DOLLAR TERUS ANJLOK! ini Update Terbaru untuk Gold, Bitcoin, dan IHSG!

00:07:01
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ou6w7i57xRI

概要

TLDRDalam perbincangan ini, GMA Gurari, CEO Astronaki, membincangkan keadaan kewangan semasa termasuk indeks dolar AS, harga emas, trend Bitcoin, dan ramalan pasaran saham. Beliau menjangkakan pemulihan dalam indeks dolar AS, sasaran 3,700 untuk emas, dan trend bullish untuk Bitcoin yang mencapai 120,000. Gurari juga menyoroti potensi pemulihan S&P 500 dan mengesyorkan saham perbankan dan arang batu untuk pelaburan, sambil menasihatkan pendekatan konservatif untuk pelabur.

収穫

  • 📈 Indeks dolar AS dijangka pulih ke 101.
  • 💰 Sasaran harga emas adalah 3,700.
  • 📊 Bitcoin dijangka mencapai 120,000.
  • 📉 S&P 500 mungkin pulih dengan sasaran 6,000.
  • 🏦 Saham perbankan dan arang batu disyorkan untuk pelaburan.
  • 🔍 Pelabur konservatif disarankan untuk mengagihkan 60% kepada ekuiti.
  • 📅 Trend bullish JCI dijangka hingga Julai 2025.
  • ⚖️ Tariff war AS-China memberi kesan negatif kepada pasaran.
  • 📉 Emas mungkin turun ke 3,150 sebelum pulih.
  • 🗓️ Tarikh penting untuk Bitcoin adalah 12 Mei.

タイムライン

  • 00:00:00 - 00:07:01

    GMA Gurari, pengasas dan CEO Astronaki, membincangkan tentang indeks dolar AS yang menunjukkan tanda-tanda pemulihan selepas penurunan. Beliau meramalkan sasaran pemulihan pada 101 dan penurunan seterusnya kepada 97.4. Dalam konteks rupiah, beliau menjangkakan ia akan stabil di sekitar 16,800 hingga 17,200 disebabkan perang tarif dan isu domestik yang mempengaruhi keyakinan awam terhadap kerajaan. Untuk emas, GMA meramalkan harga akan turun ke 3,150 sebelum mencapai sasaran bullish 3,700 dalam tempoh dua hingga tiga bulan akan datang. Beliau juga membincangkan tentang Bitcoin yang menunjukkan corak bullish dengan sasaran 120,000 dan tarikh pemulihan pada 12 Mei. Mengenai S&P 500, beliau menjangkakan pemulihan dengan sasaran 6,000 selepas tempoh penurunan. GMA juga menyentuh tentang JCI yang menunjukkan corak yang sama dengan Bitcoin, dengan sasaran akhir 7,300 menjelang Julai 2025. Beliau menasihatkan pelabur untuk mempertimbangkan saham perbankan dan arang batu sebagai pemimpin pasaran, serta memberi amaran untuk berunding dengan penasihat kewangan sebelum membuat keputusan pelaburan.

マインドマップ

ビデオQ&A

  • What is the target for the US dollar index?

    The target for the US dollar index is 101 for a future rebound.

  • What is the expected range for the rupiah against the dollar?

    The rupiah is expected to hold around 16,800 to 17,200.

  • What is the target price for gold?

    The target price for gold is 3,700, with a downside target of 3,150.

  • What is the target price for Bitcoin?

    The target price for Bitcoin is 120,000.

  • What stocks does GMA recommend?

    GMA recommends banking stocks like BCA and coal stocks like ITMG.

  • What is the expected trend for the S&P 500?

    The S&P 500 is expected to recover with a target of 6,000.

  • What is the investment strategy for conservative investors?

    Conservative investors should allocate 60% to equities and consider gold CFDs.

  • When is the expected bullish trend for JCI?

    The bullish trend for JCI is expected until July 2025.

  • What is the impact of the US-China tariff war?

    The tariff war is expected to escalate downside movements in the market.

  • What is the timeframe for gold reaching 3,700?

    Gold is expected to reach 3,700 in the next two to three months.

