiful
  • 00:28:53
    cross and make a lot of money on this
  • 00:28:54
    move higher um as an investment or as a
  • 00:28:58
    trade Or we could just as easily say no
  • 00:29:01
    news this weekend China and US continue
  • 00:29:04
    to you know fight box it out and then we
  • 00:29:06
    continue lower So you just got to be
  • 00:29:09
    ready and you got to you can't really
  • 00:29:10
    get into these names until you have
  • 00:29:12
    confirmation You see we get the bullish
  • 00:29:14
    cross here You see we come back and
  • 00:29:15
    retest That right here is the time to
  • 00:29:18
    enter We broke out We retested the high-
  • 00:29:21
    five indicator We made our Williams
  • 00:29:23
    consolidation box And now is the time to
  • 00:29:25
    enter and to ride this thing higher Not
  • 00:29:27
    right now when we don't have that
  • 00:29:29
    confirmation yet We do have a good solid
  • 00:29:32
    um Williams percentage range that's
  • 00:29:34
    bullish but we have not made that cross
  • 00:29:36
    yet We've had backtoback days of wick
  • 00:29:39
    action And I would be looking for a
  • 00:29:41
    close above this $93 $94ish
  • 00:29:45
    hood It's basically the same chart guys
  • 00:29:47
    That's pretty funny isn't it it's
  • 00:29:49
    basically the same
  • 00:29:51
    chart So you're in this clear
  • 00:29:54
    downtrend
  • 00:29:55
    here right and we are looking for a
  • 00:29:58
    bullish cross We already have the start
  • 00:30:02
    of our Williams consolidation box being
  • 00:30:04
    formed And I'm looking for a bullish
  • 00:30:06
    cross The last time this thing had a
  • 00:30:08
    bullish cross I mean it ran So it
  • 00:30:11
    crossed up down here and it just ran
  • 00:30:14
    higher Then earnings Obviously you don't
  • 00:30:16
    you want to be trimming in earnings Um
  • 00:30:18
    but it ran higher Um this is a more
  • 00:30:20
    volatile stock so the Williams
  • 00:30:22
    consolidation boxes aren't as great on
  • 00:30:25
    this one Whenever you have very high
  • 00:30:27
    volatility stocks you know it's going to
  • 00:30:29
    move all over the place more so than
  • 00:30:31
    other stocks
  • 00:30:32
    So I am looking for this uh bullish
  • 00:30:35
    cross here form this Williams
  • 00:30:37
    consolidation box and then obviously we
  • 00:30:39
    could see up to you know 50 to $60 and
  • 00:30:43
    then alltime highs would be obviously
  • 00:30:46
    almost $67 per share We bounce off this
  • 00:30:49
    key uh support area down
  • 00:30:52
    here Um well actually we filled this gap
  • 00:30:55
    here We still have this gap down here at
  • 00:30:58
    $25 per share to fill So if things get
  • 00:31:00
    worse I'm looking at this
  • 00:31:03
    $2543 uh 2543
  • 00:31:06
    uh gap fill down here you don't believe
  • 00:31:09
    we can get there we could definitely get
  • 00:31:10
    there guys We're at the top of this
  • 00:31:13
    bearish channel We could come down here
  • 00:31:14
    and we could see that $25 gap fill
  • 00:31:17
    before we see a reversal and and move
  • 00:31:19
    higher So bare side uh bearish side uh
  • 00:31:23
    $2543 gap fill Bullish side we can go
  • 00:31:26
    back to alltime highs You know again it
  • 00:31:28
    just depends It's so so dependent on the
  • 00:31:30
    news out there What happens in this
  • 00:31:33
    market
  • 00:31:35
    nvidia this one was pretty cool So we
  • 00:31:38
    started to form our bearish um Williams
  • 00:31:41
    consolidation box down here So we
  • 00:31:43
    started forming it here We got under the
  • 00:31:45
    high five indicator We could have rode
  • 00:31:47
    that thing
  • 00:31:49
    from 114 115 all the way down to 86
  • 00:31:52
    bucks It would have been a great trade
  • 00:31:54
    getting in on this thing And then
  • 00:31:56
    obviously we broke out of the Williams
  • 00:31:58
