India remains fastest growing economy | BBC News

00:02:53
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_H9a8PF7Pg

概要

TLDRIndia's economy grew by 8.4% in the last quarter of 2023, significantly above the expected growth rate of 6.6-7%. This growth has been primarily driven by government spending in infrastructure and some private investment, despite declines in agriculture and core industries. The Reserve Bank of India raised concerns about small investors taking risks in the stock market based on unverified information as the stock market has surged in response to positive corporate profit reports. The high growth rate is important politically, as it comes just months before the national elections where Prime Minister Narendra Modi seeks re-election.

収穫

  • 📈 India's economy grew by 8.4% in Q4 2023.
  • 🔍 Economists were surprised; expected only 6.6-7%.
  • 🏗️ Growth driven by government spending in construction.
  • ⚠️ Agriculture and core industries showed declines.
  • 💰 Investors are active in the surging stock market.
  • 🧑‍💼 Reserve Bank of India warns small investors of risks.
  • 🏢 Corporates report strong profits boosting market.
  • 🗳️ High growth crucial ahead of elections for Modi.

タイムライン

  • 00:00:00 - 00:02:53

    2023. aasta viimase kolme kuu jooksul kasvas India majandus 8,4%, ületades analüütikute ootused, mis olid 6,6% kuni 7%. Kasvu peamisteks teguriteks olid tootmise ja ehituse sektorite arengud, kuigi põllumajanduse ja muude tööstusharude, sealhulgas terase ja tsemendi sektorite andmed näitasid langust. Tarbimine jäi samuti nõrgaks, suurenedes vaid 5% viimase üheksa kuu jooksul. Sellegipoolest toetas valitsuse suurenenud investeerimine infrastruktuuri ja erasektori kapitali vool majanduskasvu, mis toimus just enne rahvavahelisi valimisi. Indiast on saanud paljudele ettevõtetele alternatiiv Hiinale, kuid valitsuse mured seonduvad väikeste investorite riskidega aktsiaturul, kus on murettekitava arvukuse poolest investeeritud mitteverifitseeritud allikate kaudu, eriti väikestes ja keskmise suurusega fondidesse. RBA on tähele pannud, et väikeettevõtetele antud laenud on samuti tõusnud, mis iseenesest suurendab riske, millega väikeste investorite teadlikkus on madal.

マインドマップ

ビデオQ&A

  • What was the economic growth rate in the last quarter of 2023?

    8.4%

  • How did this growth rate compare to the previous quarter?

    It was higher than the previous quarter's growth of 7.6%.

  • What sectors contributed to the economic growth?

    Mainly manufacturing and construction.

  • What has raised questions about the sustainability of this growth?

    Weak performance in agriculture and core sectors like steel and cement.

  • What is the Reserve Bank of India's concern regarding small investors?

    Small investors are taking risks based on unverified information.

  • Why is the growth rate significant for the government?

    It comes before national elections where PM Narendra Modi is seeking a third term.

  • How has the stock market reacted to the economic growth?

    The stock market has seen substantial growth in recent months.

  • What is noted about corporate profit reports?

    Many firms reported strong profit numbers contributing to market optimism.

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  • 00:00:00
    we've had economic figures for the last
  • 00:00:01
    3 months of 2023 the economy grew by
  • 00:00:05
    8.4% that is compared with 7.6% growth
  • 00:00:09
    in the previous quarter well earlier I
  • 00:00:12
    spoke to our South Asia correspondent
  • 00:00:13
    aana Shukla in Mumbai I asked her what
  • 00:00:16
    reaction there has been to this
  • 00:00:19
    news well for one it has surprised
  • 00:00:22
    almost all economists because the
  • 00:00:25
    expectation was between 6.6 and 7%
  • 00:00:28
    growth and it came up to 8 .4% uh way
  • 00:00:32
    ahead of expectations and a large part
  • 00:00:34
    of that has been driven by growth in the
  • 00:00:36
    manufacturing and the construction space
  • 00:00:38
    some of the numbers do offer a lot of
  • 00:00:41
    question marks because uh if you look at
  • 00:00:43
    agriculture if you look at Industries um
  • 00:00:46
    you know core sector datas from steel
  • 00:00:49
    cement all of them have actually shrunk
  • 00:00:51
    um and consumption in fact has also been
  • 00:00:54
    weak to almost uh for the 9 months it
  • 00:00:56
    grew by only 5% and that's why there was
  • 00:00:58
    a there has been a lot of question Mark
  • 00:01:00
    but a large bit of this has been pushed
  • 00:01:02
    by the government spending in the
  • 00:01:04
    construction space um you know building
  • 00:01:06
    infrastructure around the country and
  • 00:01:08
    some bit of private capital and private
  • 00:01:11
    Investments also seem to be flowing in
  • 00:01:13
    to the economy right now and that has
  • 00:01:15
    pushed uh the growth to this level U
  • 00:01:18
    right before the national elections
  • 00:01:20
    where prime minister Narendra Modi is
  • 00:01:22
    Seeking a third term uh in power and and
  • 00:01:25
    this is the premise the high growth rate
  • 00:01:27
    where India has become somewhere an Al
  • 00:01:29
    alternative uh to China for most
  • 00:01:32
    companies and uh uh you know companies
  • 00:01:35
    that want to expand their business are
  • 00:01:37
    looking into India at the moment yeah
  • 00:01:39
    months before an election crucial
  • 00:01:41
    sectors they're benefiting and crucial
  • 00:01:42
    sectors as you say not benefiting we see
  • 00:01:44
    those farmer protests but let me ask you
  • 00:01:47
    there's been a message regarding smaller
  • 00:01:49
    investors looking to take advantage of
  • 00:01:50
    this surging stock market from the
  • 00:01:52
    market regulator
  • 00:01:55
    there well as the growth in the Indian
  • 00:01:59
    economy the stock market in India has
  • 00:02:01
    also seen a big jump up in the last few
  • 00:02:04
    uh months we've seen investors hog onto
  • 00:02:07
    stocks uh um you know across the space
  • 00:02:10
    and there has been some concerns by The
  • 00:02:12
    Reserve Bank of India especially with
  • 00:02:14
    small investors who are taking uh uh you
  • 00:02:17
    know cues from not verified stock
  • 00:02:20
    investors and investing in the market in
  • 00:02:22
    uh especially in small and midcap funds
  • 00:02:24
    where there could be risks they're not
  • 00:02:26
    very aware of the risks if you look at
  • 00:02:29
    uh uh you know the the stock market that
  • 00:02:30
    has been voed also by the growth numbers
  • 00:02:33
    of the corporate firms who've been
  • 00:02:34
    reporting uh great sets of profit uh
  • 00:02:37
    profit numbers but not all companies and
  • 00:02:40
    The Reserve Bank of India is concerned
  • 00:02:42
    because small loans have also gone up
  • 00:02:45
    where uh you know people are taking
  • 00:02:47
    these loans and and Reserve Bank of
  • 00:02:49
    India wants to get this risk out of the
  • 00:02:51
    window
タグ
  • India
  • economic growth
  • 2023
  • manufacturing
  • construction
  • stock market
  • Reserve Bank of India
  • investors
  • politics
  • national elections