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  • 00:00:00
    And we are now joined with Astronaki
  • 00:00:01
    founder and CEO GMA Gurari. GMA, please
  • 00:00:04
    join me here. Hi. Hey, thank you. It's
  • 00:00:06
    been a while, man. It's been a while.
  • 00:00:08
    Nice to meet you. And it's a lot of
  • 00:00:10
    things been happening and one of them is
  • 00:00:12
    the dollar indexes keep going down, but
  • 00:00:15
    it looks like you have something else
  • 00:00:17
    that we just because of the tie. Right.
  • 00:00:19
    Right. Right. And then if you can see
  • 00:00:20
    here now the US dollar index starting,
  • 00:00:23
    it's getting stronger. So this what we
  • 00:00:25
    call a secondary correction. So after
  • 00:00:28
    multiple downside there'll always be a P
  • 00:00:31
    for the bearish trends as part of u a
  • 00:00:34
    part of the corrections and then the
  • 00:00:36
    price movement should be like this.
  • 00:00:38
    We're looking at the resistance 101 for
  • 00:00:41
    um the future rebound target and then
  • 00:00:43
    we're looking at another declining
  • 00:00:46
    moment until it's 97.4 for somehow this
  • 00:00:50
    is like the the big picture the road map
  • 00:00:52
    for the US dollar right so meanwhile we
  • 00:00:54
    look at the D the XY keep going going
  • 00:00:57
    down the the rupia against the dollar
  • 00:00:59
    still holding around that 16,000 so
  • 00:01:01
    what's going on there so I have the
  • 00:01:02
    target like
  • 00:01:04
    17,200 for rupia okay so we we will have
  • 00:01:08
    an impact from the tarif war of course
  • 00:01:10
    right and then um a lot of domestic
  • 00:01:12
    issue like dantara and others um maybe
  • 00:01:16
    it's not political but
  • 00:01:18
    the trust of the public to the
  • 00:01:20
    government, right? And then that creates
  • 00:01:22
    a little chaos here. And then bring the
  • 00:01:24
    rupia will be steady around 168 to 172
  • 00:01:27
    which is that our astronaut target since
  • 00:01:29
    last year and then we're looking at
  • 00:01:31
    about the range and then this rupia
  • 00:01:33
    condition will stay until for the next 6
  • 00:01:35
    months. That's for the next 6 months
  • 00:01:37
    we're going to look at the number. All
  • 00:01:38
    right. That's interesting. I that's
  • 00:01:40
    something I need to keep in mind. Now
  • 00:01:42
    one of the thing you know I love how you
  • 00:01:44
    always announce it. What's your target
  • 00:01:45
    is for gold. So what do we look at gold
  • 00:01:47
    over here? So tonight is a non-farm
  • 00:01:49
    peril. So we're looking at very volatile
  • 00:01:51
    price movement probably like trend
  • 00:01:53
    change it but uh if you can see here we
  • 00:01:55
    have ABC correction and gold is going to
  • 00:01:58
    reach
  • 00:01:59
    374 okay with the lowest target about
  • 00:02:02
    like
  • 00:02:04
    3150 so this will be uh the first
  • 00:02:07
    downside target after extreme bullish
  • 00:02:11
    previous weeks right and then from this
  • 00:02:13
    point we still have 3,700 as the bullish
  • 00:02:17
    target price but we're going to update
  • 00:02:18
    you later at least At least for now I
  • 00:02:20
    can say for the next week target area
  • 00:02:22
    we're looking at 3174 to 3150. All
  • 00:02:25
    right. So we're going to still uh keep
  • 00:02:27
    going down a little dip and then we
  • 00:02:29
    going to you expect it's going to be
  • 00:02:30
    3,700 uh expected correct prices. I mean
  • 00:02:33
    some some analysts actually looking at
  • 00:02:35
    4,000. Is that something visible? Yeah,
  • 00:02:37
    I mean like that that's possible but
  • 00:02:39
    what is the time frame? We're talking
  • 00:02:40
    about like specific time frame here,
  • 00:02:42
    right? um 3,700 probably for the next
  • 00:02:45
    two three months because the gold
  • 00:02:46
    slowing down now after massive uh big
  • 00:02:49
    bullies before uh so what what will it
  • 00:02:52
    affect that it can search uh faster than
  • 00:02:54
    than another another US and China
  • 00:02:57
    tension so tif war is basically now is a
  • 00:02:59
    US and China it's like the jafu from
  • 00:03:01
    2018 when Trump's keep doing the trade
  • 00:03:04
    war now the new trade war version will
  • 00:03:06
    be t4 it's not about the other countries
  • 00:03:08
    but again this is China and USA so we
  • 00:03:11
    have to keep our eyes closed on on those
  • 00:03:14
    two and what what is going to happen to
  • 00:03:16
    to the gold. Now the next thing is again
  • 00:03:18
    Bitcoin is the future of the gold. So
  • 00:03:19
    what this one is the falling wage. In my
  • 00:03:22
    YouTube channel, I already informed that
  • 00:03:24
    the falling waves uh pattern has been uh
  • 00:03:27
    developed and then the price broke the