    consolidation box here retested it and
  • 00:32:01
    then moved higher And now what are we
  • 00:32:02
    having now we have a bullish Williams
  • 00:32:06
    consolidation box just formed Fresh
  • 00:32:09
    print just formed But what I want to see
  • 00:32:12
    is I want to see a bullish cross of the
  • 00:32:15
    high- five indicator through the
  • 00:32:16
    smoothing line close above this 12% jump
  • 00:32:19
    up day of about
  • 00:32:23
    $11510 I want to see a close above that
  • 00:32:26
    and then I would look to enter this
  • 00:32:28
    position long and look to ride it You
  • 00:32:30
    know you could face some resistance
  • 00:32:32
    right here at the point of contact on
  • 00:32:33
    the anchored volume um on the uh on the
  • 00:32:36
    um
  • 00:32:38
    uh anchored volume profile here You
  • 00:32:40
    could see some uh resistance there but I
  • 00:32:43
    would be looking for a move up to you
  • 00:32:46
    know
  • 00:32:47
    127 to you know 143 somewhere in this
  • 00:32:51
    range I would like to see a move um if I
  • 00:32:54
    did decide to get into this name and we
  • 00:32:56
    did get this bullish cross and move
  • 00:32:59
    higher You see that we were in this
  • 00:33:00
    bearish um downtrend right well we had
  • 00:33:04
    this snap down and this was basically a
  • 00:33:06
    fake out here um down to about uh
  • 00:33:10
    $86.62 We came down here broke out of
  • 00:33:13
    this bearish um uh downtrend broke the
  • 00:33:17
    the low of it We were really in trouble
  • 00:33:19
    there but then we snapped right back
  • 00:33:21
    into it So now I do believe that we
  • 00:33:22
    could get back up to the highs about 125
  • 00:33:25
    to
  • 00:33:26
    130ish And this is pretty key support
  • 00:33:28
    guys So this goes back to March 2024 You
  • 00:33:31
    see it was resistance resistance Then we
  • 00:33:34
    broke out of it We retested it on that
  • 00:33:37
    uh deepseek news Retested it here in
  • 00:33:40
    August Made it into support So
  • 00:33:42
    resistance resistance flipped it into
  • 00:33:45
    support Came through again as support Um
  • 00:33:48
    but obviously if things continue uh to
  • 00:33:50
    deteriorate things continue to get worse
  • 00:33:53
    then we could have a move down here to
  • 00:33:55
    fill this gap at about
  • 00:34:00
    $68.89 So bearishness if we break this
  • 00:34:03
    low here we'll go down to fill this gap
  • 00:34:05
    more than likely at
  • 00:34:07
    $69 um
  • 00:34:09
    $68.89 Bullishness we rise up to the125
  • 00:34:13
    to130 area and maybe even get up to
  • 00:34:16
    all-time highs Again it just depends on
  • 00:34:18
    you know the news and and how things go
  • 00:34:21
    And like I said it really depends on
  • 00:34:24
    guidance These companies coming in and
  • 00:34:26
    beating and having just inline guidance
  • 00:34:29
    would be fine But if they if they cut
  • 00:34:32
    back their guidance again backto-back
  • 00:34:35
    quarters then I do believe that we are
  • 00:34:37
    going to the downside more This is a
  • 00:34:38
    bare market We'll see
  • 00:34:41
    lows This was a fun one We are actually
  • 00:34:44
    in this short on SoFi I do like SoFi as
  • 00:34:46
    a long-term name so don't chop my head
  • 00:34:48
    off okay i really do like SoFi as a
  • 00:34:51
    long-term investment but you know as a
  • 00:34:54
    trader I don't care I'll short a company
  • 00:34:56
    I'll go long a company when I'm trading
  • 00:34:59
    When I'm investing I invest for the long
  • 00:35:01
    term and I leave it alone I dollar cost
  • 00:35:03
    average based on my strategies through
  • 00:35:05
    my high- five snapshot my margin of
  • 00:35:07
    safety that's when I buy so on and so
  • 00:35:09
    forth But on a trading p uh on a trading
  • 00:35:12
    front I do look at the technicals and I
  • 00:35:15
    obviously look at you know what's going
  • 00:35:17
    on So perfect head and shoulders on the
  • 00:35:20
    daily for SoFi You see we broke out here
  • 00:35:23
    I got in this move here wrote it down
  • 00:35:25
    here cashed out Then we had this rebound
  • 00:35:28
    where we retested the uh breakdown of
  • 00:35:32
    the head and shoulders and then that's
  • 00:35:34
    when we really started making lower
  • 00:35:36
    highs And the funny thing is and it's
  • 00:35:39
    it's it's always going to be funny to me
  • 00:35:41
    because technical analysis is you know
  • 00:35:44
    it's charts It's it's you know it's so
  • 00:35:49
    cool how it works This measured move of
  • 00:35:51
    this head and shoulders the measured
  • 00:35:54
    move is basically you take the top of
  • 00:35:55
    the head and shoulders or you take the
  • 00:35:57
    top of the charting pattern to the
  • 00:35:58
    bottom of the charting pattern You put
  • 00:36:00
    it down at the breakout point So the
  • 00:36:02
    neckline breakdown point was right here
  • 00:36:04
    at
  • 00:36:05
    $1345 It measures the exact distance
  • 00:36:09
    from top to bottom and you put that on
  • 00:36:11
    the breakdown or breakout and it shows
  • 00:36:14
    you exactly where the stock is going to
  • 00:36:18
    go Measured move was
  • 00:36:22
    $8.50 We got down to
  • 00:36:27
    $860 So if you want to get on me and say
  • 00:36:29
    "Oh man the measured move wasn't perfect
  • 00:36:31
    It didn't get down $8.50 It got within
  • 00:36:34
    10 cents of the measured move That's
  • 00:36:38
    good enough If I was in this trade all
  • 00:36:41
    the way down
  • 00:36:43
    here I would have just cashed out When I
  • 00:36:47
    get close to the measured move I just
  • 00:36:49
    cash out because typically these
  • 00:36:51
    measured moves they get right at it
  • 00:36:54
    right near it and then they bounce And
  • 00:36:56
    that's exactly what happened We got
  • 00:36:58
    right down to the measured move and then
  • 00:37:00
    we bounced And now we could continue
  • 00:37:01
    higher Where I could see it going I
  • 00:37:03
    could see it coming back to about 13 to
  • 00:37:05
    14 here and retesting this again because
  • 00:37:09
    right now this is it was support flipped
  • 00:37:13
    it to resistance So now this
  • 00:37:16
    1360 to $14 area is resistance pushing
  • 00:37:20
    down on the stock So if we climb back up
  • 00:37:22
    here hit this resistance we could falter
  • 00:37:25
    right back down And we do have some gaps
  • 00:37:28
    down No we don't have any more gaps So
  • 00:37:30
    so far I could be saved from from going
  • 00:37:34
    you know a lot lower Um realistically
  • 00:37:38
    this
  • 00:37:39
    $8
  • 00:37:42
    to this $8 to $9 range $8 to $9 range is
  • 00:37:49
    very very very stiff support So I really
  • 00:37:54
    you know how far they've come I really
  • 00:37:56
    don't see them going below that unless
  • 00:37:58
    they get in some trouble with their
  • 00:37:59
    earnings or you know recession and all
  • 00:38:02
    that different stuff But I would say the
  • 00:38:04
    the weakest downside would probably be
  • 00:38:06
    right about 8 to 9 Maybe this volume
  • 00:38:10
    shelf here at around
  • 00:38:12
    $7.50 could see it if things got really
  • 00:38:14
    bad But like you see on the Williams
  • 00:38:17
    percentage range here we are in an
  • 00:38:19
    uptrend after hitting this green support
  • 00:38:21
    beam and we are making moves higher And
  • 00:38:23
    I do believe we realize at least
  • 00:38:25
    negative 20 if not the red barrier maybe
  • 00:38:27
    build a Williams consolidation box to
  • 00:38:29
    the bull side and continue to run higher
  • 00:38:32
    I'll be looking to break out of this
  • 00:38:33
    downtrend I'll be looking for an
  • 00:38:35