  • 00:03:29
    pattern. It means that the bullish trend
  • 00:03:30
    will start continuing to unfold and if
  • 00:03:33
    you can see here probably like little
  • 00:03:35
    consolidations uh drop until 91,000
  • 00:03:38
    something like that and then continue go
  • 00:03:40
    up and then 120k is my target price from
  • 00:03:44
    all right 120,000 is the target and then
  • 00:03:47
    we have also vibrational date that May
  • 00:03:49
    12th will be the the reversal point so
  • 00:03:52
    it means that if the uh bitcoin keep uh
  • 00:03:55
    doing consolidations corrections so it's
  • 00:03:58
    probably going to stop around May 12th
  • 00:04:00
    and then the price will reverse again.
  • 00:04:02
    We'll see. Okay. So May 12th is going to
  • 00:04:04
    be a holiday in Indonesia, but after
  • 00:04:06
    that we have to have you on to see
  • 00:04:07
    what's the big hopefully. All right. So
  • 00:04:10
    let's take a look at the S&P 500. Yeah.
  • 00:04:12
    So after the tariff war, if you can see
  • 00:04:14
    here, the trend already bearish, but um
  • 00:04:17
    the tariff war escalates the downside
  • 00:04:20
    movement even stronger. And then we have
  • 00:04:23
    a pause period here. And we know that
  • 00:04:26
    Trump delayed for 90 days which is that
  • 00:04:28
    give some brat for US market. So we're
  • 00:04:31
    looking at another recovery of SP500
  • 00:04:34
    with target at 6,000 and two uh 2nd of
  • 00:04:38
    May which is today will be the
  • 00:04:39
    fibrational date which is one pump
  • 00:04:41
    perole as well. So the price could move
  • 00:04:43
    higher and then do little correction
  • 00:04:45
    between now or Monday and after that
  • 00:04:48
    we're looking for another continuations
  • 00:04:50
    of rally. All right. Well, now we're
  • 00:04:52
    going to see that how it's going to
  • 00:04:53
    perform for next week. So, now JCI JCI.
  • 00:04:57
    So, if you see the pattern is almost the
  • 00:04:59
    same with the Bitcoin. The only
  • 00:05:01
    difference this is the descending
  • 00:05:03
    broadening wage and the Bitcoin uh has
  • 00:05:06
    the falling weights but both pattern
  • 00:05:08
    will bring the price moves higher. Okay.
  • 00:05:11
    In this case, the price already breaks
  • 00:05:13
    this pattern and then there there a
  • 00:05:16
    little gap over here. We're looking at
  • 00:05:17
    correction first for JCI and I don't
  • 00:05:20
    think it's beyond 6,000 probably 6,0002
  • 00:05:23
    maximums and then we're still looking
  • 00:05:24
    for
  • 00:05:26
    7,300 for the final target price.
  • 00:05:28
    Basically, we're moving in a bullish
  • 00:05:30
    trend soon until July 2025. Until July
  • 00:05:33
    of 2025 now. Okay. Um we don't have your
  • 00:05:36
    recommendations for for your stock. If
  • 00:05:38
    you if you do, please of course the the
  • 00:05:40
    banking stocks and then the coal stocks
  • 00:05:42
    will be uh market leader. Okay. So we're
  • 00:05:45
    remain strong at the BRRI, Bangandir and
  • 00:05:48
    BCA. And then when we're looking at the
  • 00:05:50
    coal, you can start looking at PDBA and
  • 00:05:53
    ITMG. So the coal probably going to be
  • 00:05:56
    better in the second quarter 2025. Oh,
  • 00:05:59
    okay. Second quarter. Now, but a lot of
  • 00:06:01
    people still asking me, do I not going
  • 00:06:03
    to gold or do I look at those big big
  • 00:06:06
    four or uh coal? It depend if you're
  • 00:06:09
    type of like a conservative investor,
  • 00:06:12
    right? you you will put about like 60%
  • 00:06:14
    on the equity and then you only need
  • 00:06:17
    like $3 to $5,000 to start trading in
  • 00:06:19
    the gold CFD. But if you're looking at
  • 00:06:22
    buying the physical gold probably is
  • 00:06:24
    depend on the characteristics. Some
  • 00:06:26
    people who wants to buy like a physical
  • 00:06:28
    gold, they normally don't touch stocks
  • 00:06:30
    too much, right? Because they have like
  • 00:06:32
    a different risk appetite, the profiles.
  • 00:06:34
    But if you love the stocks, this is one
  • 00:06:36
    of the best time for you to start buying
  • 00:06:38
    and then keep holding until the end of
  • 00:06:40
    2025. You will you are looking at 30 to
  • 00:06:44
    50% return from your portfolio if you
  • 00:06:47
    can aim the the good stocks for all
  • 00:06:50
    right. Good. Thank you so much.
  • 00:06:52
    Disclaimer on for those at home. Please
  • 00:06:54
    make sure you consult with your
  • 00:06:55
    financial advisor before buy or sell any
  • 00:06:57
    of this stock. Thank you again. I'll see
  • 00:06:59
    you again.
タグ
  • US Dollar Index
  • Gold Prices
  • Bitcoin
  • S&P 500
  • Investment Strategy
  • Tariff War
  • Rupiah
  • Stock Recommendations
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  • Financial Advisor