    engulfing candle over the 12% move down
  • 00:38:38
    and I'll be looking for a bullish cross
  • 00:38:40
    over the um support and I would look to
  • 00:38:44
    possibly get into this name could see
  • 00:38:46
    alltime highs again with any of these
  • 00:38:48
    names guys if the market really gets
  • 00:38:50
    going and things really get a lot better
  • 00:38:52
    a lot faster rates started getting cut
  • 00:38:54
    things don't break in the economy things
  • 00:38:56
    don't break uh overall we could run back
  • 00:38:59
    to alltime highs but right now we are
  • 00:39:01
    still in a downtrend and I would
  • 00:39:03
    probably put this at you know $12 to
  • 00:39:08
    like I said $14 That's really your key
  • 00:39:11
    resistance area So you could swing it
  • 00:39:14
    from here up to those areas and then
  • 00:39:17
    take your
  • 00:39:18
    profits HIMS it's at such a key
  • 00:39:22
    resistance or such a key support zone
  • 00:39:24
    You had resistance resistance resistance
  • 00:39:27
    resistance broke out of the
  • 00:39:29
    resistance Um came back down didn't
  • 00:39:32
    confirm support broke back underneath it
  • 00:39:34
    then finally broke out of it again
  • 00:39:37
    retested it three times flipped this
  • 00:39:40
    whole thing into support So
  • 00:39:42
    $2321 to
  • 00:39:44
    $25.61 That is now key support because
  • 00:39:47
    it was resistance so many times Now it
  • 00:39:49
    was uh turned into support We launched
  • 00:39:52
    off that thing launch off this volume
  • 00:39:55
    shelf We are coming all the way back
  • 00:39:57
    down to it and we are bouncing off of it
  • 00:39:59
    very nicely I would keep dip buying this
  • 00:40:03
    area right here until it chose to break
  • 00:40:07
    If it breaks down then I see us going
  • 00:40:09
    down to $20 per share And if that really
  • 00:40:12
    breaks then the next key support area is
  • 00:40:14
    about um I would say $13 to $18 per
  • 00:40:19
    share If we got down there I'm backing
  • 00:40:21
    up the brink struck on this name
  • 00:40:23
    massively undervalued name massive
  • 00:40:26
    growth company Um left right and center
  • 00:40:29
    Great company And just like you saw when
  • 00:40:31
    we came down here and we had this launch
  • 00:40:34
    you could have the same thing guys Build
  • 00:40:35
    out that stage one hit stage two for a
  • 00:40:38
    massive move up before we hit stage uh
  • 00:40:40
    stage three and four So yeah really like
  • 00:40:44
    this name for a trade if we are able to
  • 00:40:47
    you know swing the pendulum back up to
  • 00:40:49
    the red barrier and then build a
  • 00:40:51
    Williams consolidation
  • 00:40:53
    box AMD advanced micro destroyer um
  • 00:40:58
    sorry advanced money destroyer uh huge
  • 00:41:02
    huge bearish downtrend since beginning
  • 00:41:05
    of the year You see it just on the daily
  • 00:41:08
    bearish downtrend continuously just
  • 00:41:11
    downtrending We could see down here at
  • 00:41:14
    52 to $62 per
  • 00:41:17
    share So yeah $52 to $62 is where I
  • 00:41:21
    could see this thing going for you know
  • 00:41:24
    a bottom Uh worst case scenario honestly
  • 00:41:28
    you had all this uh previous resistance
  • 00:41:30
    you flipped it into support multiple
  • 00:41:32
    times Now you're coming back to retest
  • 00:41:34
    it you're in this big bearish downtrend
  • 00:41:37
    but I do believe you know this would
  • 00:41:39
    probably be the low of $50 to $62 I know
  • 00:41:42
    it seems like it's crazy that it could
  • 00:41:44
    get there but if we really did hit a
  • 00:41:45
    recession or bare market we could easily
  • 00:41:47
    get down there guys Um as far as the
  • 00:41:50
    upside I mean again we can go back to
  • 00:41:52
    alltime highs Um I see more
  • 00:41:54
    realistically hitting you know $100 to
  • 00:41:58
    $115 per share getting up to this volume
  • 00:42:01
    shelf to be able to get through this we
  • 00:42:03
    would really need some bullish momentum
  • 00:42:05
    And then if we did break out of this
  • 00:42:07
    downtrend right around here from about
  • 00:42:10
    120 to about 130 If we were able to
  • 00:42:12
    break out of this huge downtrend we
  • 00:42:15
    could see a massive parabolic move
  • 00:42:17
    higher And I will be watching this name
  • 00:42:19
    from the sidelines until we get
  • 00:42:21
    something like that to happen because at
  • 00:42:23
    that point we could start a massive bull
  • 00:42:26
    bullish move higher and obviously from
  • 00:42:29
    you know $100 back up to $200 $300 per
  • 00:42:32
    share would just be a massive move and
  • 00:42:34
    and and a 3x on your
  • 00:42:37
    money Celsius This name has been so
  • 00:42:40
    strong so strong during this turbulent
  • 00:42:43
    time with all these tariffs and
  • 00:42:44
    everything And it's really because
  • 00:42:46
    people are realizing that it's not as
  • 00:42:48
    bad as they thought it was But basically
  • 00:42:50
    you had this key resistance down here We
  • 00:42:53
    flipped into support back down to
  • 00:42:55
    resistance and now we came back down
  • 00:42:57
    fully flipped it into support multiple
  • 00:43:00
    times now So again this you see it
  • 00:43:03
    continuously happen key resistance then
  • 00:43:06
    flips into support which is very bullish
  • 00:43:10
    So this is now support and we are
  • 00:43:13
    essentially making a run but I think
  • 00:43:15
    we're about to hit some pretty stiff
  • 00:43:17
    resistance here Um as you can see we had
  • 00:43:20
    resistance here resistance here We
  • 00:43:22
    flipped it into support We held it as
  • 00:43:24
    support and then we broke beneath it So
  • 00:43:26
    once we broke beneath it now this is
  • 00:43:28
    resistance and we are running right up
  • 00:43:30
    into this $38.50 50 to
  • 00:43:33
    $42.21 area where we are going to have
  • 00:43:37
    stiff resistance If we are able to break
  • 00:43:39
    through this 3846 4245 the markets would
  • 00:43:43
    have to be playing along as well and we
  • 00:43:44
    could have a very big outsized move up
  • 00:43:47
    to $50 next then 60 then 70 Could be
  • 00:43:52
    huge trade um huge investment um for a
  • 00:43:55
    lot of people out there Um but just
  • 00:43:57
    letting you know the next key resistance
  • 00:43:59
    is going to be 3846 to
  • 00:44:01
    4233 Next up
  • 00:44:04
    Amazon This cup and handle has not
  • 00:44:08
    realized its measured move of the
  • 00:44:10
    $297 per share and it has
  • 00:44:15
    until 2028 I know it's a long time out
  • 00:44:19
    but typically they they hit a lot faster
  • 00:44:20
    than than that So massive cup and handle
  • 00:44:24
    with a measured move up to $297 I do
  • 00:44:26
    believe that's going to be realized
  • 00:44:27
    eventually but we just have to be
  • 00:44:29
    patient here Essentially what you're
  • 00:44:31
    seeing happen here again you know we
  • 00:44:33
    just keep talking about it over and over
  • 00:44:34
    and over again Resistance resistance
  • 00:44:38
    resistance break out of the resistance
  • 00:44:40
    retest the resistance really retest it
  • 00:44:42
    fake out retest it We flipped it into
  • 00:44:45
    support now And now we we moved higher
  • 00:44:49
    but now we came right back down to it
  • 00:44:51
    retested it again and flipped into
  • 00:44:54
    support again because we had another
  • 00:44:56
    shoot uh shot down to like 161 which is
  • 00:45:00
    crazy cheap for Amazon Shot down there
  • 00:45:04
    quickly came back up here and now we are
  • 00:45:06
    either flipping this back into
  • 00:45:08
    resistance or we will make a move higher
  • 00:45:11
    like this shows and this will now be
  • 00:45:13
    support I'm going to go with shortterm
  • 00:45:17
    it's support longterm it'll be
  • 00:45:19
    resistance again I can see Amazon coming
  • 00:45:22
    down to the 140 to 160 area again
  • 00:45:26
    um in a recession bare
  • 00:45:29
    market Google last one up here guys
  • 00:45:33
    resistance resistance flipped it to
  • 00:45:35
    support held it as support right here So
  • 00:45:38
    the key support resistance line is 143
  • 00:45:41
    to 152ish If we break this area then we
  • 00:45:45
    most likely go down to I would say 107
  • 00:45:49
    to 126 um 63 If you're not
  • 00:45:53
    salivating like talking about Google at
  • 00:45:59
    less than $125 per share I can't help
  • 00:46:02
    you as an investor You should be wanting
  • 00:46:05
    it to come down to this area and jump
  • 00:46:08
    all over it Back the Brinks truck up on
  • 00:46:10
    Google you're watching this on YouTube
  • 00:46:12
    you know they have the two largest
  • 00:46:13
    search engines Google and YouTube This
  • 00:46:16
    company is massively undervalued right
  • 00:46:18
    now for the long term I get LLMs and AI
  • 00:46:22
    is going to disrupt them a little bit
  • 00:46:24
    but I still think they're going to be a
  • 00:46:26
    massive company a massive giant MAG7
  • 00:46:29
    company for decades to come They're not
  • 00:46:32
    going to massively lose tons and tons of
  • 00:46:35
    revenue in my opinion I think they're
  • 00:46:36
    just going to be a massive company and
  • 00:46:38
    figure things out and Whimo is such an
  • 00:46:40
    undervalued underappreciated thing that
  • 00:46:42
    they're doing as well And they have
  • 00:46:44
    their own LLMs and AI as well So yeah I
  • 00:46:47
    think Google here is a great buying
  • 00:46:50
    opportunity If this does break say we
  • 00:46:52
    break 142ish then I can see us go down
  • 00:46:55
    to you know 130s all the way down to
  • 00:46:58
    maybe $105 per share next down to this
  • 00:47:01
    uh volume shelf
  • 00:47:02
    here high side Obviously we bounce here
  • 00:47:05
    We continue higher We build our Williams
  • 00:47:07
    consolidation box to the bull side and
  • 00:47:09
    we continue to move to the upside back
  • 00:47:11
    to all-time highs above $28 per share
  • 00:47:16
    Boom What a beast of a video Almost a
  • 00:47:18
    50minute video guys This was a massive
  • 00:47:20
    video I really hope you appreciated it I
  • 00:47:22
    put a lot of work and effort into this
  • 00:47:24
    If you do appreciate these types of
  • 00:47:26
    videos these long-winded videos talking
  • 00:47:28
    about all these different stocks talking
  • 00:47:29
    about the markets talking about where
  • 00:47:31
    we're going short term analyzing
  • 00:47:33
    forecasting looking at everything the
  • 00:47:35
    week ahead Give me a like follow
  • 00:47:37
    subscribe Please um trying to build up
  • 00:47:40
    to 1,000 subscribers We're at 951 right
  • 00:47:43
    now You know we're almost there Um I'm
  • 00:47:46
    hoping to get there soon So again if you
  • 00:47:48
    guys appreciate these types of videos
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    like this type of content um like my
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    strategies you know again like follow
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    subscribe If you're interested in
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    times with the VIX so high So yeah if
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    you want to join us link's going to be
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    right here And hope you guys have a
  • 00:48:15
    great and fantastic weekend And I'll
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    catch you in the next one See you
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